Relative Intelligence · Metals & Mining

How BHP Group (BHP) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on BHP alone. It places BHP (BHP Group Limited) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where BHP stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: BHP's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIts metals & mining peers split over the past 6 months: ERO (Ero Copper) rose 15.9%, while VALE fell 24.9%. BHP has trailed the market, rising 5.1% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?BHP rose 3.9% over the past 3 months, in line with the metals & mining ETF XME (State Street SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF), which rose 2.7%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its metals & mining peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: TECK (Teck Resources) rose 18.2%, while VALE fell 5.5%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, BHP rose 50.2% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. That said, BHP led its metals & mining peers in 2023, then fell behind SCCO (Southern Copper) and FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termBHP turned $10,000 into $49,800 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. BHP's 10-year return of 398% puts it ahead of 81% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashBHP fell harder than the S&P 500 in five of seven sell-offs. The late-2018 sell-off was the exception: BHP fell 12.8%, less than the S&P 500's 19.3%. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationOver 10 years BHP amplified the market in both directions: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.1 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 1.0 times as much, with a beta of 0.87. On the flip side, the S&P 500 explains about 15% of BHP's monthly moves over 5 years: mostly its own path. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- CAT (Caterpillar) earned more than BHP over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 31.1% a year at 31.9% volatility, against 16.6% a year at 31.4%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- RS (Reliance Steel & Aluminum, metals & mining) and GLD (SPDR Gold Shares, gold) earned more than BHP with less volatility over the past 5 years. RS returned 24.8% a year at 28.1% volatility, against 16.6% a year at 31.4%.
- Whole market
- 124 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than BHP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), WMT (Walmart) and XOM (Exxonmobil).
How much would $10,000 in BHP have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in BHP over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of BHP over the same span and BHP's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in BHP at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $430,670 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of BHP, and SCCO finished highest, at $2,677,967.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 133 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of BHP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SCCO$3M+26,680% total · +21.3% a year
- RS$621,583+6,116% total · +15.3% a year
- CAT$615,591+6,056% total · +15.3% a year
- STLD$598,980+5,890% total · +15.2% a year
- DE$436,954+4,270% total · +13.9% a year
- BHP$430,670+4,207% total · +13.9% a year
- NUE$361,333+3,513% total · +13.2% a year
- CCJ$206,845+1,968% total · +11.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- FCX$86,132+761% total · +7.7% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 544 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of BHP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SCCO$47,048+370% total · +36.3% a year
- CAT$46,130+361% total · +35.8% a year
- HBM$43,240+332% total · +34.0% a year
- STLD$40,782+308% total · +32.5% a year
- CCJ$40,386+304% total · +32.2% a year
- RS$29,255+193% total · +23.9% a year
- NUE$25,527+155% total · +20.6% a year
- BHP$24,178+142% total · +19.3% a year
- FCX$23,053+131% total · +18.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
BHP at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- BHP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 75.7%, from April 2011 to January 2016. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, BHP's best was 1999, when it returned 91.5%, and its worst was 2015, when it lost 38.1%. It lost money in nine of those years.
- BHP is 15.2% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $208B
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +50.2%total return
- Past 3 years
- +71.0%+19.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +115%+16.6% a year
- Past 10 years
- +398%+17.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +91.5%1999
- Worst calendar year
- −38.1%2015
- Losing years
- 9 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 31.4%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.65return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −75.7%Apr 2011 to Jan 2016
- From its all-time high
- −15.3%below the peak
BHP against the whole market
Where BHP ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does BHP rank among all stocks?
This section ranks BHP on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how BHP stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- BHP's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 12% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | BHP | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +50.2% | 549 of 3,287 | top 17% |
| 3-year return | +71.0% | 1,234 of 3,017 | top 41% |
| 5-year return | +115% | 603 of 2,893 | top 21% |
| 10-year return | +398% | 420 of 2,202 | top 19% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 31.4% | 852 of 2,893 | top 29% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.65 | 567 of 2,893 | top 20% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −44.3% | 270 of 2,187 | top 12% |
What has beaten BHP on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). BHP sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than BHP with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 85 stocks and 39 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than BHP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half BHP's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 21% less than BHP's 31.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.65 for BHP.
- None of BHP's popular alternatives made it, but CW (aerospace & defense) did: 30.8% a year at 28.7% volatility, 8% less than BHP's 31.4%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to BHP; faint dots are 91 more of the 124 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than BHP?
Investments that beat BHP over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among BHP's popular alternatives, CAT earned more than BHP over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 31.1% a year at 31.9% volatility, against 16.6% a year at 31.4%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RS (metals & mining) and GLD (gold) earned more than BHP with less volatility over the past 5 years. RS returned 24.8% a year at 28.1% volatility, against 16.6% a year at 31.4%.
- Across the whole market, 124 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than BHP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, WMT and XOM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat BHP over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks BHP's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than BHP follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than BHP's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× BHP's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than BHP's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with BHP?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +16.6% | 31.4% | 0.65 | −44.3% | +398% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.39 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against BHP. 6 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +32.0% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | +1,017% | 0.72 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +14.4% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | +755% | 0.40 | — | ||
STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. · Metals & Mining | Higher return in most periods | +32.2% | 38.0% | 0.93 | −68.5% | +1,018% | 0.36 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +21.7% | 37.4% | 0.72 | −57.2% | +569% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +13.7% | 44.9% | 0.51 | −72.6% | +650% | 0.73 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.31 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Metals & Mining and the categories next to it (Gold Mining, Aerospace & Defense, Silver, Gold), plus BHP's specific themes. 19 of 82 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.25 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.51 | 0.40% | ||
MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.29 | — | |
ATIATI Inc. · Metals & Mining | On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +61.8% | 42.9% | 1.34 | −82.4% | +929% | 0.36 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatility | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.24 | — | ||
PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Similar return, lower volatility | +16.3% | 18.9% | 0.90 | −43.9% | +344% | 0.36 | 0.58% | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 321 of 3,532 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.08 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.20 | — | |
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.34 | 0.48% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.01 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.21 | — | ||
CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.13 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.25 | — | ||
RSPTInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF · Technology Equity | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +16.9% | 25.1% | 0.75 | −33.7% | +572% | 0.41 | 0.40% | |
What these numbers mean for BHP
- Annual return
- BHP returned 16.6% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $21,500. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- BHP's volatility over the past 5 years was 31.4%, 1.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, BHP's return lands within 31.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- BHP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.65, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so BHP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- BHP's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 44.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 44.3% fall takes a 79.5% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, BHP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.39 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against BHP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a BHP holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 124 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than BHP with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with BHP | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.20 | — |
| 2 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.34 | 0.48% |
| 3 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.01 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.21 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.30 | 0.09% | |
| 6 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.02 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.18 | — | |
| 8 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.57 | 0.59% |
| 9 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.02 | — | |
| 10 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.57 | 0.19% |
| 11 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.15 | — | |
| 12 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.13 | — |
| 13 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.22 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.21 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.17 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.07 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.28 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +22.6% | 29.1% | 0.85 | −41.6% | +521% | 0.23 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.15 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.23 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.31 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.32 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.38 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.25 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.29 | — | |
| 26 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.23 | 0.80% |
| 27 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.44 | — |
| 28 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.29 | — |
| 29 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.10 | — |
| 30 | UNMUnum Group · Life Insurance | Whole market | +30.6% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | +256% | -0.05 | — |
| 31 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.11 | — |
| 32 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.19 | — |
| 33 | Whole market | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.30 | — | |
| 34 | PSOPearson plc · Education Services | Whole market | +18.5% | 27.9% | 0.75 | −58.4% | +155% | 0.16 | — |
| 35 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.26 | — |
| 36 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.10 | — |
| 37 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.13 | — |
| 38 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Same or nearby category | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.25 | — |
| 39 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.21 | 0.13% |
| 40 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.13 | — |
| 41 | Same or nearby category | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.51 | 0.40% | |
| 42 | OFGOFG Bancorp · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.5% | 28.7% | 0.77 | −61.2% | +580% | 0.15 | — |
| 43 | DMLPDorchester Minerals, L.P. · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Whole market | +21.1% | 29.1% | 0.81 | −56.8% | +435% | 0.28 | — |
| 44 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.16 | — |
| 45 | Whole market | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.21 | — | |
| 46 | HBTHBT Financial, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +18.9% | 28.7% | 0.75 | −54.0% | — | 0.08 | — |
| 47 | QTUMDefiance Quantum ETF · Technology | Whole market | +22.8% | 28.1% | 0.87 | −38.5% | — | 0.36 | 0.40% |
| 48 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.37 | 0.61% |
| 49 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.69 | 0.59% |
| 50 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.18 | — | |
| 51 | FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +23.1% | 29.4% | 0.85 | −50.2% | +307% | 0.13 | — |
| 52 | BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +20.1% | 28.5% | 0.79 | −64.7% | +240% | 0.12 | — |
| 53 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.30 | 0.45% |
| 54 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.46 | — | |
| 55 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.27 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.28 | — | |
| 57 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.36 | — | |
| 58 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.23 | — | |
| 59 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.14 | — | |
| 60 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.26 | — | |
| 61 | Whole market | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.12 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.14 | — | |
| 63 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.14 | — | |
| 64 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.31 | — | |
| 65 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.24 | — | |
| 66 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.41 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.23 | — | |
| 68 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.16 | — | |
| 69 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.24 | — | |
| 70 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.29 | — | |
| 71 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.31 | — | |
| 72 | Whole market | +19.9% | 29.0% | 0.77 | −44.0% | +444% | 0.22 | — | |
| 73 | Whole market | +18.1% | 29.5% | 0.71 | −51.4% | +312% | 0.23 | — | |
| 74 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.26 | — | |
| 75 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.27 | 0.08% | |
| 76 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.14 | — |
| 77 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.46 | — | |
| 78 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.02 | — |
| 79 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.04 | — |
| 80 | BCHBanco de Chile · Banks | Whole market | +25.2% | 28.2% | 0.94 | −58.4% | +180% | 0.26 | — |
| 81 | WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +23.5% | 27.6% | 0.91 | −91.9% | +128% | 0.18 | — |
| 82 | CLHClean Harbors, Inc. · Environmental Services | Whole market | +23.1% | 28.6% | 0.88 | −64.5% | +588% | 0.24 | — |
| 83 | Same or nearby category | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.15 | — | |
| 84 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | 0.21 | — |
| 85 | BSACBanco Santander-Chile · Banks | Whole market | +19.5% | 29.0% | 0.76 | −63.9% | +154% | 0.35 | — |
| 86 | ARMKAramark · Food Services | Whole market | +17.9% | 28.5% | 0.72 | −72.3% | +137% | 0.37 | — |
| 87 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.26 | — |
| 88 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.26 | — |
| 89 | BPOPPopular, Inc. · Regional Banks | Whole market | +17.7% | 29.7% | 0.70 | −59.0% | +448% | 0.21 | — |
| 90 | AIRRFirst Trust RBA American Industrial RenaissanceTM ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +18.3% | 25.9% | 0.78 | −42.4% | +407% | 0.31 | 0.69% |
| 91 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Same or nearby category | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.19 | — |
| 92 | PSMTPriceSmart, Inc. · Discount Retail | Whole market | +18.6% | 28.2% | 0.75 | −53.2% | +124% | 0.33 | — |
| 93 | CNOCNO Financial Group, Inc. · Life Insurance | Whole market | +18.8% | 28.1% | 0.76 | −63.8% | +342% | 0.20 | — |
| 94 | MLPXGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF · Energy | Whole market | +18.6% | 19.7% | 0.97 | −64.6% | +186% | 0.29 | 0.45% |
| 95 | SKTTanger Inc. · REIT - Retail | Whole market | +19.3% | 29.7% | 0.74 | −85.9% | +60.5% | 0.25 | — |
| 96 | EUFNiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF · Financial Sector Equity | Whole market | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.46 | 0.49% |
| 97 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.10 | — |
| 98 | EWPiShares MSCI Spain ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +19.2% | 20.3% | 0.97 | −46.4% | +196% | 0.49 | 0.50% |
| 99 | BFCBank First Corporation · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.0% | 27.3% | 0.78 | −39.8% | +496% | 0.08 | — |
| 100 | FTXNFirst Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF · Energy | Whole market | +17.9% | 29.0% | 0.72 | −73.5% | +164% | 0.25 | 0.60% |
BHP against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against BHP, compared period by period and year by year.
How do BHP's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at BHP, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than BHP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Over the past 5 years, BHP returned 16.6% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (31.4% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than BHP with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc. | +32.2% | 38.0% |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | +32.0% | 40.7% |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +31.1% | 31.9% |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | +26.3% | 55.8% |
| CCJ Cameco Corporation | +24.9% | 49.3% |
| NUE Nucor Corporation | +21.8% | 37.4% |
| HL Hecla Mining Company | +21.5% | 60.2% |
| TECK Teck Resources Limited | +19.2% | 45.3% |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | +18.3% | 69.4% |
| BHP This pageBHP Group Limited | +16.6% | 31.4% |
| DE Deere & Company | +14.4% | 29.9% |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | +13.7% | 44.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| RIO Rio Tinto Group | +12.2% | 29.0% |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | +9.8% | 56.0% |
| VALE Vale S.A. | +7.4% | 35.0% |
| NXE NexGen Energy Ltd. | +6.0% | 56.9% |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | +2.6% | 34.2% |
| MP MP Materials Corp. | +1.5% | 70.3% |
| UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. | −1.1% | 72.4% |
| SBSW Sibanye Stillwater Limited | −5.0% | 60.5% |
Has BHP consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares BHP with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than BHP helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Four of the 19 popular alternatives, led by STLD, SCCO and NUE, outperformed BHP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- STLD, SCCO and NUE outperformed BHP in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- CAT earned more for the risk it took than BHP (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than BHP over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| BHP BHP Group Limited (this page) | — | −4.9% | +3.9% | +5.1% | +38.1% | +50.2% | +71.0% | +115% | +398% | 31.4% | 0.65 | −44.3% | — | $208B | — |
| STLD QualifiedSteel Dynamics, Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +6.5% | +6.3% | +17.3% | +39.9% | +68.9% | +157% | +304% | +1,018% | 38.0% | 0.93 | −68.5% | — | $35B | — |
| SCCO QualifiedSouthern Copper Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +2.2% | +17.6% | +9.6% | +39.9% | +56.5% | +233% | +301% | +1,017% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | — | $171B | — |
| NUE QualifiedNucor Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +8.1% | +13.6% | +29.9% | +55.6% | +93.7% | +92.9% | +167% | +569% | 37.4% | 0.72 | −57.2% | — | $59B | — |
| FCX QualifiedFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | −4.3% | +17.4% | −1.4% | +33.9% | +64.8% | +111% | +89.6% | +650% | 44.9% | 0.51 | −72.6% | — | $99B | — |
| HBM CopperHudbay Minerals Inc. | 1/5 short3/3 long | −11.2% | +13.6% | −7.8% | +17.9% | +44.2% | +445% | +221% | +493% | 55.8% | 0.70 | −86.3% | — | $11B | — |
| CCJ UraniumCameco Corporation | 0/5 short3/3 long | −13.6% | −5.1% | −34.9% | −18.3% | −6.1% | +112% | +203% | +961% | 49.3% | 0.70 | −57.2% | — | $35B | — |
| CAT Agricultural - MachineryCaterpillar Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −11.2% | −15.9% | −8.8% | +22.2% | +37.7% | +203% | +288% | +936% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | — | $333B | — |
| DE Agricultural - MachineryDeere & Company | 2/5 short2/3 long | −7.5% | +8.1% | +6.9% | +36.5% | +38.3% | +75.4% | +96.1% | +755% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | — | $170B | — |
| HL Other Precious MetalsHecla Mining Company | 1/5 short2/3 long | −18.1% | +5.1% | −22.3% | −20.4% | +3.8% | +256% | +165% | +161% | 60.2% | 0.63 | −82.4% | — | $10B | — |
| CDE GoldCoeur Mining, Inc. | 1/5 short2/3 long | −22.5% | +6.9% | −23.4% | −13.7% | −31.3% | +480% | +131% | +33.9% | 69.4% | 0.59 | −83.3% | — | $16B | — |
| TECK CopperTeck Resources Limited | 3/5 short1/3 long | −3.6% | +18.2% | +9.1% | +34.5% | +46.2% | +68.6% | +141% | +259% | 45.3% | 0.61 | −79.6% | — | $31B | — |
| ERO CopperEro Copper Corp. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −5.2% | +31.1% | +15.9% | +13.3% | +45.0% | +138% | +59.8% | — | 56.0% | 0.45 | −67.2% | — | $3.4B | — |
| SBSW Other Precious MetalsSibanye Stillwater Limited | 1/5 short1/3 long | −12.2% | +27.4% | −24.4% | −27.6% | −9.8% | +89.7% | −22.5% | +11.3% | 60.5% | 0.22 | −82.7% | — | $6.9B | — |
| NXE UraniumNexGen Energy Ltd. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −13.5% | −2.9% | −33.3% | −17.3% | −2.5% | +51.2% | +33.8% | +542% | 56.9% | 0.39 | −83.0% | — | $5.7B | — |
| RIO Industrial MaterialsRio Tinto Group | 0/5 short1/3 long | −9.2% | +1.1% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +30.1% | +69.2% | +77.9% | +464% | 29.0% | 0.54 | −37.5% | — | $143B | — |
| UUUU UraniumEnergy Fuels Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −33.3% | −30.1% | −61.8% | −50.8% | −63.6% | +6.9% | −5.6% | +433% | 72.4% | 0.34 | −79.3% | — | $2.2B | — |
| MP Industrial MaterialsMP Materials Corp. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −21.9% | −14.6% | −41.0% | −29.0% | −52.9% | +127% | +7.8% | — | 70.3% | 0.36 | −82.0% | — | $7.0B | — |
| VALE Industrial MaterialsVale S.A. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −8.0% | −5.5% | −24.9% | +1.0% | +23.6% | +37.8% | +42.6% | +334% | 35.0% | 0.38 | −57.6% | — | $55B | — |
| NTR Agricultural InputsNutrien Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −6.7% | +4.4% | −1.4% | +11.9% | +23.9% | +30.4% | +13.9% | — | 34.2% | 0.25 | −58.2% | — | $33B | — |
How did BHP do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where BHP ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with BHP and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, BHP finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 18 of 20.
- BHP finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 16 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, NXE came out ahead of BHP most often, in nine of the 12 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of BHP; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places BHP among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of BHP | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP This pageBHP Group Limited | — | +28.9% | −24.6% | +16.4% | +29.4% | +2.0% | +25.3% | +24.6% | +10.5% | +33.8% | +41.9% | −38.1% | −27.9% | −9.8% | +14.9% | −22.0% | +24.5% | +85.2% | −37.4% | +79.4% | +21.2% | +42.0% | +34.3% | +62.6% | +50.4% | +8.7% | −16.6% | +91.5% | −18.9% | −32.0% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 18 of 20 | 16 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 14 of 19 | 8 of 19 | 5 of 18 | 9 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 13 of 17 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 15 | 5 of 15 | 12 of 15 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 15 | 7 of 15 | 12 of 14 | 8 of 14 | 6 of 14 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 11 | 7 of 11 | 5 of 11 | 3 of 11 | 4 of 11 | 9 of 11 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc. | 14 of 29 | +50.7% | −2.0% | +22.8% | +60.1% | +71.4% | +12.4% | +16.8% | −29.0% | +23.3% | +103% | −6.8% | +3.5% | +46.2% | +7.8% | −26.1% | +5.2% | +62.4% | −61.8% | +86.0% | +86.0% | −5.2% | +66.0% | +90.5% | +3.8% | +5.8% | −31.1% | +35.7% | −26.6% | −16.3% |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | 17 of 29 | +66.7% | +10.7% | +50.3% | +4.5% | −0.4% | +59.0% | +44.6% | −33.0% | +50.3% | +23.1% | −6.2% | −0.3% | −22.5% | +41.2% | −33.4% | +56.3% | +109% | −50.2% | +111% | +79.5% | +60.3% | +7.2% | +236% | +23.5% | −4.2% | −14.2% | +65.5% | −26.5% | −1.5% |
| NUE Nucor Corporation | 14 of 29 | +42.0% | −31.9% | +33.8% | +17.4% | +118% | −1.8% | +11.9% | −16.4% | +9.6% | +52.2% | −14.9% | −5.4% | +27.6% | +13.1% | −6.3% | −2.8% | +4.2% | −19.4% | +12.8% | +70.5% | +30.9% | +89.1% | +37.7% | −20.6% | +35.7% | −26.6% | +28.2% | −9.4% | −4.5% |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 15 of 29 | +35.4% | −9.4% | +13.7% | −7.3% | +61.4% | +99.1% | +29.6% | −45.1% | +43.8% | +94.9% | −70.2% | −35.8% | +19.9% | −4.0% | −36.9% | +52.7% | +228% | −75.5% | +86.9% | +11.6% | +49.1% | −6.6% | +154% | +25.5% | +56.5% | −59.5% | +102% | −32.9% | −45.6% |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | 11 of 22 | +145% | +47.2% | +9.1% | −29.9% | +3.9% | +69.4% | −11.5% | −46.3% | +54.9% | +49.3% | −55.8% | +6.2% | −17.8% | +3.3% | −44.7% | +41.9% | +407% | −87.0% | +4.7% | +272% | +179% | −67.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CCJ Cameco Corporation | 18 of 29 | +78.4% | +19.5% | +90.5% | +4.3% | +63.2% | +51.5% | −21.1% | +23.5% | −9.0% | −12.6% | −23.1% | −19.5% | +7.4% | +10.8% | −54.5% | +26.8% | +88.8% | −56.3% | −1.2% | +28.1% | +82.3% | +83.9% | +145% | −1.3% | +44.7% | +21.9% | −13.2% | −43.2% | −18.5% |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 16 of 29 | +60.3% | +24.7% | +25.9% | +18.6% | +16.0% | +27.0% | +19.5% | −17.6% | +75.0% | +42.1% | −23.0% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +1.6% | −1.5% | +68.5% | +33.2% | −36.8% | +20.5% | +7.8% | +20.7% | +19.7% | +86.1% | −9.8% | +13.7% | +4.1% | +4.7% | −3.0% | +31.2% |
| DE Deere & Company | 13 of 29 | +11.4% | +7.6% | −5.5% | +26.6% | +28.9% | +58.0% | +18.3% | −2.9% | +54.8% | +39.0% | −11.3% | −0.5% | +8.2% | +14.3% | −5.0% | +56.3% | +44.8% | −58.1% | +98.6% | +42.3% | −6.6% | +16.3% | +44.4% | +7.1% | −2.6% | +8.1% | +34.8% | −42.3% | +46.1% |
| HL Hecla Mining Company | 13 of 29 | +291% | +2.9% | −13.3% | +7.0% | −18.8% | +91.8% | +44.1% | −40.4% | −24.0% | +177% | −31.8% | −9.2% | −46.9% | +12.8% | −53.4% | +82.3% | +121% | −70.1% | +22.0% | +88.7% | −30.4% | −29.6% | +63.7% | +439% | +88.0% | −67.9% | −57.1% | −26.4% | −12.3% |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 11 of 29 | +212% | +75.1% | −3.0% | −33.2% | −51.3% | +28.1% | +80.9% | −40.5% | −17.5% | +266% | −51.4% | −52.9% | −55.9% | +1.9% | −11.7% | +51.3% | +105% | −82.2% | −0.2% | +23.7% | +1.8% | −32.0% | +201% | +140% | −14.6% | −72.7% | −25.7% | −48.3% | −40.4% |
| TECK Teck Resources Limited | 10 of 23 | +19.2% | −2.6% | +14.0% | +33.8% | +59.8% | +5.8% | −18.7% | −16.9% | +33.4% | +421% | −71.1% | −44.9% | −25.8% | +5.9% | −42.1% | +78.7% | +611% | −86.1% | −2.8% | +47.1% | +81.7% | +87.5% | +148% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | 4 of 8 | +110% | −14.6% | +14.8% | −10.1% | −5.7% | −11.0% | +152% | +21.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SBSW Sibanye Stillwater Limited | 5 of 12 | +332% | −39.3% | −46.5% | −9.6% | −12.4% | +61.5% | +251% | −43.9% | −25.7% | +20.2% | −17.0% | +65.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NXE NexGen Energy Ltd. | 9 of 12 | +39.4% | −5.7% | +58.0% | +1.4% | +58.3% | +116% | −28.1% | −30.5% | +48.8% | +239% | +69.3% | +7.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RIO Rio Tinto Group | 18 of 29 | +44.5% | −15.4% | +11.1% | +18.4% | −0.4% | +36.2% | +37.5% | −2.9% | +44.9% | +39.2% | −33.4% | −15.3% | +0.6% | +22.4% | −30.5% | +35.3% | +195% | −78.5% | +102% | +23.6% | +57.1% | +9.7% | +45.6% | +5.1% | +12.6% | −20.9% | +115% | −8.9% | −16.4% |
| UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. | 6 of 19 | +183% | −28.6% | +15.8% | −18.6% | +79.1% | +123% | −33.0% | +59.2% | +9.2% | −44.4% | −52.3% | +8.6% | −36.3% | −33.7% | −69.3% | +282% | +35.3% | −88.4% | −59.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MP MP Materials Corp. | 3 of 5 | +224% | −21.4% | −18.3% | −46.5% | +41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VALE Vale S.A. | 12 of 23 | +66.3% | −38.8% | +1.6% | +32.5% | −1.7% | +32.0% | +2.7% | +12.3% | +62.2% | +134% | −57.8% | −44.1% | −23.2% | +3.3% | −34.0% | +21.2% | +145% | −61.8% | +123% | +47.5% | +46.9% | +50.6% | +108% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | 3 of 7 | +43.3% | −17.0% | −20.2% | −0.6% | +60.8% | +5.6% | +5.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How BHP has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were BHP's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents BHP's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of BHP's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: BHP fell 75.7% from April 2011 to January 2016, while the S&P 500 rose 54.6%.
- The slowest recovery came after BHP fell 75.7% from April 2011 to January 2016; it did not regain that peak until December 2020, five years later.
Green means BHP fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | BHP fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −75.7% | +54.6% | Apr 2011 | Jan 2016 | 4.8 years | Dec 2020 | 4.9 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −73.7% | −46.5% | May 2008 | Nov 2008 | 6 months | Nov 2010 | 2 years |
| No named crash | −54.5% | +85.0% | May 1996 | Dec 1998 | 2.6 years | Jan 2000 | 13 months |
| No named crash | −41.6% | — | Sep 1987 | Dec 1987 | 3 months | May 1988 | 5 months |
| Dot-com bust | −38.5% | −31.9% | Jan 2000 | Sep 2001 | 20 months | Feb 2002 | 5 months |
How did BHP do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far BHP, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than BHP in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- BHP fell further than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when BHP fell 49.4% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than BHP.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP This pageBHP Group Limited | — | −2.2% | −31.8% | −38.1% | −12.8% | −6.4% | −49.4% | −30.7% | 0.0% | −73.7% | −32.6% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −11.7% | −30.6% | −47.8% | −37.1% | −3.6% | −25.6% | −43.0% | −0.7% | −87.1% | −41.6% |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | 2 of 10 | −3.4% | −43.0% | −38.7% | −32.0% | −5.3% | −26.0% | −32.9% | −0.4% | −78.5% | −42.5% |
| NUE Nucor Corporation | 3 of 10 | −10.3% | −40.8% | −41.5% | −23.5% | −6.0% | −24.3% | −23.9% | 0.0% | −68.3% | −44.8% |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 0 of 10 | −7.2% | −51.3% | −56.1% | −32.8% | −8.4% | −72.2% | −46.7% | −2.1% | −86.4% | −51.4% |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | 0 of 9 | −9.2% | −63.3% | −57.9% | −30.1% | −10.0% | −74.5% | −38.9% | 0.0% | −91.9% | — |
| CCJ Cameco Corporation | 1 of 10 | −3.5% | −34.8% | −40.3% | −14.9% | −7.9% | −26.4% | −38.7% | −0.3% | −76.9% | −47.3% |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 3 of 10 | −9.7% | −30.1% | −33.1% | −28.5% | −7.3% | −26.0% | −33.2% | −2.2% | −73.3% | −42.5% |
| DE Deere & Company | 3 of 10 | −6.7% | −33.8% | −37.4% | −17.5% | −6.9% | −24.9% | −24.2% | 0.0% | −73.3% | −37.3% |
| HL Hecla Mining Company | 3 of 10 | 0.0% | −52.0% | −51.5% | −27.1% | −5.1% | −42.1% | −38.6% | −1.5% | −91.9% | −66.6% |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −1.4% | −51.7% | −59.3% | −34.4% | −12.3% | −56.0% | −30.5% | −1.9% | −93.0% | −83.2% |
| TECK Teck Resources Limited | 0 of 9 | −8.2% | −43.6% | −54.0% | −26.9% | −8.1% | −65.4% | −48.9% | 0.0% | −94.8% | — |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | 0 of 5 | −6.2% | −49.1% | −53.9% | −29.2% | −6.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| SBSW Sibanye Stillwater Limited | 2 of 6 | 0.0% | −57.3% | −72.2% | −33.6% | −9.0% | −34.2% | — | — | — | — |
| NXE NexGen Energy Ltd. | 1 of 6 | −4.6% | −44.7% | −50.9% | −36.4% | −6.3% | −35.4% | — | — | — | — |
| RIO Rio Tinto Group | 3 of 10 | −2.6% | −35.3% | −30.0% | −13.2% | −5.3% | −43.9% | −41.3% | 0.0% | −89.0% | −33.9% |
| UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. | 1 of 9 | −10.2% | −54.9% | −41.2% | −36.9% | −2.4% | −56.1% | −49.9% | −4.9% | −96.4% | — |
| MP MP Materials Corp. | 0 of 2 | −7.9% | −53.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VALE Vale S.A. | 1 of 9 | −3.1% | −41.4% | −45.5% | −20.9% | −5.3% | −61.1% | −33.4% | −0.8% | −79.5% | — |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | 0 of 5 | −8.9% | −36.9% | −41.9% | −24.8% | −10.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does BHP move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares BHP with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- DE took just 66% of the S&P 500's losses, against 97% for BHP, while still keeping 110% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, BHP captured 106% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 97% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.87. Its share of the market's gains was slightly larger than its share of the losses.
- Seven of the 16 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than BHP's 1.10, led by DE, CCJ and SCCO.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than BHP's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP This pageBHP Group Limited | 106% | 97% | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| DE Deere & Company | 110% | 66% | 1.67 | 0.98 |
| CCJ Cameco Corporation | 124% | 81% | 1.53 | 1.04 |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | 139% | 103% | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| RIO Rio Tinto Group | 98% | 72% | 1.35 | 0.63 |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 148% | 122% | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc. | 150% | 129% | 1.16 | 1.48 |
| VALE Vale S.A. | 100% | 88% | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. | 153% | 164% | 0.93 | 1.66 |
| FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | 164% | 181% | 0.90 | 1.74 |
| TECK Teck Resources Limited | 115% | 128% | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| NUE Nucor Corporation | 154% | 176% | 0.87 | 1.65 |
| NXE NexGen Energy Ltd. | 165% | 194% | 0.85 | 1.80 |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | 193% | 234% | 0.82 | 1.95 |
| HL Hecla Mining Company | 160% | 227% | 0.70 | 1.76 |
| CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. | 126% | 213% | 0.59 | 1.56 |
| SBSW Sibanye Stillwater Limited | 89% | 172% | 0.52 | 1.25 |
What diversifies BHP?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with BHP's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing BHP with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in BHP into MCK would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+19.3% for BHP alone, +23.6% for the mix).
- CAH made money in eight of the nine calendar years in which BHP lost money.
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and HDV have moved largely independently of BHP over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.43 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which BHP lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% BHP and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2011 | 2008 | 2000 | 1998 | 1997 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP BHP Group Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +115% | 0.65 | −24.6% | −38.1% | −27.9% | −9.8% | −22.0% | −37.4% | −16.6% | −18.9% | −32.0% | 30.2% | +19.3% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.34 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +41.3% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 25.2% | +21.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.37 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | −25.3% | +23.8% | +16.6% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.4% | +19.2% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.43 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +14.1% | −0.3% | +12.6% | +23.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.5% | +18.5% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.37 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +33.4% | +6.8% | −44.7% | — | — | — | 27.5% | +24.0% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.48 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +26.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.3% | +18.8% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.21 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.4% | +20.7% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.27 | +177% | 0.93 | +5.6% | −21.5% | −8.7% | +26.3% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +24.4% | — | — | 26.1% | +21.1% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.46 | +76.6% | 0.90 | +16.0% | −1.0% | +13.2% | +33.1% | +1.1% | −35.9% | — | — | — | 25.6% | +18.5% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2011 | 2008 | 2000 | 1998 | 1997 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BHP BHP Group Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +115% | 0.65 | −24.6% | −38.1% | −27.9% | −9.8% | −22.0% | −37.4% | −16.6% | −18.9% | −32.0% | 30.2% | +19.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.02 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +66.0% | +8.1% | −39.6% | +108% | +51.7% | +29.1% | 24.9% | +24.2% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.03 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +27.6% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −2.3% | — | — | 26.6% | +38.0% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.06 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | −17.0% | −15.2% | −71.1% | −9.5% | — | 26.3% | +33.4% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.01 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +67.7% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +61.2% | +46.9% | +96.3% | 24.8% | +23.6% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.25 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | — | — | — | — | — | 26.5% | +26.0% |
Common questions
What was BHP's worst drawdown?
BHP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 75.7%, from April 2011 to January 2016. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were BHP's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, BHP's best year was 1999, when it returned 91.5%. Its worst was 2015, with a return of -38.1%.
Is there a better investment than BHP?
Among BHP's popular alternatives, CAT earned more than BHP over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 31.1% a year at 31.9% volatility, against 16.6% a year at 31.4%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RS (metals & mining) and GLD (gold) earned more than BHP with less volatility over the past 5 years. RS returned 24.8% a year at 28.1% volatility, against 16.6% a year at 31.4%.
Is BHP more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. BHP's volatility over the past 5 years was 31.4%, 1.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, BHP's return lands within 31.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is BHP's Sharpe ratio?
BHP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.65, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so BHP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is BHP with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, BHP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.39 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against BHP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a BHP holding.
What are the best alternatives to BHP?
Of the 19 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed BHP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: STLD, SCCO and NUE.
Did BHP outperform the S&P 500?
BHP finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 16 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +28.9%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did BHP do in stock market crashes?
BHP fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in five. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when BHP fell 49.4% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
What diversifies BHP?
These had a low correlation with BHP over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.34), EMLP (correlation 0.37) and HDV (correlation 0.43); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.02), CLS (correlation -0.03) and FIX (correlation 0.06). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than BHP's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of BHP's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to BHP
SCCOSouthern Copper
NUENucor
FCXFreeport-McMoRan
CATCaterpillar
DEDeere & Company
RIORio Tinto Group
VALEVale