Relative Intelligence · Integrated Oil & Gas

How Exxonmobil (XOM) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on XOM alone. It places XOM (Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation) against 16 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where XOM stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: XOM's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowXOM has run far ahead of the market, rising 20.7% over the past 3 months against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its integrated oil & gas peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, up 45.4%) to TTE (TotalEnergies, up 12.8%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?XOM's 20.7% gain over the past 3 months is part of a broader integrated oil & gas rally: the integrated oil & gas ETF XLE (State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF) rose 18.0%, with CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%) and SHEL (Shell, up 23.5%). XOM rose 12.4% last month as the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 3.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, XOM rose 62.4% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termXOM turned $10,000 into $31,400 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: XOM rose 232% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashXOM fell further than the S&P 500 in four of the last five sell-offs, including the Covid crash (47.9% against 33.7%). On the flip side, in the 2022 bear market, XOM held up better than its integrated oil & gas peers, including CVX (Chevron), SHEL and TTE. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationXOM is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.13 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.11 with the total US market, less closely than 93% of stocks worth at least $300 million. XOM moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.13 over the past 5 years against 0.70 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- MPC (Marathon Petroleum), YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima) and PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras) were ahead of XOM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (33.4%, 54.1% and 37.5% volatility against 26.5%).
- Nearby categories and themes
- PBR-A (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, integrated oil & gas) and VLO (Valero Energy, oil & gas) were ahead of XOM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (37.5% and 36.9% volatility against 26.5%).
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only three of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than XOM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK (McKesson), CAH (Cardinal Health) and EPU (iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF).
How much would $10,000 in XOM have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in XOM over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of XOM over the same span and XOM's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in XOM at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $124,235 by September 2026, less than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of XOM, and WMB finished highest, at $472,016.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 456 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of XOM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- WMB$472,016+4,620% total · +14.2% a year
- EOG$380,118+3,701% total · +13.4% a year
- SU$282,795+2,728% total · +12.2% a year
- COP$156,444+1,464% total · +9.9% a year
- CVX$142,109+1,321% total · +9.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- XOM$124,235+1,142% total · +9.1% a year
- E$101,879+919% total · +8.3% a year
- SHEL$63,537+535% total · +6.6% a year
- YPF$45,576+356% total · +5.4% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 288 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of XOM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- YPF$107,580+976% total · +60.8% a year
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- PBR-A$67,821+578% total · +46.6% a year
- PBR$64,214+542% total · +45.1% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- XOM$32,965+230% total · +26.9% a year
- WMB$32,631+226% total · +26.7% a year
- E$27,904+179% total · +22.8% a year
- EC$23,114+131% total · +18.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
XOM at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- XOM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 62.4%, from June 2014 to March 2020. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- XOM is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, XOM's best was 2022, when it returned 87.4%, and its worst was 2020, when it lost 36.2%. It lost money in ten of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $731B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +62.4%total return
- Past 3 years
- +76.7%+20.9% a year
- Past 5 years
- +232%+27.1% a year
- Past 10 years
- +214%+12.1% a year
- Best calendar year
- +87.4%2022
- Worst calendar year
- −36.2%2020
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 26.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 1.04return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −62.4%Jun 2014 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
XOM against the whole market
Where XOM ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does XOM rank among all stocks?
This section ranks XOM on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how XOM stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), XOM ranks in the top 3% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | XOM | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +62.4% | 392 of 3,287 | top 12% |
| 3-year return | +76.7% | 1,169 of 3,017 | top 39% |
| 5-year return | +232% | 252 of 2,893 | top 9% |
| 10-year return | +214% | 809 of 2,202 | top 37% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 26.5% | 446 of 2,893 | top 15% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 1.04 | 75 of 2,893 | top 3% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −61.0% | 920 of 2,187 | top 42% |
What has beaten XOM on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). XOM sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than XOM with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Two stocks and one ETF worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than XOM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half XOM's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 7% less than XOM's 26.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 1.04 for XOM.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to XOM. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- 1 with more than 1.6× XOM's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than XOM?
Investments that beat XOM over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among XOM's popular alternatives, MPC, YPF and PBR were ahead of XOM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (33.4%, 54.1% and 37.5% volatility against 26.5%).
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PBR-A (integrated oil & gas) and VLO (oil & gas) were ahead of XOM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (37.5% and 36.9% volatility against 26.5%).
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only three of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than XOM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK, CAH and EPU.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat XOM over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks XOM's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than XOM follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than XOM's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× XOM's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than XOM's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with XOM?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.13 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 5 shownThe investments people most often weigh against XOM. 5 of 16 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.59 | — | ||
YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima · Integrated Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +60.7% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | +173% | 0.22 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.52 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.78 | — | ||
ECEcopetrol S.A. · Integrated Oil & Gas | Higher return in most periods | +18.0% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | +401% | 0.58 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Integrated Oil & Gas and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Oilfield Services), plus XOM's specific themes. 6 of 72 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.52 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.62 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.57 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.73 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +26.5% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | +433% | 0.83 | — | ||
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation · Oil & Gas | Higher return in most periods | +31.8% | 38.8% | 0.91 | −77.3% | +649% | 0.45 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 62 of 3,545 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.13 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.29 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | -0.05 | — | |
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.20 | 0.48% | |
EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.37 | 0.59% | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.08 | — | ||
| On the frontierSmaller losses in recent crashes | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.03 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.28 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for XOM
- Annual return
- XOM returned 27.1% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $33,200. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- XOM's volatility over the past 5 years was 26.5%, 1.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, XOM's return lands within 26.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- XOM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.04, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so XOM earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- XOM's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 61.0%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 61.0% fall takes a 157% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, XOM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.13 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against XOM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a XOM holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 3 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than XOM with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with XOM | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.13 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.29 | — | |
| 3 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.37 | 0.59% |
XOM against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against XOM, compared period by period and year by year.
How do XOM's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at XOM, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 16 popular alternatives earned more than XOM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Over the past 5 years, XOM returned 27.1% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (26.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than XOM with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | +60.7% | 54.1% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | +51.2% | 33.4% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | +50.3% | 37.5% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| XOM This pageExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | +24.6% | 24.0% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | +23.0% | 25.6% |
| SHEL Shell plc | +21.0% | 24.8% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | +19.2% | 34.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | +18.0% | 25.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | +18.0% | 37.9% |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | +16.6% | 32.3% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | +16.0% | 28.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | +10.0% | 37.5% |
Has XOM consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares XOM with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than XOM helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Four of the 16 popular alternatives, led by MPC, PBR and SU, outperformed XOM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- MPC, PBR and SU outperformed XOM in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than XOM over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation (this page) | — | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| MPC QualifiedMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +18.1% | +51.1% | +123% | +191% | +159% | +234% | +690% | +1,387% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | — | $133B | — |
| PBR QualifiedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +24.6% | +45.4% | +31.0% | +128% | +140% | +132% | +667% | +674% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | — | $166B | — |
| SU QualifiedSuncor Energy Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| EC QualifiedEcopetrol S.A. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +5.0% | +10.3% | +35.7% | +81.5% | +112% | +116% | +129% | +401% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | — | $36B | — |
| E Oil & Gas IntegratedEni S.p.A. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +10.2% | +20.3% | +14.6% | +56.0% | +77.9% | +120% | +181% | +278% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | — | $86B | — |
| YPF Oil & Gas IntegratedYPF Sociedad Anónima | 2/5 short2/3 long | −4.5% | +0.7% | +23.9% | +39.9% | +102% | +313% | +971% | +173% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | — | $20B | — |
| WMB Oil & Gas MidstreamThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −1.8% | −4.5% | +0.6% | +18.1% | +14.9% | +125% | +200% | +288% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | — | $86B | — |
| COP Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionConocoPhillips | 5/5 short1/3 long | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| EQNR Oil & Gas IntegratedEquinor ASA | 4/5 short1/3 long | +7.7% | +23.4% | +29.6% | +92.7% | +107% | +73.2% | +141% | +416% | 34.4% | 0.69 | −66.8% | — | $109B | — |
| SHEL Oil & Gas IntegratedShell plc | 2/5 short1/3 long | +13.2% | +23.5% | +22.1% | +43.7% | +50.3% | +77.1% | +159% | +233% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | — | $301B | — |
| CVX Oil & Gas IntegratedChevron Corporation | 1/5 short1/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| TTE Oil & Gas IntegratedTotalEnergies SE | 0/5 short1/3 long | +1.2% | +12.8% | +5.7% | +40.3% | +55.2% | +60.5% | +129% | +234% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | — | $201B | — |
| CVE Oil & Gas IntegratedCenovus Energy Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| EOG Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionEOG Resources, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +12.4% | +12.7% | +24.0% | +51.9% | +53.1% | +31.9% | +115% | +131% | 32.3% | 0.64 | −77.1% | — | $83B | — |
| BP Oil & Gas IntegratedBP p.l.c. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +19.0% | +12.1% | +43.0% | +56.3% | +46.5% | +110% | +141% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | — | $130B | — |
| SLB Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSlb N.V. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | +8.3% | −3.3% | +26.4% | +53.2% | −7.2% | +60.7% | −21.3% | 37.5% | 0.44 | −84.5% | — | $74B | — |
How did XOM do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where XOM ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with XOM and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- XOM finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 12 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Among its popular alternatives, MPC came out ahead of XOM most often, in ten of the 14 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, XOM finished in the top quarter in seven of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in five. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 17.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of XOM; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places XOM among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of XOM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM This pageExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | — | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% | −12.6% | −13.1% | +24.3% | +39.1% | +11.8% | +28.1% | +20.7% | −8.9% | −7.5% | +10.2% | +12.7% | +22.5% | +28.3% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 7 of 29 | 8 of 17 | 4 of 17 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 10 of 17 | 10 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 15 of 17 | 13 of 17 | 4 of 17 | 7 of 17 | 9 of 17 | 10 of 17 | 3 of 16 | 9 of 16 | 15 of 15 | 2 of 14 | 8 of 14 | 2 of 14 | 12 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 13 of 14 | 7 of 14 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 12 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 12 | 7 of 12 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 17 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 10 of 14 | +19.2% | −4.0% | +30.4% | +86.6% | +61.0% | −27.4% | +6.0% | −8.2% | +34.8% | +0.7% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | +94.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 13 of 25 | +2.3% | −2.9% | +89.6% | +55.4% | +19.3% | −29.0% | +24.2% | +27.7% | +1.8% | +135% | −41.1% | −45.1% | −28.3% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −18.1% | +101% | −55.6% | +132% | +51.1% | +85.0% | +43.9% | +111% | −32.0% | −1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 17 of 29 | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% | +82.6% | −64.0% | +38.4% | +25.4% | +79.0% | +42.3% | +61.2% | −3.9% | +29.7% | +25.1% | +42.2% | −11.2% | +68.4% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 10 of 17 | +48.5% | −24.6% | +40.1% | −5.0% | +0.8% | −29.3% | +38.7% | +13.5% | +64.4% | +28.9% | −55.7% | −52.3% | −31.5% | +41.5% | +6.1% | +85.1% | +41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 13 of 29 | +49.0% | −13.6% | +27.5% | +11.0% | +44.9% | −28.1% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +15.9% | −8.8% | −23.6% | +4.8% | +26.6% | +1.0% | −7.2% | +13.4% | −29.9% | +12.9% | +20.6% | +10.8% | +39.6% | +28.8% | +32.9% | −1.5% | +20.1% | −16.4% | +21.9% | +13.9% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 13 of 29 | −14.9% | +147% | +87.1% | +141% | −18.7% | −59.4% | −12.9% | −41.2% | +39.5% | +5.8% | −40.3% | −19.3% | +128% | −57.4% | −24.8% | +23.2% | +5.2% | +26.5% | −5.7% | −4.0% | +27.4% | +32.8% | +246% | −31.6% | −25.3% | −16.8% | +35.4% | −15.8% | +39.3% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 18 of 29 | +14.9% | +62.4% | +11.8% | +32.9% | +38.4% | −8.2% | +14.2% | −23.9% | +2.0% | +31.2% | −39.2% | +21.3% | +22.8% | +29.9% | +37.3% | +20.2% | +49.6% | −58.8% | +38.8% | +14.3% | +49.2% | +106% | +457% | −75.2% | −31.0% | +32.3% | −0.5% | +11.4% | +54.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 16 of 29 | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% | +24.2% | +13.6% | −9.8% | +13.1% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 11 of 24 | +7.7% | −16.0% | −0.8% | +42.9% | +64.6% | −13.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% | +23.4% | +38.3% | −16.6% | −22.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.7% | −0.1% | +57.8% | −43.2% | +22.8% | +22.0% | +51.4% | +45.6% | +43.8% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| SHEL Shell plc | 13 of 29 | +22.2% | −0.9% | +20.2% | +36.0% | +28.4% | −37.4% | +7.7% | −7.5% | +31.0% | +28.2% | −27.1% | −1.3% | +9.0% | −0.9% | +14.8% | +17.6% | +20.9% | −34.2% | +23.5% | +19.3% | +12.8% | +14.4% | +24.5% | −7.3% | −17.1% | +2.4% | +29.8% | −9.0% | +30.7% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 11 of 29 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% | +8.1% | −18.3% | +30.5% | +33.7% | +11.5% | +25.6% | +35.4% | −23.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +7.2% | +11.1% | +22.1% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 16 of 29 | +27.6% | −14.7% | +14.1% | +34.9% | +26.0% | −16.6% | +10.3% | −0.8% | +14.3% | +20.0% | −7.0% | −12.1% | +25.0% | +8.0% | +1.7% | −11.3% | +22.6% | −29.8% | +18.9% | +21.3% | +18.8% | +22.6% | +33.4% | +4.0% | −1.3% | +6.5% | +41.6% | −9.2% | +41.4% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 4 of 16 | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −11.4% | +4.3% | −2.0% | +56.9% | +88.6% | −38.6% | −2.8% | −18.7% | +7.5% | +44.0% | −22.5% | +10.3% | +39.7% | +23.4% | +8.5% | −5.5% | +47.4% | −25.0% | +43.6% | −14.6% | +106% | +55.3% | +16.1% | +2.5% | −28.1% | +212% | +2.5% | −18.0% | −15.5% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 11 of 29 | +24.5% | −11.9% | +6.0% | +37.0% | +36.4% | −41.3% | +5.9% | −4.6% | +20.0% | +28.8% | −12.8% | −17.6% | +22.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | −22.7% | +32.9% | −32.5% | +13.2% | +8.0% | +13.6% | +22.2% | +26.4% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | +33.8% | +17.8% | +16.5% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 13 of 29 | +3.3% | −24.5% | −0.8% | +81.1% | +39.6% | −43.8% | +17.8% | −44.7% | −18.5% | +23.5% | −16.3% | −3.6% | +32.1% | +3.0% | −17.2% | +30.0% | +56.2% | −56.5% | +57.1% | +31.1% | +46.6% | +23.8% | +32.0% | −22.2% | −30.3% | +43.9% | +34.9% | −41.6% | +63.2% |
Risk and diversification
How XOM has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were XOM's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents XOM's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: XOM fell 62.4% from June 2014 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 27.6%.
- In three of XOM's four worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 22 months, after XOM fell 62.4% from June 2014 to March 2020.
Green means XOM fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | XOM fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −62.4% | +27.6% | Jun 2014 | Mar 2020 | 5.8 years | Jan 2022 | 22 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −37.3% | −24.2% | May 2008 | Jul 2010 | 2.2 years | Jan 2012 | 18 months |
| Dot-com bust | −33.6% | −37.7% | Nov 2000 | Jul 2002 | 20 months | Apr 2004 | 21 months |
| No named crash | −33.0% | — | Aug 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 months | Jul 1989 | 21 months |
| 2022 bear market | −20.5% | −7.7% | Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 month | Oct 2022 | 3 months |
How did XOM do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far XOM, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than XOM in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- XOM fell further than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when XOM fell 47.9% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than XOM.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM This pageExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | — | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 1 of 7 | −3.7% | −30.2% | −72.4% | −36.7% | −6.9% | −48.2% | −39.5% | — | — | — |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 1 of 9 | −7.6% | −26.6% | −71.2% | −26.3% | −8.4% | −54.9% | −37.6% | −1.6% | −80.1% | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 1 of 8 | −8.4% | −48.6% | −67.3% | −44.6% | −12.6% | −49.1% | −15.5% | −0.3% | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 3 of 10 | −2.5% | −33.7% | −49.7% | −23.2% | −6.9% | −30.6% | −25.1% | −1.1% | −61.8% | −22.9% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 1 of 10 | −17.8% | −45.2% | −73.5% | −27.3% | −8.9% | −48.7% | −22.0% | −1.6% | −65.2% | −75.8% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −23.0% | −57.0% | −25.4% | −7.0% | −78.9% | −26.7% | −3.4% | −75.3% | −98.0% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 3 of 10 | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 1 of 9 | −2.8% | −24.5% | −49.0% | −29.1% | −4.4% | −34.9% | −19.9% | −1.0% | −68.4% | — |
| SHEL Shell plc | 2 of 10 | −3.7% | −25.0% | −57.0% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −35.9% | −19.6% | −2.6% | −53.7% | −36.2% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 4 of 10 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 3 of 10 | −4.5% | −24.6% | −49.3% | −22.2% | −5.4% | −21.5% | −26.0% | −2.1% | −50.8% | −25.1% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 0 of 8 | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | — | — |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −7.4% | −33.4% | −61.5% | −37.3% | −11.3% | −31.7% | −35.8% | −1.5% | −68.0% | −52.7% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 3 of 10 | −4.2% | −23.9% | −55.5% | −20.9% | −5.0% | −22.9% | −23.9% | −2.5% | −53.4% | −31.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 0 of 10 | −8.8% | −36.8% | −64.9% | −43.6% | −10.9% | −27.1% | −38.9% | −3.8% | −68.0% | −59.8% |
How closely does XOM move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares XOM with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Nine of the 16 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than XOM's 0.94, led by PBR, EQNR and MPC.
- EQNR took just 52% of the S&P 500's losses, against 83% for XOM, while still keeping 79% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, XOM captured 78% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 83% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.76. Its share of the market's losses was slightly larger than its share of the gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than XOM's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM This pageExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 104% | 63% | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 79% | 52% | 1.51 | 0.62 |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 138% | 95% | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| SHEL Shell plc | 60% | 43% | 1.40 | 0.45 |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 69% | 57% | 1.22 | 0.51 |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.70 |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 85% | 78% | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 58% | 62% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 127% | 139% | 0.91 | 1.13 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 144% | 206% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 92% | 135% | 0.69 | 1.17 |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 104% | 212% | 0.49 | 1.54 |
What diversifies XOM?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with XOM's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing XOM with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in XOM into SMH would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+26.9% for XOM alone, +31.1% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and DBEF have moved largely independently of XOM over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.24 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in seven of the ten calendar years in which XOM lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which XOM lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% XOM and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2023 | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2009 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +232% | 1.04 | −6.3% | −36.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | −12.8% | −6.0% | −12.6% | −13.1% | −8.9% | −7.5% | 27.0% | +26.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.20 | +225% | 1.34 | +42.0% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +22.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +2.0% | −20.8% | — | — | 22.2% | +27.6% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.15 | +323% | 0.97 | +73.4% | +55.5% | −9.1% | +38.5% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +60.5% | −44.7% | −47.0% | −14.6% | 21.6% | +31.1% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.24 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +20.1% | +2.1% | −9.5% | +16.7% | +4.1% | +3.4% | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | +24.8% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.06 | +126% | 0.96 | +12.7% | +24.8% | −1.9% | +12.8% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +24.0% | +4.9% | — | — | 22.1% | +26.1% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.00 | +136% | 0.93 | +17.6% | +28.2% | −0.9% | +27.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | +26.9% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.47 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +17.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | +25.1% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.42 | +76.6% | 0.90 | +9.3% | +2.3% | −5.5% | +17.1% | −1.0% | +13.2% | +19.9% | −35.9% | — | — | 22.9% | +24.4% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.22 | +109% | 0.90 | +14.2% | −0.2% | −11.1% | +21.9% | −4.1% | +12.8% | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | +25.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2023 | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2009 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +232% | 1.04 | −6.3% | −36.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | −12.8% | −6.0% | −12.6% | −13.1% | −8.9% | −7.5% | 27.0% | +26.9% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.13 | +479% | 1.55 | +34.1% | +10.1% | −24.5% | −12.7% | +12.6% | +23.0% | −4.4% | −39.6% | −8.3% | −2.5% | 22.9% | +30.2% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.04 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +160% | −2.4% | −16.3% | −11.6% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +105% | −20.5% | −65.1% | −25.6% | 24.1% | +44.8% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.07 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +79.6% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +17.8% | −15.2% | −9.4% | +73.7% | 24.0% | +40.0% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.29 | +413% | 1.44 | +24.1% | +27.1% | −28.4% | +12.0% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +62.9% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | 23.5% | +29.3% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.15 | +594% | 1.36 | +37.8% | −7.2% | −37.5% | +48.4% | −36.3% | +50.9% | +51.3% | −67.4% | −33.1% | +9.8% | 23.7% | +32.6% |
Common questions
What was XOM's worst drawdown?
XOM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 62.4%, from June 2014 to March 2020. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were XOM's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, XOM's best year was 2022, when it returned 87.4%. Its worst was 2020, with a return of -36.2%.
Is there a better investment than XOM?
Among XOM's popular alternatives, MPC, YPF and PBR were ahead of XOM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (33.4%, 54.1% and 37.5% volatility against 26.5%). Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PBR-A (integrated oil & gas) and VLO (oil & gas) were ahead of XOM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (37.5% and 36.9% volatility against 26.5%).
Is XOM more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. XOM's volatility over the past 5 years was 26.5%, 1.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, XOM's return lands within 26.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is XOM's Sharpe ratio?
XOM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.04, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so XOM earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is XOM with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, XOM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.13 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against XOM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a XOM holding.
What are the best alternatives to XOM?
Of the 16 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed XOM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: MPC, PBR and SU.
Did XOM outperform the S&P 500?
XOM finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 12 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +16.0%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did XOM do in stock market crashes?
XOM fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in five. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when XOM fell 47.9% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies XOM?
These had a low correlation with XOM over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.20), SMH (correlation -0.15) and DBEF (correlation 0.24); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.13), CLS (correlation -0.04) and FIX (correlation 0.07). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than XOM's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of XOM's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.