Relative Intelligence · Gold Mining

How Newmont (NEM) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on NEM alone. It places NEM (Newmont Corporation) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where NEM stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: NEM's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, NEM rose 31.2% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its gold mining peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from BTG (B2Gold, up 42.9%) to B (Barrick Mining, up 16.3%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?NEM's 31.2% gain over the past 3 months is part of a broader gold mining rally: the gold mining ETF GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) rose 21.7%, with AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines, up 36.9%) and B (Barrick Mining, up 16.3%). Its gold mining peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: BTG (B2Gold) rose 42.9%, while B rose 16.3%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsNEM has outpaced the market, rising 24.3% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (219% against 89.3%). On the flip side, NEM's 62.4% fall from April 2022 to February 2024 took 19 months to heal. the S&P 500 fell 19.0% over those same dates. By year ↓
- Long termNEM turned $10,000 into $40,400 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: NEM rose 135% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashIn the 2022 bear market, NEM fell 51.8%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines, 42.0%) but less than GFI (Gold Fields, 56.2%). NEM fell further than the S&P 500 in two of the last three sell-offs, including the 2022 bear market (51.8% against 24.5%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationNEM is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.20 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.20 with the total US market, less closely than 85% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Over 10 years NEM kept more of the market's gains than of its losses: 68% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 45% of its losses in falling ones, with a beta of 0.39. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals) and RGLD (Royal Gold) earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years. WPM returned 27.5% a year at 36.9% volatility, against 18.6% a year at 39.1%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- RS (Reliance Steel & Aluminum, metals & mining) and MOG-A (Moog, aerospace & defense) earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years. RS returned 24.8% a year at 28.1% volatility, against 18.6% a year at 39.1%.
- Whole market
- 178 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them LLY (Eli Lilly and Company), WMT (Walmart) and XOM (Exxonmobil).
How much would $10,000 in NEM have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in NEM over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of NEM over the same span and NEM's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in NEM at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $39,676 by September 2026, less than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Six of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of NEM, and RGLD finished highest, at $370,307.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 797 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of NEM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- RGLD$370,307+3,603% total · +13.3% a year
- AEM$246,326+2,363% total · +11.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- GFI$104,383+944% total · +8.4% a year
- FCX$86,132+761% total · +7.7% a year
- SSRM$78,965+690% total · +7.4% a year
- HMY$57,466+475% total · +6.2% a year
- NEM$39,676+297% total · +4.9% a year
- KGC$17,226+72.3% total · +1.9% a year
- CDE$1,080−89.2% total · −7.4% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 536 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of NEM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- IAG$81,461+715% total · +52.1% a year
- AU$67,300+573% total · +46.4% a year
- GFI$52,960+430% total · +39.6% a year
- KGC$48,945+389% total · +37.4% a year
- AGI$46,673+367% total · +36.1% a year
- AEM$39,659+297% total · +31.7% a year
- WPM$37,572+276% total · +30.3% a year
- RGLD$26,119+161% total · +21.2% a year
- NEM$24,375+144% total · +19.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
NEM at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- NEM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 78.0%, from May 1996 to October 2000. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, NEM's best was 2025, when it returned 173%, and its worst was 2013, when it lost 48.5%. It lost money in 15 of those years.
- NEM is 13.4% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $123B
- Industry
- Gold
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +24.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +219%+47.2% a year
- Past 5 years
- +135%+18.6% a year
- Past 10 years
- +304%+15.0% a year
- Best calendar year
- +173%2025
- Worst calendar year
- −48.5%2013
- Losing years
- 15 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 39.1%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.63return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −78.0%May 1996 to Oct 2000
- From its all-time high
- −13.4%below the peak
NEM against the whole market
Where NEM ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does NEM rank among all stocks?
This section ranks NEM on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how NEM stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- NEM's 3-year return ranks in the top 12% of the 3,017 stocks worth at least $300 million with 3 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | NEM | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +24.3% | 1,129 of 3,287 | top 34% |
| 3-year return | +219% | 351 of 3,017 | top 12% |
| 5-year return | +135% | 510 of 2,893 | top 18% |
| 10-year return | +304% | 577 of 2,202 | top 26% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 39.1% | 1,403 of 2,893 | top 48% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.63 | 600 of 2,893 | top 21% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −62.4% | 976 of 2,187 | top 45% |
What has beaten NEM on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). NEM sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than NEM with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 158 stocks and 20 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than NEM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 5% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half NEM's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 37% less than NEM's 39.1%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.63 for NEM. MPC earned the most, 51.2% a year, while still swinging less than NEM (33.4% against 39.1%).
- Among NEM's popular alternatives, WPM and RGLD are in the region. WPM earned 27.5% a year against 18.6% a year for NEM, at 36.9% volatility, 6% less than NEM's 39.1%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to NEM; faint dots are 90 more of the 178 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than NEM?
Investments that beat NEM over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among NEM's popular alternatives, WPM and RGLD earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years. WPM returned 27.5% a year at 36.9% volatility, against 18.6% a year at 39.1%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RS (metals & mining) and MOG-A (aerospace & defense) earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years. RS returned 24.8% a year at 28.1% volatility, against 18.6% a year at 39.1%.
- Across the whole market, 178 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them LLY, WMT and XOM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat NEM over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks NEM's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than NEM follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than NEM's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× NEM's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than NEM's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with NEM?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +18.6% | 39.1% | 0.63 | −62.4% | +304% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.20 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against NEM. 6 of 20 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +27.5% | 36.9% | 0.85 | −46.7% | +510% | 0.83 | — | ||
RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc. · Gold Mining | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +20.6% | 32.4% | 0.74 | −49.5% | +282% | 0.77 | — | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.73 | 0.40% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +29.5% | 38.4% | 0.87 | −54.2% | +352% | 0.84 | — | ||
GFIGold Fields Limited · Gold Mining | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +35.5% | 53.4% | 0.84 | −56.2% | +1,008% | 0.66 | — | |
AGIAlamos Gold Inc. · Gold Mining | Higher return, similar volatility | +32.6% | 42.4% | 0.88 | −66.1% | +294% | 0.67 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Gold Mining and Metals & Mining and the categories next to it (Gold, Silver, Aerospace & Defense), plus NEM's specific themes. 22 of 71 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.05 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +32.0% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | +1,017% | 0.57 | — | ||
MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.20 | — | |
ATIATI Inc. · Metals & Mining | On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +61.8% | 42.9% | 1.34 | −82.4% | +929% | 0.25 | — | |
ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | 0.12 | — | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.26 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 351 of 3,542 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.01 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.06 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.24 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.15 | 0.48% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.11 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.15 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.11 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.4% | 26.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | +767% | 0.05 | 0.08% | ||
What these numbers mean for NEM
- Annual return
- NEM returned 18.6% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $23,500. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- NEM's volatility over the past 5 years was 39.1%, 2.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, NEM's return lands within 39.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- NEM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.63, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so NEM earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- NEM's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 62.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 62.4% fall takes a 166% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, NEM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.20 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against NEM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a NEM holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 178 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than NEM with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with NEM | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.01 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.06 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.24 | — | |
| 4 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.15 | 0.48% |
| 5 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.11 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.15 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.07 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.14 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.07 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.15 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.14 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | -0.10 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.08 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.05 | 0.35% | |
| 15 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.16 | — |
| 16 | SNXTD Synnex Corp · Technology Distribution | Whole market | +20.3% | 30.4% | 0.76 | −55.8% | +430% | 0.16 | — |
| 17 | EXELExelixis, Inc. · Biotechnology | Whole market | +24.4% | 35.8% | 0.79 | −57.2% | +448% | 0.14 | — |
| 18 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.14 | — | |
| 19 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.28 | 0.59% |
| 20 | MUSAMurphy USA Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +26.1% | 31.2% | 0.90 | −35.5% | +706% | -0.22 | — |
| 21 | FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc · Consumer Finance | Whole market | +20.6% | 30.5% | 0.77 | −50.2% | +422% | 0.25 | — |
| 22 | VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +28.1% | 35.0% | 0.89 | −45.2% | — | 0.06 | — |
| 23 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.22 | — |
| 24 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Same or nearby category | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.05 | — |
| 25 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.07 | — | |
| 26 | DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P. · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Whole market | +21.1% | 29.1% | 0.81 | −56.8% | +435% | 0.01 | — |
| 27 | NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +32.5% | 36.2% | 0.96 | −46.5% | +682% | 0.02 | — |
| 28 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.13 | 0.45% |
| 29 | SENEASeneca Foods Corporation · Packaged Foods | Whole market | +25.2% | 36.4% | 0.81 | −51.3% | +455% | 0.10 | — |
| 30 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.58 | 0.59% |
| 31 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.32 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +31.7% | 33.9% | 0.99 | −73.8% | +332% | 0.37 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +38.7% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | +542% | 0.25 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.23 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.13 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.09 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +25.4% | 30.4% | 0.90 | −59.8% | +374% | 0.27 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.20 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +26.5% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | +433% | 0.25 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.00 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +24.7% | 31.1% | 0.87 | −74.4% | +339% | 0.28 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.31 | — | |
| 43 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.07 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.12 | — | |
| 45 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.31 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +23.4% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | +616% | 0.05 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.34 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.25 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.15 | — | |
| 50 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.13 | — |
| 51 | Whole market | +25.3% | 34.4% | 0.83 | −64.1% | +390% | 0.40 | — | |
| 52 | Whole market | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.03 | — | |
| 53 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.02 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +20.9% | 35.3% | 0.71 | −58.1% | +691% | 0.08 | — | |
| 55 | CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Whole market | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.29 | — |
| 56 | Whole market | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.08 | — | |
| 57 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.12 | — | |
| 58 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.01 | — |
| 59 | Whole market | +22.6% | 29.1% | 0.85 | −41.6% | +521% | 0.31 | — | |
| 60 | Whole market | +20.4% | 32.1% | 0.74 | −44.5% | +657% | -0.08 | — | |
| 61 | USFDUS Foods Holding Corp. · Food Distribution | Whole market | +22.7% | 29.8% | 0.84 | −77.3% | +347% | 0.14 | — |
| 62 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.07 | — | |
| 63 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.34 | — | |
| 64 | CLHClean Harbors, Inc. · Environmental Services | Whole market | +23.1% | 28.6% | 0.88 | −64.5% | +588% | 0.21 | — |
| 65 | AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Distribution | Whole market | +28.5% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | +742% | 0.05 | — |
| 66 | Whole market | +19.9% | 29.0% | 0.77 | −44.0% | +444% | 0.06 | — | |
| 67 | EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | -0.13 | — |
| 68 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.18 | — | |
| 69 | RRyder System, Inc. · Freight & Logistics | Whole market | +25.1% | 32.6% | 0.85 | −72.3% | +407% | 0.16 | — |
| 70 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.08 | — |
| 71 | IRMIron Mountain Incorporated · Specialty REITs | Whole market | +24.6% | 30.3% | 0.88 | −39.0% | +470% | 0.22 | — |
| 72 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.80% |
| 73 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.10 | — |
| 74 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.30 | — |
| 75 | MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Same or nearby category | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.20 | — |
| 76 | RLRalph Lauren Corporation · Apparel & Footwear | Whole market | +28.6% | 36.9% | 0.87 | −55.1% | +370% | -0.02 | — |
| 77 | HUBBHubbell Incorporated · Electrical Equipment | Whole market | +21.0% | 30.0% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +442% | -0.13 | — |
| 78 | WTWisdomTree, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +31.4% | 32.8% | 1.00 | −84.0% | +174% | 0.30 | — |
| 79 | VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +20.8% | 33.8% | 0.73 | −56.2% | +545% | 0.30 | — |
| 80 | UTHRUnited Therapeutics Corporation · Biotechnology | Whole market | +23.6% | 35.1% | 0.78 | −55.6% | +390% | 0.11 | — |
| 81 | MLIMueller Industries, Inc. · Metal Fabrication | Whole market | +38.9% | 33.4% | 1.16 | −53.0% | +800% | 0.02 | — |
| 82 | AAMIAcadian Asset Management · Asset Management | Whole market | +29.0% | 35.6% | 0.90 | −78.1% | +652% | 0.17 | — |
| 83 | APGAPi Group Corporation · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +23.0% | 31.9% | 0.81 | −49.6% | — | 0.14 | — |
| 84 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.11 | — |
| 85 | DCODucommun Incorporated · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +27.5% | 34.5% | 0.88 | −70.8% | +706% | 0.30 | — |
| 86 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | 0.16 | — |
| 87 | EZPWEZCORP, Inc. · Financial - Credit Services | Whole market | +33.2% | 35.4% | 0.99 | −76.6% | +202% | 0.18 | — |
| 88 | DACDanaos Corporation · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +20.6% | 32.0% | 0.75 | −94.6% | +449% | 0.21 | — |
| 89 | ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. · Auto Parts | Whole market | +27.3% | 29.9% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +367% | 0.12 | — |
| 90 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.30 | — |
| 91 | ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Same or nearby category | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | 0.12 | — |
| 92 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.11 | — |
| 93 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.23 | — |
| 94 | FSSFederal Signal Corporation · Industrial Machinery | Whole market | +23.3% | 31.7% | 0.82 | −33.0% | +882% | 0.00 | — |
| 95 | ACAArcosa, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +23.1% | 34.0% | 0.78 | −36.8% | — | 0.08 | — |
| 96 | ESEESCO Technologies Inc. · Electronic Instruments | Whole market | +24.2% | 31.1% | 0.85 | −46.0% | +473% | 0.05 | — |
| 97 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Same or nearby category | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.03 | — |
| 98 | GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +19.8% | 34.7% | 0.70 | −86.5% | +442% | 0.23 | — |
| 99 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.27 | 0.19% |
| 100 | QTUMDefiance Quantum ETF · Technology | Whole market | +22.8% | 28.1% | 0.87 | −38.5% | — | 0.07 | 0.40% |
NEM against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against NEM, compared period by period and year by year.
How do NEM's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at NEM, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Four of the 20 popular alternatives, led by AEM, WPM and RGLD, were both more rewarding and calmer than NEM over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, NEM returned 18.6% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (39.1% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than NEM with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | +43.9% | 60.9% |
| AU AngloGold Ashanti Plc | +40.4% | 49.9% |
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | +36.0% | 59.3% |
| GFI Gold Fields Limited | +35.5% | 53.4% |
| KGC Kinross Gold Corporation | +32.7% | 45.6% |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | +32.6% | 42.4% |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | +30.0% | 47.7% |
| AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited | +29.5% | 38.4% |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | +27.5% | 36.9% |
| RGLD Royal Gold, Inc. | +20.6% | 32.4% |
| B Barrick Mining Corporation | +18.9% | 37.3% |
| NEM This pageNewmont Corporation | +18.6% | 39.1% |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | +18.3% | 69.4% |
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares | +17.7% | 18.9% |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | +15.2% | 57.5% |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | +13.7% | 44.9% |
| PAAS Pan American Silver Corp. | +13.6% | 48.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation | +12.5% | 31.3% |
| BTG B2Gold Corp. | +8.3% | 46.3% |
| EQX Equinox Gold Corp. | +7.3% | 58.2% |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | +4.8% | 62.8% |
Has NEM consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares NEM with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than NEM helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 20 popular alternatives outperformed NEM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was AU.
- GLD, AEM and WPM earned more for the risk they took than NEM (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
- AEM outperformed NEM over all three long-term periods but in only one of the five short-term ones, so NEM has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than NEM over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| NEM Newmont Corporation (this page) | — | −5.1% | +31.2% | +2.2% | +16.1% | +24.3% | +219% | +135% | +304% | 39.1% | 0.63 | −62.4% | — | $123B | — |
| AU GoldAngloGold Ashanti Plc | 1/5 short3/3 long | −10.9% | +22.1% | −13.1% | +9.9% | +26.2% | +416% | +445% | +681% | 49.9% | 0.93 | −66.3% | — | $46B | — |
| AEM GoldAgnico Eagle Mines Limited | 1/5 short3/3 long | −5.7% | +36.9% | −13.5% | +10.0% | +5.3% | +293% | +264% | +352% | 38.4% | 0.87 | −54.2% | — | $94B | — |
| IAG GoldIamgold Corporation | 1/5 short3/3 long | −11.8% | +27.2% | −4.1% | +9.5% | +29.9% | +637% | +517% | +343% | 60.9% | 0.90 | −86.4% | — | $10B | — |
| KGC GoldKinross Gold Corporation | 0/5 short3/3 long | −14.9% | +5.1% | −31.7% | −16.1% | −8.3% | +356% | +311% | +572% | 45.6% | 0.85 | −67.9% | — | $28B | — |
| HMY GoldHarmony Gold Mining Company Limited | 0/5 short3/3 long | −9.6% | +19.9% | −4.4% | −10.4% | −13.2% | +265% | +366% | +504% | 59.3% | 0.82 | −71.1% | — | $11B | — |
| WPM GoldWheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 1/5 short2/3 long | −11.1% | +27.0% | −11.8% | +11.8% | +25.2% | +212% | +236% | +510% | 36.9% | 0.85 | −46.7% | — | $60B | — |
| EGO GoldEldorado Gold Corporation | 1/5 short2/3 long | −17.0% | +27.0% | +5.2% | −0.1% | +23.1% | +247% | +271% | +89.1% | 47.7% | 0.79 | −86.2% | — | $9.2B | — |
| GFI GoldGold Fields Limited | 0/5 short2/3 long | −13.7% | +18.6% | −24.0% | −12.6% | −13.0% | +187% | +356% | +1,008% | 53.4% | 0.84 | −56.2% | — | $32B | — |
| FCX CopperFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −4.3% | +17.4% | −1.4% | +33.9% | +64.8% | +111% | +89.6% | +650% | 44.9% | 0.51 | −72.6% | — | $99B | — |
| RGLD GoldRoyal Gold, Inc. | 1/5 short1/3 long | −4.3% | +27.7% | −9.4% | +8.7% | +24.0% | +124% | +155% | +282% | 32.4% | 0.74 | −49.5% | — | $20B | — |
| AGI GoldAlamos Gold Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −9.6% | +13.1% | −34.8% | −16.9% | −9.3% | +154% | +310% | +294% | 42.4% | 0.88 | −66.1% | — | $13B | — |
| CDE GoldCoeur Mining, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −22.5% | +6.9% | −23.4% | −13.7% | −31.3% | +480% | +131% | +33.9% | 69.4% | 0.59 | −83.3% | — | $16B | — |
| BTG GoldB2Gold Corp. | 4/5 short0/3 long | −3.0% | +42.9% | +6.1% | +16.9% | −7.3% | +72.8% | +49.0% | +139% | 46.3% | 0.40 | −63.2% | — | $6.9B | — |
| SSRM GoldSSR Mining Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −14.6% | +24.9% | −1.9% | +45.4% | +28.2% | +123% | +103% | +191% | 57.5% | 0.56 | −83.1% | — | $6.4B | — |
| FNV GoldFranco-Nevada Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −7.9% | +20.7% | −6.2% | +16.2% | +18.4% | +78.8% | +79.9% | +303% | 31.3% | 0.53 | −37.1% | — | $47B | — |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.6% | −5.2% | −6.3% | +106% | +126% | +213% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | 0.40% | $143B | — |
| PAAS GoldPan American Silver Corp. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −9.1% | +5.3% | −24.0% | −12.4% | +13.9% | +205% | +89.0% | +202% | 48.9% | 0.51 | −66.7% | — | $18B | — |
| B GoldBarrick Mining Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.3% | +16.3% | −5.1% | −6.8% | +18.8% | +156% | +138% | +194% | 37.3% | 0.65 | −53.9% | — | $67B | — |
| AG SilverFirst Majestic Silver Corp. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −17.2% | +0.9% | −25.5% | −0.2% | +11.7% | +189% | +26.1% | +93.8% | 62.8% | 0.39 | −80.8% | — | $7.9B | — |
| EQX GoldEquinox Gold Corp. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −9.0% | +27.6% | −27.9% | −18.9% | −9.0% | +144% | +42.2% | — | 58.2% | 0.41 | −81.0% | — | $13B | — |
How did NEM do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where NEM ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with NEM and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, NEM finished in the top quarter in two of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in five. In 2025, it ranked 10 of 21.
- NEM finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 11 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, WPM came out ahead of NEM most often, in 13 of the 20 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of NEM; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places NEM among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of NEM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM This pageNewmont Corporation | — | +173% | −7.8% | −8.8% | −20.8% | +7.4% | +40.3% | +30.5% | −6.2% | +10.9% | +90.1% | −4.4% | −17.2% | −48.5% | −20.4% | −0.6% | +31.0% | +17.3% | −15.9% | +9.1% | −14.8% | +21.4% | −8.1% | +68.2% | +52.6% | +12.7% | −29.9% | +35.0% | −37.7% | −34.1% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 2 of 29 | 10 of 21 | 16 of 21 | 18 of 21 | 16 of 21 | 4 of 21 | 9 of 21 | 18 of 21 | 9 of 20 | 10 of 20 | 10 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 8 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 16 of 20 | 6 of 20 | 12 of 20 | 15 of 20 | 10 of 19 | 10 of 18 | 17 of 17 | 11 of 16 | 8 of 15 | 5 of 12 | 9 of 12 | 10 of 12 | 7 of 12 | 6 of 12 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 12 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 17 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| AU AngloGold Ashanti Plc | 12 of 28 | +288% | +25.5% | −2.7% | −5.1% | −4.9% | +1.9% | +78.8% | +24.1% | −2.2% | +48.1% | −18.4% | −25.8% | −62.4% | −24.9% | −13.1% | +23.1% | +45.6% | −32.0% | −8.0% | −3.7% | +38.0% | −20.6% | +41.9% | +99.8% | +28.1% | −38.2% | +39.8% | — | −37.9% |
| AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited | 17 of 29 | +120% | +46.0% | +9.0% | +1.1% | −22.8% | +16.2% | +54.2% | −11.5% | +10.5% | +61.2% | +6.8% | −4.7% | −48.3% | +47.1% | −52.1% | +42.5% | +5.6% | −5.8% | +32.9% | +109% | +43.9% | +14.2% | −18.6% | +50.8% | +65.0% | −19.2% | +82.3% | −23.1% | −61.3% |
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | 9 of 22 | +220% | +104% | −1.9% | −17.6% | −14.7% | −1.6% | +1.4% | −36.9% | +51.4% | +171% | −47.4% | −18.9% | −70.1% | −26.0% | −9.8% | +14.3% | +157% | −23.8% | −7.3% | +13.4% | +18.6% | −3.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KGC Kinross Gold Corporation | 14 of 29 | +206% | +55.5% | +51.8% | −27.6% | −19.3% | +55.9% | +46.4% | −25.0% | +39.1% | +71.2% | −35.6% | −35.6% | −54.6% | −13.3% | −39.5% | +3.6% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +54.9% | +28.9% | +31.0% | −12.0% | +8.7% | +223% | +51.2% | −73.3% | −18.8% | −32.7% | −51.7% |
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | 14 of 29 | +145% | +35.3% | +82.8% | −16.5% | −10.3% | +29.0% | +102% | −4.2% | −12.6% | +140% | −50.9% | −25.0% | −71.5% | −22.1% | −6.6% | +24.0% | −6.8% | +6.5% | −34.6% | +20.7% | +40.8% | −42.5% | −1.1% | +168% | +43.3% | −23.5% | +36.1% | +111% | −71.4% |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 13 of 20 | +111% | +15.2% | +27.9% | −7.6% | +4.2% | +41.8% | +54.7% | −10.0% | +16.1% | +57.1% | −38.2% | +1.9% | −43.0% | +25.9% | −25.4% | +160% | +131% | −61.8% | +61.9% | +80.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | 11 of 22 | +142% | +14.6% | +55.2% | −10.7% | −29.5% | +65.2% | +179% | −59.8% | −55.4% | +8.4% | −51.0% | +7.1% | −55.3% | −5.0% | −25.7% | +31.4% | +78.3% | +37.0% | +7.4% | +10.2% | +66.0% | −8.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GFI Gold Fields Limited | 18 of 29 | +240% | −6.2% | +44.8% | −2.7% | +23.4% | +42.9% | +89.8% | −16.9% | +46.3% | +9.7% | −38.6% | +42.8% | −70.0% | −15.2% | −14.6% | +40.1% | +33.4% | −28.3% | −23.7% | +8.4% | +42.9% | −9.8% | +2.3% | +198% | +44.8% | −22.5% | +16.2% | −39.2% | −32.5% |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 18 of 29 | +35.4% | −9.4% | +13.7% | −7.3% | +61.4% | +99.1% | +29.6% | −45.1% | +43.8% | +94.9% | −70.2% | −35.8% | +19.9% | −4.0% | −36.9% | +52.7% | +228% | −75.5% | +86.9% | +11.6% | +49.1% | −6.6% | +154% | +25.5% | +56.5% | −59.5% | +102% | −32.9% | −45.6% |
| RGLD Royal Gold, Inc. | 17 of 29 | +70.4% | +10.4% | +8.7% | +8.5% | 0.0% | −12.1% | +44.3% | +5.5% | +31.3% | +76.7% | −41.1% | +37.8% | −42.3% | +21.6% | +24.4% | +16.7% | −3.6% | +62.9% | −14.4% | +4.3% | +92.3% | −12.2% | −15.7% | +384% | +82.3% | −19.1% | 0.0% | −23.6% | −64.5% |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 14 of 22 | +110% | +37.8% | +34.3% | +32.9% | −11.0% | +46.6% | +68.4% | −44.5% | −4.7% | +109% | −53.6% | −39.9% | −30.0% | +4.5% | −10.2% | +60.1% | +75.7% | +23.4% | −33.7% | +50.7% | +84.4% | +44.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 11 of 29 | +212% | +75.1% | −3.0% | −33.2% | −51.3% | +28.1% | +80.9% | −40.5% | −17.5% | +266% | −51.4% | −52.9% | −55.9% | +1.9% | −11.7% | +51.3% | +105% | −82.2% | −0.2% | +23.7% | +1.8% | −32.0% | +201% | +140% | −14.6% | −72.7% | −25.7% | −48.3% | −40.4% |
| BTG B2Gold Corp. | 11 of 17 | +89.0% | −18.1% | −7.4% | −5.2% | −27.0% | +42.5% | +37.6% | −5.8% | +30.6% | +133% | −37.1% | −19.6% | −43.6% | +16.2% | +13.7% | +131% | +225% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | 17 of 29 | +215% | −35.4% | −29.9% | −10.0% | −10.9% | +4.4% | +59.3% | +37.6% | −1.5% | +72.2% | +3.4% | −28.0% | −53.3% | +7.8% | −51.0% | +29.0% | +37.3% | −56.4% | +18.8% | +100% | +26.9% | +8.3% | +109% | +102% | +98.4% | +1.6% | +68.2% | −84.4% | +17.8% |
| FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation | 11 of 18 | +77.8% | +7.4% | −17.9% | −0.4% | +11.3% | +22.3% | +48.9% | −11.0% | +35.5% | +32.4% | −5.3% | +22.6% | −27.6% | +51.8% | +15.3% | +24.9% | +56.8% | +15.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 13 of 21 | +63.7% | +26.7% | +12.7% | −0.8% | −4.2% | +24.8% | +17.9% | −1.9% | +12.8% | +8.0% | −10.7% | −2.2% | −28.3% | +6.6% | +9.6% | +29.3% | +24.0% | +4.9% | +30.4% | +22.6% | +17.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PAAS Pan American Silver Corp. | 17 of 29 | +160% | +26.6% | +2.6% | −33.0% | −26.8% | +46.8% | +63.9% | −5.2% | +3.7% | +133% | −27.2% | −18.2% | −35.1% | −13.3% | −46.9% | +73.7% | +39.5% | −51.1% | +38.8% | +33.6% | +17.8% | +11.7% | +82.5% | +87.2% | +59.2% | −50.5% | +6.3% | −51.2% | +67.3% |
| B Barrick Mining Corporation | 13 of 29 | +187% | −12.3% | +7.9% | −6.2% | −13.4% | +24.2% | +40.1% | −5.6% | −8.6% | +118% | −30.6% | −38.2% | −48.5% | −21.1% | −14.0% | +36.7% | +8.9% | −10.8% | +38.2% | +11.0% | +16.0% | +7.8% | +49.0% | −1.5% | −1.5% | −6.3% | −8.4% | +5.8% | −34.8% |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | 8 of 19 | +204% | −10.6% | −25.9% | −24.7% | −17.3% | +9.7% | +108% | −12.6% | −11.7% | +133% | −34.8% | −48.8% | −51.4% | +19.9% | +16.0% | +268% | +117% | −61.0% | +11.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EQX Equinox Gold Corp. | 4 of 7 | +180% | +2.7% | +48.9% | −51.4% | −34.6% | +34.2% | +107% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How NEM has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were NEM's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents NEM's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of NEM's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: NEM fell 78.0% from May 1996 to October 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 117%.
- The slowest recovery came after NEM fell 58.8% from September to October 1987; it did not regain that peak until January 1996, eight years later.
Green means NEM fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | NEM fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −78.0% | +117% | May 1996 | Oct 2000 | 4.4 years | Jan 2006 | 5.3 years |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −76.6% | +66.5% | Nov 2011 | Sep 2015 | 3.8 years | Apr 2020 | 4.6 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −64.4% | −31.1% | Feb 2006 | Oct 2008 | 2.7 years | Jun 2010 | 20 months |
| 2022 bear market | −62.4% | +19.0% | Apr 2022 | Feb 2024 | 22 months | Sep 2025 | 19 months |
| No named crash | −58.8% | — | Sep 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 month | Jan 1996 | 8.3 years |
How did NEM do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far NEM, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, GLD held up best, falling less than NEM in eight of the nine crashes they both traded through.
- NEM fell further than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when NEM fell 51.8% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than NEM.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM This pageNewmont Corporation | — | −1.0% | −51.8% | −24.5% | −9.5% | −6.0% | −20.2% | −12.0% | −2.3% | −61.5% | −53.0% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| AU AngloGold Ashanti Plc | 3 of 10 | −0.3% | −51.7% | −37.1% | −10.7% | −9.4% | −36.9% | −15.3% | 0.0% | −71.5% | −50.6% |
| AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited | 4 of 10 | 0.0% | −42.0% | −31.6% | −11.6% | −6.4% | −20.2% | −18.9% | −0.4% | −72.9% | −42.4% |
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | 1 of 9 | −1.4% | −73.6% | −48.4% | −28.6% | −6.1% | −45.5% | −19.2% | −0.5% | −74.8% | — |
| KGC Kinross Gold Corporation | 2 of 10 | −1.2% | −49.9% | −41.7% | −18.4% | −5.2% | −40.7% | −21.8% | −2.1% | −71.4% | −75.8% |
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | 3 of 10 | 0.0% | −62.6% | −54.3% | −29.1% | −1.9% | −54.3% | −22.1% | −2.0% | −61.3% | −48.2% |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 3 of 9 | 0.0% | −43.3% | −28.7% | −14.8% | −10.0% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −86.8% | — |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | 1 of 9 | −1.2% | −57.7% | −52.8% | −40.5% | −7.3% | −49.9% | −24.4% | 0.0% | −69.3% | — |
| GFI Gold Fields Limited | 2 of 10 | 0.0% | −56.2% | −46.8% | −11.4% | −9.8% | −41.3% | −14.3% | −4.3% | −73.7% | −46.9% |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 2 of 10 | −7.2% | −51.3% | −56.1% | −32.8% | −8.4% | −72.2% | −46.7% | −2.1% | −86.4% | −51.4% |
| RGLD Royal Gold, Inc. | 4 of 10 | 0.0% | −40.7% | −36.8% | −9.8% | −7.5% | −54.7% | −22.8% | −2.4% | −41.7% | −39.3% |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 2 of 9 | −0.7% | −27.7% | −44.2% | −40.9% | −9.4% | −52.9% | −29.8% | −0.5% | −62.2% | — |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −1.4% | −51.7% | −59.3% | −34.4% | −12.3% | −56.0% | −30.5% | −1.9% | −93.0% | −83.2% |
| BTG B2Gold Corp. | 2 of 8 | −0.7% | −41.4% | −43.4% | −10.3% | −8.6% | −55.2% | −21.1% | 0.0% | — | — |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | 2 of 10 | −1.1% | −46.2% | −42.6% | −10.8% | −6.4% | −50.3% | −42.8% | −0.7% | −86.5% | −54.2% |
| FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation | 3 of 8 | −1.8% | −33.3% | −26.9% | −7.8% | −7.0% | −20.8% | −24.4% | −0.9% | — | — |
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 8 of 9 | 0.0% | −21.0% | −12.5% | −2.7% | −1.5% | −11.7% | −15.4% | −0.2% | −29.4% | — |
| PAAS Pan American Silver Corp. | 4 of 10 | 0.0% | −51.0% | −53.5% | −18.9% | −5.8% | −34.2% | −24.4% | −1.1% | −78.1% | −46.0% |
| B Barrick Mining Corporation | 5 of 10 | −0.3% | −43.6% | −28.6% | −8.7% | −4.9% | −27.8% | −16.9% | −1.9% | −65.8% | −40.3% |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | 2 of 9 | 0.0% | −54.1% | −49.8% | −24.1% | −10.4% | −40.4% | −40.2% | −0.9% | −87.8% | — |
| EQX Equinox Gold Corp. | 1 of 4 | 0.0% | −65.9% | −43.0% | −16.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does NEM move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares NEM with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, NEM captured 68% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 45% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.39. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- WPM took just 37% of the S&P 500's losses, against 45% for NEM, while still keeping 78% of its gains.
- Six of the 19 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than NEM's 1.52, led by GLD, SSRM and GFI.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than NEM's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM This pageNewmont Corporation | 68% | 45% | 1.52 | 0.39 |
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 40% | 3% | 12.41 | 0.14 |
| SSRM SSR Mining Inc. | 39% | 5% | 7.65 | 0.46 |
| GFI Gold Fields Limited | 102% | 46% | 2.22 | 0.69 |
| AU AngloGold Ashanti Plc | 88% | 40% | 2.19 | 0.61 |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 78% | 37% | 2.09 | 0.48 |
| HMY Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited | 89% | 57% | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| FNV Franco-Nevada Corporation | 69% | 47% | 1.48 | 0.49 |
| AGI Alamos Gold Inc. | 76% | 52% | 1.45 | 0.80 |
| KGC Kinross Gold Corporation | 100% | 70% | 1.42 | 0.83 |
| AEM Agnico Eagle Mines Limited | 77% | 57% | 1.34 | 0.70 |
| B Barrick Mining Corporation | 57% | 43% | 1.34 | 0.40 |
| RGLD Royal Gold, Inc. | 69% | 54% | 1.28 | 0.56 |
| BTG B2Gold Corp. | 63% | 61% | 1.02 | 0.78 |
| IAG Iamgold Corporation | 120% | 131% | 0.91 | 1.17 |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 164% | 181% | 0.90 | 1.74 |
| PAAS Pan American Silver Corp. | 95% | 111% | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| EGO Eldorado Gold Corporation | 82% | 115% | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | 77% | 114% | 0.68 | 0.96 |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 126% | 213% | 0.59 | 1.56 |
What diversifies NEM?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with NEM's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing NEM with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in NEM into SPMO would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+19.5% for NEM alone, +21.7% for the mix).
- CAH made money in 11 of the 15 calendar years in which NEM lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of NEM over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.39 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which NEM lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% NEM and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2008 | 2006 | 2004 | 2000 | 1998 | 1997 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM Newmont Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +135% | 0.63 | −7.8% | −8.8% | −20.8% | −6.2% | −4.4% | −17.2% | −48.5% | −20.4% | −0.6% | −15.9% | −14.8% | −8.1% | −29.9% | −37.7% | −34.1% | 39.7% | +19.5% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.39 | +119% | 1.48 | +15.9% | +17.4% | +3.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.5% | +20.3% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.15 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +42.0% | +6.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +41.3% | +19.6% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 32.3% | +22.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.26 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +8.0% | +10.4% | −8.7% | −25.3% | +23.8% | +16.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.7% | +20.1% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.40 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +14.1% | +1.8% | +7.1% | −3.0% | −0.3% | +12.6% | +23.8% | +9.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33.0% | +19.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.05 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | +73.4% | −33.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +33.4% | +8.6% | +6.8% | −44.7% | −6.7% | −19.3% | — | — | — | 32.8% | +25.4% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.28 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +20.1% | −5.1% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +26.4% | +20.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.5% | +19.7% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.04 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | +17.6% | −10.4% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.2% | +21.7% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.19 | +177% | 0.93 | +5.6% | −0.6% | +64.4% | −18.2% | −21.5% | −8.7% | +26.3% | +5.2% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +18.0% | +33.8% | +24.4% | — | — | 33.1% | +21.9% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2008 | 2006 | 2004 | 2000 | 1998 | 1997 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM Newmont Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +135% | 0.63 | −7.8% | −8.8% | −20.8% | −6.2% | −4.4% | −17.2% | −48.5% | −20.4% | −0.6% | −15.9% | −14.8% | −8.1% | −29.9% | −37.7% | −34.1% | 39.7% | +19.5% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.01 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +34.1% | +54.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +66.0% | +3.8% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −5.8% | −4.7% | +108% | +51.7% | +29.1% | 32.2% | +25.1% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.14 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +160% | +1.3% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +27.6% | +11.2% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −26.0% | −6.4% | −2.3% | — | — | 32.3% | +39.5% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | -0.08 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +79.6% | +17.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | +15.7% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +38.9% | +40.0% | −71.1% | −9.5% | — | 32.3% | +34.8% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.15 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +24.1% | +51.8% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +67.7% | +25.6% | +11.8% | −40.4% | −1.2% | −1.4% | +61.2% | +46.9% | +96.3% | 32.9% | +24.2% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.14 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +30.4% | +86.6% | −8.2% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | +94.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33.3% | +27.1% |
Common questions
What was NEM's worst drawdown?
NEM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 78.0%, from May 1996 to October 2000. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were NEM's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, NEM's best year was 2025, when it returned 173%. Its worst was 2013, with a return of -48.5%.
Is there a better investment than NEM?
Among NEM's popular alternatives, WPM and RGLD earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years. WPM returned 27.5% a year at 36.9% volatility, against 18.6% a year at 39.1%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RS (metals & mining) and MOG-A (aerospace & defense) earned more than NEM with less volatility over the past 5 years. RS returned 24.8% a year at 28.1% volatility, against 18.6% a year at 39.1%.
Is NEM more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. NEM's volatility over the past 5 years was 39.1%, 2.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, NEM's return lands within 39.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is NEM's Sharpe ratio?
NEM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.63, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so NEM earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is NEM with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, NEM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.20 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against NEM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a NEM holding.
What are the best alternatives to NEM?
None of the 20 popular alternatives we compared outperformed NEM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about NEM's strength than about its alternatives.
Did NEM outperform the S&P 500?
NEM finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 11 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +173%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did NEM do in stock market crashes?
NEM fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in five. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when NEM fell 51.8% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
What diversifies NEM?
These had a low correlation with NEM over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.39), DXJ (correlation 0.15) and EMLP (correlation 0.26); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.01), CLS (correlation -0.14) and FIX (correlation -0.08). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than NEM's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of NEM's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
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