Relative Intelligence · Payment Processing

How Mastercard (MA) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on MA alone. It places MA (Mastercard Incorporated) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where MA stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: MA's full trading record, from May 2006 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, MA rose 20.5% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its payment processing peers split over the past 6 months: FLYW (Flywire) rose 35.5%, while AXP (American Express) fell 2.9%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?MA held up far better than its industry: it rose 13.5% over the past 3 months while the financials sector ETF XLF (State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF) fell 0.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. MA rose 9.5% last month as the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 3.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsMA has trailed the market, rising 10.2% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (64.3% against 89.3%). That said, MA lagged its payment processing peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termMA turned $10,000 into $64,100 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, the past 5 years only trailed the S&P 500 (79.2% against 81.7%), after a much stronger decade (541% against 321%). Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, MA has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. That said, in the 2022 bear market, MA held up better than AXP (American Express), PYPL and XYZ; only V (Visa) and FISV fell less. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, MA has a correlation of 0.57 over 5 years, more closely than 86% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years, MA's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.95: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.1 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 88% as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.) earned more than MA over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 17.3% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 12.4% a year at 23.8%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- AAPL (Apple, digital payments theme) and MSFT (Microsoft, software) were ahead of MA in most short and long periods.
- Whole market
- 109 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MA with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway), WMT (Walmart) and KO (Coca-Cola).
How much would $10,000 in MA have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in MA over the past 18 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of MA over the same span and MA's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 18 years rather than MA's full 20 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in MA at the end of September 2008 would have grown to $341,381 by September 2026, more than the $91,104 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of MA, and NVDA finished highest, at $9,364,421.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2008 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 76 of the 1,883 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MA; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$9M+93,544% total · +46.2% a year
- AAPL$979,453+9,695% total · +29.0% a year
- TSM$768,009+7,580% total · +27.3% a year
- AMZN$684,445+6,744% total · +26.5% a year
- LLY$431,739+4,217% total · +23.3% a year
- MA$341,381+3,314% total · +21.7% a year
- V$266,572+2,566% total · +20.0% a year
- AXP$113,169+1,032% total · +14.4% a year
- JPM$110,612+1,006% total · +14.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$91,104+811% total · +13.1% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,327 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MA; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$24,129+141% total · +19.3% a year
- JPM$22,905+129% total · +18.0% a year
- FFIV$22,395+124% total · +17.5% a year
- AXP$19,289+92.9% total · +14.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- MSFT$18,958+89.6% total · +13.6% a year
- V$16,755+67.5% total · +10.9% a year
- MA$16,338+63.4% total · +10.3% a year
- SHOP$10,938+9.4% total · +1.8% a year
- XYZ$3,066−69.3% total · −21.1% a year
MA at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: MA began trading on May 25, 2006, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- MA's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 62.7%, from June 2008 to January 2009. It took about two years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- MA is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 19 full calendar years, MA's best was 2007, when it returned 119%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 33.4%. It lost money in three of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $543B
- Industry
- Financial - Credit Services
- Price history from
- May 2006
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +10.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +64.3%+18.0% a year
- Past 5 years
- +79.2%+12.4% a year
- Past 10 years
- +541%+20.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +119%2007
- Worst calendar year
- −33.4%2008
- Losing years
- 3 of 19full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 23.8%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.61return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −62.7%Jun 2008 to Jan 2009
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
MA against the whole market
Where MA ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does MA rank among all stocks?
This section ranks MA on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how MA stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- MA's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 8% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | MA | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +10.3% | 1,579 of 3,287 | top 48% |
| 3-year return | +64.3% | 1,339 of 3,017 | top 44% |
| 5-year return | +79.2% | 822 of 2,893 | top 28% |
| 10-year return | +541% | 273 of 2,202 | top 12% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 23.8% | 250 of 2,893 | top 9% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.61 | 646 of 2,893 | top 22% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −41.0% | 177 of 2,187 | top 8% |
What has beaten MA on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). MA sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than MA with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 30 stocks and 79 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than MA over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half MA's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 20% less than MA's 23.8%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.61 for MA.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to MA; faint dots are 73 more of the 109 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× MA's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than MA?
Investments that beat MA over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among MA's popular alternatives, JPM earned more than MA over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 17.3% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 12.4% a year at 23.8%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, AAPL (digital payments theme) and MSFT (software) were ahead of MA in most short and long periods.
- Across the whole market, 109 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MA with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them BRK-B, WMT and KO.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat MA over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks MA's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than MA follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than MA's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× MA's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than MA's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with MA?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +12.4% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | +541% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.57 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against MA. 3 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.88 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +3.1% | 66.9% | 0.38 | −84.8% | +3,916% | 0.47 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.58 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 4 shownEverything else in Payment Processing and the categories next to it (Application Software, Software, Consumer Finance, Financial Technology), plus MA's specific themes. 4 of 93 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.36 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 0.34 | — | ||
FFIVF5, Inc. · Cybersecurity | Higher return in most periods | +17.1% | 30.8% | 0.67 | −54.6% | +287% | 0.26 | — | |
CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Higher return in most periods | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +454% | 0.21 | 0.58% | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 378 of 3,521 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.36 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.38 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.27 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.45 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.36 | — | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.66 | 0.40% | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.56 | 0.03% | ||
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Higher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.42 | — | |
What these numbers mean for MA
- Annual return
- MA returned 12.4% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $17,900. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- MA's volatility over the past 5 years was 23.8%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MA's return lands within 23.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- MA's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.61, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MA earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- MA's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 41.0%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 41.0% fall takes a 69.5% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, MA's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.57 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MA instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MA holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 109 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than MA with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 76 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with MA | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.45 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.33 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.64 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.51 | — | |
| 5 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.66 | 0.40% |
| 6 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.40 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.01 | 0.40% | |
| 8 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.30 | — | |
| 9 | VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +15.9% | 18.4% | 0.90 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.48 | 0.15% |
| 10 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.53 | 0.26% | |
| 11 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.49 | — |
| 12 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.40 | 0.13% |
| 13 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.64 | 0.27% |
| 14 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.61 | 0.15% |
| 15 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.39 | — |
| 16 | DIVBiShares Core Dividend ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +13.9% | 15.4% | 0.93 | −36.9% | — | 0.69 | 0.05% |
| 17 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.51 | — | |
| 18 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.55 | 0.40% |
| 19 | XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.8% | 18.9% | 0.78 | −30.5% | +379% | 0.46 | 0.20% |
| 20 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.62 | 0.12% |
| 21 | RECSColumbia Research Enhanced Core ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.4% | 16.4% | 0.85 | −34.3% | +237% | 0.64 | 0.15% |
| 22 | USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.1% | 16.4% | 0.89 | −30.0% | — | 0.59 | 0.12% |
| 23 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.43 | 0.61% |
| 24 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.43 | 0.50% |
| 25 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.52 | — | |
| 26 | GARPiShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.5% | 22.5% | 0.83 | −31.4% | — | 0.40 | 0.15% |
| 27 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.45 | 0.45% |
| 28 | DIVIFranklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF · International | Whole market | +13.4% | 15.5% | 0.89 | −27.7% | +184% | 0.57 | 0.09% |
| 29 | PWBInvesco Large Cap Growth ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.8% | 22.2% | 0.74 | −32.4% | +409% | 0.38 | 0.55% |
| 30 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.62 | 0.38% |
| 31 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.33 | 0.45% |
| 32 | UTESVirtus Reaves Utilities ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.1% | 0.71 | −35.4% | +210% | 0.32 | 0.49% |
| 33 | HLALWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.0% | 18.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | — | 0.46 | 0.50% |
| 34 | EQLALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.5% | 0.94 | −34.2% | +387% | 0.66 | 0.19% |
| 35 | EWJViShares MSCI Japan Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.2% | 0.86 | −30.1% | — | 0.54 | 0.15% |
| 36 | DGTState Street SPDR Global Dow ETF · International | Whole market | +13.8% | 15.1% | 0.94 | −34.4% | +261% | 0.67 | 0.50% |
| 37 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.36 | 0.48% |
| 38 | NXTGFirst Trust Indxx NextG ETF · Technology | Whole market | +16.2% | 19.1% | 0.89 | −33.6% | +330% | 0.31 | 0.70% |
| 39 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.38 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.51 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.37 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.41 | — | |
| 43 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.48 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.45 | — | |
| 45 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.52 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | +295% | 0.47 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.46 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.52 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.33 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.1% | 0.72 | −42.7% | +481% | 0.51 | — | |
| 51 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.23 | 0.80% |
| 52 | HIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +15.6% | 22.0% | 0.77 | −57.6% | +294% | 0.58 | — |
| 53 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +194% | 0.57 | 0.25% |
| 54 | PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +13.8% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | +172% | 0.49 | — |
| 55 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.63 | 0.56% |
| 56 | LLoews Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.3% | 19.2% | 0.80 | −48.5% | +180% | 0.54 | — |
| 57 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.4% | 0.84 | −43.0% | — | 0.51 | 0.36% |
| 58 | AMLPAlerian MLP ETF · Energy Equity | Whole market | +16.1% | 18.9% | 0.89 | −72.9% | +91.0% | 0.57 | 1.01% |
| 59 | PAVEGlobal X - U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF · Infrastructure Equity | Whole market | +14.9% | 21.6% | 0.75 | −44.1% | — | 0.52 | 0.47% |
| 60 | ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +14.6% | 20.4% | 0.78 | −51.0% | +258% | 0.46 | 0.37% |
| 61 | PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +13.4% | 19.9% | 0.73 | −39.3% | +103% | 0.31 | — |
| 62 | FDLFirst Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 14.4% | 0.98 | −41.4% | +199% | 0.66 | 0.43% |
| 63 | ORIOld Republic International Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +17.0% | 22.2% | 0.82 | −47.8% | +349% | 0.41 | — |
| 64 | EMLPFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +14.9% | 14.5% | 1.04 | −43.6% | +150% | 0.51 | 0.95% |
| 65 | GCOWPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04 | −37.6% | +168% | 0.63 | 0.60% |
| 66 | MLPXGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF · Energy | Whole market | +18.6% | 19.7% | 0.97 | −64.6% | +186% | 0.54 | 0.45% |
| 67 | EUFNiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF · Financial Sector Equity | Whole market | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.62 | 0.49% |
| 68 | WTVWisdomTree U.S. Value Fund · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.0% | 0.83 | −42.2% | +303% | 0.69 | 0.12% |
| 69 | BATRAAtlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. · Entertainment | Whole market | +15.3% | 22.0% | 0.76 | −54.2% | +224% | 0.30 | — |
| 70 | BATRKAtlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. · Entertainment | Whole market | +13.4% | 22.6% | 0.67 | −54.9% | +195% | 0.29 | — |
| 71 | VFMFVanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.3% | 17.6% | 0.85 | −41.3% | — | 0.62 | 0.18% |
| 72 | ATMPBarclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.2% | 21.5% | 1.01 | −70.3% | +172% | 0.56 | 0.95% |
| 73 | IDOGALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 15.6% | 0.93 | −37.3% | +180% | 0.61 | 0.50% |
| 74 | GVALCambria Global Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.4% | 18.7% | 0.82 | −46.8% | +173% | 0.48 | 0.68% |
| 75 | FDUSFidus Investment Corporation · Asset Management | Whole market | +13.5% | 20.4% | 0.72 | −68.7% | +260% | 0.48 | — |
| 76 | QVALAlpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.7% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.5% | +230% | 0.62 | 0.28% |
MA against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against MA, compared period by period and year by year.
How do MA's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at MA, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only V was both more rewarding and calmer than MA over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- 16 of the 19 popular alternatives earned less than MA over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, MA returned 12.4% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (23.8% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than MA with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | +17.3% | 24.3% |
| AXP American Express Company | +13.5% | 29.3% |
| V Visa Inc. | +12.8% | 22.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MA This pageMastercard Incorporated | +12.4% | 23.8% |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | +8.2% | 32.5% |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | +6.2% | 64.4% |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | +4.9% | 35.2% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | +3.1% | 66.9% |
| WEX WEX Inc. | −0.8% | 37.2% |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | −6.6% | 57.8% |
| SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | −7.0% | 65.7% |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | −8.5% | 59.9% |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | −11.2% | 36.9% |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | −12.1% | 58.2% |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | −12.9% | 35.7% |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | −15.2% | 36.7% |
| FLYW Flywire Corp | −17.0% | 56.4% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | −19.7% | 33.9% |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | −21.1% | 59.9% |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. | −25.9% | 43.3% |
Has MA consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares MA with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than MA helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Two of the 19 popular alternatives, SHOP and V, outperformed MA in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- V earned more for the risk it took than MA (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than MA over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| MA Mastercard Incorporated (this page) | — | +9.5% | +13.5% | +20.5% | +10.9% | +10.3% | +64.3% | +79.2% | +541% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | — | $543B | — |
| SHOP QualifiedShopify Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +25.8% | +39.4% | +28.4% | +10.4% | +5.3% | +239% | +16.6% | +3,916% | 66.9% | 0.38 | −84.8% | — | $225B | — |
| V QualifiedVisa Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +9.9% | +13.0% | +30.0% | +18.0% | +19.0% | +78.2% | +82.5% | +429% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | — | $759B | — |
| XYZ Software - InfrastructureBlock, Inc. | 1/5 short2/3 long | +0.3% | −1.5% | +5.7% | +19.9% | +2.1% | +77.6% | −69.4% | +598% | 59.9% | -0.10 | −86.1% | — | $47B | — |
| JPM Banks - DiversifiedJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 1/5 short2/3 long | −4.3% | −0.6% | +6.8% | +5.0% | +13.0% | +150% | +122% | +537% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | — | $891B | — |
| AXP Financial - Credit ServicesAmerican Express Company | 0/5 short2/3 long | +1.8% | −9.3% | −2.9% | −13.8% | −7.9% | +133% | +88.5% | +446% | 29.3% | 0.58 | −49.6% | — | $215B | — |
| CPAY Software - InfrastructureCorpay, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | +2.8% | +10.6% | +21.1% | +35.9% | +42.8% | +70.9% | +48.6% | +137% | 32.5% | 0.41 | −50.1% | — | $27B | — |
| PAY Software - InfrastructurePaymentus Holdings, Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −4.5% | +11.1% | +13.8% | +15.8% | +12.0% | +122% | +35.0% | — | 64.4% | 0.41 | −80.8% | — | $4.2B | — |
| COF Financial - Credit ServicesCapital One Financial Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | −1.6% | −2.2% | −1.2% | −17.8% | −4.7% | +134% | +27.0% | +222% | 35.2% | 0.31 | −60.3% | — | $124B | — |
| SOFI Financial - Credit ServicesSoFi Technologies, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −13.5% | −13.7% | −24.7% | −46.5% | −48.8% | +99.2% | −30.3% | — | 65.7% | 0.21 | −83.3% | — | $19B | — |
| TOST Software - InfrastructureToast, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +9.6% | +5.8% | +11.9% | −4.0% | −13.3% | +85.7% | −35.9% | — | 59.9% | 0.15 | −80.6% | — | $17B | — |
| FLYW Specialty Business ServicesFlywire Corp | 3/5 short0/3 long | +8.8% | +3.4% | +35.5% | +34.1% | +41.0% | −33.1% | −60.7% | — | 56.4% | -0.04 | −84.4% | — | $2.3B | — |
| RELY Software - InfrastructureRemitly Global, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +13.5% | +2.7% | +18.8% | +85.4% | +52.9% | −6.6% | −28.9% | — | 57.8% | 0.17 | −85.8% | — | $5.2B | — |
| WEX Software - InfrastructureWEX Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −1.2% | +13.2% | +4.5% | +24.8% | +21.1% | −1.4% | −3.9% | +74.9% | 37.2% | 0.17 | −64.6% | — | $6.3B | — |
| GPN Financial - Credit ServicesGlobal Payments Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −0.6% | +3.3% | +17.2% | +13.4% | −1.3% | −21.1% | −44.7% | +22.4% | 36.9% | -0.14 | −70.2% | — | $22B | — |
| PYPL Financial - Credit ServicesPayPal Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +8.6% | +0.8% | +11.7% | −0.9% | −16.5% | +8.2% | −77.6% | +44.1% | 43.3% | -0.47 | −87.3% | — | $49B | — |
| FISV Information Technology ServicesFiserv, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.8% | −6.6% | −24.8% | −26.4% | −61.1% | −56.3% | −56.2% | −2.7% | 36.7% | -0.24 | −81.3% | — | $26B | — |
| EEFT Software - InfrastructureEuronet Worldwide, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +0.1% | −18.7% | −12.1% | −10.7% | −24.3% | −21.1% | −49.9% | −19.7% | 35.7% | -0.21 | −63.3% | — | $2.5B | — |
| FIS Information Technology ServicesFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.5% | −12.8% | −22.9% | −42.7% | −44.3% | −21.6% | −66.6% | −41.3% | 33.9% | -0.47 | −76.0% | — | $19B | — |
| FOUR Software - InfrastructureShift4 Payments, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.8% | −20.5% | −18.0% | −35.4% | −46.7% | −20.1% | −47.4% | — | 58.2% | 0.07 | −71.7% | — | $4.2B | — |
How did MA do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2007, along with where MA ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with MA and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: MA began trading on May 25, 2006, so the table starts with 2007, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- Among its popular alternatives, SHOP came out ahead of MA most often, in nine of the ten years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, MA finished in the top quarter in eight of 19 years and in the bottom quarter in no. In 2025, it ranked 7 of 20.
- MA finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 12 of its 19 full calendar years.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of MA; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places MA among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of MA | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA This pageMastercard Incorporated | — | +9.0% | +24.2% | +23.4% | −2.7% | +1.2% | +20.2% | +59.2% | +25.3% | +47.7% | +6.9% | +13.8% | +3.7% | +70.7% | +32.1% | +66.7% | −12.2% | +79.8% | −33.4% | +119% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 8 of 19 | 7 of 20 | 12 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 6 of 16 | 4 of 14 | 3 of 14 | 3 of 14 | 4 of 14 | 10 of 14 | 5 of 11 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 11 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 11 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 9 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 19 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 9 of 10 | +51.4% | +36.5% | +124% | −74.8% | +21.7% | +185% | +187% | +37.1% | +135% | +66.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V Visa Inc. | 5 of 17 | +11.8% | +22.3% | +26.3% | −3.4% | −0.3% | +17.1% | +43.3% | +16.5% | +47.2% | +1.4% | +19.1% | +18.7% | +48.0% | +50.5% | +45.4% | −18.9% | +68.0% | — | — |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −23.4% | +9.9% | +23.1% | −61.1% | −25.8% | +248% | +11.5% | +61.8% | +154% | +4.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 9 of 19 | +37.3% | +44.3% | +30.6% | −12.6% | +27.8% | −5.5% | +47.3% | −6.6% | +26.8% | +34.5% | +8.4% | +9.9% | +36.7% | +36.2% | −19.9% | +2.3% | +34.4% | −25.1% | −6.9% |
| AXP American Express Company | 7 of 19 | +26.0% | +60.3% | +28.7% | −8.5% | +36.9% | −1.1% | +32.5% | −2.6% | +36.2% | +8.6% | −24.2% | +3.7% | +59.8% | +23.6% | +11.6% | +7.8% | +126% | −63.7% | −13.4% |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | 4 of 15 | −11.1% | +19.8% | +53.9% | −17.9% | −18.0% | −5.2% | +54.9% | −3.5% | +36.0% | −1.0% | −3.9% | +26.9% | +118% | +79.6% | −3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 4 | −3.3% | +82.8% | +123% | −77.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | 9 of 19 | +37.6% | +38.3% | +44.3% | −34.6% | +49.3% | −2.7% | +38.6% | −22.8% | +16.3% | +23.8% | −10.9% | +9.4% | +34.2% | +37.5% | −0.1% | +11.6% | +24.1% | −30.3% | −38.4% |
| SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | 4 of 5 | +70.0% | +54.8% | +116% | −70.8% | +27.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | 1 of 4 | −2.6% | +99.6% | +1.3% | −48.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FLYW Flywire Corp | 0 of 4 | −31.3% | −10.9% | −5.4% | −35.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | 1 of 4 | −38.9% | +16.2% | +69.6% | −44.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 5 of 19 | −15.0% | −9.9% | +18.9% | +16.6% | −31.0% | −2.8% | +49.5% | −0.8% | +26.6% | +26.2% | −10.6% | −0.1% | +31.4% | +38.9% | +18.0% | +44.4% | +153% | −64.5% | +13.9% |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 6 of 19 | −30.1% | −11.0% | +29.0% | −25.9% | −36.9% | +18.5% | +77.3% | +2.9% | +44.5% | +7.6% | +59.9% | +24.4% | +43.7% | −4.3% | +2.6% | −14.1% | +64.6% | −29.4% | +0.7% |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −31.4% | +39.0% | −13.8% | −62.2% | −19.5% | +117% | +28.6% | +14.2% | +86.5% | +9.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | 7 of 19 | −67.3% | +54.6% | +31.4% | −2.6% | −8.8% | −1.5% | +57.3% | +12.1% | +23.9% | +17.2% | +30.7% | +21.9% | +49.8% | +34.6% | +0.4% | +20.8% | +33.3% | −34.5% | +5.8% |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 4 of 19 | −26.0% | +1.3% | +7.5% | −20.8% | −17.8% | −8.0% | +53.9% | +21.5% | +16.4% | 0.0% | +31.9% | +14.7% | +103% | +27.7% | +6.0% | −20.5% | +89.1% | −61.3% | +1.0% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 6 of 19 | −15.8% | +37.0% | −8.2% | −36.5% | −21.9% | +2.7% | +37.2% | +10.3% | +26.1% | +26.6% | −1.0% | +17.8% | +57.4% | +34.1% | −2.2% | +17.7% | +45.4% | +282% | +4.7% |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −39.3% | +39.6% | +32.9% | −3.5% | −23.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How MA has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were MA's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents MA's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2006, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: MA began trading on May 25, 2006, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of MA's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: MA fell 22.4% from April to December 2021, while the S&P 500 rose 8.6%.
- The slowest recovery came after MA fell 62.7% from June 2008 to January 2009; it did not regain that peak until July 2011, two years later.
Green means MA fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | MA fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −62.7% | −40.9% | Jun 2008 | Jan 2009 | 7 months | Jul 2011 | 2.5 years |
| Covid crash | −41.0% | −33.7% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | Aug 2020 | 5 months |
| 2022 bear market | −28.2% | −21.1% | Feb 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 months | Jul 2023 | 9 months |
| No named crash | −24.0% | −8.9% | Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 month | Oct 2007 | 2 months |
| No named crash | −22.4% | +8.6% | Apr 2021 | Dec 2021 | 8 months | Feb 2022 | 2 months |
How did MA do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far MA, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: MA began trading on May 25, 2006, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- MA fell further than the S&P 500 in seven of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when MA fell 20.4% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
- Among its popular alternatives, V held up best, falling less than MA in seven of the eight crashes they both traded through.
- MA began trading after the dot-com bust, but five of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was FISV's 51.5%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than MA.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA This pageMastercard Incorporated | — | −4.0% | −28.2% | −41.0% | −21.9% | −5.8% | −20.4% | −13.8% | −3.1% | −62.7% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 0 of 6 | −5.1% | −79.0% | −40.7% | −27.6% | −5.4% | −49.2% | — | — | — | — |
| V Visa Inc. | 7 of 8 | −3.5% | −24.1% | −36.4% | −19.1% | −5.8% | −15.8% | −11.5% | −0.8% | — | — |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 0 of 5 | −10.9% | −65.8% | −55.5% | −48.8% | −9.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2 of 9 | −5.4% | −37.9% | −42.5% | −21.3% | −5.6% | −22.0% | −32.1% | −0.1% | −67.7% | −74.0% |
| AXP American Express Company | 1 of 9 | −9.8% | −31.6% | −49.6% | −20.7% | −8.6% | −36.6% | −18.1% | −4.5% | −83.4% | −59.1% |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | 0 of 7 | −8.9% | −35.3% | −46.5% | −23.0% | −8.5% | −30.8% | −15.9% | — | — | — |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −13.8% | −69.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | 1 of 9 | −11.1% | −42.6% | −58.8% | −28.2% | −9.6% | −28.5% | −24.2% | −2.1% | −87.7% | −65.6% |
| SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −15.2% | −67.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −9.5% | −58.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FLYW Flywire Corp | 0 of 2 | −8.6% | −57.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −3.8% | −62.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 1 of 9 | −10.3% | −30.4% | −64.6% | −34.6% | −9.4% | −42.9% | −29.8% | −2.3% | −79.0% | — |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 1 of 9 | −11.9% | −29.2% | −44.3% | −25.4% | −7.5% | −27.8% | −18.6% | −5.7% | −44.4% | — |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −4.4% | −63.8% | −31.2% | −16.7% | −5.6% | −21.6% | — | — | — | — |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −10.9% | −19.3% | −37.7% | −16.2% | −6.1% | −11.3% | −20.4% | −1.4% | −48.3% | −51.5% |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −9.8% | −49.5% | −52.4% | −19.8% | −11.3% | −29.4% | −19.8% | −2.1% | −77.6% | −79.1% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −20.2% | −38.5% | −34.7% | −13.1% | −8.0% | −23.4% | −23.3% | 0.0% | −46.4% | — |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −6.2% | −53.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does MA move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares MA with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the 13 popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than MA's 1.20.
- Over the past 10 years, MA captured 105% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 88% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.95. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- V took just 79% of the S&P 500's losses, against 88% for MA, while still keeping 93% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than MA's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA This pageMastercard Incorporated | 105% | 88% | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| V Visa Inc. | 93% | 79% | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 233% | 203% | 1.15 | 2.09 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 117% | 103% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| AXP American Express Company | 117% | 113% | 1.03 | 1.16 |
| COF Capital One Financial Corporation | 115% | 146% | 0.79 | 1.39 |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 212% | 273% | 0.78 | 2.52 |
| CPAY Corpay, Inc. | 96% | 132% | 0.72 | 1.15 |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 114% | 190% | 0.60 | 1.37 |
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. | 106% | 186% | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 76% | 139% | 0.54 | 0.98 |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | 51% | 107% | 0.48 | 0.86 |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 65% | 144% | 0.45 | 1.22 |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 54% | 150% | 0.36 | 0.82 |
What diversifies MA?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with MA's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing MA with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in MA into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+10.3% for MA alone, +12.5% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and GLD have moved largely independently of MA over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.36 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- GLD made money in two of the three calendar years in which MA lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which MA lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% MA and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2010 | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA Mastercard Incorporated (this page) | 1.00 | +79.2% | 0.61 | −2.7% | −12.2% | −33.4% | 20.9% | +10.3% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.36 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | −1.8% | −20.8% | 17.8% | +13.8% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +19.0% | −44.7% | 19.2% | +16.5% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.01 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | +29.3% | +4.9% | 17.1% | +12.5% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.40 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | — | — | 18.7% | +12.9% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.42 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | +21.9% | −39.0% | 19.5% | +13.3% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.48 | +109% | 0.90 | −14.2% | — | — | 19.0% | +12.1% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.19 | +153% | 0.89 | −28.9% | +22.8% | −45.3% | 18.3% | +13.3% |
| EDIV InternationalState Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Dividend ETF | 0.43 | +69.9% | 0.84 | −15.3% | — | — | 18.0% | +10.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2010 | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA Mastercard Incorporated (this page) | 1.00 | +79.2% | 0.61 | −2.7% | −12.2% | −33.4% | 20.9% | +10.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.35 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +21.4% | −39.6% | 19.2% | +16.0% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.21 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | +2.8% | −20.5% | 22.3% | +28.7% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.18 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +8.7% | −15.2% | 20.3% | +24.8% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.25 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +13.8% | −40.4% | 18.6% | +15.5% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.34 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | — | — | 19.8% | +18.0% |
Common questions
What was MA's worst drawdown?
MA's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 62.7%, from June 2008 to January 2009. It took about two years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because MA launched in May 2006, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were MA's best and worst years?
Over 19 full calendar years, MA's best year was 2007, when it returned 119%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -33.4%.
Is there a better investment than MA?
Among MA's popular alternatives, JPM earned more than MA over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 17.3% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 12.4% a year at 23.8%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, AAPL (digital payments theme) and MSFT (software) were ahead of MA in most short and long periods.
Is MA more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. MA's volatility over the past 5 years was 23.8%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MA's return lands within 23.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is MA's Sharpe ratio?
MA's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.61, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MA earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is MA with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, MA's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.57 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MA instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MA holding.
What are the best alternatives to MA?
Of the 19 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed MA in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: SHOP and V.
Did MA outperform the S&P 500?
MA finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 12 of 19 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +9.0%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did MA do in stock market crashes?
MA fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in seven. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when MA fell 20.4% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
What diversifies MA?
These had a low correlation with MA over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.36), SMH (correlation 0.18) and GLD (correlation 0.01); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.35), CLS (correlation 0.21) and FIX (correlation 0.18). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than MA's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of MA's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to MA
SHOPShopify
VVisa
XYZBlock
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
AXPAmerican Express
COFCapital One Financial
PYPLPayPal