Relative Intelligence · Exploration & Production

How ConocoPhillips (COP) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on COP alone. It places COP (ConocoPhillips) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where COP stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: COP's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowCOP has run far ahead of the market, rising 27.0% over the past 3 months against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its exploration & production peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from APA (up 44.2%) to EOG (EOG Resources, up 12.7%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?Not a move of its own: the exploration & production ETF XOP (State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF) rose 18.1% over the past 3 months, with CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources, up 24.4%) and OXY (Occidental Petroleum, up 14.5%), against 3.9% for the S&P 500. COP rose 14.4% last month as the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 3.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, COP rose 72.9% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. Even so, A ahead of 80% of stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years, but behind 62% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 3 years. By year ↓
- Long termCOP turned $10,000 into $47,900 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. COP's 10-year return of 379% puts it ahead of 80% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, COP has typically fallen 1.6 times as far as the S&P 500. Even so, in the 2022 bear market, COP held up better than EQT, PR and OVV; only OXY (Occidental Petroleum) fell less. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationCOP is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.13 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.12 with the total US market, less closely than 93% of stocks worth at least $300 million. COP moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.13 over the past 5 years against 0.60 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- XOM (Exxonmobil), CVX (Chevron) and WMB (Williams Companies) earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years. XOM returned 27.1% a year at 26.5% volatility, against 18.2% a year at 32.6%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- E (Eni S.p.A., integrated oil & gas) and LNG (Cheniere Energy, oil & gas) earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years. E returned 23.0% a year at 25.6% volatility, against 18.2% a year at 32.6%.
- Whole market
- 97 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT (Walmart), XOM (Exxonmobil) and ABBV (AbbVie).
How much would $10,000 in COP have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in COP over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of COP over the same span and COP's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in COP at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $156,444 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of COP, and VLO finished highest, at $1,019,941.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 373 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of COP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- VLO$1M+10,099% total · +17.3% a year
- WMB$472,016+4,620% total · +14.2% a year
- LNG$451,390+4,414% total · +14.0% a year
- EOG$380,118+3,701% total · +13.4% a year
- EQT$179,863+1,699% total · +10.5% a year
- COP$156,444+1,464% total · +9.9% a year
- CVX$142,109+1,321% total · +9.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- XOM$124,235+1,142% total · +9.1% a year
- APA$33,799+238% total · +4.3% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 647 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of COP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- VLO$64,131+541% total · +45.0% a year
- PR$36,604+266% total · +29.6% a year
- CNQ$33,008+230% total · +27.0% a year
- XOM$32,965+230% total · +26.9% a year
- WMB$32,631+226% total · +26.7% a year
- EQT$25,477+155% total · +20.6% a year
- CVX$24,595+146% total · +19.7% a year
- COP$22,182+122% total · +17.3% a year
- OVV$19,897+99.0% total · +14.8% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
COP at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- COP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 70.7%, from October 2018 to March 2020. It took 19 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- COP is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, COP's best was 2021, when it returned 87.1%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 39.9%. It lost money in seven of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $175B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +72.9%total return
- Past 3 years
- +28.5%+8.7% a year
- Past 5 years
- +131%+18.2% a year
- Past 10 years
- +379%+17.0% a year
- Best calendar year
- +87.1%2021
- Worst calendar year
- −39.9%2008
- Losing years
- 7 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 32.6%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.68return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −70.7%Oct 2018 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
COP against the whole market
Where COP ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does COP rank among all stocks?
This section ranks COP on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how COP stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- COP's 1-year return ranks in the top 10% of the 3,287 stocks worth at least $300 million with 1 year of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | COP | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +72.9% | 320 of 3,287 | top 10% |
| 3-year return | +28.5% | 1,875 of 3,017 | bottom 39% |
| 5-year return | +131% | 530 of 2,893 | top 18% |
| 10-year return | +379% | 445 of 2,202 | top 20% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 32.6% | 965 of 2,893 | top 33% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.68 | 505 of 2,893 | top 17% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −70.7% | 1,311 of 2,187 | bottom 41% |
What has beaten COP on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). COP sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than COP with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 77 stocks and 20 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than COP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half COP's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 24% less than COP's 32.6%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.68 for COP.
- Among COP's popular alternatives, XOM, WMB and CVX are in the region. XOM earned 27.1% a year against 18.2% a year for COP, at 26.5% volatility, 19% less than COP's 32.6%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to COP; faint dots are 78 more of the 97 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than COP?
Investments that beat COP over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among COP's popular alternatives, XOM, CVX and WMB earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years. XOM returned 27.1% a year at 26.5% volatility, against 18.2% a year at 32.6%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, E (integrated oil & gas) and LNG (oil & gas) earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years. E returned 23.0% a year at 25.6% volatility, against 18.2% a year at 32.6%.
- Across the whole market, 97 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT, XOM and ABBV.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat COP over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks COP's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than COP follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than COP's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× COP's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than COP's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with COP?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +18.2% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | +379% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.13 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against COP. 6 of 22 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.83 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.79 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatility | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.54 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.64 | — | ||
PRPermian Resources Corporation · Exploration & Production | Higher return in most periods | +33.1% | 47.1% | 0.85 | −98.9% | +99.2% | 0.75 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatility | +26.5% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | +433% | 0.83 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Exploration & Production and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Oilfield Services, Oil & Gas Midstream, Integrated Oil & Gas), plus COP's specific themes. 27 of 67 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.73 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.65 | — | ||
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.23 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.75 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +23.4% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | +616% | 0.50 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.57 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 301 of 3,544 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | -0.08 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.00 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.08 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.13 | 0.48% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.25 | — | ||
CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.65 | 0.61% | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.13 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.00 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for COP
- Annual return
- COP returned 18.2% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $23,100. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- COP's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.6%, about twice the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, COP's return lands within 32.6% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- COP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.68, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so COP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- COP's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 70.7%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 70.7% fall takes a 241% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, COP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.13 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against COP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a COP holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 97 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than COP with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 90 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with COP | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | -0.08 | — |
| 2 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.00 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.08 | — | |
| 4 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.13 | 0.48% |
| 5 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.25 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.14 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.18 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.24 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.28 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.14 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.12 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.07 | — | |
| 13 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.17 | — |
| 14 | IRMIron Mountain Incorporated · Specialty REITs | Whole market | +24.6% | 30.3% | 0.88 | −39.0% | +470% | 0.12 | — |
| 15 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.33 | — |
| 16 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.65 | 0.61% |
| 17 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.19 | — |
| 18 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.30 | — |
| 19 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.23 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.15 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.21 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.03 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.34 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.24 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.07 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.16 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +25.4% | 30.4% | 0.90 | −59.8% | +374% | 0.23 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.05 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +22.6% | 29.1% | 0.85 | −41.6% | +521% | 0.08 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.27 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +19.4% | 26.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | +767% | -0.12 | 0.08% | |
| 32 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.12 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.36 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | -0.09 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.20 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.26 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.21 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.05 | — | |
| 39 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.37 | — |
| 40 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.32 | — |
| 41 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.64 | 0.80% |
| 42 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.15 | — |
| 43 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.06 | — |
| 44 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.11 | — |
| 45 | BCHBanco de Chile · Banks | Whole market | +25.2% | 28.2% | 0.94 | −58.4% | +180% | 0.17 | — |
| 46 | HUBBHubbell Incorporated · Electrical Equipment | Whole market | +21.0% | 30.0% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +442% | -0.10 | — |
| 47 | CLHClean Harbors, Inc. · Environmental Services | Whole market | +23.1% | 28.6% | 0.88 | −64.5% | +588% | 0.24 | — |
| 48 | AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Distribution | Whole market | +28.5% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | +742% | 0.12 | — |
| 49 | Popular alternative | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.83 | — | |
| 50 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | -0.01 | — |
| 51 | Whole market | +19.9% | 29.0% | 0.77 | −44.0% | +444% | 0.23 | — | |
| 52 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | -0.07 | 0.59% |
| 53 | ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. · Auto Parts | Whole market | +27.3% | 29.9% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +367% | 0.27 | — |
| 54 | Same or nearby category | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.75 | — | |
| 55 | Popular alternative | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.79 | — | |
| 56 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.02 | — |
| 57 | Same or nearby category | +23.4% | 30.2% | 0.85 | −57.5% | +616% | 0.50 | — | |
| 58 | AVTAvnet, Inc. · Technology Distribution | Whole market | +22.1% | 30.7% | 0.81 | −58.4% | +173% | 0.18 | — |
| 59 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.47 | — |
| 60 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | -0.08 | 0.19% |
| 61 | QTUMDefiance Quantum ETF · Technology | Whole market | +22.8% | 28.1% | 0.87 | −38.5% | — | -0.17 | 0.40% |
| 62 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.39 | — |
| 63 | IXCiShares Global Energy ETF · International | Whole market | +20.7% | 23.2% | 0.93 | −64.2% | +183% | 0.90 | 0.37% |
| 64 | SNXTD Synnex Corp · Technology Distribution | Whole market | +20.3% | 30.4% | 0.76 | −55.8% | +430% | 0.05 | — |
| 65 | FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc · Consumer Finance | Whole market | +20.6% | 30.5% | 0.77 | −50.2% | +422% | 0.24 | — |
| 66 | IGICInternational General Insurance Holdings Ltd. · Insurance - Diversified | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.9% | 1.03 | −50.6% | — | 0.04 | — |
| 67 | DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P. · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Whole market | +21.1% | 29.1% | 0.81 | −56.8% | +435% | 0.66 | — |
| 68 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.02 | 0.45% |
| 69 | FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +23.1% | 29.4% | 0.85 | −50.2% | +307% | 0.28 | — |
| 70 | Same or nearby category | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.52 | — | |
| 71 | BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +20.1% | 28.5% | 0.79 | −64.7% | +240% | 0.19 | — |
| 72 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.24 | — | |
| 73 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.91 | 0.08% | |
| 74 | USFDUS Foods Holding Corp. · Food Distribution | Whole market | +22.7% | 29.8% | 0.84 | −77.3% | +347% | 0.10 | — |
| 75 | UNMUnum Group · Life Insurance | Whole market | +30.6% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | +256% | 0.30 | — |
| 76 | Same or nearby category | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.75 | — | |
| 77 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.43 | — |
| 78 | BSACBanco Santander-Chile · Banks | Whole market | +19.5% | 29.0% | 0.76 | −63.9% | +154% | 0.26 | — |
| 79 | Popular alternative | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.54 | — | |
| 80 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.67 | — |
| 81 | GVAGranite Construction Incorporated · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +23.8% | 30.6% | 0.85 | −84.7% | +186% | 0.08 | — |
| 82 | WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +23.5% | 27.6% | 0.91 | −91.9% | +128% | 0.58 | — |
| 83 | SKTTanger Inc. · REIT - Retail | Whole market | +19.3% | 29.7% | 0.74 | −85.9% | +60.5% | 0.28 | — |
| 84 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.67 | — |
| 85 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Same or nearby category | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.49 | — |
| 86 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.16 | — |
| 87 | OFGOFG Bancorp · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.5% | 28.7% | 0.77 | −61.2% | +580% | 0.29 | — |
| 88 | ATMPBarclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.2% | 21.5% | 1.01 | −70.3% | +172% | 0.69 | 0.95% |
| 89 | IEOiShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.5% | 29.9% | 0.80 | −75.0% | +217% | 0.92 | 0.37% |
| 90 | FNGSMicroSectors FANG+ ETN · Technology | Whole market | +19.5% | 30.3% | 0.74 | −49.0% | — | -0.18 | 0.58% |
COP against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against COP, compared period by period and year by year.
How do COP's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at COP, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- 14 of the 22 popular alternatives earned less than COP over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Four of the 22 popular alternatives, led by XOM, CNQ and WMB, were both more rewarding and calmer than COP over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, COP returned 18.2% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (32.6% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than COP with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | +44.2% | 36.9% |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | +33.1% | 47.1% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | +26.5% | 32.5% |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | +24.6% | 24.0% |
| EQT EQT Corporation | +22.4% | 40.9% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| COP This pageConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | +17.6% | 36.6% |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | +16.7% | 39.1% |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | +16.6% | 32.3% |
| APA APA Corporation | +16.2% | 47.6% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | +15.2% | 37.9% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | +14.8% | 44.8% |
| AR Antero Resources Corporation | +13.4% | 46.7% |
| RRC Range Resources Corporation | +13.3% | 43.2% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | +10.0% | 37.5% |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | +9.3% | 39.9% |
| CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. | +9.1% | 57.7% |
| NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | +7.1% | 48.2% |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | +6.9% | 46.3% |
| SM SM Energy Company | +6.9% | 52.8% |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | +6.3% | 38.9% |
Has COP consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares COP with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than COP helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- VLO outperformed COP in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- Two of the 22 popular alternatives, VLO and PR, outperformed COP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- XOM, WMB and CVX earned more for the risk they took than COP (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than COP over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| COP ConocoPhillips (this page) | — | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| VLO QualifiedValero Energy Corporation | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +38.9% | +93.2% | +166% | +176% | +259% | +524% | +1,061% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | — | $125B | — |
| PR QualifiedPermian Resources Corporation | 3/5 short2/3 long | +13.1% | +23.3% | +28.6% | +76.5% | +108% | +86.6% | +317% | +99.2% | 47.1% | 0.85 | −98.9% | — | $21B | — |
| CNQ Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionCanadian Natural Resources Limited | 2/5 short3/3 long | +12.2% | +24.4% | +27.6% | +62.5% | +87.7% | +90.4% | +224% | +433% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | — | $112B | — |
| WMB Oil & Gas MidstreamThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −1.8% | −4.5% | +0.6% | +18.1% | +14.9% | +125% | +200% | +288% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | — | $86B | — |
| CVX Oil & Gas IntegratedChevron Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| XOM Oil & Gas IntegratedExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| EQT Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionEQT Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | +9.4% | +12.1% | −3.3% | +3.4% | −1.8% | +35.0% | +175% | +69.1% | 40.9% | 0.70 | −87.5% | — | $34B | — |
| OVV Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionOvintiv Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | +16.8% | +22.2% | +32.8% | +76.3% | +98.3% | +52.5% | +99.6% | +56.0% | 44.8% | 0.54 | −96.8% | — | $19B | — |
| APA Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionAPA Corporation | 4/5 short1/3 long | +13.9% | +44.2% | +40.6% | +101% | +130% | +31.9% | +111% | +0.9% | 47.6% | 0.56 | −93.5% | — | $17B | — |
| RRC Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionRange Resources Corporation | 1/5 short1/3 long | +15.4% | +19.3% | +6.6% | +24.5% | +18.7% | +30.6% | +86.3% | +20.8% | 43.2% | 0.51 | −94.9% | — | $10B | — |
| FANG Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionDiamondback Energy, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +6.9% | +4.2% | +11.6% | +35.1% | +46.8% | +35.7% | +125% | +160% | 36.6% | 0.63 | −88.7% | — | $57B | — |
| EOG Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionEOG Resources, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +12.4% | +12.7% | +24.0% | +51.9% | +53.1% | +31.9% | +115% | +131% | 32.3% | 0.64 | −77.1% | — | $83B | — |
| AR Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionAntero Resources Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +14.3% | +16.9% | +6.2% | +13.5% | +21.9% | +38.8% | +87.2% | +42.8% | 46.7% | 0.50 | −97.5% | — | $12B | — |
| SM Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSM Energy Company | 3/5 short0/3 long | +11.8% | +24.9% | +46.1% | +108% | +88.7% | −1.4% | +39.5% | +123% | 52.8% | 0.39 | −94.7% | — | $9.2B | — |
| NOG Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionNorthern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +18.1% | +32.3% | +16.3% | +32.6% | +39.8% | −16.6% | +40.8% | +41.7% | 48.2% | 0.38 | −92.2% | — | $2.9B | — |
| CHRD Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionChord Energy Corporation | 2/5 short0/3 long | +9.2% | +19.2% | +21.9% | +65.3% | +77.0% | +4.9% | +117% | — | 39.1% | 0.59 | −53.9% | — | $8.3B | — |
| MTDR Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionMatador Resources Company | 0/5 short0/3 long | +6.2% | +8.3% | +3.2% | +35.4% | +36.6% | −5.3% | +39.7% | +168% | 46.3% | 0.38 | −96.5% | — | $7.1B | — |
| DVN Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionDevon Energy Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +5.9% | +15.8% | +13.6% | +35.6% | +61.8% | +15.0% | +56.0% | +69.6% | 39.9% | 0.42 | −88.5% | — | $55B | — |
| CRK Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionComstock Resources, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +8.4% | +9.5% | −15.9% | −40.1% | −21.9% | +16.3% | +54.8% | +45.7% | 57.7% | 0.44 | −68.6% | — | $4.1B | — |
| OXY Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +9.9% | +14.5% | +16.6% | +50.6% | +56.4% | +2.0% | +103% | +11.6% | 37.9% | 0.56 | −88.4% | — | $63B | — |
| SLB Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSlb N.V. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | +8.3% | −3.3% | +26.4% | +53.2% | −7.2% | +60.7% | −21.3% | 37.5% | 0.44 | −84.5% | — | $74B | — |
| MGY Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +4.9% | +0.4% | −7.8% | +15.5% | +14.0% | +18.4% | +35.9% | — | 38.9% | 0.35 | −77.8% | — | $6.0B | — |
How did COP do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where COP ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with COP and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- COP finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 13 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, COP finished in the top quarter in seven of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 15 of 23.
- Among its popular alternatives, MTDR came out ahead of COP most often, in nine of the 13 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of COP; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places COP among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of COP | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP This pageConocoPhillips | — | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% | +24.2% | +13.6% | −9.8% | +13.1% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 7 of 29 | 15 of 23 | 18 of 23 | 11 of 23 | 7 of 23 | 14 of 23 | 12 of 22 | 11 of 22 | 1 of 22 | 6 of 21 | 15 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 10 of 19 | 6 of 17 | 7 of 17 | 4 of 17 | 14 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 16 | 4 of 16 | 12 of 16 | 11 of 16 | 7 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 15 | 11 of 14 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 14 | 9 of 14 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 16 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 15 of 29 | +37.0% | −2.9% | +5.9% | +75.0% | +40.3% | −35.7% | +30.3% | −15.7% | +40.0% | +0.7% | +46.8% | +0.3% | +65.0% | +66.3% | −7.8% | +39.6% | −20.3% | −68.5% | +37.9% | −0.4% | +128% | +97.9% | +26.6% | −2.1% | +3.6% | +88.6% | −4.8% | −31.5% | +209% |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | 4 of 9 | +1.9% | +10.8% | +49.5% | +57.7% | +299% | −67.6% | −58.0% | −44.4% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 14 of 25 | +15.5% | −1.3% | +23.7% | +39.9% | +83.3% | −19.1% | +39.6% | −28.9% | +15.0% | +51.6% | −27.4% | −6.8% | +19.1% | −21.7% | −15.2% | +24.4% | +81.4% | −44.9% | +38.1% | +7.6% | +133% | +71.3% | +72.2% | +24.3% | −10.9% | — | — | — | — |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 17 of 29 | +14.9% | +62.4% | +11.8% | +32.9% | +38.4% | −8.2% | +14.2% | −23.9% | +2.0% | +31.2% | −39.2% | +21.3% | +22.8% | +29.9% | +37.3% | +20.2% | +49.6% | −58.8% | +38.8% | +14.3% | +49.2% | +106% | +457% | −75.2% | −31.0% | +32.3% | −0.5% | +11.4% | +54.4% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 14 of 29 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% | +8.1% | −18.3% | +30.5% | +33.7% | +11.5% | +25.6% | +35.4% | −23.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +7.2% | +11.1% | +22.1% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 12 of 29 | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% | −12.6% | −13.1% | +24.3% | +39.1% | +11.8% | +28.1% | +20.7% | −8.9% | −7.5% | +10.2% | +12.7% | +22.5% | +28.3% |
| EQT EQT Corporation | 16 of 29 | +17.6% | +21.4% | +16.2% | +57.6% | +71.6% | +17.3% | −41.9% | −38.7% | −12.8% | +25.7% | −31.1% | −15.6% | +52.5% | +9.4% | +24.2% | +4.3% | +34.0% | −35.9% | +29.9% | +16.4% | +24.0% | +45.4% | +25.5% | +5.0% | +3.7% | +105% | +19.0% | −14.3% | +23.8% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 13 of 24 | −0.3% | −5.2% | −10.9% | +53.3% | +138% | −34.8% | −17.6% | −56.4% | +14.2% | +132% | −62.1% | −22.0% | −5.2% | +10.8% | −34.3% | −7.8% | +697% | −28.6% | +51.8% | +3.3% | +60.1% | +47.1% | +29.4% | +22.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| APA APA Corporation | 12 of 29 | +11.5% | −33.5% | −21.2% | +76.4% | +90.7% | −43.7% | +1.1% | −36.4% | −32.2% | +45.7% | −27.7% | −26.3% | +10.5% | −12.7% | −23.6% | +16.3% | +39.5% | −30.2% | +62.9% | −2.3% | +36.2% | +25.4% | +50.3% | +15.2% | −21.2% | +90.5% | +47.1% | −27.2% | +0.7% |
| RRC Range Resources Corporation | 16 of 29 | −1.0% | +19.3% | +23.0% | +41.1% | +166% | +38.1% | −48.7% | −43.6% | −50.2% | +40.0% | −53.8% | −36.5% | +34.5% | +1.7% | +38.1% | −9.5% | +45.5% | −32.8% | +87.7% | +4.6% | +93.7% | +117% | +75.0% | +18.7% | −33.7% | +115% | −6.3% | −78.2% | −4.6% |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 8 of 13 | −5.6% | +10.3% | +19.7% | +35.4% | +127% | −46.0% | +0.9% | −26.4% | +24.9% | +51.1% | +11.9% | +13.0% | +177% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −11.4% | +4.3% | −2.0% | +56.9% | +88.6% | −38.6% | −2.8% | −18.7% | +7.5% | +44.0% | −22.5% | +10.3% | +39.7% | +23.4% | +8.5% | −5.5% | +47.4% | −25.0% | +43.6% | −14.6% | +106% | +55.3% | +16.1% | +2.5% | −28.1% | +212% | +2.5% | −18.0% | −15.5% |
| AR Antero Resources Corporation | 5 of 12 | −1.7% | +54.5% | −26.8% | +77.1% | +221% | +91.2% | −69.7% | −50.6% | −19.7% | +8.5% | −46.3% | −36.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SM SM Energy Company | 15 of 29 | −49.7% | +1.8% | +13.1% | +18.6% | +382% | +10.2% | −26.1% | −29.3% | −35.3% | +76.5% | −48.8% | −53.5% | +59.6% | −28.3% | +24.3% | +73.0% | +70.1% | −47.1% | +5.4% | +0.5% | +77.6% | +47.3% | +15.0% | +19.1% | −35.8% | +171% | +35.4% | −45.9% | +43.0% |
| NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 5 of 18 | −38.2% | +4.9% | +25.6% | +54.5% | +137% | −62.6% | +3.6% | +10.2% | −25.5% | −28.8% | −31.7% | −62.5% | −10.4% | −29.9% | −11.9% | +130% | +355% | −62.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | 2 of 5 | −16.4% | −25.0% | +31.8% | +34.1% | +261% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | 9 of 13 | −22.3% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +55.8% | +207% | −32.9% | +15.7% | −50.1% | +20.9% | +30.3% | −2.3% | +8.5% | +127% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 11 of 29 | +15.0% | −25.2% | −21.8% | +50.9% | +196% | −35.2% | +16.7% | −45.1% | −8.8% | +45.0% | −46.6% | +0.4% | +20.7% | −15.0% | −20.3% | +7.8% | +13.1% | −25.6% | +33.5% | +8.1% | +61.6% | +36.7% | +25.4% | +19.3% | −36.4% | +86.3% | +7.8% | −19.8% | +11.3% |
| CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. | 8 of 29 | +27.2% | +106% | −32.4% | +70.7% | +85.3% | −46.9% | +81.8% | −46.5% | −14.1% | +5.4% | −72.5% | −61.5% | +23.8% | −1.2% | −37.7% | −39.5% | −14.1% | +39.0% | +9.5% | +1.8% | +38.4% | +14.2% | +108% | +32.7% | −52.5% | +413% | −6.1% | −74.3% | −8.2% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 12 of 29 | −14.9% | −15.9% | −4.1% | +119% | +67.7% | −56.6% | −28.3% | −13.1% | +8.5% | +9.8% | −12.7% | −8.9% | +27.8% | −16.1% | −2.6% | +22.7% | +38.4% | −20.7% | +60.2% | +24.2% | +39.2% | +41.3% | +53.1% | +11.0% | +13.4% | +17.7% | +35.7% | −39.8% | +30.3% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 13 of 29 | +3.3% | −24.5% | −0.8% | +81.1% | +39.6% | −43.8% | +17.8% | −44.7% | −18.5% | +23.5% | −16.3% | −3.6% | +32.1% | +3.0% | −17.2% | +30.0% | +56.2% | −56.5% | +57.1% | +31.1% | +46.6% | +23.8% | +32.0% | −22.2% | −30.3% | +43.9% | +34.9% | −41.6% | +63.2% |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 3 of 8 | −3.8% | +12.2% | −7.3% | +26.5% | +169% | −43.9% | +12.3% | +15.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How COP has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were COP's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents COP's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of COP's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: COP fell 36.3% from April 2024 to April 2025, while the S&P 500 slipped only 3.0%.
- The slowest recovery came after COP fell 62.4% from June 2008 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until May 2013, four years later.
Green means COP fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | COP fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Late-2018 sell-off | −70.7% | −15.7% | Oct 2018 | Mar 2020 | 17 months | Oct 2021 | 19 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −62.4% | −46.9% | Jun 2008 | Mar 2009 | 9 months | May 2013 | 4.2 years |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −60.7% | −5.1% | Jul 2014 | Feb 2016 | 19 months | Sep 2018 | 2.6 years |
| No named crash | −43.4% | — | Aug 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 months | Mar 1988 | 4 months |
| No named crash | −36.3% | −3.0% | Apr 2024 | Apr 2025 | 12 months | Mar 2026 | 11 months |
How did COP do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far COP, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- COP fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when COP fell 43.4% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
- Among its popular alternatives, CVX held up best, falling less than COP in all ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than COP.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP This pageConocoPhillips | — | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 4 of 10 | −3.5% | −31.9% | −61.3% | −42.0% | −6.9% | −24.2% | −35.6% | −4.3% | −80.7% | −54.1% |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | 1 of 5 | −8.2% | −44.3% | −90.1% | −55.9% | −7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 3 of 9 | −5.8% | −32.2% | −74.4% | −32.1% | −11.7% | −38.1% | −36.9% | −0.2% | −74.8% | — |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −23.0% | −57.0% | −25.4% | −7.0% | −78.9% | −26.7% | −3.4% | −75.3% | −98.0% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 10 of 10 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 6 of 10 | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| EQT EQT Corporation | 2 of 10 | −5.9% | −36.4% | −36.4% | −36.6% | −11.9% | −39.3% | −24.4% | −2.1% | −69.3% | −31.6% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 1 of 9 | −9.6% | −36.5% | −86.4% | −62.0% | −11.9% | −63.3% | −38.5% | −0.1% | −63.9% | — |
| APA APA Corporation | 1 of 10 | −10.3% | −40.1% | −84.9% | −48.2% | −13.1% | −36.1% | −40.5% | −2.5% | −64.8% | −47.1% |
| RRC Range Resources Corporation | 3 of 10 | −5.4% | −35.8% | −40.6% | −48.9% | −7.8% | −47.4% | −21.8% | −5.1% | −64.1% | −42.2% |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −7.7% | −33.5% | −80.3% | −38.7% | −9.8% | −29.3% | — | — | — | — |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −7.4% | −33.4% | −61.5% | −37.3% | −11.3% | −31.7% | −35.8% | −1.5% | −68.0% | −52.7% |
| AR Antero Resources Corporation | 2 of 6 | −8.4% | −40.3% | −56.2% | −53.4% | −8.9% | −31.6% | — | — | — | — |
| SM SM Energy Company | 1 of 10 | −3.6% | −44.1% | −77.1% | −59.5% | −11.8% | −76.4% | −31.1% | −3.4% | −82.0% | −57.0% |
| NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 0 of 9 | −8.3% | −39.0% | −65.5% | −55.0% | −26.7% | −57.7% | −45.7% | −4.8% | −86.7% | — |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | 0 of 2 | −5.9% | −35.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | 0 of 6 | −9.5% | −34.6% | −90.8% | −58.7% | −10.3% | −54.8% | — | — | — | — |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 0 of 10 | −8.3% | −33.6% | −75.9% | −49.4% | −13.4% | −55.2% | −36.6% | −2.3% | −68.6% | −52.9% |
| CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −9.7% | −48.1% | −39.0% | −53.5% | −17.5% | −73.3% | −56.8% | −4.1% | −68.9% | −62.9% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 7 of 10 | −4.6% | −22.9% | −76.8% | −30.5% | −7.3% | −21.4% | −36.1% | 0.0% | −58.1% | −28.4% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 1 of 10 | −8.8% | −36.8% | −64.9% | −43.6% | −10.9% | −27.1% | −38.9% | −3.8% | −68.0% | −59.8% |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 1 of 5 | −6.6% | −38.1% | −63.6% | −33.6% | −0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does COP move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares COP with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only VLO and WMB had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than COP's 1.02, out of 20 popular alternatives with the same record.
- WMB took just 78% of the S&P 500's losses, against 92% for COP, while still keeping 85% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, COP captured 94% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 92% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.91. It took about the same share of the market's gains as of its losses.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than COP's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP This pageConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 142% | 114% | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| WMB The Williams Companies, Inc. | 85% | 78% | 1.08 | 1.02 |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 110% | 109% | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 108% | 148% | 0.73 | 1.54 |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 92% | 135% | 0.69 | 1.17 |
| CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. | 74% | 110% | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| MTDR Matador Resources Company | 156% | 239% | 0.65 | 2.70 |
| SM SM Energy Company | 154% | 244% | 0.63 | 3.21 |
| EQT EQT Corporation | 62% | 101% | 0.61 | 0.90 |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | 139% | 234% | 0.59 | 3.38 |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 118% | 199% | 0.59 | 1.80 |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 131% | 228% | 0.58 | 2.14 |
| AR Antero Resources Corporation | 80% | 142% | 0.56 | 2.44 |
| NOG Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. | 123% | 228% | 0.54 | 1.68 |
| RRC Range Resources Corporation | 63% | 123% | 0.51 | 1.48 |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 80% | 155% | 0.51 | 1.24 |
| APA APA Corporation | 124% | 246% | 0.50 | 2.54 |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 104% | 212% | 0.49 | 1.54 |
What diversifies COP?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with COP's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing COP with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in COP into SMH would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+17.3% for COP alone, +23.2% for the mix).
- CAH made money in five of the seven calendar years in which COP lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and SMH have moved largely independently of COP over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.39 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which COP lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% COP and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2024 | 2020 | 2015 | 2008 | 2002 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP ConocoPhillips (this page) | 1.00 | +131% | 0.68 | −2.3% | −12.2% | −36.0% | −29.0% | −39.9% | −17.5% | −9.8% | 30.4% | +17.3% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.39 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | +15.9% | −9.0% | — | — | — | — | 25.1% | +17.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.13 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +29.8% | +3.9% | +7.7% | −20.8% | — | — | 24.8% | +20.0% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.13 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | +39.1% | +55.5% | −0.3% | −44.7% | −47.0% | — | 24.4% | +23.2% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.14 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +23.1% | +13.4% | +2.1% | +4.1% | — | — | — | 24.7% | +17.4% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.07 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | +26.7% | +24.8% | −10.7% | +4.9% | — | — | 24.8% | +18.5% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -0.03 | +136% | 0.93 | +26.6% | +45.8% | +28.2% | — | — | — | — | 24.6% | +19.3% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.40 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +45.4% | +7.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.7% | +17.6% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.38 | +76.6% | 0.90 | +15.3% | +16.0% | +2.3% | −1.0% | −35.9% | — | — | 25.5% | +17.0% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2024 | 2020 | 2015 | 2008 | 2002 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COP ConocoPhillips (this page) | 1.00 | +131% | 0.68 | −2.3% | −12.2% | −36.0% | −29.0% | −39.9% | −17.5% | −9.8% | 30.4% | +17.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.07 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +19.0% | +10.1% | +12.6% | −39.6% | −8.3% | +51.7% | 25.3% | +22.5% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.03 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +215% | −2.4% | −6.0% | −20.5% | −65.1% | — | 27.3% | +36.0% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | -0.02 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +107% | +6.7% | +67.7% | −15.2% | −9.4% | −9.5% | 25.8% | +31.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.25 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +23.7% | +27.1% | −4.5% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +46.9% | 26.0% | +21.6% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.02 | +594% | 1.36 | +87.9% | +103% | −7.2% | −36.3% | −67.4% | −33.1% | +7.0% | 25.4% | +25.0% |
Common questions
What was COP's worst drawdown?
COP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 70.7%, from October 2018 to March 2020. It took 19 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were COP's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, COP's best year was 2021, when it returned 87.1%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -39.9%.
Is there a better investment than COP?
Among COP's popular alternatives, XOM, CVX and WMB earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years. XOM returned 27.1% a year at 26.5% volatility, against 18.2% a year at 32.6%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, E (integrated oil & gas) and LNG (oil & gas) earned more than COP with less volatility over the past 5 years. E returned 23.0% a year at 25.6% volatility, against 18.2% a year at 32.6%.
Is COP more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. COP's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.6%, about twice the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, COP's return lands within 32.6% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is COP's Sharpe ratio?
COP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.68, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so COP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is COP with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, COP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.13 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against COP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a COP holding.
What are the best alternatives to COP?
Of the 22 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed COP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: VLO and PR.
Did COP outperform the S&P 500?
COP finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 13 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -2.3%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did COP do in stock market crashes?
COP fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when COP fell 43.4% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
What diversifies COP?
These had a low correlation with COP over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.39), DXJ (correlation 0.13) and SMH (correlation -0.13); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.07), CLS (correlation 0.03) and FIX (correlation -0.02). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than COP's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of COP's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to COP
VLOValero Energy
CNQCanadian Natural Resources
WMBWilliams Companies
CVXChevron
XOMExxonmobil
FANGDiamondback Energy
EOGEOG Resources
DVNDevon Energy
OXYOccidental Petroleum
SLBSlb