Relative Intelligence · Oil & Gas

How Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on CNQ alone. It places CNQ (Canadian Natural Resources Limited) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where CNQ stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: CNQ's full trading record, from July 2000 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowCNQ has run far ahead of the market, rising 24.4% over the past 3 months against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its oil & gas peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from APA (up 44.2%) to IMO (Imperial Oil, up 10.5%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?Not a move of its own: the oil & gas ETF XOP (State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF) rose 18.1% over the past 3 months, with COP (ConocoPhillips, up 27.0%) and SU (Suncor Energy, up 26.8%), against 3.9% for the S&P 500. Last month cut against the tape: CNQ rose 12.2% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, CNQ rose 87.7% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termCNQ turned $10,000 into $53,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. CNQ's 10-year return of 433% puts it ahead of 83% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, CNQ has typically fallen about twice as far as the S&P 500. The Covid crash took 74.4% off CNQ, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than COP (ConocoPhillips, 61.8%) but less than OXY (Occidental Petroleum, 76.8%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationCNQ is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.28 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.27 with the total US market, less closely than 74% of stocks worth at least $300 million. CNQ's link to the S&P 500 has loosened: a correlation of 0.28 over the past 5 years, down from 0.64 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- PSX (Phillips 66) earned more for the risk it took than CNQ over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 64.2%, against 77.5% for CNQ.
- Nearby categories and themes
- PAA (Plains All American Pipeline, oil & gas midstream) matched CNQ's return over the past 5 years (27.0% a year against 26.5%) with 21% less volatility.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 14 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CNQ with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them HSBC, MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group) and MFG (Mizuho Financial Group).
How much would $10,000 in CNQ have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in CNQ over the past 26 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of CNQ over the same span and CNQ's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in CNQ at the end of September 2000 would have grown to $448,299 by September 2026, more than the $84,332 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of CNQ, and BAP finished highest, at $1,194,547.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2000 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 136 of the 1,261 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CNQ; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- BAP$1M+11,845% total · +20.2% a year
- NHC$1M+10,988% total · +19.9% a year
- VLO$914,106+9,041% total · +19.0% a year
- CASY$583,376+5,734% total · +16.9% a year
- CW$556,626+5,466% total · +16.7% a year
- CNQ$448,299+4,383% total · +15.8% a year
- TRP$268,738+2,587% total · +13.5% a year
- IMO$229,138+2,191% total · +12.8% a year
- SU$223,258+2,133% total · +12.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$84,332+743% total · +8.5% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 287 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CNQ; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- PBR-A$67,821+578% total · +46.6% a year
- IMO$44,071+341% total · +34.5% a year
- PSX$43,718+337% total · +34.3% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- PR$36,604+266% total · +29.6% a year
- CNQ$33,008+230% total · +27.0% a year
- APA$22,551+126% total · +17.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- TRP$17,877+78.8% total · +12.3% a year
CNQ at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- CNQ's deepest decline since it began trading in 2000 was 81.1%, from June 2008 to March 2020. It took 15 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- CNQ is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 25 full calendar years, CNQ's best was 2005, when it returned 133%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 44.9%. It lost money in nine of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $112B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
- Price history from
- July 2000
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +87.7%total return
- Past 3 years
- +90.4%+23.9% a year
- Past 5 years
- +224%+26.5% a year
- Past 10 years
- +433%+18.2% a year
- Best calendar year
- +133%2005
- Worst calendar year
- −44.9%2008
- Losing years
- 9 of 25full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 32.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.89return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −81.1%Jun 2008 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
CNQ against the whole market
Where CNQ ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does CNQ rank among all stocks?
This section ranks CNQ on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how CNQ stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), CNQ ranks in the top 6% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | CNQ | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +87.7% | 230 of 3,287 | top 7% |
| 3-year return | +90.4% | 1,006 of 3,017 | top 33% |
| 5-year return | +224% | 268 of 2,893 | top 9% |
| 10-year return | +433% | 372 of 2,202 | top 17% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 32.5% | 954 of 2,893 | top 33% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.89 | 177 of 2,893 | top 6% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −77.5% | 1,547 of 2,187 | bottom 30% |
What has beaten CNQ on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). CNQ sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than CNQ with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 13 stocks and one ETF worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than CNQ over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half CNQ's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 24% less than CNQ's 32.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.89 for CNQ.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to CNQ; faint dots are 9 more of the 14 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than CNQ?
Investments that beat CNQ over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among CNQ's popular alternatives, PSX earned more for the risk it took than CNQ over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 64.2%, against 77.5% for CNQ.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PAA (oil & gas midstream) matched CNQ's return over the past 5 years (27.0% a year against 26.5%) with 21% less volatility.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 14 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CNQ with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them HSBC, MUFG and MFG.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat CNQ over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks CNQ's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than CNQ follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than CNQ's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× CNQ's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than CNQ's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with CNQ?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +26.5% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | +433% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.28 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against CNQ. 3 of 22 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.68 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.83 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilitySmaller losses in recent crashes | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.83 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Integrated Oil & Gas, Oilfield Services), plus CNQ's specific themes. 11 of 67 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.53 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.62 | — | ||
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.26 | — | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.63 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.51 | — | ||
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Similar return, lower volatility | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.61 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 126 of 3,544 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.37 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.09 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.16 | — | ||
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.41 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.04 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.06 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.29 | 0.48% | |
EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.46 | 0.59% | |
What these numbers mean for CNQ
- Annual return
- CNQ returned 26.5% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $32,400. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- CNQ's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.5%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CNQ's return lands within 32.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- CNQ's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.89, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CNQ earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- CNQ's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 77.5%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 77.5% fall takes a 344% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, CNQ's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.28 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CNQ instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CNQ holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 14 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than CNQ with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with CNQ | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.37 | — | |
| 2 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.09 | — |
| 3 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.16 | — | |
| 4 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.41 | — |
| 5 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.30 | — |
| 6 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.30 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.22 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.03 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.10 | — | |
| 10 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.40 | — |
| 11 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.18 | — |
| 12 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.46 | 0.59% |
| 13 | UNMUnum Group · Life Insurance | Whole market | +30.6% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | +256% | 0.22 | — |
| 14 | AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Distribution | Whole market | +28.5% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | +742% | 0.22 | — |
CNQ against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against CNQ, compared period by period and year by year.
How do CNQ's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at CNQ, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only IMO was both more rewarding and calmer than CNQ over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- 13 of the 22 popular alternatives earned less than CNQ over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, CNQ returned 26.5% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (32.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than CNQ with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | +34.3% | 32.0% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | +33.2% | 32.9% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | +33.1% | 47.1% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| CNQ This pageCanadian Natural Resources Limited | +26.5% | 32.5% |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | +24.8% | 55.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | +17.6% | 36.6% |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | +16.7% | 39.1% |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | +16.6% | 32.3% |
| APA APA Corporation | +16.2% | 47.6% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | +15.2% | 37.9% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | +14.8% | 44.8% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | +13.8% | 21.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| BTE Baytex Energy Corp. | +11.4% | 53.0% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | +10.8% | 21.9% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | +10.0% | 37.5% |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | +9.3% | 39.9% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | +9.1% | 18.9% |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | +7.0% | 51.5% |
| SM SM Energy Company | +6.9% | 52.8% |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | +6.3% | 38.9% |
Has CNQ consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares CNQ with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than CNQ helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Two of the 22 popular alternatives, SU and PSX, outperformed CNQ in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- IMO, SU and PSX earned more for the risk they took than CNQ (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than CNQ over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited (this page) | — | +12.2% | +24.4% | +27.6% | +62.5% | +87.7% | +90.4% | +224% | +433% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | — | $112B | — |
| SU QualifiedSuncor Energy Inc. | 5/5 short2/3 long | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| PSX QualifiedPhillips 66 | 4/5 short2/3 long | +11.2% | +40.1% | +89.2% | +128% | +130% | +183% | +319% | +430% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | — | $117B | — |
| IMO Oil & Gas IntegratedImperial Oil Limited | 0/5 short2/3 long | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +53.8% | +59.7% | +143% | +337% | +430% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | — | $65B | — |
| PR Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionPermian Resources Corporation | 4/5 short1/3 long | +13.1% | +23.3% | +28.6% | +76.5% | +108% | +86.6% | +317% | +99.2% | 47.1% | 0.85 | −98.9% | — | $21B | — |
| TRP Oil & Gas MidstreamTC Energy Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +3.3% | −8.8% | +3.6% | +13.8% | +24.9% | +136% | +66.7% | +160% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | — | $64B | — |
| APA Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionAPA Corporation | 5/5 short0/3 long | +13.9% | +44.2% | +40.6% | +101% | +130% | +31.9% | +111% | +0.9% | 47.6% | 0.56 | −93.5% | — | $17B | — |
| OVV Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionOvintiv Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +16.8% | +22.2% | +32.8% | +76.3% | +98.3% | +52.5% | +99.6% | +56.0% | 44.8% | 0.54 | −96.8% | — | $19B | — |
| CVE Oil & Gas IntegratedCenovus Energy Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| BTE Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionBaytex Energy Corp. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +15.0% | +28.8% | +27.9% | +63.7% | +140% | +27.3% | +71.6% | +31.6% | 53.0% | 0.47 | −96.1% | — | $3.8B | — |
| OBE Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionObsidian Energy Ltd. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +2.1% | +25.5% | +11.8% | +87.8% | +106% | +38.5% | +203% | −5.2% | 55.4% | 0.68 | −98.9% | — | $788M | — |
| COP Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionConocoPhillips | 2/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| SM Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSM Energy Company | 2/5 short0/3 long | +11.8% | +24.9% | +46.1% | +108% | +88.7% | −1.4% | +39.5% | +123% | 52.8% | 0.39 | −94.7% | — | $9.2B | — |
| VET Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionVermilion Energy Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +12.6% | +38.7% | +16.6% | +61.0% | +88.9% | −1.4% | +40.3% | −49.9% | 51.5% | 0.39 | −95.0% | — | $2.0B | — |
| CHRD Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionChord Energy Corporation | 1/5 short0/3 long | +9.2% | +19.2% | +21.9% | +65.3% | +77.0% | +4.9% | +117% | — | 39.1% | 0.59 | −53.9% | — | $8.3B | — |
| PBA Oil & Gas MidstreamPembina Pipeline Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +8.0% | −0.1% | +20.5% | +34.4% | +39.3% | +91.3% | +90.5% | +172% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | — | $29B | — |
| FANG Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionDiamondback Energy, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +6.9% | +4.2% | +11.6% | +35.1% | +46.8% | +35.7% | +125% | +160% | 36.6% | 0.63 | −88.7% | — | $57B | — |
| EOG Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionEOG Resources, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +12.4% | +12.7% | +24.0% | +51.9% | +53.1% | +31.9% | +115% | +131% | 32.3% | 0.64 | −77.1% | — | $83B | — |
| ENB Oil & Gas MidstreamEnbridge Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −0.6% | −12.9% | −4.6% | +5.0% | +8.5% | +84.0% | +54.3% | +103% | 18.9% | 0.56 | −44.1% | — | $107B | — |
| DVN Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionDevon Energy Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +5.9% | +15.8% | +13.6% | +35.6% | +61.8% | +15.0% | +56.0% | +69.6% | 39.9% | 0.42 | −88.5% | — | $55B | — |
| OXY Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +9.9% | +14.5% | +16.6% | +50.6% | +56.4% | +2.0% | +103% | +11.6% | 37.9% | 0.56 | −88.4% | — | $63B | — |
| SLB Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSlb N.V. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | +8.3% | −3.3% | +26.4% | +53.2% | −7.2% | +60.7% | −21.3% | 37.5% | 0.44 | −84.5% | — | $74B | — |
| MGY Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +4.9% | +0.4% | −7.8% | +15.5% | +14.0% | +18.4% | +35.9% | — | 38.9% | 0.35 | −77.8% | — | $6.0B | — |
How did CNQ do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2001, along with where CNQ ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with CNQ and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- CNQ finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 12 of its 25 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, CNQ finished in the top quarter in nine of 25 years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 23.
- Among its popular alternatives, PSX came out ahead of CNQ most often, in eight of the 13 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of CNQ; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places CNQ among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of CNQ | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNQ This pageCanadian Natural Resources Limited | — | +15.5% | −1.3% | +23.7% | +39.9% | +83.3% | −19.1% | +39.6% | −28.9% | +15.0% | +51.6% | −27.4% | −6.8% | +19.1% | −21.7% | −15.2% | +24.4% | +81.4% | −44.9% | +38.1% | +7.6% | +133% | +71.3% | +72.2% | +24.3% | −10.9% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 9 of 25 | 8 of 23 | 11 of 23 | 4 of 23 | 14 of 23 | 16 of 23 | 5 of 22 | 3 of 22 | 13 of 22 | 5 of 21 | 5 of 20 | 8 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 10 of 20 | 16 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 8 of 16 | 5 of 15 | 11 of 15 | 8 of 15 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 13 | 1 of 13 | 1 of 13 | 1 of 13 | 7 of 12 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 13 of 25 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 8 of 25 | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% | +82.6% | −64.0% | +38.4% | +25.4% | +79.0% | +42.3% | +61.2% | −3.9% | +29.7% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 8 of 13 | +17.5% | −11.6% | +33.1% | +49.6% | +8.4% | −33.9% | +34.0% | −12.3% | +20.9% | +9.0% | +17.1% | −4.7% | +48.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 12 of 25 | +43.8% | +10.5% | +20.6% | +38.0% | +95.3% | −25.4% | +7.2% | −17.2% | −8.8% | +8.5% | −23.5% | −1.7% | +4.0% | −2.3% | +10.9% | +6.0% | +15.8% | −38.0% | +49.9% | +11.9% | +69.7% | +36.1% | +58.5% | +6.2% | +9.3% |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | 4 of 9 | +1.9% | +10.8% | +49.5% | +57.7% | +299% | −67.6% | −58.0% | −44.4% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 10 of 25 | +24.0% | +39.9% | +6.1% | −8.8% | +21.7% | −18.7% | +57.0% | −22.2% | +12.9% | +46.1% | −29.0% | +12.3% | +1.0% | +13.2% | +20.0% | +16.2% | +34.2% | −30.6% | +21.9% | +16.2% | +32.9% | +21.2% | +55.8% | +21.9% | +14.8% |
| APA APA Corporation | 5 of 25 | +11.5% | −33.5% | −21.2% | +76.4% | +90.7% | −43.7% | +1.1% | −36.4% | −32.2% | +45.7% | −27.7% | −26.3% | +10.5% | −12.7% | −23.6% | +16.3% | +39.5% | −30.2% | +62.9% | −2.3% | +36.2% | +25.4% | +50.3% | +15.2% | −21.2% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 7 of 24 | −0.3% | −5.2% | −10.9% | +53.3% | +138% | −34.8% | −17.6% | −56.4% | +14.2% | +132% | −62.1% | −22.0% | −5.2% | +10.8% | −34.3% | −7.8% | +697% | −28.6% | +51.8% | +3.3% | +60.1% | +47.1% | +29.4% | +22.0% | — |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 7 of 16 | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BTE Baytex Energy Corp. | 8 of 19 | +29.4% | −20.5% | −25.7% | +46.3% | +476% | −63.1% | −17.7% | −41.2% | −38.6% | +50.8% | −79.6% | −54.7% | −4.0% | −18.6% | +25.1% | +79.4% | +156% | −29.8% | +12.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | 6 of 20 | +5.9% | −14.6% | +2.1% | +61.2% | +515% | −6.9% | −74.3% | −67.7% | −29.9% | +113% | −59.0% | −72.4% | −17.0% | −40.8% | −12.8% | +46.6% | +82.8% | −49.7% | −3.4% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 11 of 25 | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% |
| SM SM Energy Company | 7 of 25 | −49.7% | +1.8% | +13.1% | +18.6% | +382% | +10.2% | −26.1% | −29.3% | −35.3% | +76.5% | −48.8% | −53.5% | +59.6% | −28.3% | +24.3% | +73.0% | +70.1% | −47.1% | +5.4% | +0.5% | +77.6% | +47.3% | +15.0% | +19.1% | −35.8% |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | 5 of 15 | −7.0% | −19.4% | −30.2% | +42.1% | +183% | −71.3% | −13.3% | −37.8% | −9.5% | +64.9% | −41.5% | −13.1% | +17.2% | +23.0% | −0.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | 2 of 5 | −16.4% | −25.0% | +31.8% | +34.1% | +261% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 7 of 15 | +8.6% | +13.1% | +7.8% | +17.8% | +36.8% | −31.0% | +31.1% | −14.0% | +20.4% | +51.6% | −37.1% | +8.0% | +29.6% | +4.0% | +43.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 7 of 13 | −5.6% | +10.3% | +19.7% | +35.4% | +127% | −46.0% | +0.9% | −26.4% | +24.9% | +51.1% | +11.9% | +13.0% | +177% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 11 of 25 | −11.4% | +4.3% | −2.0% | +56.9% | +88.6% | −38.6% | −2.8% | −18.7% | +7.5% | +44.0% | −22.5% | +10.3% | +39.7% | +23.4% | +8.5% | −5.5% | +47.4% | −25.0% | +43.6% | −14.6% | +106% | +55.3% | +16.1% | +2.5% | −28.1% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 11 of 25 | +19.5% | +26.3% | −1.1% | +6.5% | +30.9% | −13.6% | +36.0% | −15.5% | −3.7% | +32.4% | −33.3% | +21.0% | +3.7% | +19.2% | +37.0% | +26.2% | +47.3% | −17.0% | +21.4% | +13.5% | +29.5% | +24.8% | +57.5% | +3.1% | −1.3% |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 6 of 25 | +15.0% | −25.2% | −21.8% | +50.9% | +196% | −35.2% | +16.7% | −45.1% | −8.8% | +45.0% | −46.6% | +0.4% | +20.7% | −15.0% | −20.3% | +7.8% | +13.1% | −25.6% | +33.5% | +8.1% | +61.6% | +36.7% | +25.4% | +19.3% | −36.4% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 10 of 25 | −14.9% | −15.9% | −4.1% | +119% | +67.7% | −56.6% | −28.3% | −13.1% | +8.5% | +9.8% | −12.7% | −8.9% | +27.8% | −16.1% | −2.6% | +22.7% | +38.4% | −20.7% | +60.2% | +24.2% | +39.2% | +41.3% | +53.1% | +11.0% | +13.4% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 8 of 25 | +3.3% | −24.5% | −0.8% | +81.1% | +39.6% | −43.8% | +17.8% | −44.7% | −18.5% | +23.5% | −16.3% | −3.6% | +32.1% | +3.0% | −17.2% | +30.0% | +56.2% | −56.5% | +57.1% | +31.1% | +46.6% | +23.8% | +32.0% | −22.2% | −30.3% |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 3 of 8 | −3.8% | +12.2% | −7.3% | +26.5% | +169% | −43.9% | +12.3% | +15.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How CNQ has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were CNQ's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents CNQ's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2000, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of CNQ's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: CNQ fell 81.1% from June 2008 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 128%.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 18 months, after CNQ fell 37.3% from September 2000 to November 2001.
Green means CNQ fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | CNQ fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −81.1% | +128% | Jun 2008 | Mar 2020 | 11.8 years | Jun 2021 | 15 months |
| Dot-com bust | −37.3% | −20.7% | Sep 2000 | Nov 2001 | 14 months | May 2003 | 18 months |
| No named crash | −35.9% | −2.2% | Apr 2024 | Apr 2025 | 12 months | Jan 2026 | 9 months |
| No named crash | −34.7% | +6.7% | Feb 2006 | Oct 2006 | 8 months | May 2007 | 7 months |
| 2022 bear market | −32.2% | −17.4% | Apr 2022 | Sep 2022 | 5 months | Aug 2023 | 11 months |
How did CNQ do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far CNQ, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: CNQ began trading on July 31, 2000, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- CNQ fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when CNQ fell 74.4% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, PBA held up best, falling less than CNQ in all seven crashes they both traded through.
- CNQ began trading after the dot-com bust, but 11 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was TRP's 13.7%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than CNQ.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNQ This pageCanadian Natural Resources Limited | — | −5.8% | −32.2% | −74.4% | −32.1% | −11.7% | −38.1% | −36.9% | −0.2% | −74.8% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 3 of 9 | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 3 of 6 | −5.6% | −32.0% | −53.3% | −33.2% | −4.7% | −21.1% | — | — | — | — |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 8 of 9 | −5.1% | −29.7% | −67.5% | −27.3% | −6.9% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −60.8% | −20.8% |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | 1 of 5 | −8.2% | −44.3% | −90.1% | −55.9% | −7.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 8 of 9 | −4.0% | −30.7% | −41.6% | −15.3% | −5.2% | −18.5% | −12.8% | −0.6% | −45.4% | −13.7% |
| APA APA Corporation | 2 of 9 | −10.3% | −40.1% | −84.9% | −48.2% | −13.1% | −36.1% | −40.5% | −2.5% | −64.8% | −47.1% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 1 of 9 | −9.6% | −36.5% | −86.4% | −62.0% | −11.9% | −63.3% | −38.5% | −0.1% | −63.9% | — |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 1 of 8 | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | — | — |
| BTE Baytex Energy Corp. | 2 of 9 | −11.8% | −45.0% | −80.5% | −53.5% | −12.0% | −85.2% | −31.8% | −1.1% | −74.0% | — |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | 0 of 9 | −7.7% | −45.0% | −76.1% | −66.0% | −11.9% | −65.4% | −38.8% | −0.4% | −76.5% | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 5 of 9 | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| SM SM Energy Company | 2 of 9 | −3.6% | −44.1% | −77.1% | −59.5% | −11.8% | −76.4% | −31.1% | −3.4% | −82.0% | −57.0% |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | 3 of 7 | −3.5% | −37.3% | −88.0% | −40.2% | −10.0% | −40.4% | −24.7% | — | — | — |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corporation | 0 of 2 | −5.9% | −35.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 7 of 7 | −4.0% | −27.4% | −70.9% | −17.6% | −5.8% | −34.3% | −12.0% | — | — | — |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −7.7% | −33.5% | −80.3% | −38.7% | −9.8% | −29.3% | — | — | — | — |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −7.4% | −33.4% | −61.5% | −37.3% | −11.3% | −31.7% | −35.8% | −1.5% | −68.0% | −52.7% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 8 of 9 | −1.5% | −23.9% | −43.4% | −13.8% | −3.2% | −34.6% | −13.2% | 0.0% | −40.9% | −21.0% |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 1 of 9 | −8.3% | −33.6% | −75.9% | −49.4% | −13.4% | −55.2% | −36.6% | −2.3% | −68.6% | −52.9% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 7 of 9 | −4.6% | −22.9% | −76.8% | −30.5% | −7.3% | −21.4% | −36.1% | 0.0% | −58.1% | −28.4% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 4 of 9 | −8.8% | −36.8% | −64.9% | −43.6% | −10.9% | −27.1% | −38.9% | −3.8% | −68.0% | −59.8% |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | 2 of 5 | −6.6% | −38.1% | −63.6% | −33.6% | −0.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does CNQ move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares CNQ with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only IMO and COP had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than CNQ's 1.01, out of 20 popular alternatives with the same record.
- SU took just 90% of the S&P 500's losses, against 109% for CNQ, while still keeping 90% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, CNQ captured 110% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 109% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.13. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than CNQ's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNQ This pageCanadian Natural Resources Limited | 110% | 109% | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 110% | 105% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 116% | 122% | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 67% | 73% | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 79% | 92% | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 60% | 74% | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 108% | 148% | 0.73 | 1.54 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| EOG EOG Resources, Inc. | 92% | 135% | 0.69 | 1.17 |
| SM SM Energy Company | 154% | 244% | 0.63 | 3.21 |
| PR Permian Resources Corporation | 139% | 234% | 0.59 | 3.38 |
| DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 118% | 199% | 0.59 | 1.80 |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 131% | 228% | 0.58 | 2.14 |
| BTE Baytex Energy Corp. | 131% | 239% | 0.55 | 1.59 |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 80% | 155% | 0.51 | 1.24 |
| APA APA Corporation | 124% | 246% | 0.50 | 2.54 |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 104% | 212% | 0.49 | 1.54 |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | 78% | 165% | 0.47 | 1.39 |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | 90% | 225% | 0.40 | 1.67 |
What diversifies CNQ?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with CNQ's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing CNQ with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in CNQ into EWT would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+27.0% for CNQ alone, +27.3% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and DBEF have moved largely independently of CNQ over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.33 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- CAH made money in six of the nine calendar years in which CNQ lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which CNQ lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% CNQ and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2012 | 2011 | 2008 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +224% | 0.89 | −1.3% | −19.1% | −28.9% | −27.4% | −6.8% | −21.7% | −15.2% | −44.9% | −10.9% | 30.4% | +27.0% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.29 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +19.6% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | 25.2% | +27.8% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.05 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | +55.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +8.6% | +6.8% | −44.7% | −14.6% | 25.0% | +31.1% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.33 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +2.1% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +20.9% | — | — | — | 25.1% | +25.0% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.20 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | +24.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +6.6% | +9.6% | +4.9% | — | 25.2% | +26.1% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.10 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | +28.2% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.1% | +27.0% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.49 | +76.6% | 0.90 | +16.0% | +2.3% | −5.5% | −1.0% | +13.2% | +15.2% | +1.1% | −35.9% | — | 25.8% | +24.6% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.29 | +109% | 0.90 | +7.2% | −0.2% | −11.1% | −4.1% | +12.8% | — | — | — | — | 25.8% | +25.9% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.01 | +153% | 0.89 | +16.1% | +31.5% | −9.9% | −12.9% | +7.0% | +18.6% | −21.8% | −45.3% | +2.1% | 24.9% | +27.3% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2012 | 2011 | 2008 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +224% | 0.89 | −1.3% | −19.1% | −28.9% | −27.4% | −6.8% | −21.7% | −15.2% | −44.9% | −10.9% | 30.4% | +27.0% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.16 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +10.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +3.8% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −2.5% | 25.7% | +30.4% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.13 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | −2.4% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +11.2% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −25.6% | 28.3% | +44.4% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.19 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +15.7% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +73.7% | 27.4% | +39.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.37 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +27.1% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +25.6% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +4.9% | 26.6% | +29.4% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.26 | +594% | 1.36 | +103% | −7.2% | −37.5% | −36.3% | +50.9% | +2.9% | −42.9% | −67.4% | +9.8% | 27.0% | +32.6% |
Common questions
What was CNQ's worst drawdown?
CNQ's deepest decline since it began trading in 2000 was 81.1%, from June 2008 to March 2020. It took 15 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were CNQ's best and worst years?
Over 25 full calendar years, CNQ's best year was 2005, when it returned 133%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -44.9%.
Is there a better investment than CNQ?
Among CNQ's popular alternatives, PSX earned more for the risk it took than CNQ over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 64.2%, against 77.5% for CNQ. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PAA (oil & gas midstream) matched CNQ's return over the past 5 years (27.0% a year against 26.5%) with 21% less volatility.
Is CNQ more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. CNQ's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.5%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CNQ's return lands within 32.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is CNQ's Sharpe ratio?
CNQ's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.89, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CNQ earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is CNQ with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, CNQ's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.28 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CNQ instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CNQ holding.
What are the best alternatives to CNQ?
Of the 22 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed CNQ in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: SU and PSX.
Did CNQ outperform the S&P 500?
CNQ finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 12 of 25 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +15.5%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did CNQ do in stock market crashes?
CNQ fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in one of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when CNQ fell 74.4% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies CNQ?
These had a low correlation with CNQ over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.29), SMH (correlation -0.05) and DBEF (correlation 0.33); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.16), CLS (correlation 0.13) and FIX (correlation 0.19). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than CNQ's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of CNQ's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.