Relative Intelligence · Pharmaceuticals

How Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on JNJ alone. It places JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where JNJ stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: JNJ's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIts pharmaceutical peers split over the past 6 months: ABBV (AbbVie) rose 43.8%, while AZN (AstraZeneca) fell 15.3%. Over the past 6 months, JNJ rose 13.6% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?JNJ rose 4.8% over the past 3 months, in line with the pharmaceuticals ETF IHE (iShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF), which rose 5.0%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its pharmaceutical peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: MRK (Merck & Co., Inc.) rose 19.9%, while NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) fell 20.0%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsJNJ has run far ahead of the market, rising 36.9% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. JNJ lagged its pharmaceutical peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termJNJ turned $10,000 into $29,600 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, JNJ has typically lost about 68% as much as the S&P 500. In the 2022 bear market, JNJ fell 12.7%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than LLY (Eli Lilly and Company, 11.7%) but less than ABBV (AbbVie, 21.9%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationJNJ is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.19 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.19 with the total US market, less closely than 87% of stocks worth at least $300 million. JNJ moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.19 over the past 5 years against 0.65 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- CAH (Cardinal Health, health care distribution) and MCK (McKesson, health care distribution) were ahead of JNJ in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (24.7% and 25.0% volatility against 17.9%).
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 18 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than JNJ with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them KO (Coca-Cola), AVLV (Avantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF) and DFIV (Dimensional - International Value ETF).
How much would $10,000 in JNJ have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in JNJ over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of JNJ over the same span and JNJ's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in JNJ at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $189,226 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of JNJ, and GILD finished highest, at $1,571,438.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 311 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of JNJ; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- GILD$2M+15,614% total · +19.1% a year
- AMGN$526,909+5,169% total · +14.6% a year
- LLY$396,376+3,864% total · +13.5% a year
- BIIB$323,632+3,136% total · +12.7% a year
- TMO$235,386+2,254% total · +11.5% a year
- JNJ$189,226+1,792% total · +10.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- NVS$105,143+951% total · +8.5% a year
- MRK$82,561+726% total · +7.6% a year
- VTRS$23,883+139% total · +3.0% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 923 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of JNJ; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- ABBV$29,134+191% total · +23.8% a year
- GILD$25,496+155% total · +20.6% a year
- AMGN$23,160+132% total · +18.3% a year
- MRK$22,538+125% total · +17.6% a year
- NVS$21,146+111% total · +16.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- JNJ$18,849+88.5% total · +13.5% a year
- VTRS$16,124+61.2% total · +10.0% a year
- TMO$11,986+19.9% total · +3.7% a year
JNJ at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- JNJ's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 38.1%, from August to October 1987. It took 19 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, JNJ's best was 2025, when it returned 47.5%, and its worst was 2023, when it lost 8.6%. It lost money in eight of those years.
- JNJ is 6.9% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $625B
- Industry
- Drug Manufacturers - General
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +36.9%total return
- Past 3 years
- +84.6%+22.7% a year
- Past 5 years
- +82.1%+12.7% a year
- Past 10 years
- +196%+11.5% a year
- Best calendar year
- +47.5%2025
- Worst calendar year
- −8.6%2023
- Losing years
- 8 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 17.9%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.76return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −38.1%Aug 1987 to Oct 1987
- From its all-time high
- −6.9%below the peak
JNJ against the whole market
Where JNJ ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does JNJ rank among all stocks?
This section ranks JNJ on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how JNJ stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- JNJ's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 1% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | JNJ | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +36.9% | 801 of 3,287 | top 24% |
| 3-year return | +84.6% | 1,077 of 3,017 | top 36% |
| 5-year return | +82.1% | 803 of 2,893 | top 28% |
| 10-year return | +196% | 876 of 2,202 | top 40% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 17.9% | 45 of 2,893 | top 2% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.76 | 343 of 2,893 | top 12% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −27.4% | 10 of 2,187 | top 1% |
What has beaten JNJ on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). JNJ sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than JNJ with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- One stock and 17 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than JNJ over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half JNJ's swings, LVHI has the best return for its risk: 17.0% a year at 11.1% volatility, 38% less than JNJ's 17.9%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.48 against 0.76 for JNJ.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to JNJ; faint dots are 11 more of the 18 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× JNJ's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than JNJ?
Investments that beat JNJ over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among JNJ's popular alternatives, LLY, ABBV and GILD were ahead of JNJ in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (32.8%, 23.4% and 24.9% volatility against 17.9%).
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, CAH (health care distribution) and MCK (health care distribution) were ahead of JNJ in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (24.7% and 25.0% volatility against 17.9%).
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 18 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than JNJ with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them KO, AVLV and DFIV.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat JNJ over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks JNJ's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than JNJ follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than JNJ's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× JNJ's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than JNJ's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with JNJ?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.19 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 5 shownThe investments people most often weigh against JNJ. 5 of 21 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.60 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.40 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.60 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | 0.49 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 3 shownEverything else in Pharmaceuticals and the categories next to it (Biotechnology, Health Care Distribution, Life Sciences Tools, Medical Devices), plus JNJ's specific themes. 3 of 103 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.39 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.27 | — | ||
RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc · Pharmaceuticals | Higher return in most periods | +13.3% | 23.8% | 0.65 | −49.7% | — | 0.39 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 108 of 3,509 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.56 | — | ||
DIVBiShares Core Dividend ETF · Dividend & Income | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +13.9% | 15.4% | 0.93 | −36.9% | — | 0.38 | 0.05% | |
FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.19 | 0.38% | |
SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.17 | 0.80% | |
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.54 | 0.40% | |
VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +15.9% | 18.4% | 0.90 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.28 | 0.15% | |
| Higher return in most periods | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.53 | — | ||
IWXiShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF · Broad Market | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +12.7% | 13.8% | 0.94 | −35.8% | +221% | 0.44 | 0.20% | |
What these numbers mean for JNJ
- Annual return
- JNJ returned 12.7% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $18,200. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- JNJ's volatility over the past 5 years was 17.9%, 1.0 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, JNJ's return lands within 17.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- JNJ's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.76, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so JNJ earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- JNJ's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 27.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 27.4% fall takes a 37.7% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, JNJ's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.19 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against JNJ instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a JNJ holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 18 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than JNJ with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 15 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with JNJ | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.56 | — | |
| 2 | DIVBiShares Core Dividend ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +13.9% | 15.4% | 0.93 | −36.9% | — | 0.38 | 0.05% |
| 3 | IUSInvesco RAFI Strategic US ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.7% | 14.9% | 1.00 | −34.7% | — | 0.35 | 0.19% |
| 4 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.19 | 0.38% |
| 5 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.54 | 0.40% |
| 6 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.39 | 0.27% |
| 7 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.34 | 0.15% |
| 8 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.34 | 0.56% |
| 9 | FDLFirst Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 14.4% | 0.98 | −41.4% | +199% | 0.55 | 0.43% |
| 10 | EMLPFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +14.9% | 14.5% | 1.04 | −43.6% | +150% | 0.41 | 0.95% |
| 11 | USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.1% | 16.4% | 0.89 | −30.0% | — | 0.16 | 0.12% |
| 12 | GCOWPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04 | −37.6% | +168% | 0.46 | 0.60% |
| 13 | DGTState Street SPDR Global Dow ETF · International | Whole market | +13.8% | 15.1% | 0.94 | −34.4% | +261% | 0.36 | 0.50% |
| 14 | IDOGALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 15.6% | 0.93 | −37.3% | +180% | 0.37 | 0.50% |
| 15 | VSLUApplied Finance Valuation Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.7% | 16.2% | 0.88 | −23.8% | — | 0.22 | 0.49% |
JNJ against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against JNJ, compared period by period and year by year.
How do JNJ's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at JNJ, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 21 popular alternatives earned more than JNJ over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 15 of the 21 popular alternatives earned less than JNJ over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, JNJ returned 12.7% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (17.9% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than JNJ with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| LLY Eli Lilly and Company | +40.7% | 32.8% |
| ABBV AbbVie Inc. | +26.1% | 23.4% |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | +22.8% | 24.9% |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | +19.6% | 24.9% |
| NVS Novartis AG | +17.2% | 20.7% |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | +16.3% | 24.8% |
| JNJ This pageJohnson & Johnson | +12.7% | 17.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited | +11.8% | 19.4% |
| VTRS Viatris Inc. | +10.4% | 33.6% |
| GSK GSK plc | +9.5% | 24.5% |
| AZN AstraZeneca PLC | +8.7% | 35.7% |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | +7.7% | 31.1% |
| BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Company | +5.5% | 24.9% |
| ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | +5.2% | 34.6% |
| SYK Stryker Corporation | +3.2% | 25.7% |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | +2.9% | 27.8% |
| SNY Sanofi | +0.6% | 25.3% |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | −1.7% | 23.1% |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | −1.7% | 25.4% |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | −1.8% | 34.7% |
| MDT Medtronic Plc | −1.8% | 22.5% |
| NVO Novo Nordisk A/S | −4.0% | 39.1% |
Has JNJ consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares JNJ with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than JNJ helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Five of the 21 popular alternatives, led by LLY, ABBV and AMGN, outperformed JNJ in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- LLY and ABBV outperformed JNJ in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- NVS and AMGN earned more for the risk they took than JNJ (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than JNJ over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson (this page) | — | −3.8% | +4.8% | +13.6% | +27.1% | +36.9% | +84.6% | +82.1% | +196% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | — | $625B | — |
| LLY QualifiedEli Lilly and Company | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +12.1% | +40.0% | +19.4% | +59.7% | +124% | +451% | +1,807% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | — | $1.2T | — |
| ABBV QualifiedAbbVie Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +9.9% | +14.8% | +43.8% | +29.8% | +28.3% | +118% | +218% | +603% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | — | $511B | — |
| AMGN QualifiedAmgen Inc. | 5/5 short2/3 long | +11.6% | +21.2% | +27.0% | +36.7% | +48.7% | +72.2% | +145% | +266% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | — | $237B | — |
| MRK QualifiedMerck & Co., Inc. | 5/5 short2/3 long | −0.8% | +19.9% | +28.3% | +42.2% | +76.8% | +58.3% | +113% | +241% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | — | $366B | — |
| GILD QualifiedGilead Sciences, Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +4.0% | +18.2% | +16.6% | +31.0% | +30.3% | +121% | +180% | +200% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | — | $194B | — |
| NVS Drug Manufacturers - GeneralNovartis AG | 1/5 short2/3 long | +9.0% | +2.7% | +1.8% | +13.1% | +18.8% | +75.9% | +121% | +226% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | — | $292B | — |
| VTRS Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericViatris Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +9.1% | +10.6% | +27.3% | +53.1% | +87.1% | +127% | +64.3% | −38.0% | 33.6% | 0.47 | −82.0% | — | $21B | — |
| TMO Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | +4.3% | +30.7% | +30.9% | +16.3% | +26.8% | +49.5% | +15.1% | +366% | 27.8% | 0.24 | −40.9% | — | $254B | — |
| ISRG Medical - Instruments & SuppliesIntuitive Surgical, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | +9.0% | +24.0% | −5.9% | −22.1% | −4.5% | +64.1% | +28.9% | +478% | 34.6% | 0.32 | −49.9% | — | $155B | — |
| AZN Drug Manufacturers - GeneralAstraZeneca PLC | 1/5 short1/3 long | +0.4% | +3.3% | −15.3% | −7.0% | +1.8% | +38.8% | +52.1% | +257% | 35.7% | 0.41 | −28.7% | — | $262B | — |
| ABT Medical - DevicesAbbott Laboratories | 1/5 short1/3 long | +0.3% | +1.6% | +8.4% | −15.3% | −18.7% | +13.0% | −8.0% | +204% | 23.1% | 0.04 | −39.6% | — | $178B | — |
| TAK Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited | 5/5 short0/3 long | +8.6% | +20.3% | +16.9% | +33.6% | +48.2% | +56.1% | +75.1% | +30.4% | 19.4% | 0.68 | −54.4% | — | $64B | — |
| BIIB Drug Manufacturers - GeneralBiogen Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +11.0% | +21.6% | +32.6% | +36.7% | +65.8% | −5.6% | −8.8% | −18.9% | 34.7% | 0.11 | −72.7% | — | $36B | — |
| REGN BiotechnologyRegeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +1.2% | +20.3% | +8.0% | +4.4% | +40.7% | +0.8% | +44.9% | +120% | 31.1% | 0.40 | −59.7% | — | $83B | — |
| BMY Drug Manufacturers - GeneralBristol-Myers Squibb Company | 2/5 short0/3 long | −0.5% | +3.6% | +6.6% | +19.1% | +47.8% | +25.8% | +30.6% | +74.8% | 24.9% | 0.34 | −47.7% | — | $126B | — |
| PFE Drug Manufacturers - GeneralPfizer Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +8.5% | +23.8% | +13.2% | +25.7% | +30.5% | +19.2% | −8.3% | +55.0% | 25.4% | 0.06 | −58.9% | — | $172B | — |
| MDT Medical - DevicesMedtronic Plc | 2/5 short0/3 long | +4.0% | +14.5% | +13.3% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +43.6% | −8.8% | +46.7% | 22.5% | 0.03 | −45.1% | — | $121B | — |
| SYK Medical - DevicesStryker Corporation | 1/5 short0/3 long | +11.4% | −4.3% | −9.5% | −11.8% | −19.2% | +18.0% | +17.2% | +197% | 25.7% | 0.25 | −43.8% | — | $117B | — |
| NVO Drug Manufacturers - GeneralNovo Nordisk A/S | 1/5 short0/3 long | −1.1% | −20.0% | −1.5% | −23.9% | −28.5% | −57.0% | −18.5% | +134% | 39.1% | 0.09 | −75.2% | — | $174B | — |
| GSK Drug Manufacturers - GeneralGSK plc | 1/5 short0/3 long | −0.9% | +2.1% | −10.1% | +4.7% | +18.9% | +60.0% | +57.2% | +95.1% | 24.5% | 0.49 | −37.6% | — | $102B | — |
| SNY Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSanofi | 1/5 short0/3 long | −2.6% | −5.9% | −10.3% | −10.7% | −13.4% | −10.0% | +3.0% | +61.5% | 25.3% | 0.15 | −33.5% | — | $99B | — |
How did JNJ do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where JNJ ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with JNJ and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- JNJ finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 12 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, ABBV came out ahead of JNJ most often, in nine of the 13 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, JNJ finished in the top quarter in three of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 2 of 22.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of JNJ; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places JNJ among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of JNJ | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNJ This pageJohnson & Johnson | — | +47.5% | −4.8% | −8.6% | +6.0% | +11.4% | +10.8% | +16.2% | −5.1% | +24.4% | +15.3% | +1.2% | +17.3% | +34.6% | +10.8% | +9.9% | −0.6% | +11.3% | −7.7% | +3.6% | +12.4% | −3.4% | +25.2% | −2.0% | −7.9% | +14.0% | +14.2% | +12.5% | +29.0% | +34.3% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 3 of 29 | 2 of 22 | 16 of 22 | 20 of 22 | 13 of 22 | 12 of 22 | 9 of 22 | 15 of 22 | 16 of 22 | 9 of 22 | 3 of 22 | 13 of 22 | 14 of 22 | 11 of 22 | 15 of 21 | 12 of 21 | 14 of 21 | 15 of 21 | 7 of 20 | 12 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 15 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 18 of 20 | 6 of 19 | 7 of 19 | 15 of 18 | 6 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 11 of 18 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 14 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 16 of 29 | +40.3% | +33.3% | +60.9% | +34.3% | +66.1% | +31.0% | +16.2% | +40.5% | +17.8% | −10.4% | +25.4% | +39.8% | +7.3% | +24.2% | +25.2% | +3.6% | −6.2% | −21.3% | +5.7% | −5.2% | +2.6% | −17.6% | +13.1% | −17.6% | −14.4% | +41.9% | −24.3% | +29.1% | +93.6% |
| ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 9 of 13 | +33.1% | +18.9% | −0.2% | +24.0% | +32.4% | +27.7% | +1.5% | −1.0% | +60.1% | +9.8% | −6.5% | +27.9% | +60.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 13 of 29 | +29.7% | −6.8% | +13.5% | +20.4% | +0.9% | −2.0% | +27.6% | +15.2% | +22.3% | −7.6% | +4.0% | +42.3% | +34.8% | +36.8% | +18.2% | −3.0% | −2.0% | +24.3% | −32.0% | −13.4% | +22.9% | +3.8% | +27.8% | −14.4% | −11.7% | +6.5% | +130% | +93.3% | −0.4% |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 14 of 29 | +9.8% | −6.3% | +1.0% | +49.4% | +1.8% | −7.2% | +22.3% | +40.0% | −1.5% | +15.0% | −3.9% | +16.9% | +26.9% | +13.1% | +9.6% | +2.9% | +26.7% | −45.3% | +37.3% | +42.8% | +4.0% | −27.7% | −11.2% | −1.2% | −36.0% | +41.8% | −7.7% | +41.6% | +35.7% |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 19 of 29 | +36.6% | +18.7% | −2.0% | +23.6% | +29.9% | −6.7% | +7.9% | −9.9% | +3.0% | −27.6% | +8.6% | +25.5% | +105% | +79.5% | +12.9% | −16.3% | −15.4% | +11.2% | +41.7% | +23.4% | +50.2% | +20.1% | +71.4% | +3.6% | +58.2% | +53.9% | +31.7% | +6.7% | +53.6% |
| NVS Novartis AG | 15 of 29 | +46.0% | −0.5% | +21.1% | +6.6% | −5.0% | +2.2% | +29.1% | +6.2% | +19.8% | −11.8% | −4.3% | +19.4% | +32.2% | +16.1% | +1.5% | +12.6% | +14.6% | −5.4% | −3.4% | +11.3% | +6.0% | +12.3% | +27.5% | +2.1% | −17.2% | +30.6% | −24.1% | +21.9% | +52.9% |
| VTRS Viatris Inc. | 12 of 29 | +5.0% | +19.7% | +2.0% | −14.3% | −26.2% | −6.8% | −26.6% | −35.2% | +10.9% | −29.4% | −4.1% | +29.9% | +58.1% | +27.9% | +1.6% | +14.6% | +86.4% | −29.7% | −29.1% | +1.1% | +14.2% | −29.6% | +63.5% | −6.4% | +49.9% | +0.7% | −19.5% | +51.3% | +27.1% |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 17 of 29 | +11.8% | −1.7% | −3.4% | −17.3% | +43.5% | +43.7% | +45.6% | +18.2% | +35.0% | −0.1% | +13.8% | +13.1% | +75.8% | +43.2% | −18.8% | +16.1% | +40.0% | −40.9% | +27.4% | +50.3% | −0.2% | +19.8% | +25.3% | −15.7% | +5.6% | +98.2% | −11.4% | −61.5% | +6.7% |
| ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | 17 of 25 | +8.5% | +54.7% | +27.1% | −26.2% | +31.8% | +38.4% | +23.4% | +31.2% | +72.7% | +16.1% | +3.3% | +37.7% | −21.7% | +5.9% | +79.6% | −15.0% | +139% | −60.7% | +237% | −18.2% | +193% | +134% | +38.7% | −38.6% | +18.0% | — | — | — | — |
| AZN AstraZeneca PLC | 14 of 29 | +38.0% | −1.2% | +0.8% | +20.4% | +17.9% | +2.9% | +37.4% | +13.9% | +35.3% | −16.7% | +0.1% | +24.6% | +32.0% | +8.6% | +6.0% | +3.5% | +20.4% | +0.3% | −17.1% | +12.7% | +36.9% | −22.0% | +38.2% | −23.2% | −7.9% | +28.7% | −5.3% | +27.0% | +31.8% |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | 18 of 29 | +12.9% | +4.8% | +2.3% | −20.7% | +30.5% | +28.1% | +22.1% | +29.1% | +52.0% | −12.3% | +1.9% | +20.1% | +24.3% | +20.3% | +21.8% | −8.3% | +4.6% | −2.5% | +18.1% | +26.9% | −13.5% | +9.2% | +19.3% | −26.8% | +17.0% | +35.8% | −24.7% | +51.9% | +31.4% |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited | 7 of 17 | +22.7% | −3.2% | −4.8% | +20.1% | −21.6% | −3.0% | +22.1% | −38.8% | +41.3% | −14.0% | +24.4% | −6.5% | +7.4% | +5.8% | −5.0% | +21.2% | −16.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | 15 of 29 | +15.1% | −40.9% | −6.6% | +15.4% | −2.0% | −17.5% | −1.4% | −5.5% | +12.3% | −7.4% | −9.8% | +21.4% | +91.0% | +33.0% | +64.1% | +25.3% | +12.3% | −16.3% | +15.7% | +8.6% | −32.0% | +81.5% | +10.6% | −51.9% | +9.1% | +93.0% | +318% | +36.6% | +44.7% |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 17 of 29 | +9.0% | −18.9% | +21.7% | +14.2% | +30.7% | +28.7% | +0.5% | −0.7% | +2.4% | −32.4% | +32.3% | +49.0% | +60.9% | +209% | +68.8% | +35.8% | +31.7% | −24.0% | +20.3% | +26.2% | +72.7% | −37.4% | −20.6% | −34.3% | −20.2% | +177% | +72.8% | −13.8% | −46.9% |
| BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Company | 15 of 29 | +0.1% | +15.8% | −26.1% | +19.0% | +2.9% | +0.4% | +27.7% | −12.9% | +7.7% | −13.5% | +19.3% | +14.2% | +70.0% | −3.8% | +39.4% | +8.8% | +14.8% | −6.1% | +4.8% | +19.9% | −6.2% | −7.2% | +29.1% | −52.4% | −26.2% | +17.1% | −2.8% | +42.9% | +77.1% |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | 12 of 29 | +0.6% | −2.2% | −41.3% | −10.4% | +66.7% | +3.4% | −6.7% | +25.1% | +16.1% | +4.4% | +7.3% | +5.4% | +26.5% | +20.6% | +28.8% | +0.6% | +8.1% | −16.9% | −8.2% | +15.3% | −10.6% | −22.3% | +17.7% | −22.2% | −12.5% | +43.0% | −21.5% | +68.8% | +82.0% |
| MDT Medtronic Plc | 13 of 29 | +24.0% | +0.3% | +9.6% | −22.6% | −9.8% | +5.7% | +27.3% | +15.2% | +15.3% | −5.4% | +8.6% | +28.1% | +42.8% | +10.6% | +5.8% | −13.8% | +42.6% | −36.3% | −5.2% | −6.3% | +16.8% | +2.7% | +7.3% | −10.3% | −14.8% | +66.4% | −1.5% | +42.1% | +55.3% |
| SYK Stryker Corporation | 20 of 29 | −1.5% | +21.3% | +23.8% | −7.4% | +10.2% | +18.2% | +35.3% | +2.4% | +30.8% | +30.7% | 0.0% | +27.4% | +39.3% | +12.1% | −6.1% | +7.9% | +26.7% | −46.0% | +36.2% | +24.5% | −7.7% | +13.7% | +26.8% | +15.2% | +15.6% | +45.6% | +26.6% | +47.9% | +25.0% |
| NVO Novo Nordisk A/S | 17 of 29 | −39.2% | −15.9% | +54.8% | +22.6% | +63.5% | +23.3% | +28.7% | −11.8% | +54.3% | −36.6% | +39.3% | +16.7% | +15.3% | +44.0% | +4.1% | +79.3% | +27.2% | −19.8% | +57.4% | +51.3% | +5.6% | +34.6% | +43.5% | −27.0% | +14.4% | +39.0% | −1.9% | −7.3% | +54.9% |
| GSK GSK plc | 11 of 29 | +51.3% | −5.2% | +9.8% | −16.8% | +27.1% | −17.7% | +29.2% | +13.8% | −3.0% | +2.1% | −0.3% | −15.7% | +28.9% | +0.6% | +22.7% | −2.1% | +19.2% | −22.2% | −0.8% | +7.9% | +9.9% | +5.6% | +28.8% | −21.6% | −9.7% | +4.1% | −17.9% | +48.2% | +55.8% |
| SNY Sanofi | 9 of 23 | +4.9% | +1.1% | +6.5% | +0.5% | +7.0% | +0.4% | +20.5% | +6.0% | +9.9% | −1.2% | −3.4% | −11.9% | +17.1% | +36.0% | +18.8% | −13.4% | +28.7% | −26.5% | +1.0% | +7.2% | +11.6% | +8.2% | +26.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How JNJ has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were JNJ's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents JNJ's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: JNJ fell 36.3% from November 1999 to March 2000, while the S&P 500 slipped only 2.7%.
- The slowest recovery came after JNJ fell 35.9% from March to July 2002; it did not regain that peak until December 2004, two years later.
- In two of JNJ's three worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
Green means JNJ fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | JNJ fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No named crash | −38.1% | — | Aug 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 months | May 1989 | 19 months |
| No named crash | −36.4% | — | Jan 1992 | Aug 1993 | 19 months | Oct 1994 | 14 months |
| No named crash | −36.3% | −2.7% | Nov 1999 | Mar 2000 | 4 months | Dec 2000 | 9 months |
| Dot-com bust | −35.9% | −27.6% | Mar 2002 | Jul 2002 | 4 months | Dec 2004 | 2.4 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −34.4% | −45.6% | Sep 2008 | Mar 2009 | 6 months | May 2011 | 2.2 years |
How did JNJ do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far JNJ, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- JNJ fell less than the S&P 500 in nine of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when JNJ fell 34.4% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than JNJ in most of the crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than JNJ.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNJ This pageJohnson & Johnson | — | −1.1% | −12.7% | −25.4% | −16.9% | −8.2% | −9.0% | −9.8% | −0.1% | −34.4% | −35.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 4 of 10 | −0.6% | −11.7% | −16.9% | −10.2% | −8.6% | −19.6% | −10.9% | 0.0% | −50.0% | −54.3% |
| ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 1 of 6 | −1.5% | −21.9% | −32.1% | −18.1% | −5.8% | −29.8% | — | — | — | — |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 5 of 10 | −1.2% | −11.9% | −18.3% | −14.3% | −7.4% | −22.1% | −12.6% | −0.5% | −31.3% | −60.2% |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 4 of 10 | −2.4% | −10.8% | −19.3% | −9.7% | −6.6% | −18.2% | −17.4% | −2.3% | −63.3% | −57.5% |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −1.6% | −20.0% | −13.7% | −22.7% | −5.5% | −28.7% | −18.2% | −2.1% | −34.3% | −53.6% |
| NVS Novartis AG | 3 of 10 | −1.1% | −20.4% | −25.5% | −9.9% | −6.6% | −30.1% | −14.5% | −2.6% | −41.7% | −25.7% |
| VTRS Viatris Inc. | 1 of 10 | −6.9% | −43.3% | −37.3% | −32.8% | −6.8% | −31.9% | −32.4% | −0.1% | −64.4% | −47.3% |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 1 of 10 | −2.4% | −19.8% | −24.8% | −17.2% | −8.7% | −14.7% | −24.4% | −3.6% | −53.9% | −41.8% |
| ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | 0 of 9 | −2.7% | −47.6% | −40.5% | −24.3% | −8.4% | −14.7% | −20.6% | −3.8% | −75.9% | — |
| AZN AstraZeneca PLC | 4 of 10 | −0.5% | −25.7% | −22.6% | −11.4% | −6.4% | −18.0% | −16.4% | −1.1% | −37.4% | −43.5% |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | 2 of 10 | −2.5% | −27.9% | −29.7% | −11.7% | −8.8% | −27.4% | −11.5% | −0.5% | −22.3% | −45.7% |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited | 3 of 8 | −0.6% | −14.8% | −31.5% | −27.9% | −6.5% | −17.0% | −5.6% | −3.7% | — | — |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | 1 of 10 | −2.5% | −22.4% | −21.2% | −21.7% | −9.3% | −24.6% | −19.4% | −0.6% | −52.7% | −59.8% |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −0.2% | −25.8% | −12.7% | −17.3% | −7.3% | −37.7% | −23.2% | −7.2% | −49.9% | −71.6% |
| BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Company | 1 of 10 | −2.3% | −16.0% | −29.4% | −22.9% | −4.1% | −16.3% | −10.5% | 0.0% | −39.2% | −69.5% |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | 2 of 10 | −1.8% | −24.6% | −21.8% | −12.3% | −8.1% | −18.2% | −16.1% | −1.8% | −49.8% | −46.0% |
| MDT Medtronic Plc | 2 of 10 | −2.1% | −27.9% | −36.0% | −13.8% | −7.2% | −17.6% | −18.0% | −1.5% | −56.5% | −44.2% |
| SYK Stryker Corporation | 1 of 10 | −1.4% | −31.4% | −43.8% | −18.8% | −8.8% | −15.6% | −23.0% | −3.8% | −58.6% | −26.9% |
| NVO Novo Nordisk A/S | 3 of 10 | −1.1% | −21.4% | −23.7% | −13.8% | −3.9% | −20.8% | −23.1% | −1.7% | −40.9% | −51.0% |
| GSK GSK plc | 3 of 10 | −0.3% | −37.6% | −26.5% | −11.5% | −4.3% | −15.7% | −12.4% | −2.0% | −46.6% | −45.1% |
| SNY Sanofi | 2 of 9 | −0.5% | −33.5% | −25.2% | −9.0% | −9.8% | −30.2% | −20.7% | −2.8% | −46.6% | — |
How closely does JNJ move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares JNJ with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, JNJ captured 64% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 53% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.46. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- LLY took just 6% of the S&P 500's losses, against 53% for JNJ, while still keeping 101% of its gains.
- Five of the 21 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than JNJ's 1.20, led by LLY, ABBV and AZN.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than JNJ's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNJ This pageJohnson & Johnson | 64% | 53% | 1.20 | 0.46 |
| LLY Eli Lilly and Company | 101% | 6% | 15.73 | 0.37 |
| ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 92% | 57% | 1.62 | 0.54 |
| AZN AstraZeneca PLC | 60% | 39% | 1.52 | 0.39 |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 52% | 36% | 1.44 | 0.35 |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 64% | 46% | 1.39 | 0.30 |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 74% | 64% | 1.16 | 0.54 |
| NVS Novartis AG | 69% | 64% | 1.08 | 0.49 |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 104% | 104% | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| ABT Abbott Laboratories | 76% | 79% | 0.96 | 0.64 |
| ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. | 136% | 154% | 0.88 | 1.28 |
| SYK Stryker Corporation | 82% | 96% | 0.86 | 0.88 |
| REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 55% | 66% | 0.84 | 0.19 |
| GSK GSK plc | 51% | 61% | 0.82 | 0.52 |
| NVO Novo Nordisk A/S | 75% | 94% | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb Company | 55% | 75% | 0.73 | 0.41 |
| SNY Sanofi | 53% | 74% | 0.72 | 0.46 |
| PFE Pfizer Inc. | 52% | 81% | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| MDT Medtronic Plc | 62% | 105% | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited | 34% | 58% | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| VTRS Viatris Inc. | 74% | 179% | 0.41 | 1.14 |
| BIIB Biogen Inc. | 35% | 91% | 0.38 | 0.28 |
What diversifies JNJ?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with JNJ's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing JNJ with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in JNJ into DXJ would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 15% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+13.5% for JNJ alone, +16.4% for the mix).
- FIX made money in six of the eight calendar years in which JNJ lost money.
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and SMH have moved largely independently of JNJ over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.41 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which JNJ lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% JNJ and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2023 | 2018 | 2010 | 2008 | 2005 | 2003 | 2002 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson (this page) | 1.00 | +82.1% | 0.76 | −4.8% | −8.6% | −5.1% | −0.6% | −7.7% | −3.4% | −2.0% | −7.9% | 17.7% | +13.5% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.28 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +42.0% | −19.8% | −1.8% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 15.1% | +16.4% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.41 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +8.0% | −8.7% | — | — | — | — | — | 15.6% | +14.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.03 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | +73.4% | −9.1% | +19.0% | −44.7% | +10.8% | +87.3% | −47.0% | 15.6% | +19.4% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.39 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +20.1% | −9.5% | — | — | — | — | — | 15.1% | +13.8% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.18 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | +12.7% | −1.9% | +29.3% | +4.9% | +17.8% | — | — | 15.1% | +14.9% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.17 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | +17.6% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 15.4% | +15.6% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.32 | +177% | 0.93 | +5.6% | −0.6% | −18.2% | +21.9% | −39.0% | +40.1% | +25.9% | −14.8% | 16.6% | +16.0% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.39 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +7.2% | +17.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.6% | +14.2% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2023 | 2018 | 2010 | 2008 | 2005 | 2003 | 2002 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson (this page) | 1.00 | +82.1% | 0.76 | −4.8% | −8.6% | −5.1% | −0.6% | −7.7% | −3.4% | −2.0% | −7.9% | 17.7% | +13.5% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.39 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +34.1% | −24.5% | +21.4% | −39.6% | +18.7% | +3.5% | −8.3% | 16.9% | +18.6% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.10 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +160% | −16.3% | +2.8% | −20.5% | −25.2% | +6.9% | −65.1% | 17.4% | +32.2% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.11 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +79.6% | +0.8% | +8.7% | −15.2% | +20.1% | +63.6% | −9.4% | 17.6% | +27.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.27 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +24.1% | −28.4% | +13.8% | −40.4% | +64.9% | +19.9% | −27.2% | 16.3% | +18.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.20 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +30.4% | −8.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 16.7% | +20.8% |
Common questions
What was JNJ's worst drawdown?
JNJ's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 38.1%, from August to October 1987. It took 19 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were JNJ's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, JNJ's best year was 2025, when it returned 47.5%. Its worst was 2023, with a return of -8.6%.
Is there a better investment than JNJ?
Among JNJ's popular alternatives, LLY, ABBV and GILD were ahead of JNJ in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (32.8%, 23.4% and 24.9% volatility against 17.9%). Looking beyond its popular alternatives, CAH (health care distribution) and MCK (health care distribution) were ahead of JNJ in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (24.7% and 25.0% volatility against 17.9%).
Is JNJ more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. JNJ's volatility over the past 5 years was 17.9%, 1.0 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, JNJ's return lands within 17.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is JNJ's Sharpe ratio?
JNJ's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.76, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so JNJ earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is JNJ with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, JNJ's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.19 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against JNJ instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a JNJ holding.
What are the best alternatives to JNJ?
Of the 21 popular alternatives we compared, five outperformed JNJ in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: LLY, ABBV and AMGN.
Did JNJ outperform the S&P 500?
JNJ finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 12 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +47.5%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did JNJ do in stock market crashes?
JNJ fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in nine of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in one. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when JNJ fell 34.4% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies JNJ?
These had a low correlation with JNJ over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.28), EMLP (correlation 0.41) and SMH (correlation -0.03); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.39), CLS (correlation -0.10) and FIX (correlation 0.11). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than JNJ's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of JNJ's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.