Relative Intelligence · Environmental Services

How Republic Services (RSG) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on RSG alone. It places RSG (Republic Services, Inc.) against 10 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where RSG stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: RSG's full trading record, from July 1998 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowAfter a 22.5% loss from June 2025 to May 2026, RSG has bounced 18.6% off the low. RSG has outpaced the market, rising 12.5% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?RSG held up far better than its industry: it rose 6.0% over the past 3 months while the industrials sector ETF XLI (State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF) fell 6.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: RSG rose 9.3% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, RSG rose 7.1% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (66.1% against 89.3%). The last two calendar years both went the same way: RSG rose 6.4% in 2025, against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termRSG turned $10,000 into $54,600 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. RSG's 10-year return of 446% puts it ahead of 84% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, RSG has typically lost about 80% as much as the S&P 500. The 2022 bear market took 15.1% off RSG, against 24.5% for the S&P 500, and less than environmental services peers such as WM (Waste Management, 16.8%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationRSG is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.33 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.33 with the total US market, less closely than 63% of stocks worth at least $300 million. RSG moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.33 over the past 5 years against 0.70 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- WTS (Watts Water Technologies) was ahead of RSG in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (28.4% volatility against 18.5%).
- Nearby categories and themes
- WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies, industrial machinery) was ahead of RSG in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (26.2% volatility against 18.5%).
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only eight of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RSG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them EPD (Enterprise Products Partners), PVAL (Putnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF) and IOO (iShares Global 100 ETF).
How much would $10,000 in RSG have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in RSG over the past 28 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of RSG over the same span and RSG's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in RSG at the end of September 1998 would have grown to $258,256 by September 2026, more than the $121,630 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the seven other investments on the chart ended ahead of RSG, and CLH finished highest, at $2,606,865.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1998 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 299 of the 1,106 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of RSG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 2 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- CLH$3M+25,969% total · +22.0% a year
- EPD$513,562+5,036% total · +15.1% a year
- VMI$508,279+4,983% total · +15.1% a year
- WAB$321,610+3,116% total · +13.2% a year
- WTS$275,643+2,656% total · +12.6% a year
- RSG$258,256+2,483% total · +12.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$121,630+1,116% total · +9.3% a year
- WM$77,239+672% total · +7.6% a year
- CWST$23,632+136% total · +3.1% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 964 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of RSG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- CAH$49,682+397% total · +37.8% a year
- WAB$34,242+242% total · +27.9% a year
- CLH$29,868+199% total · +24.5% a year
- SDCI$27,610+176% total · +22.5% a year
- FFLC$21,980+120% total · +17.1% a year
- WTS$21,898+119% total · +17.0% a year
- VMI$20,517+105% total · +15.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- RSG$18,545+85.5% total · +13.1% a year
- CWST$10,581+5.8% total · +1.1% a year
RSG at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- RSG's deepest decline since it began trading in 1998 was 66.0%, from July 1998 to October 1999. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 27 full calendar years, RSG's best was 2021, when it returned 47.0%, and its worst was 1999, when it lost 22.7%. It lost money in four of those years.
- RSG is 8.2% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $71B
- Industry
- Waste Management
- Price history from
- July 1998
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +7.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +66.1%+18.4% a year
- Past 5 years
- +91.5%+13.9% a year
- Past 10 years
- +446%+18.5% a year
- Best calendar year
- +47.0%2021
- Worst calendar year
- −22.7%1999
- Losing years
- 4 of 27full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 18.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.80return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −66.0%Jul 1998 to Oct 1999
- From its all-time high
- −8.2%below the peak
RSG against the whole market
Where RSG ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does RSG rank among all stocks?
This section ranks RSG on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how RSG stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- RSG is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 2% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | RSG | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +7.1% | 1,689 of 3,287 | bottom 50% |
| 3-year return | +66.1% | 1,311 of 3,017 | top 43% |
| 5-year return | +91.5% | 732 of 2,893 | top 25% |
| 10-year return | +446% | 351 of 2,202 | top 16% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 18.5% | 54 of 2,893 | top 2% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.80 | 290 of 2,893 | top 10% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −34.0% | 57 of 2,187 | top 3% |
What has beaten RSG on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). RSG sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than RSG with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- One stock and seven ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than RSG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half RSG's swings, LVHI has the best return for its risk: 17.0% a year at 11.1% volatility, 40% less than RSG's 18.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.48 against 0.80 for RSG.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to RSG; faint dots are 6 more of the 8 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than RSG?
Investments that beat RSG over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among RSG's popular alternatives, WTS was ahead of RSG in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (28.4% volatility against 18.5%).
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WAB (industrial machinery) was ahead of RSG in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (26.2% volatility against 18.5%).
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only eight of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RSG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them EPD, PVAL and IOO.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat RSG over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks RSG's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than RSG follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than RSG's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× RSG's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than RSG's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with RSG?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.33 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against RSG. 1 of 10 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Higher return in most periods | +15.3% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | +539% | 0.42 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 1 shownEverything else in Environmental Services and the categories next to it (Infrastructure, Water Utilities, Industrial Machinery, Engineering & Construction), plus RSG's specific themes. 1 of 66 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.31 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 106 of 3,558 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.26 | 0.38% | |
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.42 | — | ||
SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.04 | 0.80% | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.15 | 0.40% | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.35 | 0.40% | |
| Higher return in most periods | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.03 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.23 | — | ||
HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Similar return, lower volatility | +12.9% | 13.0% | 1.00 | −37.0% | +172% | 0.42 | 0.08% | |
What these numbers mean for RSG
- Annual return
- RSG returned 13.9% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $19,100. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- RSG's volatility over the past 5 years was 18.5%, 1.1 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, RSG's return lands within 18.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- RSG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.80, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so RSG earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- RSG's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 34.0%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 34.0% fall takes a 51.6% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, RSG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.33 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against RSG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a RSG holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 8 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than RSG with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with RSG | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.26 | 0.38% |
| 2 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.35 | 0.40% |
| 3 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.38 | — | |
| 4 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.40 | 0.56% |
| 5 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.22 | 0.40% |
| 6 | EMLPFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +14.9% | 14.5% | 1.04 | −43.6% | +150% | 0.51 | 0.95% |
| 7 | MLPAGlobal X - MLP ETF · Energy | Whole market | +15.2% | 17.2% | 0.91 | −74.3% | +80.0% | 0.33 | 0.77% |
| 8 | TPYPTortoise North American Pipeline ETF · Energy | Whole market | +16.9% | 17.3% | 0.99 | −51.9% | +184% | 0.48 | 0.40% |
RSG against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against RSG, compared period by period and year by year.
How do RSG's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at RSG, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the ten popular alternatives earned more than RSG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Eight of the ten popular alternatives earned less than RSG over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, RSG returned 13.9% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (18.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than RSG with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | +23.1% | 28.6% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | +15.3% | 28.4% |
| RSG This pageRepublic Services, Inc. | +13.9% | 18.5% |
| VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. | +13.8% | 32.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| WM Waste Management, Inc. | +9.3% | 19.2% |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | +6.1% | 20.0% |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | +2.8% | 28.1% |
| GFL GFL Environmental Inc. | +2.1% | 30.2% |
| XYL Xylem Inc. | −2.5% | 26.5% |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | −2.8% | 23.1% |
| CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | −31.5% | 63.6% |
Has RSG consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares RSG with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than RSG helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Only one of the ten popular alternatives, WTS, outperformed RSG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than RSG over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. (this page) | — | +9.3% | +6.0% | +12.5% | +11.8% | +7.1% | +66.1% | +91.5% | +446% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | — | $71B | — |
| WTS QualifiedWatts Water Technologies, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +2.1% | +5.3% | +22.3% | +29.2% | +28.1% | +113% | +104% | +539% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | — | $12B | — |
| CLH Waste ManagementClean Harbors, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | +1.6% | +2.0% | +4.2% | +29.9% | +30.0% | +102% | +183% | +588% | 28.6% | 0.88 | −64.5% | — | $17B | — |
| CWST Waste ManagementCasella Waste Systems, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | +6.9% | −0.5% | +17.0% | −5.7% | +8.3% | +22.6% | +14.7% | +740% | 28.1% | 0.24 | −37.7% | — | $5.8B | — |
| VMI ConglomeratesValmont Industries, Inc. | 1/5 short1/3 long | −3.8% | −14.2% | +10.3% | +10.0% | +10.9% | +98.7% | +91.1% | +288% | 32.7% | 0.56 | −48.9% | — | $8.7B | — |
| WM Waste ManagementWaste Management, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +11.9% | −2.6% | +4.3% | +7.5% | +9.4% | +54.9% | +56.2% | +344% | 19.2% | 0.56 | −30.1% | — | $93B | — |
| GFL Waste ManagementGFL Environmental Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +4.0% | +13.7% | +12.9% | +3.9% | −2.2% | +48.6% | +11.1% | — | 30.2% | 0.22 | −42.6% | — | $16B | — |
| WCN Waste ManagementWaste Connections, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +9.0% | −0.6% | +6.5% | −2.0% | −1.8% | +27.0% | +34.2% | +270% | 20.0% | 0.40 | −31.6% | — | $43B | — |
| XYL Industrial - MachineryXylem Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.1% | −12.6% | −12.1% | −22.5% | −27.4% | +18.7% | −11.7% | +143% | 26.5% | 0.04 | −46.7% | — | $25B | — |
| AWK Regulated WaterAmerican Water Works Company, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +1.4% | +2.3% | +3.3% | +6.4% | −4.1% | +26.2% | −13.1% | +131% | 23.1% | -0.01 | −37.1% | — | $27B | — |
| CLNE Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingClean Energy Fuels Corp. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −21.5% | −37.8% | −41.8% | −37.5% | −53.1% | −64.5% | −85.0% | −68.5% | 63.6% | -0.28 | −92.9% | — | $298M | — |
How did RSG do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1999, along with where RSG ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with RSG and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, RSG finished in the top quarter in four of 27 years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 6 of 11.
- RSG finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 14 of its 27 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, WTS came out ahead of RSG most often, in 15 of the 27 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of RSG; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places RSG among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of RSG | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG This pageRepublic Services, Inc. | — | +6.5% | +23.0% | +29.6% | −6.2% | +47.0% | +9.5% | +26.6% | +8.8% | +21.0% | +32.9% | +12.4% | +24.8% | +16.6% | +10.0% | −5.1% | +8.3% | +18.0% | −18.9% | +17.6% | +9.9% | +13.6% | +32.4% | +22.8% | +5.1% | +16.3% | +20.6% | −22.7% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 4 of 27 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 11 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 11 | 8 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 5 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 13 of 27 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 15 of 27 | +36.8% | −1.6% | +43.6% | −24.1% | +60.6% | +23.1% | +56.2% | −14.1% | +17.9% | +32.8% | −20.8% | +3.5% | +45.4% | +27.2% | −5.3% | +20.0% | +26.0% | −14.8% | −26.6% | +37.0% | −5.1% | +46.9% | +43.1% | +6.4% | +9.8% | −3.8% | −9.5% |
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | 14 of 27 | +1.9% | +31.9% | +52.9% | +14.4% | +31.1% | −11.3% | +73.8% | −8.9% | −2.6% | +33.6% | −13.3% | −19.9% | +9.0% | −13.7% | +51.6% | +41.0% | −6.0% | +22.7% | +6.8% | +68.0% | +90.9% | +69.3% | −42.7% | +360% | +89.8% | +42.5% | −16.7% |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | 11 of 27 | −7.4% | +23.8% | +7.8% | −7.1% | +37.9% | +34.6% | +61.6% | +23.8% | +85.5% | +108% | +48.0% | −30.3% | +32.4% | −31.6% | −9.7% | +76.4% | −1.5% | −68.7% | +6.6% | −4.4% | −12.6% | +6.9% | +54.0% | −40.0% | +70.4% | −54.0% | −49.1% |
| VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. | 15 of 27 | +32.2% | +32.5% | −28.7% | +33.1% | +44.4% | +18.6% | +36.5% | −32.4% | +18.9% | +34.4% | −15.4% | −14.0% | +9.9% | +51.4% | +3.1% | +14.0% | +28.9% | −30.7% | +61.5% | +67.2% | +34.8% | +10.1% | +21.0% | +36.3% | −20.0% | +16.2% | +17.6% |
| WM Waste Management, Inc. | 11 of 27 | +10.5% | +14.3% | +16.2% | −4.5% | +43.8% | +5.5% | +30.4% | +5.3% | +24.5% | +36.4% | +7.1% | +18.2% | +37.8% | +7.6% | −7.7% | +13.3% | +6.3% | +4.8% | −8.7% | +24.3% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +29.2% | −28.1% | +15.0% | +61.5% | −63.1% |
| GFL GFL Environmental Inc. | 1 of 5 | −3.5% | +29.3% | +18.2% | −22.4% | +29.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | 12 of 24 | +2.9% | +15.7% | +13.5% | −2.0% | +33.8% | +13.9% | +23.2% | +5.5% | +36.2% | +41.5% | +30.7% | +3.1% | +32.3% | +5.1% | +23.6% | +26.0% | +8.9% | +7.6% | +17.6% | +25.1% | +4.9% | +41.0% | +1.8% | +27.5% | — | — | — |
| XYL Xylem Inc. | 5 of 14 | +18.8% | +2.6% | +4.8% | −6.6% | +18.9% | +30.9% | +19.6% | −1.0% | +39.5% | +37.6% | −2.6% | +11.6% | +29.8% | +7.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | 9 of 17 | +7.4% | −3.5% | −11.7% | −17.9% | +24.8% | +26.9% | +37.8% | +1.3% | +29.0% | +23.6% | +14.9% | +29.4% | +16.1% | +20.5% | +30.1% | +17.2% | +11.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | 3 of 18 | −16.3% | −34.5% | −26.4% | −15.2% | −22.0% | +236% | +36.0% | −15.3% | −29.0% | −20.6% | −28.0% | −61.2% | +3.5% | −0.1% | −10.0% | −10.2% | +155% | −60.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How RSG has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were RSG's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents RSG's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1998, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of RSG's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: RSG fell 66.0% from July 1998 to October 1999, while the S&P 500 rose 10.4%.
- The slowest recovery came after RSG fell 66.0% from July 1998 to October 1999; it did not regain that peak until April 2004, four years later.
Green means RSG fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | RSG fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No named crash | −66.0% | +10.4% | Jul 1998 | Oct 1999 | 15 months | Apr 2004 | 4.5 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −54.1% | −43.6% | Aug 2008 | Mar 2009 | 7 months | May 2011 | 2.2 years |
| Covid crash | −34.0% | −33.6% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | Nov 2020 | 8 months |
| 2011 euro debt crisis | −24.3% | −16.2% | May 2011 | Aug 2011 | 3 months | Jan 2013 | 17 months |
| No named crash | −22.5% | +26.2% | Jun 2025 | May 2026 | 11 months | Not yet | — |
How did RSG do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far RSG, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- RSG fell less than the S&P 500 in seven of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when RSG fell 34.4% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than RSG in most of the crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than RSG.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG This pageRepublic Services, Inc. | — | −1.0% | −15.1% | −33.8% | −10.6% | −9.2% | −8.8% | −18.2% | −0.4% | −53.4% | −34.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.9% | −39.4% | −32.0% | −26.1% | −9.1% | −24.6% | −31.1% | −3.4% | −49.9% | −35.1% |
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −5.8% | −26.6% | −64.5% | −34.9% | −8.7% | −26.9% | −18.4% | 0.0% | −48.7% | −56.8% |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −3.5% | −28.1% | −34.5% | −26.6% | −4.2% | −27.9% | −29.2% | −4.1% | −96.2% | −71.7% |
| VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −5.9% | −17.6% | −44.1% | −25.8% | −5.3% | −17.0% | −29.6% | −2.7% | −67.9% | −37.8% |
| WM Waste Management, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −0.9% | −16.8% | −29.5% | −10.7% | −8.6% | −6.7% | −21.7% | −0.7% | −41.5% | −32.9% |
| GFL GFL Environmental Inc. | 0 of 2 | −3.0% | −34.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −1.6% | −20.6% | −29.6% | −11.6% | −6.7% | −11.1% | −12.7% | −1.7% | −45.0% | — |
| XYL Xylem Inc. | 1 of 6 | −3.8% | −37.9% | −35.9% | −24.2% | −7.2% | −12.9% | — | — | — | — |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | 4 of 8 | −3.3% | −28.9% | −31.1% | −11.8% | −5.9% | −6.8% | −13.4% | −3.2% | — | — |
| CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | 1 of 9 | −5.3% | −50.1% | −62.6% | −40.7% | −2.7% | −64.6% | −38.7% | −12.9% | −82.4% | — |
How closely does RSG move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares RSG with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the nine popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than RSG's 2.11.
- Over the past 10 years, RSG captured 71% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 34% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.55. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than RSG's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG This pageRepublic Services, Inc. | 71% | 34% | 2.11 | 0.55 |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. | 106% | 68% | 1.55 | 0.85 |
| WM Waste Management, Inc. | 68% | 44% | 1.54 | 0.62 |
| WCN Waste Connections, Inc. | 65% | 47% | 1.37 | 0.60 |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 102% | 80% | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. | 48% | 45% | 1.07 | 0.44 |
| CLH Clean Harbors, Inc. | 126% | 118% | 1.06 | 1.27 |
| VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. | 105% | 115% | 0.91 | 1.27 |
| XYL Xylem Inc. | 90% | 123% | 0.73 | 1.03 |
| CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | 85% | 233% | 0.37 | 1.89 |
What diversifies RSG?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with RSG's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing RSG with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in RSG into LVHI would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 16% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+13.2% for RSG alone, +14.1% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and HDV have moved largely independently of RSG over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.42 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- Among large stocks, CAH, CLS and FIX have moved largely independently of RSG over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.42 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which RSG lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% RSG and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2011 | 2008 | 1999 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +91.5% | 0.80 | −6.2% | −5.1% | −18.9% | −22.7% | 18.3% | +13.2% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.35 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | — | — | — | 15.4% | +14.1% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.24 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | 15.5% | +16.1% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.42 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | — | — | — | 16.1% | +13.2% |
| MLPX EnergyGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF | 0.44 | +135% | 0.97 | +21.5% | — | — | — | 16.7% | +14.9% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.05 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +6.8% | −44.7% | — | 16.6% | +19.0% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.40 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | — | — | — | 15.7% | +13.5% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.15 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | +9.6% | +4.9% | — | 15.6% | +14.6% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.27 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | — | — | — | 16.3% | +15.3% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2011 | 2008 | 1999 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG Republic Services, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +91.5% | 0.80 | −6.2% | −5.1% | −18.9% | −22.7% | 18.3% | +13.2% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.42 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −36.8% | 17.6% | +18.3% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.19 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −24.4% | −20.5% | +350% | 17.0% | +32.1% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.19 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | −17.0% | −15.2% | −58.7% | 18.6% | +27.3% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.41 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +11.8% | −40.4% | −71.3% | 17.4% | +17.7% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.15 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | — | — | — | 16.9% | +20.6% |
Common questions
What was RSG's worst drawdown?
RSG's deepest decline since it began trading in 1998 was 66.0%, from July 1998 to October 1999. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were RSG's best and worst years?
Over 27 full calendar years, RSG's best year was 2021, when it returned 47.0%. Its worst was 1999, with a return of -22.7%.
Is there a better investment than RSG?
Among RSG's popular alternatives, WTS was ahead of RSG in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (28.4% volatility against 18.5%). Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WAB (industrial machinery) was ahead of RSG in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (26.2% volatility against 18.5%).
Is RSG more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. RSG's volatility over the past 5 years was 18.5%, 1.1 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, RSG's return lands within 18.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is RSG's Sharpe ratio?
RSG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.80, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so RSG earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is RSG with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, RSG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.33 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against RSG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a RSG holding.
What are the best alternatives to RSG?
Of the ten popular alternatives we compared, one outperformed RSG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: WTS.
Did RSG outperform the S&P 500?
RSG finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 14 of 27 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +6.4%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did RSG do in stock market crashes?
RSG fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in seven of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in one. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when RSG fell 34.4% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
What diversifies RSG?
These had a low correlation with RSG over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.35), DXJ (correlation 0.24) and HDV (correlation 0.42); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.42), CLS (correlation -0.19) and FIX (correlation 0.19). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than RSG's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of RSG's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.