Relative Intelligence · Industrial Machinery

How Deere & Company (DE) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on DE alone. It places DE (Deere & Company) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where DE stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: DE's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIts industrial machinery peers split over the past 3 months: MTW (Manitowoc) rose 73.7%, while CAT (Caterpillar) fell 15.9%. Over the past 3 months, DE rose 8.1% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?DE held up far better than its industry: it rose 8.1% over the past 3 months while the industrial machinery ETF MOO (VanEck Agribusiness ETF) fell 1.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its industrial machinery peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: MTW (Manitowoc) rose 73.7%, while CAT (Caterpillar) fell 15.9%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsDE has run far ahead of the market, rising 38.3% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. That said, it finished behind the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termDE turned $10,000 into $85,500 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. DE's 10-year return of 755% puts it ahead of 92% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, DE has typically fallen 1.3 times as far as the S&P 500. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, DE has a correlation of 0.46 over 5 years, more closely than 63% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years, DE's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.98: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.1 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 66% as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- PCAR (PACCAR) earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.9% a year at 26.1% volatility, against 14.4% a year at 29.9%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- FAST (Fastenal, industrial distribution) and WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies, industrial machinery) earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years. FAST returned 15.8% a year at 24.6% volatility, against 14.4% a year at 29.9%.
- Whole market
- 145 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), WMT (Walmart) and JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.).
How much would $10,000 in DE have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in DE over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of DE over the same span and DE's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in DE at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $436,954 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of DE, and GILD finished highest, at $1,571,438.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 130 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of DE; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- GILD$2M+15,614% total · +19.1% a year
- OSK$650,601+6,406% total · +15.5% a year
- CAT$615,591+6,056% total · +15.3% a year
- FAST$485,606+4,756% total · +14.3% a year
- GWW$444,276+4,343% total · +14.0% a year
- DE$436,954+4,270% total · +13.9% a year
- PCAR$395,017+3,850% total · +13.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- MTW$45,662+357% total · +5.4% a year
- WNC$5,718−42.8% total · −1.9% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 695 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of DE; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MOG-A$52,115+421% total · +39.1% a year
- CAT$46,130+361% total · +35.8% a year
- WAB$34,242+242% total · +27.9% a year
- URI$29,622+196% total · +24.3% a year
- PCAR$25,002+150% total · +20.1% a year
- CF$22,921+129% total · +18.0% a year
- FAST$21,648+116% total · +16.7% a year
- DE$21,391+114% total · +16.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- AG$15,866+58.7% total · +9.7% a year
DE at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- DE's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 73.3%, from January 2008 to March 2009. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, DE's best was 2007, when it returned 98.6%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 58.1%. It lost money in nine of those years.
- DE is 10.7% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $170B
- Industry
- Agricultural - Machinery
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +38.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +75.4%+20.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +96.1%+14.4% a year
- Past 10 years
- +755%+23.9% a year
- Best calendar year
- +98.6%2007
- Worst calendar year
- −58.1%2008
- Losing years
- 9 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 29.9%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.60return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −73.3%Jan 2008 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −10.7%below the peak
DE against the whole market
Where DE ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does DE rank among all stocks?
This section ranks DE on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how DE stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- DE's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 5% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | DE | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +38.3% | 771 of 3,287 | top 23% |
| 3-year return | +75.4% | 1,184 of 3,017 | top 39% |
| 5-year return | +96.1% | 706 of 2,893 | top 24% |
| 10-year return | +755% | 171 of 2,202 | top 8% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 29.9% | 707 of 2,893 | top 24% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.60 | 667 of 2,893 | top 23% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −37.9% | 102 of 2,187 | top 5% |
What has beaten DE on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). DE sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than DE with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 91 stocks and 54 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than DE over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 4% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half DE's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 17% less than DE's 29.9%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.60 for DE.
- Among DE's popular alternatives, PCAR is in the region. PCAR earned 17.9% a year against 14.4% a year for DE, at 26.1% volatility, 13% less than DE's 29.9%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to DE; faint dots are 91 more of the 145 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than DE?
Investments that beat DE over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among DE's popular alternatives, PCAR earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.9% a year at 26.1% volatility, against 14.4% a year at 29.9%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, FAST (industrial distribution) and WAB (industrial machinery) earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years. FAST returned 15.8% a year at 24.6% volatility, against 14.4% a year at 29.9%.
- Across the whole market, 145 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, WMT and JPM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat DE over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks DE's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than DE follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than DE's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× DE's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than DE's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with DE?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +14.4% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | +755% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.46 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 2 shownThe investments people most often weigh against DE. 2 of 20 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatility | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.52 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.67 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Industrial Machinery and the categories next to it (Infrastructure, Electrical Equipment, Aerospace & Defense, Industrial Distribution), plus DE's specific themes. 22 of 97 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.44 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.60 | — | ||
MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.38 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatility | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.23 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatility | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.55 | — | ||
PAVEGlobal X - U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF · Infrastructure Equity · Construction Equipment theme | Similar return, lower volatility | +14.9% | 21.6% | 0.75 | −44.1% | — | 0.64 | 0.47% | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 376 of 3,518 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.39 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.45 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.07 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.46 | — | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.46 | 0.40% | |
SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.80% | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.42 | — | ||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +14.8% | 37.2% | 0.56 | −34.2% | +1,139% | 0.12 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for DE
- Annual return
- DE returned 14.4% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $19,600. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- DE's volatility over the past 5 years was 29.9%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, DE's return lands within 29.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- DE's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.60, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so DE earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- DE's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 37.9%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 37.9% fall takes a 61.1% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, DE's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.46 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against DE instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a DE holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 145 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than DE with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with DE | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.39 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.45 | — | |
| 3 | Same or nearby category | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.44 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.18 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.25 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.30 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.46 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.44 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.41 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.24 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.36 | — | |
| 12 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.46 | 0.40% |
| 13 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.37 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.29 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.40 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.30 | — | |
| 17 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.80% |
| 18 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.12 | 0.40% | |
| 19 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.22 | — |
| 20 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.34 | — | |
| 21 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.40 | — |
| 22 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.48 | — |
| 23 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.30 | — |
| 24 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.44 | — | |
| 25 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.23 | — |
| 26 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.07 | — | |
| 27 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.33 | 0.59% |
| 28 | VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +15.9% | 18.4% | 0.90 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.47 | 0.15% |
| 29 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.42 | — |
| 30 | Same or nearby category | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.60 | — | |
| 31 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | -0.12 | — |
| 32 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.50 | — |
| 33 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.32 | 0.19% |
| 34 | RSPTInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.9% | 25.1% | 0.75 | −33.7% | +572% | 0.35 | 0.40% |
| 35 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.42 | 0.13% |
| 36 | PSMTPriceSmart, Inc. · Discount Retail | Whole market | +18.6% | 28.2% | 0.75 | −53.2% | +124% | 0.29 | — |
| 37 | CNOCNO Financial Group, Inc. · Life Insurance | Whole market | +18.8% | 28.1% | 0.76 | −63.8% | +342% | 0.43 | — |
| 38 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.50 | — |
| 39 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.32 | — | |
| 40 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.34 | 0.40% |
| 41 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.49 | — |
| 42 | Whole market | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.13 | — | |
| 43 | CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +16.0% | 26.0% | 0.70 | −43.0% | +192% | 0.42 | — |
| 44 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.40 | 0.61% |
| 45 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.31 | 0.50% |
| 46 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.65 | — | |
| 47 | TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +15.5% | 26.8% | 0.68 | −49.5% | +126% | 0.32 | — |
| 48 | THFFFirst Financial Corporation · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +15.9% | 26.2% | 0.69 | −42.8% | +161% | 0.30 | — |
| 49 | GARPiShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.5% | 22.5% | 0.83 | −31.4% | — | 0.35 | 0.15% |
| 50 | FLBRFranklin FTSE Brazil ETF · International | Whole market | +16.0% | 27.7% | 0.68 | −57.4% | — | 0.44 | 0.19% |
| 51 | CHCOCity Holding Company · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +15.9% | 22.8% | 0.77 | −32.3% | +286% | 0.36 | — |
| 52 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.50 | 0.38% |
| 53 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.34 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.42 | — | |
| 55 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.34 | 0.45% |
| 56 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.22 | — | |
| 57 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.34 | 0.48% |
| 58 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.39 | — | |
| 59 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.29 | — | |
| 60 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.21 | — | |
| 61 | Whole market | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | 0.24 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.38 | — | |
| 63 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.26 | — | |
| 64 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.21 | — | |
| 65 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.27 | 0.09% | |
| 66 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.26 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.34 | — | |
| 68 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.47 | — | |
| 69 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.40 | — | |
| 70 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.59 | — | |
| 71 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.38 | — | |
| 72 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.55 | — | |
| 73 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.49 | — | |
| 74 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.46 | — | |
| 75 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.58 | — | |
| 76 | Whole market | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.47 | — | |
| 77 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.40 | — | |
| 78 | Whole market | +15.9% | 23.4% | 0.75 | −42.0% | +393% | 0.33 | — | |
| 79 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.43 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.40 | — | |
| 81 | Whole market | +17.0% | 26.2% | 0.73 | −41.4% | +356% | 0.27 | — | |
| 82 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.48 | 0.08% | |
| 83 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | -0.08 | — |
| 84 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.28 | — |
| 85 | HIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +15.6% | 22.0% | 0.77 | −57.6% | +294% | 0.38 | — |
| 86 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.30 | — |
| 87 | BCHBanco de Chile · Banks | Whole market | +25.2% | 28.2% | 0.94 | −58.4% | +180% | 0.25 | — |
| 88 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.58 | 0.56% |
| 89 | WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +23.5% | 27.6% | 0.91 | −91.9% | +128% | 0.31 | — |
| 90 | Same or nearby category | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.23 | — | |
| 91 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | 0.21 | — |
| 92 | AMLPAlerian MLP ETF · Energy Equity | Whole market | +16.1% | 18.9% | 0.89 | −72.9% | +91.0% | 0.50 | 1.01% |
| 93 | OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, Inc. · Healthcare REITs | Whole market | +16.4% | 24.2% | 0.75 | −66.9% | +202% | 0.21 | — |
| 94 | Same or nearby category | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.55 | — | |
| 95 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.30 | — |
| 96 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.31 | — |
| 97 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.62 | — |
| 98 | PSOPearson plc · Education Services | Whole market | +18.5% | 27.9% | 0.75 | −58.4% | +155% | 0.36 | — |
| 99 | ORIOld Republic International Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +17.0% | 22.2% | 0.82 | −47.8% | +349% | 0.33 | — |
| 100 | AIRRFirst Trust RBA American Industrial RenaissanceTM ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +18.3% | 25.9% | 0.78 | −42.4% | +407% | 0.49 | 0.69% |
DE against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against DE, compared period by period and year by year.
How do DE's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at DE, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only PCAR was both more rewarding and calmer than DE over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- 15 of the 20 popular alternatives earned less than DE over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, DE returned 14.4% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (29.9% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than DE with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +31.1% | 31.9% |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | +24.3% | 39.1% |
| PCAR PACCAR Inc | +17.9% | 26.1% |
| CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | +16.7% | 38.1% |
| DE This pageDeere & Company | +14.4% | 29.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | +10.7% | 30.8% |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | +6.4% | 34.7% |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | +4.8% | 62.8% |
| TEX Terex Corporation | +4.0% | 44.3% |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | +2.6% | 34.2% |
| MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. | +1.6% | 51.1% |
| ALG Alamo Group Inc. | +0.9% | 29.6% |
| TWI Titan International, Inc. | −1.5% | 56.5% |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | −1.6% | 35.8% |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | −2.6% | 49.0% |
| ASTE Astec Industries, Inc. | −4.6% | 42.7% |
| CNH CNH Industrial N.V. | −5.4% | 37.4% |
| TRMB Trimble Inc. | −6.4% | 33.5% |
| LNN Lindsay Corporation | −6.7% | 32.8% |
| CTVA Corteva, Inc. | −21.0% | 47.6% |
| CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation | −21.2% | 50.6% |
Has DE consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares DE with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than DE helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 20 popular alternatives outperformed DE in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was URI.
- PCAR earned more for the risk it took than DE (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
- CAT outperformed DE over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so DE has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than DE over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| DE Deere & Company (this page) | — | −7.5% | +8.1% | +6.9% | +36.5% | +38.3% | +75.4% | +96.1% | +755% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −37.9% | — | $170B | — |
| URI Rental & Leasing ServicesUnited Rentals, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | +1.4% | +3.3% | +29.0% | +24.3% | +5.2% | +164% | +196% | +1,270% | 39.1% | 0.75 | −63.3% | — | $65B | — |
| CAT Agricultural - MachineryCaterpillar Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −11.2% | −15.9% | −8.8% | +22.2% | +37.7% | +203% | +288% | +936% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | — | $333B | — |
| CF Agricultural InputsCF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −4.3% | −4.1% | +2.7% | +49.3% | +43.4% | +52.2% | +117% | +516% | 38.1% | 0.60 | −60.7% | — | $18B | — |
| PCAR Industrial - MachineryPACCAR Inc | 1/5 short1/3 long | −4.1% | −11.2% | −13.7% | −0.5% | +15.7% | +50.2% | +128% | +314% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | — | $58B | — |
| AG SilverFirst Majestic Silver Corp. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −17.2% | +0.9% | −25.5% | −0.2% | +11.7% | +189% | +26.1% | +93.8% | 62.8% | 0.39 | −80.8% | — | $7.9B | — |
| MTW Industrial - MachineryThe Manitowoc Company, Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | −2.4% | +73.7% | +72.4% | +82.0% | +98.2% | +69.4% | +8.4% | +28.0% | 51.1% | 0.28 | −83.4% | — | $801M | — |
| WNC Agricultural - MachineryWabash National Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +8.6% | −3.5% | +34.9% | +46.7% | +45.3% | −34.4% | −12.4% | +15.8% | 49.0% | 0.19 | −76.4% | — | $519M | — |
| MLR Auto - PartsMiller Industries, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −3.3% | +5.8% | +9.6% | +41.5% | +30.1% | +49.5% | +66.2% | +192% | 30.8% | 0.48 | −53.2% | — | $594M | — |
| TRMB Hardware, Equipment & PartsTrimble Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +7.6% | +16.7% | −10.6% | −20.7% | −20.9% | +27.3% | −28.2% | +111% | 33.5% | -0.03 | −57.4% | — | $14B | — |
| CNH Agricultural - MachineryCNH Industrial N.V. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −14.4% | +11.7% | +7.4% | +24.6% | +10.9% | +10.3% | −24.3% | +78.9% | 37.4% | 0.04 | −65.8% | — | $14B | — |
| ASTE Industrial - MachineryAstec Industries, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −5.8% | −26.9% | −32.7% | −11.3% | −16.1% | −3.3% | −21.1% | −26.1% | 42.7% | 0.11 | −62.5% | — | $903M | — |
| CTVA Agricultural InputsCorteva, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +8.7% | −85.1% | −83.9% | −80.8% | −79.0% | −73.5% | −69.2% | — | 47.6% | 0.04 | −87.1% | — | $8.6B | — |
| NTR Agricultural InputsNutrien Ltd. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −6.7% | +4.4% | −1.4% | +11.9% | +23.9% | +30.4% | +13.9% | — | 34.2% | 0.25 | −58.2% | — | $33B | — |
| OSK Agricultural - MachineryOshkosh Corp | 0/5 short0/3 long | −7.3% | −6.1% | −11.7% | +1.7% | +0.1% | +57.3% | +36.2% | +192% | 34.7% | 0.35 | −48.7% | — | $8.2B | — |
| AGCO Agricultural - MachineryAGCO Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −12.7% | −6.6% | −12.5% | −0.4% | −2.0% | −2.5% | −7.5% | +155% | 35.8% | 0.14 | −54.1% | — | $7.3B | — |
| ALG Industrial - MachineryAlamo Group Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −9.5% | −6.8% | −13.5% | −11.9% | −18.1% | −7.4% | +4.3% | +141% | 29.6% | 0.18 | −42.5% | — | $1.8B | — |
| TEX Industrial - MachineryTerex Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −10.7% | −16.1% | −14.8% | −3.6% | −3.4% | +14.8% | +21.6% | +141% | 44.3% | 0.31 | −74.1% | — | $6.0B | — |
| LNN Agricultural - MachineryLindsay Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −7.1% | −5.1% | −0.6% | −11.0% | −16.2% | −4.3% | −29.2% | +56.3% | 32.8% | -0.05 | −41.1% | — | $1.1B | — |
| CMCO Industrial - MachineryColumbus McKinnon Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −7.3% | +0.8% | −9.5% | −15.3% | −3.5% | −53.6% | −69.7% | −12.7% | 50.6% | -0.21 | −76.9% | — | $416M | — |
| TWI Agricultural - MachineryTitan International, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −8.2% | −10.6% | −19.7% | −15.1% | −9.1% | −44.2% | −7.4% | −33.0% | 56.5% | 0.25 | −92.1% | — | $436M | — |
How did DE do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where DE ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with DE and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- DE finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 16 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, DE finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in no. In 2025, it ranked 12 of 21.
- Among its popular alternatives, URI came out ahead of DE most often, in 17 of the 28 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of DE; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places DE among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of DE | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE This pageDeere & Company | — | +11.4% | +7.6% | −5.5% | +26.6% | +28.9% | +58.0% | +18.3% | −2.9% | +54.8% | +39.0% | −11.3% | −0.5% | +8.2% | +14.3% | −5.0% | +56.3% | +44.8% | −58.1% | +98.6% | +42.3% | −6.6% | +16.3% | +44.4% | +7.1% | −2.6% | +8.1% | +34.8% | −42.3% | +46.1% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 12 of 21 | 8 of 21 | 14 of 21 | 2 of 21 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 21 | 14 of 20 | 4 of 19 | 5 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 6 of 19 | 10 of 19 | 14 of 19 | 14 of 19 | 10 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 6 of 19 | 10 of 19 | 5 of 19 | 9 of 18 | 12 of 17 | 12 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 17 | 13 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 3 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 9 of 16 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | 17 of 28 | +15.9% | +24.0% | +63.6% | +7.0% | +43.3% | +39.1% | +62.6% | −40.4% | +62.8% | +45.6% | −28.9% | +30.9% | +71.3% | +54.0% | +29.9% | +132% | +7.5% | −50.3% | −27.8% | +8.7% | +23.8% | −1.9% | +79.0% | −52.6% | +68.9% | −21.5% | −48.3% | +71.5% | — |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 15 of 29 | +60.3% | +24.7% | +25.9% | +18.6% | +16.0% | +27.0% | +19.5% | −17.6% | +75.0% | +42.1% | −23.0% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +1.6% | −1.5% | +68.5% | +33.2% | −36.8% | +20.5% | +7.8% | +20.7% | +19.7% | +86.1% | −9.8% | +13.7% | +4.1% | +4.7% | −3.0% | +31.2% |
| CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 12 of 20 | −7.2% | +10.1% | −4.7% | +22.3% | +87.2% | −15.7% | +12.7% | +5.1% | +40.3% | −19.3% | −23.5% | +19.4% | +15.9% | +41.3% | +8.0% | +49.6% | +85.8% | −55.2% | +330% | +69.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PCAR PACCAR Inc | 16 of 29 | +8.0% | +10.8% | +54.5% | +17.0% | +5.6% | +11.8% | +45.1% | −15.3% | +14.9% | +37.1% | −27.1% | +18.3% | +34.9% | +22.9% | −32.5% | +60.3% | +28.9% | −46.4% | +29.8% | +46.9% | −10.4% | +47.3% | +89.8% | +9.4% | +36.5% | +17.1% | +13.4% | −17.5% | +57.5% |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | 7 of 19 | +204% | −10.6% | −25.9% | −24.7% | −17.3% | +9.7% | +108% | −12.6% | −11.7% | +133% | −34.8% | −48.8% | −51.4% | +19.9% | +16.0% | +268% | +117% | −61.0% | +11.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. | 12 of 29 | +31.3% | −45.3% | +82.2% | −50.7% | +39.7% | −23.9% | +18.5% | −62.5% | +64.5% | +72.1% | −30.2% | −4.8% | +49.3% | +71.6% | −29.4% | +32.5% | +17.2% | −82.2% | +64.7% | +138% | +34.1% | +21.5% | +23.8% | −17.2% | +8.3% | −13.7% | +15.5% | +37.9% | +22.2% |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | 9 of 29 | −48.1% | −32.2% | +14.9% | +18.2% | +15.5% | +20.3% | +15.5% | −38.8% | +38.8% | +33.8% | −4.3% | +0.1% | +37.7% | +14.4% | −33.9% | +527% | −57.9% | −40.6% | −48.3% | −19.9% | −28.7% | −8.1% | +250% | +7.5% | −8.6% | −41.6% | −25.5% | −28.1% | +55.6% |
| MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | 14 of 29 | −41.7% | +56.5% | +61.8% | −17.9% | −10.5% | +4.8% | +40.7% | +7.4% | +0.3% | +25.2% | +8.0% | +15.1% | +26.5% | +0.2% | +13.7% | +26.4% | +114% | −61.3% | −43.0% | +18.3% | +79.6% | +50.5% | +120% | +7.6% | +12.8% | −80.4% | −36.1% | −58.6% | −45.6% |
| TRMB Trimble Inc. | 17 of 29 | +10.9% | +32.8% | +5.2% | −42.0% | +30.6% | +60.2% | +26.7% | −19.0% | +34.8% | +40.6% | −19.2% | −23.5% | +16.1% | +37.7% | +8.7% | +58.5% | +16.6% | −28.5% | +19.2% | +43.0% | +7.4% | +33.0% | +199% | −23.0% | −32.5% | +11.1% | +198% | −66.8% | +89.6% |
| CNH CNH Industrial N.V. | 8 of 29 | −17.1% | −3.2% | −22.0% | −15.8% | +52.6% | +16.8% | +21.5% | −30.3% | +56.1% | +29.4% | −12.9% | −27.3% | +7.7% | +12.2% | −24.7% | +91.1% | +59.9% | −76.3% | +141% | +47.1% | −4.3% | +16.7% | −12.5% | −37.6% | −29.5% | −35.2% | −2.7% | +159% | −74.7% |
| ASTE Astec Industries, Inc. | 13 of 29 | +30.6% | −8.4% | −7.3% | −40.6% | +20.5% | +39.4% | +40.9% | −47.9% | −12.6% | +67.0% | +4.6% | +2.8% | +16.8% | +7.5% | −0.6% | +20.3% | −14.0% | −15.8% | +6.0% | +7.5% | +89.7% | +40.0% | +23.9% | −31.4% | +9.6% | −29.8% | −32.4% | +232% | +76.6% |
| CTVA Corteva, Inc. | 2 of 6 | +18.9% | +20.2% | −17.5% | +25.6% | +23.5% | +33.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | 2 of 7 | +43.3% | −17.0% | −20.2% | −0.6% | +60.8% | +5.6% | +5.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | 16 of 29 | +34.5% | −10.8% | +25.2% | −20.5% | +32.5% | −7.5% | +56.6% | −31.6% | +42.3% | +68.4% | −18.5% | −2.2% | +70.4% | +38.7% | −39.3% | −4.8% | +321% | −80.7% | −1.7% | +9.5% | +31.3% | +34.6% | +66.7% | +27.5% | +11.7% | +51.7% | +34.2% | +88.0% | +75.6% |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | 9 of 29 | +12.8% | −20.5% | −7.9% | +25.0% | +16.2% | +34.8% | +40.0% | −21.3% | +24.2% | +28.9% | +1.4% | −22.9% | +21.3% | +14.3% | −15.2% | +56.7% | +37.1% | −65.3% | +120% | +86.8% | −24.3% | +8.7% | −8.9% | +40.1% | +30.3% | −9.4% | +71.0% | −72.9% | +2.3% |
| ALG Alamo Group Inc. | 12 of 29 | −9.1% | −11.1% | +49.2% | −3.3% | +7.1% | +10.4% | +63.2% | −31.2% | +49.0% | +47.0% | +8.2% | −19.7% | +87.3% | +22.2% | −2.3% | +64.1% | +16.8% | −16.4% | −22.0% | +15.7% | −23.7% | +80.5% | +27.0% | −12.5% | +11.1% | +29.9% | −6.9% | −45.8% | +29.5% |
| TEX Terex Corporation | 12 of 29 | +17.2% | −18.6% | +36.1% | −1.5% | +27.2% | +17.8% | +9.7% | −42.2% | +54.3% | +72.8% | −33.0% | −33.2% | +49.6% | +108% | −56.5% | +56.7% | +14.4% | −73.6% | +1.5% | +118% | +24.7% | +67.3% | +155% | −36.4% | +8.4% | −41.7% | −2.8% | +21.6% | +132% |
| LNN Lindsay Corporation | 8 of 29 | +0.8% | −7.3% | −19.9% | +8.1% | +19.3% | +35.5% | +1.2% | +10.6% | +19.9% | +4.7% | −14.4% | +4.9% | +3.9% | +46.9% | −7.1% | +50.3% | +26.4% | −54.8% | +118% | +71.2% | −24.8% | +3.3% | +18.9% | +11.3% | −13.8% | +24.9% | +24.1% | −48.5% | +39.8% |
| CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation | 11 of 29 | −52.9% | −3.9% | +21.1% | −29.3% | +20.9% | −3.3% | +33.7% | −24.2% | +48.7% | +44.5% | −32.1% | +3.8% | +64.3% | +30.2% | −37.5% | +48.7% | +0.1% | −58.1% | +55.2% | −4.3% | +154% | +0.3% | +126% | −62.7% | +18.1% | −10.3% | −42.8% | −24.8% | +57.2% |
| TWI Titan International, Inc. | 12 of 29 | +15.3% | −54.4% | −2.9% | +39.8% | +126% | +34.6% | −21.9% | −63.7% | +15.1% | +185% | −62.8% | −40.8% | −17.1% | +11.7% | −0.3% | +141% | −1.5% | −67.0% | +55.2% | +17.0% | +14.3% | +394% | +132% | −71.6% | +12.5% | −34.0% | −31.0% | −52.1% | +57.0% |
Risk and diversification
How DE has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were DE's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents DE's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of DE's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- The slowest recovery came after DE fell 53.9% from March to October 1998; it did not regain that peak until August 2003, five years later.
Green means DE fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | DE fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −73.3% | −48.8% | Jan 2008 | Mar 2009 | 14 months | Jan 2011 | 22 months |
| No named crash | −53.9% | −11.3% | Mar 1998 | Oct 1998 | 7 months | Aug 2003 | 4.8 years |
| No named crash | −49.9% | — | Apr 1990 | Oct 1990 | 6 months | Aug 1993 | 2.8 years |
| No named crash | −43.7% | — | Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | Under a month | Feb 1988 | 4 months |
| Covid crash | −37.9% | −26.9% | Nov 2019 | Mar 2020 | 4 months | Jul 2020 | 4 months |
How did DE do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far DE, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, CTVA held up best, falling less than DE in all three crashes they both traded through.
- DE fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when DE fell 73.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than DE.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE This pageDeere & Company | — | −6.7% | −33.8% | −37.4% | −17.5% | −6.9% | −24.9% | −24.2% | 0.0% | −73.3% | −37.3% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −14.5% | −35.4% | −55.3% | −43.3% | −6.7% | −45.7% | −50.5% | −3.6% | −91.2% | −77.3% |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 2 of 10 | −9.7% | −30.1% | −33.1% | −28.5% | −7.3% | −26.0% | −33.2% | −2.2% | −73.3% | −42.5% |
| CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −10.7% | −26.4% | −46.4% | −28.0% | −6.1% | −56.0% | −36.3% | −1.2% | −76.8% | — |
| PCAR PACCAR Inc | 4 of 10 | −6.0% | −17.4% | −34.0% | −23.9% | −7.8% | −27.9% | −35.0% | −3.0% | −62.5% | −40.9% |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | 1 of 9 | 0.0% | −54.1% | −49.8% | −24.1% | −10.4% | −40.4% | −40.2% | −0.9% | −87.8% | — |
| MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −14.7% | −60.8% | −33.7% | −47.6% | −8.2% | −28.7% | −62.4% | −5.7% | −95.2% | −47.7% |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | 0 of 10 | −9.7% | −41.9% | −43.5% | −36.4% | −10.2% | −26.1% | −49.1% | −0.6% | −92.7% | −78.8% |
| MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | 7 of 10 | 0.0% | −36.7% | −24.1% | −16.2% | −3.7% | −14.9% | −16.7% | −5.1% | −72.2% | −90.4% |
| TRMB Trimble Inc. | 3 of 10 | −6.7% | −38.9% | −53.8% | −30.9% | −12.0% | −20.4% | −16.7% | −2.4% | −71.9% | −87.2% |
| CNH CNH Industrial N.V. | 0 of 10 | −9.6% | −34.7% | −46.5% | −32.7% | −11.1% | −38.6% | −43.2% | −2.5% | −91.3% | −80.9% |
| ASTE Astec Industries, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −11.5% | −56.1% | −38.7% | −46.1% | −5.3% | −20.9% | −29.4% | −4.2% | −67.7% | −71.7% |
| CTVA Corteva, Inc. | 3 of 3 | −5.8% | −19.4% | −34.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | 0 of 5 | −8.9% | −36.9% | −41.9% | −24.8% | −10.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | 2 of 10 | −9.1% | −42.9% | −42.4% | −30.5% | −4.8% | −30.4% | −52.5% | −2.2% | −93.5% | −34.6% |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | 1 of 10 | −9.7% | −36.9% | −46.1% | −19.2% | −8.0% | −24.1% | −36.6% | −0.6% | −78.7% | −44.1% |
| ALG Alamo Group Inc. | 7 of 10 | −5.9% | −31.1% | −41.7% | −22.6% | −1.8% | −15.5% | −17.2% | −4.8% | −62.9% | −28.8% |
| TEX Terex Corporation | 0 of 10 | −13.7% | −41.1% | −50.2% | −38.7% | −8.3% | −45.9% | −60.4% | −8.6% | −91.6% | −45.3% |
| LNN Lindsay Corporation | 5 of 10 | −5.6% | −24.3% | −32.6% | −18.6% | −1.5% | −25.0% | −32.5% | −1.9% | −82.8% | −36.0% |
| CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation | 1 of 10 | −6.0% | −50.2% | −48.2% | −34.1% | −12.1% | −39.2% | −40.8% | −1.4% | −79.2% | −66.0% |
| TWI Titan International, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −14.3% | −40.6% | −39.2% | −39.8% | −7.8% | −72.0% | −48.4% | −6.8% | −91.5% | −68.6% |
How closely does DE move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares DE with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the 18 popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than DE's 1.67.
- Over the past 10 years, DE captured 110% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 66% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.98. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than DE's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE This pageDeere & Company | 110% | 66% | 1.67 | 0.98 |
| CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 102% | 78% | 1.32 | 0.82 |
| CAT Caterpillar Inc. | 148% | 122% | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | 177% | 165% | 1.07 | 1.90 |
| PCAR PACCAR Inc | 103% | 108% | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| LNN Lindsay Corporation | 43% | 50% | 0.86 | 0.53 |
| ALG Alamo Group Inc. | 80% | 97% | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | 96% | 117% | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| AGCO AGCO Corporation | 99% | 121% | 0.81 | 1.22 |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | 127% | 178% | 0.71 | 1.41 |
| AG First Majestic Silver Corp. | 77% | 114% | 0.68 | 0.96 |
| CNH CNH Industrial N.V. | 113% | 168% | 0.67 | 1.48 |
| TEX Terex Corporation | 133% | 199% | 0.67 | 1.60 |
| TRMB Trimble Inc. | 121% | 187% | 0.65 | 1.46 |
| MTW The Manitowoc Company, Inc. | 153% | 279% | 0.55 | 2.07 |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | 115% | 217% | 0.53 | 1.64 |
| CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation | 121% | 231% | 0.52 | 1.35 |
| TWI Titan International, Inc. | 113% | 241% | 0.47 | 1.98 |
| ASTE Astec Industries, Inc. | 69% | 155% | 0.45 | 1.35 |
What diversifies DE?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with DE's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing DE with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in DE into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+16.4% for DE alone, +17.7% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and SMH have moved largely independently of DE over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.46 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- MCK made money in six of the nine calendar years in which DE lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which DE lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% DE and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2023 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2005 | 2001 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE Deere & Company (this page) | 1.00 | +96.1% | 0.60 | −5.5% | −2.9% | −11.3% | −0.5% | −5.0% | −58.1% | −6.6% | −2.6% | −42.3% | 29.5% | +16.4% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.46 | +119% | 1.48 | +17.4% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.5% | +17.1% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.34 | +225% | 1.34 | +42.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 24.6% | +19.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.28 | +323% | 0.97 | +73.4% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +6.8% | −44.7% | +10.8% | −14.6% | — | 26.4% | +21.7% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.12 | +126% | 0.96 | +12.7% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +17.8% | — | — | 24.3% | +17.7% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.42 | +136% | 0.93 | +17.6% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.6% | +18.1% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.48 | +177% | 0.93 | −0.6% | −18.2% | −21.5% | −8.7% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +40.1% | −18.2% | — | 26.5% | +18.4% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.48 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +17.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.3% | +16.8% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.47 | +109% | 0.90 | +14.2% | −11.1% | −4.1% | +12.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.8% | +17.3% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2023 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2005 | 2001 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE Deere & Company (this page) | 1.00 | +96.1% | 0.60 | −5.5% | −2.9% | −11.3% | −0.5% | −5.0% | −58.1% | −6.6% | −2.6% | −42.3% | 29.5% | +16.4% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.45 | +479% | 1.55 | +34.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +8.1% | −39.6% | +18.7% | −2.5% | +51.7% | 26.4% | +21.2% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.23 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +160% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −25.2% | −25.6% | — | 28.6% | +34.4% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.39 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +79.6% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +20.1% | +73.7% | −9.5% | 28.3% | +30.0% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.30 | +413% | 1.44 | +24.1% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +64.9% | +4.9% | +46.9% | 25.6% | +20.8% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.40 | +690% | 1.41 | +30.4% | −8.2% | +17.4% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 26.9% | +23.3% |
Common questions
What was DE's worst drawdown?
DE's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 73.3%, from January 2008 to March 2009. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were DE's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, DE's best year was 2007, when it returned 98.6%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -58.1%.
Is there a better investment than DE?
Among DE's popular alternatives, PCAR earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.9% a year at 26.1% volatility, against 14.4% a year at 29.9%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, FAST (industrial distribution) and WAB (industrial machinery) earned more than DE with less volatility over the past 5 years. FAST returned 15.8% a year at 24.6% volatility, against 14.4% a year at 29.9%.
Is DE more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. DE's volatility over the past 5 years was 29.9%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, DE's return lands within 29.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is DE's Sharpe ratio?
DE's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.60, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so DE earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is DE with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, DE's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.46 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against DE instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a DE holding.
What are the best alternatives to DE?
None of the 20 popular alternatives we compared outperformed DE in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about DE's strength than about its alternatives.
Did DE outperform the S&P 500?
DE finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 16 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +11.4%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did DE do in stock market crashes?
DE fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in three of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when DE fell 73.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies DE?
These had a low correlation with DE over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.46), DXJ (correlation 0.34) and SMH (correlation 0.28); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.45), CLS (correlation 0.23) and FIX (correlation 0.39). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than DE's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of DE's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.