Relative Intelligence · Hotels & Resorts

How Marriott International (MAR) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on MAR alone. It places MAR (Marriott International, Inc.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where MAR stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: MAR's full trading record, from October 1993 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIts hotels & resort peers split over the past 3 months: VAC (Marriott Vacations Worldwide) rose 17.0%, while H (Hyatt Hotels) fell 7.0%. Over the past 3 months, MAR rose 8.5% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?MAR's 8.5% gain over the past 3 months far outran its industry: the hotels & resorts ETF PEJ (Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF) rose 1.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: MAR rose 15.9% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsMAR has run far ahead of the market, rising 54.1% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (117% against 89.3%). By year ↓
- Long termMAR turned $10,000 into $64,400 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. MAR's 10-year return of 544% puts it ahead of 88% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, MAR has typically fallen 1.4 times as far as the S&P 500. In the Covid crash, MAR fell 56.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than HLT (Hilton Worldwide, 49.6%) but less than H (Hyatt Hotels, 60.5%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, MAR has a correlation of 0.70 over 5 years, more closely than 99% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Market capture ↓
- Better optionsFew investments have done better on both counts: only 17 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MAR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them XOM (Exxonmobil), ABBV (AbbVie) and HSBC. Better options ↓
How much would $10,000 in MAR have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in MAR over the past 23 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of MAR over the same span and MAR's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 23 years rather than MAR's full 29 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in MAR at the end of September 2003 would have grown to $220,765 by September 2026, more than the $116,093 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of MAR, and BKNG finished highest, at $1,441,727.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2003 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 230 of the 1,407 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MAR; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- BKNG$1M+14,317% total · +24.1% a year
- LLY$369,077+3,591% total · +17.0% a year
- MCK$304,185+2,942% total · +16.0% a year
- NHC$276,485+2,665% total · +15.5% a year
- IHG$234,061+2,241% total · +14.7% a year
- MAR$220,765+2,108% total · +14.4% a year
- RCL$125,111+1,151% total · +11.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$116,093+1,061% total · +11.2% a year
- HST$45,141+351% total · +6.8% a year
- CCL$11,659+16.6% total · +0.7% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 507 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MAR; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- CAH$49,682+397% total · +37.8% a year
- MCK$43,941+339% total · +34.5% a year
- DXJ$32,976+230% total · +27.0% a year
- RCL$30,918+209% total · +25.3% a year
- ABBV$29,134+191% total · +23.8% a year
- IHG$26,998+170% total · +22.0% a year
- MAR$25,049+150% total · +20.2% a year
- HLT$24,416+144% total · +19.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
MAR at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- MAR's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 75.6%, from April 2007 to November 2008. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, MAR's best was 2017, when it returned 66.2%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 42.3%. It lost money in nine of those years.
- MAR is 1.1% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $104B
- Industry
- Travel Lodging
- Price history from
- October 1993
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +54.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +117%+29.5% a year
- Past 5 years
- +170%+22.0% a year
- Past 10 years
- +544%+20.5% a year
- Best calendar year
- +66.2%2017
- Worst calendar year
- −42.3%2008
- Losing years
- 9 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 28.6%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.84return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −75.6%Apr 2007 to Nov 2008
- From its all-time high
- −1.1%below the peak
MAR against the whole market
Where MAR ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does MAR rank among all stocks?
This section ranks MAR on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how MAR stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), MAR ranks in the top 8% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | MAR | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +54.1% | 496 of 3,287 | top 15% |
| 3-year return | +117% | 790 of 3,017 | top 26% |
| 5-year return | +170% | 385 of 2,893 | top 13% |
| 10-year return | +544% | 268 of 2,202 | top 12% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 28.6% | 603 of 2,893 | top 21% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.84 | 239 of 2,893 | top 8% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −61.3% | 932 of 2,187 | top 43% |
What has beaten MAR on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). MAR sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than MAR with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 15 stocks and two ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than MAR over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half MAR's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 14% less than MAR's 28.6%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.84 for MAR.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to MAR; faint dots are 13 more of the 17 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than MAR?
Investments that beat MAR over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 17 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MAR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them XOM, ABBV and HSBC.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat MAR over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks MAR's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than MAR follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than MAR's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× MAR's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than MAR's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with MAR?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.70 | 0.09% | |||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 112 of 3,607 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.34 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.09 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.22 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.21 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.48 | 0.48% | |
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.26 | — | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.47 | 0.35% | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.41 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for MAR
- Annual return
- MAR returned 22.0% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $27,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- MAR's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.6%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MAR's return lands within 28.6% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- MAR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.84, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MAR earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- MAR's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 61.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 61.3% fall takes a 158% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, MAR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.70 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MAR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MAR holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 17 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than MAR with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with MAR | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.34 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.09 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.22 | — | |
| 4 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.48 | 0.48% |
| 5 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.64 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.36 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.54 | — | |
| 8 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.57 | — |
| 9 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.57 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.23 | — | |
| 11 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.36 | 0.59% |
| 12 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.27 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.41 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.42 | — | |
| 15 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.44 | — |
| 16 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.44 | — |
| 17 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.49 | — |
MAR against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against MAR, compared period by period and year by year.
How do MAR's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at MAR, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 22 popular alternatives earned more than MAR over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 18 of the 22 popular alternatives earned less than MAR over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, MAR returned 22.0% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (28.6% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than MAR with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | +28.8% | 48.4% |
| MAR This pageMarriott International, Inc. | +22.0% | 28.6% |
| IHG InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | +21.3% | 26.6% |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | +21.0% | 26.8% |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | +16.6% | 34.3% |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | +13.8% | 30.0% |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | +13.3% | 46.5% |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | +13.1% | 29.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | +12.0% | 33.2% |
| DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Company | +11.7% | 32.4% |
| TNL Travel + Leisure Co. | +9.3% | 36.6% |
| APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | +9.0% | 26.8% |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | +5.7% | 36.8% |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | +4.2% | 55.2% |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | +2.8% | 30.1% |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust | +1.2% | 32.8% |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | +1.0% | 29.9% |
| ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | +0.8% | 44.3% |
| PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | −1.3% | 38.8% |
| CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc. | −2.3% | 30.1% |
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | −3.0% | 44.9% |
| INN Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. | −3.6% | 37.8% |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | −5.3% | 39.0% |
Has MAR consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares MAR with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than MAR helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 22 popular alternatives outperformed MAR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was HLT.
- IHG and HLT earned more for the risk they took than MAR (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than MAR over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. (this page) | — | +15.9% | +8.5% | +5.3% | +27.5% | +54.1% | +117% | +170% | +544% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | — | $104B | — |
| HLT Travel LodgingHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +17.0% | +11.1% | +4.9% | +22.8% | +37.9% | +145% | +160% | +694% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | — | $81B | — |
| RCL Travel ServicesRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 0/5 short2/3 long | +15.0% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +3.3% | −3.1% | +272% | +255% | +359% | 48.4% | 0.77 | −83.3% | — | $77B | — |
| IHG Travel LodgingInterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 2/5 short1/3 long | +10.6% | +9.7% | +16.9% | +22.3% | +42.6% | +147% | +163% | +383% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | — | $25B | — |
| EXPE Travel ServicesExpedia Group, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | +7.0% | +13.6% | +10.5% | +6.9% | +38.8% | +226% | +86.3% | +154% | 46.5% | 0.50 | −70.5% | — | $34B | — |
| CCL Travel ServicesCarnival Corporation & plc | 1/5 short1/3 long | +21.3% | +4.5% | −5.6% | −11.1% | −4.7% | +149% | +22.6% | −34.6% | 55.2% | 0.35 | −90.4% | — | $36B | — |
| TNL Travel ServicesTravel + Leisure Co. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +6.5% | −6.6% | −11.7% | −4.4% | +15.4% | +125% | +55.8% | +214% | 36.6% | 0.43 | −67.9% | — | $4.1B | — |
| VAC Gambling, Resorts & CasinosMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +10.0% | +17.0% | +49.3% | +98.3% | +74.5% | +39.2% | −14.2% | +115% | 44.9% | 0.16 | −74.9% | — | $3.9B | — |
| DRH REIT - Hotel & MotelDiamondRock Hospitality Company | 4/5 short0/3 long | +13.4% | +9.1% | +33.4% | +55.1% | +84.6% | +103% | +74.1% | +102% | 32.4% | 0.51 | −81.9% | — | $2.8B | — |
| PK REIT - Hotel & MotelPark Hotels & Resorts Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +11.1% | +13.5% | +47.9% | +62.9% | +65.2% | +101% | +31.7% | — | 36.8% | 0.33 | −84.2% | — | $3.3B | — |
| HST REIT - Hotel & MotelHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +12.2% | +4.0% | +22.0% | +44.6% | +62.3% | +93.9% | +90.9% | +144% | 30.0% | 0.58 | −55.0% | — | $17B | — |
| APLE REIT - Hotel & MotelApple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +14.2% | +7.0% | +39.9% | +55.5% | +64.1% | +41.8% | +53.8% | +68.3% | 26.8% | 0.46 | −71.9% | — | $4.2B | — |
| PEB REIT - Hotel & MotelPebblebrook Hotel Trust | 3/5 short0/3 long | +13.7% | +7.3% | +46.5% | +79.6% | +92.1% | +61.8% | −6.2% | −7.9% | 38.8% | 0.16 | −83.7% | — | $2.3B | — |
| RLJ REIT - Hotel & MotelRLJ Lodging Trust | 3/5 short0/3 long | +12.8% | +2.8% | +51.9% | +66.7% | +83.6% | +54.2% | +5.9% | −8.9% | 32.8% | 0.20 | −79.5% | — | $1.9B | — |
| INN REIT - Hotel & MotelSummit Hotel Properties, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +22.6% | +3.7% | +47.0% | +49.2% | +38.0% | +44.6% | −16.7% | −23.6% | 37.8% | 0.09 | −84.1% | — | $749M | — |
| ABNB Travel ServicesAirbnb, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +6.1% | +22.1% | +23.2% | +33.0% | +39.1% | +51.9% | +4.2% | — | 44.3% | 0.24 | −62.0% | — | $106B | — |
| RHP REIT - Hotel & MotelRyman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +7.9% | +2.7% | +27.0% | +40.6% | +54.0% | +76.2% | +85.3% | +269% | 29.9% | 0.56 | −84.6% | — | $8.9B | — |
| SHO REIT - Hotel & MotelSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +12.7% | +6.0% | +29.4% | +39.3% | +38.9% | +48.9% | +14.7% | +30.3% | 30.1% | 0.24 | −55.9% | — | $2.3B | — |
| H Travel LodgingHyatt Hotels Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +12.2% | −7.0% | +2.2% | +6.7% | +19.5% | +77.5% | +116% | +260% | 34.3% | 0.62 | −60.5% | — | $17B | — |
| BKNG Travel ServicesBooking Holdings Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.7% | −8.4% | −14.2% | −22.5% | −19.6% | +52.2% | +75.9% | +186% | 33.2% | 0.51 | −47.8% | — | $123B | — |
| CHH Travel LodgingChoice Hotels International, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +14.9% | +3.5% | −6.6% | +19.0% | +15.9% | +3.4% | −11.0% | +176% | 30.1% | 0.07 | −50.5% | — | $5.2B | — |
| HGV Travel LodgingHilton Grand Vacations Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +1.8% | −25.1% | −26.5% | −20.4% | −15.4% | −1.8% | −23.9% | — | 39.0% | 0.05 | −77.7% | — | $2.8B | — |
| WH Travel LodgingWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +15.2% | +1.7% | −13.0% | +4.5% | +0.3% | +11.5% | +4.9% | — | 29.9% | 0.18 | −66.1% | — | $5.7B | — |
How did MAR do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where MAR ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with MAR and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, MAR finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 23.
- MAR finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 18 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, RCL came out ahead of MAR most often, in 17 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of MAR; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places MAR among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of MAR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR This pageMarriott International, Inc. | — | +12.3% | +24.9% | +53.0% | −9.3% | +25.3% | −12.5% | +41.5% | −19.0% | +66.2% | +25.4% | −13.0% | +60.0% | +34.4% | +29.5% | −24.6% | +53.4% | +42.4% | −42.3% | −27.9% | +43.5% | +6.9% | +37.2% | +41.7% | −18.5% | −3.2% | +34.9% | +9.6% | +37.2% | +26.9% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 8 of 23 | 9 of 23 | 7 of 23 | 5 of 23 | 10 of 23 | 10 of 22 | 5 of 22 | 13 of 21 | 1 of 20 | 9 of 19 | 9 of 18 | 2 of 18 | 6 of 17 | 9 of 17 | 11 of 14 | 6 of 14 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 4 of 11 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 7 of 12 | +16.5% | +36.1% | +44.7% | −18.7% | +40.2% | +0.5% | +55.5% | −9.4% | +44.5% | +28.7% | −17.5% | +17.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 17 of 29 | +22.5% | +79.0% | +162% | −35.7% | +3.0% | −43.5% | +39.9% | −16.1% | +48.2% | −17.1% | +24.7% | +76.9% | +42.1% | +39.3% | −46.9% | +85.9% | +83.8% | −67.1% | +4.0% | −6.8% | −16.2% | +58.4% | +113% | +6.0% | −37.2% | −45.3% | +34.6% | +40.3% | +132% |
| IHG InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 12 of 22 | +14.5% | +39.1% | +59.6% | −8.7% | +0.1% | −5.2% | +27.9% | −12.5% | +45.3% | +44.2% | −0.8% | +13.5% | +30.1% | +48.4% | −6.0% | +41.5% | +80.8% | −50.3% | −30.2% | +80.9% | −14.3% | +20.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 10 of 20 | +53.3% | +22.8% | +73.3% | −51.5% | +36.5% | +22.9% | −2.9% | −5.0% | +6.7% | −8.1% | +46.8% | +23.5% | +14.5% | +116% | +151% | −0.3% | +212% | −73.9% | +50.6% | −12.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | 10 of 29 | +22.6% | +34.4% | +130% | −60.0% | −7.1% | −56.9% | +7.4% | −23.4% | +30.8% | −1.7% | +22.9% | +15.7% | +12.4% | +17.6% | −27.2% | +47.1% | +30.3% | −42.4% | −6.6% | −6.1% | −5.8% | +46.8% | +61.6% | −9.9% | −7.5% | −34.4% | +0.4% | +75.0% | +69.6% |
| TNL Travel + Leisure Co. | 9 of 19 | +45.5% | +34.7% | +12.5% | −31.7% | +26.0% | −8.6% | +50.1% | −29.0% | +55.4% | +8.1% | −13.5% | +18.5% | +41.1% | +43.2% | +28.7% | +51.5% | +213% | −71.5% | −26.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | 4 of 14 | −32.7% | +9.6% | −35.3% | −18.9% | +24.0% | +7.1% | +85.9% | −47.0% | +61.5% | +51.8% | −22.5% | +41.8% | +26.6% | +143% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Company | 5 of 20 | +4.2% | +1.9% | +16.1% | −13.8% | +16.4% | −25.6% | +29.7% | −16.9% | +2.5% | +25.8% | −32.2% | +32.8% | +32.6% | −3.7% | −17.0% | +41.7% | +73.8% | −63.7% | −12.2% | +57.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | 1 of 9 | −18.4% | +1.0% | +49.5% | −35.9% | +10.1% | −30.2% | +6.9% | −1.6% | +2.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 9 of 29 | +7.2% | −4.9% | +27.6% | −4.7% | +18.8% | −19.7% | +16.6% | −12.2% | +10.2% | +29.5% | −32.5% | +26.7% | +27.4% | +8.2% | −16.6% | +53.7% | +58.3% | −53.6% | −27.3% | +33.8% | +12.0% | +40.6% | +39.1% | −1.7% | −24.8% | +71.2% | −35.3% | −29.6% | +22.7% |
| APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −16.6% | −1.4% | +12.2% | +2.5% | +25.4% | −18.9% | +21.9% | −21.8% | +4.0% | +6.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 2 of 16 | −16.2% | −15.0% | +19.7% | −40.0% | +19.2% | −29.7% | 0.0% | −20.5% | +30.8% | +12.3% | −36.5% | +52.0% | +36.3% | +23.0% | −3.1% | −7.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust | 0 of 14 | −21.0% | −8.3% | +14.4% | −23.1% | −1.2% | −19.9% | +16.4% | −20.1% | −4.5% | +20.3% | −32.2% | +42.7% | +30.3% | +19.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| INN Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. | 2 of 14 | −24.6% | +7.1% | −3.7% | −25.3% | +8.4% | −25.8% | +34.8% | −32.5% | −0.9% | +40.0% | −0.4% | +44.9% | −0.5% | +5.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | 1 of 5 | +3.3% | −3.5% | +59.2% | −48.6% | +13.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −4.8% | −1.1% | +40.4% | −10.7% | +35.7% | −19.6% | +35.7% | +1.0% | +15.1% | +29.4% | +2.9% | +32.2% | +14.4% | +94.6% | −32.9% | +82.0% | +82.2% | −73.2% | −20.5% | +16.8% | +5.0% | +39.1% | +44.9% | −16.3% | +17.8% | −30.3% | +2.2% | −3.7% | +41.5% |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | 5 of 21 | −21.5% | +13.9% | +14.6% | −16.8% | +3.4% | −18.1% | +12.8% | −17.2% | +13.3% | +27.9% | −15.9% | +27.2% | +26.0% | +31.4% | −21.1% | +16.4% | +43.3% | −56.3% | −27.8% | +5.1% | +34.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | 4 of 16 | +2.6% | +20.9% | +44.8% | −5.7% | +29.2% | −17.0% | +34.1% | −7.4% | +33.1% | +17.5% | −21.9% | +21.7% | +28.2% | +2.5% | −17.7% | +53.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 15 of 26 | +8.6% | +41.3% | +76.0% | −16.0% | +7.7% | +8.5% | +19.2% | −0.9% | +18.5% | +15.0% | +11.8% | −1.9% | +87.3% | +32.7% | +17.1% | +82.8% | +197% | −35.7% | +164% | +94.9% | −5.4% | +31.8% | +86.5% | −72.6% | +345% | −97.2% | — | — | — |
| CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 16 of 29 | −32.3% | +26.2% | +1.6% | −27.1% | +46.7% | +3.6% | +45.9% | −6.7% | +40.2% | +13.1% | −8.7% | +16.3% | +48.6% | +18.9% | +1.6% | +23.5% | +8.1% | −6.7% | −19.9% | +2.0% | +46.2% | +66.5% | +55.3% | +2.5% | +61.8% | −19.9% | +24.9% | −14.4% | −9.2% |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | 3 of 8 | +14.9% | −3.1% | +4.3% | −26.0% | +66.2% | −8.8% | +30.3% | −37.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 3 of 7 | −23.5% | +27.7% | +14.9% | −19.0% | +52.6% | −4.1% | +41.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How MAR has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were MAR's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents MAR's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1993, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of MAR's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: MAR fell 39.1% from April 1999 to March 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 0.7%.
- The slowest recovery came after MAR fell 75.6% from April 2007 to November 2008; it did not regain that peak until November 2013, five years later.
Green means MAR fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | MAR fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −75.6% | −47.2% | Apr 2007 | Nov 2008 | 19 months | Nov 2013 | 5 years |
| Covid crash | −61.3% | −22.7% | Dec 2019 | Apr 2020 | 4 months | Feb 2021 | 10 months |
| No named crash | −46.7% | −9.9% | Mar 1998 | Oct 1998 | 7 months | Feb 1999 | 4 months |
| Dot-com bust | −46.2% | −38.6% | May 2001 | Oct 2002 | 17 months | May 2004 | 19 months |
| No named crash | −39.1% | +0.7% | Apr 1999 | Mar 2000 | 11 months | Jan 2001 | 10 months |
How did MAR do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far MAR, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- MAR fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when MAR fell 56.6% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, CHH held up best, falling less than MAR in seven of the ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than MAR.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR This pageMarriott International, Inc. | — | −7.4% | −29.9% | −56.6% | −24.0% | −5.2% | −24.9% | −25.6% | −2.8% | −70.1% | −46.2% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 3 of 6 | −6.7% | −32.6% | −49.6% | −22.2% | −4.8% | −34.1% | — | — | — | — |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 0 of 10 | −11.1% | −64.5% | −79.7% | −31.5% | −5.6% | −35.5% | −45.1% | −4.3% | −87.2% | −72.3% |
| IHG InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 3 of 9 | −4.1% | −32.8% | −56.8% | −19.7% | −4.8% | −20.5% | −25.6% | −3.7% | −73.3% | — |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −11.4% | −58.2% | −62.4% | −18.2% | −19.6% | −33.2% | −22.9% | −4.7% | −82.5% | — |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | 4 of 10 | −12.3% | −72.6% | −78.3% | −30.6% | −4.5% | −24.0% | −19.5% | −3.5% | −68.9% | −46.3% |
| TNL Travel + Leisure Co. | 1 of 9 | −12.8% | −43.6% | −65.5% | −23.5% | −6.6% | −25.0% | −27.3% | −5.8% | −91.1% | — |
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | 0 of 6 | −11.5% | −33.8% | −71.1% | −47.7% | −6.6% | −41.8% | — | — | — | — |
| DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Company | 0 of 9 | −7.1% | −34.0% | −79.6% | −25.1% | −5.6% | −38.5% | −37.2% | −2.4% | −85.1% | — |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | 2 of 5 | −12.7% | −45.1% | −79.2% | −21.9% | −4.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −7.0% | −27.5% | −46.4% | −24.8% | −6.8% | −33.0% | −39.9% | −4.0% | −84.5% | −52.6% |
| APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | 3 of 6 | −7.6% | −23.9% | −67.7% | −19.3% | −5.6% | −16.1% | — | — | — | — |
| PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 1 of 8 | −8.4% | −44.7% | −75.1% | −26.1% | −6.8% | −44.4% | −30.8% | −0.4% | — | — |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust | 0 of 7 | −8.9% | −34.3% | −73.4% | −27.4% | −7.4% | −39.6% | −31.8% | — | — | — |
| INN Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. | 0 of 7 | −11.8% | −36.4% | −76.9% | −28.3% | −7.8% | −31.3% | −40.5% | — | — | — |
| ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −7.2% | −52.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −8.5% | −26.0% | −84.3% | −24.5% | −8.3% | −22.0% | −43.5% | −4.2% | −91.0% | −43.1% |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −7.2% | −25.3% | −47.3% | −21.6% | −5.6% | −25.7% | −46.2% | −3.8% | −90.7% | — |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | 2 of 8 | −10.1% | −33.2% | −60.5% | −21.3% | −3.4% | −33.6% | −28.3% | −3.6% | — | — |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 5 of 10 | −5.6% | −39.5% | −41.5% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −33.7% | −17.8% | −3.2% | −66.3% | −98.9% |
| CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 7 of 10 | −6.0% | −32.3% | −50.5% | −20.5% | −4.0% | −22.9% | −18.1% | −2.6% | −49.2% | −53.5% |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | 1 of 5 | −10.5% | −39.5% | −67.1% | −26.2% | −3.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 1 of 4 | −10.4% | −34.1% | −63.7% | −22.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does MAR move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares MAR with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only HLT had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than MAR's 0.96, out of 18 popular alternatives with the same record.
- HLT took just 105% of the S&P 500's losses, against 137% for MAR, while still keeping 121% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, MAR captured 132% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 137% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.46. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than MAR's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR This pageMarriott International, Inc. | 132% | 137% | 0.96 | 1.46 |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 121% | 105% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| IHG InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | 115% | 125% | 0.92 | 1.19 |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 109% | 128% | 0.85 | 1.46 |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | 115% | 143% | 0.81 | 1.42 |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 99% | 123% | 0.81 | 1.17 |
| CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc. | 85% | 105% | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 171% | 231% | 0.74 | 2.24 |
| TNL Travel + Leisure Co. | 124% | 167% | 0.74 | 1.54 |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 104% | 144% | 0.72 | 1.48 |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 97% | 136% | 0.71 | 1.22 |
| DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Company | 96% | 145% | 0.66 | 1.41 |
| APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | 64% | 99% | 0.65 | 1.08 |
| VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation | 121% | 195% | 0.62 | 1.88 |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | 77% | 137% | 0.56 | 1.15 |
| PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 101% | 205% | 0.49 | 1.69 |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust | 87% | 182% | 0.48 | 1.57 |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | 135% | 289% | 0.47 | 2.30 |
| INN Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. | 87% | 194% | 0.45 | 1.79 |
What diversifies MAR?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with MAR's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing MAR with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in MAR into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+20.2% for MAR alone, +20.7% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and GLD have moved largely independently of MAR over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.48 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in six of the nine calendar years in which MAR lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which MAR lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% MAR and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2011 | 2008 | 2007 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +170% | 0.84 | −9.3% | −12.5% | −19.0% | −13.0% | −24.6% | −42.3% | −27.9% | −18.5% | −3.2% | 26.1% | +20.2% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.48 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +7.7% | −16.1% | −20.8% | −7.4% | — | — | 22.2% | +22.0% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.47 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +55.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +6.8% | −44.7% | +6.0% | −47.0% | −14.6% | 24.9% | +24.4% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.01 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | +24.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +30.4% | — | — | 21.2% | +20.7% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.36 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | −32.7% | −18.2% | −21.5% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +36.8% | −14.8% | −18.2% | 23.2% | +21.5% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.40 | +153% | 0.89 | −28.9% | +31.5% | −9.9% | −12.9% | −21.8% | −45.3% | +6.4% | −24.4% | +2.1% | 23.4% | +21.2% |
| EUFN InternationaliShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF | 0.41 | +133% | 0.89 | −8.8% | −8.5% | −23.1% | −4.7% | −26.6% | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | +20.9% |
| IDV InternationaliShares International Select Dividend ETF | 0.45 | +82.6% | 0.86 | −6.5% | −5.9% | −10.4% | −10.7% | −7.2% | −52.1% | — | — | — | 22.6% | +19.3% |
| EDIV InternationalState Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Dividend ETF | 0.41 | +69.9% | 0.84 | −15.3% | −10.0% | −6.2% | −27.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | +18.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2011 | 2008 | 2007 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +170% | 0.84 | −9.3% | −12.5% | −19.0% | −13.0% | −24.6% | −42.3% | −27.9% | −18.5% | −3.2% | 26.1% | +20.2% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.34 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +10.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −8.3% | −2.5% | 23.2% | +24.4% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.47 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −2.4% | −16.3% | −6.0% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −65.1% | −25.6% | 28.3% | +37.0% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.47 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +2.1% | −9.4% | +73.7% | 26.3% | +33.1% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.22 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +27.1% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −27.2% | +4.9% | 22.5% | +23.9% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.32 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | −27.4% | −8.2% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 23.7% | +26.5% |
Common questions
What was MAR's worst drawdown?
MAR's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 75.6%, from April 2007 to November 2008. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were MAR's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, MAR's best year was 2017, when it returned 66.2%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -42.3%.
Is there a better investment than MAR?
Few investments have done better on both counts: only 17 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MAR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them XOM, ABBV and HSBC.
Is MAR more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. MAR's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.6%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MAR's return lands within 28.6% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is MAR's Sharpe ratio?
MAR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.84, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MAR earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is MAR with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, MAR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.70 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MAR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MAR holding.
What are the best alternatives to MAR?
None of the 22 popular alternatives we compared outperformed MAR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about MAR's strength than about its alternatives.
Did MAR outperform the S&P 500?
MAR finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 18 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +12.3%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did MAR do in stock market crashes?
MAR fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when MAR fell 56.6% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies MAR?
These had a low correlation with MAR over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.48), SMH (correlation 0.47) and GLD (correlation 0.01); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.34), CLS (correlation 0.47) and FIX (correlation 0.47). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than MAR's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of MAR's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.