Relative Intelligence · Life Insurance

How Aflac (AFL) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on AFL alone. It places AFL (Aflac Incorporated) against 18 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where AFL stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: AFL's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIts life insurance peers split over the past 3 months: CRBG (Corebridge Financial) rose 12.7%, while BHF (Brighthouse Financial) fell 26.6%. Over the past 3 months, AFL fell 2.6% while the S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?AFL fell 2.6% over the past 3 months, in line with the life insurance ETF KIE (State Street SPDR S&P Insurance ETF), which fell 1.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its life insurance peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: CRBG (Corebridge Financial) rose 12.7%, while BHF (Brighthouse Financial) fell 26.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsAFL has trailed the market, rising 12.9% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (65.2% against 89.3%). By year ↓
- Long termAFL turned $10,000 into $43,500 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. AFL's 10-year return of 335% puts it ahead of 77% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, AFL has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. Even so, in the 2022 bear market, AFL held up better than PRU (Prudential Financial), PFG and EQH; only UNM (Unum Group) and GL fell less. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAFL is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.43 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.42 with the total US market, more closely than 57% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Over 10 years AFL kept more of the market's gains than of its losses: 83% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 71% of its losses in falling ones, with a beta of 0.79. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- TRV (Travelers Companies, property & casualty insurance) earned more than AFL over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 19.0% a year at 20.8%.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only five of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than AFL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX, DXJ (WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund) and SDCI (USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund).
How much would $10,000 in AFL have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in AFL over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of AFL over the same span and AFL's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in AFL at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $285,149 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of AFL, and UNH finished highest, at $772,802.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 211 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of AFL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- UNH$772,802+7,628% total · +16.2% a year
- COR$574,137+5,641% total · +15.0% a year
- AJG$566,042+5,560% total · +14.9% a year
- PGR$454,424+4,444% total · +14.1% a year
- WRB$427,501+4,175% total · +13.8% a year
- AFL$285,149+2,751% total · +12.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- ALL$108,708+987% total · +8.6% a year
- UNM$38,179+282% total · +4.7% a year
- LNC$26,197+162% total · +3.4% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 551 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of AFL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- JXN$63,053+531% total · +44.5% a year
- UNM$40,709+307% total · +32.4% a year
- MFC$28,001+180% total · +22.9% a year
- TRV$25,788+158% total · +20.9% a year
- PGR$25,636+156% total · +20.7% a year
- CNO$24,982+150% total · +20.1% a year
- AFL$24,008+140% total · +19.1% a year
- ALL$19,616+96.2% total · +14.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- MET$17,726+77.3% total · +12.1% a year
AFL at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- AFL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 82.7%, from April 2008 to March 2009. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, AFL's best was 1998, when it returned 73.2%, and its worst was 2001, when it lost 31.5%. It lost money in five of those years.
- AFL is 6.7% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $60B
- Industry
- Insurance - Life
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +12.9%total return
- Past 3 years
- +65.2%+18.2% a year
- Past 5 years
- +139%+19.0% a year
- Past 10 years
- +335%+15.8% a year
- Best calendar year
- +73.2%1998
- Worst calendar year
- −31.5%2001
- Losing years
- 5 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 20.8%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.95return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −82.7%Apr 2008 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −6.7%below the peak
AFL against the whole market
Where AFL ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does AFL rank among all stocks?
This section ranks AFL on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how AFL stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- AFL is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 4% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | AFL | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +12.9% | 1,474 of 3,287 | top 45% |
| 3-year return | +65.2% | 1,326 of 3,017 | top 44% |
| 5-year return | +139% | 490 of 2,893 | top 17% |
| 10-year return | +335% | 511 of 2,202 | top 23% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 20.8% | 112 of 2,893 | top 4% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.95 | 134 of 2,893 | top 5% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −54.9% | 661 of 2,187 | top 30% |
What has beaten AFL on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). AFL sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than AFL with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- One stock and four ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than AFL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half AFL's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 8% less than AFL's 20.8%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.95 for AFL.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to AFL. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- 1 with more than 1.6× AFL's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than AFL?
Investments that beat AFL over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among AFL's popular alternatives, UNM, ALL and JXN were ahead of AFL in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (29.3%, 26.2% and 43.3% volatility against 20.8%).
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TRV (property & casualty insurance) earned more than AFL over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 19.0% a year at 20.8%.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only five of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than AFL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX, DXJ and SDCI.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat AFL over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks AFL's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than AFL follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than AFL's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× AFL's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than AFL's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with AFL?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.43 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against AFL. 3 of 16 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
UNMUnum Group · Life Insurance | Higher return in most periods | +30.6% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | +256% | 0.33 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +17.0% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | +356% | 0.55 | — | ||
JXNJackson Financial Inc. · Life Insurance | Higher return in most periods | +41.7% | 43.3% | 1.03 | −48.4% | — | 0.48 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Life Insurance and Insurance and the categories next to it (Property & Casualty Insurance, Asset Management, Retirement Services), plus AFL's specific themes. 6 of 64 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.66 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.57 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.54 | — | ||
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Higher return in most periods | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.59 | — | |
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Higher return in most periods | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.51 | — | |
ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Higher return in most periods | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.65 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 120 of 3,553 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.16 | 0.48% | |
SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.80% | |
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.53 | — | ||
DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.12 | 0.45% | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.52 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.38 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.33 | — | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.30 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for AFL
- Annual return
- AFL returned 19.0% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $23,900. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- AFL's volatility over the past 5 years was 20.8%, 1.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, AFL's return lands within 20.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- AFL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.95, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so AFL earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- AFL's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 54.9%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 54.9% fall takes a 122% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, AFL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.43 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against AFL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a AFL holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 5 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than AFL with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 4 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with AFL | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.16 | 0.48% |
| 2 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.80% |
| 3 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.53 | — | |
| 4 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.12 | 0.45% |
AFL against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against AFL, compared period by period and year by year.
How do AFL's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at AFL, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 16 popular alternatives earned more than AFL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 14 of the 16 popular alternatives earned less than AFL over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, AFL returned 19.0% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (20.8% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than AFL with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| JXN Jackson Financial Inc. | +41.7% | 43.3% |
| UNM Unum Group | +30.6% | 29.3% |
| AFL This pageAflac Incorporated | +19.0% | 20.8% |
| CNO CNO Financial Group, Inc. | +18.8% | 28.1% |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | +17.0% | 26.2% |
| PFG Principal Financial Group, Inc. | +13.0% | 26.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | +12.6% | 32.9% |
| GL Globe Life Inc. | +12.4% | 35.6% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | +12.0% | 25.4% |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | +10.9% | 24.2% |
| VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. | +8.8% | 28.9% |
| PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. | +5.2% | 25.5% |
| ELV Elevance Health Inc. | +2.2% | 29.4% |
| UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | +1.1% | 32.1% |
| AON Aon plc | −0.3% | 23.8% |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. | −1.7% | 42.6% |
| LNC Lincoln National Corporation | −7.4% | 42.7% |
Has AFL consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares AFL with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than AFL helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Three of the 18 popular alternatives, ALL, UNM and JXN, outperformed AFL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- JXN earned more for the risk it took than AFL (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than AFL over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| AFL Aflac Incorporated (this page) | — | +4.4% | −2.6% | +6.0% | +10.8% | +12.9% | +65.2% | +139% | +335% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | — | $60B | — |
| ALL QualifiedThe Allstate Corporation | 4/5 short2/3 long | +2.9% | −1.1% | +17.3% | +24.4% | +31.5% | +116% | +119% | +356% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | — | $63B | — |
| UNM QualifiedUnum Group | 4/5 short2/3 long | −0.1% | +5.8% | +19.3% | +23.2% | +26.4% | +106% | +279% | +256% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | — | $15B | — |
| JXN QualifiedJackson Financial Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | −1.1% | +6.7% | +18.9% | +24.3% | +37.6% | +269% | +472% | — | 43.3% | 1.03 | −48.4% | — | $8.8B | — |
| CNO Insurance - LifeCNO Financial Group, Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | +0.8% | +3.8% | +25.7% | +31.5% | +41.1% | +150% | +136% | +342% | 28.1% | 0.76 | −63.8% | — | $5.1B | — |
| MET Insurance - LifeMetLife, Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | +4.7% | +9.5% | +32.0% | +28.6% | +32.2% | +84.0% | +76.5% | +240% | 25.4% | 0.58 | −55.2% | — | $64B | — |
| CRBG Asset ManagementCorebridge Financial, Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | +0.4% | +12.7% | +32.2% | +18.2% | +13.8% | +98.8% | — | — | — | — | −36.3% | — | $16B | — |
| EQH Asset ManagementEquitable Holdings, Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | +0.3% | +13.0% | +31.5% | +15.0% | +15.6% | +116% | +81.1% | — | 32.9% | 0.53 | −61.3% | — | $15B | — |
| AJG Insurance - BrokersArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 3/5 short1/3 long | +9.6% | +2.5% | +16.9% | +2.2% | −6.1% | +17.3% | +68.0% | +516% | 24.2% | 0.55 | −44.4% | — | $66B | — |
| PFG Asset ManagementPrincipal Financial Group, Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −7.3% | −2.9% | +14.0% | +23.7% | +41.4% | +76.3% | +84.6% | +196% | 26.5% | 0.60 | −64.7% | — | $23B | — |
| LNC Insurance - LifeLincoln National Corporation | 1/5 short1/3 long | −4.1% | −3.9% | +9.0% | −8.0% | +6.2% | +111% | −32.1% | +20.1% | 42.7% | 0.04 | −79.2% | — | $7.6B | — |
| ELV Medical - Healthcare PlansElevance Health Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +7.5% | +15.7% | +39.0% | +26.1% | +26.8% | +2.0% | +11.7% | +307% | 29.4% | 0.23 | −50.4% | — | $95B | — |
| UNH Medical - Healthcare PlansUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 5/5 short0/3 long | +11.0% | +0.1% | +31.2% | +27.1% | +18.1% | −15.3% | +5.5% | +241% | 32.1% | 0.20 | −61.4% | — | $376B | — |
| VOYA Insurance - LifeVoya Financial, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −4.9% | −2.6% | +28.0% | +28.6% | +32.6% | +55.8% | +52.3% | +253% | 28.9% | 0.44 | −52.1% | — | $8.7B | — |
| GL Insurance - LifeGlobe Life Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −1.2% | −7.7% | +12.8% | +23.6% | +26.3% | +58.0% | +79.7% | +188% | 35.6% | 0.56 | −61.6% | — | $13B | — |
| PRU Insurance - LifePrudential Financial, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −2.8% | −1.2% | +15.2% | +5.2% | +19.6% | +47.5% | +29.0% | +117% | 25.5% | 0.33 | −65.9% | — | $40B | — |
| AON Insurance - BrokersAon plc | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.0% | −18.0% | −10.2% | −13.2% | −13.0% | −3.1% | −1.6% | +195% | 23.8% | 0.11 | −38.7% | — | $63B | — |
| BHF Insurance - LifeBrighthouse Financial, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −4.4% | −26.6% | −23.0% | −26.2% | +2.2% | +3.1% | −8.1% | — | 42.6% | 0.17 | −76.9% | — | $2.7B | — |
| FG Insurance - LifeF&G Annuities & Life, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −11.9% | −33.9% | −24.1% | −30.9% | −29.0% | −25.8% | — | — | — | — | −58.8% | — | $2.7B | — |
How did AFL do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where AFL ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with AFL and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- AFL finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 15 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, UNH came out ahead of AFL most often, in 17 of the 29 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, AFL finished in the top quarter in five of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in five. In 2025, it ranked 9 of 19.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of AFL; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places AFL among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of AFL | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL This pageAflac Incorporated | — | +8.9% | +28.1% | +17.3% | +26.4% | +34.6% | −13.6% | +18.6% | +6.2% | +29.0% | +19.1% | +0.5% | −6.2% | +28.9% | +26.4% | −21.3% | +24.8% | +4.3% | −25.5% | +38.3% | +0.4% | +17.6% | +11.2% | +21.4% | +23.7% | −31.6% | +53.9% | +8.3% | +73.2% | +20.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 5 of 29 | 9 of 19 | 7 of 19 | 8 of 19 | 3 of 17 | 10 of 16 | 15 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 5 of 15 | 5 of 14 | 10 of 14 | 5 of 14 | 14 of 14 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 13 | 10 of 13 | 7 of 13 | 7 of 13 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 13 | 7 of 13 | 7 of 13 | 10 of 13 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 12 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 8 | 6 of 8 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 14 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | 15 of 29 | +10.1% | +40.6% | +6.4% | +18.4% | +9.9% | −0.1% | +38.8% | −19.5% | +43.6% | +21.7% | −9.9% | +31.2% | +38.6% | +50.2% | −11.4% | +9.1% | −5.1% | −34.5% | −17.6% | +23.4% | +6.9% | +23.1% | +19.4% | +12.3% | −21.0% | +85.6% | −36.4% | −13.8% | +58.5% |
| UNM Unum Group | 13 of 29 | +8.6% | +66.3% | +13.7% | +73.5% | +11.9% | −16.2% | +2.7% | −45.2% | +27.2% | +35.1% | −2.6% | +1.2% | +71.9% | +0.9% | −11.6% | +25.9% | +6.9% | −20.6% | +16.1% | −7.4% | +28.9% | +16.0% | −7.6% | −32.1% | +0.8% | −13.8% | −44.3% | +8.5% | +53.7% |
| JXN Jackson Financial Inc. | 3 of 4 | +26.9% | +76.4% | +57.2% | −11.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNO CNO Financial Group, Inc. | 12 of 22 | +16.1% | +36.1% | +25.1% | −1.6% | +9.5% | +25.9% | +25.1% | −38.5% | +31.0% | +2.1% | +12.5% | −1.3% | +91.1% | +48.8% | −7.0% | +35.6% | −3.3% | −58.8% | −37.1% | −13.8% | +16.2% | −8.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 11 of 25 | −0.8% | +27.7% | −5.5% | +19.2% | +37.5% | −3.4% | +28.8% | −15.8% | +8.4% | +15.9% | −8.3% | +3.0% | +67.5% | +7.9% | −28.3% | +27.9% | +3.7% | −42.2% | +5.6% | +21.7% | +22.2% | +21.8% | +25.4% | −13.9% | −8.8% | — | — | — | — |
| CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. | 2 of 3 | +3.9% | +42.9% | +25.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | 4 of 7 | +3.2% | +45.0% | +19.6% | −10.2% | +31.0% | +6.5% | +53.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 14 of 29 | −8.0% | +27.4% | +20.5% | +12.4% | +39.0% | +32.1% | +31.8% | +19.2% | +25.1% | +31.1% | −10.1% | +3.5% | +40.0% | +7.6% | +20.3% | +35.6% | −7.8% | +12.7% | −14.3% | −0.1% | −1.2% | +3.3% | +13.4% | −13.1% | +10.4% | +100% | +51.8% | +32.5% | +15.3% |
| PFG Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 12 of 24 | +18.4% | +1.9% | −2.8% | +20.1% | +51.4% | −5.2% | +29.7% | −35.0% | +25.5% | +33.1% | −10.8% | +8.0% | +77.2% | +19.4% | −22.3% | +38.2% | +8.6% | −66.5% | +18.8% | +25.5% | +17.3% | +25.6% | +11.3% | +26.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| LNC Lincoln National Corporation | 13 of 29 | +48.0% | +24.8% | −5.5% | −53.5% | +39.5% | −11.1% | +17.9% | −32.0% | +18.0% | +35.0% | −11.5% | +13.1% | +102% | +35.3% | −29.6% | +11.9% | +33.5% | −66.4% | −10.3% | +28.6% | +17.2% | +19.2% | +32.9% | −32.8% | +5.4% | +22.0% | +0.2% | +7.4% | +53.7% |
| ELV Elevance Health Inc. | 12 of 24 | −3.1% | −20.7% | −6.9% | +11.8% | +46.1% | +7.8% | +16.3% | +18.1% | +58.7% | +5.1% | +12.9% | +38.2% | +54.6% | −6.3% | +18.2% | −2.4% | +38.4% | −52.0% | +11.5% | −1.4% | +38.8% | +53.3% | +19.3% | +27.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 17 of 29 | −33.1% | −2.4% | +0.8% | +6.9% | +45.2% | +21.3% | +20.0% | +14.5% | +39.8% | +38.4% | +18.3% | +36.5% | +41.0% | +8.6% | +42.2% | +19.9% | +14.8% | −54.3% | +8.3% | −13.5% | +41.2% | +51.4% | +39.4% | +18.1% | +15.3% | +131% | +23.5% | −13.4% | +10.3% |
| VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. | 5 of 12 | +11.1% | −3.4% | +20.7% | −6.1% | +14.0% | −2.5% | +52.8% | −18.8% | +26.3% | +6.4% | −12.8% | +20.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GL Globe Life Inc. | 15 of 29 | +26.5% | −7.5% | +1.8% | +29.7% | −0.5% | −8.9% | +42.3% | −17.2% | +23.9% | +30.3% | +6.3% | +5.0% | +53.2% | +20.5% | +10.2% | +37.6% | −0.5% | −25.2% | −4.3% | +15.6% | −1.9% | +26.6% | +25.9% | −6.2% | +3.2% | +34.0% | −16.7% | +17.2% | +70.3% |
| PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. | 12 of 24 | +0.2% | +19.4% | +10.1% | −3.9% | +45.3% | −11.4% | +20.1% | −26.5% | +13.6% | +32.5% | −7.4% | +0.7% | +77.1% | +9.9% | −12.1% | +20.5% | +66.8% | −66.3% | +9.7% | +18.7% | +34.5% | +33.3% | +33.4% | −3.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| AON Aon plc | 14 of 29 | −0.9% | +24.4% | −2.3% | +0.6% | +43.4% | +2.4% | +44.7% | +9.9% | +21.1% | +22.5% | −1.6% | +14.3% | +52.4% | +20.3% | +2.9% | +21.8% | −14.8% | −2.9% | +37.0% | −0.1% | +54.3% | +2.2% | +30.3% | −45.2% | +6.3% | −11.9% | +10.7% | −3.8% | +44.6% |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. | 4 of 8 | +34.9% | −9.2% | +3.2% | −1.0% | +43.1% | −7.7% | +28.7% | −48.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FG F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. | 1 of 3 | −23.6% | −8.0% | +137% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How AFL has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were AFL's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents AFL's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of AFL's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: AFL fell 37.8% from April 1999 to March 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 4.0%.
- The slowest recovery came after AFL fell 82.7% from April 2008 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until July 2013, four years later.
Green means AFL fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | AFL fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −82.7% | −50.3% | Apr 2008 | Mar 2009 | 11 months | Jul 2013 | 4.3 years |
| Covid crash | −54.9% | −19.4% | Jul 2019 | Mar 2020 | 8 months | May 2021 | 14 months |
| No named crash | −42.2% | — | Oct 1989 | Oct 1990 | 12 months | Feb 1991 | 4 months |
| No named crash | −42.1% | — | Aug 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 months | Apr 1989 | 18 months |
| Dot-com bust | −37.8% | +4.0% | Apr 1999 | Mar 2000 | 11 months | Aug 2000 | 5 months |
How did AFL do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far AFL, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, UNH held up best, falling less than AFL in eight of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- AFL fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when AFL fell 82.7% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than AFL.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL This pageAflac Incorporated | — | −6.0% | −19.9% | −51.0% | −13.2% | −6.4% | −15.8% | −31.4% | −4.3% | −82.7% | −36.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | 6 of 10 | −6.7% | −20.3% | −40.8% | −23.7% | −8.0% | −10.8% | −20.3% | −0.8% | −74.8% | −30.6% |
| UNM Unum Group | 4 of 10 | −16.7% | −14.8% | −65.5% | −32.2% | −9.2% | −34.8% | −21.4% | −1.0% | −69.1% | −47.6% |
| JXN Jackson Financial Inc. | 0 of 2 | −14.2% | −48.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNO CNO Financial Group, Inc. | 0 of 9 | −13.3% | −35.4% | −53.5% | −36.4% | −6.5% | −26.9% | −36.2% | −7.5% | −97.7% | — |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 1 of 9 | −12.6% | −19.5% | −55.0% | −20.9% | −6.9% | −36.5% | −36.3% | −3.4% | −82.3% | — |
| CRBG Corebridge Financial, Inc. | 0 of 1 | −14.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 4 | −17.7% | −30.6% | −61.3% | −33.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 7 of 10 | −4.8% | −18.8% | −37.0% | −11.5% | −6.1% | −23.1% | −13.4% | −1.1% | −46.0% | −41.2% |
| PFG Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −13.3% | −21.1% | −56.3% | −31.5% | −9.0% | −39.9% | −26.8% | −2.4% | −91.5% | — |
| LNC Lincoln National Corporation | 1 of 10 | −21.0% | −40.4% | −72.0% | −30.6% | −11.1% | −45.9% | −48.5% | −3.0% | −92.4% | −52.1% |
| ELV Elevance Health Inc. | 7 of 9 | −2.3% | −15.9% | −42.3% | −15.7% | −3.6% | −22.9% | −23.4% | −0.7% | −67.2% | — |
| UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 8 of 10 | −1.8% | −16.9% | −35.9% | −18.6% | −6.7% | −12.4% | −20.7% | −0.8% | −72.4% | −19.8% |
| VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. | 0 of 6 | −11.2% | −23.3% | −52.1% | −28.6% | −8.9% | −43.1% | — | — | — | — |
| GL Globe Life Inc. | 6 of 10 | −9.8% | −16.6% | −47.7% | −20.5% | −8.7% | −22.7% | −20.9% | −3.3% | −73.7% | −27.4% |
| PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −13.3% | −27.4% | −58.2% | −26.8% | −11.9% | −35.8% | −27.9% | −3.1% | −88.3% | — |
| AON Aon plc | 6 of 10 | −2.4% | −25.4% | −38.7% | −17.0% | −5.3% | −17.4% | −20.7% | 0.0% | −30.3% | −66.5% |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. | 0 of 5 | −18.0% | −35.2% | −65.9% | −37.4% | −10.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| FG F&G Annuities & Life, Inc. | 0 of 1 | −9.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does AFL move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares AFL with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, AFL captured 83% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 71% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.79. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only AJG and ALL had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than AFL's 1.17, out of 13 popular alternatives with the same record.
- ALL took just 41% of the S&P 500's losses, against 71% for AFL, while still keeping 68% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than AFL's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL This pageAflac Incorporated | 83% | 71% | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 80% | 46% | 1.74 | 0.61 |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | 68% | 41% | 1.66 | 0.49 |
| CNO CNO Financial Group, Inc. | 103% | 102% | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| GL Globe Life Inc. | 72% | 72% | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| UNM Unum Group | 88% | 90% | 0.98 | 0.96 |
| UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 81% | 82% | 0.98 | 0.70 |
| ELV Elevance Health Inc. | 94% | 98% | 0.96 | 0.86 |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 91% | 97% | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| AON Aon plc | 79% | 89% | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| VOYA Voya Financial, Inc. | 111% | 128% | 0.87 | 1.17 |
| PFG Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 103% | 124% | 0.83 | 1.22 |
| PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. | 102% | 146% | 0.70 | 1.25 |
| LNC Lincoln National Corporation | 119% | 211% | 0.56 | 1.67 |
What diversifies AFL?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with AFL's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing AFL with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in AFL into DXJ would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+19.1% for AFL alone, +21.1% for the mix).
- MCK made money in four of the five calendar years in which AFL lost money.
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and DBEF have moved largely independently of AFL over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.43 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which AFL lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% AFL and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL Aflac Incorporated (this page) | 1.00 | +139% | 0.95 | −13.6% | −6.2% | −21.3% | −25.5% | −31.6% | 20.6% | +19.1% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.16 | +225% | 1.34 | +3.9% | +8.1% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | 17.1% | +21.1% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.07 | +323% | 0.97 | +55.5% | +30.2% | +6.8% | −44.7% | −14.6% | 18.4% | +24.0% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.43 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +2.1% | +3.4% | — | — | — | 17.6% | +18.4% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.08 | +126% | 0.96 | +24.8% | −2.2% | +9.6% | +4.9% | — | 17.1% | +19.6% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.32 | +136% | 0.93 | +28.2% | — | — | — | — | 18.3% | +20.2% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.44 | +109% | 0.90 | −0.2% | +12.8% | — | — | — | 18.7% | +19.2% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.11 | +153% | 0.89 | +31.5% | +7.0% | −21.8% | −45.3% | +2.1% | 17.8% | +20.5% |
| EDIV InternationalState Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Dividend ETF | 0.36 | +69.9% | 0.84 | −10.0% | −8.9% | — | — | — | 17.6% | +17.9% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL Aflac Incorporated (this page) | 1.00 | +139% | 0.95 | −13.6% | −6.2% | −21.3% | −25.5% | −31.6% | 20.6% | +19.1% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.38 | +479% | 1.55 | +10.1% | +23.0% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −2.5% | 19.1% | +23.3% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.05 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −2.4% | +12.9% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −25.6% | 20.8% | +37.1% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.14 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +6.7% | −10.4% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +73.7% | 19.8% | +32.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.37 | +413% | 1.44 | +27.1% | +29.3% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +4.9% | 19.0% | +22.7% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.34 | +690% | 1.41 | −27.4% | +0.4% | — | — | — | 19.7% | +25.5% |
Common questions
What was AFL's worst drawdown?
AFL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 82.7%, from April 2008 to March 2009. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were AFL's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, AFL's best year was 1998, when it returned 73.2%. Its worst was 2001, with a return of -31.5%.
Is there a better investment than AFL?
Among AFL's popular alternatives, UNM, ALL and JXN were ahead of AFL in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (29.3%, 26.2% and 43.3% volatility against 20.8%). Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TRV (property & casualty insurance) earned more than AFL over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 19.0% a year at 20.8%.
Is AFL more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. AFL's volatility over the past 5 years was 20.8%, 1.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, AFL's return lands within 20.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is AFL's Sharpe ratio?
AFL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.95, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so AFL earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is AFL with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, AFL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.43 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against AFL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a AFL holding.
What are the best alternatives to AFL?
Of the 18 popular alternatives we compared, three outperformed AFL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: ALL, UNM and JXN.
Did AFL outperform the S&P 500?
AFL finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 15 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +9.0%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did AFL do in stock market crashes?
AFL fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in three of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when AFL fell 82.7% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies AFL?
These had a low correlation with AFL over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.16), SMH (correlation 0.07) and DBEF (correlation 0.43); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.38), CLS (correlation 0.05) and FIX (correlation 0.14). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than AFL's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of AFL's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to AFL
ALLAllstate
METMetLife
AJGArthur J. Gallagher & Co.
ELVElevance Health
UNHUnitedHealth Group
PRUPrudential Financial
AONAon