Relative Intelligence · Integrated Oil & Gas

How Shell (SHEL) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on SHEL alone. It places SHEL (Shell plc) against 17 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where SHEL stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: SHEL's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, SHEL rose 23.5% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its integrated oil & gas peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, up 45.4%) to TTE (TotalEnergies, up 12.8%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?Not a move of its own: the integrated oil & gas ETF XLE (State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF) rose 18.0% over the past 3 months, with XOM (Exxonmobil, up 20.7%) and CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%), against 3.9% for the S&P 500. Last month cut against the tape: SHEL rose 13.2% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsSHEL has run far ahead of the market, rising 50.3% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termSHEL turned $10,000 into $33,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Even so, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: SHEL rose 159% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, SHEL has typically fallen 1.3 times as far as the S&P 500. In the Covid crash, SHEL fell 57.0%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than XOM (Exxonmobil, 47.9%) but less than PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, 71.2%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, SHEL has a correlation of 0.07 over 5 years, less closely than 96% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. SHEL's link to the S&P 500 has loosened: a correlation of 0.07 over the past 5 years, down from 0.47 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- MPLX (oil & gas midstream) earned more than SHEL with less volatility over the past 5 years: 23.5% a year at 18.8% volatility, against 21.0% a year at 24.8%.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only five of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SHEL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them ABBV (AbbVie), TRV (Travelers Companies) and COR (Cencora).
How much would $10,000 in SHEL have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in SHEL over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of SHEL over the same span and SHEL's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in SHEL at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $63,537 by September 2026, less than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Seven of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of SHEL, and VLO finished highest, at $1,019,941.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 684 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of SHEL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- VLO$1M+10,099% total · +17.3% a year
- WMB$472,016+4,620% total · +14.2% a year
- LNG$451,390+4,414% total · +14.0% a year
- IMO$350,553+3,406% total · +13.0% a year
- SU$282,795+2,728% total · +12.2% a year
- COP$156,444+1,464% total · +9.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- E$101,879+919% total · +8.3% a year
- SHEL$63,537+535% total · +6.6% a year
- YPF$45,576+356% total · +5.4% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 468 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of SHEL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- YPF$107,580+976% total · +60.8% a year
- PBR$64,214+542% total · +45.1% a year
- VLO$64,131+541% total · +45.0% a year
- IMO$44,071+341% total · +34.5% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- XOM$32,965+230% total · +26.9% a year
- E$27,904+179% total · +22.8% a year
- SHEL$25,892+159% total · +21.0% a year
- EC$23,114+131% total · +18.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
SHEL at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- SHEL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 67.2%, from May 2018 to March 2020. It took 27 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, SHEL's best was 2022, when it returned 36.0%, and its worst was 2020, when it lost 37.4%. It lost money in ten of those years.
- SHEL is 1.1% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $301B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +50.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +77.1%+21.0% a year
- Past 5 years
- +159%+21.0% a year
- Past 10 years
- +233%+12.8% a year
- Best calendar year
- +36.0%2022
- Worst calendar year
- −37.4%2020
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 24.8%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.90return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −67.2%May 2018 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- −1.1%below the peak
SHEL against the whole market
Where SHEL ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does SHEL rank among all stocks?
This section ranks SHEL on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how SHEL stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), SHEL ranks in the top 6% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | SHEL | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +50.3% | 547 of 3,287 | top 17% |
| 3-year return | +77.1% | 1,165 of 3,017 | top 39% |
| 5-year return | +159% | 419 of 2,893 | top 14% |
| 10-year return | +233% | 765 of 2,202 | top 35% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 24.8% | 310 of 2,893 | top 11% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.90 | 176 of 2,893 | top 6% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −67.2% | 1,191 of 2,187 | bottom 47% |
What has beaten SHEL on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). SHEL sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than SHEL with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Four stocks and one ETF worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than SHEL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half SHEL's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 23% less than SHEL's 24.8%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.90 for SHEL.
- None of SHEL's popular alternatives made it, but MPLX (oil & gas midstream) did: 23.5% a year at 18.8% volatility, 24% less than SHEL's 24.8%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to SHEL. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- 1 with more than 1.6× SHEL's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than SHEL?
Investments that beat SHEL over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among SHEL's popular alternatives, XOM earned more for the risk it took than SHEL over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 61.0%, against 67.2% for SHEL.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, MPLX (oil & gas midstream) earned more than SHEL with less volatility over the past 5 years: 23.5% a year at 18.8% volatility, against 21.0% a year at 24.8%.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only five of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SHEL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them ABBV, TRV and COR.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat SHEL over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks SHEL's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than SHEL follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than SHEL's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× SHEL's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than SHEL's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with SHEL?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.07 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against SHEL. 7 of 17 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.78 | — | ||
YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima · Integrated Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +60.7% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | +173% | 0.28 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.59 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.56 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.71 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.40 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Integrated Oil & Gas and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Oilfield Services), plus SHEL's specific themes. 8 of 68 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.40 | — | ||
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.65 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.56 | — | ||
PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.62 | — | |
DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.27 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.45 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 100 of 3,548 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.03 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.21 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.34 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.20 | 0.48% | |
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | -0.01 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.28 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.05 | — | ||
SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.61 | 0.80% | |
What these numbers mean for SHEL
- Annual return
- SHEL returned 21.0% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $25,900. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- SHEL's volatility over the past 5 years was 24.8%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, SHEL's return lands within 24.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- SHEL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.90, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so SHEL earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- SHEL's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 67.2%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 67.2% fall takes a 205% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, SHEL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.07 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are close to unrelated, or move in opposite directions, so it can steady a stock portfolio. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against SHEL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a SHEL holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 5 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than SHEL with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with SHEL | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.03 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.34 | — | |
| 3 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.20 | 0.48% |
| 4 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.28 | — | |
| 5 | Same or nearby category | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.40 | — |
SHEL against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against SHEL, compared period by period and year by year.
How do SHEL's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at SHEL, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only WMB was both more rewarding and calmer than SHEL over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, SHEL returned 21.0% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (24.8% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than SHEL with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | +60.7% | 54.1% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | +50.3% | 37.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | +44.2% | 36.9% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | +34.3% | 32.0% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | +24.6% | 24.0% |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | +23.4% | 30.2% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | +23.0% | 25.6% |
| SHEL This pageShell plc | +21.0% | 24.8% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | +19.2% | 34.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | +18.0% | 25.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | +18.0% | 37.9% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | +16.0% | 28.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | +10.0% | 37.5% |
Has SHEL consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares SHEL with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than SHEL helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Four of the 17 popular alternatives, led by PBR, SU and VLO, outperformed SHEL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- PBR, SU and VLO outperformed SHEL in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- XOM and E earned more for the risk they took than SHEL (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than SHEL over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| SHEL Shell plc (this page) | — | +13.2% | +23.5% | +22.1% | +43.7% | +50.3% | +77.1% | +159% | +233% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | — | $301B | — |
| PBR QualifiedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +24.6% | +45.4% | +31.0% | +128% | +140% | +132% | +667% | +674% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | — | $166B | — |
| SU QualifiedSuncor Energy Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| VLO QualifiedValero Energy Corporation | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +38.9% | +93.2% | +166% | +176% | +259% | +524% | +1,061% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | — | $125B | — |
| EC QualifiedEcopetrol S.A. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +5.0% | +10.3% | +35.7% | +81.5% | +112% | +116% | +129% | +401% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | — | $36B | — |
| IMO Oil & Gas IntegratedImperial Oil Limited | 2/5 short3/3 long | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +53.8% | +59.7% | +143% | +337% | +430% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | — | $65B | — |
| E Oil & Gas IntegratedEni S.p.A. | 2/5 short3/3 long | +10.2% | +20.3% | +14.6% | +56.0% | +77.9% | +120% | +181% | +278% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | — | $86B | — |
| WMB Oil & Gas MidstreamThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −1.8% | −4.5% | +0.6% | +18.1% | +14.9% | +125% | +200% | +288% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | — | $86B | — |
| YPF Oil & Gas IntegratedYPF Sociedad Anónima | 2/5 short2/3 long | −4.5% | +0.7% | +23.9% | +39.9% | +102% | +313% | +971% | +173% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | — | $20B | — |
| LNG Oil & Gas MidstreamCheniere Energy, Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | +3.0% | +7.2% | +12.8% | +44.3% | +29.3% | +69.8% | +186% | +616% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | — | $59B | — |
| COP Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionConocoPhillips | 5/5 short1/3 long | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| EQNR Oil & Gas IntegratedEquinor ASA | 3/5 short1/3 long | +7.7% | +23.4% | +29.6% | +92.7% | +107% | +73.2% | +141% | +416% | 34.4% | 0.69 | −66.8% | — | $109B | — |
| CVE Oil & Gas IntegratedCenovus Energy Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| XOM Oil & Gas IntegratedExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 2/5 short1/3 long | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| CVX Oil & Gas IntegratedChevron Corporation | 3/5 short0/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| BP Oil & Gas IntegratedBP p.l.c. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +19.0% | +12.1% | +43.0% | +56.3% | +46.5% | +110% | +141% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | — | $130B | — |
| TTE Oil & Gas IntegratedTotalEnergies SE | 1/5 short0/3 long | +1.2% | +12.8% | +5.7% | +40.3% | +55.2% | +60.5% | +129% | +234% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | — | $201B | — |
| SLB Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSlb N.V. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | +8.3% | −3.3% | +26.4% | +53.2% | −7.2% | +60.7% | −21.3% | 37.5% | 0.44 | −84.5% | — | $74B | — |
How did SHEL do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where SHEL ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with SHEL and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- SHEL finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 14 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, VLO came out ahead of SHEL most often, in 19 of the 29 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, SHEL finished in the top quarter in three of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 18.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of SHEL; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places SHEL among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of SHEL | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL This pageShell plc | — | +22.2% | −0.9% | +20.2% | +36.0% | +28.4% | −37.4% | +7.7% | −7.5% | +31.0% | +28.2% | −27.1% | −1.3% | +9.0% | −0.9% | +14.8% | +17.6% | +20.9% | −34.2% | +23.5% | +19.3% | +12.8% | +14.4% | +24.5% | −7.3% | −17.1% | +2.4% | +29.8% | −9.0% | +30.7% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 3 of 29 | 8 of 18 | 8 of 18 | 6 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 14 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 10 of 18 | 9 of 18 | 4 of 18 | 8 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 5 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 15 of 18 | 5 of 18 | 10 of 18 | 9 of 17 | 7 of 16 | 10 of 16 | 10 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 16 of 16 | 15 of 16 | 8 of 16 | 11 of 15 | 10 of 14 | 7 of 14 | 6 of 14 | 8 of 14 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 14 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 13 of 25 | +2.3% | −2.9% | +89.6% | +55.4% | +19.3% | −29.0% | +24.2% | +27.7% | +1.8% | +135% | −41.1% | −45.1% | −28.3% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −18.1% | +101% | −55.6% | +132% | +51.1% | +85.0% | +43.9% | +111% | −32.0% | −1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 18 of 29 | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% | +82.6% | −64.0% | +38.4% | +25.4% | +79.0% | +42.3% | +61.2% | −3.9% | +29.7% | +25.1% | +42.2% | −11.2% | +68.4% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 19 of 29 | +37.0% | −2.9% | +5.9% | +75.0% | +40.3% | −35.7% | +30.3% | −15.7% | +40.0% | +0.7% | +46.8% | +0.3% | +65.0% | +66.3% | −7.8% | +39.6% | −20.3% | −68.5% | +37.9% | −0.4% | +128% | +97.9% | +26.6% | −2.1% | +3.6% | +88.6% | −4.8% | −31.5% | +209% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 9 of 17 | +48.5% | −24.6% | +40.1% | −5.0% | +0.8% | −29.3% | +38.7% | +13.5% | +64.4% | +28.9% | −55.7% | −52.3% | −31.5% | +41.5% | +6.1% | +85.1% | +41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 15 of 29 | +43.8% | +10.5% | +20.6% | +38.0% | +95.3% | −25.4% | +7.2% | −17.2% | −8.8% | +8.5% | −23.5% | −1.7% | +4.0% | −2.3% | +10.9% | +6.0% | +15.8% | −38.0% | +49.9% | +11.9% | +69.7% | +36.1% | +58.5% | +6.2% | +9.3% | +25.5% | +40.3% | −21.1% | +41.9% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 15 of 29 | +49.0% | −13.6% | +27.5% | +11.0% | +44.9% | −28.1% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +15.9% | −8.8% | −23.6% | +4.8% | +26.6% | +1.0% | −7.2% | +13.4% | −29.9% | +12.9% | +20.6% | +10.8% | +39.6% | +28.8% | +32.9% | −1.5% | +20.1% | −16.4% | +21.9% | +13.9% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 18 of 29 | +14.9% | +62.4% | +11.8% | +32.9% | +38.4% | −8.2% | +14.2% | −23.9% | +2.0% | +31.2% | −39.2% | +21.3% | +22.8% | +29.9% | +37.3% | +20.2% | +49.6% | −58.8% | +38.8% | +14.3% | +49.2% | +106% | +457% | −75.2% | −31.0% | +32.3% | −0.5% | +11.4% | +54.4% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 12 of 29 | −14.9% | +147% | +87.1% | +141% | −18.7% | −59.4% | −12.9% | −41.2% | +39.5% | +5.8% | −40.3% | −19.3% | +128% | −57.4% | −24.8% | +23.2% | +5.2% | +26.5% | −5.7% | −4.0% | +27.4% | +32.8% | +246% | −31.6% | −25.3% | −16.8% | +35.4% | −15.8% | +39.3% |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 14 of 29 | −8.7% | +27.2% | +15.0% | +49.3% | +69.5% | −1.7% | +3.2% | +9.9% | +29.9% | +11.2% | −47.1% | +63.3% | +130% | +116% | +57.5% | +128% | −15.1% | −91.3% | +13.0% | −22.4% | +16.9% | +444% | +815% | +28.0% | −58.6% | −16.1% | −27.9% | −51.5% | −48.1% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 15 of 29 | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% | +24.2% | +13.6% | −9.8% | +13.1% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 13 of 24 | +7.7% | −16.0% | −0.8% | +42.9% | +64.6% | −13.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% | +23.4% | +38.3% | −16.6% | −22.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.7% | −0.1% | +57.8% | −43.2% | +22.8% | +22.0% | +51.4% | +45.6% | +43.8% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 5 of 16 | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 15 of 29 | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% | −12.6% | −13.1% | +24.3% | +39.1% | +11.8% | +28.1% | +20.7% | −8.9% | −7.5% | +10.2% | +12.7% | +22.5% | +28.3% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 18 of 29 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% | +8.1% | −18.3% | +30.5% | +33.7% | +11.5% | +25.6% | +35.4% | −23.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +7.2% | +11.1% | +22.1% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 14 of 29 | +24.5% | −11.9% | +6.0% | +37.0% | +36.4% | −41.3% | +5.9% | −4.6% | +20.0% | +28.8% | −12.8% | −17.6% | +22.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | −22.7% | +32.9% | −32.5% | +13.2% | +8.0% | +13.6% | +22.2% | +26.4% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | +33.8% | +17.8% | +16.5% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 18 of 29 | +27.6% | −14.7% | +14.1% | +34.9% | +26.0% | −16.6% | +10.3% | −0.8% | +14.3% | +20.0% | −7.0% | −12.1% | +25.0% | +8.0% | +1.7% | −11.3% | +22.6% | −29.8% | +18.9% | +21.3% | +18.8% | +22.6% | +33.4% | +4.0% | −1.3% | +6.5% | +41.6% | −9.2% | +41.4% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 16 of 29 | +3.3% | −24.5% | −0.8% | +81.1% | +39.6% | −43.8% | +17.8% | −44.7% | −18.5% | +23.5% | −16.3% | −3.6% | +32.1% | +3.0% | −17.2% | +30.0% | +56.2% | −56.5% | +57.1% | +31.1% | +46.6% | +23.8% | +32.0% | −22.2% | −30.3% | +43.9% | +34.9% | −41.6% | +63.2% |
Risk and diversification
How SHEL has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were SHEL's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents SHEL's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of SHEL's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: SHEL fell 51.5% from July 2014 to January 2016, while the S&P 500 slipped only 2.9%.
- The slowest recovery came after SHEL fell 67.2% from May 2018 to March 2020; it did not regain that peak until June 2022, two years later.
Green means SHEL fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | SHEL fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Late-2018 sell-off | −67.2% | −9.2% | May 2018 | Mar 2020 | 22 months | Jun 2022 | 2.3 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −53.7% | −48.8% | May 2008 | Mar 2009 | 10 months | Apr 2011 | 2.1 years |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −51.5% | −2.9% | Jul 2014 | Jan 2016 | 18 months | Dec 2017 | 23 months |
| Dot-com bust | −39.0% | −37.2% | Oct 2000 | Mar 2003 | 2.4 years | Nov 2004 | 20 months |
| No named crash | −32.8% | — | Nov 1986 | Dec 1986 | 1 month | Dec 1986 | Under a month |
How did SHEL do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far SHEL, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, CVX held up best, falling less than SHEL in eight of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- SHEL fell further than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when SHEL fell 57.0% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than SHEL.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL This pageShell plc | — | −3.7% | −25.0% | −57.0% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −35.9% | −19.6% | −2.6% | −53.7% | −36.2% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 1 of 9 | −7.6% | −26.6% | −71.2% | −26.3% | −8.4% | −54.9% | −37.6% | −1.6% | −80.1% | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 3 of 10 | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 1 of 10 | −3.5% | −31.9% | −61.3% | −42.0% | −6.9% | −24.2% | −35.6% | −4.3% | −80.7% | −54.1% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 2 of 8 | −8.4% | −48.6% | −67.3% | −44.6% | −12.6% | −49.1% | −15.5% | −0.3% | — | — |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 3 of 10 | −5.1% | −29.7% | −67.5% | −27.3% | −6.9% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −60.8% | −20.8% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 5 of 10 | −2.5% | −33.7% | −49.7% | −23.2% | −6.9% | −30.6% | −25.1% | −1.1% | −61.8% | −22.9% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −23.0% | −57.0% | −25.4% | −7.0% | −78.9% | −26.7% | −3.4% | −75.3% | −98.0% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 1 of 10 | −17.8% | −45.2% | −73.5% | −27.3% | −8.9% | −48.7% | −22.0% | −1.6% | −65.2% | −75.8% |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −1.3% | −17.8% | −46.1% | −21.3% | −5.1% | −66.5% | −62.4% | 0.0% | −97.7% | −84.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 3 of 10 | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 6 of 9 | −2.8% | −24.5% | −49.0% | −29.1% | −4.4% | −34.9% | −19.9% | −1.0% | −68.4% | — |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 1 of 8 | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | — | — |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 7 of 10 | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 8 of 10 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 5 of 10 | −4.2% | −23.9% | −55.5% | −20.9% | −5.0% | −22.9% | −23.9% | −2.5% | −53.4% | −31.1% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 6 of 10 | −4.5% | −24.6% | −49.3% | −22.2% | −5.4% | −21.5% | −26.0% | −2.1% | −50.8% | −25.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 1 of 10 | −8.8% | −36.8% | −64.9% | −43.6% | −10.9% | −27.1% | −38.9% | −3.8% | −68.0% | −59.8% |
How closely does SHEL move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares SHEL with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, SHEL captured 60% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 43% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.45. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only LNG, PBR and EQNR had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than SHEL's 1.40, out of 17 popular alternatives with the same record.
- LNG took just 30% of the S&P 500's losses, against 43% for SHEL, while still keeping 79% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than SHEL's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL This pageShell plc | 60% | 43% | 1.40 | 0.45 |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 79% | 30% | 2.65 | 0.77 |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 104% | 63% | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 79% | 52% | 1.51 | 0.62 |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 142% | 114% | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 69% | 57% | 1.22 | 0.51 |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.70 |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 85% | 78% | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 110% | 105% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 58% | 62% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 127% | 139% | 0.91 | 1.13 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 144% | 206% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 104% | 212% | 0.49 | 1.54 |
What diversifies SHEL?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with SHEL's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing SHEL with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in SHEL into SPMO would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+21.0% for SHEL alone, +22.0% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and SMH have moved largely independently of SHEL over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.43 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in six of the ten calendar years in which SHEL lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which SHEL lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% SHEL and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2012 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL Shell plc (this page) | 1.00 | +159% | 0.90 | −0.9% | −37.4% | −7.5% | −27.1% | −1.3% | −0.9% | −34.2% | −7.3% | −17.1% | −9.0% | 21.8% | +21.0% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.20 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +19.6% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 18.1% | +22.6% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.43 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | −13.4% | −8.7% | −25.3% | +23.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 18.9% | +20.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.16 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | +55.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +8.6% | −44.7% | −47.0% | −14.6% | — | 17.7% | +25.9% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.22 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +2.1% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +20.9% | — | — | — | — | 18.0% | +19.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.04 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | +24.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +6.6% | +4.9% | — | — | — | 17.9% | +21.1% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -0.10 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | +28.2% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.5% | +22.0% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.49 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +7.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.2% | +20.2% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.30 | +76.6% | 0.90 | +16.0% | +2.3% | −5.5% | −1.0% | +13.2% | +15.2% | −35.9% | — | — | — | 18.5% | +19.6% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2012 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL Shell plc (this page) | 1.00 | +159% | 0.90 | −0.9% | −37.4% | −7.5% | −27.1% | −1.3% | −0.9% | −34.2% | −7.3% | −17.1% | −9.0% | 21.8% | +21.0% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.05 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +10.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +3.8% | −39.6% | −8.3% | −2.5% | +51.7% | 18.4% | +25.2% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.04 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | −2.4% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +11.2% | −20.5% | −65.1% | −25.6% | — | 21.4% | +38.8% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | -0.04 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +15.7% | −15.2% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −9.5% | 19.2% | +34.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.22 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +27.1% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +25.6% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | +46.9% | 19.2% | +24.4% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.17 | +594% | 1.36 | +103% | −7.2% | −37.5% | −36.3% | +50.9% | +2.9% | −67.4% | −33.1% | +9.8% | +7.0% | 19.8% | +27.4% |
Common questions
What was SHEL's worst drawdown?
SHEL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 67.2%, from May 2018 to March 2020. It took 27 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were SHEL's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, SHEL's best year was 2022, when it returned 36.0%. Its worst was 2020, with a return of -37.4%.
Is there a better investment than SHEL?
Among SHEL's popular alternatives, XOM earned more for the risk it took than SHEL over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 61.0%, against 67.2% for SHEL. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, MPLX (oil & gas midstream) earned more than SHEL with less volatility over the past 5 years: 23.5% a year at 18.8% volatility, against 21.0% a year at 24.8%.
Is SHEL more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. SHEL's volatility over the past 5 years was 24.8%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, SHEL's return lands within 24.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is SHEL's Sharpe ratio?
SHEL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.90, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so SHEL earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is SHEL with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, SHEL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.07 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are close to unrelated, or move in opposite directions, so it can steady a stock portfolio. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against SHEL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a SHEL holding.
What are the best alternatives to SHEL?
Of the 17 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed SHEL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: PBR, SU and VLO.
Did SHEL outperform the S&P 500?
SHEL finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 14 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +22.2%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did SHEL do in stock market crashes?
SHEL fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in five. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when SHEL fell 57.0% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies SHEL?
These had a low correlation with SHEL over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.20), EMLP (correlation 0.43) and SMH (correlation -0.16); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.05), CLS (correlation 0.04) and FIX (correlation -0.04). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than SHEL's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of SHEL's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.