Relative Intelligence · Banks

How Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on TD alone. It places TD (The Toronto-Dominion Bank) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where TD stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: TD's full trading record, from August 1996 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowTD has outpaced the market, rising 16.3% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Not every peer went the same way. Over the past 6 months, BNS (Bank of Nova Scotia) rose 22.4% and BAC (Bank of America) fell 5.2%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?TD held up far better than its industry: it rose 2.1% over the past 3 months while the banks ETF KBE (State Street SPDR S&P Bank ETF) fell 6.8%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its bank peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: BNS (Bank of Nova Scotia) rose 6.9%, while BAC (Bank of America) fell 15.8%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, TD rose 57.5% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (141% against 89.3%). TD lagged its bank peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termThe past 5 years have been the better stretch: TD rose 109% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. On the flip side, TD turned $10,000 into $41,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, TD has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. That said, in the 2022 bear market, TD held up better than JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.), BAC and HSBC; only RY (Royal Bank of Canada) and SMFG fell less. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, TD has a correlation of 0.55 over 5 years, more closely than 83% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years, TD's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.88: 89% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 80% of its losses in falling ones. Market capture ↓
- Better optionsFew investments have done better on both counts: only 13 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TD with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them RY (Royal Bank of Canada), GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) and IAU (iShares Gold Trust). On the flip side, looking beyond its popular alternatives, V (Visa, payment processing) and CBOE (Cboe Global Markets, capital markets) fell less than TD in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade. Better options ↓
How much would $10,000 in TD have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in TD over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of TD over the same span and TD's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in TD at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $422,896 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of TD, and AAPL finished highest, at $20,534,853.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 135 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TD; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$21M+205,249% total · +30.1% a year
- AMZN$11M+114,749% total · +27.5% a year
- MU$629,766+6,198% total · +15.4% a year
- MSFT$508,386+4,984% total · +14.5% a year
- RY$442,765+4,328% total · +14.0% a year
- TD$422,896+4,129% total · +13.8% a year
- JPM$189,407+1,794% total · +10.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- ING$45,632+356% total · +5.4% a year
- MUFG$22,774+128% total · +2.9% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 655 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TD; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SMFG$44,827+348% total · +35.0% a year
- MUFG$44,537+345% total · +34.8% a year
- MFC$28,001+180% total · +22.9% a year
- CM$25,433+154% total · +20.5% a year
- CBOE$23,731+137% total · +18.9% a year
- RY$23,646+136% total · +18.8% a year
- GLD$23,190+132% total · +18.3% a year
- JPM$22,905+129% total · +18.0% a year
- TD$21,998+120% total · +17.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
TD at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- TD's deepest decline since it began trading in 1996 was 64.1%, from October 2007 to February 2009. It took 13 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, TD's best was 2009, when it returned 85.4%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 46.8%. It lost money in eight of those years.
- TD is 1.5% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $206B
- Industry
- Banks - Diversified
- Price history from
- August 1996
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +57.5%total return
- Past 3 years
- +141%+34.1% a year
- Past 5 years
- +109%+15.8% a year
- Past 10 years
- +310%+15.1% a year
- Best calendar year
- +85.4%2009
- Worst calendar year
- −46.8%2008
- Losing years
- 8 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 20.0%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.84return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −64.1%Oct 2007 to Feb 2009
- From its all-time high
- −1.5%below the peak
TD against the whole market
Where TD ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does TD rank among all stocks?
This section ranks TD on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how TD stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- TD is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 3% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | TD | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +57.5% | 448 of 3,287 | top 14% |
| 3-year return | +141% | 649 of 3,017 | top 22% |
| 5-year return | +109% | 636 of 2,893 | top 22% |
| 10-year return | +310% | 560 of 2,202 | top 25% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 20.0% | 93 of 2,893 | top 3% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.84 | 242 of 2,893 | top 8% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −42.0% | 200 of 2,187 | top 9% |
What has beaten TD on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). TD sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than TD with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Two stocks and 11 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than TD over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half TD's swings, LVHI has the best return for its risk: 17.0% a year at 11.1% volatility, 45% less than TD's 20.0%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.48 against 0.84 for TD. MPLX earned the most, 23.5% a year, while still swinging less than TD (18.8% against 20.0%).
- Among TD's popular alternatives, RY is in the region. RY earned 17.3% a year against 15.8% a year for TD, at 18.2% volatility, 9% less than TD's 20.0%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to TD; faint dots are 2 more of the 13 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than TD?
Investments that beat TD over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among TD's popular alternatives, RY earned more than TD with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 15.8% a year at 20.0%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, V (payment processing) and CBOE (capital markets) fell less than TD in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 13 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TD with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them RY, GLD and IAU.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat TD over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks TD's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than TD follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than TD's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× TD's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than TD's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with TD?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.55 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against TD. 3 of 22 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.74 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.50 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.69 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 3 shownEverything else in Banks and the categories next to it (Regional Banks, Capital Markets, Payment Processing, Asset Management), plus TD's specific themes. 3 of 122 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.41 | — | ||
CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Smaller losses in recent crashes | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.07 | — | |
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +8.9% | 24.7% | 0.47 | −38.3% | +407% | 0.26 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 81 of 3,489 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.51 | 0.40% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.12 | 0.40% | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.24 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.35 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.42 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.26 | — | ||
CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.35 | 0.61% | |
PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Similar return, lower volatility | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.64 | 0.56% | |
What these numbers mean for TD
- Annual return
- TD returned 15.8% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $20,900. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- TD's volatility over the past 5 years was 20.0%, 1.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TD's return lands within 20.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- TD's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.84, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TD earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- TD's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 42.0%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 42.0% fall takes a 72.4% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, TD's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.55 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TD instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TD holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 13 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than TD with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 6 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with TD | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.51 | 0.40% |
| 2 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.12 | 0.40% | |
| 3 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.35 | — | |
| 4 | Popular alternative | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.74 | — | |
| 5 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.13 | 0.80% |
| 6 | TPYPTortoise North American Pipeline ETF · Energy | Whole market | +16.9% | 17.3% | 0.99 | −51.9% | +184% | 0.41 | 0.40% |
TD against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against TD, compared period by period and year by year.
How do TD's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at TD, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only RY was both more rewarding and calmer than TD over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, TD returned 15.8% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (20.0% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than TD with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | +33.7% | 29.4% |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | +33.2% | 29.4% |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | +33.1% | 25.9% |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | +31.6% | 33.9% |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | +24.7% | 31.1% |
| MFC Manulife Financial Corporation | +22.6% | 24.0% |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | +22.1% | 37.4% |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | +19.2% | 21.6% |
| BCS Barclays PLC | +18.5% | 34.1% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | +17.3% | 24.3% |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | +17.3% | 18.2% |
| TD This pageThe Toronto-Dominion Bank | +15.8% | 20.0% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | +15.1% | 29.4% |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | +13.6% | 21.4% |
| AXP American Express Company | +13.5% | 29.3% |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | +13.1% | 29.5% |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | +12.8% | 19.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. | +11.7% | 19.4% |
| PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | +4.6% | 26.8% |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | +4.0% | 26.6% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | +3.6% | 31.9% |
| USB U.S. Bancorp | +3.3% | 29.6% |
| TFC Truist Financial Corporation | −1.2% | 31.6% |
Has TD consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares TD with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than TD helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Only one of the 23 popular alternatives, MFC, outperformed TD in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- RY earned more for the risk it took than TD (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
- JPM outperformed TD over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so TD has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than TD over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank (this page) | — | −0.9% | +2.1% | +16.3% | +33.1% | +57.5% | +141% | +109% | +310% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | — | $206B | — |
| MFC QualifiedManulife Financial Corporation | 3/5 short3/3 long | −0.2% | +5.5% | +17.4% | +26.1% | +44.8% | +189% | +177% | +373% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | — | $74B | — |
| MUFG Banks - DiversifiedMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −6.9% | +1.8% | +19.6% | +36.5% | +41.3% | +184% | +319% | +483% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | — | $244B | — |
| JPM Banks - DiversifiedJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −4.3% | −0.6% | +6.8% | +5.0% | +13.0% | +150% | +122% | +537% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | — | $891B | — |
| SMFG Banks - DiversifiedSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −7.9% | −1.3% | +15.9% | +28.3% | +53.5% | +181% | +327% | +474% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | — | $94B | — |
| CM Banks - DiversifiedCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 0/5 short3/3 long | −2.0% | −3.3% | +4.3% | +25.8% | +44.4% | +261% | +141% | +395% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | — | $103B | — |
| RY Banks - DiversifiedRoyal Bank of Canada | 0/5 short3/3 long | −3.5% | −4.8% | +12.0% | +18.9% | +39.2% | +173% | +122% | +352% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | — | $276B | — |
| ING Banks - DiversifiedING Groep N.V. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −10.7% | +2.4% | +14.0% | +18.9% | +42.5% | +209% | +201% | +339% | 31.1% | 0.87 | −74.4% | — | $94B | — |
| SAN Banks - DiversifiedBanco Santander, S.A. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −10.2% | −1.4% | +4.5% | +9.8% | +35.9% | +305% | +295% | +332% | 33.9% | 0.99 | −73.8% | — | $194B | — |
| HSBC Banks - DiversifiedHSBC Holdings plc | 0/5 short3/3 long | −10.1% | −5.9% | +2.3% | +19.8% | +47.7% | +201% | +318% | +319% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | — | $324B | — |
| BCS Banks - DiversifiedBarclays PLC | 0/5 short2/3 long | −11.7% | −17.1% | −6.2% | −13.3% | +15.1% | +242% | +134% | +238% | 34.1% | 0.67 | −66.0% | — | $75B | — |
| DB Banks - RegionalDeutsche Bank AG | 0/5 short2/3 long | −17.1% | −8.6% | −1.6% | −17.0% | −3.1% | +244% | +171% | +165% | 37.4% | 0.72 | −72.7% | — | $60B | — |
| BNS Banks - DiversifiedThe Bank of Nova Scotia | 2/5 short1/3 long | −2.3% | +6.9% | +22.4% | +28.9% | +50.0% | +162% | +83.1% | +187% | 19.9% | 0.71 | −46.9% | — | $112B | — |
| AXP Financial - Credit ServicesAmerican Express Company | 1/5 short1/3 long | +1.8% | −9.3% | −2.9% | −13.8% | −7.9% | +133% | +88.5% | +446% | 29.3% | 0.58 | −49.6% | — | $215B | — |
| BMO Banks - DiversifiedBank of Montreal | 0/5 short1/3 long | −5.5% | −5.3% | +10.8% | +29.7% | +37.6% | +146% | +89.4% | +295% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | — | $116B | — |
| C Banks - DiversifiedCitigroup Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −9.3% | −4.3% | −7.0% | +4.8% | +26.0% | +238% | +102% | +234% | 29.4% | 0.63 | −56.5% | — | $206B | — |
| BAC Banks - DiversifiedBank of America Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −12.6% | −15.8% | −5.2% | −8.0% | −0.6% | +107% | +21.6% | +282% | 26.6% | 0.28 | −49.0% | — | $354B | — |
| SLF Insurance - DiversifiedSun Life Financial Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.2% | −0.4% | +15.2% | +30.4% | +35.5% | +96.3% | +74.1% | +255% | 19.4% | 0.67 | −50.8% | — | $44B | — |
| PNC Banks - RegionalThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −4.4% | −10.8% | −1.0% | +7.9% | +25.3% | +120% | +25.1% | +230% | 26.8% | 0.30 | −49.6% | — | $88B | — |
| SCHW Financial - Capital MarketsThe Charles Schwab Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −15.0% | −11.1% | −1.8% | −9.6% | −3.1% | +86.2% | +19.1% | +221% | 31.9% | 0.27 | −51.1% | — | $157B | — |
| WFC Banks - DiversifiedWells Fargo & Company | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.0% | −4.3% | +1.4% | −12.3% | −2.4% | +119% | +85.0% | +141% | 29.5% | 0.57 | −64.5% | — | $248B | — |
| USB Banks - RegionalU.S. Bancorp | 0/5 short0/3 long | −1.3% | −5.5% | +5.5% | +12.7% | +30.3% | +117% | +17.6% | +94.6% | 29.6% | 0.26 | −52.1% | — | $92B | — |
| TFC Banks - RegionalTruist Financial Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | −6.3% | −5.0% | −1.9% | +13.6% | +102% | −5.7% | +82.7% | 31.6% | 0.12 | −59.1% | — | $58B | — |
| BAM Asset ManagementBrookfield Asset Management Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −0.6% | −2.1% | −4.5% | −11.4% | −12.5% | +67.9% | — | — | — | — | −30.4% | — | $73B | — |
How did TD do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where TD ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with TD and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, TD finished in the top quarter in 11 of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 5 of 24.
- TD finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 18 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, RY came out ahead of TD most often, in 16 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of TD; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places TD among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of TD | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD This pageThe Toronto-Dominion Bank | — | +85.3% | −13.4% | +4.5% | −12.2% | +41.3% | +5.6% | +17.5% | −12.1% | +22.9% | +30.9% | −14.9% | +5.0% | +16.1% | +16.8% | +4.1% | +22.7% | +85.4% | −46.8% | +20.4% | +16.1% | +30.7% | +29.7% | +61.4% | −11.7% | −7.2% | +11.2% | +58.4% | −2.9% | +52.7% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 11 of 29 | 5 of 24 | 24 of 24 | 21 of 24 | 12 of 23 | 7 of 23 | 5 of 23 | 17 of 23 | 4 of 23 | 12 of 23 | 6 of 23 | 15 of 23 | 11 of 23 | 17 of 23 | 21 of 23 | 2 of 23 | 5 of 23 | 5 of 23 | 13 of 23 | 4 of 23 | 18 of 22 | 3 of 22 | 7 of 22 | 5 of 22 | 11 of 22 | 9 of 22 | 14 of 21 | 3 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 12 of 18 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| MFC Manulife Financial Corporation | 10 of 26 | +22.9% | +45.2% | +31.0% | −1.3% | +12.1% | −7.1% | +49.2% | −29.3% | +20.9% | +23.6% | −19.0% | −0.6% | +49.7% | +33.5% | −36.0% | −3.3% | +12.5% | −56.9% | +23.2% | +17.2% | +29.8% | +45.7% | +51.7% | −15.4% | −16.0% | +152% | — | — | — |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 9 of 29 | +40.0% | +39.7% | +32.7% | +26.2% | +27.9% | −13.7% | +15.8% | −31.3% | +20.7% | +2.5% | +15.2% | −14.6% | +26.0% | +33.1% | −19.9% | +13.3% | −19.1% | −32.3% | −24.2% | −8.6% | +35.4% | +31.3% | +47.6% | −16.0% | −33.1% | −30.0% | +33.4% | −24.8% | −24.2% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 13 of 29 | +37.3% | +44.3% | +30.6% | −12.6% | +27.8% | −5.5% | +47.3% | −6.6% | +26.8% | +34.5% | +8.4% | +9.9% | +36.7% | +36.2% | −19.9% | +2.3% | +34.4% | −25.1% | −6.9% | +25.7% | +5.7% | +10.0% | +60.5% | −30.7% | −17.4% | −10.1% | +11.7% | +32.9% | +25.5% |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | 9 of 19 | +38.0% | +54.8% | +25.7% | +24.5% | +18.6% | −10.9% | +19.4% | −22.2% | +18.0% | +5.2% | +7.7% | −28.7% | +47.2% | +38.4% | −19.2% | +30.0% | −28.6% | −43.6% | −27.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 11 of 28 | +49.0% | +37.9% | +26.5% | −26.8% | +44.7% | +9.3% | +20.3% | −19.8% | +23.5% | +29.8% | −19.6% | +4.8% | +11.0% | +16.8% | −3.3% | +27.1% | +64.3% | −37.9% | −12.0% | +32.5% | +13.7% | +26.0% | +87.9% | −14.9% | +14.2% | +38.0% | +1.2% | −17.2% | — |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 16 of 29 | +46.3% | +23.8% | +12.2% | −8.0% | +34.1% | +8.4% | +20.2% | −12.9% | +23.9% | +31.8% | −19.3% | +6.7% | +16.0% | +23.3% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +89.3% | −39.4% | +10.7% | +26.0% | +50.7% | +15.9% | +33.6% | +15.8% | −0.9% | +58.5% | −9.5% | −3.5% | +54.8% |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 14 of 29 | +91.3% | +12.2% | +32.0% | −4.4% | +55.4% | −21.6% | +20.6% | −39.4% | +36.7% | +11.1% | +6.4% | −7.4% | +47.6% | +32.5% | −26.8% | −0.2% | −11.7% | −69.6% | −8.2% | +31.9% | +20.8% | +36.1% | +48.7% | −31.3% | −34.4% | +35.1% | +0.4% | +49.9% | +25.1% |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 11 of 29 | +165% | +14.9% | +46.4% | −6.8% | +10.2% | −19.6% | −2.2% | −28.5% | +33.3% | +12.3% | −37.9% | −0.4% | +27.4% | +22.8% | −20.2% | −30.2% | +91.8% | −52.3% | +20.2% | +47.1% | +10.5% | +6.8% | +77.6% | −11.3% | −19.8% | −7.6% | +20.1% | +23.7% | +53.6% |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | 9 of 27 | +67.9% | +34.5% | +39.3% | +7.8% | +20.8% | −31.7% | +1.5% | −16.1% | +35.9% | +9.9% | −11.5% | −10.2% | +8.5% | +45.9% | −22.2% | −7.5% | +22.2% | −38.0% | −4.0% | +18.9% | −1.5% | +12.6% | +52.3% | −5.2% | −15.3% | +6.5% | — | — | +15.8% |
| BCS Barclays PLC | 11 of 29 | +96.5% | +76.2% | +6.0% | −21.9% | +31.6% | −12.8% | +31.9% | −29.3% | +0.5% | −12.8% | −11.4% | −14.9% | +16.1% | +61.7% | −31.9% | −4.7% | +80.0% | −73.6% | −27.2% | +44.2% | −4.0% | +31.1% | +55.0% | −23.6% | +7.7% | +16.0% | +30.3% | −16.6% | +62.3% |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | 9 of 29 | +133% | +29.4% | +21.4% | −5.9% | +14.7% | +40.1% | −2.9% | −56.7% | +6.4% | −25.0% | −17.7% | −36.4% | +10.9% | +19.7% | −26.1% | −20.1% | +75.4% | −65.5% | −0.6% | +42.0% | +12.3% | +9.8% | +83.6% | −34.3% | −22.1% | 0.0% | +58.2% | −16.7% | +54.6% |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 11 of 26 | +45.1% | +17.5% | +6.0% | −28.8% | +40.6% | +1.7% | +17.5% | −19.2% | +20.5% | +43.7% | −25.1% | −4.2% | +11.5% | +21.0% | −9.6% | +27.1% | +82.6% | −44.4% | +16.6% | +16.8% | +21.4% | +40.4% | +59.9% | +232% | +17.5% | +25.4% | — | — | — |
| AXP American Express Company | 15 of 29 | +26.0% | +60.3% | +28.7% | −8.5% | +36.9% | −1.1% | +32.5% | −2.6% | +36.2% | +8.6% | −24.2% | +3.7% | +59.8% | +23.6% | +11.6% | +7.8% | +126% | −63.7% | −13.4% | +19.1% | +4.3% | +17.6% | +37.7% | +0.2% | −34.5% | −0.3% | +63.3% | +15.7% | +59.9% |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 9 of 29 | +39.6% | +3.0% | +14.6% | −12.4% | +46.9% | +3.3% | +23.9% | −14.9% | +15.4% | +32.9% | −16.8% | +10.4% | +13.7% | +17.3% | −0.3% | +13.7% | +121% | −51.9% | −0.4% | +9.4% | +20.4% | +21.0% | +62.9% | +23.0% | −9.6% | +62.5% | −10.8% | −6.1% | +44.8% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 13 of 29 | +70.4% | +41.9% | +19.0% | −22.1% | +0.9% | −19.7% | +57.9% | −28.5% | +27.0% | +15.9% | −4.1% | +3.9% | +31.8% | +50.5% | −44.3% | +42.9% | −50.6% | −75.9% | −44.8% | +19.6% | +4.6% | +2.8% | +41.6% | −20.4% | +0.1% | +23.6% | +70.2% | −6.8% | +79.9% |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | 13 of 29 | +28.0% | +33.9% | +4.9% | −23.8% | +49.6% | −11.6% | +46.1% | −15.0% | +35.7% | +33.4% | −4.8% | +15.7% | +34.5% | +109% | −58.1% | −11.2% | +7.6% | −63.1% | −18.9% | +20.8% | +2.4% | +21.5% | +20.1% | +14.6% | +42.7% | −4.5% | −14.0% | +1.2% | +27.3% |
| SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. | 9 of 25 | +9.7% | +19.5% | +16.9% | −12.9% | +29.7% | +2.0% | +42.7% | −16.6% | +10.3% | +27.6% | −10.2% | +5.9% | +39.3% | +52.5% | −34.9% | +10.2% | +31.1% | −57.0% | +35.5% | +8.2% | +22.7% | +38.3% | +51.6% | −18.9% | −17.2% | — | — | — | — |
| PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 11 of 29 | +12.2% | +29.4% | +2.7% | −18.6% | +38.2% | −2.8% | +40.9% | −17.0% | +26.0% | +25.8% | +6.8% | +20.3% | +36.4% | +3.6% | −3.1% | +15.8% | +10.2% | −22.2% | −8.3% | +23.6% | +11.7% | +8.9% | +36.2% | −22.5% | −20.7% | +70.4% | −15.0% | −2.2% | +56.7% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 14 of 29 | +36.6% | +9.2% | −16.0% | +0.1% | +60.2% | +13.6% | +16.4% | −18.4% | +31.1% | +21.0% | +9.9% | +17.2% | +83.3% | +29.8% | −33.1% | −7.8% | +18.1% | −36.1% | +40.0% | +32.8% | +23.5% | +1.7% | +9.5% | −29.5% | −45.4% | +11.4% | +36.3% | +102% | +97.6% |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | 14 of 29 | +35.6% | +46.5% | +22.9% | −11.9% | +61.1% | −41.6% | +21.4% | −21.8% | +13.2% | +4.7% | +1.8% | +24.1% | +36.7% | +27.3% | −9.6% | +15.7% | −6.3% | +1.7% | −12.1% | +16.9% | +4.5% | +9.0% | +29.5% | +10.3% | −20.2% | +40.5% | +3.3% | +5.1% | +81.9% |
| USB U.S. Bancorp | 12 of 29 | +16.4% | +15.6% | +4.8% | −19.1% | +24.3% | −17.9% | +33.6% | −12.4% | +6.6% | +23.4% | −2.8% | +13.8% | +29.6% | +20.9% | +2.3% | +20.7% | −9.0% | −16.6% | −8.0% | +26.3% | −0.5% | +10.6% | +45.3% | +5.3% | −6.8% | +13.2% | −30.5% | +64.5% | +90.1% |
| TFC Truist Financial Corporation | 13 of 29 | +19.1% | +23.7% | −8.6% | −23.5% | +26.1% | −11.1% | +34.6% | −10.2% | +8.7% | +28.4% | −0.1% | +6.9% | +32.7% | +18.6% | −1.9% | +5.9% | −2.0% | −4.5% | −27.2% | +8.9% | +3.4% | +12.8% | +8.1% | +5.6% | −0.4% | +40.6% | −30.6% | +28.5% | +81.3% |
| BAM Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. | 2 of 3 | −0.3% | +39.7% | +45.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How TD has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were TD's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents TD's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1996, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of TD's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: TD fell 41.0% from April to August 1999, while the S&P 500 slipped only 3.7%.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 13 months, after TD fell 64.1% from October 2007 to February 2009.
Green means TD fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | TD fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −64.1% | −50.2% | Oct 2007 | Feb 2009 | 16 months | Mar 2010 | 13 months |
| No named crash | −51.5% | −10.3% | Apr 1998 | Oct 1998 | 6 months | Apr 1999 | 6 months |
| Dot-com bust | −44.1% | −42.4% | Oct 2000 | Oct 2002 | 2 years | Jun 2003 | 8 months |
| Late-2018 sell-off | −42.0% | −21.4% | Sep 2018 | Mar 2020 | 18 months | Dec 2020 | 9 months |
| No named crash | −41.0% | −3.7% | Apr 1999 | Aug 1999 | 4 months | Aug 2000 | 12 months |
How did TD do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far TD, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- TD fell further than the S&P 500 in seven of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when TD fell 63.4% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than TD in most of the crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than TD.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD This pageThe Toronto-Dominion Bank | — | −6.7% | −29.0% | −41.0% | −20.9% | −5.5% | −18.1% | −19.6% | 0.0% | −63.4% | −44.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MFC Manulife Financial Corporation | 4 of 10 | −6.1% | −27.1% | −55.1% | −25.9% | −2.6% | −35.4% | −35.3% | 0.0% | −83.8% | −42.9% |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −9.5% | −33.4% | −33.0% | −27.0% | −6.7% | −45.1% | −20.7% | −0.3% | −65.5% | −65.1% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1 of 10 | −5.4% | −37.9% | −42.5% | −21.3% | −5.6% | −22.0% | −32.1% | −0.1% | −67.7% | −74.0% |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −9.2% | −24.7% | −32.2% | −23.2% | −4.5% | −44.2% | −19.8% | −2.2% | −70.9% | — |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 2 of 10 | −7.0% | −36.2% | −43.6% | −22.2% | −5.9% | −25.3% | −12.9% | 0.0% | −71.8% | −39.8% |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 5 of 10 | −3.8% | −26.0% | −40.0% | −17.1% | −5.7% | −23.1% | −21.8% | 0.0% | −63.1% | −21.6% |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 0 of 10 | −10.7% | −43.4% | −56.9% | −24.1% | −5.8% | −35.4% | −47.4% | −3.6% | −93.0% | −66.4% |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 1 of 10 | −11.4% | −41.0% | −48.1% | −19.0% | −6.0% | −44.7% | −33.2% | −0.9% | −76.1% | −58.4% |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | 4 of 10 | −7.3% | −31.8% | −20.5% | −13.1% | −4.6% | −30.8% | −25.1% | 0.0% | −73.8% | −41.4% |
| BCS Barclays PLC | 2 of 10 | −10.2% | −48.1% | −57.1% | −22.9% | −4.1% | −50.6% | −44.9% | −4.8% | −93.9% | −38.4% |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | 0 of 10 | −11.6% | −54.2% | −48.6% | −36.3% | −9.3% | −54.8% | −46.8% | 0.0% | −82.7% | −64.9% |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 3 of 10 | −4.6% | −35.4% | −43.0% | −17.7% | −6.1% | −24.3% | −19.8% | 0.0% | −63.8% | −23.6% |
| AXP American Express Company | 1 of 10 | −9.8% | −31.6% | −49.6% | −20.7% | −8.6% | −36.6% | −18.1% | −4.5% | −83.4% | −59.1% |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 3 of 10 | −5.5% | −30.5% | −49.4% | −23.5% | −6.2% | −18.9% | −16.4% | 0.0% | −68.5% | −26.5% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 0 of 10 | −11.7% | −39.2% | −54.8% | −33.1% | −6.7% | −40.3% | −42.6% | −1.0% | −97.7% | −52.7% |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | 1 of 10 | −12.4% | −38.7% | −47.8% | −26.4% | −6.9% | −37.8% | −45.2% | −0.6% | −93.4% | −36.3% |
| SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. | 3 of 9 | −5.5% | −30.8% | −50.2% | −20.3% | −4.5% | −23.8% | −20.3% | −1.4% | −78.8% | — |
| PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −10.4% | −34.0% | −47.8% | −23.2% | −5.4% | −20.8% | −24.1% | −0.4% | −76.7% | −49.6% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 1 of 10 | −31.9% | −36.9% | −41.5% | −26.5% | −8.2% | −37.0% | −28.9% | −5.5% | −56.0% | −83.1% |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | 2 of 10 | −12.4% | −36.3% | −47.1% | −20.1% | −13.5% | −20.9% | −21.1% | −1.2% | −79.0% | −29.2% |
| USB U.S. Bancorp | 1 of 10 | −19.7% | −36.8% | −47.2% | −20.4% | −7.5% | −17.7% | −24.7% | −1.2% | −76.1% | −42.8% |
| TFC Truist Financial Corporation | 2 of 10 | −26.3% | −35.8% | −53.5% | −20.1% | −6.8% | −24.4% | −27.2% | 0.0% | −66.6% | −24.8% |
| BAM Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. | 0 of 1 | −7.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does TD move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares TD with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- MUFG took just 42% of the S&P 500's losses, against 80% for TD, while still keeping 84% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, TD captured 89% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 80% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.88. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Five of the 22 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than TD's 1.10, led by MUFG, SMFG and HSBC.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than TD's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD This pageThe Toronto-Dominion Bank | 89% | 80% | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 84% | 42% | 2.01 | 0.66 |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | 84% | 43% | 1.94 | 0.65 |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | 79% | 53% | 1.49 | 0.58 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 117% | 103% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 97% | 88% | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 101% | 92% | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| AXP American Express Company | 117% | 113% | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 108% | 106% | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. | 87% | 85% | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| MFC Manulife Financial Corporation | 110% | 110% | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 89% | 90% | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 104% | 112% | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 136% | 155% | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | 127% | 146% | 0.87 | 1.36 |
| BCS Barclays PLC | 113% | 131% | 0.86 | 1.26 |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | 102% | 118% | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 108% | 127% | 0.85 | 1.15 |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 97% | 120% | 0.81 | 1.05 |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 131% | 165% | 0.80 | 1.49 |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | 96% | 129% | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| USB U.S. Bancorp | 89% | 130% | 0.69 | 1.05 |
| TFC Truist Financial Corporation | 86% | 126% | 0.68 | 1.11 |
What diversifies TD?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with TD's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing TD with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in TD into DXJ would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+17.1% for TD alone, +19.5% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and HDV have moved largely independently of TD over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.46 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in five of the eight calendar years in which TD lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which TD lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% TD and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank (this page) | 1.00 | +109% | 0.84 | −13.4% | −12.2% | −12.1% | −14.9% | −46.8% | −11.7% | −7.2% | −2.9% | 21.3% | +17.1% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.22 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +6.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 17.8% | +19.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.43 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +10.4% | −8.7% | −25.3% | — | — | — | — | 18.5% | +17.1% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.46 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +14.1% | +7.1% | −3.0% | −0.3% | — | — | — | — | 18.6% | +16.4% |
| FTLS Broad MarketFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF | 0.42 | +62.9% | 0.99 | +18.8% | −5.6% | −4.8% | +4.7% | — | — | — | — | 17.9% | +16.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.41 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | −33.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | −44.7% | −47.0% | −14.6% | — | 20.9% | +21.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.12 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | −0.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | +4.9% | — | — | — | 17.8% | +17.9% |
| FLTW TechnologyFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF | 0.49 | +168% | 0.94 | +16.7% | −27.5% | −9.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.1% | +18.8% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.49 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | −10.4% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 19.4% | +18.4% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank (this page) | 1.00 | +109% | 0.84 | −13.4% | −12.2% | −12.1% | −14.9% | −46.8% | −11.7% | −7.2% | −2.9% | 21.3% | +17.1% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.26 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +54.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | −39.6% | −8.3% | −2.5% | +51.7% | 19.1% | +21.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.25 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +1.3% | −16.3% | −6.0% | −20.5% | −65.1% | −25.6% | — | 22.9% | +34.9% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.35 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +17.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −15.2% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −9.5% | 21.9% | +30.6% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.07 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +51.8% | −28.4% | −4.5% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | +46.9% | 18.1% | +21.3% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.21 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +86.6% | −8.2% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | 19.5% | +23.9% |
Common questions
What was TD's worst drawdown?
TD's deepest decline since it began trading in 1996 was 64.1%, from October 2007 to February 2009. It took 13 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were TD's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, TD's best year was 2009, when it returned 85.4%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -46.8%.
Is there a better investment than TD?
Among TD's popular alternatives, RY earned more than TD with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 15.8% a year at 20.0%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, V (payment processing) and CBOE (capital markets) fell less than TD in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
Is TD more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. TD's volatility over the past 5 years was 20.0%, 1.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TD's return lands within 20.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is TD's Sharpe ratio?
TD's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.84, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TD earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is TD with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, TD's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.55 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TD instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TD holding.
What are the best alternatives to TD?
Of the 23 popular alternatives we compared, one outperformed TD in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: MFC.
Did TD outperform the S&P 500?
TD finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 18 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +85.3%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did TD do in stock market crashes?
TD fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in three of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in seven. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when TD fell 63.4% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies TD?
These had a low correlation with TD over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.22), EMLP (correlation 0.43) and HDV (correlation 0.46); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.26), CLS (correlation 0.25) and FIX (correlation 0.35). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than TD's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of TD's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.