Relative Intelligence · Industrial Distribution

How Ferguson (FERG) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on FERG alone. It places FERG (Ferguson plc) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where FERG stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: FERG's full trading record, from November 2006 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowFERG has gone against the market, falling 13.1% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. Not every peer went the same way. Over the past 6 months, GWW (W.W. Grainger) rose 15.3% and WSO (Watsco) fell 29.8%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?FERG fell 0.5% over the past 3 months, 5.6 points ahead of the industrial distribution ETF XLI (State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF), which fell 6.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its industrial distribution peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: FAST (Fastenal) rose 16.0%, while WSO (Watsco) fell 17.7%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, FERG fell 4.7% while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (55.4% against 89.3%). By year ↓
- Long termFERG turned $10,000 into $51,800 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, over 5 years FERG trailed the index: 70.0% against 81.7%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, FERG has typically fallen 1.7 times as far as the S&P 500. In the Covid crash, FERG fell 54.7%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than GWW (W.W. Grainger, 32.5%) but less than WCC (WESCO International, 67.8%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, FERG has a correlation of 0.58 over 5 years, more closely than 87% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years, FERG's beta versus the S&P 500 was 1.25: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.2 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 1.2 times as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- TJX (TJX Companies, specialty retail) and JCI (Johnson Controls International, building products) earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years. TJX returned 19.9% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 30.7%.
- Whole market
- 366 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), MSFT (Microsoft) and VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF).
How much would $10,000 in FERG have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in FERG over the past 17 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of FERG over the same span and FERG's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: FERG began trading on November 8, 2006, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 17 years of FERG's record, starting at the end of September 2009.
- $10,000 invested in FERG at the end of September 2009 would have grown to $156,677 by September 2026, more than the $97,560 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of FERG, and FIX finished highest, at $1,686,054.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2009 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 229 of the 1,927 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of FERG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- FIX$2M+16,761% total · +35.2% a year
- TT$243,003+2,330% total · +20.6% a year
- AIT$211,375+2,014% total · +19.7% a year
- GWW$182,932+1,729% total · +18.6% a year
- DXPE$162,521+1,525% total · +17.8% a year
- FERG$156,677+1,467% total · +17.6% a year
- FAST$152,879+1,429% total · +17.4% a year
- WTS$138,956+1,290% total · +16.7% a year
- WCC$129,069+1,191% total · +16.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$97,560+876% total · +14.3% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,099 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of FERG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- DXPE$61,281+513% total · +43.7% a year
- AIT$38,549+285% total · +31.0% a year
- GWW$33,303+233% total · +27.2% a year
- WCC$32,230+222% total · +26.4% a year
- TT$27,878+179% total · +22.8% a year
- WTS$21,898+119% total · +17.0% a year
- FAST$21,648+116% total · +16.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- MSM$18,644+86.4% total · +13.3% a year
- FERG$17,701+77.0% total · +12.1% a year
FERG at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: FERG began trading on November 8, 2006, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- FERG's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 92.4%, from February 2007 to March 2009. It took about ten years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 17 full calendar years, FERG's best was 2012, when it returned 68.3%, and its worst was 2022, when it lost 27.2%. It lost money in six of those years.
- FERG is 14.5% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $44B
- Industry
- Industrial - Distribution
- Price history from
- November 2006
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −4.7%total return
- Past 3 years
- +55.4%+15.8% a year
- Past 5 years
- +70.0%+11.2% a year
- Past 10 years
- +418%+17.9% a year
- Best calendar year
- +68.3%2012
- Worst calendar year
- −27.2%2022
- Losing years
- 6 of 17full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 30.7%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.50return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −92.4%Feb 2007 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −14.5%below the peak
FERG against the whole market
Where FERG ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does FERG rank among all stocks?
This section ranks FERG on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how FERG stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- FERG's 10-year return ranks in the top 18% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | FERG | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −4.7% | 2,174 of 3,287 | bottom 35% |
| 3-year return | +55.4% | 1,459 of 3,017 | top 48% |
| 5-year return | +70.0% | 903 of 2,893 | top 31% |
| 10-year return | +418% | 396 of 2,202 | top 18% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 30.7% | 800 of 2,893 | top 28% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.50 | 928 of 2,893 | top 32% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −55.4% | 691 of 2,187 | top 32% |
What has beaten FERG on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). FERG sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than FERG with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 177 stocks and 189 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than FERG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 10% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half FERG's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 19% less than FERG's 30.7%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.50 for FERG.
- Among FERG's popular alternatives, GWW, TT and FAST are in the region. GWW earned 26.3% a year against 11.2% a year for FERG, at 24.9% volatility, 19% less than FERG's 30.7%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to FERG; faint dots are 87 more of the 366 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than FERG?
Investments that beat FERG over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among FERG's popular alternatives, GWW, TT and FAST earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years. GWW returned 26.3% a year at 24.9% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 30.7%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TJX (specialty retail) and JCI (building products) earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years. TJX returned 19.9% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 30.7%.
- Across the whole market, 366 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, MSFT and VOO.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat FERG over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks FERG's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than FERG follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than FERG's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× FERG's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than FERG's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with FERG?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +11.2% | 30.7% | 0.50 | −55.4% | +418% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.58 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against FERG. 9 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.46 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.67 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.41 | — | ||
WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +15.3% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | +539% | 0.58 | — | |
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. · Industrial Distribution | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +13.3% | 25.1% | 0.63 | −48.2% | +184% | 0.54 | — | |
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Distribution | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +28.5% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | +742% | 0.55 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Industrial Distribution and the categories next to it (Industrial Machinery, Building Products, Specialty Retail), plus FERG's specific themes. 28 of 94 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.35 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +14.4% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | +755% | 0.33 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.4% | 29.1% | 0.70 | −46.4% | +426% | 0.61 | — | ||
ITTITT Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.1% | 29.8% | 0.68 | −49.5% | +539% | 0.75 | — | |
LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +14.1% | 27.5% | 0.62 | −38.9% | +389% | 0.67 | — | |
NPOEnPro Industries, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Higher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +28.1% | 36.0% | 0.87 | −65.8% | +481% | 0.60 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 887 of 3,520 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.30 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.54 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.34 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.41 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.4% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | +541% | 0.40 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.41 | 0.09% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +19.0% | 32.0% | 0.71 | −44.6% | +752% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +11.7% | 21.8% | 0.62 | −32.7% | +416% | 0.47 | 0.18% | ||
What these numbers mean for FERG
- Annual return
- FERG returned 11.2% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $17,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- FERG's volatility over the past 5 years was 30.7%, 1.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, FERG's return lands within 30.7% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- FERG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.50, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so FERG earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- FERG's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 55.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 55.4% fall takes a 124% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, FERG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.58 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against FERG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a FERG holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 366 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than FERG with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with FERG | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.30 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.54 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.34 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.41 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +553% | 0.45 | 0.18% | |
| 6 | Whole market | +12.4% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | +541% | 0.40 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.41 | 0.09% | |
| 8 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.07 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.46 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.43 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.23 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.40 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +14.8% | 23.6% | 0.71 | −32.8% | +625% | 0.33 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +13.1% | 22.4% | 0.67 | −34.5% | +451% | 0.47 | 0.04% | |
| 15 | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.1% | 0.72 | −42.7% | +481% | 0.70 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.30 | — | |
| 17 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.17 | — |
| 18 | Whole market | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.19 | — | |
| 19 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.13 | — |
| 20 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.53 | — |
| 21 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.39 | 0.59% |
| 22 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.58 | 0.03% | |
| 23 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.30 | — | |
| 24 | Popular alternative | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.46 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.09 | — | |
| 26 | Popular alternative | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.67 | — | |
| 27 | RSPTInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.9% | 25.1% | 0.75 | −33.7% | +572% | 0.47 | 0.40% |
| 28 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.22 | — | |
| 29 | Popular alternative | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.41 | — | |
| 30 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.27 | 0.48% |
| 31 | Whole market | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 0.19 | — | |
| 32 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.44 | 0.40% |
| 33 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.30 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.27 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.27 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.29 | — | |
| 37 | PWBInvesco Large Cap Growth ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.8% | 22.2% | 0.74 | −32.4% | +409% | 0.51 | 0.55% |
| 38 | Whole market | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | 0.01 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.27 | — | |
| 40 | WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Popular alternative | +15.3% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | +539% | 0.58 | — |
| 41 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.16 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.12 | — | |
| 43 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.53 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.46 | — | |
| 45 | BFCBank First Corporation · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.0% | 27.3% | 0.78 | −39.8% | +496% | 0.42 | — |
| 46 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.23 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +22.6% | 29.1% | 0.85 | −41.6% | +521% | 0.11 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.53 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.29 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.9% | 0.71 | −46.9% | +187% | 0.56 | — | |
| 51 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.33 | — | |
| 52 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.27 | — | |
| 53 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.39 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +12.4% | 20.2% | 0.68 | −32.9% | +185% | 0.43 | — | |
| 55 | Whole market | +17.0% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | +356% | 0.07 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.57 | 0.26% | |
| 57 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.39 | — | |
| 58 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.00 | 0.80% |
| 59 | FNDXSchwab Fundamental U.S. Large Company ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.9% | 0.93 | −37.7% | +291% | 0.62 | 0.25% |
| 60 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.47 | — |
| 61 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +194% | 0.52 | 0.25% |
| 62 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.45 | 0.13% |
| 63 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.50 | 0.27% |
| 64 | LLoews Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.3% | 19.2% | 0.80 | −48.5% | +180% | 0.46 | — |
| 65 | HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 13.0% | 1.00 | −37.0% | +172% | 0.45 | 0.08% |
| 66 | RPRXRoyalty Pharma plc · Pharmaceuticals | Whole market | +13.3% | 23.8% | 0.65 | −49.7% | — | 0.25 | — |
| 67 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.4% | 0.84 | −43.0% | — | 0.52 | 0.36% |
| 68 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.39 | — |
| 69 | DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated · Medical Diagnostics | Whole market | +12.3% | 22.5% | 0.63 | −36.6% | +243% | 0.37 | — |
| 70 | PKGPackaging Corporation of America · Packaging | Whole market | +15.4% | 25.8% | 0.69 | −38.2% | +294% | 0.33 | — |
| 71 | MGVVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +12.6% | 13.4% | 0.95 | −35.4% | +244% | 0.58 | 0.05% |
| 72 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.35 | — |
| 73 | Same or nearby category | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.35 | — | |
| 74 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | 0.09 | — |
| 75 | AVUSAvantis U.S. Equity ETF · US Total Market | Whole market | +12.2% | 17.2% | 0.76 | −37.0% | — | 0.64 | 0.15% |
| 76 | CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Whole market | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +454% | 0.14 | 0.58% |
| 77 | PAVEGlobal X - U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF · Infrastructure Equity | Whole market | +14.9% | 21.6% | 0.75 | −44.1% | — | 0.75 | 0.47% |
| 78 | FDVVFidelity High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.2% | 14.6% | 0.92 | −40.2% | +253% | 0.54 | 0.15% |
| 79 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.1% | 13.8% | 0.96 | −32.5% | +206% | 0.53 | 0.35% |
| 80 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.50 | 0.40% |
| 81 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.33 | — |
| 82 | PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +13.4% | 19.9% | 0.73 | −39.3% | +103% | 0.25 | — |
| 83 | FDLFirst Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 14.4% | 0.98 | −41.4% | +199% | 0.45 | 0.43% |
| 84 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.54 | 0.12% |
| 85 | VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +15.9% | 18.4% | 0.90 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.50 | 0.15% |
| 86 | AIZAssurant, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +13.3% | 25.3% | 0.62 | −44.6% | +312% | 0.24 | — |
| 87 | ORIOld Republic International Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +17.0% | 22.2% | 0.82 | −47.8% | +349% | 0.36 | — |
| 88 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.26 | — |
| 89 | GRIDFirst Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Smart Grid Infrastructure Index Fund · Infrastructure Equity | Whole market | +12.5% | 22.0% | 0.65 | −40.6% | +383% | 0.67 | 0.56% |
| 90 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.24 | — |
| 91 | PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +16.3% | 18.9% | 0.90 | −43.9% | +344% | 0.52 | 0.58% |
| 92 | Same or nearby category | +17.4% | 29.1% | 0.70 | −46.4% | +426% | 0.61 | — | |
| 93 | DLNWisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.2% | 13.2% | 0.95 | −35.8% | +231% | 0.59 | 0.28% |
| 94 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.29 | — |
| 95 | Whole market | +17.3% | 27.8% | 0.71 | −57.7% | +809% | 0.31 | — | |
| 96 | THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.9% | 0.70 | −40.1% | +291% | 0.10 | — |
| 97 | AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Limited · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +16.7% | 25.2% | 0.74 | −49.3% | +137% | 0.20 | — |
| 98 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.36 | — |
| 99 | EMLPFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +14.9% | 14.5% | 1.04 | −43.6% | +150% | 0.46 | 0.95% |
| 100 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.37 | 0.19% |
FERG against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against FERG, compared period by period and year by year.
How do FERG's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at FERG, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Six of the 19 popular alternatives, led by AIT, GWW and TT, were both more rewarding and calmer than FERG over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, FERG returned 11.2% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (30.7% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than FERG with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | +77.0% | 46.7% |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | +39.0% | 46.1% |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | +28.5% | 30.3% |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | +26.3% | 24.9% |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | +22.7% | 27.7% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | +22.5% | 45.3% |
| FAST Fastenal Company | +15.8% | 24.6% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | +15.3% | 28.4% |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | +13.3% | 25.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| FERG This pageFerguson plc | +11.2% | 30.7% |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | +11.2% | 38.3% |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | +10.9% | 42.7% |
| BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. | +8.3% | 56.9% |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | +6.2% | 45.8% |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | +5.3% | 39.0% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | +3.8% | 31.4% |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | +2.2% | 32.3% |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | −0.4% | 27.6% |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | −14.6% | 41.3% |
| POOL Pool Corporation | −16.8% | 34.9% |
Has FERG consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares FERG with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than FERG helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Seven of the 19 popular alternatives, led by TT, DXPE and FAST, outperformed FERG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- TT, DXPE and FAST outperformed FERG in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- FIX, GWW and TT earned more for the risk they took than FERG (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than FERG over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| FERG Ferguson plc (this page) | — | +5.1% | −0.5% | −13.1% | +2.1% | −4.7% | +55.4% | +70.0% | +418% | 30.7% | 0.50 | −55.4% | — | $44B | — |
| TT QualifiedTrane Technologies plc | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +6.5% | −1.2% | −2.9% | +16.8% | +11.3% | +154% | +178% | +955% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | — | $102B | — |
| DXPE QualifiedDXP Enterprises, Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −9.4% | +1.7% | +8.8% | +58.3% | +48.8% | +425% | +419% | +610% | 46.1% | 0.95 | −77.3% | — | $2.6B | — |
| FAST QualifiedFastenal Company | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +4.0% | +16.0% | +14.6% | +29.8% | +22.8% | +92.7% | +108% | +576% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | — | $59B | — |
| WTS QualifiedWatts Water Technologies, Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +2.1% | +5.3% | +22.3% | +29.2% | +28.1% | +113% | +104% | +539% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | — | $12B | — |
| WCC QualifiedWESCO International, Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −3.9% | +7.2% | +6.1% | +36.2% | +57.1% | +179% | +176% | +505% | 45.3% | 0.68 | −78.8% | — | $17B | — |
| AIT QualifiedApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +3.2% | −1.4% | +12.9% | +28.0% | +33.4% | +120% | +250% | +742% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | — | $12B | — |
| GWW QualifiedW.W. Grainger, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +4.6% | −2.4% | +15.3% | +33.9% | +38.7% | +98.1% | +221% | +654% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | — | $63B | — |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −14.4% | −18.4% | −16.8% | +39.4% | +67.3% | +819% | +1,636% | +5,305% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | — | $49B | — |
| GIC Industrial - DistributionGlobal Industrial Co | 5/5 short1/3 long | +8.1% | +29.8% | +33.7% | +53.9% | +31.2% | +49.6% | +29.5% | +995% | 39.0% | 0.33 | −55.7% | — | $1.7B | — |
| MSM Industrial - DistributionMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +6.5% | +4.3% | +34.3% | +55.1% | +54.6% | +48.6% | +86.7% | +184% | 25.1% | 0.63 | −48.2% | — | $7.2B | — |
| BXC Industrial - DistributionBlueLinx Holdings Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | −0.8% | +32.1% | +25.4% | +23.3% | +4.4% | +5.0% | +49.3% | +824% | 56.9% | 0.42 | −91.7% | — | $589M | — |
| DSGR Industrial - DistributionDistribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +0.5% | +1.6% | +27.9% | +25.0% | +18.5% | +20.8% | +34.9% | +268% | 45.8% | 0.35 | −58.0% | — | $1.6B | — |
| DNOW Industrial - DistributionDnow Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +1.3% | +13.0% | +31.4% | +18.0% | +10.3% | +38.5% | +67.4% | −28.1% | 42.7% | 0.46 | −82.5% | — | $2.9B | — |
| CARR Industrial - MachineryCarrier Global Corporation | 3/5 short0/3 long | +2.8% | −15.8% | −8.2% | +6.2% | −1.1% | +21.2% | +11.6% | — | 32.3% | 0.23 | −40.8% | — | $46B | — |
| AOS Industrial - MachineryA. O. Smith Corporation | 2/5 short0/3 long | +4.5% | +1.7% | −8.2% | −11.4% | −12.8% | −5.4% | −1.8% | +46.1% | 27.6% | 0.12 | −46.8% | — | $8.1B | — |
| SITE Industrial - DistributionSiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +5.8% | −6.0% | −34.8% | −22.8% | −20.4% | −29.6% | −54.7% | +202% | 41.3% | -0.18 | −65.7% | — | $4.2B | — |
| WSO Industrial - DistributionWatsco, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.9% | −17.7% | −29.8% | −10.0% | −17.4% | −5.5% | +20.6% | +196% | 31.4% | 0.28 | −48.2% | — | $12B | — |
| POOL Industrial - DistributionPool Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.3% | −14.0% | −25.0% | −23.7% | −40.1% | −43.8% | −60.2% | +113% | 34.9% | -0.35 | −71.4% | — | $6.2B | — |
| CNM Industrial - DistributionCore & Main, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | −5.1% | −16.8% | −22.1% | −21.0% | +38.9% | +69.6% | — | 38.3% | 0.47 | −40.0% | — | $7.7B | — |
How did FERG do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2009, along with where FERG ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with FERG and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: FERG began trading on November 8, 2006, so the table starts with 2009, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, FERG finished in the top quarter in five of 17 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 5 of 20.
- FERG finished ahead of the S&P 500 in seven of its 17 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, FIX came out ahead of FERG most often, in 11 of the 17 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of FERG; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places FERG among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of FERG | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG This pageFerguson plc | — | +29.9% | −8.6% | +55.1% | −27.2% | +56.4% | +31.9% | +49.6% | −10.3% | +21.9% | +11.8% | −1.0% | +8.5% | +23.4% | +68.3% | −4.0% | +63.6% | −11.7% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 5 of 17 | 5 of 20 | 14 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 14 of 20 | 6 of 19 | 8 of 18 | 4 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 7 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 5 of 17 | 5 of 16 | 11 of 16 | 2 of 16 | 11 of 16 | 3 of 16 | 15 of 16 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 17 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | 7 of 17 | +6.4% | +53.0% | +47.4% | −15.3% | +41.0% | +43.4% | +48.3% | +4.4% | +21.3% | +38.5% | −11.1% | +4.6% | +29.9% | +59.3% | −34.7% | +32.6% | +110% |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 9 of 17 | +32.9% | +145% | +22.3% | +7.3% | +15.5% | −44.2% | +43.0% | −5.9% | −14.9% | +52.4% | −54.9% | −56.1% | +135% | +52.4% | +34.2% | +83.6% | −10.5% |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 7 of 17 | +14.0% | +13.5% | +41.4% | −24.4% | +34.0% | +36.6% | +45.0% | −1.6% | +17.2% | +18.6% | −11.8% | +2.3% | +3.4% | +10.1% | +48.5% | +47.6% | +22.0% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 8 of 17 | +36.8% | −1.6% | +43.6% | −24.1% | +60.6% | +23.1% | +56.2% | −14.1% | +17.9% | +32.8% | −20.8% | +3.5% | +45.4% | +27.2% | −5.3% | +20.0% | +26.0% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 9 of 17 | +36.4% | +5.1% | +40.2% | −4.9% | +67.6% | +32.2% | +23.7% | −29.6% | +2.4% | +52.3% | −42.7% | −16.3% | +35.1% | +27.2% | +0.4% | +95.5% | +40.5% |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 5 of 17 | +8.0% | +39.7% | +38.4% | +24.2% | +33.6% | +19.4% | +26.4% | −19.4% | +16.3% | +50.3% | −8.8% | −5.2% | +19.2% | +22.0% | +10.9% | +50.7% | +20.3% |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | 7 of 17 | −3.4% | +28.2% | +50.5% | +8.7% | +28.8% | +22.8% | +22.3% | +21.7% | +4.3% | +17.3% | −18.9% | +1.5% | +28.0% | +9.8% | +37.8% | +45.3% | +25.4% |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 11 of 17 | +121% | +107% | +79.6% | +17.0% | +89.0% | +6.7% | +15.1% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +18.3% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | +15.7% | −17.0% | +8.7% | +17.8% |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | 7 of 17 | +22.5% | −34.3% | +69.7% | −41.0% | +18.8% | +62.8% | +7.7% | −1.2% | +286% | +3.3% | −36.2% | +20.1% | +16.6% | −39.8% | +16.4% | −10.3% | +53.3% |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 4 of 17 | +17.4% | −23.4% | +28.5% | +0.9% | +3.1% | +25.3% | +5.8% | −18.3% | +6.9% | +68.2% | −29.1% | +6.3% | +8.6% | +7.4% | +12.1% | +42.4% | +30.4% |
| BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. | 9 of 17 | −39.9% | −9.8% | +59.4% | −25.7% | +227% | +105% | −42.3% | +153% | +30.7% | +40.9% | −54.3% | −40.5% | −30.6% | +87.3% | −59.0% | +32.1% | +46.6% |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 5 of 17 | −20.4% | +9.0% | +71.2% | −32.7% | +7.5% | −2.3% | +64.9% | +27.6% | +4.0% | +1.9% | −12.6% | +118% | +23.8% | −33.0% | −34.5% | +46.5% | −19.5% |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | 4 of 11 | +1.8% | +14.9% | −10.9% | +48.7% | +18.9% | −36.1% | −3.4% | +5.5% | −46.1% | +29.4% | −38.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | 2 of 5 | −21.8% | +20.3% | +41.5% | −22.7% | +45.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 7 of 17 | +0.1% | −15.9% | +46.7% | −32.1% | +59.3% | +17.5% | +13.7% | −29.4% | +30.8% | +25.0% | +37.4% | +5.9% | +73.1% | +59.1% | +6.8% | +34.9% | +50.3% |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −5.5% | −18.9% | +38.5% | −51.6% | +52.7% | +75.0% | +64.0% | −27.9% | +121% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 9 of 17 | −27.0% | +13.2% | +77.0% | −17.7% | +42.1% | +30.6% | +35.0% | −15.5% | +18.4% | +30.0% | +12.0% | +13.8% | +30.0% | +26.3% | +7.8% | +33.6% | +33.3% |
| POOL Pool Corporation | 9 of 17 | −31.8% | −13.4% | +33.5% | −46.0% | +53.0% | +77.0% | +44.5% | +16.0% | +25.8% | +30.8% | +29.1% | +10.7% | +39.4% | +42.9% | +36.4% | +20.9% | +9.5% |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | 2 of 4 | +2.1% | +26.0% | +109% | −36.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How FERG has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were FERG's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents FERG's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2006, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: FERG began trading on November 8, 2006, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of FERG's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- The slowest recovery came after FERG fell 92.4% from February 2007 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until September 2018, ten years later.
Green means FERG fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | FERG fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −92.4% | −51.0% | Feb 2007 | Mar 2009 | 2.1 years | Sep 2018 | 9.5 years |
| Covid crash | −55.4% | −33.5% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | Sep 2020 | 6 months |
| 2022 bear market | −43.3% | −22.6% | Jan 2022 | Oct 2022 | 9 months | Dec 2023 | 14 months |
| No named crash | −32.9% | −17.8% | Dec 2024 | Apr 2025 | 4 months | Jul 2025 | 3 months |
| Late-2018 sell-off | −27.8% | −15.5% | Sep 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 months | Oct 2019 | 9 months |
How did FERG do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far FERG, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: FERG began trading on November 8, 2006, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- FERG fell further than the S&P 500 in seven of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when FERG fell 87.9% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- Among its popular alternatives, FAST held up best, falling less than FERG in seven of the nine crashes they both traded through.
- FERG began trading after the dot-com bust, but 14 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was DSGR's 22.6%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than FERG.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG This pageFerguson plc | — | −4.1% | −42.4% | −54.7% | −27.3% | 0.0% | −28.8% | −28.7% | 0.0% | −87.9% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | 6 of 9 | −3.3% | −37.5% | −39.2% | −17.9% | −8.0% | −20.6% | −34.2% | −2.6% | −77.5% | −44.7% |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −10.9% | −30.8% | −66.5% | −34.6% | −5.5% | −60.2% | −35.2% | −10.9% | −74.2% | −86.7% |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 7 of 9 | −2.7% | −25.5% | −27.8% | −17.4% | −2.7% | −12.7% | −14.0% | −2.1% | −51.8% | −36.4% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 5 of 9 | −6.9% | −39.4% | −32.0% | −26.1% | −9.1% | −24.6% | −31.1% | −3.4% | −49.9% | −35.1% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −11.7% | −29.6% | −67.8% | −29.1% | −2.8% | −37.9% | −43.5% | −3.9% | −75.7% | −71.4% |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 5 of 9 | −5.3% | −19.0% | −52.7% | −36.3% | −8.0% | −14.5% | −27.9% | −2.6% | −57.1% | −28.7% |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −3.6% | −16.9% | −32.5% | −25.2% | −2.1% | −20.6% | −18.5% | −1.5% | −35.3% | −55.6% |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −7.8% | −23.9% | −38.8% | −30.2% | −6.3% | −26.8% | −33.3% | −3.3% | −57.0% | −77.6% |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | 5 of 9 | −4.6% | −34.3% | −32.2% | −26.3% | −5.2% | −24.6% | −29.4% | −4.2% | −63.2% | −89.2% |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 6 of 9 | −5.0% | −16.9% | −35.2% | −18.0% | −2.9% | −23.1% | −24.6% | −2.5% | −48.8% | −57.1% |
| BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. | 2 of 9 | −9.4% | −41.2% | −74.1% | −42.3% | −6.3% | −66.8% | −43.0% | −7.5% | −86.1% | — |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −12.8% | −50.5% | −42.5% | −16.7% | −5.5% | −35.9% | −29.6% | −10.4% | −63.7% | −22.6% |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | 1 of 6 | −10.4% | −29.4% | −55.1% | −39.0% | −14.2% | −34.6% | — | — | — | — |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | 1 of 2 | −5.6% | −35.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 4 of 9 | −2.4% | −42.1% | −21.9% | −30.3% | −6.8% | −23.3% | −31.6% | −3.8% | −54.1% | −47.9% |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −7.0% | −57.4% | −51.2% | −38.5% | −3.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −4.5% | −26.1% | −24.3% | −24.9% | −6.5% | −17.4% | −19.2% | −4.1% | −47.0% | −43.3% |
| POOL Pool Corporation | 6 of 9 | −2.9% | −42.9% | −28.0% | −18.0% | −5.1% | −11.6% | −18.9% | −2.2% | −56.3% | −28.1% |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −8.7% | −25.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does FERG move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares FERG with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Ten of the 17 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than FERG's 0.96, led by FIX, GIC and TT.
- GIC took just 62% of the S&P 500's losses, against 122% for FERG, while still keeping 113% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, FERG captured 118% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 122% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.25. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than FERG's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG This pageFerguson plc | 118% | 122% | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 180% | 71% | 2.55 | 1.38 |
| GIC Global Industrial Co | 113% | 62% | 1.81 | 0.66 |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | 115% | 69% | 1.66 | 1.10 |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | 111% | 75% | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 102% | 80% | 1.28 | 1.02 |
| FAST Fastenal Company | 106% | 87% | 1.23 | 0.98 |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | 113% | 95% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. | 95% | 94% | 1.01 | 0.78 |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 74% | 74% | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| BXC BlueLinx Holdings Inc. | 151% | 151% | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | 83% | 96% | 0.86 | 0.95 |
| DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc. | 171% | 201% | 0.85 | 1.77 |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 165% | 194% | 0.85 | 1.96 |
| SITE SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | 116% | 161% | 0.72 | 1.31 |
| POOL Pool Corporation | 82% | 116% | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 82% | 139% | 0.59 | 1.12 |
| DNOW Dnow Inc. | 75% | 168% | 0.45 | 1.43 |
What diversifies FERG?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with FERG's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing FERG with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in FERG into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+12.1% for FERG alone, +14.3% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of FERG over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.46 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- XLE made money in four of the six calendar years in which FERG lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which FERG lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% FERG and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2011 | 2009 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG Ferguson plc (this page) | 1.00 | +70.0% | 0.50 | −8.6% | −27.2% | −10.3% | −1.0% | −4.0% | −11.7% | 30.9% | +12.1% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.44 | +119% | 1.48 | +15.9% | +3.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | 25.6% | +13.7% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.27 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +6.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | −16.1% | +2.0% | 25.5% | +15.8% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.46 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +10.4% | −8.7% | −25.3% | — | — | 26.2% | +13.4% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.45 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +14.1% | +7.1% | −3.0% | −0.3% | — | — | 26.1% | +12.8% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.46 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | −33.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +6.8% | +60.5% | 28.6% | +17.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.12 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | −0.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | +9.6% | +24.0% | 25.4% | +14.3% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.45 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | −10.4% | −0.9% | — | — | — | 26.8% | +14.7% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.19 | +177% | 0.93 | +5.6% | +64.4% | −18.2% | −21.5% | +2.8% | +21.8% | 26.2% | +15.4% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2011 | 2009 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG Ferguson plc (this page) | 1.00 | +70.0% | 0.50 | −8.6% | −27.2% | −10.3% | −1.0% | −4.0% | −11.7% | 30.9% | +12.1% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.30 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +54.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +8.1% | −4.4% | 26.8% | +17.9% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.44 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +1.3% | −16.3% | −6.0% | −24.4% | +105% | 31.7% | +29.8% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.29 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +51.8% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +11.8% | +62.9% | 26.6% | +17.3% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.14 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +86.6% | −8.2% | +17.4% | — | — | 26.4% | +20.2% |
| ATI Manufacturing - Metal FabricationATI Inc. | 0.34 | +1,008% | 1.34 | +21.1% | +87.5% | −9.8% | −66.7% | −12.2% | +79.8% | 29.3% | +22.8% |
Common questions
What was FERG's worst drawdown?
FERG's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 92.4%, from February 2007 to March 2009. It took about ten years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because FERG launched in November 2006, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were FERG's best and worst years?
Over 17 full calendar years, FERG's best year was 2012, when it returned 68.3%. Its worst was 2022, with a return of -27.2%.
Is there a better investment than FERG?
Among FERG's popular alternatives, GWW, TT and FAST earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years. GWW returned 26.3% a year at 24.9% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 30.7%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TJX (specialty retail) and JCI (building products) earned more than FERG with less volatility over the past 5 years. TJX returned 19.9% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 30.7%.
Is FERG more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. FERG's volatility over the past 5 years was 30.7%, 1.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, FERG's return lands within 30.7% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is FERG's Sharpe ratio?
FERG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.50, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so FERG earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is FERG with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, FERG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.58 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against FERG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a FERG holding.
What are the best alternatives to FERG?
Of the 19 popular alternatives we compared, seven outperformed FERG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: TT, DXPE and FAST.
Did FERG outperform the S&P 500?
FERG finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in seven of 17 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +29.9%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did FERG do in stock market crashes?
FERG fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in seven. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when FERG fell 87.9% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies FERG?
These had a low correlation with FERG over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.44), DXJ (correlation 0.27) and EMLP (correlation 0.46); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.30), CLS (correlation 0.44) and MCK (correlation 0.29). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than FERG's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of FERG's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.