Relative Intelligence · Software

How Microsoft (MSFT) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on MSFT alone. It places MSFT (Microsoft Corporation) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where MSFT stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: MSFT's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, MSFT rose 32.5% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. After a 34.5% loss from October 2025 to June 2026, MSFT has bounced 49.4% off the low. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?MSFT's 32.5% gain over the past 3 months far outran its industry: the software ETF IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF) rose 15.0%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its software peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: SAP rose 44.6%, while GOOG (Alphabet) fell 4.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsThe long record (ahead of 95% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years) has not carried into the past 3 years (ahead of 57% of them). MSFT has trailed the market, rising 3.8% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (66.6% against 89.3%). Market rank ↓
- Long termMSFT turned $10,000 into $105,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Even so, the past 5 years only matched the S&P 500 (80.3% against 81.7%), after a much stronger decade (946% against 321%). Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashThe 2022 bear market took 31.0% off MSFT, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than IBM (International Business Machines, 16.7%) but less than GOOG (Alphabet, 35.0%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, MSFT has a correlation of 0.63 over 5 years, more closely than 94% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- CIBR (First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF, cybersecurity) and CSCO (Cisco Systems, cybersecurity theme) earned more than MSFT with less volatility over the past 5 years. CIBR returned 14.1% a year at 26.1% volatility, against 12.5% a year at 28.2%.
- Versus the S&P 500
- The S&P 500 matched MSFT's return over the past 5 years (12.7% a year against 12.5%) with 39% less volatility.
- Whole market
- 188 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MSFT with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT (Walmart), JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.) and XOM (Exxonmobil).
How much would $10,000 in MSFT have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in MSFT over the past 27 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of MSFT over the same span and MSFT's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 27 years rather than MSFT's full 29 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in MSFT at the end of September 1999 would have grown to $185,654 by September 2026, more than the $95,018 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of MSFT, and NVDA finished highest, at $62,517,102.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1999 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 361 of the 1,166 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MSFT; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$63M+625,071% total · +38.2% a year
- AMZN$622,861+6,129% total · +16.5% a year
- CACI$571,383+5,614% total · +16.2% a year
- TRV$250,538+2,405% total · +12.7% a year
- INTU$215,744+2,057% total · +12.0% a year
- MSFT$185,654+1,757% total · +11.4% a year
- ORCL$151,984+1,420% total · +10.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$95,018+850% total · +8.7% a year
- SAP$78,616+686% total · +7.9% a year
- IBM$37,218+272% total · +5.0% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 908 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MSFT; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- DELL$112,363+1,024% total · +62.2% a year
- NVDA$110,811+1,008% total · +61.8% a year
- ANET$94,783+848% total · +56.8% a year
- AVGO$79,117+691% total · +51.2% a year
- PANW$49,770+398% total · +37.8% a year
- FFIV$22,395+124% total · +17.5% a year
- CIBR$21,643+116% total · +16.7% a year
- IBM$20,049+100% total · +14.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- MSFT$18,958+89.6% total · +13.6% a year
MSFT at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- MSFT's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 69.5%, from December 1999 to March 2009. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, MSFT's best was 1998, when it returned 115%, and its worst was 2000, when it lost 62.9%. It lost money in seven of those years.
- MSFT is 2.1% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $3.9T
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +3.8%total return
- Past 3 years
- +66.6%+18.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +80.3%+12.5% a year
- Past 10 years
- +946%+26.5% a year
- Best calendar year
- +115%1998
- Worst calendar year
- −62.9%2000
- Losing years
- 7 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 28.2%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.56return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −69.5%Dec 1999 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −2.1%below the peak
MSFT against the whole market
Where MSFT ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does MSFT rank among all stocks?
This section ranks MSFT on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how MSFT stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- MSFT's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 4% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | MSFT | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +3.8% | 1,820 of 3,287 | bottom 46% |
| 3-year return | +66.6% | 1,306 of 3,017 | top 43% |
| 5-year return | +80.3% | 811 of 2,893 | top 28% |
| 10-year return | +946% | 118 of 2,202 | top 5% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 28.2% | 566 of 2,893 | top 20% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.56 | 780 of 2,893 | top 27% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −37.1% | 89 of 2,187 | top 4% |
What has beaten MSFT on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). MSFT sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than MSFT with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 88 stocks and 100 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than MSFT over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 5% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half MSFT's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 12% less than MSFT's 28.2%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.56 for MSFT.
- None of MSFT's popular alternatives made it, but FTEC (enterprise software theme) did: 18.6% a year at 26.1% volatility, 8% less than MSFT's 28.2%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to MSFT; faint dots are 91 more of the 188 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× MSFT's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than MSFT?
Investments that beat MSFT over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among MSFT's popular alternatives, IBM earned more than MSFT over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 16.6% a year at 30.5% volatility, against 12.5% a year at 28.2%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, CIBR (cybersecurity) and CSCO (cybersecurity theme) earned more than MSFT with less volatility over the past 5 years. CIBR returned 14.1% a year at 26.1% volatility, against 12.5% a year at 28.2%.
- The S&P 500 matched MSFT's return over the past 5 years (12.7% a year against 12.5%) with 39% less volatility.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat MSFT over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks MSFT's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than MSFT follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than MSFT's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× MSFT's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than MSFT's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with MSFT?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.63 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against MSFT. 3 of 22 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +3,701% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +31.9% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | +1,274% | 0.28 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +16.6% | 30.5% | 0.66 | −41.1% | +151% | 0.12 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Software and the categories next to it (Application Software, Enterprise Software, Payment Processing, Semiconductors), plus MSFT's specific themes. 8 of 138 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +454% | 0.54 | 0.58% | |
FFIVF5, Inc. · Cybersecurity | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +17.1% | 30.8% | 0.67 | −54.6% | +287% | 0.30 | — | |
CACICACI International Inc · Business Services · Cybersecurity theme | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +16.6% | 29.9% | 0.66 | −42.9% | +499% | 0.22 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatility | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.35 | — | ||
IYWiShares U.S. Technology ETF · Technology Equity · Cloud Computing theme | Higher return, lower volatility | +19.0% | 26.6% | 0.79 | −39.4% | +805% | 0.68 | 0.37% | |
SNXTD Synnex Corp · Technology Distribution · Cloud Computing theme | Higher return, similar volatility | +20.3% | 30.4% | 0.76 | −55.8% | +430% | 0.29 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 452 of 3,473 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | -0.10 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | -0.06 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.15 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.05 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.11 | 0.40% | ||
FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.35 | 0.19% | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.15 | — | ||
NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.33 | — | |
What these numbers mean for MSFT
- Annual return
- MSFT returned 12.5% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $18,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- MSFT's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.2%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MSFT's return lands within 28.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- MSFT's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.56, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MSFT earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- MSFT's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 37.1%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 37.1% fall takes a 59.1% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, MSFT's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.63 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MSFT instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MSFT holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 188 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than MSFT with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with MSFT | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | -0.10 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | -0.06 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.15 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.05 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.32 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.04 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | -0.01 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | -0.02 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.11 | 0.40% | |
| 10 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | -0.08 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.09 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.20 | — | |
| 13 | THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.9% | 0.70 | −40.1% | +291% | -0.05 | — |
| 14 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.35 | 0.19% |
| 15 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.40 | 0.13% |
| 16 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.30 | 0.27% |
| 17 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.36 | 0.15% |
| 18 | OEFiShares S&P 100 ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +14.3% | 17.8% | 0.84 | −31.4% | +367% | 0.71 | 0.20% |
| 19 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.04 | — |
| 20 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.00 | — |
| 21 | CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Same or nearby category | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +454% | 0.54 | 0.58% |
| 22 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.18 | — | |
| 23 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.71 | 0.40% |
| 24 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | -0.01 | — | |
| 25 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.00 | — |
| 26 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.29 | 0.61% |
| 27 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.62 | 0.50% |
| 28 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.13 | — | |
| 29 | GARPiShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.5% | 22.5% | 0.83 | −31.4% | — | 0.64 | 0.15% |
| 30 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.69 | 0.45% |
| 31 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.51 | 0.38% |
| 32 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | -0.06 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.30 | — | |
| 34 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.28 | 0.45% |
| 35 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.17 | — | |
| 36 | EWJViShares MSCI Japan Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.2% | 0.86 | −30.1% | — | 0.29 | 0.15% |
| 37 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.23 | 0.48% |
| 38 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.21 | 0.40% |
| 39 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.13 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.10 | — | |
| 41 | VSLUApplied Finance Valuation Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.7% | 16.2% | 0.88 | −23.8% | — | 0.68 | 0.49% |
| 42 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +553% | 0.63 | 0.18% | |
| 43 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.05 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.08 | — | |
| 45 | Whole market | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | 0.00 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.15 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.10 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.16 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.12 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | -0.02 | — | |
| 51 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.67 | 0.09% | |
| 52 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | -0.08 | — | |
| 53 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | -0.05 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | -0.13 | — | |
| 55 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.35 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.03 | — | |
| 57 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.23 | — | |
| 58 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.13 | — | |
| 59 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.11 | — | |
| 60 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.14 | — | |
| 61 | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | +295% | 0.20 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.29 | — | |
| 63 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.29 | — | |
| 64 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.04 | — | |
| 65 | Whole market | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.52 | — | |
| 66 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.09 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.20 | — | |
| 68 | Whole market | +15.9% | 23.4% | 0.75 | −42.0% | +393% | 0.09 | — | |
| 69 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.21 | — | |
| 70 | Whole market | +14.8% | 23.6% | 0.71 | −32.8% | +625% | 0.33 | — | |
| 71 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | -0.03 | — | |
| 72 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.14 | — | |
| 73 | Whole market | +17.0% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | +356% | -0.04 | — | |
| 74 | Whole market | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.23 | — | |
| 75 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.03 | 0.08% | |
| 76 | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.1% | 0.72 | −42.7% | +481% | 0.25 | — | |
| 77 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.47 | — |
| 78 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.28 | — | |
| 79 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.02 | — |
| 80 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.11 | 0.80% |
| 81 | HIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +15.6% | 22.0% | 0.77 | −57.6% | +294% | 0.08 | — |
| 82 | Whole market | +14.0% | 25.7% | 0.64 | −45.5% | +79.7% | 0.04 | — | |
| 83 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.11 | — |
| 84 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.11 | — |
| 85 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | -0.05 | — |
| 86 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +194% | 0.34 | 0.25% |
| 87 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.25 | — |
| 88 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.11 | — |
| 89 | PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +13.8% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | +172% | 0.17 | — |
| 90 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.43 | 0.56% |
| 91 | LLoews Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.3% | 19.2% | 0.80 | −48.5% | +180% | 0.00 | — |
| 92 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.4% | 0.84 | −43.0% | — | 0.36 | 0.36% |
| 93 | Same or nearby category | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.35 | — | |
| 94 | PKGPackaging Corporation of America · Packaging | Whole market | +15.4% | 25.8% | 0.69 | −38.2% | +294% | 0.11 | — |
| 95 | AMLPAlerian MLP ETF · Energy Equity | Whole market | +16.1% | 18.9% | 0.89 | −72.9% | +91.0% | 0.15 | 1.01% |
| 96 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.36 | 0.59% |
| 97 | RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.7% | 14.4% | 0.97 | −36.1% | +287% | 0.44 | 0.39% |
| 98 | OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc. · Healthcare REITs | Whole market | +16.4% | 24.2% | 0.75 | −66.9% | +202% | 0.09 | — |
| 99 | PAVEGlobal X - U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF · Infrastructure Equity | Whole market | +14.9% | 21.6% | 0.75 | −44.1% | — | 0.29 | 0.47% |
| 100 | ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +14.6% | 20.4% | 0.78 | −51.0% | +258% | 0.22 | 0.37% |
See everything that outperformed MSFT →
MSFT against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against MSFT, compared period by period and year by year.
How do MSFT's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at MSFT, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 22 popular alternatives earned more than MSFT over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 15 of the 22 popular alternatives earned less than MSFT over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, MSFT returned 12.5% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (28.2% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than MSFT with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +58.0% | 51.9% |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | +55.2% | 54.4% |
| ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | +49.0% | 49.0% |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | +48.3% | 44.5% |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | +31.9% | 43.4% |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | +19.0% | 32.0% |
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation | +16.6% | 30.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MSFT This pageMicrosoft Corporation | +12.5% | 28.2% |
| SAP SAP SE | +11.5% | 30.0% |
| BOX Box, Inc. | +10.1% | 33.3% |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | +10.1% | 59.7% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | +9.0% | 36.6% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | +7.7% | 44.3% |
| DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | +1.9% | 72.9% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | +1.9% | 45.5% |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | −0.9% | 62.6% |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | −3.2% | 39.4% |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | −5.9% | 41.7% |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | −6.2% | 71.1% |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | −9.4% | 39.1% |
| TEAM Atlassian Corporation | −11.6% | 63.9% |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | −16.5% | 38.1% |
| ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. | −18.8% | 44.3% |
Has MSFT consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares MSFT with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than MSFT helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Two of the 22 popular alternatives, DELL and PANW, outperformed MSFT in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- AVGO outperformed MSFT over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so MSFT has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than MSFT over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation (this page) | — | +6.0% | +32.5% | +27.7% | +13.2% | +3.8% | +66.6% | +80.3% | +946% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | — | $3.9T | — |
| DELL QualifiedDell Technologies Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −19.6% | +21.3% | +127% | +265% | +217% | +636% | +800% | +3,701% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | — | $294B | — |
| PANW QualifiedPalo Alto Networks, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −8.5% | −2.4% | +101% | +89.7% | +60.6% | +180% | +299% | +1,274% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | — | $278B | — |
| NVDA SemiconductorsNVIDIA Corporation | 2/5 short3/3 long | −4.8% | +6.6% | +7.4% | +14.9% | +18.8% | +425% | +884% | +13,019% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | — | $5.2T | — |
| ANET Computer HardwareArista Networks, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −11.8% | +7.0% | +8.6% | +35.6% | +23.7% | +289% | +634% | +3,439% | 49.0% | 1.06 | −52.2% | — | $229B | — |
| AVGO SemiconductorsBroadcom Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −7.8% | −11.4% | −16.0% | −3.3% | −3.5% | +305% | +617% | +2,380% | 44.5% | 1.11 | −48.3% | — | $1.6T | — |
| GOOG Internet Content & InformationAlphabet Inc. | 1/5 short2/3 long | −4.1% | −4.2% | +0.4% | +6.9% | +31.2% | +148% | +138% | +752% | 32.0% | 0.71 | −44.6% | — | $4.1T | — |
| IBM Information Technology ServicesInternational Business Machines Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | +4.3% | +14.4% | −3.3% | −15.3% | −12.5% | +93.5% | +116% | +151% | 30.5% | 0.66 | −41.1% | — | $228B | — |
| BOX Software - InfrastructureBox, Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +24.2% | +35.3% | +74.4% | +44.8% | +26.2% | +73.6% | +61.5% | +176% | 33.3% | 0.46 | −68.6% | — | $5.7B | — |
| SAP Software - ApplicationSAP SE | 3/5 short1/3 long | +9.4% | +44.6% | +29.6% | −2.1% | −16.6% | +81.3% | +72.6% | +205% | 30.0% | 0.52 | −52.5% | — | $267B | — |
| DDOG Software - ApplicationDatadog, Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | +4.6% | −2.6% | +97.6% | +91.7% | +64.1% | +198% | +61.4% | — | 59.7% | 0.45 | −68.1% | — | $92B | — |
| SNOW Software - ApplicationSnowflake Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −5.8% | +16.5% | +112% | +47.5% | +30.1% | +116% | −4.3% | — | 62.6% | 0.29 | −73.0% | — | $113B | — |
| AMZN Specialty RetailAmazon.com, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | +1.6% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +16.0% | +21.3% | +110% | +53.8% | +548% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | — | $2.8T | — |
| DOCN Software - InfrastructureDigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −31.9% | −16.5% | +11.1% | +103% | +142% | +362% | +10.1% | — | 72.9% | 0.39 | −84.8% | — | $12B | — |
| TEAM Software - ApplicationAtlassian Corporation | 5/5 short0/3 long | +13.0% | +129% | +209% | +42.9% | +39.2% | +18.2% | −46.0% | +670% | 63.9% | 0.12 | −87.5% | — | $56B | — |
| NOW Software - ApplicationServiceNow, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +8.6% | +42.8% | +50.0% | +1.4% | −18.5% | +37.8% | +9.8% | +848% | 45.5% | 0.27 | −64.5% | — | $155B | — |
| ZM Software - ApplicationZoom Communications, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +7.2% | +7.2% | +7.6% | +17.0% | +19.0% | +57.9% | −64.7% | — | 44.3% | -0.25 | −90.3% | — | $28B | — |
| CRM Software - ApplicationSalesforce, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +2.5% | +39.7% | +30.7% | −3.8% | −3.9% | +21.3% | −14.8% | +240% | 39.4% | 0.12 | −58.7% | — | $200B | — |
| WDAY Software - ApplicationWorkday, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +6.3% | +38.6% | +59.4% | −0.9% | −15.4% | −3.4% | −26.4% | +132% | 41.7% | 0.06 | −63.4% | — | $49B | — |
| MDB Software - InfrastructureMongoDB, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −10.1% | +13.2% | +38.6% | −8.4% | +11.8% | +5.7% | −27.4% | — | 71.1% | 0.26 | −76.5% | — | $29B | — |
| INTU Software - ApplicationIntuit Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +10.8% | +14.6% | −16.4% | −46.0% | −48.9% | −32.1% | −38.8% | +237% | 39.1% | -0.06 | −68.2% | — | $90B | — |
| ORCL Software - InfrastructureOracle Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −11.4% | +8.4% | −25.6% | −32.1% | −52.1% | +33.3% | +45.1% | +300% | 44.3% | 0.38 | −64.6% | — | $396B | — |
| ADBE Software - ApplicationAdobe Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.9% | +9.4% | +3.3% | −23.0% | −25.2% | −52.5% | −59.4% | +135% | 38.1% | -0.28 | −71.9% | — | $100B | — |
How did MSFT do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where MSFT ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with MSFT and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Among its popular alternatives, AVGO came out ahead of MSFT most often, in 14 of the 16 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, MSFT finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 10 of 23.
- MSFT finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 16 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last two.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of MSFT; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places MSFT among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of MSFT | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT This pageMicrosoft Corporation | — | +15.6% | +12.9% | +58.2% | −28.0% | +52.5% | +42.5% | +57.6% | +20.8% | +40.8% | +15.1% | +22.7% | +27.5% | +44.3% | +5.8% | −4.5% | −6.5% | +60.5% | −44.4% | +20.8% | +15.8% | −1.0% | +9.2% | +6.2% | −22.0% | +52.8% | −62.9% | +68.4% | +115% | +56.5% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 10 of 23 | 16 of 23 | 16 of 23 | 9 of 23 | 9 of 22 | 15 of 21 | 3 of 19 | 10 of 19 | 12 of 18 | 6 of 17 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 14 | 7 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 7 of 11 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 8 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 11 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 4 of 9 | +11.2% | +53.0% | +95.9% | −26.6% | +51.3% | +42.6% | +5.1% | +8.6% | +47.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 8 of 13 | +1.2% | +23.4% | +111% | −24.8% | +56.7% | +53.7% | +22.8% | +29.9% | +15.9% | −29.0% | +43.7% | +113% | +7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 16 of 26 | +38.9% | +171% | +239% | −50.2% | +125% | +122% | +76.4% | −30.8% | +82.5% | +228% | +67.1% | +27.4% | +33.5% | −11.0% | −10.0% | −17.6% | +131% | −76.3% | +37.9% | +102% | +55.2% | +1.6% | +102% | −82.8% | +308% | +39.6% | — | — | — |
| ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 8 of 11 | +18.6% | +87.7% | +94.1% | −15.6% | +97.9% | +42.9% | −3.5% | −10.5% | +143% | +24.2% | +28.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 14 of 16 | +50.6% | +110% | +104% | −13.3% | +56.5% | +45.0% | +29.0% | +2.2% | +48.2% | +23.6% | +46.1% | +93.4% | +70.0% | +12.0% | +3.0% | +55.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | 11 of 21 | +65.4% | +35.6% | +58.8% | −38.7% | +65.2% | +31.0% | +29.1% | −1.0% | +35.6% | +1.7% | +44.5% | −6.0% | +58.5% | +9.5% | +8.8% | −4.2% | +101% | −55.5% | +50.2% | +11.1% | +115% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 10 of 29 | +38.2% | +39.3% | +21.9% | +10.6% | +16.6% | −1.2% | +23.6% | −22.6% | −4.9% | +25.2% | −11.4% | −12.4% | −0.2% | +5.9% | +27.4% | +14.2% | +58.7% | −20.8% | +12.8% | +19.8% | −15.8% | +7.2% | +20.5% | −35.4% | +43.1% | −20.8% | +17.6% | +77.5% | +39.3% |
| BOX Box, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −5.3% | +23.4% | −17.7% | +18.9% | +45.1% | +7.6% | −0.6% | −20.1% | +52.4% | −0.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SAP SAP SE | 11 of 29 | −0.4% | +61.3% | +52.3% | −24.2% | +9.2% | −1.3% | +36.4% | −10.0% | +31.7% | +11.1% | +15.3% | −18.6% | +10.0% | +55.8% | +6.0% | +9.8% | +31.4% | −28.0% | −2.6% | +18.7% | +2.8% | +7.0% | +114% | −38.7% | −4.9% | −35.1% | +45.1% | +38.0% | +138% |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | 4 of 6 | −4.8% | +17.7% | +65.1% | −58.7% | +80.9% | +161% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 1 of 5 | +42.1% | −22.4% | +38.6% | −57.6% | +20.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 16 of 28 | +5.2% | +44.4% | +80.9% | −49.6% | +2.4% | +76.3% | +23.0% | +28.4% | +56.0% | +10.9% | +118% | −22.2% | +59.0% | +45.0% | −3.9% | +33.7% | +163% | −44.7% | +135% | −16.5% | +6.8% | −16.0% | +178% | +74.6% | −30.5% | −79.6% | +42.2% | +968% | — |
| DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | 1 of 4 | +41.2% | −7.1% | +44.0% | −68.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TEAM Atlassian Corporation | 5 of 10 | −33.4% | +2.3% | +84.8% | −66.3% | +63.0% | +94.3% | +35.2% | +95.5% | +89.0% | −20.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 7 of 13 | −27.8% | +50.0% | +82.0% | −40.2% | +17.9% | +95.0% | +58.6% | +36.5% | +75.4% | −14.1% | +27.6% | +21.2% | +86.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. | 2 of 6 | +5.7% | +13.5% | +6.2% | −63.2% | −45.5% | +396% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | 10 of 21 | −20.2% | +27.8% | +98.5% | −47.8% | +14.2% | +36.8% | +18.7% | +34.0% | +49.3% | −12.7% | +32.2% | +7.5% | +31.3% | +65.8% | −23.2% | +79.0% | +130% | −49.0% | +72.0% | +13.7% | +88.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 5 of 13 | −16.8% | −6.5% | +65.0% | −38.8% | +14.0% | +45.7% | +3.0% | +57.0% | +53.9% | −17.1% | −2.4% | −1.9% | +52.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | 4 of 8 | +80.3% | −43.1% | +108% | −62.8% | +47.4% | +173% | +57.2% | +182% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 14 of 29 | +6.1% | +1.2% | +61.8% | −39.1% | +70.3% | +46.1% | +34.1% | +25.9% | +39.2% | +20.2% | +5.9% | +22.1% | +29.7% | +14.3% | +7.0% | +60.4% | +29.2% | −24.7% | +3.6% | +14.5% | +21.1% | −16.7% | +12.6% | +9.7% | +8.5% | −34.2% | +148% | +75.8% | +30.9% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 11 of 29 | +18.1% | +60.0% | +30.9% | −4.7% | +36.9% | +24.3% | +19.4% | −3.0% | +24.9% | +6.9% | −17.6% | +19.0% | +15.7% | +31.8% | −17.5% | +28.6% | +39.4% | −21.4% | +31.7% | +40.4% | −11.0% | +3.6% | +22.6% | −21.8% | −52.5% | +3.7% | +290% | +93.5% | −19.9% |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | 14 of 29 | −21.3% | −25.5% | +77.3% | −40.6% | +13.4% | +51.6% | +45.8% | +29.1% | +70.2% | +9.6% | +29.2% | +21.4% | +58.9% | +33.3% | −8.2% | −16.3% | +72.8% | −50.2% | +3.9% | +11.3% | +17.9% | +60.7% | +57.9% | −20.0% | −46.6% | +73.2% | +188% | +13.8% | +11.1% |
Risk and diversification
How MSFT has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were MSFT's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents MSFT's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of MSFT's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: MSFT fell 34.5% from October 2025 to June 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 7.8%.
- The slowest recovery came after MSFT fell 69.5% from December 1999 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until July 2014, five years later.
Green means MSFT fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | MSFT fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −69.5% | −45.8% | Dec 1999 | Mar 2009 | 9.3 years | Jul 2014 | 5.3 years |
| No named crash | −50.3% | — | Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | Under a month | Oct 1989 | 2 years |
| 2022 bear market | −37.1% | −19.7% | Nov 2021 | Nov 2022 | 12 months | Jun 2023 | 7 months |
| No named crash | −34.7% | — | Jul 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 month | Jan 1991 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −34.5% | +7.8% | Oct 2025 | Jun 2026 | 8 months | Oct 2026 | 4 months |
How did MSFT do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far MSFT, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than MSFT in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- MSFT fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when MSFT fell 62.9% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than MSFT.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT This pageMicrosoft Corporation | — | −2.0% | −31.0% | −27.7% | −18.2% | −7.4% | −14.4% | −14.1% | −2.6% | −57.9% | −62.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 0 of 5 | −5.7% | −43.6% | −45.9% | −28.6% | −7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −2.1% | −30.6% | −46.8% | −29.1% | −3.3% | −40.2% | — | — | — | — |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 1 of 10 | −5.0% | −60.7% | −37.5% | −55.9% | −8.5% | −25.3% | −23.8% | −1.7% | −85.1% | −89.7% |
| ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −1.5% | −36.6% | −31.2% | −31.2% | −6.1% | −36.6% | — | — | — | — |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 3 of 8 | −2.8% | −34.3% | −46.8% | −15.2% | −4.5% | −21.6% | −26.7% | 0.0% | — | — |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | 2 of 9 | −3.9% | −35.0% | −30.8% | −18.9% | −9.9% | −12.7% | −21.1% | −1.1% | −65.3% | — |
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 5 of 10 | −2.0% | −16.7% | −37.3% | −29.1% | −6.3% | −23.3% | −14.6% | −1.5% | −44.3% | −58.3% |
| BOX Box, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −5.7% | −29.9% | −46.0% | −34.3% | −8.9% | −40.3% | — | — | — | — |
| SAP SAP SE | 4 of 10 | −2.0% | −41.9% | −32.6% | −25.0% | −6.9% | −13.3% | −25.0% | −1.4% | −49.6% | −87.9% |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | 0 of 3 | −9.5% | −53.0% | −38.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 0 of 2 | −7.8% | −64.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −39.6% | −22.7% | −33.2% | −7.1% | −30.6% | −20.7% | −2.9% | −65.3% | −91.8% |
| DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −10.3% | −58.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TEAM Atlassian Corporation | 1 of 5 | −12.4% | −53.1% | −21.4% | −30.2% | −7.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 0 of 6 | −7.2% | −39.9% | −28.8% | −20.6% | −8.5% | −47.6% | — | — | — | — |
| ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. | 1 of 3 | −2.6% | −59.2% | −14.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | 1 of 9 | −5.3% | −42.7% | −35.7% | −24.8% | −6.1% | −34.2% | −26.9% | −4.2% | −70.5% | — |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −2.8% | −47.0% | −42.4% | −17.3% | −5.8% | −42.3% | — | — | — | — |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −15.1% | −61.3% | −45.0% | −24.9% | −2.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.0% | −42.7% | −36.3% | −20.8% | −6.5% | −24.8% | −18.0% | −3.4% | −38.3% | −66.0% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 4 of 10 | −5.0% | −31.0% | −28.3% | −17.2% | −6.6% | −16.1% | −23.9% | −2.1% | −41.1% | −84.2% |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | 3 of 10 | −6.2% | −50.3% | −25.6% | −25.5% | −5.4% | −22.7% | −23.6% | −0.2% | −66.7% | −79.9% |
How closely does MSFT move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares MSFT with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, MSFT captured 127% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 91% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.96. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- DELL took just 43% of the S&P 500's losses, against 91% for MSFT, while still keeping 154% of its gains.
- Six of the 17 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than MSFT's 1.39, led by DELL, PANW and ANET.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than MSFT's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT This pageMicrosoft Corporation | 127% | 91% | 1.39 | 0.96 |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 154% | 43% | 3.59 | 1.13 |
| PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | 118% | 49% | 2.44 | 1.14 |
| ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 174% | 91% | 1.92 | 1.40 |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 158% | 86% | 1.85 | 1.19 |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 248% | 140% | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 114% | 79% | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | 132% | 110% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| TEAM Atlassian Corporation | 130% | 132% | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 134% | 139% | 0.96 | 1.31 |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 131% | 159% | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | 115% | 143% | 0.80 | 1.16 |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 99% | 126% | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| SAP SAP SE | 112% | 152% | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 89% | 121% | 0.73 | 0.95 |
| BOX Box, Inc. | 98% | 141% | 0.70 | 1.01 |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 96% | 139% | 0.70 | 1.19 |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | 123% | 184% | 0.67 | 1.24 |
What diversifies MSFT?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with MSFT's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing MSFT with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in MSFT into LVHI would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+13.7% for MSFT alone, +14.9% for the mix).
- CAH made money in five of the seven calendar years in which MSFT lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of MSFT over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.23 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which MSFT lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% MSFT and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 2005 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +80.3% | 0.56 | −28.0% | −4.5% | −6.5% | −44.4% | −1.0% | −22.0% | −62.9% | 27.3% | +13.7% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.21 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | +14.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.23 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | −16.1% | −1.8% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 22.6% | +16.9% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.17 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | +14.7% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.16 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | +14.1% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.43 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +6.8% | +19.0% | −44.7% | +10.8% | −47.0% | — | 25.6% | +19.1% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.38 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | +14.2% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.11 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | +9.6% | +29.3% | +4.9% | +17.8% | — | — | 22.5% | +15.4% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.40 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | +15.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 2005 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +80.3% | 0.56 | −28.0% | −4.5% | −6.5% | −44.4% | −1.0% | −22.0% | −62.9% | 27.3% | +13.7% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | -0.01 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +8.1% | +21.4% | −39.6% | +18.7% | −8.3% | +108% | 22.4% | +19.4% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.27 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −24.4% | +2.8% | −20.5% | −25.2% | −65.1% | −2.3% | 27.4% | +31.6% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.23 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | −17.0% | +8.7% | −15.2% | +20.1% | −9.4% | −71.1% | 25.5% | +27.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.08 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +11.8% | +13.8% | −40.4% | +64.9% | −27.2% | +61.2% | 22.8% | +18.7% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.20 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.0% | +21.3% |
Common questions
What was MSFT's worst drawdown?
MSFT's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 69.5%, from December 1999 to March 2009. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were MSFT's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, MSFT's best year was 1998, when it returned 115%. Its worst was 2000, with a return of -62.9%.
Is there a better investment than MSFT?
Among MSFT's popular alternatives, IBM earned more than MSFT over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 16.6% a year at 30.5% volatility, against 12.5% a year at 28.2%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, CIBR (cybersecurity) and CSCO (cybersecurity theme) earned more than MSFT with less volatility over the past 5 years. CIBR returned 14.1% a year at 26.1% volatility, against 12.5% a year at 28.2%.
Is MSFT more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. MSFT's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.2%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MSFT's return lands within 28.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is MSFT's Sharpe ratio?
MSFT's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.56, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MSFT earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is MSFT with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, MSFT's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.63 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MSFT instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MSFT holding.
What are the best alternatives to MSFT?
Of the 22 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed MSFT in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: DELL and PANW.
Did MSFT outperform the S&P 500?
MSFT finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 16 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +15.6%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did MSFT do in stock market crashes?
MSFT fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when MSFT fell 62.9% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
What diversifies MSFT?
These had a low correlation with MSFT over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.21), DXJ (correlation 0.23) and EMLP (correlation 0.17); among large stocks, CAH (correlation -0.01), CLS (correlation 0.27) and FIX (correlation 0.23). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than MSFT's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of MSFT's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.