Relative Intelligence · Semiconductors

How Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on TSM alone. It places TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where TSM stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: TSM's full trading record, from October 1997 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowTSM has outpaced the market, rising 16.6% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its semiconductor peers split over the past 6 months: MU (Micron Technology) rose 99.9%, while AVGO (Broadcom) fell 16.0%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?TSM held up far better than its industry: it rose 5.9% over the past 3 months while the semiconductors ETF SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) fell 2.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its semiconductor peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: MRVL (Marvell Technology) rose 23.4%, while AVGO (Broadcom) fell 11.4%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, TSM rose 44.3% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (382% against 89.3%). The last two calendar years both went the same way: TSM rose 55.7% in 2025, against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termTSM turned $10,000 into $161,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. TSM's 10-year return of 1,505% puts it ahead of 97% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, TSM has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. The 2022 bear market took 54.3% off TSM, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than AVGO (Broadcom, 34.3%) but less than NVDA (NVIDIA, 60.7%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationTSM is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.58 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.58 with the total US market, more closely than 87% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Over 10 years, TSM's beta versus the S&P 500 was 1.15: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.4 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 75% as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- DELL (Dell Technologies, computer hardware) and STX (Seagate Technology, computer hardware) were ahead of TSM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (54.4% and 48.7% volatility against 38.5%).
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 29 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TSM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them LLY (Eli Lilly and Company), HSBC and GE (GE Aerospace).
How much would $10,000 in TSM have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in TSM over the past 28 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of TSM over the same span and TSM's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in TSM at the end of September 1998 would have grown to $2,315,706 by September 2026, more than the $121,630 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of TSM, and AAPL finished highest, at $11,681,338.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1998 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 17 of the 1,106 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TSM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$12M+116,713% total · +28.7% a year
- LRCX$12M+115,321% total · +28.6% a year
- APH$4M+37,029% total · +23.5% a year
- ASML$3M+30,869% total · +22.7% a year
- KLAC$3M+30,075% total · +22.6% a year
- TSM$2M+23,057% total · +21.5% a year
- ADI$814,605+8,046% total · +17.0% a year
- MU$717,611+7,076% total · +16.5% a year
- AMD$659,204+6,492% total · +16.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$121,630+1,116% total · +9.3% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 167 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TSM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MU$153,675+1,437% total · +72.7% a year
- DELL$112,363+1,024% total · +62.2% a year
- NVDA$110,811+1,008% total · +61.8% a year
- AVGO$79,117+691% total · +51.2% a year
- ASX$70,798+608% total · +47.9% a year
- KLAC$61,203+512% total · +43.7% a year
- LRCX$60,701+507% total · +43.4% a year
- AMD$59,452+495% total · +42.8% a year
- TSM$43,622+336% total · +34.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
TSM at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- TSM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1997 was 84.6%, from February 2000 to October 2002. It took about ten years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 28 full calendar years, TSM's best was 1999, when it returned 290%, and its worst was 2002, when it lost 54.8%. It lost money in seven of those years.
- TSM is 12.5% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $2.2T
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Price history from
- October 1997
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +44.3%total return
- Past 3 years
- +382%+68.9% a year
- Past 5 years
- +293%+31.5% a year
- Past 10 years
- +1,505%+32.0% a year
- Best calendar year
- +290%1999
- Worst calendar year
- −54.8%2002
- Losing years
- 7 of 28full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 38.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.91return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −84.6%Feb 2000 to Oct 2002
- From its all-time high
- −12.5%below the peak
TSM against the whole market
Where TSM ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does TSM rank among all stocks?
This section ranks TSM on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how TSM stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- TSM's 10-year return ranks in the top 3% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | TSM | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +44.3% | 643 of 3,287 | top 20% |
| 3-year return | +382% | 164 of 3,017 | top 5% |
| 5-year return | +293% | 178 of 2,893 | top 6% |
| 10-year return | +1,505% | 61 of 2,202 | top 3% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 38.5% | 1,367 of 2,893 | top 47% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.91 | 160 of 2,893 | top 6% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −56.6% | 745 of 2,187 | top 34% |
What has beaten TSM on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). TSM sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than TSM with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 29 stocks worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than TSM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half TSM's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 36% less than TSM's 38.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.91 for TSM. MPC earned the most, 51.2% a year, while still swinging less than TSM (33.4% against 38.5%).
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to TSM; faint dots are 24 more of the 29 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than TSM?
Investments that beat TSM over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among TSM's popular alternatives, AVGO earned more for the risk it took than TSM over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 48.3%, against 56.6% for TSM.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, DELL (computer hardware) and STX (computer hardware) were ahead of TSM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (54.4% and 48.7% volatility against 38.5%).
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 29 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TSM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them LLY, HSBC and GE.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat TSM over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks TSM's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than TSM follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than TSM's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× TSM's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than TSM's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with TSM?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.58 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 4 shownThe investments people most often weigh against TSM. 4 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +5,243% | 0.50 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +35.7% | 57.6% | 0.82 | −65.5% | +7,583% | 0.57 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | 0.71 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +48.3% | 44.5% | 1.11 | −48.3% | +2,380% | 0.50 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 3 shownEverything else in Semiconductors and the categories next to it (Semiconductor Equipment, Computer Hardware, Communications Equipment, Software), plus TSM's specific themes. 3 of 125 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +3,701% | 0.34 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +57.4% | 48.7% | 1.18 | −57.0% | +2,698% | 0.59 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.82 | 0.35% | ||
| The whole marketbest 7 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 64 of 3,489 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.02 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.14 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | -0.04 | — | ||
CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.13 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +39.3% | 37.2% | 1.08 | −45.5% | +2,045% | 0.40 | — | ||
CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.27 | — | |
EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.36 | 0.59% | |
What these numbers mean for TSM
- Annual return
- TSM returned 31.5% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $39,300. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- TSM's volatility over the past 5 years was 38.5%, 2.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TSM's return lands within 38.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- TSM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.91, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TSM earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- TSM's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 56.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 56.6% fall takes a 131% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, TSM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.58 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TSM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TSM holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 29 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than TSM with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with TSM | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.02 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.14 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | -0.04 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.60 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.26 | — | |
| 6 | CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Whole market | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.13 | — |
| 7 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.28 | — | |
| 8 | ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | -0.10 | — |
| 9 | EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.30 | — |
| 10 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.01 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.26 | — | |
| 12 | USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +35.6% | 36.1% | 1.03 | −45.9% | +803% | 0.01 | — |
| 13 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.37 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +36.0% | 31.0% | 1.15 | −80.9% | +139% | 0.47 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.27 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +38.7% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | +542% | 0.13 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.30 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | -0.08 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | -0.17 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.13 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.02 | — | |
| 22 | MLIMueller Industries, Inc. · Metal Fabrication | Whole market | +38.9% | 33.4% | 1.16 | −53.0% | +800% | 0.23 | — |
| 23 | MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.27 | — |
| 24 | LAURLaureate Education, Inc. · Education Services | Whole market | +37.5% | 32.8% | 1.14 | −64.5% | — | -0.06 | — |
| 25 | AROCArchrock, Inc. · Oilfield Services | Whole market | +33.1% | 36.4% | 0.97 | −84.9% | +288% | 0.31 | — |
| 26 | CAAPCorporacion America Airports S.A. · Infrastructure | Whole market | +35.1% | 35.9% | 1.02 | −89.9% | — | 0.06 | — |
| 27 | EZPWEZCORP, Inc. · Financial - Credit Services | Whole market | +33.2% | 35.4% | 0.99 | −76.6% | +202% | 0.18 | — |
| 28 | NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. · Coal | Whole market | +37.4% | 33.9% | 1.11 | −78.8% | +632% | -0.13 | — |
| 29 | NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +32.5% | 36.2% | 0.96 | −46.5% | +682% | 0.27 | — |
TSM against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against TSM, compared period by period and year by year.
How do TSM's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at TSM, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than TSM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Ten of the 19 popular alternatives earned less than TSM over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, TSM returned 31.5% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (38.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than TSM with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | +68.2% | 57.1% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +58.0% | 51.9% |
| ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | +48.9% | 43.0% |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | +48.3% | 44.5% |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | +38.7% | 46.7% |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | +37.4% | 49.9% |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | +35.7% | 57.6% |
| TSM This pageTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | +31.5% | 38.5% |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | +29.5% | 65.2% |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | +25.8% | 47.4% |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | +19.9% | 43.2% |
| ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | +19.5% | 34.1% |
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. | +17.3% | 43.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| INTC Intel Corp. | +12.4% | 55.6% |
| ON ON Semiconductor Corporation | +10.7% | 55.9% |
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | +9.9% | 33.7% |
| QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | +8.2% | 42.8% |
| NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. | +5.7% | 42.3% |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated | +2.5% | 45.9% |
| STM STMicroelectronics N.V. | +2.2% | 47.7% |
Has TSM consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares TSM with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than TSM helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Three of the 20 popular alternatives, AMD, MU and ASX, outperformed TSM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- ASX, AVGO and KLAC earned more for the risk they took than TSM (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
- NVDA outperformed TSM over all three long-term periods but in only one of the five short-term ones, so TSM has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than TSM over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (this page) | — | −4.5% | +5.9% | +16.6% | +34.0% | +44.3% | +382% | +293% | +1,505% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | — | $2.2T | — |
| AMD QualifiedAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −13.1% | +6.2% | +94.5% | +139% | +122% | +425% | +359% | +7,583% | 57.6% | 0.82 | −65.5% | — | $873B | — |
| MU QualifiedMicron Technology, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −14.2% | +3.6% | +99.9% | +184% | +334% | +1,246% | +1,244% | +5,243% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | — | $1.0T | — |
| ASX QualifiedASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | 4/5 short2/3 long | −6.8% | +10.5% | +40.6% | +144% | +217% | +469% | +631% | +967% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | — | $90B | — |
| NVDA SemiconductorsNVIDIA Corporation | 1/5 short3/3 long | −4.8% | +6.6% | +7.4% | +14.9% | +18.8% | +425% | +884% | +13,019% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | — | $5.2T | — |
| LRCX SemiconductorsLam Research Corporation | 2/5 short2/3 long | −12.8% | −14.0% | +0.3% | +42.8% | +83.7% | +350% | +390% | +2,989% | 49.9% | 0.89 | −56.4% | — | $330B | — |
| KLAC SemiconductorsKLA Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | −12.1% | −22.0% | −10.2% | +27.4% | +41.0% | +258% | +413% | +2,534% | 46.7% | 0.94 | −46.3% | — | $211B | — |
| AVGO SemiconductorsBroadcom Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −7.8% | −11.4% | −16.0% | −3.3% | −3.5% | +305% | +617% | +2,380% | 44.5% | 1.11 | −48.3% | — | $1.6T | — |
| MRVL SemiconductorsMarvell Technology, Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | −6.6% | +23.4% | +62.7% | +169% | +181% | +390% | +264% | +1,874% | 65.2% | 0.72 | −61.9% | — | $211B | — |
| UMC SemiconductorsUnited Microelectronics Corporation | 3/5 short1/3 long | −22.7% | −3.1% | +58.4% | +155% | +166% | +202% | +147% | +1,610% | 43.2% | 0.63 | −54.3% | — | $49B | — |
| ASML SemiconductorsASML Holding N.V. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −4.7% | −6.1% | +10.8% | +40.8% | +57.5% | +188% | +123% | +1,628% | 43.4% | 0.59 | −56.9% | — | $630B | — |
| ADI SemiconductorsAnalog Devices, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +3.7% | +6.9% | +4.8% | +46.3% | +63.3% | +150% | +144% | +652% | 34.1% | 0.69 | −33.6% | — | $192B | — |
| TXN SemiconductorsTexas Instruments Incorporated | 4/5 short0/3 long | +2.6% | −1.7% | +20.1% | +59.1% | +58.7% | +105% | +60.5% | +424% | 33.7% | 0.45 | −33.4% | — | $254B | — |
| INTC SemiconductorsIntel Corp. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −24.7% | −5.5% | +39.6% | +133% | +141% | +167% | +79.8% | +219% | 55.6% | 0.49 | −70.8% | — | $485B | — |
| AMAT SemiconductorsApplied Materials, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −12.8% | −22.9% | +3.7% | +51.2% | +78.5% | +209% | +215% | +1,488% | 47.4% | 0.72 | −55.1% | — | $321B | — |
| STM SemiconductorsSTMicroelectronics N.V. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −11.2% | −25.8% | +3.3% | +68.2% | +52.9% | +18.8% | +11.6% | +525% | 47.7% | 0.28 | −66.6% | — | $41B | — |
| ON SemiconductorsON Semiconductor Corporation | 1/5 short0/3 long | +5.4% | −12.8% | −11.6% | +33.4% | +37.8% | −10.9% | +66.0% | +540% | 55.9% | 0.46 | −70.4% | — | $29B | — |
| QCOM SemiconductorsQUALCOMM Incorporated | 1/5 short0/3 long | −9.5% | +3.7% | +28.9% | +3.2% | +7.4% | +72.4% | +48.3% | +239% | 42.8% | 0.40 | −44.3% | — | $188B | — |
| MCHP SemiconductorsMicrochip Technology Incorporated | 1/5 short0/3 long | +1.4% | −5.2% | −4.6% | +18.6% | +16.0% | +8.5% | +13.0% | +207% | 45.9% | 0.28 | −63.8% | — | $41B | — |
| NXPI SemiconductorsNXP Semiconductors N.V. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +2.2% | −10.7% | +8.2% | +8.8% | +10.0% | +34.9% | +31.9% | +159% | 42.3% | 0.34 | −53.3% | — | $60B | — |
| GFS SemiconductorsGLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −3.0% | −17.0% | −19.7% | +28.0% | +32.7% | −13.2% | — | — | — | — | −61.5% | — | $26B | — |
How did TSM do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1998, along with where TSM ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with TSM and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- TSM finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 18 of its 28 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, TSM finished in the top quarter in eight of 28 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 9 of 21.
- Among its popular alternatives, NVDA came out ahead of TSM most often, in 17 of the 26 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of TSM; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places TSM among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of TSM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM This pageTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | — | +55.7% | +92.0% | +41.8% | −37.0% | +11.7% | +91.6% | +63.3% | −4.3% | +37.9% | +31.2% | +4.9% | +31.1% | +4.5% | +37.7% | +7.3% | +14.9% | +52.9% | −16.1% | −4.3% | +18.9% | +27.1% | −4.2% | +56.7% | −54.8% | +39.5% | −51.0% | +290% | +13.4% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 8 of 28 | 9 of 21 | 3 of 21 | 12 of 21 | 12 of 21 | 19 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 12 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 9 of 20 | 20 of 20 | 2 of 20 | 6 of 20 | 8 of 19 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 6 of 18 | 5 of 18 | 5 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 14 of 18 | 7 of 18 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 13 | 8 of 13 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 28 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 15 of 28 | +77.3% | −18.1% | +128% | −55.0% | +56.9% | +100.0% | +148% | +79.6% | −9.3% | +295% | +7.5% | −31.0% | +61.3% | −55.6% | −34.0% | −15.5% | +348% | −71.2% | −63.1% | −33.5% | +39.0% | +47.8% | +131% | −59.3% | +14.8% | −4.6% | −0.2% | +63.3% |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 11 of 28 | +240% | −1.0% | +71.9% | −45.9% | +24.2% | +39.8% | +69.5% | −22.8% | +87.6% | +54.7% | −59.5% | +60.9% | +243% | +0.8% | −21.6% | −24.1% | +301% | −63.6% | −48.0% | +4.9% | +7.8% | −8.3% | +38.2% | −68.6% | −12.7% | −8.7% | +53.8% | +94.9% |
| ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | 12 of 25 | +65.7% | +10.1% | +60.7% | −13.0% | +38.3% | +8.1% | +53.7% | −37.2% | +33.6% | −7.4% | −1.4% | +32.5% | +17.0% | +1.3% | −23.4% | +31.1% | +156% | −63.2% | −9.1% | +25.8% | +20.1% | −25.6% | +73.3% | −33.5% | +43.0% | — | — | — |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 17 of 26 | +38.9% | +171% | +239% | −50.2% | +125% | +122% | +76.4% | −30.8% | +82.5% | +228% | +67.1% | +27.4% | +33.5% | −11.0% | −10.0% | −17.6% | +131% | −76.3% | +37.9% | +102% | +55.2% | +1.6% | +102% | −82.8% | +308% | +39.6% | — | — |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 14 of 28 | +139% | −6.9% | +88.6% | −40.7% | +53.7% | +64.2% | +119% | −24.4% | +75.1% | +35.3% | +1.5% | +46.5% | +51.0% | −2.5% | −28.5% | +31.9% | +84.1% | −50.7% | −14.6% | +41.6% | +23.5% | −10.5% | +199% | −53.4% | +59.7% | −61.0% | +527% | −39.1% |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 14 of 28 | +94.5% | +9.4% | +56.0% | −11.2% | +68.1% | +47.9% | +104% | −12.4% | +36.7% | +17.0% | +2.1% | +39.4% | +39.0% | +2.1% | +28.8% | +9.9% | +69.8% | −53.5% | −2.7% | +1.9% | +6.2% | −20.3% | +65.8% | −28.7% | +46.6% | −39.3% | +157% | +11.9% |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 10 of 16 | +50.6% | +110% | +104% | −13.3% | +56.5% | +45.0% | +29.0% | +2.2% | +48.2% | +23.6% | +46.1% | +93.4% | +70.0% | +12.0% | +3.0% | +55.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | 12 of 25 | −22.8% | +83.8% | +63.7% | −57.5% | +84.6% | +80.3% | +65.7% | −23.6% | +56.9% | +60.5% | −37.8% | +2.5% | +102% | −46.7% | −25.3% | −10.6% | +211% | −52.3% | −27.1% | −31.6% | +58.1% | +87.1% | +101% | −47.2% | +63.5% | — | — | — |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | 5 of 25 | +28.7% | −19.0% | +39.0% | −40.3% | +43.1% | +232% | +55.4% | −21.9% | +42.2% | −2.7% | −13.2% | +15.2% | +5.7% | −2.8% | −26.9% | −16.8% | +98.2% | −37.7% | −28.9% | +15.3% | −2.2% | −23.6% | +52.9% | −58.0% | +33.7% | — | — | — |
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 12 of 28 | +55.8% | −7.7% | +39.9% | −30.5% | +64.1% | +66.3% | +93.2% | −9.7% | +56.5% | +27.9% | −17.1% | +16.2% | +46.9% | +19.7% | +10.4% | +13.2% | +90.9% | −41.4% | +22.3% | +22.7% | +26.1% | −20.6% | +140% | −51.0% | −24.4% | −40.5% | +273% | −9.7% |
| ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | 11 of 28 | +29.8% | +8.8% | +23.4% | −4.9% | +21.0% | +26.9% | +41.3% | −1.6% | +25.3% | +35.0% | +2.4% | +12.2% | +24.7% | +21.2% | −2.4% | +22.7% | +71.5% | −38.0% | −1.5% | −6.7% | −1.9% | −18.7% | +91.4% | −46.2% | −13.3% | +10.1% | +197% | +13.3% |
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | 13 of 28 | −4.5% | +13.1% | +6.4% | −9.9% | +17.5% | +31.7% | +39.6% | −7.2% | +46.8% | +36.7% | +5.1% | +25.1% | +46.3% | +7.9% | −8.8% | +27.0% | +72.0% | −52.8% | +17.0% | −9.8% | +30.7% | −15.9% | +96.6% | −46.2% | −40.8% | −1.8% | +126% | +90.7% |
| INTC Intel Corp. | 11 of 28 | +84.0% | −59.6% | +94.5% | −46.6% | +6.0% | −14.7% | +30.7% | +4.2% | +30.9% | +8.7% | −2.2% | +44.3% | +30.9% | −12.0% | +19.4% | +6.3% | +43.9% | −43.5% | +34.2% | −17.2% | +8.1% | −26.6% | +107% | −50.3% | +4.9% | −26.9% | +39.1% | +69.0% |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 13 of 28 | +59.6% | +1.1% | +68.0% | −37.5% | +83.6% | +43.3% | +89.9% | −34.9% | +59.8% | +75.7% | −23.5% | +43.7% | +58.6% | +10.2% | −21.9% | +3.0% | +40.4% | −42.1% | −2.6% | +3.8% | +5.4% | −23.8% | +72.3% | −35.0% | +5.0% | −39.7% | +197% | +41.7% |
| STM STMicroelectronics N.V. | 10 of 28 | +5.3% | −49.6% | +41.6% | −26.8% | +32.4% | +38.9% | +96.4% | −35.7% | +95.1% | +76.9% | −6.7% | −2.5% | +15.2% | +30.1% | −40.6% | +15.9% | +43.9% | −52.3% | −21.1% | +2.9% | −6.1% | −28.1% | +39.0% | −38.3% | −26.0% | −15.2% | +288% | +27.8% |
| ON ON Semiconductor Corporation | 9 of 25 | −14.1% | −24.5% | +33.9% | −8.2% | +108% | +34.3% | +47.7% | −21.1% | +64.1% | +30.2% | −3.3% | +22.9% | +16.9% | −8.7% | −21.9% | +12.0% | +159% | −61.7% | +17.3% | +36.9% | +21.8% | −29.9% | +373% | −33.8% | −60.6% | — | — | — |
| QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 9 of 28 | +13.8% | +8.3% | +35.1% | −38.6% | +22.3% | +77.1% | +60.8% | −7.6% | +1.1% | +35.1% | −30.6% | +2.3% | +22.4% | +14.9% | +12.3% | +9.0% | +31.1% | −7.6% | +5.5% | −11.3% | +2.5% | +58.3% | +49.1% | −28.0% | −38.5% | −53.3% | +2,621% | +6.4% |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated | 14 of 28 | +14.6% | −34.9% | +30.9% | −18.0% | +27.5% | +33.7% | +48.1% | −16.7% | +39.5% | +41.6% | +6.3% | +4.0% | +42.4% | −7.1% | +10.3% | +24.6% | +57.8% | −34.8% | −0.7% | +4.4% | +22.6% | −19.9% | +36.8% | −5.1% | +76.5% | −27.9% | +85.0% | +23.6% |
| NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. | 8 of 15 | +6.4% | −8.0% | +48.4% | −29.2% | +44.8% | +26.6% | +75.7% | −37.0% | +19.5% | +16.3% | +10.3% | +66.3% | +74.5% | +71.2% | −26.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | 1 of 4 | −18.6% | −29.2% | +12.4% | −17.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How TSM has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were TSM's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents TSM's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1997, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of TSM's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: TSM fell 53.3% from October 1997 to January 1998, while the S&P 500 slipped only 4.3%.
- The slowest recovery came after TSM fell 84.6% from February 2000 to October 2002; it did not regain that peak until January 2013, ten years later.
Green means TSM fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | TSM fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −84.6% | −43.6% | Feb 2000 | Oct 2002 | 2.7 years | Jan 2013 | 10.3 years |
| 2022 bear market | −56.6% | −19.2% | Jan 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 months | Mar 2024 | 16 months |
| No named crash | −53.3% | −4.3% | Oct 1997 | Jan 1998 | 3 months | Jan 1999 | 12 months |
| No named crash | −36.9% | −18.3% | Jan 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 months | Jun 2025 | 2 months |
| Covid crash | −26.7% | −26.6% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 months | Jul 2020 | 4 months |
How did TSM do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far TSM, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than TSM in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- TSM fell further than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when TSM fell 82.4% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than TSM.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM This pageTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | — | −3.9% | −54.3% | −23.3% | −21.4% | −9.3% | −13.2% | −15.7% | 0.0% | −48.0% | −82.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −3.9% | −60.1% | −34.3% | −48.9% | −9.9% | −40.0% | −41.5% | 0.0% | −87.6% | −93.3% |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −5.3% | −49.6% | −42.5% | −36.6% | −8.8% | −49.4% | −46.5% | −2.0% | −84.2% | −87.8% |
| ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | 2 of 9 | −4.7% | −37.4% | −36.5% | −25.1% | −8.0% | −19.3% | −26.2% | 0.0% | −75.3% | — |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 1 of 10 | −5.0% | −60.7% | −37.5% | −55.9% | −8.5% | −25.3% | −23.8% | −1.7% | −85.1% | −89.7% |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 1 of 10 | −3.3% | −55.1% | −43.7% | −22.9% | −9.5% | −20.5% | −20.1% | −2.2% | −73.3% | −87.9% |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 3 of 10 | −5.9% | −37.6% | −33.8% | −21.6% | −7.5% | −13.5% | −23.0% | −2.8% | −71.8% | −73.2% |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 4 of 8 | −2.8% | −34.3% | −46.8% | −15.2% | −4.5% | −21.6% | −26.7% | 0.0% | — | — |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | 1 of 9 | −12.0% | −56.8% | −31.6% | −26.1% | −7.5% | −37.6% | −23.1% | 0.0% | −74.3% | — |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | 4 of 9 | −2.0% | −51.0% | −17.1% | −36.2% | −4.4% | −16.6% | −24.9% | 0.0% | −63.0% | — |
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 3 of 10 | −2.9% | −48.4% | −37.9% | −24.4% | −7.5% | −22.1% | −17.7% | −2.7% | −64.1% | −90.0% |
| ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −2.6% | −22.6% | −33.6% | −18.1% | −7.2% | −22.7% | −18.6% | −1.2% | −55.0% | −82.0% |
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | 3 of 10 | −2.6% | −21.7% | −29.8% | −19.5% | −9.3% | −18.4% | −21.6% | −1.3% | −61.4% | −85.4% |
| INTC Intel Corp. | 3 of 10 | −1.0% | −54.1% | −33.5% | −13.0% | −6.7% | −19.7% | −16.2% | −0.9% | −55.2% | −82.3% |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −3.6% | −54.2% | −43.6% | −26.4% | −9.7% | −18.8% | −24.5% | −1.6% | −61.7% | −82.0% |
| STM STMicroelectronics N.V. | 2 of 10 | −3.2% | −40.6% | −49.6% | −31.0% | −9.1% | −31.6% | −36.9% | −3.2% | −77.2% | −83.5% |
| ON ON Semiconductor Corporation | 1 of 9 | −6.4% | −34.0% | −59.6% | −23.7% | −12.2% | −39.2% | −28.5% | 0.0% | −80.0% | — |
| QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 2 of 10 | −5.6% | −41.5% | −32.2% | −26.8% | −6.6% | −30.7% | −19.2% | −0.5% | −48.0% | −84.9% |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated | 3 of 10 | −3.8% | −35.3% | −49.0% | −25.9% | −14.4% | −18.6% | −12.7% | −0.4% | −55.2% | −58.7% |
| NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. | 2 of 7 | −4.2% | −38.8% | −52.0% | −27.4% | −4.0% | −35.5% | −39.8% | — | — | — |
| GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | 1 of 2 | −5.1% | −50.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does TSM move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares TSM with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, TSM captured 138% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 75% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.15. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- Only KLAC, UMC and AVGO had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than TSM's 1.84, out of 19 popular alternatives with the same record.
- UMC took just 52% of the S&P 500's losses, against 75% for TSM, while still keeping 133% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than TSM's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM This pageTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 138% | 75% | 1.84 | 1.15 |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 152% | 59% | 2.57 | 1.32 |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | 133% | 52% | 2.56 | 1.33 |
| AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 158% | 86% | 1.85 | 1.19 |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 204% | 114% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 248% | 140% | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 183% | 104% | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | 126% | 79% | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 152% | 97% | 1.58 | 1.51 |
| MRVL Marvell Technology, Inc. | 167% | 116% | 1.44 | 1.68 |
| AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 254% | 179% | 1.42 | 2.25 |
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 170% | 132% | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | 117% | 92% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| STM STMicroelectronics N.V. | 122% | 104% | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | 113% | 108% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| INTC Intel Corp. | 98% | 100% | 0.98 | 1.43 |
| ON ON Semiconductor Corporation | 161% | 185% | 0.87 | 1.95 |
| QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 115% | 139% | 0.83 | 1.51 |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated | 127% | 170% | 0.75 | 1.72 |
| NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. | 115% | 157% | 0.73 | 1.63 |
What diversifies TSM?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with TSM's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing TSM with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in TSM into XLE would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years for a small cut in its annual return (+34.3% for TSM alone, +34.1% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, GCOW and EMLP have moved largely independently of TSM over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.33 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- XLE made money in four of the seven calendar years in which TSM lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which TSM lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% TSM and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2018 | 2008 | 2007 | 2004 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +293% | 0.91 | −37.0% | −4.3% | −16.1% | −4.3% | −4.2% | −54.8% | −51.0% | 36.8% | +34.3% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.33 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 30.1% | +31.8% |
| GCOW InternationalPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF | 0.23 | +93.4% | 1.04 | +5.5% | −8.0% | — | — | — | — | — | 30.3% | +31.1% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.24 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | −8.7% | — | — | — | — | — | 30.3% | +31.5% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.14 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | −3.0% | — | — | — | — | — | 30.0% | +30.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.21 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −1.9% | +4.9% | +30.4% | — | — | — | 30.3% | +32.3% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | -0.09 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | −18.2% | −39.0% | +36.8% | +33.8% | −14.8% | +24.4% | 29.5% | +34.1% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.37 | +76.6% | 0.90 | −2.1% | −5.5% | −35.9% | −0.1% | — | — | — | 30.6% | +30.7% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.46 | +109% | 0.90 | −14.2% | −11.1% | — | — | — | — | — | 31.5% | +31.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2018 | 2008 | 2007 | 2004 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +293% | 0.91 | −37.0% | −4.3% | −16.1% | −4.3% | −4.2% | −54.8% | −51.0% | 36.8% | +34.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.14 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −24.5% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −4.7% | −8.3% | +108% | 30.6% | +36.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.48 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −16.3% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −6.4% | −65.1% | −2.3% | 36.5% | +49.6% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.37 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +0.8% | −15.2% | +2.1% | +40.0% | −9.4% | −71.1% | 33.8% | +45.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | -0.04 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | −28.4% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −1.4% | −27.2% | +61.2% | 29.7% | +36.4% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.01 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | −8.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 30.2% | +39.4% |
Common questions
What was TSM's worst drawdown?
TSM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1997 was 84.6%, from February 2000 to October 2002. It took about ten years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were TSM's best and worst years?
Over 28 full calendar years, TSM's best year was 1999, when it returned 290%. Its worst was 2002, with a return of -54.8%.
Is there a better investment than TSM?
Among TSM's popular alternatives, AVGO earned more for the risk it took than TSM over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 48.3%, against 56.6% for TSM. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, DELL (computer hardware) and STX (computer hardware) were ahead of TSM in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (54.4% and 48.7% volatility against 38.5%).
Is TSM more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. TSM's volatility over the past 5 years was 38.5%, 2.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TSM's return lands within 38.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is TSM's Sharpe ratio?
TSM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.91, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TSM earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is TSM with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, TSM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.58 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TSM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TSM holding.
What are the best alternatives to TSM?
Of the 20 popular alternatives we compared, three outperformed TSM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: AMD, MU and ASX.
Did TSM outperform the S&P 500?
TSM finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 18 of 28 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +55.7%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did TSM do in stock market crashes?
TSM fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in five. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when TSM fell 82.4% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
What diversifies TSM?
These had a low correlation with TSM over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.33), GCOW (correlation 0.23) and EMLP (correlation 0.24); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.14), CLS (correlation 0.48) and FIX (correlation 0.37). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than TSM's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of TSM's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.