Relative Intelligence · Insurance

How Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on AJG alone. It places AJG (Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.) against 13 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where AJG stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: AJG's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowAJG is 24.5% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. That said, over the past 6 months, AJG rose 16.9% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?AJG rose 2.5% over the past 3 months, 3.7 points ahead of the insurance ETF KIE (State Street SPDR S&P Insurance ETF), which fell 1.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: AJG rose 9.6% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsAJG has gone against the market, falling 6.1% over the past year while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (17.3% against 89.3%). The long record (ahead of 87% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years) has not carried into the past 3 years (behind 68% of them). By year ↓
- Long termAJG turned $10,000 into $61,600 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, over 5 years AJG trailed the index: 68.0% against 81.7%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAJG fell less than the S&P 500 in five of seven sell-offs, but the Covid crash broke the pattern: it fell 37.0%, more than the S&P 500's 33.7%. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, AJG has a correlation of 0.34 over 5 years, less closely than 61% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years AJG kept more of the market's gains than of its losses: 80% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 46% of its losses in falling ones, with a beta of 0.61. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- TRV (Travelers Companies) and CB (Chubb) earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years. TRV returned 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 10.9% a year at 24.2%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway, insurance) and THG (Hanover Insurance Group, property & casualty insurance) earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years. BRK-B returned 13.4% a year at 17.1% volatility, against 10.9% a year at 24.2%.
- Whole market
- 215 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF), BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway) and BRK-A (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in AJG have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in AJG over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of AJG over the same span and AJG's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in AJG at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $566,042 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of AJG, and TJX finished highest, at $958,745.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 87 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of AJG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- TJX$958,745+9,487% total · +17.0% a year
- AME$869,262+8,593% total · +16.6% a year
- DGX$784,474+7,745% total · +16.2% a year
- COST$727,732+7,177% total · +15.9% a year
- COR$574,137+5,641% total · +15.0% a year
- AJG$566,042+5,560% total · +14.9% a year
- CRVL$524,989+5,150% total · +14.6% a year
- PGR$454,424+4,444% total · +14.1% a year
- TRV$178,972+1,690% total · +10.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,353 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of AJG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- TRV$25,788+158% total · +20.9% a year
- PGR$25,636+156% total · +20.7% a year
- CB$20,160+102% total · +15.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- BRK-B$18,244+82.4% total · +12.8% a year
- MET$17,726+77.3% total · +12.1% a year
- AJG$16,159+61.6% total · +10.1% a year
- WTW$13,256+32.6% total · +5.8% a year
- CRVL$12,010+20.1% total · +3.7% a year
- EVER$10,768+7.7% total · +1.5% a year
AJG at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- AJG is still 24.5% below its all-time high.
- AJG's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 51.1%, from January 1987 to February 1988. It took 20 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, AJG's best was 2000, when it returned 100%, and its worst was 2007, when it lost 14.3%. It lost money in seven of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $66B
- Industry
- Insurance - Brokers
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −6.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +17.3%+5.5% a year
- Past 5 years
- +68.0%+10.9% a year
- Past 10 years
- +516%+19.9% a year
- Best calendar year
- +100%2000
- Worst calendar year
- −14.3%2007
- Losing years
- 7 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 24.2%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.55return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −51.1%Jan 1987 to Feb 1988
- From its all-time high
- −24.5%below the peak
AJG against the whole market
Where AJG ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does AJG rank among all stocks?
This section ranks AJG on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how AJG stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- AJG is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 10% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | AJG | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −6.1% | 2,221 of 3,287 | bottom 33% |
| 3-year return | +17.3% | 2,059 of 3,017 | bottom 33% |
| 5-year return | +68.0% | 921 of 2,893 | top 32% |
| 10-year return | +516% | 291 of 2,202 | top 13% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 24.2% | 278 of 2,893 | top 10% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.55 | 805 of 2,893 | top 28% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −44.4% | 273 of 2,187 | top 12% |
What has beaten AJG on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). AJG sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than AJG with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 47 stocks and 168 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than AJG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 6% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half AJG's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 21% less than AJG's 24.2%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.55 for AJG.
- Among AJG's popular alternatives, TRV and CB are in the region. TRV earned 22.4% a year against 10.9% a year for AJG, at 22.3% volatility, 8% less than AJG's 24.2%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to AJG; faint dots are 92 more of the 215 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than AJG?
Investments that beat AJG over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among AJG's popular alternatives, TRV and CB earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years. TRV returned 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 10.9% a year at 24.2%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, BRK-B (insurance) and THG (property & casualty insurance) earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years. BRK-B returned 13.4% a year at 17.1% volatility, against 10.9% a year at 24.2%.
- Across the whole market, 215 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VOO, BRK-B and BRK-A.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat AJG over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks AJG's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than AJG follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than AJG's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× AJG's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than AJG's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with AJG?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +10.9% | 24.2% | 0.55 | −44.4% | +516% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.34 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 5 shownThe investments people most often weigh against AJG. 5 of 11 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.59 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.46 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatility | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.52 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +12.0% | 25.4% | 0.58 | −55.2% | +240% | 0.42 | — | ||
CRVLCorVel Corporation · Insurance | Higher return in most periods | +7.0% | 33.2% | 0.37 | −64.2% | +594% | 0.38 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Insurance and the categories next to it (Property & Casualty Insurance, Life Insurance), plus AJG's specific themes. 21 of 50 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.60 | — | ||
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +14.4% | 22.9% | 0.70 | −40.1% | +291% | 0.44 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.29 | — | ||
ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.48 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatility | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.50 | — | ||
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Higher return, lower volatility | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.49 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 561 of 3,572 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.34 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.33 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.13 | 0.48% | |
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.29 | 0.40% | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.19 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.35 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.38 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for AJG
- Annual return
- AJG returned 10.9% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $16,800. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- AJG's volatility over the past 5 years was 24.2%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, AJG's return lands within 24.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- AJG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.55, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so AJG earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- AJG's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 44.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 44.4% fall takes a 79.9% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, AJG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.34 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against AJG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a AJG holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 215 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than AJG with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with AJG | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.34 | 0.03% | |
| 2 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.32 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.33 | — | |
| 4 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.13 | 0.48% |
| 5 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.29 | 0.40% |
| 6 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.30 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.40 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +553% | 0.18 | 0.18% | |
| 9 | Whole market | +12.1% | 13.7% | 0.90 | −36.8% | +235% | 0.47 | 0.03% | |
| 10 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.39 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.63 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +13.1% | 22.4% | 0.67 | −34.5% | +451% | 0.25 | 0.04% | |
| 13 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.34 | 0.26% | |
| 14 | Same or nearby category | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.60 | — | |
| 15 | HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 13.0% | 1.00 | −37.0% | +172% | 0.47 | 0.08% |
| 16 | RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.7% | 14.4% | 0.97 | −36.1% | +287% | 0.45 | 0.39% |
| 17 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.25 | 0.40% |
| 18 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.45 | 0.12% |
| 19 | USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.1% | 16.4% | 0.89 | −30.0% | — | 0.34 | 0.12% |
| 20 | GCOWPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04 | −37.6% | +168% | 0.26 | 0.60% |
| 21 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.14 | 0.50% |
| 22 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.36 | — | |
| 23 | IWXiShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.7% | 13.8% | 0.94 | −35.8% | +221% | 0.46 | 0.20% |
| 24 | FTGCFirst Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +12.9% | 15.6% | 0.86 | −35.9% | +139% | 0.03 | 0.98% |
| 25 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.24 | 0.45% |
| 26 | HDEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE High Dividend Yield Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +12.8% | 14.2% | 0.92 | −36.4% | +134% | 0.32 | 0.09% |
| 27 | DIVBiShares Core Dividend ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +13.9% | 15.4% | 0.93 | −36.9% | — | 0.46 | 0.05% |
| 28 | AVIVAvantis International Large Cap Value ETF · International | Whole market | +12.6% | 16.7% | 0.80 | −27.7% | — | 0.28 | 0.25% |
| 29 | CHCOCity Holding Company · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +15.9% | 22.8% | 0.77 | −32.3% | +286% | 0.32 | — |
| 30 | FVALFidelity Value Factor ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.4% | 16.4% | 0.80 | −37.3% | +291% | 0.34 | 0.15% |
| 31 | COMTiShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF · Commodities | Whole market | +13.1% | 21.1% | 0.69 | −39.2% | +160% | -0.07 | 0.49% |
| 32 | HEWJiShares Currency Hedged MSCI Japan ETF · International | Whole market | +20.8% | 19.4% | 1.08 | −31.5% | +346% | 0.12 | 1.02% |
| 33 | HLALWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.0% | 18.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | — | 0.22 | 0.50% |
| 34 | ROUSHartford Multifactor US Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.3% | 14.4% | 0.88 | −35.5% | +238% | 0.45 | 0.19% |
| 35 | DGTState Street SPDR Global Dow ETF · International | Whole market | +13.8% | 15.1% | 0.94 | −34.4% | +261% | 0.34 | 0.50% |
| 36 | Whole market | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.52 | — | |
| 37 | SIXAETC 6 Meridian Mega Cap Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.8% | 12.7% | 1.01 | −18.4% | — | 0.44 | 0.31% |
| 38 | QSPTFT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - September · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +12.1% | 14.8% | 0.85 | −22.6% | — | 0.25 | 0.90% |
| 39 | IDOGALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 15.6% | 0.93 | −37.3% | +180% | 0.21 | 0.50% |
| 40 | QDEFNorthern Trust Quality Dividend Defensive ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +12.7% | 13.7% | 0.94 | −35.7% | +228% | 0.45 | 0.40% |
| 41 | SFYSoFi Select 500 ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.9% | 19.4% | 0.77 | −33.3% | — | 0.27 | 0.19% |
| 42 | VSLUApplied Finance Valuation Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.7% | 16.2% | 0.88 | −23.8% | — | 0.34 | 0.49% |
| 43 | NXTGFirst Trust Indxx NextG ETF · Technology | Whole market | +16.2% | 19.1% | 0.89 | −33.6% | +330% | 0.02 | 0.70% |
| 44 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.32 | — | |
| 45 | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.9% | 0.71 | −46.9% | +187% | 0.24 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.39 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.36 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.1% | 0.72 | −42.7% | +481% | 0.26 | — | |
| 49 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.07 | 0.80% |
| 50 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.03 | 0.40% | |
| 51 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +194% | 0.23 | 0.25% |
| 52 | PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +13.8% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | +172% | 0.42 | — |
| 53 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.44 | 0.56% |
| 54 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.4% | 0.84 | −43.0% | — | 0.21 | 0.36% |
| 55 | DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated · Medical Diagnostics | Whole market | +12.3% | 22.5% | 0.63 | −36.6% | +243% | 0.38 | — |
| 56 | Whole market | +12.4% | 20.2% | 0.68 | −32.9% | +185% | 0.21 | — | |
| 57 | FDLFirst Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 14.4% | 0.98 | −41.4% | +199% | 0.41 | 0.43% |
| 58 | VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +15.9% | 18.4% | 0.90 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.20 | 0.15% |
| 59 | SEICSEI Investments Company · Asset Management | Whole market | +12.7% | 22.3% | 0.65 | −51.8% | +168% | 0.38 | — |
| 60 | KTKT Corporation · Integrated Telecommunications | Whole market | +13.1% | 22.6% | 0.66 | −60.3% | +84.9% | 0.22 | — |
| 61 | Popular alternative | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.46 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +12.0% | 18.8% | 0.70 | −30.9% | +114% | 0.30 | — | |
| 63 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.33 | — |
| 64 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.27 | 0.13% |
| 65 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.30 | 0.27% |
| 66 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.38 | 0.15% |
| 67 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.26 | — |
| 68 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +12.0% | 16.7% | 0.76 | −31.6% | +300% | 0.38 | 0.20% |
| 69 | AVUSAvantis U.S. Equity ETF · US Total Market | Whole market | +12.2% | 17.2% | 0.76 | −37.0% | — | 0.36 | 0.15% |
| 70 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.23 | — | |
| 71 | THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Same or nearby category | +14.4% | 22.9% | 0.70 | −40.1% | +291% | 0.44 | — |
| 72 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.1% | 13.8% | 0.96 | −32.5% | +206% | 0.35 | 0.35% |
| 73 | PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +13.4% | 19.9% | 0.73 | −39.3% | +103% | 0.30 | — |
| 74 | DBCInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +12.0% | 19.3% | 0.69 | −41.7% | +160% | -0.04 | 0.89% |
| 75 | VFMFVanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.3% | 17.6% | 0.85 | −41.3% | — | 0.43 | 0.18% |
| 76 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.13 | 0.61% |
| 77 | NANRState Street SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.6% | 0.83 | −49.1% | +241% | 0.28 | 0.35% |
| 78 | FYLDCambria Foreign Shareholder Yield ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +13.1% | 16.0% | 0.85 | −44.6% | +203% | 0.22 | 0.59% |
| 79 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.3% | 18.2% | 0.78 | −31.3% | +229% | 0.40 | 0.25% |
| 80 | GVALCambria Global Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.4% | 18.7% | 0.82 | −46.8% | +173% | 0.19 | 0.68% |
| 81 | QVALAlpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.7% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.5% | +230% | 0.40 | 0.28% |
| 82 | FLQLFranklin U.S. Large Cap Multifactor Index ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.8% | 16.3% | 0.88 | −33.6% | — | 0.35 | 0.15% |
| 83 | PWVInvesco Large Cap Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.2% | 0.97 | −37.6% | +223% | 0.51 | 0.55% |
| 84 | JMOMJPMorgan U.S. Momentum Factor ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.1% | 0.73 | −34.3% | — | 0.33 | 0.12% |
| 85 | DDWMWisdomTree Dynamic International Equity Fund · International | Whole market | +12.3% | 13.4% | 0.94 | −35.0% | +149% | 0.34 | 0.40% |
| 86 | DHSWisdomTree U.S. High Dividend Fund · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +12.0% | 13.9% | 0.89 | −37.4% | +156% | 0.43 | 0.38% |
| 87 | UTESVirtus Reaves Utilities ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.1% | 0.71 | −35.4% | +210% | 0.24 | 0.49% |
| 88 | EQLALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.5% | 0.94 | −34.2% | +387% | 0.46 | 0.19% |
| 89 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.15 | — | |
| 90 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.28 | — | |
| 91 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.12 | — | |
| 92 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.08 | — | |
| 93 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.40 | — | |
| 94 | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | +295% | 0.20 | — | |
| 95 | Whole market | +12.9% | 20.8% | 0.69 | −51.6% | +184% | 0.27 | — | |
| 96 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.20 | — | |
| 97 | AMLPAlerian MLP ETF · Energy Equity | Whole market | +16.1% | 18.9% | 0.89 | −72.9% | +91.0% | 0.36 | 1.01% |
| 98 | PAVEGlobal X - U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF · Infrastructure Equity | Whole market | +14.9% | 21.6% | 0.75 | −44.1% | — | 0.34 | 0.47% |
| 99 | FDVVFidelity High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.2% | 14.6% | 0.92 | −40.2% | +253% | 0.40 | 0.15% |
| 100 | ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +14.6% | 20.4% | 0.78 | −51.0% | +258% | 0.32 | 0.37% |
AJG against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against AJG, compared period by period and year by year.
How do AJG's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at AJG, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only TRV and CB were both more rewarding and calmer than AJG over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, AJG returned 10.9% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (24.2% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than AJG with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | +22.4% | 22.3% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | +21.3% | 25.6% |
| CB Chubb Limited | +15.7% | 20.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | +12.0% | 25.4% |
| AJG This pageArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | +10.9% | 24.2% |
| EVER EverQuote, Inc. | +8.1% | 72.9% |
| CRVL CorVel Corporation | +7.0% | 33.2% |
| WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | +6.9% | 23.9% |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | +3.4% | 35.2% |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | +2.6% | 26.0% |
| AON Aon plc | −0.3% | 23.8% |
| VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. | −1.4% | 25.9% |
Has AJG consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares AJG with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than AJG helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Four of the 13 popular alternatives, led by PGR, CRVL and TRV, outperformed AJG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- PGR and CB earned more for the risk they took than AJG (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than AJG over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (this page) | — | +9.6% | +2.5% | +16.9% | +2.2% | −6.1% | +17.3% | +68.0% | +516% | 24.2% | 0.55 | −44.4% | — | $66B | — |
| PGR QualifiedThe Progressive Corporation | 3/5 short3/3 long | +4.6% | +4.6% | +9.0% | +4.8% | +7.7% | +56.8% | +162% | +816% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | — | $129B | — |
| CRVL QualifiedCorVel Corporation | 5/5 short2/3 long | +13.2% | +32.6% | +48.6% | +23.7% | +10.1% | +22.7% | +40.1% | +594% | 33.2% | 0.37 | −64.2% | — | $4.1B | — |
| TRV QualifiedThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +6.6% | +7.8% | +32.6% | +40.3% | +51.5% | +158% | +174% | +347% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | — | $83B | — |
| MET QualifiedMetLife, Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +4.7% | +9.5% | +32.0% | +28.6% | +32.2% | +84.0% | +76.5% | +240% | 25.4% | 0.58 | −55.2% | — | $64B | — |
| CB Insurance - Property & CasualtyChubb Limited | 2/5 short2/3 long | +6.1% | +1.8% | +9.1% | +16.4% | +35.0% | +78.9% | +107% | +248% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | — | $138B | — |
| WTW Insurance - BrokersWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 2/5 short1/3 long | +4.2% | +9.0% | +8.2% | −1.3% | −2.2% | +60.7% | +39.6% | +187% | 23.9% | 0.40 | −32.9% | — | $30B | — |
| EVER Internet Content & InformationEverQuote, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −0.5% | −17.5% | +35.0% | −10.7% | +16.3% | +205% | +47.3% | — | 72.9% | 0.46 | −91.2% | — | $801M | — |
| BWIN Insurance - BrokersThe Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | 0.0% | +18.3% | +23.5% | +34.1% | +39.9% | — | — | — | — | — | −70.2% | — | $2.6B | — |
| BRO Insurance - BrokersBrown & Brown, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +10.3% | +3.1% | +5.2% | −8.0% | −18.2% | +7.9% | +13.8% | +317% | 26.0% | 0.23 | −55.8% | — | $24B | — |
| TWFG Insurance - BrokersTWFG, Inc. Common Stock | 2/5 short0/3 long | +0.1% | −6.0% | +30.3% | −8.1% | +1.7% | — | — | — | — | — | −52.7% | — | $332M | — |
| VRSK Software - ServicesVerisk Analytics, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +11.0% | −5.2% | +6.8% | −13.0% | −18.1% | −16.8% | −6.7% | +151% | 25.9% | 0.08 | −50.8% | — | $25B | — |
| AON Insurance - BrokersAon plc | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.0% | −18.0% | −10.2% | −13.2% | −13.0% | −3.1% | −1.6% | +195% | 23.8% | 0.11 | −38.7% | — | $63B | — |
| RYAN Insurance - BrokersRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +7.1% | +2.5% | +14.0% | −14.3% | −17.3% | −2.3% | +18.3% | — | 35.2% | 0.28 | −60.9% | — | $5.2B | — |
How did AJG do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where AJG ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with AJG and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, AJG finished in the top quarter in ten of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 9 of 14.
- AJG finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 16 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, PGR came out ahead of AJG most often, in 17 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of AJG; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places AJG among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of AJG | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG This pageArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | — | −8.0% | +27.4% | +20.5% | +12.4% | +39.0% | +32.1% | +31.8% | +19.2% | +25.1% | +31.1% | −10.1% | +3.5% | +40.0% | +7.6% | +20.3% | +35.6% | −7.8% | +12.7% | −14.3% | −0.1% | −1.2% | +3.3% | +13.4% | −13.1% | +10.4% | +100% | +51.8% | +32.5% | +15.3% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 10 of 29 | 9 of 14 | 9 of 12 | 5 of 12 | 5 of 12 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 11 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 10 | 3 of 10 | 2 of 10 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 10 | 3 of 10 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | 17 of 29 | −3.0% | +51.4% | +23.2% | +26.8% | +10.8% | +41.5% | +25.1% | +9.4% | +61.6% | +14.9% | +21.1% | +5.3% | +30.9% | +15.5% | +0.2% | +17.2% | +21.5% | −22.1% | −13.2% | −16.9% | +37.8% | +1.7% | +68.5% | 0.0% | +44.3% | +42.2% | −56.6% | +41.6% | +78.3% |
| CRVL CorVel Corporation | 13 of 29 | −39.2% | +35.0% | +70.1% | −30.1% | +96.2% | +21.3% | +41.6% | +16.7% | +44.5% | −16.7% | +18.0% | −20.3% | +108% | −13.3% | +7.0% | +44.2% | +52.7% | −4.7% | −51.6% | +276% | −29.2% | −28.7% | +5.3% | +9.1% | +42.2% | +47.1% | +32.8% | −6.4% | +30.8% |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 12 of 29 | +22.4% | +28.8% | +3.9% | +22.4% | +14.0% | +5.3% | +17.0% | −9.7% | +13.4% | +11.0% | +9.1% | +19.6% | +29.1% | +24.8% | +9.3% | +14.8% | +13.5% | −13.8% | +2.4% | +22.9% | +23.2% | −3.6% | +20.3% | −20.1% | −16.9% | +65.7% | 0.0% | −12.9% | +43.6% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 10 of 25 | −0.8% | +27.7% | −5.5% | +19.2% | +37.5% | −3.4% | +28.8% | −15.8% | +8.4% | +15.9% | −8.3% | +3.0% | +67.5% | +7.9% | −28.3% | +27.9% | +3.7% | −42.2% | +5.6% | +21.7% | +22.2% | +21.8% | +25.4% | −13.9% | −8.8% | — | — | — | — |
| CB Chubb Limited | 13 of 29 | +14.5% | +23.9% | +4.2% | +16.0% | +27.9% | +1.4% | +22.9% | −9.6% | +12.8% | +15.6% | +5.3% | +14.4% | +31.9% | +17.6% | +14.5% | +26.4% | −1.8% | −13.0% | +3.8% | +15.4% | +27.5% | +5.3% | +44.3% | −25.4% | −3.7% | +159% | −50.6% | +7.8% | +62.3% |
| WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 10 of 24 | +6.1% | +31.5% | +0.1% | +4.5% | +14.2% | +5.8% | +34.8% | +2.4% | +25.0% | −3.4% | +11.5% | +2.8% | +37.3% | −10.9% | +15.1% | +35.6% | +10.4% | −32.1% | −2.0% | +10.4% | −8.1% | +23.3% | +21.1% | +21.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| EVER EverQuote, Inc. | 3 of 7 | +35.1% | +63.3% | −17.0% | −5.9% | −58.1% | +8.7% | +722% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWIN The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | 0 of 1 | −38.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −21.4% | +44.3% | +25.7% | −18.4% | +49.3% | +21.1% | +44.7% | +8.3% | +16.2% | +41.8% | −1.1% | +6.1% | +24.8% | +14.1% | −4.1% | +35.3% | −12.5% | −9.8% | −16.0% | −6.9% | +41.2% | +34.5% | +1.8% | +19.1% | +57.1% | +84.6% | +11.0% | +18.8% | +71.1% |
| TWFG TWFG, Inc. Common Stock | 1 of 1 | −6.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. | 5 of 16 | −18.2% | +16.0% | +36.2% | −22.3% | +10.8% | +39.9% | +37.9% | +13.6% | +18.3% | +5.6% | +20.0% | −2.5% | +28.9% | +27.0% | +17.8% | +12.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AON Aon plc | 11 of 29 | −0.9% | +24.4% | −2.3% | +0.6% | +43.4% | +2.4% | +44.7% | +9.9% | +21.1% | +22.5% | −1.6% | +14.3% | +52.4% | +20.3% | +2.9% | +21.8% | −14.8% | −2.9% | +37.0% | −0.1% | +54.3% | +2.2% | +30.3% | −45.2% | +6.3% | −11.9% | +10.7% | −3.8% | +44.6% |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | 1 of 4 | −18.9% | +50.9% | +3.6% | +2.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How AJG has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were AJG's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents AJG's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of AJG's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: AJG fell 44.4% from June 2025 to May 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 26.7%.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 20 months, after AJG fell 51.1% from January 1987 to February 1988.
Green means AJG fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | AJG fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No named crash | −51.1% | — | Jan 1987 | Feb 1988 | 13 months | Oct 1989 | 20 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −49.1% | −26.4% | Oct 2001 | Mar 2009 | 7.4 years | Oct 2010 | 19 months |
| No named crash | −44.4% | +26.7% | Jun 2025 | May 2026 | 11 months | Not yet | — |
| Covid crash | −37.2% | −33.6% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | Oct 2020 | 7 months |
| Dot-com bust | −34.6% | +0.5% | Dec 2000 | Jan 2001 | 1 month | Sep 2001 | 8 months |
How did AJG do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far AJG, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, PGR held up best, falling less than AJG in six of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- AJG fell less than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when AJG fell 46.0% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than AJG.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG This pageArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | — | −4.8% | −18.8% | −37.0% | −11.5% | −6.1% | −23.1% | −13.4% | −1.1% | −46.0% | −41.2% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 3 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 of 10 | −2.9% | −10.5% | −18.3% | −22.3% | −4.3% | −12.3% | −16.6% | −1.2% | −52.9% | −36.2% |
| CRVL CorVel Corporation | 4 of 10 | −1.3% | −36.0% | −34.6% | −15.3% | −6.4% | −11.4% | −22.0% | −2.6% | −57.2% | −20.8% |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −2.6% | −18.9% | −39.2% | −15.7% | −8.8% | −11.4% | −18.1% | −1.1% | −43.7% | −55.1% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 0 of 9 | −12.6% | −19.5% | −55.0% | −20.9% | −6.9% | −36.5% | −36.3% | −3.4% | −82.3% | — |
| CB Chubb Limited | 2 of 10 | −5.6% | −19.1% | −42.2% | −13.6% | −8.4% | −9.7% | −13.7% | −0.2% | −51.2% | −52.4% |
| WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 3 of 9 | −4.9% | −21.4% | −30.3% | −9.0% | −5.9% | −17.8% | −18.3% | −2.4% | −54.2% | — |
| EVER EverQuote, Inc. | 1 of 4 | −3.0% | −61.7% | −49.2% | −74.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −4.9% | −27.3% | −34.8% | −13.6% | −5.4% | −15.9% | −22.9% | 0.0% | −42.1% | −31.4% |
| VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. | 4 of 8 | −2.6% | −28.4% | −28.5% | −17.4% | −6.6% | −19.1% | −8.0% | −1.0% | — | — |
| AON Aon plc | 5 of 10 | −2.4% | −25.4% | −38.7% | −17.0% | −5.3% | −17.4% | −20.7% | 0.0% | −30.3% | −66.5% |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −9.4% | −17.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does AJG move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares AJG with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the eight popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than AJG's 1.74.
- Over the past 10 years, AJG captured 80% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 46% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.61. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- PGR took just -5% of the S&P 500's losses, against 46% for AJG, while still keeping 72% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than AJG's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG This pageArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 80% | 46% | 1.74 | 0.61 |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | 70% | 48% | 1.48 | 0.59 |
| CB Chubb Limited | 63% | 48% | 1.32 | 0.54 |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | 78% | 69% | 1.13 | 0.66 |
| CRVL CorVel Corporation | 120% | 115% | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 91% | 97% | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| WTW Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 68% | 73% | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| AON Aon plc | 79% | 89% | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. | 63% | 73% | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | 72% | -5% | — | 0.36 |
What diversifies AJG?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with AJG's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing AJG with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in AJG into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+10.1% for AJG alone, +12.5% for the mix).
- FIX made money in six of the seven calendar years in which AJG lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of AJG over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.45 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which AJG lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% AJG and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2015 | 2009 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2002 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (this page) | 1.00 | +68.0% | 0.55 | −8.0% | −10.1% | −7.8% | −14.3% | −0.1% | −1.2% | −13.1% | 24.8% | +10.1% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.29 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.4% | +11.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.13 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +7.7% | +2.0% | −7.4% | — | — | — | 20.3% | +13.9% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.45 | +101% | 1.04 | +9.7% | −25.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | +11.6% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.47 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | −0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | +10.9% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.02 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | −0.3% | +60.5% | +6.0% | −6.7% | +10.8% | −47.0% | 20.9% | +16.8% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.35 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +23.1% | +4.1% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.7% | +11.3% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.03 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | −10.7% | +24.0% | +30.4% | +22.6% | +17.8% | — | 20.2% | +12.5% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.27 | +136% | 0.93 | +26.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | +13.0% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2015 | 2009 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2002 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (this page) | 1.00 | +68.0% | 0.55 | −8.0% | −10.1% | −7.8% | −14.3% | −0.1% | −1.2% | −13.1% | 24.8% | +10.1% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.32 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +12.6% | −4.4% | −9.8% | −5.8% | +18.7% | −8.3% | 22.1% | +16.0% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.17 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | −6.0% | +105% | −25.7% | −26.0% | −25.2% | −65.1% | 21.3% | +29.7% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.01 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +67.7% | +17.8% | +2.1% | +38.9% | +20.1% | −9.4% | 21.8% | +25.2% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.38 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | −4.5% | +62.9% | +29.7% | −1.2% | +64.9% | −27.2% | 22.2% | +15.3% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.22 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.1% | +18.1% |
Common questions
What was AJG's worst drawdown?
AJG's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 51.1%, from January 1987 to February 1988. It took 20 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were AJG's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, AJG's best year was 2000, when it returned 100%. Its worst was 2007, with a return of -14.3%.
Is there a better investment than AJG?
Among AJG's popular alternatives, TRV and CB earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years. TRV returned 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 10.9% a year at 24.2%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, BRK-B (insurance) and THG (property & casualty insurance) earned more than AJG with less volatility over the past 5 years. BRK-B returned 13.4% a year at 17.1% volatility, against 10.9% a year at 24.2%.
Is AJG more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. AJG's volatility over the past 5 years was 24.2%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, AJG's return lands within 24.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is AJG's Sharpe ratio?
AJG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.55, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so AJG earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is AJG with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, AJG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.34 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against AJG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a AJG holding.
What are the best alternatives to AJG?
Of the 13 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed AJG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: PGR, CRVL and TRV.
Did AJG outperform the S&P 500?
AJG finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 16 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -8.0%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did AJG do in stock market crashes?
AJG fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in five of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in three. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when AJG fell 46.0% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies AJG?
These had a low correlation with AJG over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.29), DXJ (correlation 0.13) and EMLP (correlation 0.45); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.32), CLS (correlation -0.17) and FIX (correlation 0.01). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than AJG's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of AJG's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.