Relative Intelligence · E-Commerce

How MercadoLibre (MELI) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on MELI alone. It places MELI (MercadoLibre, Inc.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where MELI stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: MELI's full trading record, from August 2007 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowMELI is 28.1% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. Over the past 6 months, MELI rose 0.5% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?MELI rose 2.6% over the past 3 months, in line with the consumer discretionary sector ETF XLY (State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF), which rose 1.0%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its e-commerce peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: SHOP (Shopify) rose 39.4%, while SE (Sea) fell 23.9%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsMELI has gone against the market, falling 10.6% over the past year while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (60.7% against 89.3%). The long record (ahead of 95% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years) has not carried into the past 3 years (ahead of 54% of them). By year ↓
- Long termMELI turned $10,000 into $110,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Even so, the past 5 years only trailed the S&P 500 (17.2% against 81.7%), after a much stronger decade (1,002% against 321%). Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, MELI has typically fallen 1.9 times as far as the S&P 500. In the 2022 bear market, MELI fell 51.6%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than AMZN (Amazon.com, 39.6%) but less than SHOP (Shopify, 79.0%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, MELI has a correlation of 0.48 over 5 years, more closely than 70% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- WMT (Walmart), AMZN (Amazon.com) and V (Visa) earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years. WMT returned 20.8% a year at 22.6% volatility, against 3.2% a year at 49.5%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- AAPL (Apple, digital payments theme) and MSFT (Microsoft, software) earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years. AAPL returned 18.5% a year at 28.0% volatility, against 3.2% a year at 49.5%.
- Whole market
- 1,697 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), GOOG (Alphabet) and MSFT (Microsoft).
How much would $10,000 in MELI have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in MELI over the past 19 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of MELI over the same span and MELI's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: MELI began trading on August 10, 2007, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 19 years of MELI's record, starting at the end of September 2007.
- $10,000 invested in MELI at the end of September 2007 would have grown to $491,887 by September 2026, more than the $70,725 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of MELI, and NVDA finished highest, at $2,767,416.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2007 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 20 of the 1,798 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MELI; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$3M+27,574% total · +34.4% a year
- MU$984,249+9,742% total · +27.3% a year
- TSM$751,568+7,416% total · +25.5% a year
- AAPL$725,525+7,155% total · +25.3% a year
- AMZN$534,633+5,246% total · +23.3% a year
- MELI$491,887+4,819% total · +22.8% a year
- MA$410,321+4,003% total · +21.6% a year
- WMT$104,757+948% total · +13.2% a year
- EBAY$73,236+632% total · +11.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$70,725+607% total · +10.8% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 2,470 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MELI; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- WMT$23,813+138% total · +18.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- V$16,755+67.5% total · +10.9% a year
- EBAY$16,622+66.2% total · +10.7% a year
- MA$16,338+63.4% total · +10.3% a year
- AMZN$15,169+51.7% total · +8.7% a year
- SHOP$10,938+9.4% total · +1.8% a year
- MELI$10,293+2.9% total · +0.6% a year
- W$4,014−59.9% total · −16.7% a year
- PAGS$1,916−80.8% total · −28.1% a year
MELI at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: MELI began trading on August 10, 2007, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- MELI is still 28.1% below its all-time high.
- MELI's deepest decline since it began trading in 2007 was 89.5%, from December 2007 to November 2008. It took 28 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 18 full calendar years, MELI's best was 2009, when it returned 216%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 77.8%. It lost money in six of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $95B
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Price history from
- August 2007
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −10.6%total return
- Past 3 years
- +60.7%+17.1% a year
- Past 5 years
- +17.2%+3.2% a year
- Past 10 years
- +1,002%+27.1% a year
- Best calendar year
- +216%2009
- Worst calendar year
- −77.8%2008
- Losing years
- 6 of 18full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 49.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.31return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −89.5%Dec 2007 to Nov 2008
- From its all-time high
- −28.1%below the peak
MELI against the whole market
Where MELI ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does MELI rank among all stocks?
This section ranks MELI on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how MELI stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- MELI's 10-year return ranks in the top 5% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | MELI | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −10.6% | 2,359 of 3,287 | bottom 29% |
| 3-year return | +60.7% | 1,387 of 3,017 | top 46% |
| 5-year return | +17.2% | 1,492 of 2,893 | bottom 49% |
| 10-year return | +1,002% | 109 of 2,202 | top 5% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 49.5% | 1,902 of 2,893 | bottom 35% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.31 | 1,509 of 2,893 | bottom 49% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −69.1% | 1,263 of 2,187 | bottom 43% |
What has beaten MELI on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). MELI sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than MELI with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 990 stocks and 707 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than MELI over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 47% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half MELI's swings, FIX has the best return for its risk: 77.0% a year at 46.7% volatility, 6% less than MELI's 49.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.46 against 0.31 for MELI.
- Among MELI's popular alternatives, WMT, FMX and V are in the region. WMT earned 20.8% a year against 3.2% a year for MELI, at 22.6% volatility, 54% less than MELI's 49.5%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to MELI; faint dots are 92 more of the 1,697 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than MELI?
Investments that beat MELI over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among MELI's popular alternatives, WMT, AMZN and V earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years. WMT returned 20.8% a year at 22.6% volatility, against 3.2% a year at 49.5%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, AAPL (digital payments theme) and MSFT (software) earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years. AAPL returned 18.5% a year at 28.0% volatility, against 3.2% a year at 49.5%.
- Across the whole market, 1,697 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, GOOG and MSFT.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat MELI over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks MELI's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than MELI follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than MELI's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× MELI's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than MELI's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with MELI?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +3.2% | 49.5% | 0.31 | −69.1% | +1,002% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.48 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against MELI. 7 of 20 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +9.0% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | +548% | 0.43 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.55 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.4% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | +541% | 0.50 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +11.7% | 32.9% | 0.50 | −53.6% | +374% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +14.0% | 25.7% | 0.64 | −45.5% | +79.7% | 0.38 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in E-Commerce and the categories next to it (Specialty Retail, Software, Internet Services, Freight & Logistics), plus MELI's specific themes. 66 of 150 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.34 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +31.9% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | +1,274% | 0.33 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +14.8% | 37.2% | 0.56 | −34.2% | +1,139% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.3% | 52.7% | 0.71 | −67.7% | — | 0.30 | — | ||
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. · Freight & Logistics | Similar return, lower volatility | +4.0% | 32.8% | 0.28 | −42.4% | +220% | 0.22 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 2,037 of 3,463 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.09 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.4% | 43.4% | 0.59 | −56.9% | +1,628% | 0.35 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.28 | 0.35% | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.38 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.32 | — | ||
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | -0.08 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +3,701% | -0.06 | — | ||
| On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | — | 0.30 | 0.09% | ||
What these numbers mean for MELI
- Annual return
- MELI returned 3.2% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $11,700. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- MELI's volatility over the past 5 years was 49.5%, 2.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MELI's return lands within 49.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- MELI's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.31, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MELI earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- MELI's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 69.1%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 69.1% fall takes a 224% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, MELI's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.48 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MELI instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MELI holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 1,697 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than MELI with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with MELI | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.09 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +17.4% | 43.4% | 0.59 | −56.9% | +1,628% | 0.35 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.28 | 0.35% | |
| 4 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.38 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.32 | — | |
| 6 | COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | -0.08 | — |
| 7 | Whole market | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.20 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.49 | 0.03% | |
| 9 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.48 | 0.03% | |
| 10 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.02 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.36 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | -0.01 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.14 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.02 | — | |
| 15 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.14 | 0.48% |
| 16 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.30 | 0.40% |
| 17 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.21 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.49 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +553% | 0.44 | 0.18% | |
| 20 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.11 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.24 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.26 | — | |
| 23 | PSIInvesco Semiconductors ETF · Technology | Whole market | +24.3% | 41.6% | 0.73 | −44.9% | +1,134% | 0.21 | 0.55% |
| 24 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.03 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.25 | — | |
| 26 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.08 | — |
| 27 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.37 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +12.1% | 13.7% | 0.90 | −36.8% | +235% | 0.37 | 0.03% | |
| 29 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.34 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.19 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.06 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +9.3% | 16.9% | 0.61 | −35.8% | +153% | 0.49 | 0.03% | |
| 33 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.22 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.33 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.15 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +32.0% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | +1,017% | 0.18 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.40 | 0.09% | |
| 38 | Whole market | +25.4% | 30.4% | 0.90 | −59.8% | +374% | 0.45 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.07 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +16.6% | 31.4% | 0.65 | −44.3% | +398% | 0.15 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +19.5% | 34.1% | 0.69 | −33.6% | +652% | 0.26 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | 0.18 | — | |
| 43 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.03 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.16 | — | |
| 45 | Whole market | +9.9% | 33.7% | 0.45 | −33.4% | +424% | 0.31 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.21 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.38 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.38 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +6.8% | 17.6% | 0.47 | −39.4% | +198% | 0.49 | 0.03% | |
| 50 | Whole market | +14.4% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | +755% | 0.17 | — | |
| 51 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.44 | 0.04% | |
| 52 | Whole market | +26.3% | 33.8% | 0.86 | −62.1% | +190% | 0.26 | — | |
| 53 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.18 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.41 | — | |
| 55 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.12 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.21 | — | |
| 57 | Whole market | +29.5% | 38.4% | 0.87 | −54.2% | +352% | 0.19 | — | |
| 58 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.28 | — | |
| 59 | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.3% | 0.72 | −33.4% | +252% | 0.31 | 0.06% | |
| 60 | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | +295% | 0.26 | — | |
| 61 | Whole market | +9.8% | 25.2% | 0.50 | −39.4% | +60.7% | 0.23 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.42 | — | |
| 63 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.31 | — | |
| 64 | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.9% | 0.71 | −46.9% | +187% | 0.37 | — | |
| 65 | Whole market | +18.6% | 39.1% | 0.63 | −62.4% | +304% | 0.14 | — | |
| 66 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.49 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.10 | — | |
| 68 | Whole market | +32.9% | 42.2% | 0.89 | −56.9% | +483% | 0.10 | — | |
| 69 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.20 | — | |
| 70 | Whole market | +10.3% | 16.2% | 0.69 | −34.2% | +223% | 0.50 | 0.06% | |
| 71 | Whole market | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.39 | — | |
| 72 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.33 | — | |
| 73 | Whole market | +17.4% | 29.1% | 0.70 | −46.4% | +426% | 0.28 | — | |
| 74 | Whole market | +14.1% | 30.1% | 0.59 | −54.7% | +513% | 0.47 | — | |
| 75 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.23 | — | |
| 76 | Whole market | +8.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | −39.0% | +211% | 0.48 | 0.20% | |
| 77 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.32 | — | |
| 78 | Whole market | +14.8% | 23.6% | 0.71 | −32.8% | +625% | 0.37 | — | |
| 79 | Same or nearby category | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.34 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +27.5% | 36.9% | 0.85 | −46.7% | +510% | 0.24 | — | |
| 81 | Whole market | +23.4% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | +616% | 0.18 | — | |
| 82 | Whole market | +12.7% | 27.7% | 0.57 | −50.8% | +309% | 0.15 | — | |
| 83 | Whole market | +24.3% | 39.1% | 0.75 | −63.3% | +1,270% | 0.39 | — | |
| 84 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.16 | — | |
| 85 | Whole market | +17.0% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | +356% | 0.09 | — | |
| 86 | Whole market | +18.9% | 37.3% | 0.65 | −53.9% | +194% | 0.13 | — | |
| 87 | Whole market | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.25 | — | |
| 88 | Whole market | +21.7% | 37.4% | 0.72 | −57.2% | +569% | 0.47 | — | |
| 89 | Whole market | +8.3% | 23.3% | 0.46 | −40.5% | +446% | 0.23 | — | |
| 90 | Whole market | +13.1% | 22.4% | 0.67 | −34.5% | +451% | 0.49 | 0.04% | |
| 91 | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.1% | 0.72 | −42.7% | +481% | 0.32 | — | |
| 92 | Whole market | +24.1% | 39.9% | 0.74 | −38.2% | — | 0.07 | — | |
| 93 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.49 | 0.26% | |
| 94 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.17 | — |
| 95 | Whole market | +10.8% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | +160% | 0.23 | — | |
| 96 | Whole market | +12.0% | 25.4% | 0.58 | −55.2% | +240% | 0.26 | — | |
| 97 | Whole market | +25.3% | 34.4% | 0.83 | −64.1% | +390% | 0.33 | — | |
| 98 | Same or nearby category | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 0.32 | — | |
| 99 | Whole market | +14.8% | 31.6% | 0.59 | −54.6% | +670% | 0.29 | — | |
| 100 | Whole market | +8.2% | 19.4% | 0.51 | −45.3% | +169% | 0.42 | 0.05% |
MELI against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against MELI, compared period by period and year by year.
How do MELI's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at MELI, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- 14 of the 20 popular alternatives earned less than MELI over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Six of the 20 popular alternatives, led by WMT, FMX and V, were both more rewarding and calmer than MELI over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, MELI returned 3.2% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (49.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than MELI with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| WMT Walmart Inc. | +20.8% | 22.6% |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | +14.1% | 25.7% |
| V Visa Inc. | +12.8% | 22.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | +12.4% | 23.8% |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | +11.7% | 32.9% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | +9.0% | 36.6% |
| MELI This pageMercadoLibre, Inc. | +3.2% | 49.5% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | +3.1% | 66.9% |
| VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited | +2.8% | 50.9% |
| PDD PDD Holdings Inc. | −3.9% | 66.0% |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited | −8.2% | 51.3% |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | −13.1% | 52.0% |
| W Wayfair Inc. | −14.5% | 81.8% |
| ETSY Etsy, Inc. | −17.8% | 55.4% |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | −18.0% | 65.1% |
| JD JD.com, Inc. | −18.6% | 52.6% |
| PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. | −19.8% | 60.6% |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | −20.1% | 61.0% |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | −21.1% | 70.3% |
| SE Sea Limited | −25.9% | 64.6% |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | −33.0% | 53.1% |
Has MELI consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares MELI with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than MELI helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Six of the 21 popular alternatives, led by SHOP, MA and V, outperformed MELI in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- WMT, FMX and V earned more for the risk they took than MELI (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than MELI over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| MELI MercadoLibre, Inc. (this page) | — | +3.2% | +2.6% | +0.5% | −4.8% | −10.6% | +60.7% | +17.2% | +1,002% | 49.5% | 0.31 | −69.1% | — | $95B | — |
| SHOP QualifiedShopify Inc. | 5/5 short2/3 long | +25.8% | +39.4% | +28.4% | +10.4% | +5.3% | +239% | +16.6% | +3,916% | 66.9% | 0.38 | −84.8% | — | $225B | — |
| MA QualifiedMastercard Incorporated | 5/5 short2/3 long | +9.5% | +13.5% | +20.5% | +10.9% | +10.3% | +64.3% | +79.2% | +541% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | — | $543B | — |
| V QualifiedVisa Inc. | 5/5 short2/3 long | +9.9% | +13.0% | +30.0% | +18.0% | +19.0% | +78.2% | +82.5% | +429% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | — | $759B | — |
| EBAY QualifiedeBay Inc. | 5/5 short2/3 long | +11.9% | +6.5% | +13.8% | +40.5% | +28.3% | +213% | +74.2% | +374% | 32.9% | 0.50 | −53.6% | — | $54B | — |
| AMZN QualifiedAmazon.com, Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +1.6% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +16.0% | +21.3% | +110% | +53.8% | +548% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | — | $2.8T | — |
| WMT QualifiedWalmart Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +9.7% | +5.3% | −7.5% | +5.2% | +11.0% | +130% | +158% | +508% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | — | $938B | — |
| W Specialty RetailWayfair Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +8.2% | +29.4% | +40.0% | +6.6% | +36.6% | +159% | −54.2% | +213% | 81.8% | 0.21 | −93.0% | — | $16B | — |
| PAGS Specialty Business ServicesPagSeguro Digital Ltd. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +23.8% | +29.9% | +9.2% | +29.2% | +38.4% | +73.1% | −66.9% | — | 60.6% | -0.07 | −90.0% | — | $3.2B | — |
| FMX Beverages - Non-AlcoholicFomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 4/5 short1/3 long | +9.3% | +0.8% | +15.1% | +36.5% | +44.0% | +53.7% | +92.9% | +79.7% | 25.7% | 0.64 | −45.5% | — | $44B | — |
| NU Banks - RegionalNu Holdings Ltd. | 3/5 short1/3 long | +7.3% | +7.9% | −0.1% | −11.3% | −2.1% | +84.7% | — | — | — | — | −72.1% | — | $73B | — |
| SE Specialty RetailSea Limited | 0/5 short1/3 long | −21.6% | −23.9% | −10.0% | −38.8% | −51.5% | +80.3% | −77.7% | — | 64.6% | -0.14 | −90.5% | — | $49B | — |
| ETSY Specialty RetailEtsy, Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +19.0% | +4.0% | +36.2% | +52.6% | +22.5% | +34.7% | −62.5% | +511% | 55.4% | -0.08 | −86.3% | — | $8.0B | — |
| DLO Software - InfrastructureDlocal Limited | 5/5 short0/3 long | +6.1% | +3.2% | +14.1% | +9.7% | +2.5% | −10.3% | −69.4% | — | 70.3% | 0.04 | −90.0% | — | $4.5B | — |
| STNE Software - InfrastructureStoneCo Ltd. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +24.3% | +8.5% | −5.1% | −0.6% | −21.7% | +46.8% | −63.0% | — | 65.1% | 0.02 | −92.3% | — | $2.8B | — |
| GLOB Information Technology ServicesGlobant S.A. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +16.2% | +29.0% | −17.7% | −34.0% | −28.3% | −76.9% | −86.5% | −5.9% | 53.1% | -0.48 | −92.2% | — | $1.8B | — |
| CHWY Specialty RetailChewy, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +5.0% | −2.1% | −25.4% | −35.7% | −42.5% | +28.2% | −67.3% | — | 61.0% | -0.07 | −87.4% | — | $8.7B | — |
| JD Specialty RetailJD.com, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −1.9% | −12.5% | −14.7% | −6.2% | −18.0% | +20.2% | −64.3% | +14.4% | 52.6% | -0.14 | −79.1% | — | $36B | — |
| BABA Specialty RetailAlibaba Group Holding Limited | 0/5 short0/3 long | −6.1% | −9.7% | −21.7% | −29.6% | −36.8% | +44.5% | −34.8% | +11.2% | 51.3% | 0.08 | −80.1% | — | $270B | — |
| VIPS Specialty RetailVipshop Holdings Limited | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.7% | −11.2% | −15.4% | −23.9% | −29.1% | −2.1% | +14.8% | +3.7% | 50.9% | 0.31 | −86.7% | — | $6.2B | — |
| CPNG Specialty RetailCoupang, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.1% | −12.9% | −33.4% | −38.7% | −54.8% | −18.9% | −50.3% | — | 52.0% | -0.01 | −81.5% | — | $26B | — |
| PDD Specialty RetailPDD Holdings Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.9% | −5.1% | −21.7% | −29.5% | −38.0% | −20.6% | −17.9% | — | 66.0% | 0.26 | −87.4% | — | $116B | — |
How did MELI do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2008, along with where MELI ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with MELI and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: MELI began trading on August 10, 2007, so the table starts with 2008, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- Among its popular alternatives, SHOP came out ahead of MELI most often, in eight of the ten years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, MELI finished in the top quarter in eight of 18 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 13 of 22.
- MELI finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 11 of its 18 full calendar years.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of MELI; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places MELI among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of MELI | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI This pageMercadoLibre, Inc. | — | +18.4% | +8.2% | +85.7% | −37.2% | −19.5% | +193% | +95.3% | −6.9% | +102% | +37.1% | −10.1% | +19.2% | +38.0% | −0.7% | +19.9% | +28.5% | +216% | −77.8% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 8 of 18 | 13 of 22 | 13 of 22 | 5 of 22 | 11 of 22 | 12 of 19 | 5 of 19 | 5 of 18 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 14 | 3 of 14 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 7 | 6 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 18 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 8 of 10 | +51.4% | +36.5% | +124% | −74.8% | +21.7% | +185% | +187% | +37.1% | +135% | +66.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | 9 of 18 | +9.0% | +24.2% | +23.4% | −2.7% | +1.2% | +20.2% | +59.2% | +25.3% | +47.7% | +6.9% | +13.8% | +3.7% | +70.7% | +32.1% | +66.7% | −12.2% | +79.8% | −33.4% |
| V Visa Inc. | 8 of 17 | +11.8% | +22.3% | +26.3% | −3.4% | −0.3% | +17.1% | +43.3% | +16.5% | +47.2% | +1.4% | +19.1% | +18.7% | +48.0% | +50.5% | +45.4% | −18.9% | +68.0% | — |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 6 of 18 | +42.7% | +44.8% | +7.7% | −36.5% | +33.8% | +41.2% | +30.6% | −25.6% | +27.1% | +8.1% | +16.3% | +2.3% | +7.6% | +68.0% | +9.0% | +18.3% | +68.2% | −57.9% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 8 of 18 | +5.2% | +44.4% | +80.9% | −49.6% | +2.4% | +76.3% | +23.0% | +28.4% | +56.0% | +10.9% | +118% | −22.2% | +59.0% | +45.0% | −3.9% | +33.7% | +163% | −44.7% |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 7 of 18 | +24.5% | +74.0% | +12.9% | −0.5% | +1.9% | +23.4% | +30.1% | −3.4% | +46.6% | +16.1% | −26.6% | +11.8% | +18.2% | +17.1% | +13.8% | +3.1% | −2.5% | +20.0% |
| W Wayfair Inc. | 5 of 11 | +127% | −28.2% | +87.6% | −82.7% | −15.9% | +150% | +0.3% | +12.2% | +129% | −26.4% | +140% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. | 1 of 7 | +61.0% | −49.8% | +42.7% | −66.7% | −53.9% | +66.5% | +82.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 7 of 18 | +26.8% | −32.0% | +70.1% | +2.9% | +4.0% | −17.8% | +11.7% | −6.9% | +25.1% | −16.2% | +6.5% | −10.1% | +0.4% | +46.8% | +26.9% | +18.3% | +60.6% | −20.2% |
| NU Nu Holdings Ltd. | 3 of 4 | +61.6% | +24.4% | +105% | −56.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SE Sea Limited | 5 of 8 | +20.2% | +162% | −22.2% | −76.7% | +12.4% | +395% | +255% | −15.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ETSY Etsy, Inc. | 4 of 10 | +4.8% | −34.7% | −32.3% | −45.3% | +23.1% | +302% | −6.9% | +133% | +73.6% | +42.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | 1 of 4 | +31.5% | −36.3% | +13.6% | −56.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | 3 of 7 | +85.7% | −55.8% | +90.9% | −44.0% | −79.9% | +110% | +116% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | 3 of 11 | −69.5% | −9.9% | +41.5% | −46.5% | +44.3% | +105% | +88.3% | +21.2% | +39.3% | −11.1% | +140% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −1.3% | +41.7% | −36.3% | −37.1% | −34.4% | +210% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JD JD.com, Inc. | 3 of 11 | −14.9% | +23.5% | −47.8% | −17.9% | −20.3% | +149% | +68.3% | −49.5% | +62.9% | −21.2% | +39.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited | 3 of 11 | +75.8% | +11.8% | −10.8% | −25.9% | −49.0% | +9.7% | +54.7% | −20.5% | +96.4% | +8.1% | −21.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited | 5 of 13 | +36.3% | −22.2% | +30.3% | +62.3% | −70.1% | +98.4% | +160% | −53.4% | +6.4% | −27.9% | −21.9% | +134% | +370% | — | — | — | — | — |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | 1 of 4 | +7.3% | +35.8% | +10.1% | −49.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PDD PDD Holdings Inc. | 2 of 7 | +16.9% | −33.7% | +79.4% | +39.9% | −67.2% | +370% | +68.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How MELI has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were MELI's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents MELI's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2007, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: MELI began trading on August 10, 2007, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of MELI's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: MELI fell 69.1% from January 2021 to June 2022, while the S&P 500 slipped only 2.9%.
- The slowest recovery came after MELI fell 89.5% from December 2007 to November 2008; it did not regain that peak until March 2011, two years later.
Green means MELI fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | MELI fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −89.5% | −48.0% | Dec 2007 | Nov 2008 | 11 months | Mar 2011 | 2.3 years |
| 2022 bear market | −69.1% | −2.9% | Jan 2021 | Jun 2022 | 17 months | Aug 2024 | 2.2 years |
| 2011 euro debt crisis | −46.2% | −18.5% | May 2011 | Oct 2011 | 5 months | Dec 2011 | 2 months |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −43.5% | −10.8% | May 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 months | Jul 2016 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −43.5% | +8.6% | Oct 2013 | May 2014 | 7 months | Apr 2015 | 11 months |
How did MELI do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far MELI, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: MELI began trading on August 10, 2007, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- MELI fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when MELI fell 89.5% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- Among its popular alternatives, BABA held up best, falling less than MELI in all six crashes they both traded through.
- MELI began trading after the dot-com bust, but four of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was WMT's 31.8%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than MELI.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI This pageMercadoLibre, Inc. | — | −7.2% | −51.6% | −39.1% | −30.3% | −8.8% | −31.9% | −39.5% | 0.0% | −89.5% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 3 of 6 | −5.1% | −79.0% | −40.7% | −27.6% | −5.4% | −49.2% | — | — | — | — |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | 7 of 9 | −4.0% | −28.2% | −41.0% | −21.9% | −5.8% | −20.4% | −13.8% | −3.1% | −62.7% | — |
| V Visa Inc. | 7 of 8 | −3.5% | −24.1% | −36.4% | −19.1% | −5.8% | −15.8% | −11.5% | −0.8% | — | — |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 8 of 9 | −6.6% | −44.2% | −31.6% | −23.2% | −7.4% | −25.6% | −21.8% | −3.5% | −74.7% | −77.1% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 7 of 9 | −3.4% | −39.6% | −22.7% | −33.2% | −7.1% | −30.6% | −20.7% | −2.9% | −65.3% | −91.8% |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 8 of 9 | −0.8% | −25.7% | −13.1% | −18.3% | −4.9% | −22.3% | −10.5% | −1.5% | −26.2% | −31.8% |
| W Wayfair Inc. | 1 of 6 | −15.8% | −83.8% | −71.4% | −45.5% | −3.3% | −40.5% | — | — | — | — |
| PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. | 1 of 5 | −12.8% | −60.9% | −59.7% | −44.9% | −0.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 7 of 9 | −3.9% | −28.7% | −39.6% | −18.2% | −8.2% | −16.4% | −16.0% | −0.5% | −61.0% | −48.5% |
| NU Nu Holdings Ltd. | 0 of 2 | −10.0% | −67.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SE Sea Limited | 2 of 5 | −8.0% | −73.3% | −27.7% | −26.4% | −8.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| ETSY Etsy, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −8.4% | −65.7% | −49.3% | −25.1% | −5.6% | −63.3% | — | — | — | — |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | 0 of 2 | −8.8% | −54.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | 0 of 3 | −10.2% | −59.0% | −55.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | 3 of 6 | −9.3% | −40.5% | −45.5% | −20.4% | −4.9% | −38.5% | — | — | — | — |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | 2 of 3 | −3.7% | −57.1% | −26.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JD JD.com, Inc. | 5 of 6 | −14.6% | −45.1% | −21.0% | −27.3% | −8.2% | −29.9% | — | — | — | — |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited | 6 of 6 | −4.7% | −45.1% | −20.6% | −20.7% | −7.3% | −29.1% | — | — | — | — |
| VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited | 4 of 6 | −2.7% | −42.0% | −22.7% | −31.3% | −4.2% | −51.2% | — | — | — | — |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −7.3% | −64.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PDD PDD Holdings Inc. | 1 of 4 | −7.9% | −61.4% | −15.7% | −38.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does MELI move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares MELI with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, MELI captured 135% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 111% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.44. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
- Only WMT had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than MELI's 1.21, out of 13 popular alternatives with the same record.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than MELI's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI This pageMercadoLibre, Inc. | 135% | 111% | 1.21 | 1.44 |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 74% | 36% | 2.08 | 0.53 |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | 105% | 88% | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| V Visa Inc. | 93% | 79% | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 233% | 203% | 1.15 | 2.09 |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 134% | 139% | 0.96 | 1.31 |
| ETSY Etsy, Inc. | 133% | 148% | 0.90 | 1.76 |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 113% | 133% | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 50% | 63% | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| W Wayfair Inc. | 230% | 356% | 0.65 | 3.06 |
| JD JD.com, Inc. | 51% | 92% | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited | 74% | 140% | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | 91% | 188% | 0.48 | 1.16 |
| VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited | 39% | 81% | 0.48 | 0.63 |
What diversifies MELI?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with MELI's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing MELI with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in MELI into DXJ would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+0.6% for MELI alone, +6.8% for the mix).
- FIX made money in five of the six calendar years in which MELI lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of MELI over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.30 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which MELI lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% MELI and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2015 | 2012 | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI MercadoLibre, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +17.2% | 0.31 | −37.2% | −19.5% | −6.9% | −10.1% | −0.7% | −77.8% | 42.5% | +0.6% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.30 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | +17.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | 34.6% | +4.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.14 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +18.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +19.6% | −20.8% | 34.4% | +6.8% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.29 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | +23.1% | −8.7% | −25.3% | — | — | 34.9% | +4.7% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.29 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | +19.6% | −3.0% | −0.3% | +9.6% | — | 34.9% | +4.0% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +42.1% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +8.6% | −44.7% | 36.6% | +8.9% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.46 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | +19.6% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +20.9% | — | 35.1% | +4.2% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.15 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −4.2% | −1.9% | −10.7% | +6.6% | +4.9% | 34.7% | +5.4% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.30 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +22.7% | −0.9% | — | — | — | 35.5% | +5.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2015 | 2012 | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI MercadoLibre, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +17.2% | 0.31 | −37.2% | −19.5% | −6.9% | −10.1% | −0.7% | −77.8% | 42.5% | +0.6% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.32 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −0.4% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +3.8% | −39.6% | 36.0% | +8.6% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.20 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | +37.9% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +11.2% | −20.5% | 38.1% | +20.5% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.14 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +89.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | +15.7% | −15.2% | 36.3% | +17.0% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.03 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +44.2% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +25.6% | −40.4% | 34.5% | +8.6% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.20 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | +61.0% | −8.2% | +17.4% | +94.3% | — | 35.8% | +10.7% |
Common questions
What was MELI's worst drawdown?
MELI's deepest decline since it began trading in 2007 was 89.5%, from December 2007 to November 2008. It took 28 months from the low to climb back to its old high. Because MELI launched in August 2007, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were MELI's best and worst years?
Over 18 full calendar years, MELI's best year was 2009, when it returned 216%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -77.8%.
Is there a better investment than MELI?
Among MELI's popular alternatives, WMT, AMZN and V earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years. WMT returned 20.8% a year at 22.6% volatility, against 3.2% a year at 49.5%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, AAPL (digital payments theme) and MSFT (software) earned more than MELI with less volatility over the past 5 years. AAPL returned 18.5% a year at 28.0% volatility, against 3.2% a year at 49.5%.
Is MELI more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. MELI's volatility over the past 5 years was 49.5%, 2.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MELI's return lands within 49.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is MELI's Sharpe ratio?
MELI's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.31, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MELI earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is MELI with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, MELI's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.48 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MELI instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MELI holding.
What are the best alternatives to MELI?
Of the 21 popular alternatives we compared, six outperformed MELI in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: SHOP, MA and V.
Did MELI outperform the S&P 500?
MELI finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 11 of 18 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +18.5%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did MELI do in stock market crashes?
MELI fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in one of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when MELI fell 89.5% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies MELI?
These had a low correlation with MELI over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.30), DXJ (correlation 0.14) and EMLP (correlation 0.29); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.32), CLS (correlation 0.20) and FIX (correlation 0.14). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than MELI's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of MELI's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to MELI
SHOPShopify
MAMastercard
VVisa
EBAYeBay
AMZNAmazon.com
WMTWalmart
FMXFomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.
NUNu
SESea
BABAAlibaba Group Holding
PDDPDD