Relative Intelligence · Integrated Oil & Gas

How Imperial Oil (IMO) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on IMO alone. It places IMO (Imperial Oil Limited) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where IMO stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: IMO's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIMO has outpaced the market, rising 10.5% over the past 3 months against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its integrated oil & gas peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from SHEL (Shell, up 23.5%) to YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima, up 0.7%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?Not a move of its own: the integrated oil & gas ETF XLE (State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF) rose 18.0% over the past 3 months, with XOM (Exxonmobil, up 20.7%) and CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%), against 3.9% for the S&P 500. Its integrated oil & gas peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: SHEL (Shell) rose 23.5%, while YPF (YPF Sociedad Anónima) rose 0.7%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, IMO rose 59.7% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (143% against 89.3%). By year ↓
- Long termIMO turned $10,000 into $53,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. IMO's 10-year return of 430% puts it ahead of 83% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, IMO has typically fallen 1.4 times as far as the S&P 500. The Covid crash took 67.5% off IMO, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than XOM (Exxonmobil, 47.9%) but less than PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, 71.2%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationIMO is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.29 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.30 with the total US market, less closely than 71% of stocks worth at least $300 million. IMO moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.29 over the past 5 years against 0.64 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- MPC (Marathon Petroleum) earned more than IMO over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 51.2% a year at 33.4% volatility, against 34.3% a year at 32.0%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- PBR-A (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, integrated oil & gas) earned more for the risk it took than IMO over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 71.7%, against 77.1% for IMO.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IMO with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK (McKesson) and CAH (Cardinal Health).
How much would $10,000 in IMO have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in IMO over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of IMO over the same span and IMO's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in IMO at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $350,553 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of IMO, and AAPL finished highest, at $20,534,853.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 170 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of IMO; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$21M+205,249% total · +30.1% a year
- DINO$2M+17,275% total · +19.5% a year
- EME$2M+16,257% total · +19.2% a year
- VLO$1M+10,099% total · +17.3% a year
- LLY$396,376+3,864% total · +13.5% a year
- IMO$350,553+3,406% total · +13.0% a year
- SU$282,795+2,728% total · +12.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- E$101,879+919% total · +8.3% a year
- YPF$45,576+356% total · +5.4% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 164 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of IMO; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- YPF$107,580+976% total · +60.8% a year
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- PBR-A$67,821+578% total · +46.6% a year
- PBR$64,214+542% total · +45.1% a year
- VLO$64,131+541% total · +45.0% a year
- IMO$44,071+341% total · +34.5% a year
- PSX$43,718+337% total · +34.3% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- CNQ$33,008+230% total · +27.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
IMO at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- IMO's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 85.0%, from May 2008 to March 2020. It took 25 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, IMO's best was 2021, when it returned 95.3%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 38.0%. It lost money in eight of those years.
- IMO is 1.8% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $65B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +59.7%total return
- Past 3 years
- +143%+34.4% a year
- Past 5 years
- +337%+34.3% a year
- Past 10 years
- +430%+18.1% a year
- Best calendar year
- +95.3%2021
- Worst calendar year
- −38.0%2008
- Losing years
- 8 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 32.0%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 1.09return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −85.0%May 2008 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- −1.8%below the peak
IMO against the whole market
Where IMO ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does IMO rank among all stocks?
This section ranks IMO on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how IMO stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), IMO ranks in the top 2% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | IMO | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +59.7% | 422 of 3,287 | top 13% |
| 3-year return | +143% | 643 of 3,017 | top 21% |
| 5-year return | +337% | 134 of 2,893 | top 5% |
| 10-year return | +430% | 376 of 2,202 | top 17% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 32.0% | 904 of 2,893 | top 31% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 1.09 | 53 of 2,893 | top 2% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −77.1% | 1,532 of 2,187 | bottom 31% |
What has beaten IMO on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). IMO sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than IMO with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Two stocks worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than IMO over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half IMO's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 23% less than IMO's 32.0%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 1.09 for IMO.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to IMO. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- 1 with more than 1.6× IMO's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than IMO?
Investments that beat IMO over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among IMO's popular alternatives, MPC earned more than IMO over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 51.2% a year at 33.4% volatility, against 34.3% a year at 32.0%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PBR-A (integrated oil & gas) earned more for the risk it took than IMO over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 71.7%, against 77.1% for IMO.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IMO with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK and CAH.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat IMO over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks IMO's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than IMO follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than IMO's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× IMO's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than IMO's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with IMO?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.29 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 4 shownThe investments people most often weigh against IMO. 4 of 24 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.68 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.57 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.73 | — | ||
YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima · Integrated Oil & Gas | Higher return in most periods | +60.7% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | +173% | 0.17 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 4 shownEverything else in Integrated Oil & Gas and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Oilfield Services), plus IMO's specific themes. 4 of 61 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.56 | — | ||
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.32 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.60 | — | ||
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation · Oil & Gas | Higher return in most periods | +31.8% | 38.8% | 0.91 | −77.3% | +649% | 0.57 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 79 of 3,548 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.20 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.00 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.42 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.30 | — | ||
LPGDorian LPG Ltd. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +54.6% | 43.6% | 1.22 | −62.9% | +1,821% | 0.38 | — | |
EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.28 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +27.5% | 38.9% | 0.82 | −45.8% | +1,392% | 0.01 | 0.33% | ||
EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Higher return in most periods | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.07 | 0.59% | |
What these numbers mean for IMO
- Annual return
- IMO returned 34.3% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $43,700. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- IMO's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.0%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, IMO's return lands within 32.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- IMO's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.09, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so IMO earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- IMO's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 77.1%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 77.1% fall takes a 336% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, IMO's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.29 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against IMO instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a IMO holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 2 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than IMO with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
IMO against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against IMO, compared period by period and year by year.
How do IMO's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at IMO, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 24 popular alternatives earned more than IMO over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Over the past 5 years, IMO returned 34.3% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (32.0% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than IMO with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | +60.7% | 54.1% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | +51.2% | 33.4% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | +50.3% | 37.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | +44.2% | 36.9% |
| IMO This pageImperial Oil Limited | +34.3% | 32.0% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | +33.2% | 32.9% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | +26.5% | 32.5% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | +23.0% | 25.6% |
| SHEL Shell plc | +21.0% | 24.8% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | +19.2% | 34.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | +18.0% | 25.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | +18.0% | 37.9% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | +16.0% | 28.7% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | +15.2% | 37.9% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | +14.8% | 44.8% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | +13.8% | 21.5% |
| OIH VanEck Oil Services ETF | +12.7% | 35.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | +10.8% | 21.9% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | +10.0% | 37.5% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | +9.1% | 18.9% |
Has IMO consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares IMO with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than IMO helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Three of the 24 popular alternatives, MPC, VLO and PBR, outperformed IMO in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- MPC and VLO outperformed IMO in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- PBR and VLO earned more for the risk they took than IMO (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than IMO over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited (this page) | — | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +53.8% | +59.7% | +143% | +337% | +430% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | — | $65B | — |
| MPC QualifiedMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +18.1% | +51.1% | +123% | +191% | +159% | +234% | +690% | +1,387% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | — | $133B | — |
| VLO QualifiedValero Energy Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +38.9% | +93.2% | +166% | +176% | +259% | +524% | +1,061% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | — | $125B | — |
| PBR QualifiedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 5/5 short2/3 long | +24.6% | +45.4% | +31.0% | +128% | +140% | +132% | +667% | +674% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | — | $166B | — |
| YPF Oil & Gas IntegratedYPF Sociedad Anónima | 2/5 short2/3 long | −4.5% | +0.7% | +23.9% | +39.9% | +102% | +313% | +971% | +173% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | — | $20B | — |
| PSX Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingPhillips 66 | 5/5 short1/3 long | +11.2% | +40.1% | +89.2% | +128% | +130% | +183% | +319% | +430% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | — | $117B | — |
| SU Oil & Gas IntegratedSuncor Energy Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| CNQ Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionCanadian Natural Resources Limited | 5/5 short0/3 long | +12.2% | +24.4% | +27.6% | +62.5% | +87.7% | +90.4% | +224% | +433% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | — | $112B | — |
| EQNR Oil & Gas IntegratedEquinor ASA | 5/5 short0/3 long | +7.7% | +23.4% | +29.6% | +92.7% | +107% | +73.2% | +141% | +416% | 34.4% | 0.69 | −66.8% | — | $109B | — |
| E Oil & Gas IntegratedEni S.p.A. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +10.2% | +20.3% | +14.6% | +56.0% | +77.9% | +120% | +181% | +278% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | — | $86B | — |
| OVV Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionOvintiv Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +16.8% | +22.2% | +32.8% | +76.3% | +98.3% | +52.5% | +99.6% | +56.0% | 44.8% | 0.54 | −96.8% | — | $19B | — |
| COP Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionConocoPhillips | 4/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| XOM Oil & Gas IntegratedExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| CVE Oil & Gas IntegratedCenovus Energy Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| EC Oil & Gas IntegratedEcopetrol S.A. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +5.0% | +10.3% | +35.7% | +81.5% | +112% | +116% | +129% | +401% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | — | $36B | — |
| CVX Oil & Gas IntegratedChevron Corporation | 3/5 short0/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| SHEL Oil & Gas IntegratedShell plc | 3/5 short0/3 long | +13.2% | +23.5% | +22.1% | +43.7% | +50.3% | +77.1% | +159% | +233% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | — | $301B | — |
| BP Oil & Gas IntegratedBP p.l.c. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +19.0% | +12.1% | +43.0% | +56.3% | +46.5% | +110% | +141% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | — | $130B | — |
| OXY Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 3/5 short0/3 long | +9.9% | +14.5% | +16.6% | +50.6% | +56.4% | +2.0% | +103% | +11.6% | 37.9% | 0.56 | −88.4% | — | $63B | — |
| PBA Oil & Gas MidstreamPembina Pipeline Corporation | 2/5 short0/3 long | +8.0% | −0.1% | +20.5% | +34.4% | +39.3% | +91.3% | +90.5% | +172% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | — | $29B | — |
| TTE Oil & Gas IntegratedTotalEnergies SE | 1/5 short0/3 long | +1.2% | +12.8% | +5.7% | +40.3% | +55.2% | +60.5% | +129% | +234% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | — | $201B | — |
| TRP Oil & Gas MidstreamTC Energy Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.3% | −8.8% | +3.6% | +13.8% | +24.9% | +136% | +66.7% | +160% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | — | $64B | — |
| ENB Oil & Gas MidstreamEnbridge Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −0.6% | −12.9% | −4.6% | +5.0% | +8.5% | +84.0% | +54.3% | +103% | 18.9% | 0.56 | −44.1% | — | $107B | — |
| SLB Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSlb N.V. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | +8.3% | −3.3% | +26.4% | +53.2% | −7.2% | +60.7% | −21.3% | 37.5% | 0.44 | −84.5% | — | $74B | — |
| OIH EnergyVanEck Oil Services ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.0% | +2.6% | −3.5% | +30.0% | +52.5% | +19.0% | +81.9% | −25.3% | 35.9% | 0.52 | −89.6% | 0.35% | $1.8B | — |
How did IMO do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where IMO ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with IMO and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, IMO finished in the top quarter in nine of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 3 of 25.
- IMO finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 13 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, PSX came out ahead of IMO most often, in eight of the 13 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of IMO; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places IMO among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of IMO | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMO This pageImperial Oil Limited | — | +43.8% | +10.5% | +20.6% | +38.0% | +95.3% | −25.4% | +7.2% | −17.2% | −8.8% | +8.5% | −23.5% | −1.7% | +4.0% | −2.3% | +10.9% | +6.0% | +15.8% | −38.0% | +49.9% | +11.9% | +69.7% | +36.1% | +58.5% | +6.2% | +9.3% | +25.5% | +40.3% | −21.1% | +41.9% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 9 of 29 | 3 of 25 | 7 of 25 | 8 of 25 | 16 of 25 | 3 of 25 | 6 of 25 | 16 of 25 | 17 of 25 | 22 of 25 | 22 of 25 | 13 of 25 | 8 of 25 | 18 of 25 | 20 of 24 | 9 of 23 | 16 of 22 | 15 of 21 | 12 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 14 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 10 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 5 of 17 | 5 of 15 | 3 of 15 | 12 of 15 | 5 of 15 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 16 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 8 of 14 | +19.2% | −4.0% | +30.4% | +86.6% | +61.0% | −27.4% | +6.0% | −8.2% | +34.8% | +0.7% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | +94.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 13 of 29 | +37.0% | −2.9% | +5.9% | +75.0% | +40.3% | −35.7% | +30.3% | −15.7% | +40.0% | +0.7% | +46.8% | +0.3% | +65.0% | +66.3% | −7.8% | +39.6% | −20.3% | −68.5% | +37.9% | −0.4% | +128% | +97.9% | +26.6% | −2.1% | +3.6% | +88.6% | −4.8% | −31.5% | +209% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 12 of 25 | +2.3% | −2.9% | +89.6% | +55.4% | +19.3% | −29.0% | +24.2% | +27.7% | +1.8% | +135% | −41.1% | −45.1% | −28.3% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −18.1% | +101% | −55.6% | +132% | +51.1% | +85.0% | +43.9% | +111% | −32.0% | −1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 9 of 29 | −14.9% | +147% | +87.1% | +141% | −18.7% | −59.4% | −12.9% | −41.2% | +39.5% | +5.8% | −40.3% | −19.3% | +128% | −57.4% | −24.8% | +23.2% | +5.2% | +26.5% | −5.7% | −4.0% | +27.4% | +32.8% | +246% | −31.6% | −25.3% | −16.8% | +35.4% | −15.8% | +39.3% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 8 of 13 | +17.5% | −11.6% | +33.1% | +49.6% | +8.4% | −33.9% | +34.0% | −12.3% | +20.9% | +9.0% | +17.1% | −4.7% | +48.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 17 of 29 | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% | +82.6% | −64.0% | +38.4% | +25.4% | +79.0% | +42.3% | +61.2% | −3.9% | +29.7% | +25.1% | +42.2% | −11.2% | +68.4% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 13 of 25 | +15.5% | −1.3% | +23.7% | +39.9% | +83.3% | −19.1% | +39.6% | −28.9% | +15.0% | +51.6% | −27.4% | −6.8% | +19.1% | −21.7% | −15.2% | +24.4% | +81.4% | −44.9% | +38.1% | +7.6% | +133% | +71.3% | +72.2% | +24.3% | −10.9% | — | — | — | — |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 12 of 24 | +7.7% | −16.0% | −0.8% | +42.9% | +64.6% | −13.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% | +23.4% | +38.3% | −16.6% | −22.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.7% | −0.1% | +57.8% | −43.2% | +22.8% | +22.0% | +51.4% | +45.6% | +43.8% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 13 of 29 | +49.0% | −13.6% | +27.5% | +11.0% | +44.9% | −28.1% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +15.9% | −8.8% | −23.6% | +4.8% | +26.6% | +1.0% | −7.2% | +13.4% | −29.9% | +12.9% | +20.6% | +10.8% | +39.6% | +28.8% | +32.9% | −1.5% | +20.1% | −16.4% | +21.9% | +13.9% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 10 of 24 | −0.3% | −5.2% | −10.9% | +53.3% | +138% | −34.8% | −17.6% | −56.4% | +14.2% | +132% | −62.1% | −22.0% | −5.2% | +10.8% | −34.3% | −7.8% | +697% | −28.6% | +51.8% | +3.3% | +60.1% | +47.1% | +29.4% | +22.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 10 of 29 | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% | +24.2% | +13.6% | −9.8% | +13.1% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 13 of 29 | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% | −12.6% | −13.1% | +24.3% | +39.1% | +11.8% | +28.1% | +20.7% | −8.9% | −7.5% | +10.2% | +12.7% | +22.5% | +28.3% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 6 of 16 | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 9 of 17 | +48.5% | −24.6% | +40.1% | −5.0% | +0.8% | −29.3% | +38.7% | +13.5% | +64.4% | +28.9% | −55.7% | −52.3% | −31.5% | +41.5% | +6.1% | +85.1% | +41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 13 of 29 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% | +8.1% | −18.3% | +30.5% | +33.7% | +11.5% | +25.6% | +35.4% | −23.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +7.2% | +11.1% | +22.1% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 11 of 29 | +22.2% | −0.9% | +20.2% | +36.0% | +28.4% | −37.4% | +7.7% | −7.5% | +31.0% | +28.2% | −27.1% | −1.3% | +9.0% | −0.9% | +14.8% | +17.6% | +20.9% | −34.2% | +23.5% | +19.3% | +12.8% | +14.4% | +24.5% | −7.3% | −17.1% | +2.4% | +29.8% | −9.0% | +30.7% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 9 of 29 | +24.5% | −11.9% | +6.0% | +37.0% | +36.4% | −41.3% | +5.9% | −4.6% | +20.0% | +28.8% | −12.8% | −17.6% | +22.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | −22.7% | +32.9% | −32.5% | +13.2% | +8.0% | +13.6% | +22.2% | +26.4% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | +33.8% | +17.8% | +16.5% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 14 of 29 | −14.9% | −15.9% | −4.1% | +119% | +67.7% | −56.6% | −28.3% | −13.1% | +8.5% | +9.8% | −12.7% | −8.9% | +27.8% | −16.1% | −2.6% | +22.7% | +38.4% | −20.7% | +60.2% | +24.2% | +39.2% | +41.3% | +53.1% | +11.0% | +13.4% | +17.7% | +35.7% | −39.8% | +30.3% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 9 of 15 | +8.6% | +13.1% | +7.8% | +17.8% | +36.8% | −31.0% | +31.1% | −14.0% | +20.4% | +51.6% | −37.1% | +8.0% | +29.6% | +4.0% | +43.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 13 of 29 | +27.6% | −14.7% | +14.1% | +34.9% | +26.0% | −16.6% | +10.3% | −0.8% | +14.3% | +20.0% | −7.0% | −12.1% | +25.0% | +8.0% | +1.7% | −11.3% | +22.6% | −29.8% | +18.9% | +21.3% | +18.8% | +22.6% | +33.4% | +4.0% | −1.3% | +6.5% | +41.6% | −9.2% | +41.4% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 16 of 29 | +24.0% | +39.9% | +6.1% | −8.8% | +21.7% | −18.7% | +57.0% | −22.2% | +12.9% | +46.1% | −29.0% | +12.3% | +1.0% | +13.2% | +20.0% | +16.2% | +34.2% | −30.6% | +21.9% | +16.2% | +32.9% | +21.2% | +55.8% | +21.9% | +14.8% | +41.4% | −36.3% | −16.2% | +35.6% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 16 of 29 | +19.5% | +26.3% | −1.1% | +6.5% | +30.9% | −13.6% | +36.0% | −15.5% | −3.7% | +32.4% | −33.3% | +21.0% | +3.7% | +19.2% | +37.0% | +26.2% | +47.3% | −17.0% | +21.4% | +13.5% | +29.5% | +24.8% | +57.5% | +3.1% | −1.3% | +48.7% | −8.9% | +7.6% | +66.2% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 12 of 29 | +3.3% | −24.5% | −0.8% | +81.1% | +39.6% | −43.8% | +17.8% | −44.7% | −18.5% | +23.5% | −16.3% | −3.6% | +32.1% | +3.0% | −17.2% | +30.0% | +56.2% | −56.5% | +57.1% | +31.1% | +46.6% | +23.8% | +32.0% | −22.2% | −30.3% | +43.9% | +34.9% | −41.6% | +63.2% |
| OIH VanEck Oil Services ETF | 7 of 24 | +6.8% | −10.5% | +3.2% | +66.2% | +21.2% | −41.2% | −3.4% | −45.0% | −19.7% | +27.8% | −24.6% | −23.5% | +25.9% | +4.3% | −17.3% | +19.5% | +62.7% | −60.7% | +36.2% | +8.8% | +52.0% | +37.9% | +8.8% | −5.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How IMO has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were IMO's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents IMO's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of IMO's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: IMO fell 85.0% from May 2008 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 115%.
- The slowest recovery came after IMO fell 41.9% from September 1990 to March 1992; it did not regain that peak until April 1996, four years later.
Green means IMO fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | IMO fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −85.0% | +115% | May 2008 | Mar 2020 | 11.8 years | Apr 2022 | 2.1 years |
| No named crash | −41.9% | — | Sep 1990 | Mar 1992 | 18 months | Apr 1996 | 4.1 years |
| No named crash | −38.1% | — | Aug 1987 | Nov 1987 | 3 months | Jan 1990 | 2.2 years |
| No named crash | −34.2% | +2.9% | Oct 1997 | Sep 1998 | 11 months | Apr 1999 | 7 months |
| 2022 bear market | −29.7% | −10.7% | Jun 2022 | Sep 2022 | 3 months | Nov 2022 | 2 months |
How did IMO do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far IMO, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- IMO fell further than the S&P 500 in seven of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when IMO fell 67.5% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, CVX held up best, falling less than IMO in eight of the ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than IMO.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMO This pageImperial Oil Limited | — | −5.1% | −29.7% | −67.5% | −27.3% | −6.9% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −60.8% | −20.8% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 1 of 7 | −3.7% | −30.2% | −72.4% | −36.7% | −6.9% | −48.2% | −39.5% | — | — | — |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 3 of 10 | −3.5% | −31.9% | −61.3% | −42.0% | −6.9% | −24.2% | −35.6% | −4.3% | −80.7% | −54.1% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 2 of 9 | −7.6% | −26.6% | −71.2% | −26.3% | −8.4% | −54.9% | −37.6% | −1.6% | −80.1% | — |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 1 of 10 | −17.8% | −45.2% | −73.5% | −27.3% | −8.9% | −48.7% | −22.0% | −1.6% | −65.2% | −75.8% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 3 of 6 | −5.6% | −32.0% | −53.3% | −33.2% | −4.7% | −21.1% | — | — | — | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 1 of 10 | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 0 of 9 | −5.8% | −32.2% | −74.4% | −32.1% | −11.7% | −38.1% | −36.9% | −0.2% | −74.8% | — |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 5 of 9 | −2.8% | −24.5% | −49.0% | −29.1% | −4.4% | −34.9% | −19.9% | −1.0% | −68.4% | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 4 of 10 | −2.5% | −33.7% | −49.7% | −23.2% | −6.9% | −30.6% | −25.1% | −1.1% | −61.8% | −22.9% |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 0 of 9 | −9.6% | −36.5% | −86.4% | −62.0% | −11.9% | −63.3% | −38.5% | −0.1% | −63.9% | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 2 of 10 | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 7 of 10 | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 1 of 8 | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | — | — |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 1 of 8 | −8.4% | −48.6% | −67.3% | −44.6% | −12.6% | −49.1% | −15.5% | −0.3% | — | — |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 8 of 10 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 7 of 10 | −3.7% | −25.0% | −57.0% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −35.9% | −19.6% | −2.6% | −53.7% | −36.2% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 8 of 10 | −4.2% | −23.9% | −55.5% | −20.9% | −5.0% | −22.9% | −23.9% | −2.5% | −53.4% | −31.1% |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 4 of 10 | −4.6% | −22.9% | −76.8% | −30.5% | −7.3% | −21.4% | −36.1% | 0.0% | −58.1% | −28.4% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 5 of 7 | −4.0% | −27.4% | −70.9% | −17.6% | −5.8% | −34.3% | −12.0% | — | — | — |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 8 of 10 | −4.5% | −24.6% | −49.3% | −22.2% | −5.4% | −21.5% | −26.0% | −2.1% | −50.8% | −25.1% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 8 of 10 | −4.0% | −30.7% | −41.6% | −15.3% | −5.2% | −18.5% | −12.8% | −0.6% | −45.4% | −13.7% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 7 of 10 | −1.5% | −23.9% | −43.4% | −13.8% | −3.2% | −34.6% | −13.2% | 0.0% | −40.9% | −21.0% |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 2 of 10 | −8.8% | −36.8% | −64.9% | −43.6% | −10.9% | −27.1% | −38.9% | −3.8% | −68.0% | −59.8% |
| OIH VanEck Oil Services ETF | 0 of 9 | −11.2% | −36.4% | −69.8% | −47.8% | −11.1% | −32.8% | −38.3% | −3.8% | −70.5% | — |
How closely does IMO move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares IMO with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- PBR took just 63% of the S&P 500's losses, against 105% for IMO, while still keeping 104% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, IMO captured 110% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 105% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.18. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
- Seven of the 24 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than IMO's 1.04, led by PBR, EQNR and MPC.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than IMO's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMO This pageImperial Oil Limited | 110% | 105% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 104% | 63% | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 79% | 52% | 1.51 | 0.62 |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 138% | 95% | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| SHEL Shell plc | 60% | 43% | 1.40 | 0.45 |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 142% | 114% | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 69% | 57% | 1.22 | 0.51 |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.70 |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 110% | 109% | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 116% | 122% | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 58% | 62% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 67% | 73% | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 127% | 139% | 0.91 | 1.13 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 79% | 92% | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 60% | 74% | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 144% | 206% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | 131% | 228% | 0.58 | 2.14 |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 80% | 155% | 0.51 | 1.24 |
| SLB Slb N.V. | 104% | 212% | 0.49 | 1.54 |
| OIH VanEck Oil Services ETF | 109% | 226% | 0.48 | 1.73 |
What diversifies IMO?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with IMO's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing IMO with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in IMO into DXJ would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years for a small cut in its annual return (+34.5% for IMO alone, +33.9% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, SMH and DBEF have moved largely independently of IMO over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.38 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- CAH made money in five of the eight calendar years in which IMO lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which IMO lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% IMO and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2012 | 2008 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +337% | 1.09 | −25.4% | −17.2% | −8.8% | −23.5% | −1.7% | −2.3% | −38.0% | −21.1% | 30.6% | +34.5% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.32 | +225% | 1.34 | +3.9% | −19.8% | +22.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +19.6% | −20.8% | — | 25.4% | +33.9% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.02 | +323% | 0.97 | +55.5% | −9.1% | +38.5% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +8.6% | −44.7% | — | 25.6% | +37.2% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.38 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +2.1% | −9.5% | +16.7% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +20.9% | — | — | 25.4% | +30.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.20 | +126% | 0.96 | +24.8% | −1.9% | +12.8% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +6.6% | +4.9% | — | 25.4% | +32.2% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.14 | +136% | 0.93 | +28.2% | −0.9% | +27.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 25.4% | +33.0% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.36 | +109% | 0.90 | −0.2% | −11.1% | +21.9% | −4.1% | +12.8% | — | — | — | 26.2% | +31.9% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.07 | +153% | 0.89 | +31.5% | −9.9% | +26.9% | −12.9% | +7.0% | +18.6% | −45.3% | — | 25.4% | +33.4% |
| EUFN InternationaliShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF | 0.33 | +133% | 0.89 | −8.5% | −23.1% | +27.0% | −4.7% | −9.7% | +35.4% | — | — | 26.1% | +32.6% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2012 | 2008 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited (this page) | 1.00 | +337% | 1.09 | −25.4% | −17.2% | −8.8% | −23.5% | −1.7% | −2.3% | −38.0% | −21.1% | 30.6% | +34.5% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.20 | +479% | 1.55 | +10.1% | −24.5% | −12.7% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +3.8% | −39.6% | +51.7% | 26.1% | +36.5% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.20 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −2.4% | −16.3% | −11.6% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +11.2% | −20.5% | — | 29.1% | +50.9% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.22 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +6.7% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +15.7% | −15.2% | −9.5% | 27.9% | +46.4% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.42 | +413% | 1.44 | +27.1% | −28.4% | +12.0% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +25.6% | −40.4% | +46.9% | 27.0% | +35.5% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.30 | +594% | 1.36 | −7.2% | −37.5% | +48.4% | −36.3% | +50.9% | +2.9% | −67.4% | +7.0% | 27.4% | +38.8% |
Common questions
What was IMO's worst drawdown?
IMO's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 85.0%, from May 2008 to March 2020. It took 25 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were IMO's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, IMO's best year was 2021, when it returned 95.3%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -38.0%.
Is there a better investment than IMO?
Among IMO's popular alternatives, MPC earned more than IMO over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 51.2% a year at 33.4% volatility, against 34.3% a year at 32.0%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PBR-A (integrated oil & gas) earned more for the risk it took than IMO over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 71.7%, against 77.1% for IMO.
Is IMO more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. IMO's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.0%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, IMO's return lands within 32.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is IMO's Sharpe ratio?
IMO's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.09, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so IMO earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is IMO with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, IMO's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.29 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against IMO instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a IMO holding.
What are the best alternatives to IMO?
Of the 24 popular alternatives we compared, three outperformed IMO in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: MPC, VLO and PBR.
Did IMO outperform the S&P 500?
IMO finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 13 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +43.8%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did IMO do in stock market crashes?
IMO fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in seven. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when IMO fell 67.5% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies IMO?
These had a low correlation with IMO over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.32), SMH (correlation 0.02) and DBEF (correlation 0.38); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.20), CLS (correlation 0.20) and FIX (correlation 0.22). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than IMO's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of IMO's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.