Relative Intelligence · Payment Processing

How PayPal (PYPL) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on PYPL alone. It places PYPL (PayPal Holdings, Inc.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where PYPL stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: PYPL's full trading record, from July 2015 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowPYPL is 81.3% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. Its payment processing peers split over the past 3 months: MA (Mastercard) rose 13.5%, while FIS (Fidelity National Information Services) fell 12.8%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?PYPL rose 0.8% over the past 3 months, in line with the financials sector ETF XLF (State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF), which fell 0.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: PYPL rose 8.6% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsPYPL has gone against the market, falling 16.5% over the past year while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (8.2% against 89.3%). By year ↓
- Long termOver the past decade, PYPL returned 3.7% a year against 15.5% a year for the S&P 500 (44.1% in total against 321%). Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashThe 2022 bear market took 63.8% off PYPL, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than V (Visa, 24.1%) but less than XYZ (Block, 65.8%). Across four sell-offs, PYPL has typically fallen 1.5 times as far as the S&P 500. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, PYPL has a correlation of 0.50 over 5 years, more closely than 72% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- AMZN (Amazon.com), V (Visa) and MA (Mastercard) earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years. AMZN returned 9.0% a year at 36.6% volatility, against a loss of 25.9% a year at 43.2%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- AAPL (Apple, digital payments theme) and MSFT (Microsoft, software) earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years. AAPL returned 18.5% a year at 28.0% volatility, against a loss of 25.9% a year at 43.2%.
- Whole market
- 2,419 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), GOOG (Alphabet) and MSFT (Microsoft).
How much would $10,000 in PYPL have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in PYPL over the past 11 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of PYPL over the same span and PYPL's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: PYPL began trading on July 6, 2015, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or two other sell-offs. It covers the most recent 11 years of PYPL's record, starting at the end of September 2015.
- $10,000 invested in PYPL at the end of September 2015 would have grown to $17,110 by September 2026, less than the $47,605 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Six of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of PYPL, and SHOP finished highest, at $421,312.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2015 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,905 of the 2,591 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of PYPL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SHOP$421,312+4,113% total · +40.5% a year
- AMZN$97,360+874% total · +23.0% a year
- MA$65,410+554% total · +18.6% a year
- V$55,752+458% total · +16.9% a year
- EBAY$49,212+392% total · +15.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$47,605+376% total · +15.2% a year
- WEX$19,426+94.3% total · +6.2% a year
- PYPL$17,110+71.1% total · +5.0% a year
- GPN$15,121+51.2% total · +3.8% a year
- WU$6,178−38.2% total · −4.3% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 3,531 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of PYPL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- V$16,755+67.5% total · +10.9% a year
- EBAY$16,622+66.2% total · +10.7% a year
- MA$16,338+63.4% total · +10.3% a year
- AMZN$15,169+51.7% total · +8.7% a year
- PAY$12,435+24.4% total · +4.5% a year
- SHOP$10,938+9.4% total · +1.8% a year
- WEX$9,578−4.2% total · −0.9% a year
- PYPL$2,041−79.6% total · −27.2% a year
- PAGS$1,916−80.8% total · −28.1% a year
PYPL at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: PYPL began trading on July 6, 2015, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or two other sell-offs.
- PYPL is still 81.3% below its all-time high.
- PYPL's deepest decline since it began trading in 2015 was 87.3%, from July 2021 to February 2026. It has not yet climbed back to that peak.
- Over ten full calendar years, PYPL's best was 2020, when it returned 117%, and its worst was 2022, when it lost 62.2%. It lost money in four of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $49B
- Industry
- Financial - Credit Services
- Price history from
- July 2015
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −16.5%total return
- Past 3 years
- +8.2%+2.7% a year
- Past 5 years
- −77.6%−25.9% a year
- Past 10 years
- +44.1%+3.7% a year
- Best calendar year
- +117%2020
- Worst calendar year
- −62.2%2022
- Losing years
- 4 of 10full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 43.3%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- -0.47return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −87.3%Jul 2021 to Feb 2026
- From its all-time high
- −81.3%below the peak
PYPL against the whole market
Where PYPL ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does PYPL rank among all stocks?
This section ranks PYPL on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how PYPL stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), PYPL ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | PYPL | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −16.5% | 2,548 of 3,287 | bottom 23% |
| 3-year return | +8.2% | 2,189 of 3,017 | bottom 28% |
| 5-year return | −77.6% | 2,714 of 2,893 | bottom 7% |
| 10-year return | +44.1% | 1,609 of 2,202 | bottom 28% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 43.3% | 1,623 of 2,893 | bottom 45% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | -0.47 | 2,860 of 2,893 | bottom 2% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −87.3% | 1,861 of 2,187 | bottom 16% |
What has beaten PYPL on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). PYPL sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than PYPL with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 1,430 stocks and 989 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than PYPL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 67% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half PYPL's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 43% less than PYPL's 43.2%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against -0.47 for PYPL. INSW earned the most, 56.5% a year, while still swinging less than PYPL (40.5% against 43.2%).
- Among PYPL's popular alternatives, V, MA and EBAY are in the region. V earned 12.8% a year against a loss of 25.9% a year for PYPL, at 22.9% volatility, 47% less than PYPL's 43.2%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to PYPL; faint dots are 91 more of the 2,419 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than PYPL?
Investments that beat PYPL over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among PYPL's popular alternatives, AMZN, V and MA earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years. AMZN returned 9.0% a year at 36.6% volatility, against a loss of 25.9% a year at 43.2%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, AAPL (digital payments theme) and MSFT (software) earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years. AAPL returned 18.5% a year at 28.0% volatility, against a loss of 25.9% a year at 43.2%.
- Across the whole market, 2,419 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, GOOG and MSFT.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat PYPL over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks PYPL's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than PYPL follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than PYPL's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× PYPL's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than PYPL's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with PYPL?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| −25.9% | 43.3% | -0.47 | −87.3% | +44.1% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.50 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against PYPL. 16 of 23 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +9.0% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | +548% | 0.51 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.46 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.4% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | +541% | 0.48 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +11.7% | 32.9% | 0.50 | −53.6% | +374% | 0.46 | — | ||
WEXWEX Inc. · Payment Processing | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | −0.8% | 37.2% | 0.17 | −64.6% | +74.9% | 0.44 | — | |
GPNGlobal Payments Inc. · Payment Processing | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | −11.2% | 36.9% | -0.14 | −70.2% | +22.4% | 0.52 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Payment Processing and the categories next to it (Application Software, Software, Consumer Finance, Financial Technology), plus PYPL's specific themes. 81 of 94 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.34 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +11.5% | 30.0% | 0.52 | −52.5% | +205% | 0.41 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | −3.2% | 39.4% | 0.12 | −58.7% | +240% | 0.36 | — | ||
FFIVF5, Inc. · Cybersecurity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.1% | 30.8% | 0.67 | −54.6% | +287% | 0.26 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +31.9% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | +1,274% | 0.03 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 2,943 of 3,516 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.19 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | -0.11 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | -0.01 | 0.40% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +5.1% | 18.3% | 0.37 | −23.8% | +145% | 0.06 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +8.7% | 35.7% | 0.41 | −28.7% | +257% | -0.03 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +5.0% | 27.0% | 0.32 | −36.8% | +129% | 0.26 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +8.4% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +202% | 0.23 | 0.08% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +15.5% | 45.4% | 0.55 | −76.7% | +439% | 0.35 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for PYPL
- Annual return
- PYPL lost 25.9% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $2,240. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- PYPL's volatility over the past 5 years was 43.2%, 2.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, PYPL's return lands within 43.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- PYPL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was -0.47, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so PYPL earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- PYPL's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 87.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 87.3% fall takes a 688% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, PYPL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.50 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against PYPL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a PYPL holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 2,419 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than PYPL with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with PYPL | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.19 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | -0.11 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | -0.01 | 0.40% | |
| 4 | Whole market | +5.1% | 18.3% | 0.37 | −23.8% | +145% | 0.06 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +8.7% | 35.7% | 0.41 | −28.7% | +257% | -0.03 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +5.0% | 27.0% | 0.32 | −36.8% | +129% | 0.26 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +18.6% | 39.1% | 0.63 | −62.4% | +304% | 0.05 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +2.7% | 22.9% | 0.23 | −41.2% | +55.8% | 0.06 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.31 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.30 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +5.5% | 21.5% | 0.36 | −30.1% | +89.8% | 0.28 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +9.5% | 24.5% | 0.49 | −37.6% | +95.1% | -0.06 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | −1.7% | 25.4% | 0.06 | −58.9% | +55.0% | -0.03 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.2% | 0.46 | −29.0% | +68.8% | 0.04 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | −3.8% | 29.1% | 0.01 | −43.8% | +232% | 0.38 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.20 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +202% | 0.23 | 0.08% | |
| 18 | CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. · Integrated Telecommunications | Whole market | +7.7% | 13.3% | 0.63 | −23.8% | +101% | 0.09 | — |
| 19 | Whole market | +12.3% | 27.3% | 0.56 | −43.8% | +151% | 0.23 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.26 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | −4.8% | 27.3% | -0.04 | −45.4% | +107% | 0.29 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +4.5% | 33.9% | 0.30 | −44.3% | +182% | 0.32 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.19 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.51 | 0.03% | |
| 25 | CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc. · Household & Personal Products | Whole market | +6.1% | 21.1% | 0.39 | −31.7% | +154% | 0.04 | — |
| 26 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.50 | 0.03% | |
| 27 | XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF · Consumer Staples | Whole market | +7.2% | 13.8% | 0.57 | −24.5% | +121% | 0.23 | 0.08% |
| 28 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.26 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.24 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.14 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | -0.09 | — | |
| 32 | EFAViShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +7.6% | 11.9% | 0.68 | −27.6% | +97.7% | 0.42 | 0.20% |
| 33 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | -0.01 | — | |
| 34 | FTGCFirst Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +12.9% | 15.6% | 0.86 | −35.9% | +139% | 0.17 | 0.98% |
| 35 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.17 | 0.48% |
| 36 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.38 | 0.40% |
| 37 | FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.4% | 0.99 | −20.6% | +158% | 0.45 | 0.95% |
| 38 | PTLCPacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +9.5% | 11.8% | 0.83 | −26.6% | +188% | 0.34 | 0.60% |
| 39 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.11 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.19 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.23 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +553% | 0.38 | 0.18% | |
| 43 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.20 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.15 | — | |
| 45 | AOAiShares Core 80/20 Aggressive Allocation ETF · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +8.6% | 13.1% | 0.69 | −28.4% | +165% | 0.49 | 0.19% |
| 46 | Whole market | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.17 | — | |
| 47 | ACWViShares MSCI Global Min Vol Factor ETF · International | Whole market | +6.3% | 10.3% | 0.65 | −28.8% | +116% | 0.45 | 0.20% |
| 48 | Whole market | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.28 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.23 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.02 | — | |
| 51 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.11 | — | |
| 52 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.08 | — |
| 53 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.34 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +12.1% | 13.7% | 0.90 | −36.8% | +235% | 0.43 | 0.03% | |
| 55 | GLTRabrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +14.9% | 24.6% | 0.69 | −37.9% | +191% | -0.02 | 0.60% |
| 56 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.26 | — | |
| 57 | BALTInnovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF · Crypto | Whole market | +6.3% | 3.3% | 1.85 | −4.9% | — | 0.44 | 0.69% |
| 58 | CHCOCity Holding Company · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +15.9% | 22.8% | 0.77 | −32.3% | +286% | 0.44 | — |
| 59 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.04 | — | |
| 60 | Whole market | +38.7% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | +542% | 0.36 | — | |
| 61 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.06 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.28 | — | |
| 63 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.34 | — | |
| 64 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.31 | — | |
| 65 | Whole market | +32.0% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | +1,017% | 0.21 | — | |
| 66 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.22 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +16.6% | 30.5% | 0.66 | −41.1% | +151% | 0.04 | — | |
| 68 | Whole market | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.27 | — | |
| 69 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.34 | 0.09% | |
| 70 | LQDHiShares Interest Rate Hedged Corporate Bond ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +5.3% | 4.4% | 1.21 | −24.6% | +55.5% | 0.53 | 0.44% |
| 71 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.17 | — | |
| 72 | Whole market | +16.6% | 31.4% | 0.65 | −44.3% | +398% | 0.09 | — | |
| 73 | Whole market | +19.5% | 34.1% | 0.69 | −33.6% | +652% | 0.20 | — | |
| 74 | PTNQPacer Trendpilot 100 ETF · Technology | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.1% | 0.73 | −28.1% | +305% | 0.18 | 0.65% |
| 75 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.06 | — | |
| 76 | FTQIFirst Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +11.5% | 14.8% | 0.82 | −19.4% | +121% | 0.45 | 0.75% |
| 77 | Whole market | +18.2% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | +379% | 0.19 | — | |
| 78 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.14 | — | |
| 79 | Whole market | +9.9% | 33.7% | 0.45 | −33.4% | +424% | 0.28 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +22.6% | 29.1% | 0.85 | −41.6% | +521% | -0.01 | — | |
| 81 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.14 | — | |
| 82 | Whole market | +1.1% | 32.1% | 0.20 | −61.4% | +241% | 0.15 | — | |
| 83 | Whole market | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.14 | — | |
| 84 | Whole market | +26.5% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | +433% | 0.21 | — | |
| 85 | SAFTSafety Insurance Group, Inc. · Insurance - Property & Casualty | Whole market | +10.6% | 28.5% | 0.49 | −32.8% | +138% | 0.32 | — |
| 86 | Whole market | +6.8% | 17.6% | 0.47 | −39.4% | +198% | 0.52 | 0.03% | |
| 87 | NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +16.3% | 27.3% | 0.69 | −45.5% | +181% | 0.13 | — |
| 88 | Whole market | +14.4% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | +755% | 0.29 | — | |
| 89 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.46 | 0.04% | |
| 90 | IDHQInvesco S&P International Developed Quality ETF · International | Whole market | +10.0% | 17.9% | 0.63 | −33.6% | +183% | 0.35 | 0.29% |
| 91 | Whole market | +26.3% | 33.8% | 0.86 | −62.1% | +190% | 0.31 | — | |
| 92 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.29 | — | |
| 93 | EXPOExponent, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | −7.0% | 30.4% | -0.09 | −54.8% | +199% | 0.39 | — |
| 94 | Whole market | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.38 | — | |
| 95 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.27 | — | |
| 96 | QEFAState Street SPDR MSCI EAFE StrategicFactors ETF · International | Whole market | +8.5% | 14.8% | 0.63 | −30.8% | +140% | 0.43 | 0.30% |
| 97 | Whole market | +29.5% | 38.4% | 0.87 | −54.2% | +352% | 0.08 | — | |
| 98 | Whole market | +24.7% | 31.1% | 0.87 | −74.4% | +339% | 0.32 | — | |
| 99 | Whole market | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.21 | — | |
| 100 | Whole market | +16.0% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | +141% | 0.30 | — |
PYPL against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against PYPL, compared period by period and year by year.
How do PYPL's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at PYPL, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Ten of the 23 popular alternatives, led by V, MA and EBAY, were both more rewarding and calmer than PYPL over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, PYPL returned -25.9% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (43.2% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than PYPL with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| V Visa Inc. | +12.8% | 22.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | +12.4% | 23.8% |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | +11.7% | 32.9% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | +9.0% | 36.6% |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | +6.2% | 64.4% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | +3.1% | 66.9% |
| WEX WEX Inc. | −0.8% | 37.2% |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | −2.9% | 55.1% |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | −6.6% | 57.8% |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | −8.5% | 59.9% |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | −11.2% | 36.9% |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | −11.5% | 86.9% |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | −12.1% | 58.2% |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | −12.9% | 35.7% |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | −12.9% | 91.6% |
| WU The Western Union Company | −13.7% | 30.7% |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | −15.2% | 36.7% |
| FLYW Flywire Corp | −17.0% | 56.4% |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | −18.0% | 65.1% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | −19.7% | 33.9% |
| PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. | −19.8% | 60.6% |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | −21.1% | 70.3% |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | −21.1% | 59.9% |
| PYPL This pagePayPal Holdings, Inc. | −25.9% | 43.3% |
Has PYPL consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares PYPL with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than PYPL helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Ten of the 23 popular alternatives, led by SHOP, MA and V, outperformed PYPL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- SHOP, MA and V outperformed PYPL in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- V, MA and EBAY earned more for the risk they took than PYPL (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than PYPL over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. (this page) | — | +8.6% | +0.8% | +11.7% | −0.9% | −16.5% | +8.2% | −77.6% | +44.1% | 43.3% | -0.47 | −87.3% | — | $49B | — |
| SHOP QualifiedShopify Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +25.8% | +39.4% | +28.4% | +10.4% | +5.3% | +239% | +16.6% | +3,916% | 66.9% | 0.38 | −84.8% | — | $225B | — |
| MA QualifiedMastercard Incorporated | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +9.5% | +13.5% | +20.5% | +10.9% | +10.3% | +64.3% | +79.2% | +541% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | — | $543B | — |
| V QualifiedVisa Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +9.9% | +13.0% | +30.0% | +18.0% | +19.0% | +78.2% | +82.5% | +429% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | — | $759B | — |
| EBAY QualifiedeBay Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +11.9% | +6.5% | +13.8% | +40.5% | +28.3% | +213% | +74.2% | +374% | 32.9% | 0.50 | −53.6% | — | $54B | — |
| AMZN QualifiedAmazon.com, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +1.6% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +16.0% | +21.3% | +110% | +53.8% | +548% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | — | $2.8T | — |
| PAGS QualifiedPagSeguro Digital Ltd. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +23.8% | +29.9% | +9.2% | +29.2% | +38.4% | +73.1% | −66.9% | — | 60.6% | -0.07 | −90.0% | — | $3.2B | — |
| PAY QualifiedPaymentus Holdings, Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | −4.5% | +11.1% | +13.8% | +15.8% | +12.0% | +122% | +35.0% | — | 64.4% | 0.41 | −80.8% | — | $4.2B | — |
| WEX QualifiedWEX Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | −1.2% | +13.2% | +4.5% | +24.8% | +21.1% | −1.4% | −3.9% | +74.9% | 37.2% | 0.17 | −64.6% | — | $6.3B | — |
| PAYO QualifiedPayoneer Global Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +0.3% | 0.0% | +37.1% | +31.1% | +19.6% | +23.6% | −13.5% | — | 55.1% | 0.22 | −76.0% | — | $2.4B | — |
| TOST QualifiedToast, Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +9.6% | +5.8% | +11.9% | −4.0% | −13.3% | +85.7% | −35.9% | — | 59.9% | 0.15 | −80.6% | — | $17B | — |
| XYZ Software - InfrastructureBlock, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | +0.3% | −1.5% | +5.7% | +19.9% | +2.1% | +77.6% | −69.4% | +598% | 59.9% | -0.10 | −86.1% | — | $47B | — |
| AFRM Financial - Credit ServicesAffirm Holdings, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +3.9% | −2.0% | +10.1% | −0.2% | +2.5% | +305% | −50.0% | — | 91.6% | 0.30 | −94.7% | — | $22B | — |
| STNE Software - InfrastructureStoneCo Ltd. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +24.3% | +8.5% | −5.1% | −0.6% | −21.7% | +46.8% | −63.0% | — | 65.1% | 0.02 | −92.3% | — | $2.8B | — |
| COIN Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesCoinbase Global, Inc. | 1/5 short2/3 long | −15.0% | +6.5% | −19.3% | −27.8% | −50.3% | +129% | −45.7% | — | 86.9% | 0.29 | −90.9% | — | $45B | — |
| RELY Software - InfrastructureRemitly Global, Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +13.5% | +2.7% | +18.8% | +85.4% | +52.9% | −6.6% | −28.9% | — | 57.8% | 0.17 | −85.8% | — | $5.2B | — |
| GPN Financial - Credit ServicesGlobal Payments Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | −0.6% | +3.3% | +17.2% | +13.4% | −1.3% | −21.1% | −44.7% | +22.4% | 36.9% | -0.14 | −70.2% | — | $22B | — |
| DLO Software - InfrastructureDlocal Limited | 4/5 short1/3 long | +6.1% | +3.2% | +14.1% | +9.7% | +2.5% | −10.3% | −69.4% | — | 70.3% | 0.04 | −90.0% | — | $4.5B | — |
| FLYW Specialty Business ServicesFlywire Corp | 4/5 short1/3 long | +8.8% | +3.4% | +35.5% | +34.1% | +41.0% | −33.1% | −60.7% | — | 56.4% | -0.04 | −84.4% | — | $2.3B | — |
| WU Financial - Credit ServicesThe Western Union Company | 1/5 short1/3 long | +0.2% | −25.7% | −30.2% | −26.2% | −13.8% | −36.8% | −52.2% | −42.3% | 30.7% | -0.33 | −65.5% | — | $1.9B | — |
| FISV Information Technology ServicesFiserv, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +3.8% | −6.6% | −24.8% | −26.4% | −61.1% | −56.3% | −56.2% | −2.7% | 36.7% | -0.24 | −81.3% | — | $26B | — |
| EEFT Software - InfrastructureEuronet Worldwide, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +0.1% | −18.7% | −12.1% | −10.7% | −24.3% | −21.1% | −49.9% | −19.7% | 35.7% | -0.21 | −63.3% | — | $2.5B | — |
| FIS Information Technology ServicesFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +3.5% | −12.8% | −22.9% | −42.7% | −44.3% | −21.6% | −66.6% | −41.3% | 33.9% | -0.47 | −76.0% | — | $19B | — |
| FOUR Software - InfrastructureShift4 Payments, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +2.8% | −20.5% | −18.0% | −35.4% | −46.7% | −20.1% | −47.4% | — | 58.2% | 0.07 | −71.7% | — | $4.2B | — |
How did PYPL do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2016, along with where PYPL ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with PYPL and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: PYPL began trading on July 6, 2015, so the table starts with 2016, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or two other sell-offs.
- Among its popular alternatives, SHOP came out ahead of PYPL most often, in eight of the ten years both traded.
- PYPL finished ahead of the S&P 500 in four of its ten full calendar years.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, PYPL finished in the top quarter in two of ten years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 20 of 24.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of PYPL; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places PYPL among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of PYPL | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL This pagePayPal Holdings, Inc. | — | −31.4% | +39.0% | −13.8% | −62.2% | −19.5% | +117% | +28.6% | +14.2% | +86.5% | +9.0% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 2 of 10 | 20 of 24 | 9 of 24 | 24 of 24 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 17 | 3 of 15 | 13 of 15 | 7 of 13 | 3 of 13 | 7 of 13 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 10 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 8 of 10 | +51.4% | +36.5% | +124% | −74.8% | +21.7% | +185% | +187% | +37.1% | +135% | +66.3% |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | 6 of 10 | +9.0% | +24.2% | +23.4% | −2.7% | +1.2% | +20.2% | +59.2% | +25.3% | +47.7% | +6.9% |
| V Visa Inc. | 6 of 10 | +11.8% | +22.3% | +26.3% | −3.4% | −0.3% | +17.1% | +43.3% | +16.5% | +47.2% | +1.4% |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 6 of 10 | +42.7% | +44.8% | +7.7% | −36.5% | +33.8% | +41.2% | +30.6% | −25.6% | +27.1% | +8.1% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 7 of 10 | +5.2% | +44.4% | +80.9% | −49.6% | +2.4% | +76.3% | +23.0% | +28.4% | +56.0% | +10.9% |
| PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. | 3 of 7 | +61.0% | −49.8% | +42.7% | −66.7% | −53.9% | +66.5% | +82.3% | — | — | — |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | 3 of 4 | −3.3% | +82.8% | +123% | −77.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 5 of 10 | −15.0% | −9.9% | +18.9% | +16.6% | −31.0% | −2.8% | +49.5% | −0.8% | +26.6% | +26.2% |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | 3 of 5 | −44.0% | +92.7% | −4.8% | −25.6% | −28.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | 4 of 4 | −2.6% | +99.6% | +1.3% | −48.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −23.4% | +9.9% | +23.1% | −61.1% | −25.8% | +248% | +11.5% | +61.8% | +154% | +4.1% |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 4 | +22.2% | +23.9% | +408% | −90.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | 4 of 7 | +85.7% | −55.8% | +90.9% | −44.0% | −79.9% | +110% | +116% | — | — | — |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | 3 of 4 | −8.9% | +42.8% | +391% | −86.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | 2 of 4 | −38.9% | +16.2% | +69.6% | −44.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 4 of 10 | −30.1% | −11.0% | +29.0% | −25.9% | −36.9% | +18.5% | +77.3% | +2.9% | +44.5% | +7.6% |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | 3 of 4 | +31.5% | −36.3% | +13.6% | −56.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FLYW Flywire Corp | 2 of 4 | −31.3% | −10.9% | −5.4% | −35.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WU The Western Union Company | 6 of 10 | −2.4% | −3.8% | −6.1% | −17.9% | −15.1% | −14.7% | +62.6% | −6.7% | −9.3% | +25.1% |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −67.3% | +54.6% | +31.4% | −2.6% | −8.8% | −1.5% | +57.3% | +12.1% | +23.9% | +17.2% |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −26.0% | +1.3% | +7.5% | −20.8% | −17.8% | −8.0% | +53.9% | +21.5% | +16.4% | 0.0% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −15.8% | +37.0% | −8.2% | −36.5% | −21.9% | +2.7% | +37.2% | +10.3% | +26.1% | +26.6% |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −39.3% | +39.6% | +32.9% | −3.5% | −23.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How PYPL has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were PYPL's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents PYPL's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2015, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: PYPL began trading on July 6, 2015, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or two other sell-offs. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In four of PYPL's five worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: PYPL fell 87.3% from July 2021 to February 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 64.8%.
- None of these declines kept PYPL below its old high for long; the longest climb back took six months.
Green means PYPL fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | PYPL fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 bear market | −87.3% | +64.8% | Jul 2021 | Feb 2026 | 4.6 years | Not yet | — |
| Covid crash | −31.2% | −33.7% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | May 2020 | 2 months |
| No named crash | −25.8% | −2.7% | Feb 2021 | Mar 2021 | 1 month | Jul 2021 | 4 months |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −24.3% | −11.1% | Jul 2015 | Sep 2015 | 2 months | Mar 2016 | 6 months |
| No named crash | −20.3% | −0.1% | Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 3 months | Feb 2020 | 4 months |
How did PYPL do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far PYPL, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: PYPL began trading on July 6, 2015, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or two other sell-offs. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- Among its popular alternatives, RELY held up best, falling less than PYPL in all two crashes they both traded through.
- PYPL began trading after the 2008 financial crisis, but nine of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was GPN's 44.4%, against 55.2% for the S&P 500.
- PYPL fell less than the S&P 500 in three of the six crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the late-2018 sell-off, when PYPL fell 16.7% and the S&P 500 fell 19.3%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than PYPL.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL This pagePayPal Holdings, Inc. | — | −4.4% | −63.8% | −31.2% | −16.7% | −5.6% | −21.6% | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 3 of 6 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 0 of 6 | −5.1% | −79.0% | −40.7% | −27.6% | −5.4% | −49.2% | — | — | — | — |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | 2 of 6 | −4.0% | −28.2% | −41.0% | −21.9% | −5.8% | −20.4% | −13.8% | −3.1% | −62.7% | — |
| V Visa Inc. | 3 of 6 | −3.5% | −24.1% | −36.4% | −19.1% | −5.8% | −15.8% | −11.5% | −0.8% | — | — |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 1 of 6 | −6.6% | −44.2% | −31.6% | −23.2% | −7.4% | −25.6% | −21.8% | −3.5% | −74.7% | −77.1% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 3 of 6 | −3.4% | −39.6% | −22.7% | −33.2% | −7.1% | −30.6% | −20.7% | −2.9% | −65.3% | −91.8% |
| PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. | 2 of 5 | −12.8% | −60.9% | −59.7% | −44.9% | −0.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −13.8% | −69.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 1 of 6 | −10.3% | −30.4% | −64.6% | −34.6% | −9.4% | −42.9% | −29.8% | −2.3% | −79.0% | — |
| PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. | 1 of 2 | −14.7% | −51.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −9.5% | −58.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 0 of 5 | −10.9% | −65.8% | −55.5% | −48.8% | −9.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −14.8% | −82.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| STNE StoneCo Ltd. | 1 of 3 | −10.2% | −59.0% | −55.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −15.2% | −81.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RELY Remitly Global, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −3.8% | −62.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 1 of 6 | −11.9% | −29.2% | −44.3% | −25.4% | −7.5% | −27.8% | −18.6% | −5.7% | −44.4% | — |
| DLO Dlocal Limited | 1 of 2 | −8.8% | −54.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FLYW Flywire Corp | 1 of 2 | −8.6% | −57.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WU The Western Union Company | 4 of 6 | −10.3% | −30.0% | −29.9% | −12.3% | −7.2% | −18.7% | −26.3% | −3.9% | −63.1% | — |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −10.9% | −19.3% | −37.7% | −16.2% | −6.1% | −11.3% | −20.4% | −1.4% | −48.3% | −51.5% |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −9.8% | −49.5% | −52.4% | −19.8% | −11.3% | −29.4% | −19.8% | −2.1% | −77.6% | −79.1% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −20.2% | −38.5% | −34.7% | −13.1% | −8.0% | −23.4% | −23.3% | 0.0% | −46.4% | — |
| FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −6.2% | −53.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does PYPL move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares PYPL with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Seven of the 12 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than PYPL's 0.57, led by MA, V and SHOP.
- V took just 79% of the S&P 500's losses, against 186% for PYPL, while still keeping 93% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, PYPL captured 106% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 186% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.25. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than PYPL's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL This pagePayPal Holdings, Inc. | 106% | 186% | 0.57 | 1.25 |
| MA Mastercard Incorporated | 105% | 88% | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| V Visa Inc. | 93% | 79% | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | 233% | 203% | 1.15 | 2.09 |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 134% | 139% | 0.96 | 1.31 |
| EBAY eBay Inc. | 113% | 133% | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | 212% | 273% | 0.78 | 2.52 |
| WEX WEX Inc. | 114% | 190% | 0.60 | 1.37 |
| GPN Global Payments Inc. | 76% | 139% | 0.54 | 0.98 |
| FISV Fiserv, Inc. | 51% | 107% | 0.48 | 0.86 |
| EEFT Euronet Worldwide, Inc. | 65% | 144% | 0.45 | 1.22 |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 54% | 150% | 0.36 | 0.82 |
| WU The Western Union Company | 44% | 130% | 0.34 | 0.75 |
What diversifies PYPL?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with PYPL's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing PYPL with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in PYPL into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (-27.2% for PYPL alone, -18.3% for the mix).
- MCK made money in four of the four calendar years in which PYPL lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of PYPL over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.38 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which PYPL lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% PYPL and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | −77.6% | -0.47 | −31.4% | −13.8% | −62.2% | −19.5% | 40.3% | −27.2% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.38 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | +17.4% | +3.8% | +17.8% | 33.0% | −18.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.17 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +42.0% | +6.0% | +18.0% | 32.7% | −17.3% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.37 | +101% | 1.04 | +9.7% | +8.0% | +10.4% | +23.1% | 33.4% | −19.1% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.31 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | +1.8% | +7.1% | +19.6% | 33.2% | −19.5% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | +73.4% | −33.5% | +42.1% | 34.2% | −15.6% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.40 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +23.1% | +20.1% | −5.1% | +19.6% | 33.2% | −19.4% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | -0.01 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | +12.7% | −0.8% | −4.2% | 32.3% | −18.3% |
| FFLC Broad MarketFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF | 0.45 | +107% | 0.95 | +17.7% | +25.1% | 0.0% | +24.5% | 33.8% | −18.9% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | −77.6% | -0.47 | −31.4% | −13.8% | −62.2% | −19.5% | 40.3% | −27.2% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.20 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +34.1% | +54.1% | −0.4% | 33.7% | −15.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.31 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +160% | +1.3% | +37.9% | 37.5% | −7.0% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.22 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +79.6% | +17.0% | +89.0% | 35.3% | −9.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.02 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +24.1% | +51.8% | +44.2% | 32.7% | −15.9% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.31 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +30.4% | +86.6% | +61.0% | 34.8% | −14.4% |
Common questions
What was PYPL's worst drawdown?
PYPL's deepest decline since it began trading in 2015 was 87.3%, from July 2021 to February 2026. It has not yet climbed back to that peak. Because PYPL launched in July 2015, that record does not include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or two other sell-offs.
What were PYPL's best and worst years?
Over ten full calendar years, PYPL's best year was 2020, when it returned 117%. Its worst was 2022, with a return of -62.2%.
Is there a better investment than PYPL?
Among PYPL's popular alternatives, AMZN, V and MA earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years. AMZN returned 9.0% a year at 36.6% volatility, against a loss of 25.9% a year at 43.2%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, AAPL (digital payments theme) and MSFT (software) earned more than PYPL with less volatility over the past 5 years. AAPL returned 18.5% a year at 28.0% volatility, against a loss of 25.9% a year at 43.2%.
Is PYPL more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. PYPL's volatility over the past 5 years was 43.2%, 2.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, PYPL's return lands within 43.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is PYPL's Sharpe ratio?
PYPL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was -0.47, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so PYPL earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is PYPL with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, PYPL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.50 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against PYPL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a PYPL holding.
What are the best alternatives to PYPL?
Of the 23 popular alternatives we compared, ten outperformed PYPL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: SHOP, MA and V.
Did PYPL outperform the S&P 500?
PYPL finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of ten full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -31.4%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did PYPL do in stock market crashes?
PYPL fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in three of the six major crashes it has traded through, and further in three. The clearest case was the late-2018 sell-off, when PYPL fell 16.7% and the S&P 500 fell 19.3%.
What diversifies PYPL?
These had a low correlation with PYPL over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.38), DXJ (correlation 0.17) and EMLP (correlation 0.37); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.20), CLS (correlation 0.31) and FIX (correlation 0.22). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than PYPL's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of PYPL's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.