Relative Intelligence · Integrated Oil & Gas

How BP p.l.c. (BP) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on BP alone. It places BP (BP p.l.c.) against 17 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where BP stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: BP's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, BP rose 19.0% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Both BP and the S&P 500 are within a few percent of a record high. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?BP's 19.0% gain over the past 3 months is part of a broader integrated oil & gas rally: the integrated oil & gas ETF IXC (iShares Global Energy ETF) rose 16.8%, with XOM (Exxonmobil, up 20.7%) and CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%). Last month cut against the tape: BP rose 14.4% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsBP has run far ahead of the market, rising 56.3% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termBP turned $10,000 into $24,100 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. That said, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: BP rose 110% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, BP has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. In the Covid crash, BP fell 55.5%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than XOM (Exxonmobil, 47.9%) but less than SHEL (Shell, 57.0%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, BP has a correlation of 0.12 over 5 years, less closely than 94% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. BP's link to the S&P 500 has loosened: a correlation of 0.12 over the past 5 years, down from 0.50 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- PAA (Plains All American Pipeline, oil & gas midstream) and PAGP (Plains GP, oil & gas midstream) earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years. PAA returned 27.0% a year at 25.6% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.7%.
- Whole market
- 97 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT (Walmart), JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.) and XOM (Exxonmobil).
How much would $10,000 in BP have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in BP over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of BP over the same span and BP's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in BP at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $36,813 by September 2026, less than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- All eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of BP, and VLO finished highest, at $1,019,941.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 817 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of BP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- VLO$1M+10,099% total · +17.3% a year
- IMO$350,553+3,406% total · +13.0% a year
- SU$282,795+2,728% total · +12.2% a year
- COP$156,444+1,464% total · +9.9% a year
- CVX$142,109+1,321% total · +9.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- XOM$124,235+1,142% total · +9.1% a year
- E$101,879+919% total · +8.3% a year
- SHEL$63,537+535% total · +6.6% a year
- BP$36,813+268% total · +4.6% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 735 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of BP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- YPF$107,580+976% total · +60.8% a year
- PBR$64,214+542% total · +45.1% a year
- VLO$64,131+541% total · +45.0% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- XOM$32,965+230% total · +26.9% a year
- E$27,904+179% total · +22.8% a year
- SHEL$25,892+159% total · +21.0% a year
- CVX$24,595+146% total · +19.7% a year
- BP$20,643+106% total · +15.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
BP at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- BP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 63.9%, from May 2018 to October 2020. It took 28 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, BP's best was 2022, when it returned 37.0%, and its worst was 2020, when it lost 41.3%. It lost money in ten of those years.
- BP is 1.6% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $130B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +56.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +46.5%+13.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +110%+16.0% a year
- Past 10 years
- +141%+9.2% a year
- Best calendar year
- +37.0%2022
- Worst calendar year
- −41.3%2020
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 28.7%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.66return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −63.9%May 2018 to Oct 2020
- From its all-time high
- −1.6%below the peak
BP against the whole market
Where BP ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does BP rank among all stocks?
This section ranks BP on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how BP stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- BP's 1-year return ranks in the top 14% of the 3,287 stocks worth at least $300 million with 1 year of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | BP | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +56.3% | 468 of 3,287 | top 14% |
| 3-year return | +46.5% | 1,607 of 3,017 | bottom 48% |
| 5-year return | +110% | 623 of 2,893 | top 22% |
| 10-year return | +141% | 1,124 of 2,202 | bottom 50% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 28.7% | 619 of 2,893 | top 21% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.66 | 539 of 2,893 | top 19% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −63.9% | 1,040 of 2,187 | top 48% |
What has beaten BP on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). BP sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than BP with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 57 stocks and 40 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than BP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half BP's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 14% less than BP's 28.7%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.66 for BP.
- Among BP's popular alternatives, XOM, WMB and E are in the region. XOM earned 27.1% a year against 16.0% a year for BP, at 26.5% volatility, 8% less than BP's 28.7%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to BP; faint dots are 63 more of the 97 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× BP's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than BP?
Investments that beat BP over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among BP's popular alternatives, CVX, XOM and SHEL earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years. CVX returned 19.5% a year at 25.2% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.7%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PAA (oil & gas midstream) and PAGP (oil & gas midstream) earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years. PAA returned 27.0% a year at 25.6% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.7%.
- Across the whole market, 97 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT, JPM and XOM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat BP over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks BP's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than BP follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than BP's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× BP's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than BP's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with BP?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +16.0% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | +141% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.12 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against BP. 15 of 17 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.71 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.74 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.87 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.78 | — | ||
YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima · Integrated Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +60.7% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | +173% | 0.32 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +23.4% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | +616% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Integrated Oil & Gas and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Oilfield Services), plus BP's specific themes. 17 of 69 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.65 | — | |
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.40 | — | |
PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.63 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.56 | — | ||
WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher return, similar volatility | +23.5% | 27.6% | 0.91 | −91.9% | +128% | 0.45 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 387 of 3,547 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.00 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.10 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.27 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.25 | — | ||
EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | -0.09 | 0.59% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | -0.10 | 0.40% | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | -0.08 | — | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.29 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for BP
- Annual return
- BP returned 16.0% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $21,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- BP's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.7%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, BP's return lands within 28.7% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- BP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.66, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so BP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- BP's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 63.9%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 63.9% fall takes a 177% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, BP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.12 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against BP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a BP holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 97 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than BP with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 76 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with BP | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.00 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.10 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.27 | — | |
| 4 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | -0.09 | 0.59% |
| 5 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.13 | — |
| 6 | Popular alternative | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.71 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | -0.10 | 0.40% | |
| 8 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | -0.09 | 0.19% |
| 9 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.31 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.39 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.16 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.17 | — | |
| 13 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.25 | — |
| 14 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.36 | — |
| 15 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.13 | — |
| 16 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.71 | 0.61% |
| 17 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.10 | — |
| 18 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.01 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.35 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.05 | — | |
| 21 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.16 | 0.48% |
| 22 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | -0.02 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.19 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.15 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.75 | 0.08% | |
| 26 | Whole market | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.23 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.23 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.20 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | -0.10 | 0.09% | |
| 30 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.35 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.11 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.32 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.36 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.11 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.17 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.28 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.10 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.20 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | -0.19 | — | |
| 40 | Popular alternative | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.74 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.12 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.37 | — | |
| 43 | Popular alternative | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.87 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.24 | — | |
| 45 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.61 | 0.80% |
| 46 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.65 | — |
| 47 | Popular alternative | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.78 | — | |
| 48 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.07 | — |
| 49 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | -0.05 | 0.13% |
| 50 | IXCiShares Global Energy ETF · International | Whole market | +20.7% | 23.2% | 0.93 | −64.2% | +183% | 0.82 | 0.37% |
| 51 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.63 | — |
| 52 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.08 | — |
| 53 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.24 | — |
| 54 | Same or nearby category | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.37 | — | |
| 55 | AIRRFirst Trust RBA American Industrial RenaissanceTM ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +18.3% | 25.9% | 0.78 | −42.4% | +407% | 0.06 | 0.69% |
| 56 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.28 | — |
| 57 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.20 | — |
| 58 | EUFNiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF · Financial Sector Equity | Whole market | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.35 | 0.49% |
| 59 | GARPiShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.5% | 22.5% | 0.83 | −31.4% | — | -0.08 | 0.15% |
| 60 | FRDMFreedom 100 Emerging Markets ETF · International | Whole market | +17.3% | 22.8% | 0.82 | −40.5% | — | -0.01 | 0.49% |
| 61 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.01 | 0.45% |
| 62 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.39 | — | |
| 63 | NANRState Street SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.6% | 0.83 | −49.1% | +241% | 0.52 | 0.35% |
| 64 | UMIUSCF Midstream Energy Income Fund · Energy | Whole market | +18.7% | 19.2% | 0.99 | −48.1% | — | 0.48 | 0.85% |
| 65 | Same or nearby category | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.43 | — | |
| 66 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.16 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.23 | — | |
| 68 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.09 | — |
| 69 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.36 | — |
| 70 | Popular alternative | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.28 | — | |
| 71 | Popular alternative | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.82 | — | |
| 72 | GHCGraham Holdings Company · Industrial Conglomerates | Whole market | +17.4% | 26.3% | 0.74 | −62.5% | +191% | 0.28 | — |
| 73 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.39 | — |
| 74 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.25 | — |
| 75 | ATMPBarclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.2% | 21.5% | 1.01 | −70.3% | +172% | 0.52 | 0.95% |
| 76 | UFOXDefiance Space and Connective Tech ETF · Technology | Whole market | +17.2% | 26.5% | 0.73 | −33.9% | — | -0.06 | 0.30% |
BP against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against BP, compared period by period and year by year.
How do BP's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at BP, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Six of the 17 popular alternatives, led by XOM, WMB and E, were both more rewarding and calmer than BP over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, BP returned 16.0% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (28.7% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than BP with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | +60.7% | 54.1% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | +50.3% | 37.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | +44.2% | 36.9% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | +34.3% | 32.0% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | +24.6% | 24.0% |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | +23.4% | 30.2% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | +23.0% | 25.6% |
| SHEL Shell plc | +21.0% | 24.8% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | +19.2% | 34.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | +18.0% | 25.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | +18.0% | 37.9% |
| BP This pageBP p.l.c. | +16.0% | 28.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | +10.0% | 37.5% |
Has BP consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares BP with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than BP helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Ten of the 17 popular alternatives, led by PBR, SU and VLO, outperformed BP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- PBR, SU and VLO outperformed BP in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- XOM, E and LNG earned more for the risk they took than BP (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than BP over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| BP BP p.l.c. (this page) | — | +14.4% | +19.0% | +12.1% | +43.0% | +56.3% | +46.5% | +110% | +141% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | — | $130B | — |
| PBR QualifiedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +24.6% | +45.4% | +31.0% | +128% | +140% | +132% | +667% | +674% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | — | $166B | — |
| SU QualifiedSuncor Energy Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| VLO QualifiedValero Energy Corporation | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +38.9% | +93.2% | +166% | +176% | +259% | +524% | +1,061% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | — | $125B | — |
| EQNR QualifiedEquinor ASA | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +7.7% | +23.4% | +29.6% | +92.7% | +107% | +73.2% | +141% | +416% | 34.4% | 0.69 | −66.8% | — | $109B | — |
| E QualifiedEni S.p.A. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +20.3% | +14.6% | +56.0% | +77.9% | +120% | +181% | +278% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | — | $86B | — |
| XOM QualifiedExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| EC QualifiedEcopetrol S.A. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +5.0% | +10.3% | +35.7% | +81.5% | +112% | +116% | +129% | +401% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | — | $36B | — |
| CVX QualifiedChevron Corporation | 3/5 short3/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| CVE QualifiedCenovus Energy Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| COP QualifiedConocoPhillips | 4/5 short2/3 long | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| IMO Oil & Gas IntegratedImperial Oil Limited | 2/5 short3/3 long | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +53.8% | +59.7% | +143% | +337% | +430% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | — | $65B | — |
| SHEL Oil & Gas IntegratedShell plc | 2/5 short3/3 long | +13.2% | +23.5% | +22.1% | +43.7% | +50.3% | +77.1% | +159% | +233% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | — | $301B | — |
| YPF Oil & Gas IntegratedYPF Sociedad Anónima | 2/5 short3/3 long | −4.5% | +0.7% | +23.9% | +39.9% | +102% | +313% | +971% | +173% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | — | $20B | — |
| LNG Oil & Gas MidstreamCheniere Energy, Inc. | 1/5 short3/3 long | +3.0% | +7.2% | +12.8% | +44.3% | +29.3% | +69.8% | +186% | +616% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | — | $59B | — |
| WMB Oil & Gas MidstreamThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −1.8% | −4.5% | +0.6% | +18.1% | +14.9% | +125% | +200% | +288% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | — | $86B | — |
| TTE Oil & Gas IntegratedTotalEnergies SE | 0/5 short3/3 long | +1.2% | +12.8% | +5.7% | +40.3% | +55.2% | +60.5% | +129% | +234% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | — | $201B | — |
| SLB Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSlb N.V. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | +8.3% | −3.3% | +26.4% | +53.2% | −7.2% | +60.7% | −21.3% | 37.5% | 0.44 | −84.5% | — | $74B | — |
How did BP do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where BP ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with BP and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, BP finished in the top quarter in two of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in seven. In 2025, it ranked 7 of 18.
- BP finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 12 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, TTE came out ahead of BP most often, in 20 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of BP; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places BP among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of BP | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP This pageBP p.l.c. | — | +24.5% | −11.9% | +6.0% | +37.0% | +36.4% | −41.3% | +5.9% | −4.6% | +20.0% | +28.8% | −12.8% | −17.6% | +22.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | −22.7% | +32.9% | −32.5% | +13.2% | +8.0% | +13.6% | +22.2% | +26.4% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | +33.8% | +17.8% | +16.5% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 2 of 29 | 7 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 10 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 15 of 18 | 14 of 18 | 8 of 18 | 7 of 18 | 7 of 18 | 5 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 8 of 18 | 14 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 18 of 18 | 7 of 17 | 6 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 12 of 16 | 15 of 16 | 14 of 16 | 10 of 16 | 6 of 15 | 14 of 14 | 6 of 14 | 3 of 14 | 11 of 14 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 16 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 14 of 25 | +2.3% | −2.9% | +89.6% | +55.4% | +19.3% | −29.0% | +24.2% | +27.7% | +1.8% | +135% | −41.1% | −45.1% | −28.3% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −18.1% | +101% | −55.6% | +132% | +51.1% | +85.0% | +43.9% | +111% | −32.0% | −1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 19 of 29 | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% | +82.6% | −64.0% | +38.4% | +25.4% | +79.0% | +42.3% | +61.2% | −3.9% | +29.7% | +25.1% | +42.2% | −11.2% | +68.4% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 19 of 29 | +37.0% | −2.9% | +5.9% | +75.0% | +40.3% | −35.7% | +30.3% | −15.7% | +40.0% | +0.7% | +46.8% | +0.3% | +65.0% | +66.3% | −7.8% | +39.6% | −20.3% | −68.5% | +37.9% | −0.4% | +128% | +97.9% | +26.6% | −2.1% | +3.6% | +88.6% | −4.8% | −31.5% | +209% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 15 of 24 | +7.7% | −16.0% | −0.8% | +42.9% | +64.6% | −13.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% | +23.4% | +38.3% | −16.6% | −22.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.7% | −0.1% | +57.8% | −43.2% | +22.8% | +22.0% | +51.4% | +45.6% | +43.8% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 15 of 29 | +49.0% | −13.6% | +27.5% | +11.0% | +44.9% | −28.1% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +15.9% | −8.8% | −23.6% | +4.8% | +26.6% | +1.0% | −7.2% | +13.4% | −29.9% | +12.9% | +20.6% | +10.8% | +39.6% | +28.8% | +32.9% | −1.5% | +20.1% | −16.4% | +21.9% | +13.9% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 17 of 29 | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% | −12.6% | −13.1% | +24.3% | +39.1% | +11.8% | +28.1% | +20.7% | −8.9% | −7.5% | +10.2% | +12.7% | +22.5% | +28.3% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 10 of 17 | +48.5% | −24.6% | +40.1% | −5.0% | +0.8% | −29.3% | +38.7% | +13.5% | +64.4% | +28.9% | −55.7% | −52.3% | −31.5% | +41.5% | +6.1% | +85.1% | +41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 18 of 29 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% | +8.1% | −18.3% | +30.5% | +33.7% | +11.5% | +25.6% | +35.4% | −23.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +7.2% | +11.1% | +22.1% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 8 of 16 | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 17 of 29 | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% | +24.2% | +13.6% | −9.8% | +13.1% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 19 of 29 | +43.8% | +10.5% | +20.6% | +38.0% | +95.3% | −25.4% | +7.2% | −17.2% | −8.8% | +8.5% | −23.5% | −1.7% | +4.0% | −2.3% | +10.9% | +6.0% | +15.8% | −38.0% | +49.9% | +11.9% | +69.7% | +36.1% | +58.5% | +6.2% | +9.3% | +25.5% | +40.3% | −21.1% | +41.9% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 13 of 29 | +22.2% | −0.9% | +20.2% | +36.0% | +28.4% | −37.4% | +7.7% | −7.5% | +31.0% | +28.2% | −27.1% | −1.3% | +9.0% | −0.9% | +14.8% | +17.6% | +20.9% | −34.2% | +23.5% | +19.3% | +12.8% | +14.4% | +24.5% | −7.3% | −17.1% | +2.4% | +29.8% | −9.0% | +30.7% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 12 of 29 | −14.9% | +147% | +87.1% | +141% | −18.7% | −59.4% | −12.9% | −41.2% | +39.5% | +5.8% | −40.3% | −19.3% | +128% | −57.4% | −24.8% | +23.2% | +5.2% | +26.5% | −5.7% | −4.0% | +27.4% | +32.8% | +246% | −31.6% | −25.3% | −16.8% | +35.4% | −15.8% | +39.3% |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 17 of 29 | −8.7% | +27.2% | +15.0% | +49.3% | +69.5% | −1.7% | +3.2% | +9.9% | +29.9% | +11.2% | −47.1% | +63.3% | +130% | +116% | +57.5% | +128% | −15.1% | −91.3% | +13.0% | −22.4% | +16.9% | +444% | +815% | +28.0% | −58.6% | −16.1% | −27.9% | −51.5% | −48.1% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 18 of 29 | +14.9% | +62.4% | +11.8% | +32.9% | +38.4% | −8.2% | +14.2% | −23.9% | +2.0% | +31.2% | −39.2% | +21.3% | +22.8% | +29.9% | +37.3% | +20.2% | +49.6% | −58.8% | +38.8% | +14.3% | +49.2% | +106% | +457% | −75.2% | −31.0% | +32.3% | −0.5% | +11.4% | +54.4% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 20 of 29 | +27.6% | −14.7% | +14.1% | +34.9% | +26.0% | −16.6% | +10.3% | −0.8% | +14.3% | +20.0% | −7.0% | −12.1% | +25.0% | +8.0% | +1.7% | −11.3% | +22.6% | −29.8% | +18.9% | +21.3% | +18.8% | +22.6% | +33.4% | +4.0% | −1.3% | +6.5% | +41.6% | −9.2% | +41.4% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 16 of 29 | +3.3% | −24.5% | −0.8% | +81.1% | +39.6% | −43.8% | +17.8% | −44.7% | −18.5% | +23.5% | −16.3% | −3.6% | +32.1% | +3.0% | −17.2% | +30.0% | +56.2% | −56.5% | +57.1% | +31.1% | +46.6% | +23.8% | +32.0% | −22.2% | −30.3% | +43.9% | +34.9% | −41.6% | +63.2% |
Risk and diversification
How BP has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were BP's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents BP's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of BP's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: BP fell 63.9% from May 2018 to October 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 25.4%.
- The slowest recovery came after BP fell 60.7% from November 2007 to June 2010; it did not regain that peak until May 2018, eight years later.
Green means BP fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | BP fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Late-2018 sell-off | −63.9% | +25.4% | May 2018 | Oct 2020 | 2.4 years | Feb 2023 | 2.3 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −60.7% | −24.6% | Nov 2007 | Jun 2010 | 2.6 years | May 2018 | 7.9 years |
| No named crash | −44.5% | — | Aug 1990 | Nov 1992 | 2.3 years | May 1994 | 18 months |
| Dot-com bust | −37.6% | −37.5% | Dec 1999 | Jan 2003 | 3.1 years | Apr 2004 | 15 months |
| No named crash | −35.7% | — | Jul 1987 | Dec 1987 | 5 months | Feb 1990 | 2.2 years |
How did BP do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far BP, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, CVX held up best, falling less than BP in eight of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- BP fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when BP fell 55.5% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than BP.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP This pageBP p.l.c. | — | −4.2% | −23.9% | −55.5% | −20.9% | −5.0% | −22.9% | −23.9% | −2.5% | −53.4% | −31.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 1 of 9 | −7.6% | −26.6% | −71.2% | −26.3% | −8.4% | −54.9% | −37.6% | −1.6% | −80.1% | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 1 of 10 | −3.5% | −31.9% | −61.3% | −42.0% | −6.9% | −24.2% | −35.6% | −4.3% | −80.7% | −54.1% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 5 of 9 | −2.8% | −24.5% | −49.0% | −29.1% | −4.4% | −34.9% | −19.9% | −1.0% | −68.4% | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 4 of 10 | −2.5% | −33.7% | −49.7% | −23.2% | −6.9% | −30.6% | −25.1% | −1.1% | −61.8% | −22.9% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 7 of 10 | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 2 of 8 | −8.4% | −48.6% | −67.3% | −44.6% | −12.6% | −49.1% | −15.5% | −0.3% | — | — |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 8 of 10 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 1 of 8 | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | — | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 2 of 10 | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 2 of 10 | −5.1% | −29.7% | −67.5% | −27.3% | −6.9% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −60.8% | −20.8% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 2 of 10 | −3.7% | −25.0% | −57.0% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −35.9% | −19.6% | −2.6% | −53.7% | −36.2% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 2 of 10 | −17.8% | −45.2% | −73.5% | −27.3% | −8.9% | −48.7% | −22.0% | −1.6% | −65.2% | −75.8% |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −1.3% | −17.8% | −46.1% | −21.3% | −5.1% | −66.5% | −62.4% | 0.0% | −97.7% | −84.4% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −3.4% | −23.0% | −57.0% | −25.4% | −7.0% | −78.9% | −26.7% | −3.4% | −75.3% | −98.0% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 4 of 10 | −4.5% | −24.6% | −49.3% | −22.2% | −5.4% | −21.5% | −26.0% | −2.1% | −50.8% | −25.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 0 of 10 | −8.8% | −36.8% | −64.9% | −43.6% | −10.9% | −27.1% | −38.9% | −3.8% | −68.0% | −59.8% |
How closely does BP move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares BP with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, BP captured 58% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 62% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.51. Its share of the market's losses was slightly larger than its share of the gains.
- 11 of the 17 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than BP's 0.94, led by LNG, PBR and EQNR.
- LNG took just 30% of the S&P 500's losses, against 62% for BP, while still keeping 79% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than BP's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP This pageBP p.l.c. | 58% | 62% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 79% | 30% | 2.65 | 0.77 |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 104% | 63% | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 79% | 52% | 1.51 | 0.62 |
| SHEL Shell plc | 60% | 43% | 1.40 | 0.45 |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 142% | 114% | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 69% | 57% | 1.22 | 0.51 |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.70 |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 85% | 78% | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 110% | 105% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 127% | 139% | 0.91 | 1.13 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 144% | 206% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 104% | 212% | 0.49 | 1.54 |
What diversifies BP?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with BP's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing BP with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in BP into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+15.6% for BP alone, +17.2% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and HDV have moved largely independently of BP over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- CAH made money in six of the ten calendar years in which BP lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which BP lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% BP and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2010 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP BP p.l.c. (this page) | 1.00 | +110% | 0.66 | −11.9% | −41.3% | −4.6% | −12.8% | −17.6% | −22.7% | −32.5% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | 28.0% | +15.6% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.16 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | −1.8% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 22.9% | +18.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.40 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | −13.4% | −8.7% | −25.3% | +23.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 23.7% | +16.2% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.49 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +14.1% | −6.5% | −3.0% | −0.3% | +12.6% | — | — | — | — | — | 23.9% | +15.4% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.13 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | +55.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +19.0% | −44.7% | −47.0% | −14.6% | — | 22.6% | +21.7% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.24 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +2.1% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | +15.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | -0.10 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | +24.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +29.3% | +4.9% | — | — | — | 22.3% | +17.2% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -0.05 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | +28.2% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | +17.9% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.47 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +7.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.0% | +16.1% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2010 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP BP p.l.c. (this page) | 1.00 | +110% | 0.66 | −11.9% | −41.3% | −4.6% | −12.8% | −17.6% | −22.7% | −32.5% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | 28.0% | +15.6% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.00 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +10.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +21.4% | −39.6% | −8.3% | −2.5% | +108% | 23.0% | +21.1% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.09 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | −2.4% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +2.8% | −20.5% | −65.1% | −25.6% | −2.3% | 26.2% | +34.1% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.04 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +8.7% | −15.2% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −71.1% | 24.4% | +30.1% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.10 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +27.1% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +13.8% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | +61.2% | 23.4% | +20.3% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.09 | +594% | 1.36 | +103% | −7.2% | −37.5% | −36.3% | +50.9% | −2.8% | −67.4% | −33.1% | +9.8% | −15.9% | 24.0% | +23.3% |
Common questions
What was BP's worst drawdown?
BP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 63.9%, from May 2018 to October 2020. It took 28 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were BP's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, BP's best year was 2022, when it returned 37.0%. Its worst was 2020, with a return of -41.3%.
Is there a better investment than BP?
Among BP's popular alternatives, CVX, XOM and SHEL earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years. CVX returned 19.5% a year at 25.2% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.7%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PAA (oil & gas midstream) and PAGP (oil & gas midstream) earned more than BP with less volatility over the past 5 years. PAA returned 27.0% a year at 25.6% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.7%.
Is BP more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. BP's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.7%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, BP's return lands within 28.7% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is BP's Sharpe ratio?
BP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.66, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so BP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is BP with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, BP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.12 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against BP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a BP holding.
What are the best alternatives to BP?
Of the 17 popular alternatives we compared, ten outperformed BP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: PBR, SU and VLO.
Did BP outperform the S&P 500?
BP finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 12 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +24.5%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did BP do in stock market crashes?
BP fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when BP fell 55.5% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies BP?
These had a low correlation with BP over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.16), EMLP (correlation 0.40) and HDV (correlation 0.49); among large stocks, CAH (correlation -0.00), CLS (correlation 0.09) and FIX (correlation 0.04). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than BP's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of BP's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.