Relative Intelligence · Gold

How SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on GLD alone. It places GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) against 13 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where GLD stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: GLD's full trading record, from November 2004 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- What you're buyingGLD's 0.40% fee costs about $620 more than IAUM's 0.09% on $10,000 over 20 years, for a fund that tracks the same thing. Better options ↓
- Right nowGLD has gone against the market, falling 14.6% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. GLD is 23.8% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. At a glance ↓
- Fund or market?GLD rose 2.7% over the past 3 months, in line with the S&P 500, which rose 3.9%: a market move, not its own.
- Long termGLD turned $10,000 into $31,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. That said, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: GLD rose 126% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, GLD has typically lost about 61% as much as the S&P 500. The Covid crash took 12.5% off GLD, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, GLD has a correlation of 0.16 over 5 years, less closely than 97% of ETFs with at least $100 million in assets. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. Over 10 years GLD kept more of the market's gains than of its losses: 40% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 3% of its losses in falling ones, with a beta of 0.14. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) was ahead of GLD in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (38.2% volatility against 18.9%).
- Same exposure, lower fee
- SGOL (abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF) tracks the same thing for 0.17% a year against GLD's 0.40%, and has kept pace over the past decade: about $230 less in fees on $10,000 over 10 years.
- Whole market
- Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GLD with less volatility over the past 5 years.
How much would $10,000 in GLD have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in GLD over the past 16 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of GLD over the same span and GLD's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 16 years rather than GLD's full 21 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in GLD at the end of September 2010 would have grown to $29,773 by September 2026, less than the $88,503 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of GLD, and AAPL finished highest, at $392,248.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2010 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,374 of the 2,048 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of GLD; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$392,248+3,822% total · +25.8% a year
- CAH$100,083+901% total · +15.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$88,503+785% total · +14.6% a year
- DXJ$83,812+738% total · +14.2% a year
- RY$69,028+590% total · +12.8% a year
- IAU$30,508+205% total · +7.2% a year
- GLD$29,773+198% total · +7.1% a year
- SLV$25,579+156% total · +6.0% a year
- GDX$18,092+80.9% total · +3.8% a year
- GDXJ$12,078+20.8% total · +1.2% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 594 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of GLD; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- CAH$49,682+397% total · +37.8% a year
- DXJ$32,976+230% total · +27.0% a year
- GDXJ$32,179+222% total · +26.3% a year
- GDX$31,938+219% total · +26.1% a year
- MPLX$30,642+206% total · +25.1% a year
- SLV$26,565+166% total · +21.6% a year
- RY$23,646+136% total · +18.8% a year
- IAUM$23,601+136% total · +18.7% a year
- GLD$23,190+132% total · +18.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
GLD at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the fund, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: GLD began trading on November 18, 2004, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- GLD is still 23.8% below its all-time high.
- GLD's deepest decline since it began trading in 2004 was 45.6%, from August 2011 to December 2015. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 21 full calendar years, GLD's best was 2025, when it returned 63.7%, and its worst was 2013, when it lost 28.3%. It lost money in six of those years.
The fund
- Issuer
- SPDR
- Began trading
- November 2004
- Expense ratio
- 0.40%per year
- Assets
- $143B
- Category
- Commodities
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −6.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +106%+27.2% a year
- Past 5 years
- +126%+17.7% a year
- Past 10 years
- +213%+12.1% a year
- Best calendar year
- +63.7%2025
- Worst calendar year
- −28.3%2013
- Losing years
- 6 of 21full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 18.9%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.96return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −45.6%Aug 2011 to Dec 2015
- From its all-time high
- −23.8%below the peak
GLD against the whole market
Where GLD ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does GLD rank among all ETFs?
This section ranks GLD on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every ETF worth at least $100 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how GLD stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- GLD's 5-year return ranks in the top 5% of the 1,560 ETFs with at least $100 million in assets with 5 years of history.
- GLD's 1-year return ranks in the bottom 5% of the 2,485 ETFs with at least $100 million in assets with 1 year of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed ETFs with at least $100M in assets that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller ETFs and leveraged funds are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | GLD | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −6.3% | 2,353 of 2,485 | bottom 6% |
| 3-year return | +106% | 193 of 1,949 | top 10% |
| 5-year return | +126% | 76 of 1,560 | top 5% |
| 10-year return | +213% | 250 of 958 | top 26% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 18.9% | 1,036 of 1,560 | bottom 35% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.96 | 149 of 1,560 | top 10% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −26.4% | 159 of 951 | top 17% |
What has beaten GLD on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). GLD sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than GLD with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- None of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GLD over the past 5 years with less volatility: nothing sits in the green region.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to GLD. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- The whole market
- 1 with more than 1.6× GLD's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than GLD?
Investments that beat GLD over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among GLD's popular alternatives, GDX was ahead of GLD in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (38.2% volatility against 18.9%).
- SGOL tracks the same thing for 0.17% a year against GLD's 0.40%, and has kept pace over the past decade: about $230 less in fees on $10,000 over 10 years.
- Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GLD with less volatility over the past 5 years.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat GLD over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes, and, for funds, the same exposure at a lower expense ratio. It checks GLD's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than GLD's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× GLD's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than GLD's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with GLD?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 1.00 | 0.40% | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.16 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 2 shownThe investments people most often weigh against GLD. 5 of 12 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF · Gold Mining | Higher return in most periods | +22.9% | 38.2% | 0.73 | −49.8% | +283% | 0.87 | 0.51% | |
| Same exposure, lower expense ratio | +17.9% | 18.9% | 0.97 | −26.4% | +218% | 1.00 | 0.25% | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 98 of 3,578 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.11 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.22 | 0.48% | |
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.06 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.04 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.06 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.20 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | -0.03 | — | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatility | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.37 | 0.40% | |
What these numbers mean for GLD
- Annual return
- GLD returned 17.7% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $22,600. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- GLD's volatility over the past 5 years was 18.9%, 1.1 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, GLD's return lands within 18.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- GLD's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.96, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so GLD earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- GLD's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 26.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 26.4% fall takes a 35.9% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, GLD's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.16 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against GLD instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a GLD holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
See everything that outperformed GLD →
GLD against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against GLD, compared period by period and year by year.
How do GLD's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at GLD, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only IAUM was both more rewarding and calmer than GLD over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, GLD returned 17.7% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (18.9% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than GLD with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | +22.9% | 38.2% |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | +21.4% | 43.0% |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | +18.3% | 37.5% |
| IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | +18.1% | 18.8% |
| GLD This pageSPDR Gold Shares | +17.7% | 18.9% |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | +14.9% | 24.6% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| PPLT abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF | +8.8% | 33.1% |
Has GLD consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares GLD with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than GLD helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- GDX outperformed GLD in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- Only one of the 13 popular alternatives, GDX, outperformed GLD in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- IAUM, GLDM and AAAU earned more for the risk they took than GLD (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than GLD over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares (this page) | — | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.6% | −5.2% | −6.3% | +106% | +126% | +213% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | 0.40% | $143B | — |
| GDX QualifiedVanEck Gold Miners ETF | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −8.8% | +21.7% | −13.1% | +0.4% | +7.9% | +203% | +181% | +283% | 38.2% | 0.73 | −49.8% | 0.51% | $27B | — |
| GDXJ MaterialsVanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 2/5 short2/3 long | −12.1% | +17.7% | −18.0% | −4.7% | +4.0% | +228% | +164% | +202% | 43.0% | 0.67 | −57.8% | 0.52% | $8.1B | — |
| SLV CommoditiesiShares Silver Trust | 1/5 short2/3 long | −12.6% | +2.2% | −27.8% | −20.7% | +9.2% | +144% | +131% | +213% | 37.5% | 0.64 | −52.4% | 0.50% | $29B | — |
| IAUM CommoditiesiShares Gold Trust Micro | 0/5 short1/3 long | −5.1% | +2.9% | −14.4% | −4.9% | −5.9% | +108% | +130% | — | 18.8% | 0.99 | −26.3% | 0.09% | $8.0B | — |
| PPLT Alternativesabrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF | 2/5 short0/3 long | −8.4% | +3.3% | −21.0% | −23.1% | −0.2% | +80.8% | +52.4% | +66.9% | 33.1% | 0.42 | −44.0% | 0.60% | $1.9B | — |
| GLTR Alternativesabrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 1/5 short0/3 long | −8.2% | +1.9% | −20.1% | −12.5% | −2.9% | +106% | +101% | +191% | 24.6% | 0.69 | −37.9% | 0.60% | $2.5B | — |
| SGOL Alternativesabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.1% | +107% | +129% | +218% | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.17% | $7.2B | — |
| IAU CommoditiesiShares Gold Trust | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.1% | −6.1% | +107% | +128% | +218% | 18.9% | 0.97 | −26.4% | 0.25% | $62B | — |
| OUNZ Broad MarketVanEck Merk Gold ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.1% | −6.2% | +106% | +128% | +216% | 18.9% | 0.97 | −26.3% | 0.25% | $2.7B | — |
| AAAU CommoditiesGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.1% | +107% | +129% | — | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.18% | $2.6B | — |
| BAR CommoditiesGraniteShares Gold Trust | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.1% | +107% | +129% | — | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.17% | $1.3B | — |
| FGDL AlternativesFranklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.1% | +3.0% | −14.6% | −5.4% | −6.4% | +107% | — | — | — | — | −26.6% | 0.15% | $435M | — |
| GLDM CommoditiesSPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.0% | +108% | +130% | — | 18.9% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.10% | $31B | — |
How did GLD do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2005, along with where GLD ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with GLD and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: GLD began trading on November 18, 2004, so the table starts with 2005, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, GLD finished in the top quarter in nine of 15 years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 7 of 7.
- None of the five popular alternatives came out ahead of GLD in most of the years they have in common.
- GLD finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 11 of its 21 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of GLD; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places GLD among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of GLD | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD This pageSPDR Gold Shares | — | +63.7% | +26.7% | +12.7% | −0.8% | −4.2% | +24.8% | +17.9% | −1.9% | +12.8% | +8.0% | −10.7% | −2.2% | −28.3% | +6.6% | +9.6% | +29.3% | +24.0% | +4.9% | +30.4% | +22.6% | +17.8% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 9 of 15 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10 of 21 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 5 of 19 | +155% | +10.7% | +10.0% | −9.0% | −9.5% | +23.7% | +39.8% | −8.8% | +12.0% | +53.0% | −24.7% | −12.4% | −54.0% | −8.9% | −16.1% | +33.9% | +36.7% | −26.1% | +16.8% | — | — |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 5 of 16 | +172% | +15.7% | +7.1% | −14.5% | −21.3% | +30.4% | +40.4% | −11.0% | +8.2% | +73.0% | −19.1% | −22.4% | −60.8% | −16.8% | −34.0% | +67.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 7 of 19 | +145% | +20.9% | −1.1% | +2.4% | −12.4% | +47.3% | +14.9% | −9.2% | +5.8% | +14.6% | −12.4% | −19.5% | −36.3% | +9.0% | −10.7% | +82.5% | +47.7% | −23.8% | +14.3% | — | — |
| IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 0 of 4 | +64.3% | +27.0% | +13.1% | −0.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PPLT abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF | 5 of 15 | +124% | −8.9% | −8.2% | +10.4% | −10.7% | +10.8% | +20.9% | −15.0% | +2.4% | +0.7% | −26.7% | −12.6% | −11.6% | +9.9% | −21.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 6 of 15 | +87.3% | +20.6% | +2.0% | −0.3% | −9.6% | +29.5% | +21.0% | −2.9% | +12.9% | +10.1% | −14.1% | −7.8% | −28.8% | +7.6% | −2.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How GLD has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were GLD's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents GLD's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2004, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: GLD began trading on November 18, 2004, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In four of GLD's five worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: GLD fell 45.6% from August 2011 to December 2015, while the S&P 500 rose 98.3%.
- The slowest recovery came after GLD fell 45.6% from August 2011 to December 2015; it did not regain that peak until July 2020, five years later.
Green means GLD fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | GLD fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −45.6% | +98.3% | Aug 2011 | Dec 2015 | 4.3 years | Jul 2020 | 4.6 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −29.4% | −32.0% | Mar 2008 | Nov 2008 | 8 months | Sep 2009 | 10 months |
| No named crash | −26.4% | +8.7% | Jan 2026 | Jul 2026 | 6 months | Not yet | — |
| 2022 bear market | −22.0% | +12.6% | Aug 2020 | Sep 2022 | 2.1 years | Mar 2024 | 18 months |
| No named crash | −21.8% | −4.4% | May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 1 month | Sep 2007 | 15 months |
How did GLD do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far GLD, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: GLD began trading on November 18, 2004, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- GLD fell less than the S&P 500 in all nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when GLD fell 29.4% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than GLD in most of the crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than GLD.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD This pageSPDR Gold Shares | — | 0.0% | −21.0% | −12.5% | −2.7% | −1.5% | −11.7% | −15.4% | −0.2% | −29.4% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 0 of 9 | −0.5% | −46.5% | −38.8% | −8.4% | −5.3% | −25.5% | −18.3% | −1.6% | −71.0% | — |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 0 of 8 | −0.3% | −48.8% | −50.7% | −12.2% | −5.4% | −26.3% | −29.7% | −1.9% | — | — |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −33.0% | −35.6% | −5.1% | −2.2% | −15.3% | −32.3% | 0.0% | −57.1% | — |
| IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 0 of 2 | 0.0% | −20.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PPLT abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF | 0 of 8 | 0.0% | −28.6% | −41.7% | −10.3% | −2.6% | −20.6% | −21.6% | 0.0% | — | — |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 0 of 7 | 0.0% | −26.3% | −23.3% | −3.2% | −2.4% | −13.8% | −22.7% | — | — | — |
How closely does GLD move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares GLD with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the five popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than GLD's 12.41.
- Over the past 10 years, GLD captured 40% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 3% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.14. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than GLD's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD This pageSPDR Gold Shares | 40% | 3% | 12.41 | 0.14 |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 51% | 32% | 1.61 | 0.27 |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.68 |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 78% | 79% | 0.98 | 0.58 |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 86% | 95% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| PPLT abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF | 56% | 80% | 0.69 | 0.61 |
What diversifies GLD?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with GLD's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing GLD with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in GLD into SPMO would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+18.3% for GLD alone, +19.7% for the mix).
- MPC made money in five of the six calendar years in which GLD lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of GLD over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.37 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which GLD lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% GLD and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares (this page) | 1.00 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −4.2% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | −28.3% | 17.2% | +18.3% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.37 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | +17.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | 14.6% | +18.3% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.22 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +18.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +41.3% | 14.5% | +20.3% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.26 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | +23.1% | −8.7% | −25.3% | +23.8% | +16.6% | 14.8% | +18.1% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.33 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | +19.6% | −3.0% | −0.3% | +12.6% | +23.8% | 14.9% | +17.4% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.07 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +42.1% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +33.4% | 15.9% | +23.2% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.27 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | +19.6% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +26.4% | 14.5% | +17.7% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -0.05 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +22.7% | −0.9% | — | — | — | 14.2% | +19.7% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.10 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | +53.3% | −18.2% | −21.5% | −8.7% | +26.3% | 15.2% | +20.1% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD SPDR Gold Shares (this page) | 1.00 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −4.2% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | −28.3% | 17.2% | +18.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.04 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −0.4% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +66.0% | 14.9% | +22.9% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.07 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | +37.9% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +27.6% | 17.4% | +36.5% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.00 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +89.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | 16.4% | +32.1% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.20 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +44.2% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +67.7% | 15.6% | +22.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | -0.01 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | +61.0% | −8.2% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | 15.2% | +25.1% |
Common questions
What was GLD's worst drawdown?
GLD's deepest decline since it began trading in 2004 was 45.6%, from August 2011 to December 2015. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because GLD launched in November 2004, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were GLD's best and worst years?
Over 21 full calendar years, GLD's best year was 2025, when it returned 63.7%. Its worst was 2013, with a return of -28.3%.
Is there a better investment than GLD?
Among GLD's popular alternatives, GDX was ahead of GLD in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (38.2% volatility against 18.9%). SGOL tracks the same thing for 0.17% a year against GLD's 0.40%, and has kept pace over the past decade: about $230 less in fees on $10,000 over 10 years.
Is GLD more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. GLD's volatility over the past 5 years was 18.9%, 1.1 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, GLD's return lands within 18.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is GLD's Sharpe ratio?
GLD's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.96, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so GLD earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is GLD with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, GLD's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.16 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against GLD instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a GLD holding.
What are the best alternatives to GLD?
Of the 13 popular alternatives we compared, one outperformed GLD in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: GDX.
Did GLD outperform the S&P 500?
GLD finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 11 of 21 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +63.7%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did GLD do in stock market crashes?
GLD fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in nine of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in no. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when GLD fell 29.4% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies GLD?
These had a low correlation with GLD over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.37), DXJ (correlation 0.22) and EMLP (correlation 0.26); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.04), CLS (correlation -0.07) and FIX (correlation -0.00). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than GLD's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of GLD's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.