Relative Intelligence · Building Products

How Carrier Global (CARR) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on CARR alone. It places CARR (Carrier Global Corporation) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where CARR stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: CARR's full trading record, from March 2020 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowCARR has gone against the market, falling 15.8% over the past 3 months while the S&P 500 rose 3.9%. CARR is 30.2% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?The weakness is CARR's own: it fell 15.8% over the past 3 months while the building products ETF XLI (State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF) fell 6.1%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its building product peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: JCI (Johnson Controls International) rose 6.4%, while LII (Lennox International) fell 31.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, CARR fell 1.1% while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (21.2% against 89.3%). CARR finished behind the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termCARR turned $10,000 into $11,200 over the past 5 years, against $18,200 in the S&P 500. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashThe 2022 bear market took 35.8% off CARR, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than ITW (Illinois Tool Works, 28.0%) but less than TT (Trane Technologies, 37.5%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, CARR has a correlation of 0.64 over 5 years, more closely than 94% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Over 5 years, CARR's beta versus the S&P 500 was 1.29: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 80% as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 1.3 times as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- TJX (TJX Companies, specialty retail) and PH (Parker-Hannifin, industrial machinery) earned more than CARR with less volatility over the past 5 years. TJX returned 19.9% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 2.2% a year at 32.3%.
- Versus the S&P 500
- Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 12.7% a year at 17.1% volatility, against 2.2% at 32.3% for CARR.
- Whole market
- 1,200 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CARR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), MSFT (Microsoft) and VTI (Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF).
How much would $10,000 in CARR have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in CARR over the past 6 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of CARR over the same span and CARR's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: CARR began trading on March 19, 2020, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs. It covers the most recent 6 years of CARR's record, starting at the end of September 2020.
- $10,000 invested in CARR at the end of September 2020 would have grown to $19,497 by September 2026, less than the $24,691 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Six of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of CARR, and EME finished highest, at $113,757.
From the end of September 2020 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,650 of the 3,321 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CARR; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- EME$113,757+1,038% total · +50.0% a year
- NVT$99,796+898% total · +46.7% a year
- JCI$40,906+309% total · +26.5% a year
- TT$40,240+302% total · +26.1% a year
- WTS$37,025+270% total · +24.4% a year
- CSL$28,172+182% total · +18.8% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$24,691+147% total · +16.3% a year
- CARR$19,497+95.0% total · +11.8% a year
- ITW$15,320+53.2% total · +7.4% a year
- MAS$13,591+35.9% total · +5.2% a year
CARR at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: CARR began trading on March 19, 2020, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs.
- CARR is still 30.2% below its all-time high.
- CARR's deepest decline since it began trading in 2020 was 40.8%, from August 2021 to October 2022. It took nine months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over five full calendar years, CARR's best was 2021, when it returned 45.3%, and its worst was 2022, when it lost 22.7%. It lost money in two of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $46B
- Industry
- Industrial - Machinery
- Price history from
- March 2020
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −1.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +21.2%+6.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +11.6%+2.2% a year
- Best calendar year
- +45.3%2021
- Worst calendar year
- −22.7%2022
- Losing years
- 2 of 5full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 32.3%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.23return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −40.8%Aug 2021 to Oct 2022
- From its all-time high
- −30.2%below the peak
CARR against the whole market
Where CARR ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does CARR rank among all stocks?
This section ranks CARR on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how CARR stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- CARR lands in the broad middle of the market on every measure here. CARR is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 32% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | CARR | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −1.1% | 2,026 of 3,287 | bottom 39% |
| 3-year return | +21.2% | 2,002 of 3,017 | bottom 35% |
| 5-year return | +11.6% | 1,570 of 2,893 | bottom 47% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 32.3% | 936 of 2,893 | top 32% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.23 | 1,767 of 2,893 | bottom 40% |
What has beaten CARR on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). CARR sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than CARR with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 474 stocks and 726 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than CARR over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 33% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half CARR's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 23% less than CARR's 32.3%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.23 for CARR.
- Among CARR's popular alternatives, TT, JCI and WTS are in the region. TT earned 22.7% a year against 2.2% a year for CARR, at 27.7% volatility, 14% less than CARR's 32.3%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to CARR; faint dots are 93 more of the 1,200 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than CARR?
Investments that beat CARR over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among CARR's popular alternatives, TT, JCI and ITW earned more than CARR with less volatility over the past 5 years. TT returned 22.7% a year at 27.7% volatility, against 2.2% a year at 32.3%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TJX (specialty retail) and PH (industrial machinery) earned more than CARR with less volatility over the past 5 years. TJX returned 19.9% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 2.2% a year at 32.3%.
- Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 12.7% a year at 17.1% volatility, against 2.2% at 32.3% for CARR.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat CARR over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks CARR's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than CARR follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than CARR's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× CARR's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than CARR's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 5Y returntotal | Corr. with CARR?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +2.2% | 32.3% | 0.23 | −40.8% | +11.6% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +81.7% | 0.64 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against CARR. 11 of 23 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +178% | 0.80 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +17.4% | 29.1% | 0.70 | −46.4% | +123% | 0.68 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +6.7% | 21.4% | 0.41 | −37.9% | +38.4% | 0.64 | — | ||
WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +15.3% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | +104% | 0.71 | — | |
DOVDover Corporation · Industrial Machinery | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +4.4% | 25.1% | 0.30 | −45.2% | +24.2% | 0.72 | — | |
EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +499% | 0.55 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Building Products and the categories next to it (Electrical Equipment, Industrial Machinery, Homebuilders, Specialty Retail), plus CARR's specific themes. 44 of 82 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +147% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +235% | 0.66 | — | ||
FSSFederal Signal Corporation · Industrial Machinery | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +23.3% | 31.7% | 0.82 | −33.0% | +185% | 0.60 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +212% | 0.67 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +20.4% | 32.1% | 0.74 | −44.5% | +153% | 0.63 | — | ||
IEXIDEX Corporation · Industrial Machinery | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +2.7% | 24.0% | 0.23 | −35.5% | +14.1% | 0.66 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 1,803 of 3,528 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +72.6% | 0.66 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +82.3% | 0.64 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +158% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +87.8% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +82.1% | 0.15 | — | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +119% | 0.41 | 0.40% | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +451% | -0.02 | — | ||
HYGiShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF · High Yield Bonds | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +3.1% | 7.5% | 0.45 | −22.0% | +16.8% | 0.61 | 0.49% | |
What these numbers mean for CARR
- Annual return
- CARR returned 2.2% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $11,200. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- CARR's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.3%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CARR's return lands within 32.3% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- CARR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.23, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CARR earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- CARR's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 40.8%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 40.8% fall takes a 69.0% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, CARR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.64 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CARR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CARR holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 1,200 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than CARR with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 5Y return | Corr. with CARR | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +72.6% | 0.66 | 0.03% | |
| 2 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +82.3% | 0.64 | 0.03% | |
| 3 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +158% | 0.32 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +87.8% | 0.32 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +82.1% | 0.15 | — | |
| 6 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +119% | 0.41 | 0.40% |
| 7 | BALTInnovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF · Crypto | Whole market | +6.3% | 3.3% | 1.85 | −4.9% | +35.7% | 0.54 | 0.69% |
| 8 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +123% | 0.50 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +97.2% | 0.59 | 0.18% | |
| 10 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +121% | 0.33 | — | |
| 11 | FLRTPacer Aristotle Pacific Floating Rate High Income ETF · Financials | Whole market | +6.0% | 2.3% | 2.55 | −21.0% | +33.9% | 0.36 | 0.60% |
| 12 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +145% | 0.22 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +180% | 0.17 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +9.3% | 16.9% | 0.61 | −35.8% | +55.9% | 0.64 | 0.03% | |
| 15 | Whole market | +11.5% | 20.9% | 0.63 | −32.6% | +72.6% | 0.54 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +133% | 0.52 | 0.09% | |
| 17 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +162% | 0.22 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +64.0% | 0.64 | 0.04% | |
| 19 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +195% | 0.25 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.3% | 0.72 | −33.4% | +59.1% | 0.56 | 0.06% | |
| 21 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +121% | 0.30 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +10.3% | 16.2% | 0.69 | −34.2% | +63.3% | 0.69 | 0.06% | |
| 23 | Whole market | +5.2% | 8.9% | 0.61 | −25.4% | +28.5% | 0.18 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +91.5% | 0.28 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +5.5% | 21.5% | 0.36 | −30.1% | +30.5% | 0.47 | — | |
| 26 | PJULInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.5% | 8.6% | 1.20 | −18.2% | +64.4% | 0.67 | 0.79% |
| 27 | Whole market | +14.8% | 23.6% | 0.71 | −32.8% | +99.4% | 0.44 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +9.3% | 19.2% | 0.56 | −30.1% | +56.2% | 0.26 | — | |
| 29 | FJANFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - January · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +11.1% | 10.5% | 1.05 | −13.6% | +69.0% | 0.60 | 0.85% |
| 30 | Whole market | +12.4% | 20.2% | 0.68 | −32.9% | +79.4% | 0.40 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +108% | 0.37 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +13.1% | 22.4% | 0.67 | −34.5% | +85.4% | 0.53 | 0.04% | |
| 33 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | +98.5% | 0.65 | 0.26% | |
| 34 | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.2% | 0.46 | −29.0% | +41.8% | 0.34 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +5.4% | 21.8% | 0.35 | −34.3% | +30.0% | 0.25 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +7.5% | 11.0% | 0.71 | −13.7% | +43.3% | 0.59 | 0.35% | |
| 37 | Whole market | +12.0% | 18.8% | 0.70 | −30.9% | +76.3% | 0.32 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +49.3% | 0.34 | 0.08% | |
| 39 | CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. · Integrated Telecommunications | Whole market | +7.7% | 13.3% | 0.63 | −23.8% | +45.1% | 0.22 | — |
| 40 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +136% | 0.58 | 0.13% |
| 41 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | +99.4% | 0.52 | 0.27% |
| 42 | Whole market | +6.5% | 20.9% | 0.41 | −34.4% | +37.3% | 0.27 | — | |
| 43 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | +92.2% | 0.68 | 0.15% |
| 44 | HYGHiShares Interest Rate Hedged High Yield Bond ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +6.6% | 7.1% | 0.94 | −23.9% | +37.6% | 0.58 | 1.12% |
| 45 | Whole market | +6.1% | 20.0% | 0.40 | −31.6% | +34.2% | 0.39 | — | |
| 46 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +102% | 0.47 | — |
| 47 | WECWEC Energy Group, Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.0% | 0.46 | −32.3% | +41.6% | 0.42 | — |
| 48 | DFATDimensional - US Targeted Value ETF · US Small-Cap Equity | Whole market | +9.6% | 21.0% | 0.54 | −26.1% | +57.8% | 0.69 | 0.33% |
| 49 | FTSFortis Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +8.4% | 16.4% | 0.58 | −34.3% | +49.9% | 0.37 | — |
| 50 | USMViShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF · US Low-Volatility Equity | Whole market | +7.6% | 12.3% | 0.66 | −33.1% | +44.4% | 0.55 | 0.15% |
| 51 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +12.0% | 16.7% | 0.76 | −31.6% | +76.1% | 0.73 | 0.20% |
| 52 | AEEAmeren Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.9% | 19.4% | 0.49 | −29.1% | +45.9% | 0.39 | — |
| 53 | MGVVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +12.6% | 13.4% | 0.95 | −35.4% | +81.0% | 0.64 | 0.05% |
| 54 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | +199% | 0.47 | — |
| 55 | EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. · Freight & Logistics | Whole market | +12.0% | 27.1% | 0.56 | −35.6% | +76.6% | 0.44 | — |
| 56 | USHYiShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF · High Yield Bonds | Whole market | +3.6% | 7.4% | 0.52 | −22.4% | +19.2% | 0.61 | 0.08% |
| 57 | EWJiShares MSCI Japan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +9.2% | 18.8% | 0.57 | −33.1% | +55.6% | 0.61 | 0.49% |
| 58 | WTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company · Insurance | Whole market | +6.9% | 23.9% | 0.40 | −32.9% | +39.6% | -0.02 | — |
| 59 | BUFRFT Vest Laddered Buffer ETF · Buffered Equity | Whole market | +9.9% | 10.5% | 0.96 | −13.7% | +60.3% | 0.65 | 0.10% |
| 60 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +122% | 0.49 | — | |
| 61 | CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Whole market | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +93.2% | 0.24 | 0.58% |
| 62 | CHDChurch & Dwight Co., Inc. · Household & Personal Products | Whole market | +6.1% | 21.1% | 0.39 | −31.7% | +34.6% | 0.36 | — |
| 63 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.1% | 13.8% | 0.96 | −32.5% | +85.0% | 0.60 | 0.35% |
| 64 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +107% | 0.52 | 0.40% |
| 65 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | +88.9% | 0.65 | 0.12% |
| 66 | DIVOAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +11.1% | 11.9% | 0.95 | −30.0% | +69.0% | 0.54 | 0.56% |
| 67 | SRLNState Street Blackstone Senior Loan ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +4.7% | 3.9% | 1.18 | −22.3% | +25.6% | 0.37 | 0.70% |
| 68 | LNTAlliant Energy Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.3% | 19.8% | 0.46 | −33.5% | +42.3% | 0.47 | — |
| 69 | XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF · Consumer Staples | Whole market | +7.2% | 13.8% | 0.57 | −24.5% | +41.4% | 0.49 | 0.08% |
| 70 | VPLVanguard FTSE Pacific ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +9.5% | 18.6% | 0.58 | −33.9% | +57.3% | 0.64 | 0.07% |
| 71 | Whole market | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | +20.3% | 0.18 | 0.09% | |
| 72 | MOATVanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +9.1% | 18.4% | 0.57 | −33.3% | +54.7% | 0.62 | 0.46% |
| 73 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +479% | 0.28 | — | |
| 74 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | +154% | 0.36 | — |
| 75 | NOBLProShares - S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +6.5% | 14.5% | 0.51 | −35.4% | +37.3% | 0.67 | 0.35% |
| 76 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +301% | 0.27 | — |
| 77 | QYLDGlobal X - Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.0% | 0.62 | −24.7% | +49.8% | 0.50 | 0.60% |
| 78 | Whole market | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +133% | 0.27 | — | |
| 79 | DFAEDimensional - Emerging Core Equity Market ETF · Emerging Markets Equity | Whole market | +8.3% | 18.8% | 0.52 | −32.2% | +49.3% | 0.61 | 0.29% |
| 80 | SCIService Corporation International · Death Care | Whole market | +7.5% | 25.2% | 0.41 | −34.0% | +43.2% | 0.39 | — |
| 81 | DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +9.8% | 12.4% | 0.82 | −20.4% | +59.7% | -0.22 | 0.85% |
| 82 | USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.1% | 16.4% | 0.89 | −30.0% | +93.2% | 0.57 | 0.12% |
| 83 | RSPTInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.9% | 25.1% | 0.75 | −33.7% | +119% | 0.60 | 0.40% |
| 84 | IDAIDACORP, Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +8.8% | 19.2% | 0.54 | −34.3% | +52.8% | 0.46 | — |
| 85 | FTCSFirst Trust Capital Strength ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +6.2% | 13.2% | 0.52 | −31.9% | +34.9% | 0.57 | 0.53% |
| 86 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +111% | 0.57 | 0.50% |
| 87 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +187% | 0.35 | — | |
| 88 | IWXiShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.7% | 13.8% | 0.94 | −35.8% | +81.4% | 0.61 | 0.20% |
| 89 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.3% | 18.2% | 0.78 | −31.3% | +86.4% | 0.61 | 0.25% |
| 90 | Whole market | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +80.3% | 0.09 | — | |
| 91 | FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.4% | 0.99 | −20.6% | +62.9% | 0.48 | 0.95% |
| 92 | ICVTiShares Convertible Bond ETF · Corporate Bonds | Whole market | +3.8% | 14.1% | 0.34 | −33.2% | +20.6% | 0.66 | 0.20% |
| 93 | OMFLInvesco Russell 1000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF · US Multifactor Equity | Whole market | +9.0% | 16.4% | 0.61 | −33.2% | +54.1% | 0.61 | 0.29% |
| 94 | PTLCPacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +9.5% | 11.8% | 0.83 | −26.6% | +57.4% | 0.42 | 0.60% |
| 95 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | +101% | 0.57 | 0.45% |
| 96 | DIVIFranklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF · International | Whole market | +13.4% | 15.5% | 0.89 | −27.7% | +87.6% | 0.60 | 0.09% |
| 97 | AORiShares Core 60/40 Balanced Allocation ETF · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +6.4% | 10.7% | 0.64 | −23.0% | +36.6% | 0.67 | 0.20% |
| 98 | XYLDGlobal X - S&P 500 Covered Call ETF · International | Whole market | +7.4% | 11.2% | 0.70 | −33.4% | +43.1% | 0.47 | 0.60% |
| 99 | EQWLInvesco S&P 100 Equal Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.0% | 0.81 | −34.3% | +73.3% | 0.67 | 0.30% |
| 100 | BCIabrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +10.1% | 16.7% | 0.66 | −32.7% | +61.5% | 0.02 | 0.26% |
CARR against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against CARR, compared period by period and year by year.
How do CARR's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at CARR, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Nine of the 23 popular alternatives, led by TT, JCI and WTS, were both more rewarding and calmer than CARR over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, CARR returned 2.2% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (32.3% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than CARR with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | +77.0% | 46.7% |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | +65.1% | 61.7% |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | +54.2% | 64.2% |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | +43.0% | 35.3% |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | +35.4% | 38.0% |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | +22.7% | 27.7% |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | +21.8% | 36.3% |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | +17.4% | 29.1% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | +15.3% | 28.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | +12.5% | 26.6% |
| FERG Ferguson plc | +11.2% | 30.7% |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | +10.5% | 32.4% |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | +10.0% | 47.5% |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | +6.7% | 21.4% |
| OC Owens Corning | +6.2% | 36.1% |
| MAS Masco Corporation | +6.2% | 31.1% |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | +4.4% | 33.8% |
| DOV Dover Corporation | +4.4% | 25.1% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | +3.8% | 31.4% |
| CARR This pageCarrier Global Corporation | +2.2% | 32.3% |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | −0.4% | 27.6% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | −1.6% | 46.7% |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | −4.7% | 34.3% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | −12.0% | 38.1% |
Has CARR consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares CARR with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over seven periods from one month to five years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than CARR helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Ten of the 23 popular alternatives, led by TT, ITW and MAS, outperformed CARR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 2 long-term timeframes.
- TT, ITW and MAS outperformed CARR in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- TT, CSL and ITW earned more for the risk they took than CARR (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than CARR over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 2 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation (this page) | — | +2.8% | −15.8% | −8.2% | +6.2% | −1.1% | +21.2% | +11.6% | 32.3% | 0.23 | −40.8% | — | $46B | — |
| TT QualifiedTrane Technologies plc | 5/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | +6.5% | −1.2% | −2.9% | +16.8% | +11.3% | +154% | +178% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | — | $102B | — |
| ITW QualifiedIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 5/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | +3.5% | +1.9% | +2.1% | +12.3% | +11.7% | +32.1% | +38.4% | 21.4% | 0.41 | −37.9% | — | $78B | — |
| MAS QualifiedMasco Corporation | 5/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | +10.2% | −3.2% | +13.0% | +17.4% | +10.7% | +57.7% | +35.3% | 31.1% | 0.35 | −44.7% | — | $15B | — |
| NVT QualifiednVent Electric plc | 4/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | −12.4% | −9.6% | +3.2% | +31.4% | +40.0% | +203% | +356% | 38.0% | 0.99 | −56.2% | — | $23B | — |
| JCI QualifiedJohnson Controls International plc | 4/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | +1.9% | +6.4% | +5.5% | +22.0% | +35.4% | +220% | +123% | 29.1% | 0.70 | −46.4% | — | $90B | — |
| WTS QualifiedWatts Water Technologies, Inc. | 4/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | +2.1% | +5.3% | +22.3% | +29.2% | +28.1% | +113% | +104% | 28.4% | 0.65 | −44.1% | — | $12B | — |
| CSL QualifiedCarlisle Companies Incorporated | 4/5 short2/2 longAll-weather | +6.9% | +4.2% | −5.8% | +4.4% | +4.5% | +42.7% | +64.6% | 32.4% | 0.47 | −38.7% | — | $13B | — |
| EME QualifiedEMCOR Group, Inc. | 3/5 short2/2 long | −7.2% | −5.5% | −15.4% | +10.2% | +0.5% | +267% | +499% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | — | $31B | — |
| AWI QualifiedArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | 3/5 short2/2 long | +4.7% | +11.6% | −5.8% | −13.4% | −15.1% | +151% | +80.3% | 26.6% | 0.58 | −46.4% | — | $7.2B | — |
| DOV QualifiedDover Corporation | 3/5 short2/2 long | +5.9% | −5.7% | −10.7% | +1.5% | +17.9% | +51.3% | +24.2% | 25.1% | 0.30 | −45.2% | — | $27B | — |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2/5 short2/2 long | −14.4% | −18.4% | −16.8% | +39.4% | +67.3% | +819% | +1,636% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | — | $49B | — |
| VRT Electrical Equipment & PartsVertiv Holdings Co | 2/5 short2/2 long | −18.9% | −30.2% | −35.2% | +16.0% | +16.0% | +456% | +772% | 64.2% | 1.01 | −71.3% | — | $78B | — |
| FERG Industrial - DistributionFerguson plc | 2/5 short2/2 long | +5.1% | −0.5% | −13.1% | +2.1% | −4.7% | +55.4% | +70.0% | 30.7% | 0.50 | −55.4% | — | $44B | — |
| MOD Industrial - MachineryModine Manufacturing Company | 0/5 short2/2 long | −19.4% | −35.6% | −41.7% | +4.2% | −7.0% | +260% | +1,127% | 61.7% | 1.13 | −88.1% | — | $7.8B | — |
| SPXC Construction MaterialsSPX Technologies, Inc. | 0/5 short2/2 long | −9.4% | −22.8% | −24.5% | −19.2% | −11.2% | +108% | +168% | 36.3% | 0.72 | −50.3% | — | $8.2B | — |
| AAON Industrial - MachineryAAON, Inc. | 0/5 short2/2 long | −3.2% | −28.8% | −24.3% | −6.4% | −26.5% | +40.8% | +61.2% | 47.5% | 0.44 | −50.2% | — | $6.1B | — |
| OC Construction MaterialsOwens Corning | 0/5 short1/2 long | −7.4% | −19.9% | −8.7% | +0.6% | −9.9% | −3.4% | +35.3% | 36.1% | 0.35 | −66.6% | — | $8.8B | — |
| LII Industrial - MachineryLennox International Inc. | 0/5 short1/2 long | +0.4% | −31.6% | −25.8% | −26.4% | −31.2% | +7.5% | +24.2% | 33.8% | 0.30 | −47.5% | — | $13B | — |
| WSO Industrial - DistributionWatsco, Inc. | 0/5 short1/2 long | −3.9% | −17.7% | −29.8% | −10.0% | −17.4% | −5.5% | +20.6% | 31.4% | 0.28 | −48.2% | — | $12B | — |
| MIDD Industrial - MachineryThe Middleby Corporation | 3/5 short0/2 long | −0.6% | −14.7% | −5.1% | −8.9% | +2.2% | +18.8% | −21.5% | 34.3% | 0.03 | −69.2% | — | $5.0B | — |
| AOS Industrial - MachineryA. O. Smith Corporation | 2/5 short0/2 long | +4.5% | +1.7% | −8.2% | −11.4% | −12.8% | −5.4% | −1.8% | 27.6% | 0.12 | −46.8% | — | $8.1B | — |
| FBIN Construction MaterialsFortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1/5 short0/2 long | +3.0% | −18.3% | −0.1% | −18.5% | −17.9% | −25.1% | −47.3% | 38.1% | -0.15 | −62.4% | — | $4.9B | — |
| BLDR Construction MaterialsBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −7.9% | −25.8% | −41.0% | −48.5% | −56.0% | −50.7% | −7.5% | 46.7% | 0.20 | −76.1% | — | $5.8B | — |
How did CARR do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2021, along with where CARR ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with CARR and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: CARR began trading on March 19, 2020, so the table starts with 2021, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs.
- Among its popular alternatives, FIX came out ahead of CARR most often, in all five years both traded.
- CARR finished ahead of the S&P 500 in two of its five full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last two.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, CARR finished in the top quarter in no of five years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 19 of 24.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of CARR; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places CARR among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of CARR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR This pageCarrier Global Corporation | — | −21.8% | +20.3% | +41.5% | −22.7% | +45.3% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 0 of 5 | 19 of 24 | 12 of 24 | 18 of 24 | 13 of 24 | 12 of 24 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 3 of 5 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | 4 of 5 | +6.4% | +53.0% | +47.4% | −15.3% | +41.0% |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 2 of 5 | −0.4% | −1.0% | +21.6% | −8.5% | +23.6% |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 2 of 5 | −10.9% | +10.1% | +46.6% | −32.1% | +29.6% |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | 4 of 5 | +51.2% | +16.6% | +56.0% | +3.3% | +67.2% |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 4 of 5 | +54.0% | +39.8% | −7.6% | −19.3% | +77.4% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 3 of 5 | +36.8% | −1.6% | +43.6% | −24.1% | +60.6% |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 3 of 5 | −12.3% | +19.1% | +34.3% | −4.1% | +60.6% |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 4 of 5 | +35.0% | +111% | +46.0% | +16.8% | +39.9% |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 4 of 5 | +36.2% | +45.1% | +45.3% | −40.3% | +57.4% |
| DOV Dover Corporation | 2 of 5 | +5.2% | +23.4% | +15.2% | −24.3% | +45.7% |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 5 of 5 | +121% | +107% | +79.6% | +17.0% | +89.0% |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | 3 of 5 | +42.8% | +137% | +252% | −45.3% | +33.8% |
| FERG Ferguson plc | 3 of 5 | +29.9% | −8.6% | +55.1% | −27.2% | +56.4% |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 4 of 5 | +15.2% | +94.2% | +201% | +96.8% | −19.7% |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 4 of 5 | +37.5% | +44.1% | +53.9% | +10.0% | +9.4% |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 3 of 5 | −34.9% | +59.9% | +47.9% | −4.6% | +19.8% |
| OC Owens Corning | 2 of 5 | −33.0% | +16.6% | +77.2% | −4.2% | +20.9% |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | 3 of 5 | −19.5% | +37.3% | +89.5% | −24.9% | +19.7% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −27.0% | +13.2% | +77.0% | −17.7% | +42.1% |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | 2 of 5 | +9.8% | −8.0% | +9.9% | −31.9% | +52.6% |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 3 of 5 | +0.1% | −15.9% | +46.7% | −32.1% | +59.3% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 0 of 5 | −25.4% | −9.1% | +35.2% | −36.5% | +26.0% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −28.0% | −14.4% | +157% | −24.3% | +110% |
Risk and diversification
How CARR has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were CARR's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents CARR's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2020, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: CARR began trading on March 19, 2020, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of CARR's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: CARR fell 38.1% from October 2024 to November 2025, while the S&P 500 rose 13.0%.
- None of these declines kept CARR below its old high for long; the longest climb back took nine months.
Green means CARR fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | CARR fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 bear market | −40.8% | −17.3% | Aug 2021 | Oct 2022 | 14 months | Jul 2023 | 9 months |
| No named crash | −38.1% | +13.0% | Oct 2024 | Nov 2025 | 13 months | Not yet | — |
| No named crash | −25.3% | +8.3% | Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 1 month | Apr 2020 | Under a month |
| No named crash | −22.1% | −9.3% | Aug 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 months | Mar 2024 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −14.9% | −0.5% | Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 2 months | Mar 2021 | Under a month |
How did CARR do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far CARR, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: CARR began trading on March 19, 2020, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- CARR fell further than the S&P 500 in all two crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when CARR fell 35.8% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
- Among its popular alternatives, ITW held up best, falling less than CARR in all two crashes they both traded through.
- CARR began trading after the 2008 financial crisis, but 20 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was AAON's 43.5%, against 55.2% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than CARR.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR This pageCarrier Global Corporation | — | −5.6% | −35.8% | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 2 of 2 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | 1 of 2 | −3.3% | −37.5% | −39.2% | −17.9% | −8.0% | −20.6% | −34.2% | −2.6% | −77.5% | −44.7% |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 2 of 2 | −2.9% | −28.0% | −37.9% | −19.3% | −8.4% | −14.0% | −29.0% | −1.1% | −54.9% | −30.8% |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 2 of 2 | −2.4% | −34.0% | −39.2% | −28.5% | −5.1% | −22.8% | −39.7% | −6.7% | −83.8% | −39.0% |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | 1 of 2 | −8.0% | −20.9% | −56.2% | −30.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 0 of 2 | −6.9% | −41.6% | −44.2% | −22.2% | −8.2% | −20.8% | −19.8% | −1.9% | −66.2% | −85.6% |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −6.9% | −39.4% | −32.0% | −26.1% | −9.1% | −24.6% | −31.1% | −3.4% | −49.9% | −35.1% |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 1 of 2 | −10.1% | −15.0% | −38.2% | −24.5% | −5.6% | −25.3% | −37.4% | −2.5% | −63.5% | −45.5% |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −7.3% | −25.8% | −46.1% | −24.2% | −5.7% | −17.7% | −35.7% | −3.0% | −67.4% | −31.7% |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −7.8% | −35.9% | −39.7% | −21.8% | −6.9% | −39.5% | −22.7% | −7.5% | −75.4% | — |
| DOV Dover Corporation | 0 of 2 | −5.9% | −35.6% | −45.0% | −25.1% | −6.8% | −20.9% | −32.8% | −1.5% | −58.2% | −54.1% |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −7.8% | −23.9% | −38.8% | −30.2% | −6.3% | −26.8% | −33.3% | −3.3% | −57.0% | −77.6% |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | 0 of 2 | −12.2% | −65.7% | −58.6% | −3.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FERG Ferguson plc | 1 of 2 | −4.1% | −42.4% | −54.7% | −27.3% | 0.0% | −28.8% | −28.7% | 0.0% | −87.9% | — |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 1 of 2 | −10.8% | −30.8% | −64.1% | −36.2% | −5.8% | −39.8% | −43.5% | 0.0% | −96.9% | −48.6% |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −6.9% | −29.3% | −47.3% | −26.6% | −5.3% | −53.8% | −49.2% | −3.9% | −81.1% | −57.2% |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −4.5% | −39.3% | −31.0% | −25.7% | −7.1% | −22.2% | −36.4% | −2.4% | −43.5% | −38.8% |
| OC Owens Corning | 1 of 2 | −6.4% | −26.0% | −53.3% | −28.9% | −8.2% | −15.7% | −43.5% | −4.1% | −81.0% | — |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | 0 of 2 | −5.4% | −40.7% | −35.9% | −11.6% | −8.1% | −17.1% | −39.8% | −1.8% | −51.5% | −53.4% |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −4.5% | −26.1% | −24.3% | −24.9% | −6.5% | −17.4% | −19.2% | −4.1% | −47.0% | −43.3% |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | 0 of 2 | −7.4% | −38.1% | −62.0% | −24.3% | −3.4% | −35.0% | −25.4% | −2.3% | −73.1% | −48.9% |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 1 of 2 | −2.4% | −42.1% | −21.9% | −30.3% | −6.8% | −23.3% | −31.6% | −3.8% | −54.1% | −47.9% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −6.3% | −49.4% | −52.1% | −34.6% | −4.9% | −19.8% | — | — | — | — |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −7.4% | −41.4% | −62.2% | −34.8% | −5.2% | −59.9% | −59.5% | −5.0% | −92.2% | — |
How closely does CARR move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares CARR with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 5 years.
- 19 of the 23 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than CARR's 0.63, led by FIX, EME and VRT.
- FIX took just 14% of the S&P 500's losses, against 128% for CARR, while still keeping 232% of its gains.
- Over the past 5 years, CARR captured 80% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 128% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.29. Its share of the market's losses was larger than its share of the gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 5 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than CARR's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR This pageCarrier Global Corporation | 80% | 128% | 0.63 | 1.29 |
| FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 232% | 14% | 16.61 | 1.64 |
| EME EMCOR Group, Inc. | 152% | 35% | 4.28 | 1.12 |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | 205% | 75% | 2.73 | 2.03 |
| MOD Modine Manufacturing Company | 246% | 93% | 2.64 | 1.72 |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | 153% | 66% | 2.33 | 1.35 |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | 99% | 52% | 1.91 | 1.15 |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | 147% | 119% | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | 111% | 91% | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | 99% | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | 79% | 75% | 1.04 | 0.83 |
| AAON AAON, Inc. | 111% | 116% | 0.96 | 1.40 |
| FERG Ferguson plc | 97% | 104% | 0.94 | 1.14 |
| AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. | 109% | 123% | 0.89 | 1.16 |
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | 60% | 75% | 0.80 | 1.06 |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 81% | 104% | 0.78 | 0.96 |
| OC Owens Corning | 108% | 143% | 0.76 | 1.32 |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | 68% | 92% | 0.74 | 1.15 |
| DOV Dover Corporation | 82% | 117% | 0.70 | 1.13 |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 107% | 155% | 0.69 | 1.29 |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 127% | 211% | 0.60 | 1.44 |
| AOS A. O. Smith Corporation | 76% | 134% | 0.57 | 1.11 |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | 83% | 181% | 0.46 | 1.31 |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 73% | 204% | 0.36 | 1.30 |
What diversifies CARR?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with CARR's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing CARR with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in CARR into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+2.6% for CARR alone, +6.6% for the mix).
- MCK made money in two of the two calendar years in which CARR lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and HDV have moved largely independently of CARR over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.48 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which CARR lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% CARR and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2022 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +11.6% | 0.23 | −21.8% | −22.7% | 31.7% | +2.6% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.41 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | +3.8% | 26.2% | +6.0% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.36 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +6.0% | 26.4% | +7.8% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.48 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | +7.1% | 26.8% | +5.1% |
| FTLS Broad MarketFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF | 0.48 | +62.9% | 0.99 | +9.1% | −5.6% | 26.2% | +4.9% |
| MLPX EnergyGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF | 0.43 | +135% | 0.97 | +4.9% | +21.5% | 27.2% | +6.6% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.04 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | −0.8% | 25.7% | +6.6% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.20 | +177% | 0.93 | +7.9% | +64.4% | 26.9% | +7.5% |
| EUFN InternationaliShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF | 0.47 | +133% | 0.89 | +65.8% | −8.8% | 27.5% | +6.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2022 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +11.6% | 0.23 | −21.8% | −22.7% | 31.7% | +2.6% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.28 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +54.1% | 27.3% | +9.9% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.34 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +1.3% | 31.3% | +21.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.05 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +51.8% | 26.1% | +9.7% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.17 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +86.6% | 27.2% | +12.0% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.48 | +594% | 1.36 | +87.9% | +24.2% | 29.3% | +11.6% |
Common questions
What was CARR's worst drawdown?
CARR's deepest decline since it began trading in 2020 was 40.8%, from August 2021 to October 2022. It took nine months from the low to climb back to its old high. Because CARR launched in March 2020, that record does not include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs.
What were CARR's best and worst years?
Over five full calendar years, CARR's best year was 2021, when it returned 45.3%. Its worst was 2022, with a return of -22.7%.
Is there a better investment than CARR?
Among CARR's popular alternatives, TT, JCI and ITW earned more than CARR with less volatility over the past 5 years. TT returned 22.7% a year at 27.7% volatility, against 2.2% a year at 32.3%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TJX (specialty retail) and PH (industrial machinery) earned more than CARR with less volatility over the past 5 years. TJX returned 19.9% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 2.2% a year at 32.3%.
Is CARR more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. CARR's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.3%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CARR's return lands within 32.3% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is CARR's Sharpe ratio?
CARR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.23, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CARR earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is CARR with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, CARR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.64 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CARR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CARR holding.
What are the best alternatives to CARR?
Of the 23 popular alternatives we compared, ten outperformed CARR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 2 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: TT, ITW and MAS.
Did CARR outperform the S&P 500?
CARR finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of five full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -21.8%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did CARR do in stock market crashes?
CARR fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in none of the two major crashes it has traded through, and further in two. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when CARR fell 35.8% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
What diversifies CARR?
These had a low correlation with CARR over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.41), DXJ (correlation 0.36) and HDV (correlation 0.48); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.28), CLS (correlation 0.34) and MCK (correlation 0.05). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than CARR's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of CARR's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 2 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to CARR
TTTrane Technologies
ITWIllinois Tool Works
JCIJohnson Controls International
FIXComfort Systems USA
VRTVertiv
FERGFerguson