Relative Intelligence · Property & Casualty Insurance

How Travelers Companies (TRV) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on TRV alone. It places TRV (The Travelers Companies, Inc.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where TRV stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: TRV's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, TRV rose 32.6% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its property & casualty insurance peers were far apart over the past 6 months, from SAFT (Safety Insurance Group, up 39.8%) to PGR (Progressive, up 9.0%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?TRV held up far better than its industry: it rose 7.8% over the past 3 months while the property & casualty insurance ETF KIE (State Street SPDR S&P Insurance ETF) fell 1.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its property & casualty insurance peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: SAFT (Safety Insurance Group) rose 42.3%, while ALL (Allstate) fell 1.1%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsTRV has run far ahead of the market, rising 51.5% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (158% against 89.3%). TRV lagged its property & casualty insurance peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termTRV turned $10,000 into $44,700 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. TRV's 10-year return of 347% puts it ahead of 78% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashTRV fell less than the S&P 500 in three of the last four sell-offs, including the 2022 bear market (18.9% against 24.5%). In the 2022 bear market, TRV fell 18.9%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than PGR (Progressive, 10.5%) but less than ALL (Allstate, 20.3%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationTRV is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.32 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.33 with the total US market, less closely than 66% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Over 10 years TRV kept more of the market's gains than of its losses: 70% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 48% of its losses in falling ones, with a beta of 0.59. Market capture ↓
- Better optionsFew investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TRV with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX and DXJ (WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund). Better options ↓
How much would $10,000 in TRV have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in TRV over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of TRV over the same span and TRV's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in TRV at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $178,972 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of TRV, and AJG finished highest, at $566,042.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 334 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TRV; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AJG$566,042+5,560% total · +14.9% a year
- PGR$454,424+4,444% total · +14.1% a year
- WRB$427,501+4,175% total · +13.8% a year
- ACGL$380,068+3,701% total · +13.4% a year
- CB$184,681+1,747% total · +10.6% a year
- TRV$178,972+1,690% total · +10.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- THG$82,769+728% total · +7.6% a year
- MCY$72,420+624% total · +7.1% a year
- KMPR$22,564+126% total · +2.8% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 470 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TRV; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- DXJ$32,976+230% total · +27.0% a year
- MPLX$30,642+206% total · +25.1% a year
- ABBV$29,134+191% total · +23.8% a year
- TRV$25,788+158% total · +20.9% a year
- PGR$25,636+156% total · +20.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- HCI$17,223+72.2% total · +11.5% a year
- AJG$16,159+61.6% total · +10.1% a year
TRV at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- TRV's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 55.1%, from December 2000 to July 2002. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- TRV is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, TRV's best was 2000, when it returned 65.7%, and its worst was 2002, when it lost 20.1%. It lost money in seven of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $83B
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +51.5%total return
- Past 3 years
- +158%+37.1% a year
- Past 5 years
- +174%+22.4% a year
- Past 10 years
- +347%+16.2% a year
- Best calendar year
- +65.7%2000
- Worst calendar year
- −20.1%2002
- Losing years
- 7 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 22.3%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 1.02return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −55.1%Dec 2000 to Jul 2002
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
TRV against the whole market
Where TRV ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does TRV rank among all stocks?
This section ranks TRV on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how TRV stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), TRV ranks in the top 3% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | TRV | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +51.5% | 537 of 3,287 | top 16% |
| 3-year return | +158% | 558 of 3,017 | top 18% |
| 5-year return | +174% | 379 of 2,893 | top 13% |
| 10-year return | +347% | 485 of 2,202 | top 22% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 22.3% | 162 of 2,893 | top 6% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 1.02 | 90 of 2,893 | top 3% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −46.3% | 330 of 2,187 | top 15% |
What has beaten TRV on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). TRV sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than TRV with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- One stock and one ETF worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than TRV over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half TRV's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 15% less than TRV's 22.3%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 1.02 for TRV.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to TRV. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- The whole market
Is there a better investment than TRV?
Investments that beat TRV over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TRV with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX and DXJ.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat TRV over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks TRV's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than TRV follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than TRV's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× TRV's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than TRV's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with TRV?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.32 | 0.09% | |||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 17 of 3,573 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.25 | 0.48% | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.10 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.46 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.50 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.35 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.36 | — | |
| On the frontierSmaller losses in recent crashes | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.36 | — | ||
EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Higher return in most periods | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.03 | 0.59% | |
What these numbers mean for TRV
- Annual return
- TRV returned 22.4% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $27,400. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- TRV's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.3%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TRV's return lands within 22.3% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- TRV's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.02, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TRV earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- TRV's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 46.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 46.3% fall takes a 86.1% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, TRV's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.32 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TRV instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TRV holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 2 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than TRV with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with TRV | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.25 | 0.48% |
| 2 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.50 | — |
TRV against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against TRV, compared period by period and year by year.
How do TRV's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at TRV, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 23 popular alternatives earned more than TRV over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 18 of the 23 popular alternatives earned less than TRV over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, TRV returned 22.4% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (22.3% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than TRV with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| TRV This pageThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | +22.4% | 22.3% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | +21.3% | 25.6% |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | +20.1% | 24.5% |
| WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | +18.9% | 22.9% |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | +17.0% | 22.2% |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | +17.0% | 34.3% |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | +17.0% | 26.2% |
| AXS AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | +16.7% | 25.2% |
| CB Chubb Limited | +15.7% | 20.4% |
| HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | +15.6% | 22.0% |
| THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | +14.4% | 22.9% |
| L Loews Corporation | +14.3% | 19.2% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | +12.0% | 25.4% |
| HCI HCI Group, Inc. | +11.7% | 42.0% |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | +10.9% | 24.2% |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc. | +10.6% | 28.5% |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | +10.2% | 25.7% |
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | +9.8% | 22.6% |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | +9.4% | 25.7% |
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | +9.2% | 21.6% |
| RLI RLI Corp. | +8.1% | 23.9% |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | +4.4% | 27.4% |
| AON Aon plc | −0.3% | 23.8% |
| KMPR Kemper Corporation | −12.3% | 37.3% |
Has TRV consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares TRV with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than TRV helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 24 popular alternatives outperformed TRV in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was HCI.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than TRV over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. (this page) | — | +6.6% | +7.8% | +32.6% | +40.3% | +51.5% | +158% | +174% | +347% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | — | $83B | — |
| HCI Insurance - Property & CasualtyHCI Group, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +10.9% | +13.9% | +32.8% | +11.9% | +5.3% | +267% | +73.5% | +829% | 42.0% | 0.47 | −78.8% | — | $2.5B | — |
| AJG Insurance - BrokersArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 1/5 short1/3 long | +9.6% | +2.5% | +16.9% | +2.2% | −6.1% | +17.3% | +68.0% | +516% | 24.2% | 0.55 | −44.4% | — | $66B | — |
| PGR Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe Progressive Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +4.6% | +4.6% | +9.0% | +4.8% | +7.7% | +56.8% | +162% | +816% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | — | $129B | — |
| WRB Insurance - Property & CasualtyW. R. Berkley Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +6.3% | +0.7% | +11.7% | +6.7% | +2.3% | +87.3% | +138% | +443% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | — | $27B | — |
| MCY Insurance - Property & CasualtyMercury General Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +4.7% | −0.9% | +11.4% | +15.6% | +33.9% | +268% | +119% | +198% | 34.3% | 0.63 | −55.3% | — | $5.8B | — |
| SAFT Insurance - Property & CasualtySafety Insurance Group, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +0.5% | +42.3% | +39.8% | +42.3% | +56.4% | +63.8% | +65.8% | +138% | 28.5% | 0.49 | −32.8% | — | $1.5B | — |
| THG Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +3.9% | +8.7% | +30.1% | +31.4% | +37.7% | +115% | +95.9% | +291% | 22.9% | 0.70 | −40.1% | — | $8.1B | — |
| MET Insurance - LifeMetLife, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +4.7% | +9.5% | +32.0% | +28.6% | +32.2% | +84.0% | +76.5% | +240% | 25.4% | 0.58 | −55.2% | — | $64B | — |
| KMPR Insurance - Property & CasualtyKemper Corporation | 1/5 short0/3 long | +12.1% | +6.1% | −9.3% | −22.2% | −37.4% | −24.1% | −48.0% | −3.1% | 37.3% | -0.16 | −70.3% | — | $1.8B | — |
| SKWD Insurance - Property & CasualtySkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +9.5% | +1.6% | +32.6% | +26.8% | +32.8% | +122% | — | — | — | — | −36.5% | — | $2.7B | — |
| ALL Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe Allstate Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.9% | −1.1% | +17.3% | +24.4% | +31.5% | +116% | +119% | +356% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | — | $63B | — |
| ORI Insurance - Property & CasualtyOld Republic International Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +1.2% | −5.3% | −5.2% | −6.1% | +3.6% | +81.5% | +119% | +349% | 22.2% | 0.82 | −47.8% | — | $9.6B | — |
| AFG Insurance - Property & CasualtyAmerican Financial Group, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +6.4% | +5.6% | +16.3% | +15.0% | +20.4% | +66.9% | +59.7% | +321% | 22.6% | 0.53 | −59.0% | — | $12B | — |
| ACGL Insurance - DiversifiedArch Capital Group Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +5.8% | −0.5% | +3.9% | +7.9% | +16.5% | +28.7% | +150% | +309% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | — | $35B | — |
| HIG Insurance - DiversifiedThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +4.3% | −2.5% | −0.9% | +0.8% | +12.1% | +105% | +106% | +294% | 22.0% | 0.77 | −57.6% | — | $37B | — |
| CB Insurance - Property & CasualtyChubb Limited | 0/5 short0/3 long | +6.1% | +1.8% | +9.1% | +16.4% | +35.0% | +78.9% | +107% | +248% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | — | $138B | — |
| RLI Insurance - Property & CasualtyRLI Corp. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +6.2% | +1.9% | +13.5% | +5.4% | +14.2% | +8.4% | +47.7% | +206% | 23.9% | 0.45 | −43.5% | — | $5.8B | — |
| CINF Insurance - Property & CasualtyCincinnati Financial Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.7% | −4.1% | +4.8% | +8.4% | +13.6% | +87.6% | +62.7% | +203% | 25.7% | 0.51 | −58.1% | — | $26B | — |
| AON Insurance - BrokersAon plc | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.0% | −18.0% | −10.2% | −13.2% | −13.0% | −3.1% | −1.6% | +195% | 23.8% | 0.11 | −38.7% | — | $63B | — |
| CNA Insurance - Property & CasualtyCNA Financial Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +1.3% | −7.7% | +3.6% | +10.9% | +15.2% | +56.4% | +55.2% | +183% | 21.6% | 0.52 | −45.9% | — | $13B | — |
| L Insurance - Property & CasualtyLoews Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +4.3% | −2.8% | +0.4% | +6.6% | +12.5% | +78.4% | +94.9% | +180% | 19.2% | 0.80 | −48.5% | — | $23B | — |
| SIGI Insurance - Property & CasualtySelective Insurance Group, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +1.9% | −7.1% | +10.3% | +8.6% | +9.1% | −9.1% | +24.1% | +160% | 27.4% | 0.30 | −48.4% | — | $5.3B | — |
| EG Insurance - ReinsuranceEverest Group, Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +6.4% | +4.3% | +13.4% | +19.6% | +14.8% | +6.0% | +57.0% | +155% | 25.7% | 0.48 | −44.2% | — | $15B | — |
| AXS Insurance - DiversifiedAXIS Capital Holdings Limited | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.1% | −12.2% | −0.4% | −2.3% | +11.1% | +90.4% | +116% | +137% | 25.2% | 0.74 | −49.3% | — | $7.3B | — |
How did TRV do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where TRV ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with TRV and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- TRV finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 13 of its 29 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, PGR came out ahead of TRV most often, in 19 of the 29 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, TRV finished in the top quarter in five of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in five. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 25.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of TRV; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places TRV among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of TRV | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRV This pageThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | — | +22.4% | +28.8% | +3.9% | +22.4% | +14.0% | +5.3% | +17.0% | −9.7% | +13.4% | +11.0% | +9.1% | +19.6% | +29.1% | +24.8% | +9.3% | +14.8% | +13.5% | −13.8% | +2.4% | +22.9% | +23.2% | −3.6% | +20.3% | −20.1% | −16.9% | +65.7% | 0.0% | −12.9% | +43.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 5 of 29 | 8 of 25 | 12 of 25 | 16 of 24 | 6 of 24 | 18 of 24 | 6 of 24 | 19 of 24 | 18 of 24 | 13 of 24 | 22 of 24 | 11 of 24 | 5 of 24 | 21 of 24 | 6 of 24 | 9 of 24 | 15 of 24 | 8 of 24 | 11 of 23 | 8 of 23 | 7 of 23 | 11 of 23 | 22 of 23 | 16 of 22 | 15 of 21 | 18 of 21 | 9 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 14 of 20 | 11 of 20 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 15 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| HCI HCI Group, Inc. | 10 of 17 | +66.3% | +35.5% | +127% | −51.2% | +62.8% | +18.5% | −6.8% | +76.0% | −21.5% | +17.6% | −17.1% | −17.0% | +168% | +174% | +6.2% | +7.2% | +45.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 17 of 29 | −8.0% | +27.4% | +20.5% | +12.4% | +39.0% | +32.1% | +31.8% | +19.2% | +25.1% | +31.1% | −10.1% | +3.5% | +40.0% | +7.6% | +20.3% | +35.6% | −7.8% | +12.7% | −14.3% | −0.1% | −1.2% | +3.3% | +13.4% | −13.1% | +10.4% | +100% | +51.8% | +32.5% | +15.3% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | 19 of 29 | −3.0% | +51.4% | +23.2% | +26.8% | +10.8% | +41.5% | +25.1% | +9.4% | +61.6% | +14.9% | +21.1% | +5.3% | +30.9% | +15.5% | +0.2% | +17.2% | +21.5% | −22.1% | −13.2% | −16.9% | +37.8% | +1.7% | +68.5% | 0.0% | +44.3% | +42.2% | −56.6% | +41.6% | +78.3% |
| WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 14 of 29 | +23.0% | +27.9% | +0.3% | +33.9% | +27.4% | −3.1% | +43.8% | +5.7% | +9.9% | +23.7% | +7.8% | +21.8% | +16.1% | +13.6% | +27.1% | +12.3% | −19.9% | +5.2% | −13.1% | +9.2% | +52.6% | +36.1% | +33.2% | +10.8% | +15.2% | +131% | −37.4% | −21.1% | +32.0% |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | 16 of 29 | +44.1% | +82.2% | +13.6% | −32.6% | +6.2% | +13.5% | −1.2% | +1.7% | −7.2% | +35.2% | −13.8% | +19.8% | +32.6% | −7.8% | +12.6% | +15.9% | −8.1% | −3.0% | −1.8% | −6.1% | +0.1% | +32.4% | +27.8% | −11.5% | +1.6% | +104% | −47.8% | −19.6% | +114% |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc. | 8 of 23 | −0.8% | +13.2% | −5.3% | +3.1% | +14.1% | −11.8% | +17.2% | +5.7% | +13.7% | +36.7% | −7.4% | +19.1% | +27.8% | +19.9% | −11.1% | +37.8% | −0.1% | +8.4% | −25.3% | +27.8% | +31.0% | +86.7% | +21.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 15 of 29 | +20.7% | +30.6% | −7.6% | +5.4% | +14.5% | −12.3% | +26.7% | +10.1% | +21.4% | +14.4% | +16.6% | +22.4% | +58.3% | +14.4% | −23.0% | +7.6% | +5.2% | −5.0% | −5.2% | +17.5% | +28.1% | +6.7% | +205% | −77.3% | −38.1% | +30.8% | −3.4% | +16.3% | +49.8% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 10 of 25 | −0.8% | +27.7% | −5.5% | +19.2% | +37.5% | −3.4% | +28.8% | −15.8% | +8.4% | +15.9% | −8.3% | +3.0% | +67.5% | +7.9% | −28.3% | +27.9% | +3.7% | −42.2% | +5.6% | +21.7% | +22.2% | +21.8% | +25.4% | −13.9% | −8.8% | — | — | — | — |
| KMPR Kemper Corporation | 13 of 29 | −37.5% | +39.2% | +1.5% | −14.2% | −22.1% | +0.8% | +18.3% | −2.3% | +58.7% | +22.6% | +5.8% | −9.3% | +42.5% | +4.3% | +23.2% | +15.2% | +48.2% | −64.4% | −0.3% | +15.7% | +2.7% | +14.1% | +50.1% | −22.5% | +9.2% | +13.5% | +9.4% | +15.5% | +21.2% |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | 1 of 2 | +1.1% | +49.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | 12 of 29 | +10.1% | +40.6% | +6.4% | +18.4% | +9.9% | −0.1% | +38.8% | −19.5% | +43.6% | +21.7% | −9.9% | +31.2% | +38.6% | +50.2% | −11.4% | +9.1% | −5.1% | −34.5% | −17.6% | +23.4% | +6.9% | +23.1% | +19.4% | +12.3% | −21.0% | +85.6% | −36.4% | −13.8% | +58.5% |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | 15 of 29 | +37.4% | +27.2% | +26.4% | +6.7% | +44.9% | −7.6% | +17.7% | +4.9% | +17.0% | +6.3% | +33.4% | −11.2% | +70.5% | +23.5% | −27.3% | +43.3% | −10.2% | −18.2% | −31.5% | +13.9% | +10.4% | +1.9% | +42.5% | +1.9% | −10.1% | +141% | −37.0% | −8.1% | +41.1% |
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | 14 of 29 | +5.4% | +23.8% | −7.6% | +10.9% | +93.8% | −16.2% | +27.1% | −13.0% | +29.2% | +25.8% | +22.2% | +8.7% | +51.2% | +9.9% | +16.5% | +32.2% | +11.7% | −19.1% | −18.6% | +42.4% | +24.4% | +20.2% | +17.4% | −4.1% | −3.8% | +5.0% | −38.0% | +11.6% | +9.5% |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 18 of 29 | +3.9% | +30.8% | +18.3% | +41.2% | +23.2% | −15.9% | +60.5% | −11.7% | +5.2% | +23.7% | +18.1% | −1.0% | +35.6% | +18.2% | +26.9% | +23.0% | +2.0% | −0.3% | +4.1% | +23.5% | +41.3% | −2.9% | +28.0% | +21.0% | +72.2% | +18.8% | −42.2% | −2.1% | +14.6% |
| HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 15 of 29 | +28.1% | +38.5% | +8.6% | +12.3% | +44.3% | −17.0% | +39.8% | −19.2% | +20.3% | +11.8% | +6.1% | +17.1% | +64.1% | +40.9% | −37.5% | +14.8% | +43.8% | −79.8% | −4.6% | +10.8% | +25.8% | +19.5% | +33.0% | −26.3% | −9.6% | +51.9% | −12.1% | +19.3% | +41.5% |
| CB Chubb Limited | 15 of 29 | +14.5% | +23.9% | +4.2% | +16.0% | +27.9% | +1.4% | +22.9% | −9.6% | +12.8% | +15.6% | +5.3% | +14.4% | +31.9% | +17.6% | +14.5% | +26.4% | −1.8% | −13.0% | +3.8% | +15.4% | +27.5% | +5.3% | +44.3% | −25.4% | −3.7% | +159% | −50.6% | +7.8% | +62.3% |
| RLI RLI Corp. | 14 of 29 | −19.1% | +27.6% | +3.8% | +24.8% | +10.7% | +18.1% | +33.2% | +16.7% | +0.4% | +6.8% | +31.1% | +9.6% | +57.9% | −2.7% | +52.1% | +13.7% | −11.0% | +9.6% | +2.2% | +14.5% | +21.8% | +12.5% | +36.0% | +24.6% | +2.5% | +33.8% | +4.1% | −15.2% | +50.0% |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 13 of 29 | +16.3% | +42.5% | +4.0% | −7.9% | +33.3% | −14.1% | +38.9% | +6.3% | +1.0% | +31.5% | +19.0% | +2.6% | +38.4% | +34.2% | +1.5% | +27.5% | −3.6% | −22.8% | −9.8% | +4.4% | +9.1% | +14.2% | +14.0% | +0.7% | −1.4% | +29.5% | −13.2% | −20.7% | +121% |
| AON Aon plc | 15 of 29 | −0.9% | +24.4% | −2.3% | +0.6% | +43.4% | +2.4% | +44.7% | +9.9% | +21.1% | +22.5% | −1.6% | +14.3% | +52.4% | +20.3% | +2.9% | +21.8% | −14.8% | −2.9% | +37.0% | −0.1% | +54.3% | +2.2% | +30.3% | −45.2% | +6.3% | −11.9% | +10.7% | −3.8% | +44.6% |
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | 9 of 29 | +7.0% | +24.0% | +7.1% | +3.8% | +19.0% | −5.4% | +9.5% | −11.1% | +37.1% | +30.0% | −2.3% | −5.3% | +56.5% | +6.9% | +0.3% | +12.7% | +45.9% | −50.4% | −15.8% | +23.2% | +22.4% | +11.0% | −5.9% | −12.2% | −24.7% | −0.5% | −3.3% | −5.5% | +19.4% |
| L Loews Corporation | 14 of 29 | +24.7% | +22.1% | +19.8% | +1.4% | +28.9% | −13.7% | +15.9% | −8.6% | +7.2% | +22.7% | −8.1% | −12.4% | +19.0% | +8.9% | −2.6% | +7.8% | +29.8% | −43.5% | +22.0% | +32.0% | +36.0% | +43.6% | +12.8% | −18.8% | +8.1% | +73.3% | −37.5% | −6.4% | +13.7% |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −8.8% | −4.6% | +13.7% | +9.7% | +24.0% | +4.5% | +8.2% | +5.1% | +38.2% | +30.3% | +26.0% | +2.7% | +43.6% | +12.0% | +0.7% | +14.0% | −25.7% | +2.1% | −18.1% | +9.7% | +22.0% | +39.1% | +31.8% | +18.7% | −8.0% | +45.7% | −11.9% | −23.7% | +45.4% |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | 16 of 29 | −4.1% | +4.6% | +8.7% | +23.7% | +19.8% | −13.0% | +30.2% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +21.1% | +9.9% | +11.4% | +44.0% | +33.3% | +1.4% | +1.4% | +15.5% | −22.3% | +4.3% | −1.6% | +12.6% | +6.4% | +53.8% | −21.4% | −0.8% | +223% | −42.2% | −5.1% | +44.2% |
| AXS AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | 9 of 22 | +23.0% | +63.9% | +5.5% | +2.6% | +11.8% | −11.9% | +18.3% | +5.7% | −21.0% | +19.1% | +12.5% | +10.0% | +40.5% | +11.6% | −8.1% | +29.7% | +0.6% | −23.4% | +18.9% | +8.8% | +16.7% | −4.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How TRV has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were TRV's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents TRV's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of TRV's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: TRV fell 51.0% from March 1998 to March 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 28.3%.
- The slowest recovery came after TRV fell 55.1% from December 2000 to July 2002; it did not regain that peak until October 2006, four years later.
Green means TRV fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | TRV fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −55.1% | −35.9% | Dec 2000 | Jul 2002 | 19 months | Oct 2006 | 4.3 years |
| No named crash | −51.0% | +28.3% | Mar 1998 | Mar 2000 | 2 years | Jul 2000 | 4 months |
| Covid crash | −46.3% | −19.4% | Jul 2019 | Mar 2020 | 8 months | Feb 2021 | 11 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −44.3% | −39.6% | May 2007 | Oct 2008 | 17 months | Nov 2009 | 13 months |
| No named crash | −31.1% | — | Oct 1987 | Apr 1988 | 6 months | Jun 1989 | 14 months |
How did TRV do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far TRV, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, RLI held up best, falling less than TRV in seven of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- TRV fell less than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when TRV fell 43.7% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than TRV.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRV This pageThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | — | −2.6% | −18.9% | −39.2% | −15.7% | −8.8% | −11.4% | −18.1% | −1.1% | −43.7% | −55.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 3 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| HCI HCI Group, Inc. | 5 of 8 | −4.5% | −58.8% | −28.3% | −12.5% | −4.0% | −33.5% | −10.8% | 0.0% | — | — |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 5 of 10 | −4.8% | −18.8% | −37.0% | −11.5% | −6.1% | −23.1% | −13.4% | −1.1% | −46.0% | −41.2% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | 5 of 10 | −2.9% | −10.5% | −18.3% | −22.3% | −4.3% | −12.3% | −16.6% | −1.2% | −52.9% | −36.2% |
| WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 6 of 10 | −7.5% | −14.7% | −45.3% | −12.2% | −7.5% | −17.6% | −15.5% | −0.9% | −42.0% | −25.9% |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | 3 of 10 | −6.2% | −48.3% | −32.2% | −19.6% | −13.6% | −20.2% | −12.5% | −0.9% | −62.9% | −26.1% |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc. | 5 of 9 | −6.5% | −21.2% | −26.9% | −13.9% | −6.7% | −13.0% | −11.3% | −2.3% | −33.8% | — |
| THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −5.2% | −18.6% | −38.8% | −14.2% | −7.3% | −10.7% | −15.9% | 0.0% | −42.9% | −90.1% |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 1 of 9 | −12.6% | −19.5% | −55.0% | −20.9% | −6.9% | −36.5% | −36.3% | −3.4% | −82.3% | — |
| KMPR Kemper Corporation | 2 of 10 | −9.1% | −34.3% | −28.9% | −23.6% | −10.1% | −42.0% | −21.8% | −3.4% | −82.5% | −32.5% |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | 0 of 1 | −8.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | 3 of 10 | −6.7% | −20.3% | −40.8% | −23.7% | −8.0% | −10.8% | −20.3% | −0.8% | −74.8% | −30.6% |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | 4 of 10 | −5.3% | −20.4% | −46.3% | −14.0% | −7.7% | −10.7% | −21.9% | −3.0% | −60.0% | −27.9% |
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −7.4% | −16.2% | −58.2% | −23.5% | −6.6% | −11.8% | −13.8% | −0.5% | −58.7% | −38.0% |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 4 of 10 | −7.3% | −16.6% | −51.7% | −17.9% | −5.5% | −16.4% | −12.6% | −0.6% | −43.9% | −21.9% |
| HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −9.0% | −18.6% | −54.5% | −19.4% | −8.1% | −23.3% | −37.2% | −2.9% | −96.0% | −51.5% |
| CB Chubb Limited | 5 of 10 | −5.6% | −19.1% | −42.2% | −13.6% | −8.4% | −9.7% | −13.7% | −0.2% | −51.2% | −52.4% |
| RLI RLI Corp. | 7 of 10 | −4.3% | −15.7% | −27.0% | −16.9% | −6.1% | −8.2% | −14.7% | −2.2% | −34.8% | −21.3% |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 4 of 10 | −7.0% | −35.8% | −40.5% | −12.1% | −7.9% | −11.3% | −15.4% | −1.5% | −57.1% | −29.8% |
| AON Aon plc | 3 of 10 | −2.4% | −25.4% | −38.7% | −17.0% | −5.3% | −17.4% | −20.7% | 0.0% | −30.3% | −66.5% |
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | 2 of 10 | −8.7% | −25.7% | −43.3% | −12.3% | −8.9% | −24.6% | −22.7% | −1.8% | −83.9% | −46.2% |
| L Loews Corporation | 1 of 10 | −5.6% | −26.1% | −44.8% | −17.7% | −9.4% | −12.1% | −18.0% | −1.0% | −64.2% | −45.9% |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −5.7% | −17.4% | −38.4% | −14.9% | −5.5% | −20.3% | −25.4% | −4.0% | −61.3% | −34.8% |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | 6 of 10 | −9.4% | −19.0% | −40.4% | −12.0% | −2.8% | −10.3% | −11.9% | 0.0% | −46.7% | −44.7% |
| AXS AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | 2 of 9 | −6.4% | −19.0% | −43.6% | −15.5% | −2.5% | −10.7% | −21.5% | −0.9% | −55.9% | — |
How closely does TRV move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares TRV with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, TRV captured 70% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 48% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.59. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- PGR took just -5% of the S&P 500's losses, against 48% for TRV, while still keeping 72% of its gains.
- Four of the 22 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than TRV's 1.48, led by WRB, AJG and THG.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than TRV's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRV This pageThe Travelers Companies, Inc. | 70% | 48% | 1.48 | 0.59 |
| WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation | 68% | 26% | 2.58 | 0.55 |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 80% | 46% | 1.74 | 0.61 |
| THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 64% | 37% | 1.72 | 0.60 |
| ALL The Allstate Corporation | 68% | 41% | 1.66 | 0.49 |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | 46% | 32% | 1.43 | 0.46 |
| HCI HCI Group, Inc. | 110% | 80% | 1.37 | 0.90 |
| ORI Old Republic International Corporation | 82% | 61% | 1.34 | 0.70 |
| CB Chubb Limited | 63% | 48% | 1.32 | 0.54 |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 74% | 57% | 1.28 | 0.57 |
| CNA CNA Financial Corporation | 57% | 45% | 1.26 | 0.54 |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc. | 50% | 41% | 1.21 | 0.23 |
| AFG American Financial Group, Inc. | 84% | 75% | 1.12 | 0.78 |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | 56% | 51% | 1.10 | 0.56 |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | 63% | 59% | 1.07 | 0.65 |
| HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 83% | 77% | 1.07 | 0.78 |
| RLI RLI Corp. | 57% | 54% | 1.05 | 0.39 |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 66% | 63% | 1.05 | 0.60 |
| AXS AXIS Capital Holdings Limited | 55% | 53% | 1.04 | 0.67 |
| L Loews Corporation | 66% | 64% | 1.03 | 0.71 |
| MET MetLife, Inc. | 91% | 97% | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| AON Aon plc | 79% | 89% | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| KMPR Kemper Corporation | 80% | 171% | 0.47 | 0.93 |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | 72% | -5% | — | 0.36 |
What diversifies TRV?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with TRV's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing TRV with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in TRV into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+20.9% for TRV alone, +21.0% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and DBEF have moved largely independently of TRV over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.42 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- Among large stocks, CAH, CLS and FIX have moved largely independently of TRV over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.42 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which TRV lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% TRV and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2018 | 2008 | 2004 | 2002 | 2001 | 1999 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +174% | 1.02 | −9.7% | −13.8% | −3.6% | −20.1% | −16.9% | 0.0% | −12.9% | 21.0% | +20.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.25 | +225% | 1.34 | −19.8% | −20.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 17.6% | +22.5% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.05 | +323% | 0.97 | −9.1% | −44.7% | −19.3% | −47.0% | −14.6% | — | — | 17.9% | +25.6% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.42 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −9.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.8% | +19.7% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.06 | +126% | 0.96 | −1.9% | +4.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 17.3% | +21.0% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.31 | +136% | 0.93 | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.5% | +21.6% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.48 | +177% | 0.93 | −18.2% | −39.0% | +33.8% | −14.8% | −18.2% | +18.1% | — | 19.8% | +21.8% |
| MLPA EnergyGlobal X - MLP ETF | 0.49 | +103% | 0.91 | −15.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.7% | +20.5% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.36 | +109% | 0.90 | −11.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.6% | +20.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2018 | 2008 | 2004 | 2002 | 2001 | 1999 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +174% | 1.02 | −9.7% | −13.8% | −3.6% | −20.1% | −16.9% | 0.0% | −12.9% | 21.0% | +20.9% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.42 | +479% | 1.55 | −24.5% | −39.6% | −4.7% | −8.3% | −2.5% | −36.8% | +51.7% | 19.6% | +24.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.09 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −16.3% | −20.5% | −6.4% | −65.1% | −25.6% | +350% | — | 21.3% | +38.6% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.21 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +0.8% | −15.2% | +40.0% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −58.7% | −9.5% | 20.6% | +34.1% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.49 | +413% | 1.44 | −28.4% | −40.4% | −1.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | −71.3% | +46.9% | 19.8% | +24.0% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.35 | +690% | 1.41 | −8.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.0% | +26.9% |
Common questions
What was TRV's worst drawdown?
TRV's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 55.1%, from December 2000 to July 2002. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were TRV's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, TRV's best year was 2000, when it returned 65.7%. Its worst was 2002, with a return of -20.1%.
Is there a better investment than TRV?
Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TRV with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX and DXJ.
Is TRV more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. TRV's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.3%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TRV's return lands within 22.3% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is TRV's Sharpe ratio?
TRV's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.02, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TRV earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is TRV with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, TRV's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.32 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TRV instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TRV holding.
What are the best alternatives to TRV?
None of the 24 popular alternatives we compared outperformed TRV in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about TRV's strength than about its alternatives.
Did TRV outperform the S&P 500?
TRV finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 13 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +22.4%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did TRV do in stock market crashes?
TRV fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in five of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in three. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when TRV fell 43.7% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies TRV?
These had a low correlation with TRV over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.25), SMH (correlation -0.05) and DBEF (correlation 0.42); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.42), CLS (correlation 0.09) and FIX (correlation 0.21). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than TRV's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of TRV's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.