Relative Intelligence · Industrial Distribution

How W.W. Grainger (GWW) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on GWW alone. It places GWW (W.W. Grainger, Inc.) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where GWW stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: GWW's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowNot every peer went the same way. Over the past 3 months, FAST (Fastenal) rose 16.0% and FBIN (Fortune Brands Innovations) fell 18.3%. GWW has gone against the market, falling 2.4% over the past 3 months while the S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?GWW fell 2.4% over the past 3 months, 3.7 points ahead of the industrial distribution ETF XLI (State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF), which fell 6.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its industrial distribution peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: FAST (Fastenal) rose 16.0%, while FBIN (Fortune Brands Innovations) fell 18.3%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, GWW rose 38.7% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (98.1% against 89.3%). By year ↓
- Long termGWW turned $10,000 into $75,400 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. GWW's 10-year return of 654% puts it ahead of 90% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashIn the 2022 bear market, GWW held up better than its industrial distribution peers, including FAST (Fastenal), FERG and WCC. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, GWW has a correlation of 0.61 over 5 years, more closely than 91% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- URI (United Rentals) and DXPE (DXP Enterprises) were ahead of GWW in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (39.1% and 46.1% volatility against 24.9%).
- Whole market
- Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GWW with less volatility over the past 5 years.
How much would $10,000 in GWW have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in GWW over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of GWW over the same span and GWW's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in GWW at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $444,276 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of GWW, and AAPL finished highest, at $20,534,853.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 125 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of GWW; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$21M+205,249% total · +30.1% a year
- ROK$1M+12,857% total · +18.3% a year
- PH$505,227+4,952% total · +14.5% a year
- FAST$485,606+4,756% total · +14.3% a year
- PGR$454,424+4,444% total · +14.1% a year
- GWW$444,276+4,343% total · +14.0% a year
- AIT$389,541+3,795% total · +13.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- MSM$111,662+1,017% total · +8.7% a year
- GIC$46,860+369% total · +5.5% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 287 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of GWW; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- DXPE$61,281+513% total · +43.7% a year
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- CAH$49,682+397% total · +37.8% a year
- MCK$43,941+339% total · +34.5% a year
- AIT$38,549+285% total · +31.0% a year
- PH$36,392+264% total · +29.5% a year
- GWW$33,303+233% total · +27.2% a year
- URI$29,622+196% total · +24.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
GWW at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- GWW's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 56.7%, from June 1999 to October 2000. It took 16 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, GWW's best was 2023, when it returned 50.5%, and its worst was 2000, when it lost 22.3%. It lost money in seven of those years.
- GWW is 4.5% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $63B
- Industry
- Industrial - Distribution
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +38.7%total return
- Past 3 years
- +98.1%+25.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +221%+26.3% a year
- Past 10 years
- +654%+22.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +50.5%2023
- Worst calendar year
- −22.3%2000
- Losing years
- 7 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 24.9%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 1.07return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −56.7%Jun 1999 to Oct 2000
- From its all-time high
- −4.5%below the peak
GWW against the whole market
Where GWW ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does GWW rank among all stocks?
This section ranks GWW on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how GWW stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), GWW ranks in the top 2% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | GWW | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +38.7% | 758 of 3,287 | top 23% |
| 3-year return | +98.1% | 937 of 3,017 | top 31% |
| 5-year return | +221% | 273 of 2,893 | top 9% |
| 10-year return | +654% | 213 of 2,202 | top 10% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 24.9% | 316 of 2,893 | top 11% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 1.07 | 66 of 2,893 | top 2% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −41.6% | 192 of 2,187 | top 9% |
What has beaten GWW on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). GWW sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than GWW with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- None of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GWW over the past 5 years with less volatility: nothing sits in the green region.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to GWW. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- The whole market
- 1 with more than 1.6× GWW's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than GWW?
Investments that beat GWW over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among GWW's popular alternatives, URI and DXPE were ahead of GWW in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (39.1% and 46.1% volatility against 24.9%).
- Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GWW with less volatility over the past 5 years.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat GWW over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks GWW's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than GWW's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× GWW's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than GWW's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with GWW?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.61 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 2 shownThe investments people most often weigh against GWW. 2 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +24.3% | 39.1% | 0.75 | −63.3% | +1,270% | 0.66 | — | ||
DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc. · Industrial - Distribution | Higher return in most periods | +39.0% | 46.1% | 0.95 | −77.3% | +610% | 0.19 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 40 of 3,529 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.08 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.44 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.28 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.20 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.15 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.47 | 0.09% | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatility | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.41 | 0.48% | |
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.35 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for GWW
- Annual return
- GWW returned 26.3% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $32,100. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- GWW's volatility over the past 5 years was 24.9%, 1.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, GWW's return lands within 24.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- GWW's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.07, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so GWW earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- GWW's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 41.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 41.6% fall takes a 71.2% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, GWW's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.61 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against GWW instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a GWW holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
GWW against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against GWW, compared period by period and year by year.
How do GWW's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at GWW, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than GWW over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 13 of the 19 popular alternatives earned less than GWW over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, GWW returned 26.3% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (24.9% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than GWW with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | +39.0% | 46.1% |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | +28.5% | 30.3% |
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | +27.4% | 28.8% |
| GWW This pageW.W. Grainger, Inc. | +26.3% | 24.9% |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | +24.3% | 39.1% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | +22.5% | 45.3% |
| FAST Fastenal Company | +15.8% | 24.6% |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | +13.3% | 25.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| FERG Ferguson plc | +11.2% | 30.7% |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | +11.2% | 38.3% |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | +10.9% | 42.7% |
| ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. | +7.8% | 32.3% |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | +6.7% | 21.4% |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | +6.2% | 45.8% |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | +5.3% | 39.0% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | +3.8% | 31.4% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | +1.5% | 22.8% |
| REZI Resideo Technologies, Inc. | −0.7% | 48.0% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | −12.0% | 38.1% |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | −14.6% | 41.3% |
Has GWW consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares GWW with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than GWW helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Only one of the 19 popular alternatives, DXPE, outperformed GWW in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- PH outperformed GWW over all three long-term periods but in only one of the five short-term ones, so GWW has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than GWW over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. (this page) | — | +4.6% | −2.4% | +15.3% | +33.9% | +38.7% | +98.1% | +221% | +654% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | — | $63B | — |
| DXPE QualifiedDXP Enterprises, Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | −9.4% | +1.7% | +8.8% | +58.3% | +48.8% | +425% | +419% | +610% | 46.1% | 0.95 | −77.3% | — | $2.6B | — |
| PH Industrial - MachineryParker-Hannifin Corporation | 1/5 short3/3 long | −1.4% | −0.4% | −4.8% | +6.3% | +28.7% | +161% | +235% | +789% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | — | $119B | — |
| AIT Industrial - DistributionApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 1/5 short3/3 long | +3.2% | −1.4% | +12.9% | +28.0% | +33.4% | +120% | +250% | +742% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | — | $12B | — |
| URI Rental & Leasing ServicesUnited Rentals, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +1.4% | +3.3% | +29.0% | +24.3% | +5.2% | +164% | +196% | +1,270% | 39.1% | 0.75 | −63.3% | — | $65B | — |
| GIC Industrial - DistributionGlobal Industrial Co | 4/5 short1/3 long | +8.1% | +29.8% | +33.7% | +53.9% | +31.2% | +49.6% | +29.5% | +995% | 39.0% | 0.33 | −55.7% | — | $1.7B | — |
| WCC Industrial - DistributionWESCO International, Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −3.9% | +7.2% | +6.1% | +36.2% | +57.1% | +179% | +176% | +505% | 45.3% | 0.68 | −78.8% | — | $17B | — |
| MSM Industrial - DistributionMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +6.5% | +4.3% | +34.3% | +55.1% | +54.6% | +48.6% | +86.7% | +184% | 25.1% | 0.63 | −48.2% | — | $7.2B | — |
| FERG Industrial - DistributionFerguson plc | 2/5 short0/3 long | +5.1% | −0.5% | −13.1% | +2.1% | −4.7% | +55.4% | +70.0% | +418% | 30.7% | 0.50 | −55.4% | — | $44B | — |
| DSGR Industrial - DistributionDistribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +0.5% | +1.6% | +27.9% | +25.0% | +18.5% | +20.8% | +34.9% | +268% | 45.8% | 0.35 | −58.0% | — | $1.6B | — |
| DNOW Industrial - DistributionDnow Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +1.3% | +13.0% | +31.4% | +18.0% | +10.3% | +38.5% | +67.4% | −28.1% | 42.7% | 0.46 | −82.5% | — | $2.9B | — |
| FAST Industrial - DistributionFastenal Company | 1/5 short0/3 long | +4.0% | +16.0% | +14.6% | +29.8% | +22.8% | +92.7% | +108% | +576% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | — | $59B | — |
| ITW Industrial - MachineryIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +3.5% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +12.3% | +11.7% | +32.1% | +38.4% | +208% | 21.4% | 0.41 | −37.9% | — | $78B | — |
| SITE Industrial - DistributionSiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +5.8% | −6.0% | −34.8% | −22.8% | −20.4% | −29.6% | −54.7% | +202% | 41.3% | -0.18 | −65.7% | — | $4.2B | — |
| ROK Industrial - MachineryRockwell Automation, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +0.7% | −6.4% | +4.1% | +8.4% | +22.9% | +68.9% | +45.6% | +335% | 32.3% | 0.40 | −45.1% | — | $48B | — |
| WSO Industrial - DistributionWatsco, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.9% | −17.7% | −29.8% | −10.0% | −17.4% | −5.5% | +20.6% | +196% | 31.4% | 0.28 | −48.2% | — | $12B | — |
| HON ConglomeratesHoneywell International Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.3% | −5.4% | −10.7% | +5.2% | +6.8% | +27.0% | +7.5% | +160% | 22.8% | 0.18 | −43.0% | — | $68B | — |
| FBIN Construction MaterialsFortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.0% | −18.3% | −0.1% | −18.5% | −17.9% | −25.1% | −47.3% | +2.4% | 38.1% | -0.15 | −62.4% | — | $4.9B | — |
| CNM Industrial - DistributionCore & Main, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | −5.1% | −16.8% | −22.1% | −21.0% | +38.9% | +69.6% | — | 38.3% | 0.47 | −40.0% | — | $7.7B | — |
| REZI Industrial - DistributionResideo Technologies, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −9.3% | −30.9% | −38.6% | −30.2% | −40.9% | +67.8% | −3.6% | — | 48.0% | 0.23 | −85.0% | — | $2.6B | — |
How did GWW do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where GWW ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with GWW and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, GWW finished in the top quarter in seven of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 15 of 20.
- GWW finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 14 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, ROK came out ahead of GWW most often, in 19 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of GWW; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places GWW among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of GWW | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW This pageW.W. Grainger, Inc. | — | −3.4% | +28.2% | +50.5% | +8.7% | +28.8% | +22.8% | +22.3% | +21.7% | +4.3% | +17.3% | −18.9% | +1.5% | +28.0% | +9.8% | +37.8% | +45.3% | +25.4% | −8.2% | +27.1% | −0.1% | +8.3% | +42.7% | −6.6% | +8.9% | +33.8% | −22.3% | +16.5% | −13.3% | +22.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 7 of 29 | 15 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 8 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 9 of 19 | 14 of 19 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 18 | 14 of 18 | 12 of 17 | 10 of 17 | 11 of 16 | 10 of 16 | 13 of 16 | 2 of 15 | 10 of 15 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 14 | 4 of 14 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 5 of 14 | 14 of 14 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 14 | 12 of 14 | 6 of 13 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 11 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 14 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 12 of 27 | +32.9% | +145% | +22.3% | +7.3% | +15.5% | −44.2% | +43.0% | −5.9% | −14.9% | +52.4% | −54.9% | −56.1% | +135% | +52.4% | +34.2% | +83.6% | −10.5% | −37.4% | +33.2% | +104% | +258% | +17.1% | +276% | −0.9% | +76.0% | −74.4% | −63.9% | — | — |
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | 17 of 29 | +39.5% | +39.6% | +60.8% | −6.9% | +18.3% | +34.8% | +40.7% | −24.0% | +44.3% | +47.6% | −23.1% | +2.0% | +53.9% | +13.7% | −10.1% | +62.7% | +29.4% | −42.5% | +48.6% | +18.0% | −11.8% | +28.9% | +31.2% | +2.1% | +5.7% | −12.5% | +59.3% | −27.5% | +80.2% |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 17 of 29 | +8.0% | +39.7% | +38.4% | +24.2% | +33.6% | +19.4% | +26.4% | −19.4% | +16.3% | +50.3% | −8.8% | −5.2% | +19.2% | +22.0% | +10.9% | +50.7% | +20.3% | −33.2% | +12.4% | +19.1% | +25.0% | +75.7% | +29.2% | +4.2% | −6.8% | +27.5% | +23.8% | −46.9% | +46.5% |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | 17 of 28 | +15.9% | +24.0% | +63.6% | +7.0% | +43.3% | +39.1% | +62.6% | −40.4% | +62.8% | +45.6% | −28.9% | +30.9% | +71.3% | +54.0% | +29.9% | +132% | +7.5% | −50.3% | −27.8% | +8.7% | +23.8% | −1.9% | +79.0% | −52.6% | +68.9% | −21.5% | −48.3% | +71.5% | — |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | 10 of 29 | +22.5% | −34.3% | +69.7% | −41.0% | +18.8% | +62.8% | +7.7% | −1.2% | +286% | +3.3% | −36.2% | +20.1% | +16.6% | −39.8% | +16.4% | −10.3% | +53.3% | −41.6% | +22.9% | +179% | −15.0% | +10.5% | +329% | −35.4% | +92.0% | −85.3% | −63.6% | +35.1% | −60.3% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 15 of 26 | +36.4% | +5.1% | +40.2% | −4.9% | +67.6% | +32.2% | +23.7% | −29.6% | +2.4% | +52.3% | −42.7% | −16.3% | +35.1% | +27.2% | +0.4% | +95.5% | +40.5% | −51.5% | −32.6% | +37.6% | +44.1% | +235% | +61.2% | +10.9% | −31.7% | −18.4% | — | — | — |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 11 of 29 | +17.4% | −23.4% | +28.5% | +0.9% | +3.1% | +25.3% | +5.8% | −18.3% | +6.9% | +68.2% | −29.1% | +6.3% | +8.6% | +7.4% | +12.1% | +42.4% | +30.4% | −7.2% | +4.8% | −1.5% | +13.3% | +32.3% | +55.6% | −10.1% | +9.3% | +36.4% | −41.5% | +7.7% | +13.6% |
| FERG Ferguson plc | 10 of 17 | +29.9% | −8.6% | +55.1% | −27.2% | +56.4% | +31.9% | +49.6% | −10.3% | +21.9% | +11.8% | −1.0% | +8.5% | +23.4% | +68.3% | −4.0% | +63.6% | −11.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 11 of 29 | −20.4% | +9.0% | +71.2% | −32.7% | +7.5% | −2.3% | +64.9% | +27.6% | +4.0% | +1.9% | −12.6% | +118% | +23.8% | −33.0% | −34.5% | +46.5% | −19.5% | −36.4% | −13.9% | +25.4% | −21.6% | +57.4% | +11.9% | +24.3% | +1.6% | +23.6% | +4.4% | −19.1% | +41.9% |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | 3 of 11 | +1.8% | +14.9% | −10.9% | +48.7% | +18.9% | −36.1% | −3.4% | +5.5% | −46.1% | +29.4% | −38.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 15 of 29 | +14.0% | +13.5% | +41.4% | −24.4% | +34.0% | +36.6% | +45.0% | −1.6% | +17.2% | +18.6% | −11.8% | +2.3% | +3.4% | +10.1% | +48.5% | +47.6% | +22.0% | −12.3% | +14.0% | −7.1% | +28.3% | +25.0% | +34.3% | +12.6% | +20.9% | +21.9% | +2.3% | +15.0% | −16.0% |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 15 of 29 | −0.4% | −1.0% | +21.6% | −8.5% | +23.6% | +16.4% | +45.6% | −22.1% | +38.9% | +35.0% | +0.1% | +15.0% | +41.4% | +33.6% | −10.0% | +14.4% | +41.4% | −32.7% | +18.0% | +7.1% | −3.7% | +11.7% | +31.1% | −2.9% | +15.2% | −10.6% | +17.6% | −2.6% | +51.9% |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −5.5% | −18.9% | +38.5% | −51.6% | +52.7% | +75.0% | +64.0% | −27.9% | +121% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. | 19 of 29 | +38.4% | −6.2% | +22.6% | −24.8% | +41.2% | +26.2% | +37.9% | −21.8% | +48.9% | +34.5% | −5.5% | −3.9% | +43.8% | +17.2% | +4.5% | +56.1% | +50.9% | −51.9% | +14.9% | +4.7% | +21.3% | +41.8% | +76.5% | +20.0% | −11.3% | +5.5% | +168% | −1.9% | +37.1% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 18 of 29 | −27.0% | +13.2% | +77.0% | −17.7% | +42.1% | +30.6% | +35.0% | −15.5% | +18.4% | +30.0% | +12.0% | +13.8% | +30.0% | +26.3% | +7.8% | +33.6% | +33.3% | +9.2% | −20.0% | −19.8% | +72.3% | +57.2% | +40.3% | +16.2% | +24.2% | +0.6% | −30.5% | +2.4% | −14.1% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 12 of 29 | −6.3% | +10.2% | +0.1% | +5.0% | −0.2% | +23.1% | +36.9% | −7.5% | +35.2% | +14.3% | +4.9% | +10.6% | +45.8% | +18.5% | +3.8% | +37.8% | +21.9% | −45.9% | +37.5% | +23.1% | +6.6% | +7.3% | +41.6% | −28.0% | −27.7% | −17.2% | +31.0% | +15.1% | +16.7% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 6 of 14 | −25.4% | −9.1% | +35.2% | −36.5% | +26.0% | +32.9% | +74.9% | −43.7% | +29.5% | −2.6% | +24.0% | +0.2% | +57.6% | +71.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | 2 of 4 | +2.1% | +26.0% | +109% | −36.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| REZI Resideo Technologies, Inc. | 2 of 7 | +52.4% | +22.4% | +14.4% | −36.8% | +22.4% | +78.2% | −42.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How GWW has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were GWW's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents GWW's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: GWW fell 56.7% from June 1999 to October 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 1.7%.
- The slowest recovery came after GWW fell 36.5% in October 1987; it did not regain that peak until February 1990, two years later.
- In three of GWW's four worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
Green means GWW fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | GWW fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −56.7% | +1.7% | Jun 1999 | Oct 2000 | 16 months | Feb 2002 | 16 months |
| Late-2018 sell-off | −41.6% | −19.4% | Aug 2018 | Mar 2020 | 19 months | Aug 2020 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −38.6% | +4.4% | Feb 2017 | Aug 2017 | 6 months | Jan 2018 | 5 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −37.5% | −46.0% | Jul 2007 | Nov 2008 | 16 months | Oct 2009 | 11 months |
| No named crash | −36.5% | — | Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | Under a month | Feb 1990 | 2.3 years |
How did GWW do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far GWW, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, FAST held up best, falling less than GWW in six of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- GWW fell less than the S&P 500 in four of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when GWW fell 35.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than GWW.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW This pageW.W. Grainger, Inc. | — | −3.6% | −16.9% | −32.5% | −25.2% | −2.1% | −20.6% | −18.5% | −1.5% | −35.3% | −55.6% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 4 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −10.9% | −30.8% | −66.5% | −34.6% | −5.5% | −60.2% | −35.2% | −10.9% | −74.2% | −86.7% |
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | 1 of 10 | −8.4% | −27.3% | −54.7% | −25.6% | −8.1% | −23.7% | −30.4% | −3.5% | −66.9% | −36.5% |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −5.3% | −19.0% | −52.7% | −36.3% | −8.0% | −14.5% | −27.9% | −2.6% | −57.1% | −28.7% |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −14.5% | −35.4% | −55.3% | −43.3% | −6.7% | −45.7% | −50.5% | −3.6% | −91.2% | −77.3% |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | 0 of 10 | −4.6% | −34.3% | −32.2% | −26.3% | −5.2% | −24.6% | −29.4% | −4.2% | −63.2% | −89.2% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −11.7% | −29.6% | −67.8% | −29.1% | −2.8% | −37.9% | −43.5% | −3.9% | −75.7% | −71.4% |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 1 of 10 | −5.0% | −16.9% | −35.2% | −18.0% | −2.9% | −23.1% | −24.6% | −2.5% | −48.8% | −57.1% |
| FERG Ferguson plc | 2 of 9 | −4.1% | −42.4% | −54.7% | −27.3% | 0.0% | −28.8% | −28.7% | 0.0% | −87.9% | — |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −12.8% | −50.5% | −42.5% | −16.7% | −5.5% | −35.9% | −29.6% | −10.4% | −63.7% | −22.6% |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | 0 of 6 | −10.4% | −29.4% | −55.1% | −39.0% | −14.2% | −34.6% | — | — | — | — |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 6 of 10 | −2.7% | −25.5% | −27.8% | −17.4% | −2.7% | −12.7% | −14.0% | −2.1% | −51.8% | −36.4% |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 4 of 10 | −2.9% | −28.0% | −37.9% | −19.3% | −8.4% | −14.0% | −29.0% | −1.1% | −54.9% | −30.8% |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 0 of 5 | −7.0% | −57.4% | −51.2% | −38.5% | −3.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −5.4% | −43.8% | −42.4% | −27.5% | −7.9% | −23.6% | −37.5% | −1.4% | −74.7% | −42.0% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −4.5% | −26.1% | −24.3% | −24.9% | −6.5% | −17.4% | −19.2% | −4.1% | −47.0% | −43.3% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 3 of 10 | −1.4% | −22.7% | −42.2% | −22.1% | −6.8% | −14.4% | −25.3% | −1.8% | −62.2% | −65.8% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −6.3% | −49.4% | −52.1% | −34.6% | −4.9% | −19.8% | — | — | — | — |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −8.7% | −25.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| REZI Resideo Technologies, Inc. | 0 of 3 | −7.5% | −29.3% | −60.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does GWW move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares GWW with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, GWW captured 113% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 95% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.12. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- Only GIC, AIT and FAST had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than GWW's 1.19, out of 17 popular alternatives with the same record.
- GIC took just 62% of the S&P 500's losses, against 95% for GWW, while still keeping 113% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than GWW's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW This pageW.W. Grainger, Inc. | 113% | 95% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | 113% | 62% | 1.81 | 0.66 |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 111% | 75% | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 106% | 87% | 1.23 | 0.98 |
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | 141% | 126% | 1.11 | 1.43 |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | 177% | 165% | 1.07 | 1.90 |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 95% | 94% | 1.01 | 0.78 |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 74% | 74% | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| FERG Ferguson plc | 118% | 122% | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. | 122% | 138% | 0.88 | 1.46 |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 83% | 96% | 0.86 | 0.95 |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 171% | 201% | 0.85 | 1.77 |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 165% | 194% | 0.85 | 1.96 |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 94% | 116% | 0.81 | 1.04 |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 90% | 118% | 0.77 | 1.00 |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 116% | 161% | 0.72 | 1.31 |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 96% | 193% | 0.50 | 1.47 |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | 75% | 168% | 0.45 | 1.43 |
What diversifies GWW?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with GWW's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing GWW with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in GWW into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years for a small cut in its annual return (+27.2% for GWW alone, +26.3% for the mix).
- CAH made money in five of the seven calendar years in which GWW lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and HDV have moved largely independently of GWW over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which GWW lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% GWW and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2015 | 2008 | 2006 | 2003 | 2000 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +221% | 1.07 | −3.4% | −18.9% | −8.2% | −0.1% | −6.6% | −22.3% | −13.3% | 26.0% | +27.2% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.43 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | +25.6% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.41 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +7.7% | −20.8% | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | +27.7% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.49 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | −0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.3% | +24.5% |
| MLPX EnergyGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF | 0.49 | +135% | 0.97 | +4.9% | −35.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | +26.3% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.35 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | −0.3% | −44.7% | −6.7% | +87.3% | — | — | 24.1% | +30.4% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | -0.06 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | −10.7% | +4.9% | +22.6% | — | — | — | 20.9% | +26.3% |
| IOO InternationaliShares Global 100 ETF | 0.49 | +107% | 0.94 | +27.0% | −1.8% | −36.1% | +19.9% | +31.0% | — | — | 22.5% | +25.5% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.30 | +177% | 0.93 | +7.9% | −21.5% | −39.0% | +18.0% | +25.9% | +24.4% | — | 22.9% | +27.3% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2015 | 2008 | 2006 | 2003 | 2000 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +221% | 1.07 | −3.4% | −18.9% | −8.2% | −0.1% | −6.6% | −22.3% | −13.3% | 26.0% | +27.2% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.44 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +12.6% | −39.6% | −5.8% | +3.5% | +108% | +51.7% | 23.6% | +30.0% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.16 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | −6.0% | −20.5% | −26.0% | +6.9% | −2.3% | — | 25.4% | +44.3% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.28 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | −4.5% | −40.4% | −1.2% | +19.9% | +61.2% | +46.9% | 22.7% | +29.5% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.20 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | +32.5% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.48 | +594% | 1.36 | +87.9% | −36.3% | −67.4% | +5.5% | +75.3% | −15.9% | +7.0% | 24.9% | +32.3% |
Common questions
What was GWW's worst drawdown?
GWW's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 56.7%, from June 1999 to October 2000. It took 16 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were GWW's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, GWW's best year was 2023, when it returned 50.5%. Its worst was 2000, with a return of -22.3%.
Is there a better investment than GWW?
Among GWW's popular alternatives, URI and DXPE were ahead of GWW in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (39.1% and 46.1% volatility against 24.9%). Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than GWW with less volatility over the past 5 years.
Is GWW more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. GWW's volatility over the past 5 years was 24.9%, 1.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, GWW's return lands within 24.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is GWW's Sharpe ratio?
GWW's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.07, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so GWW earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is GWW with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, GWW's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.61 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against GWW instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a GWW holding.
What are the best alternatives to GWW?
Of the 19 popular alternatives we compared, one outperformed GWW in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: DXPE.
Did GWW outperform the S&P 500?
GWW finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 14 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -3.4%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did GWW do in stock market crashes?
GWW fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in four. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when GWW fell 35.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies GWW?
These had a low correlation with GWW over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.43), DXJ (correlation 0.41) and HDV (correlation 0.49); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.44), CLS (correlation 0.16) and MCK (correlation 0.28). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than GWW's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of GWW's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
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