Relative Intelligence · Building Products

How Trane Technologies (TT) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on TT alone. It places TT (Trane Technologies plc) against 17 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where TT stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: TT's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowTT has gone against the market, falling 2.9% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. Its building product peers split over the past 6 months: WCC (WESCO International) rose 6.1%, while VRT (Vertiv) fell 35.2%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?TT fell 1.2% over the past 3 months, 4.9 points ahead of the building products ETF XLI (State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF), which fell 6.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its building product peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: WCC (WESCO International) rose 7.2%, while VRT (Vertiv) fell 30.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, TT rose 11.3% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termTT turned $10,000 into $106,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. TT's 10-year return of 955% puts it ahead of 95% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, TT has typically fallen 1.4 times as far as the S&P 500. In the 2022 bear market, TT fell 37.5%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than FIX (Comfort Systems USA, 23.9%) but less than JCI (Johnson Controls International, 41.6%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, TT has a correlation of 0.65 over 5 years, more closely than 95% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- NVT (nVent Electric) was ahead of TT in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (38.0% volatility against 27.7%).
- Nearby categories and themes
- WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies, industrial machinery) earned more than TT with less volatility over the past 5 years: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, against 22.7% a year at 27.7%.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 15 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TT with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them ABBV (AbbVie), HSBC and WELL (Welltower).
How much would $10,000 in TT have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in TT over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of TT over the same span and TT's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in TT at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $405,736 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of TT, and AAON finished highest, at $1,960,947.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 138 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TT; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAON$2M+19,509% total · +20.0% a year
- EME$2M+16,257% total · +19.2% a year
- FIX$1M+10,682% total · +17.5% a year
- JCI$864,263+8,543% total · +16.6% a year
- ETN$538,468+5,285% total · +14.7% a year
- TT$405,736+3,957% total · +13.6% a year
- SPXC$277,953+2,680% total · +12.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- EMR$115,655+1,057% total · +8.8% a year
- MOD$71,784+618% total · +7.0% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 399 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TT; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- FIX$236,701+2,267% total · +88.3% a year
- MOD$152,122+1,421% total · +72.4% a year
- EME$66,450+565% total · +46.0% a year
- NVT$53,086+431% total · +39.6% a year
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- CAH$49,682+397% total · +37.8% a year
- PH$36,392+264% total · +29.5% a year
- WAB$34,242+242% total · +27.9% a year
- TT$27,878+179% total · +22.8% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
TT at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- TT's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 78.1%, from July 2007 to March 2009. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, TT's best was 2009, when it returned 110%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 62.0%. It lost money in six of those years.
- TT is 8.1% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $102B
- Industry
- Industrial - Machinery
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +11.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +154%+36.4% a year
- Past 5 years
- +178%+22.7% a year
- Past 10 years
- +955%+26.6% a year
- Best calendar year
- +110%2009
- Worst calendar year
- −62.0%2008
- Losing years
- 6 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 27.7%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.88return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −78.1%Jul 2007 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −8.1%below the peak
TT against the whole market
Where TT ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does TT rank among all stocks?
This section ranks TT on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how TT stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- TT's 10-year return ranks in the top 5% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | TT | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +11.3% | 1,533 of 3,287 | top 47% |
| 3-year return | +154% | 578 of 3,017 | top 19% |
| 5-year return | +178% | 371 of 2,893 | top 13% |
| 10-year return | +955% | 117 of 2,202 | top 5% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 27.7% | 526 of 2,893 | top 18% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.88 | 190 of 2,893 | top 7% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −40.5% | 163 of 2,187 | top 7% |
What has beaten TT on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). TT sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than TT with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 13 stocks and two ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than TT over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half TT's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 11% less than TT's 27.7%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.88 for TT.
- None of TT's popular alternatives made it, but WAB (industrial machinery) did: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, 5% less than TT's 27.7%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to TT; faint dots are 11 more of the 15 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than TT?
Investments that beat TT over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among TT's popular alternatives, NVT was ahead of TT in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (38.0% volatility against 27.7%).
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WAB (industrial machinery) earned more than TT with less volatility over the past 5 years: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, against 22.7% a year at 27.7%.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 15 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TT with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them ABBV, HSBC and WELL.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat TT over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks TT's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than TT follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than TT's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× TT's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than TT's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with TT?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.65 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against TT. 1 of 17 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
NVTnVent Electric plc · Electrical Equipment | Higher return in most periods | +35.4% | 38.0% | 0.99 | −56.2% | — | 0.60 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 2 shownEverything else in Building Products and the categories next to it (Electrical Equipment, Industrial Machinery, Homebuilders, Specialty Retail), plus TT's specific themes. 2 of 92 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.65 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.67 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 85 of 3,524 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.10 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.40 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.26 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.13 | — | ||
EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.26 | 0.59% | |
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatility | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.39 | 0.48% | |
| On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatility | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +14.8% | 37.2% | 0.56 | −34.2% | +1,139% | 0.43 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for TT
- Annual return
- TT returned 22.7% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $27,800. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- TT's volatility over the past 5 years was 27.7%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TT's return lands within 27.7% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- TT's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.88, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TT earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- TT's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 40.5%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 40.5% fall takes a 68.1% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, TT's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.65 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TT instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TT holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 15 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than TT with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with TT | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.40 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.18 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.43 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.36 | — | |
| 5 | Same or nearby category | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.65 | — | |
| 6 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.46 | — |
| 7 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.39 | — |
| 8 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.26 | 0.59% |
| 9 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.03 | — | |
| 10 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.39 | 0.48% |
| 11 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.20 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.33 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.61 | — | |
| 14 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.16 | — |
| 15 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.15 | — |
TT against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against TT, compared period by period and year by year.
How do TT's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at TT, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 17 popular alternatives earned more than TT over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 11 of the 17 popular alternatives earned less than TT over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, TT returned 22.7% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (27.7% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than TT with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | +77.0% | 46.7% |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | +65.1% | 61.7% |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | +54.2% | 64.2% |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | +43.0% | 35.3% |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | +35.4% | 38.0% |
| TT This pageTrane Technologies plc | +22.7% | 27.7% |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | +22.5% | 45.3% |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | +21.8% | 36.3% |
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | +21.0% | 30.0% |
| ETN Eaton Corporation plc | +20.4% | 32.1% |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | +17.4% | 29.1% |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | +12.7% | 27.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | +10.0% | 47.5% |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | +4.4% | 33.8% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | +3.8% | 31.4% |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | +2.2% | 32.3% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | +1.5% | 22.8% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | −1.6% | 46.7% |
Has TT consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares TT with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than TT helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Only one of the 17 popular alternatives, NVT, outperformed TT in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- EME outperformed TT over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so TT has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than TT over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| TT Trane Technologies plc (this page) | — | +6.5% | −1.2% | −2.9% | +16.8% | +11.3% | +154% | +178% | +955% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | — | $102B | — |
| NVT QualifiednVent Electric plc | 3/5 short2/3 long | −12.4% | −9.6% | +3.2% | +31.4% | +40.0% | +203% | +356% | — | 38.0% | 0.99 | −56.2% | — | $23B | — |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −14.4% | −18.4% | −16.8% | +39.4% | +67.3% | +819% | +1,636% | +5,305% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | — | $49B | — |
| EME Engineering & ConstructionEMCOR Group, Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −7.2% | −5.5% | −15.4% | +10.2% | +0.5% | +267% | +499% | +1,202% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | — | $31B | — |
| MOD Industrial - MachineryModine Manufacturing Company | 0/5 short3/3 long | −19.4% | −35.6% | −41.7% | +4.2% | −7.0% | +260% | +1,127% | +1,187% | 61.7% | 1.13 | −88.1% | — | $7.8B | — |
| VRT Electrical Equipment & PartsVertiv Holdings Co | 1/5 short2/3 long | −18.9% | −30.2% | −35.2% | +16.0% | +16.0% | +456% | +772% | — | 64.2% | 1.01 | −71.3% | — | $78B | — |
| WCC Industrial - DistributionWESCO International, Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | −3.9% | +7.2% | +6.1% | +36.2% | +57.1% | +179% | +176% | +505% | 45.3% | 0.68 | −78.8% | — | $17B | — |
| JCI Construction MaterialsJohnson Controls International plc | 4/5 short1/3 long | +1.9% | +6.4% | +5.5% | +22.0% | +35.4% | +220% | +123% | +426% | 29.1% | 0.70 | −46.4% | — | $90B | — |
| EMR Industrial - MachineryEmerson Electric Co. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +5.8% | +17.9% | +10.1% | +19.5% | +25.0% | +84.9% | +82.1% | +309% | 27.7% | 0.57 | −50.8% | — | $90B | — |
| ETN Electrical Equipment & PartsEaton Corporation plc | 1/5 short0/3 long | −12.3% | −4.6% | −5.8% | +17.7% | +2.3% | +104% | +153% | +657% | 32.1% | 0.74 | −44.5% | — | $148B | — |
| SPXC Construction MaterialsSPX Technologies, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −9.4% | −22.8% | −24.5% | −19.2% | −11.2% | +108% | +168% | +728% | 36.3% | 0.72 | −50.3% | — | $8.2B | — |
| HUBB Electrical Equipment & PartsHubbell Incorporated | 0/5 short0/3 long | +0.4% | −5.0% | −15.4% | +0.1% | +7.7% | +70.6% | +159% | +442% | 30.0% | 0.79 | −41.6% | — | $24B | — |
| BLDR Construction MaterialsBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −7.9% | −25.8% | −41.0% | −48.5% | −56.0% | −50.7% | −7.5% | +417% | 46.7% | 0.20 | −76.1% | — | $5.8B | — |
| AAON Industrial - MachineryAAON, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.2% | −28.8% | −24.3% | −6.4% | −26.5% | +40.8% | +61.2% | +308% | 47.5% | 0.44 | −50.2% | — | $6.1B | — |
| WSO Industrial - DistributionWatsco, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.9% | −17.7% | −29.8% | −10.0% | −17.4% | −5.5% | +20.6% | +196% | 31.4% | 0.28 | −48.2% | — | $12B | — |
| LII Industrial - MachineryLennox International Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +0.4% | −31.6% | −25.8% | −26.4% | −31.2% | +7.5% | +24.2% | +175% | 33.8% | 0.30 | −47.5% | — | $13B | — |
| HON ConglomeratesHoneywell International Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.3% | −5.4% | −10.7% | +5.2% | +6.8% | +27.0% | +7.5% | +160% | 22.8% | 0.18 | −43.0% | — | $68B | — |
| CARR Industrial - MachineryCarrier Global Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.8% | −15.8% | −8.2% | +6.2% | −1.1% | +21.2% | +11.6% | — | 32.3% | 0.23 | −40.8% | — | $46B | — |
How did TT do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where TT ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with TT and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, TT finished in the top quarter in seven of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 11 of 18.
- TT finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 17 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, AAON came out ahead of TT most often, in 17 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of TT; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places TT among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of TT | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT This pageTrane Technologies plc | — | +6.4% | +53.0% | +47.4% | −15.3% | +41.0% | +43.4% | +48.3% | +4.4% | +21.3% | +38.5% | −11.1% | +4.6% | +29.9% | +59.3% | −34.7% | +32.6% | +110% | −62.0% | +20.2% | −1.7% | +1.7% | +19.6% | +59.7% | +4.3% | +1.2% | −23.0% | +17.7% | +17.9% | +38.1% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 7 of 29 | 11 of 18 | 6 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 9 of 18 | 4 of 17 | 4 of 17 | 2 of 15 | 9 of 15 | 7 of 15 | 9 of 15 | 8 of 15 | 13 of 15 | 2 of 15 | 14 of 15 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 15 | 13 of 15 | 7 of 15 | 12 of 15 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 14 | 8 of 14 | 11 of 14 | 13 of 14 | 4 of 12 | 3 of 12 | 5 of 11 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 11 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | 4 of 7 | +51.2% | +16.6% | +56.0% | +3.3% | +67.2% | −5.7% | +17.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 15 of 28 | +121% | +107% | +79.6% | +17.0% | +89.0% | +6.7% | +15.1% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +18.3% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | +15.7% | −17.0% | +8.7% | +17.8% | −15.2% | +2.1% | +38.9% | +20.1% | +40.0% | +63.6% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −71.1% | −58.7% | −9.5% | — |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 14 of 29 | +35.0% | +111% | +46.0% | +16.8% | +39.9% | +6.5% | +45.2% | −26.7% | +16.1% | +48.2% | +8.8% | +5.6% | +23.2% | +31.2% | −7.3% | +7.8% | +19.9% | −5.1% | −16.9% | +68.4% | +49.5% | +2.9% | −17.2% | +16.7% | +77.9% | +40.0% | +13.2% | −21.6% | +58.2% |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 14 of 29 | +15.2% | +94.2% | +201% | +96.8% | −19.7% | +63.1% | −28.8% | −46.5% | +35.6% | +64.6% | −33.5% | +6.1% | +57.7% | −14.1% | −39.0% | +30.9% | +143% | −69.2% | −32.1% | −20.9% | +2.8% | +27.7% | +56.8% | −22.6% | +17.2% | −13.6% | −28.9% | +8.8% | +30.7% |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | 4 of 7 | +42.8% | +137% | +252% | −45.3% | +33.8% | +69.4% | +12.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 13 of 26 | +36.4% | +5.1% | +40.2% | −4.9% | +67.6% | +32.2% | +23.7% | −29.6% | +2.4% | +52.3% | −42.7% | −16.3% | +35.1% | +27.2% | +0.4% | +95.5% | +40.5% | −51.5% | −32.6% | +37.6% | +44.1% | +235% | +61.2% | +10.9% | −31.7% | −18.4% | — | — | — |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 15 of 29 | +54.0% | +39.8% | −7.6% | −19.3% | +77.4% | +17.7% | +40.8% | −19.8% | −6.3% | +64.3% | −23.3% | +11.4% | +46.9% | +34.3% | +19.3% | +22.8% | +76.7% | −42.2% | +61.6% | +16.3% | −11.9% | +42.7% | +75.4% | −66.9% | +9.3% | +46.9% | +7.9% | +76.2% | +89.2% |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | 11 of 29 | +8.9% | +29.7% | +3.8% | +5.7% | +18.2% | +8.6% | +31.6% | −11.9% | +29.1% | +21.0% | −19.7% | −9.6% | +36.1% | +17.3% | −16.3% | +37.8% | +20.7% | −33.6% | +31.5% | +20.7% | +9.2% | +11.0% | +31.4% | −8.3% | −25.7% | +40.8% | −3.0% | +9.2% | +19.1% |
| ETN Eaton Corporation plc | 13 of 29 | −2.8% | +39.5% | +56.2% | −7.2% | +46.7% | +31.0% | +42.8% | −10.0% | +21.5% | +33.8% | −20.7% | −8.2% | +44.2% | +28.6% | −11.8% | +64.0% | +33.3% | −47.1% | +31.6% | +14.4% | −5.4% | +36.5% | +41.1% | +7.6% | +40.8% | +6.0% | +5.3% | −19.0% | +30.7% |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 16 of 29 | +37.5% | +44.1% | +53.9% | +10.0% | +9.4% | +7.2% | +81.7% | −10.8% | +32.3% | +154% | −56.5% | −12.4% | +43.7% | +18.0% | −14.4% | +32.8% | +37.3% | −60.0% | +70.3% | +36.1% | +16.7% | −30.1% | +57.1% | −45.3% | +26.6% | +33.9% | +20.7% | −2.9% | +78.6% |
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | 12 of 29 | +7.4% | +28.9% | +42.4% | +15.1% | +35.6% | +8.9% | +52.9% | −24.6% | +18.8% | +18.4% | −3.3% | −0.2% | +31.1% | +29.3% | +14.1% | +30.9% | +50.5% | −34.4% | +17.0% | +3.2% | −11.3% | +22.1% | +30.2% | +24.5% | +16.3% | +2.7% | −25.7% | −20.7% | +16.8% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 9 of 20 | −28.0% | −14.4% | +157% | −24.3% | +110% | +60.6% | +133% | −49.9% | +98.6% | −1.0% | +61.3% | −3.6% | +27.8% | +174% | +3.5% | −48.7% | +151% | −78.8% | −59.5% | −16.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 17 of 29 | −34.9% | +59.9% | +47.9% | −4.6% | +19.8% | +35.7% | +41.9% | −3.6% | +11.9% | +43.4% | +4.6% | +6.0% | +132% | +3.5% | +10.1% | +46.8% | −5.1% | +6.9% | +14.8% | +49.5% | +10.9% | −17.1% | +5.5% | +13.0% | +107% | +23.6% | +54.4% | +23.1% | +55.1% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 11 of 29 | −27.0% | +13.2% | +77.0% | −17.7% | +42.1% | +30.6% | +35.0% | −15.5% | +18.4% | +30.0% | +12.0% | +13.8% | +30.0% | +26.3% | +7.8% | +33.6% | +33.3% | +9.2% | −20.0% | −19.8% | +72.3% | +57.2% | +40.3% | +16.2% | +24.2% | +0.6% | −30.5% | +2.4% | −14.1% |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | 15 of 26 | −19.5% | +37.3% | +89.5% | −24.9% | +19.7% | +13.8% | +12.8% | +6.3% | +37.4% | +24.0% | +33.0% | +13.2% | +64.1% | +58.2% | −27.3% | +22.8% | +23.0% | −20.7% | +37.4% | +10.3% | +41.0% | +24.4% | +36.6% | +32.8% | +29.8% | −12.4% | — | — | — |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 13 of 29 | −6.3% | +10.2% | +0.1% | +5.0% | −0.2% | +23.1% | +36.9% | −7.5% | +35.2% | +14.3% | +4.9% | +10.6% | +45.8% | +18.5% | +3.8% | +37.8% | +21.9% | −45.9% | +37.5% | +23.1% | +6.6% | +7.3% | +41.6% | −28.0% | −27.7% | −17.2% | +31.0% | +15.1% | +16.7% |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | 1 of 5 | −21.8% | +20.3% | +41.5% | −22.7% | +45.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How TT has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were TT's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents TT's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of TT's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: TT fell 56.6% from May 1999 to October 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 2.0%.
- The slowest recovery came after TT fell 78.1% from July 2007 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until February 2013, four years later.
Green means TT fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | TT fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −78.1% | −53.8% | Jul 2007 | Mar 2009 | 20 months | Feb 2013 | 3.9 years |
| Dot-com bust | −56.6% | +2.0% | May 1999 | Oct 2000 | 17 months | Dec 2003 | 3.2 years |
| No named crash | −51.0% | — | May 1990 | Oct 1990 | 5 months | Jan 1992 | 15 months |
| No named crash | −47.6% | — | Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | Under a month | Jun 1989 | 20 months |
| 2022 bear market | −40.5% | −15.9% | Aug 2021 | Jun 2022 | 10 months | Aug 2023 | 14 months |
How did TT do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far TT, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- TT fell further than the S&P 500 in seven of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when TT fell 77.5% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- Among its popular alternatives, EMR held up best, falling less than TT in seven of the ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than TT.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT This pageTrane Technologies plc | — | −3.3% | −37.5% | −39.2% | −17.9% | −8.0% | −20.6% | −34.2% | −2.6% | −77.5% | −44.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | 1 of 4 | −8.0% | −20.9% | −56.2% | −30.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −7.8% | −23.9% | −38.8% | −30.2% | −6.3% | −26.8% | −33.3% | −3.3% | −57.0% | −77.6% |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −7.3% | −25.8% | −46.1% | −24.2% | −5.7% | −17.7% | −35.7% | −3.0% | −67.4% | −31.7% |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 3 of 10 | −10.8% | −30.8% | −64.1% | −36.2% | −5.8% | −39.8% | −43.5% | 0.0% | −96.9% | −48.6% |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | 1 of 4 | −12.2% | −65.7% | −58.6% | −3.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −11.7% | −29.6% | −67.8% | −29.1% | −2.8% | −37.9% | −43.5% | −3.9% | −75.7% | −71.4% |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 3 of 10 | −6.9% | −41.6% | −44.2% | −22.2% | −8.2% | −20.8% | −19.8% | −1.9% | −66.2% | −85.6% |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | 7 of 10 | −4.3% | −25.4% | −47.2% | −28.8% | −5.9% | −15.9% | −25.8% | 0.0% | −56.1% | −43.6% |
| ETN Eaton Corporation plc | 5 of 10 | −4.5% | −26.3% | −44.5% | −26.0% | −6.7% | −22.3% | −34.6% | −1.4% | −68.5% | −31.6% |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.9% | −29.3% | −47.3% | −26.6% | −5.3% | −53.8% | −49.2% | −3.9% | −81.1% | −57.2% |
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | 6 of 10 | −5.6% | −17.3% | −40.6% | −31.6% | −3.7% | −20.9% | −26.6% | −1.0% | −59.7% | −27.4% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 1 of 9 | −7.4% | −41.4% | −62.2% | −34.8% | −5.2% | −59.9% | −59.5% | −5.0% | −92.2% | — |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −4.5% | −39.3% | −31.0% | −25.7% | −7.1% | −22.2% | −36.4% | −2.4% | −43.5% | −38.8% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 7 of 10 | −4.5% | −26.1% | −24.3% | −24.9% | −6.5% | −17.4% | −19.2% | −4.1% | −47.0% | −43.3% |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | 5 of 10 | −5.4% | −40.7% | −35.9% | −11.6% | −8.1% | −17.1% | −39.8% | −1.8% | −51.5% | −53.4% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 7 of 10 | −1.4% | −22.7% | −42.2% | −22.1% | −6.8% | −14.4% | −25.3% | −1.8% | −62.2% | −65.8% |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | 1 of 2 | −5.6% | −35.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does TT move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares TT with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, TT captured 115% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 69% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.10. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- Only FIX and EME had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than TT's 1.66, out of 14 popular alternatives with the same record.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than TT's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT This pageTrane Technologies plc | 115% | 69% | 1.66 | 1.10 |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 180% | 71% | 2.55 | 1.38 |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 128% | 75% | 1.71 | 1.16 |
| ETN Eaton Corporation plc | 114% | 80% | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 90% | 74% | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 102% | 90% | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 141% | 130% | 1.09 | 1.33 |
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | 108% | 101% | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 189% | 180% | 1.05 | 2.20 |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 74% | 74% | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| WCC WESCO International, Inc. | 165% | 194% | 0.85 | 1.96 |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | 81% | 96% | 0.84 | 1.02 |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | 124% | 153% | 0.81 | 1.39 |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 163% | 203% | 0.80 | 1.90 |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 90% | 118% | 0.77 | 1.00 |
What diversifies TT?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with TT's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing TT with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in TT into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years while keeping its annual return (+22.8% for TT alone, +22.8% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of TT over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- XLE made money in four of the six calendar years in which TT lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which TT lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% TT and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2015 | 2011 | 2008 | 2006 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT Trane Technologies plc (this page) | 1.00 | +178% | 0.88 | −15.3% | −11.1% | −34.7% | −62.0% | −1.7% | −23.0% | 27.8% | +22.8% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.41 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | +22.2% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.39 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +7.7% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | 23.4% | +24.2% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.49 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | −25.3% | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | +21.8% |
| EWP Broad MarketiShares MSCI Spain ETF | 0.42 | +140% | 0.97 | −5.2% | −15.6% | −9.8% | −36.8% | +49.2% | −11.8% | 24.1% | +23.0% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.04 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −10.7% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +22.6% | — | 22.7% | +22.8% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.09 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | −21.5% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +18.0% | +24.4% | 23.3% | +24.0% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.48 | +153% | 0.89 | −28.9% | −12.9% | −21.8% | −45.3% | +18.8% | — | 25.1% | +23.3% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.26 | +111% | 0.89 | +25.5% | −25.7% | +10.2% | — | — | — | 23.5% | +22.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2015 | 2011 | 2008 | 2006 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TT Trane Technologies plc (this page) | 1.00 | +178% | 0.88 | −15.3% | −11.1% | −34.7% | −62.0% | −1.7% | −23.0% | 27.8% | +22.8% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.40 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +12.6% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −5.8% | +108% | 24.9% | +26.5% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.37 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −6.0% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −26.0% | −2.3% | 28.8% | +39.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.20 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | −4.5% | +11.8% | −40.4% | −1.2% | +61.2% | 23.8% | +26.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.17 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | 24.2% | +29.0% |
| ATI Manufacturing - Metal FabricationATI Inc. | 0.40 | +1,008% | 1.34 | +87.5% | −66.7% | −12.2% | −70.0% | +153% | −26.5% | 27.5% | +31.8% |
Common questions
What was TT's worst drawdown?
TT's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 78.1%, from July 2007 to March 2009. It took about four years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were TT's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, TT's best year was 2009, when it returned 110%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -62.0%.
Is there a better investment than TT?
Among TT's popular alternatives, NVT was ahead of TT in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (38.0% volatility against 27.7%). Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WAB (industrial machinery) earned more than TT with less volatility over the past 5 years: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, against 22.7% a year at 27.7%.
Is TT more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. TT's volatility over the past 5 years was 27.7%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TT's return lands within 27.7% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is TT's Sharpe ratio?
TT's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.88, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TT earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is TT with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, TT's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.65 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TT instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TT holding.
What are the best alternatives to TT?
Of the 17 popular alternatives we compared, one outperformed TT in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: NVT.
Did TT outperform the S&P 500?
TT finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 17 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +6.4%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did TT do in stock market crashes?
TT fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in seven. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when TT fell 77.5% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies TT?
These had a low correlation with TT over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.41), DXJ (correlation 0.39) and EMLP (correlation 0.49); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.40), CLS (correlation 0.37) and MCK (correlation 0.20). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than TT's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of TT's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to TT
FIXComfort Systems USA
VRTVertiv
JCIJohnson Controls International
EMREmerson Electric
ETNEaton
HONHoneywell International
CARRCarrier Global