Relative Intelligence · Banks

How Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on SMFG alone. It places SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where SMFG stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: SMFG's full trading record, from January 2006 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowSMFG has outpaced the market, rising 15.9% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its bank peers were far apart over the past 6 months, from BNS (Bank of Nova Scotia, up 22.4%) to HSBC (up 2.3%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?SMFG fell 1.3% over the past 3 months, in line with the banks ETF IXG (iShares Global Financials ETF), which fell 0.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its bank peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: BBVA (Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria) rose 3.1%, while UBS (UBS Group) fell 8.3%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, SMFG rose 53.5% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (181% against 89.3%). SMFG finished ahead of the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termSMFG turned $10,000 into $57,400 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. SMFG's 10-year return of 474% puts it ahead of 85% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, SMFG has typically fallen 1.5 times as far as the S&P 500. On the flip side, in the 2022 bear market, SMFG held up better than its bank peers, including HSBC, RY and MUFG. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, SMFG has a correlation of 0.28 over 5 years, less closely than 74% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. SMFG moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.28 over the past 5 years against 0.63 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- VIRT (Virtu Financial, capital markets) was ahead of SMFG in most short and long periods.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SMFG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK (McKesson) and CAH (Cardinal Health).
How much would $10,000 in SMFG have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in SMFG over the past 20 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of SMFG over the same span and SMFG's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: SMFG began trading on January 27, 2006, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 20 years of SMFG's record, starting at the end of September 2006.
- $10,000 invested in SMFG at the end of September 2006 would have grown to $26,278 by September 2026, less than the $82,294 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of SMFG, and JPM finished highest, at $117,399.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2006 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,220 of the 1,663 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of SMFG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- JPM$117,399+1,074% total · +13.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$82,294+723% total · +11.1% a year
- CM$77,923+679% total · +10.8% a year
- BBVA$35,487+255% total · +6.5% a year
- SAN$32,387+224% total · +6.1% a year
- HSBC$30,976+210% total · +5.8% a year
- SMFG$26,278+163% total · +4.9% a year
- ING$16,825+68.3% total · +2.6% a year
- BCS$9,451−5.5% total · −0.3% a year
- LYG$4,699−53.0% total · −3.7% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 158 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of SMFG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- PBR-A$67,821+578% total · +46.6% a year
- TRGP$61,030+510% total · +43.6% a year
- BBVA$57,750+478% total · +42.0% a year
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- CAH$49,682+397% total · +37.8% a year
- MFG$46,041+360% total · +35.7% a year
- SMFG$44,827+348% total · +35.0% a year
- JPM$22,905+129% total · +18.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
SMFG at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: SMFG began trading on January 27, 2006, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- SMFG's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 76.8%, from April 2006 to March 2009. It took about 15 years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 19 full calendar years, SMFG's best was 2024, when it returned 54.8%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 43.6%. It lost money in seven of those years.
- SMFG is 10.8% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $94B
- Industry
- Banks - Diversified
- Price history from
- January 2006
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +53.5%total return
- Past 3 years
- +181%+41.2% a year
- Past 5 years
- +327%+33.7% a year
- Past 10 years
- +474%+19.1% a year
- Best calendar year
- +54.8%2024
- Worst calendar year
- −43.6%2008
- Losing years
- 7 of 19full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 29.4%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 1.14return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −76.8%Apr 2006 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −10.8%below the peak
SMFG against the whole market
Where SMFG ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does SMFG rank among all stocks?
This section ranks SMFG on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how SMFG stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), SMFG ranks in the top 1% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | SMFG | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +53.5% | 504 of 3,287 | top 15% |
| 3-year return | +181% | 462 of 3,017 | top 15% |
| 5-year return | +327% | 141 of 2,893 | top 5% |
| 10-year return | +474% | 330 of 2,202 | top 15% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 29.4% | 666 of 2,893 | top 23% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 1.14 | 37 of 2,893 | top 1% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −47.6% | 363 of 2,187 | top 17% |
What has beaten SMFG on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). SMFG sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than SMFG with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Two stocks worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than SMFG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half SMFG's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 16% less than SMFG's 29.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 1.14 for SMFG.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to SMFG. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
Is there a better investment than SMFG?
Investments that beat SMFG over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, VIRT (capital markets) was ahead of SMFG in most short and long periods.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SMFG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK and CAH.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat SMFG over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks SMFG's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than SMFG follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than SMFG's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× SMFG's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than SMFG's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with SMFG?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.28 | 0.09% | |||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 1 shownEverything else in Banks and the categories next to it (Regional Banks, Capital Markets, Payment Processing, Asset Management), plus SMFG's specific themes. 1 of 124 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc. · Capital Markets | Higher return in most periods | +20.8% | 33.8% | 0.73 | −56.2% | +545% | 0.08 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 34 of 3,490 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.26 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.11 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.14 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.32 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.16 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.10 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.23 | 0.35% | ||
FTXLFirst Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF · Technology | Higher return in most periods | +27.4% | 38.8% | 0.82 | −43.9% | +1,077% | 0.22 | 0.60% | |
What these numbers mean for SMFG
- Annual return
- SMFG returned 33.7% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $42,700. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- SMFG's volatility over the past 5 years was 29.4%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, SMFG's return lands within 29.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- SMFG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.14, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so SMFG earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- SMFG's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 47.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 47.6% fall takes a 90.9% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, SMFG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.28 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against SMFG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a SMFG holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 2 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than SMFG with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
SMFG against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against SMFG, compared period by period and year by year.
How do SMFG's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at SMFG, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than SMFG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Over the past 5 years, SMFG returned 33.7% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (29.4% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than SMFG with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | +38.7% | 33.3% |
| SMFG This pageSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | +33.7% | 29.4% |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. | +33.6% | 30.6% |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | +33.2% | 29.4% |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | +33.1% | 25.9% |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | +31.6% | 33.9% |
| UBS UBS Group AG | +25.4% | 30.4% |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | +24.7% | 31.1% |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | +22.1% | 37.4% |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group plc | +20.3% | 32.1% |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | +19.2% | 21.6% |
| BCS Barclays PLC | +18.5% | 34.1% |
| IX ORIX Corporation | +17.9% | 25.4% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | +17.3% | 24.3% |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | +17.3% | 18.2% |
| NMR Nomura Holdings, Inc. | +17.1% | 29.9% |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | +15.8% | 20.0% |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | +13.6% | 21.4% |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | +12.8% | 19.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF | +9.3% | 18.8% |
Has SMFG consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares SMFG with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than SMFG helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives outperformed SMFG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was BBVA.
- BBVA outperformed SMFG over all three long-term periods but in only one of the five short-term ones, so SMFG has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than SMFG over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (this page) | — | −7.9% | −1.3% | +15.9% | +28.3% | +53.5% | +181% | +327% | +474% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | — | $94B | — |
| BBVA Banks - DiversifiedBanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | 1/5 short3/3 long | −10.4% | +3.1% | +11.7% | +11.3% | +35.2% | +281% | +413% | +542% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | — | $142B | — |
| JPM Banks - DiversifiedJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −4.3% | −0.6% | +6.8% | +5.0% | +13.0% | +150% | +122% | +537% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | — | $891B | — |
| MFG Banks - RegionalMizuho Financial Group, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −10.6% | +0.7% | +15.2% | +33.7% | +53.1% | +216% | +326% | +345% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | — | $121B | — |
| CM Banks - DiversifiedCanadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 1/5 short1/3 long | −2.0% | −3.3% | +4.3% | +25.8% | +44.4% | +261% | +141% | +395% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | — | $103B | — |
| ING Banks - DiversifiedING Groep N.V. | 1/5 short1/3 long | −10.7% | +2.4% | +14.0% | +18.9% | +42.5% | +209% | +201% | +339% | 31.1% | 0.87 | −74.4% | — | $94B | — |
| SAN Banks - DiversifiedBanco Santander, S.A. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −10.2% | −1.4% | +4.5% | +9.8% | +35.9% | +305% | +295% | +332% | 33.9% | 0.99 | −73.8% | — | $194B | — |
| HSBC Banks - DiversifiedHSBC Holdings plc | 0/5 short1/3 long | −10.1% | −5.9% | +2.3% | +19.8% | +47.7% | +201% | +318% | +319% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | — | $324B | — |
| BCS Banks - DiversifiedBarclays PLC | 0/5 short1/3 long | −11.7% | −17.1% | −6.2% | −13.3% | +15.1% | +242% | +134% | +238% | 34.1% | 0.67 | −66.0% | — | $75B | — |
| LYG Banks - RegionalLloyds Banking Group plc | 0/5 short1/3 long | −8.1% | −6.7% | −2.5% | +1.7% | +22.4% | +207% | +152% | +213% | 32.1% | 0.74 | −66.5% | — | $80B | — |
| DB Banks - RegionalDeutsche Bank AG | 0/5 short1/3 long | −17.1% | −8.6% | −1.6% | −17.0% | −3.1% | +244% | +171% | +165% | 37.4% | 0.72 | −72.7% | — | $60B | — |
| MUFG Banks - DiversifiedMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | −6.9% | +1.8% | +19.6% | +36.5% | +41.3% | +184% | +319% | +483% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | — | $244B | — |
| TD Banks - DiversifiedThe Toronto-Dominion Bank | 4/5 short0/3 long | −0.9% | +2.1% | +16.3% | +33.1% | +57.5% | +141% | +109% | +310% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | — | $206B | — |
| BNS Banks - DiversifiedThe Bank of Nova Scotia | 3/5 short0/3 long | −2.3% | +6.9% | +22.4% | +28.9% | +50.0% | +162% | +83.1% | +187% | 19.9% | 0.71 | −46.9% | — | $112B | — |
| BMO Banks - DiversifiedBank of Montreal | 2/5 short0/3 long | −5.5% | −5.3% | +10.8% | +29.7% | +37.6% | +146% | +89.4% | +295% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | — | $116B | — |
| IX Financial - Credit ServicesORIX Corporation | 2/5 short0/3 long | −6.2% | −2.9% | +16.7% | +27.9% | +50.8% | +128% | +128% | +284% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | — | $41B | — |
| EWJ InternationaliShares MSCI Japan ETF | 2/5 short0/3 long | −2.6% | +5.5% | +7.4% | +18.0% | +19.2% | +79.1% | +55.6% | +132% | 18.8% | 0.57 | −33.1% | 0.49% | $23B | — |
| RY Banks - DiversifiedRoyal Bank of Canada | 1/5 short0/3 long | −3.5% | −4.8% | +12.0% | +18.9% | +39.2% | +173% | +122% | +352% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | — | $276B | — |
| UBS Banks - DiversifiedUBS Group AG | 0/5 short0/3 long | −7.5% | −8.3% | +10.6% | +2.9% | +26.3% | +116% | +210% | +374% | 30.4% | 0.90 | −59.8% | — | $145B | — |
| NMR Financial - Capital MarketsNomura Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −10.0% | −2.8% | +7.5% | +8.0% | +28.2% | +162% | +120% | +179% | 29.9% | 0.68 | −54.0% | — | $27B | — |
How did SMFG do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2007, along with where SMFG ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with SMFG and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: SMFG began trading on January 27, 2006, so the table starts with 2007, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- SMFG finished ahead of the S&P 500 in seven of its 19 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, CM came out ahead of SMFG most often, in 13 of the 19 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, SMFG finished in the top quarter in four of 19 years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 18 of 20.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of SMFG; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places SMFG among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of SMFG | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMFG This pageSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | — | +38.0% | +54.8% | +25.7% | +24.5% | +18.6% | −10.9% | +19.4% | −22.2% | +18.0% | +5.2% | +7.7% | −28.7% | +47.2% | +38.4% | −19.2% | +30.0% | −28.6% | −43.6% | −27.1% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 4 of 19 | 18 of 20 | 2 of 20 | 10 of 20 | 2 of 20 | 15 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 10 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 12 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 19 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 20 | 19 of 20 | 8 of 20 | 17 of 20 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 11 of 19 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | 9 of 19 | +154% | +14.2% | +62.5% | +10.0% | +22.2% | −6.4% | +10.9% | −35.0% | +31.3% | −1.5% | −19.3% | −20.6% | +39.6% | +18.2% | −10.8% | −39.7% | +53.1% | −45.6% | +4.6% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 12 of 19 | +37.3% | +44.3% | +30.6% | −12.6% | +27.8% | −5.5% | +47.3% | −6.6% | +26.8% | +34.5% | +8.4% | +9.9% | +36.7% | +36.2% | −19.9% | +2.3% | +34.4% | −25.1% | −6.9% |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. | 6 of 19 | +54.5% | +47.8% | +26.2% | +17.2% | +4.9% | −12.8% | +7.3% | −14.1% | +4.9% | −7.2% | +23.0% | −19.3% | +22.2% | +43.0% | −23.4% | +10.1% | −35.1% | −38.1% | −33.1% |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 13 of 19 | +49.0% | +37.9% | +26.5% | −26.8% | +44.7% | +9.3% | +20.3% | −19.8% | +23.5% | +29.8% | −19.6% | +4.8% | +11.0% | +16.8% | −3.3% | +27.1% | +64.3% | −37.9% | −12.0% |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 9 of 19 | +91.3% | +12.2% | +32.0% | −4.4% | +55.4% | −21.6% | +20.6% | −39.4% | +36.7% | +11.1% | +6.4% | −7.4% | +47.6% | +32.5% | −26.8% | −0.2% | −11.7% | −69.6% | −8.2% |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 7 of 19 | +165% | +14.9% | +46.4% | −6.8% | +10.2% | −19.6% | −2.2% | −28.5% | +33.3% | +12.3% | −37.9% | −0.4% | +27.4% | +22.8% | −20.2% | −30.2% | +91.8% | −52.3% | +20.2% |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | 11 of 19 | +67.9% | +34.5% | +39.3% | +7.8% | +20.8% | −31.7% | +1.5% | −16.1% | +35.9% | +9.9% | −11.5% | −10.2% | +8.5% | +45.9% | −22.2% | −7.5% | +22.2% | −38.0% | −4.0% |
| BCS Barclays PLC | 7 of 19 | +96.5% | +76.2% | +6.0% | −21.9% | +31.6% | −12.8% | +31.9% | −29.3% | +0.5% | −12.8% | −11.4% | −14.9% | +16.1% | +61.7% | −31.9% | −4.7% | +80.0% | −73.6% | −27.2% |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group plc | 9 of 19 | +104% | +20.2% | +14.5% | −9.7% | +34.6% | −36.5% | +36.9% | −28.4% | +26.8% | −25.9% | −4.4% | −12.7% | +66.1% | +104% | −61.7% | +25.4% | −27.5% | −77.5% | −11.6% |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | 4 of 19 | +133% | +29.4% | +21.4% | −5.9% | +14.7% | +40.1% | −2.9% | −56.7% | +6.4% | −25.0% | −17.7% | −36.4% | +10.9% | +19.7% | −26.1% | −20.1% | +75.4% | −65.5% | −0.6% |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 10 of 19 | +40.0% | +39.7% | +32.7% | +26.2% | +27.9% | −13.7% | +15.8% | −31.3% | +20.7% | +2.5% | +15.2% | −14.6% | +26.0% | +33.1% | −19.9% | +13.3% | −19.1% | −32.3% | −24.2% |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | 10 of 19 | +85.3% | −13.4% | +4.5% | −12.2% | +41.3% | +5.6% | +17.5% | −12.1% | +22.9% | +30.9% | −14.9% | +5.0% | +16.1% | +16.8% | +4.1% | +22.7% | +85.4% | −46.8% | +20.4% |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 10 of 19 | +45.1% | +17.5% | +6.0% | −28.8% | +40.6% | +1.7% | +17.5% | −19.2% | +20.5% | +43.7% | −25.1% | −4.2% | +11.5% | +21.0% | −9.6% | +27.1% | +82.6% | −44.4% | +16.6% |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 10 of 19 | +39.6% | +3.0% | +14.6% | −12.4% | +46.9% | +3.3% | +23.9% | −14.9% | +15.4% | +32.9% | −16.8% | +10.4% | +13.7% | +17.3% | −0.3% | +13.7% | +121% | −51.9% | −0.4% |
| IX ORIX Corporation | 12 of 19 | +43.4% | +17.6% | +20.1% | −17.8% | +36.9% | −1.9% | +22.4% | −12.5% | +12.1% | +14.1% | +16.4% | −28.6% | +58.9% | +39.6% | −14.8% | +43.7% | +22.8% | −66.0% | −42.0% |
| EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF | 9 of 19 | +25.8% | +7.0% | +20.3% | −17.7% | +1.1% | +15.4% | +19.3% | −14.1% | +24.2% | +2.8% | +9.2% | −6.2% | +26.0% | +9.2% | −14.8% | +13.6% | +3.1% | −27.0% | −5.5% |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 12 of 19 | +46.3% | +23.8% | +12.2% | −8.0% | +34.1% | +8.4% | +20.2% | −12.9% | +23.9% | +31.8% | −19.3% | +6.7% | +16.0% | +23.3% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +89.3% | −39.4% | +10.7% |
| UBS UBS Group AG | 8 of 19 | +57.6% | +0.7% | +69.8% | +7.4% | +29.4% | +19.5% | +7.1% | −29.9% | +17.4% | −14.4% | +18.1% | −10.2% | +23.3% | +34.3% | −28.2% | +6.2% | +8.5% | −68.9% | −21.5% |
| NMR Nomura Holdings, Inc. | 8 of 19 | +53.9% | +33.9% | +24.9% | −10.4% | −15.5% | +8.8% | +44.5% | −34.4% | +1.5% | +9.3% | +1.1% | −26.0% | +35.1% | +99.5% | −52.2% | −12.5% | −10.6% | −49.0% | −9.7% |
Risk and diversification
How SMFG has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were SMFG's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents SMFG's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2006, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: SMFG began trading on January 27, 2006, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of SMFG's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- The slowest recovery came after SMFG fell 76.8% from April 2006 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until March 2024, 15 years later.
Green means SMFG fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | SMFG fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −76.8% | −44.5% | Apr 2006 | Mar 2009 | 2.9 years | Mar 2024 | 15 years |
| No named crash | −25.7% | −10.6% | Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 month | Aug 2025 | 4 months |
| No named crash | −21.4% | −5.2% | Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 month | Nov 2024 | 3 months |
| No named crash | −20.1% | −7.0% | Feb 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 month | Jun 2026 | 3 months |
| No named crash | −11.1% | −0.9% | Jan 2006 | Feb 2006 | 1 month | Apr 2006 | 2 months |
How did SMFG do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far SMFG, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: SMFG began trading on January 27, 2006, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- SMFG fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when SMFG fell 44.2% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
- Among its popular alternatives, EWJ held up best, falling less than SMFG in seven of the nine crashes they both traded through.
- SMFG began trading after the dot-com bust, but 16 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was RY's 21.6%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than SMFG.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMFG This pageSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | — | −9.2% | −24.7% | −32.2% | −23.2% | −4.5% | −44.2% | −19.8% | −2.2% | −70.9% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | 2 of 9 | −10.9% | −39.6% | −47.9% | −22.7% | −5.4% | −41.0% | −32.7% | 0.0% | −75.7% | −55.9% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 5 of 9 | −5.4% | −37.9% | −42.5% | −21.3% | −5.6% | −22.0% | −32.1% | −0.1% | −67.7% | −74.0% |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −9.7% | −24.1% | −29.6% | −18.1% | −4.2% | −34.9% | −17.7% | −1.0% | −72.2% | — |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 5 of 9 | −7.0% | −36.2% | −43.6% | −22.2% | −5.9% | −25.3% | −12.9% | 0.0% | −71.8% | −39.8% |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 1 of 9 | −10.7% | −43.4% | −56.9% | −24.1% | −5.8% | −35.4% | −47.4% | −3.6% | −93.0% | −66.4% |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 2 of 9 | −11.4% | −41.0% | −48.1% | −19.0% | −6.0% | −44.7% | −33.2% | −0.9% | −76.1% | −58.4% |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | 5 of 9 | −7.3% | −31.8% | −20.5% | −13.1% | −4.6% | −30.8% | −25.1% | 0.0% | −73.8% | −41.4% |
| BCS Barclays PLC | 0 of 9 | −10.2% | −48.1% | −57.1% | −22.9% | −4.1% | −50.6% | −44.9% | −4.8% | −93.9% | −38.4% |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group plc | 2 of 9 | −7.8% | −40.5% | −53.4% | −23.3% | −4.3% | −34.6% | −41.6% | −4.5% | −94.8% | — |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | 1 of 9 | −11.6% | −54.2% | −48.6% | −36.3% | −9.3% | −54.8% | −46.8% | 0.0% | −82.7% | −64.9% |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −9.5% | −33.4% | −33.0% | −27.0% | −6.7% | −45.1% | −20.7% | −0.3% | −65.5% | −65.1% |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | 5 of 9 | −6.7% | −29.0% | −41.0% | −20.9% | −5.5% | −18.1% | −19.6% | 0.0% | −63.4% | −44.1% |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 5 of 9 | −4.6% | −35.4% | −43.0% | −17.7% | −6.1% | −24.3% | −19.8% | 0.0% | −63.8% | −23.6% |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 5 of 9 | −5.5% | −30.5% | −49.4% | −23.5% | −6.2% | −18.9% | −16.4% | 0.0% | −68.5% | −26.5% |
| IX ORIX Corporation | 3 of 9 | −5.1% | −35.0% | −39.1% | −19.6% | −7.2% | −20.7% | −31.9% | −3.0% | −91.8% | −66.0% |
| EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF | 7 of 9 | −2.3% | −27.6% | −24.8% | −18.4% | −6.2% | −20.8% | −15.2% | −0.8% | −51.6% | −56.7% |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 5 of 9 | −3.8% | −26.0% | −40.0% | −17.1% | −5.7% | −23.1% | −21.8% | 0.0% | −63.1% | −21.6% |
| UBS UBS Group AG | 2 of 9 | −9.5% | −32.5% | −42.3% | −28.5% | −8.2% | −36.7% | −39.7% | −0.9% | −87.5% | — |
| NMR Nomura Holdings, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −6.2% | −31.1% | −29.2% | −28.0% | −7.7% | −40.5% | −30.3% | 0.0% | −77.6% | −56.9% |
How closely does SMFG move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares SMFG with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, SMFG captured 84% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 43% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.65. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only MUFG had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than SMFG's 1.94, out of 19 popular alternatives with the same record.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than SMFG's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMFG This pageSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | 84% | 43% | 1.94 | 0.65 |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | 84% | 42% | 2.01 | 0.66 |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. | 75% | 42% | 1.81 | 0.54 |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings plc | 79% | 53% | 1.49 | 0.58 |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | 121% | 97% | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 117% | 103% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| IX ORIX Corporation | 84% | 75% | 1.11 | 0.86 |
| RY Royal Bank of Canada | 97% | 88% | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | 101% | 92% | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | 89% | 80% | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | 108% | 106% | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| NMR Nomura Holdings, Inc. | 81% | 82% | 0.99 | 0.76 |
| UBS UBS Group AG | 116% | 120% | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| BMO Bank of Montreal | 104% | 112% | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF | 65% | 71% | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| ING ING Groep N.V. | 136% | 155% | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| BCS Barclays PLC | 113% | 131% | 0.86 | 1.26 |
| DB Deutsche Bank AG | 102% | 118% | 0.86 | 1.21 |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group plc | 106% | 130% | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| BNS The Bank of Nova Scotia | 97% | 120% | 0.81 | 1.05 |
What diversifies SMFG?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with SMFG's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing SMFG with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in SMFG into CAH would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 15% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+35.0% for SMFG alone, +36.7% for the mix).
- GLD made money in five of the seven calendar years in which SMFG lost money.
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and HDV have moved largely independently of SMFG over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.38 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which SMFG lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% SMFG and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2014 | 2011 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +327% | 1.14 | −10.9% | −22.2% | −28.7% | −19.2% | −28.6% | −43.6% | −27.1% | 23.9% | +35.0% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.38 | +225% | 1.34 | +3.9% | −19.8% | +8.1% | −16.1% | +2.0% | −20.8% | −7.4% | 20.3% | +33.8% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.33 | +101% | 1.04 | −13.4% | −8.7% | +23.8% | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | +31.4% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.37 | +83.3% | 1.00 | −6.5% | −3.0% | +12.6% | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | +30.6% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.23 | +323% | 0.97 | +55.5% | −9.1% | +30.2% | +6.8% | +60.5% | −44.7% | +6.0% | 21.8% | +36.9% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.43 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +2.1% | −9.5% | +3.4% | — | — | — | — | 20.2% | +30.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.15 | +126% | 0.96 | +24.8% | −1.9% | −2.2% | +9.6% | +24.0% | +4.9% | +30.4% | 20.0% | +32.2% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.21 | +136% | 0.93 | +28.2% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.4% | +33.0% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.21 | +177% | 0.93 | −32.7% | −18.2% | −8.7% | +2.8% | +21.8% | −39.0% | +36.8% | 20.9% | +33.5% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2014 | 2011 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +327% | 1.14 | −10.9% | −22.2% | −28.7% | −19.2% | −28.6% | −43.6% | −27.1% | 23.9% | +35.0% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.11 | +479% | 1.55 | +10.1% | −24.5% | +23.0% | +8.1% | −4.4% | −39.6% | −9.8% | 20.4% | +36.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.18 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −2.4% | −16.3% | +12.9% | −24.4% | +105% | −20.5% | −25.7% | 24.1% | +51.1% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.09 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +6.7% | +0.8% | −10.4% | −17.0% | +17.8% | −15.2% | +2.1% | 21.9% | +46.8% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.26 | +413% | 1.44 | +27.1% | −28.4% | +29.3% | +11.8% | +62.9% | −40.4% | +29.7% | 21.0% | +35.8% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.16 | +690% | 1.41 | −27.4% | −8.2% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | +39.0% |
Common questions
What was SMFG's worst drawdown?
SMFG's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 76.8%, from April 2006 to March 2009. It took about 15 years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because SMFG launched in January 2006, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were SMFG's best and worst years?
Over 19 full calendar years, SMFG's best year was 2024, when it returned 54.8%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -43.6%.
Is there a better investment than SMFG?
Looking beyond its popular alternatives, VIRT (capital markets) was ahead of SMFG in most short and long periods. Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SMFG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK and CAH.
Is SMFG more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. SMFG's volatility over the past 5 years was 29.4%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, SMFG's return lands within 29.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is SMFG's Sharpe ratio?
SMFG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.14, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so SMFG earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is SMFG with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, SMFG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.28 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against SMFG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a SMFG holding.
What are the best alternatives to SMFG?
None of the 19 popular alternatives we compared outperformed SMFG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about SMFG's strength than about its alternatives.
Did SMFG outperform the S&P 500?
SMFG finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in seven of 19 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +38.1%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did SMFG do in stock market crashes?
SMFG fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when SMFG fell 44.2% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
What diversifies SMFG?
These had a low correlation with SMFG over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.38), EMLP (correlation 0.33) and HDV (correlation 0.37); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.11), CLS (correlation 0.18) and FIX (correlation 0.09). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than SMFG's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of SMFG's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.