Relative Intelligence · Integrated Oil & Gas

How Cenovus Energy (CVE) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on CVE alone. It places CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc.) against 18 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where CVE stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: CVE's full trading record, from November 2009 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, CVE rose 34.6% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. After a 23.0% loss from May 2026 to July 2026, CVE has bounced 27.0% off the low. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?CVE's 18.0% gain over the past 3 months is part of a broader integrated oil & gas rally: the integrated oil & gas ETF XLE (State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF) rose 18.0%, with XOM (Exxonmobil, up 20.7%) and CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%). CVE rose 5.1% last month as the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 3.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsCVE has run far ahead of the market, rising 101% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termCVE turned $10,000 into $26,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: CVE rose 225% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross five sell-offs, CVE has typically fallen 2.2 times as far as the S&P 500. In the Covid crash, CVE fell 82.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500, and more than integrated oil & gas peers such as XOM (Exxonmobil, 47.9%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationCVE is a real diversifier: a correlation of 0.21 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.20 with the total US market, less closely than 85% of stocks worth at least $300 million. CVE's link to the S&P 500 has loosened: a correlation of 0.21 over the past 5 years, down from 0.67 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- SU (Suncor Energy), MPC (Marathon Petroleum) and VLO (Valero Energy) earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years. SU returned 33.1% a year at 32.5% volatility, against 26.5% a year at 39.4%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- PSX (Phillips 66, oil & gas) earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years: 33.2% a year at 32.9% volatility, against 26.5% a year at 39.4%.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 58 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them LLY (Eli Lilly and Company), CAT (Caterpillar) and HSBC.
How much would $10,000 in CVE have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in CVE over the past 16 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of CVE over the same span and CVE's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: CVE began trading on November 17, 2009, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis. It covers the most recent 16 years of CVE's record, starting at the end of September 2010.
- $10,000 invested in CVE at the end of September 2010 would have grown to $15,865 by September 2026, less than the $88,503 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Six of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of CVE, and VLO finished highest, at $409,280.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2010 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,719 of the 2,048 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CVE; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- VLO$409,280+3,993% total · +26.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$88,503+785% total · +14.6% a year
- CNQ$49,969+400% total · +10.6% a year
- IMO$44,598+346% total · +9.8% a year
- E$35,444+254% total · +8.2% a year
- SU$35,239+252% total · +8.2% a year
- PBR$23,344+133% total · +5.4% a year
- CVE$15,865+58.7% total · +2.9% a year
- YPF$15,463+54.6% total · +2.8% a year
- EC$13,955+39.5% total · +2.1% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 265 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CVE; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- YPF$107,580+976% total · +60.8% a year
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- PBR$64,214+542% total · +45.1% a year
- VLO$64,131+541% total · +45.0% a year
- IMO$44,071+341% total · +34.5% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- CVE$35,159+252% total · +28.6% a year
- CNQ$33,008+230% total · +27.0% a year
- EC$23,114+131% total · +18.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
CVE at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: CVE began trading on November 17, 2009, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis.
- CVE's deepest decline since it began trading in 2009 was 95.0%, from July 2011 to March 2020. It took about six years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 16 full calendar years, CVE's best was 2021, when it returned 105%, and its worst was 2020, when it lost 39.6%. It lost money in eight of those years.
- CVE is 2.2% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $61B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Price history from
- November 2009
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +101%total return
- Past 3 years
- +76.2%+20.8% a year
- Past 5 years
- +225%+26.5% a year
- Past 10 years
- +163%+10.2% a year
- Best calendar year
- +105%2021
- Worst calendar year
- −39.6%2020
- Losing years
- 8 of 16full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 39.4%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.80return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −95.0%Jul 2011 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- −2.2%below the peak
CVE against the whole market
Where CVE ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does CVE rank among all stocks?
This section ranks CVE on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how CVE stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- CVE's 1-year return ranks in the top 5% of the 3,287 stocks worth at least $300 million with 1 year of history.
- CVE's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the bottom 12% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | CVE | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +101% | 174 of 3,287 | top 5% |
| 3-year return | +76.2% | 1,174 of 3,017 | top 39% |
| 5-year return | +225% | 267 of 2,893 | top 9% |
| 10-year return | +163% | 1,015 of 2,202 | top 46% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 39.4% | 1,425 of 2,893 | top 49% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.80 | 288 of 2,893 | top 10% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −89.2% | 1,916 of 2,187 | bottom 13% |
What has beaten CVE on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). CVE sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than CVE with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 56 stocks and two ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than CVE over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 2% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half CVE's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 37% less than CVE's 39.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.80 for CVE. MPC earned the most, 51.2% a year, while still swinging less than CVE (33.4% against 39.4%).
- Among CVE's popular alternatives, MPC, VLO and IMO are in the region. MPC earned 51.2% a year against 26.5% a year for CVE, at 33.4% volatility, 15% less than CVE's 39.4%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to CVE; faint dots are 49 more of the 58 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than CVE?
Investments that beat CVE over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among CVE's popular alternatives, SU, MPC and VLO earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years. SU returned 33.1% a year at 32.5% volatility, against 26.5% a year at 39.4%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PSX (oil & gas) earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years: 33.2% a year at 32.9% volatility, against 26.5% a year at 39.4%.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 58 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them LLY, CAT and HSBC.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat CVE over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks CVE's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than CVE follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than CVE's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× CVE's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than CVE's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with CVE?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +26.5% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | +163% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.21 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against CVE. 15 of 18 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.84 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.68 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.74 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.78 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.48 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.77 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Integrated Oil & Gas and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Oilfield Services), plus CVE's specific themes. 20 of 66 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.74 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.47 | — | ||
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.35 | — | |
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation · Oil & Gas | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +31.8% | 38.8% | 0.91 | −77.3% | +649% | 0.62 | — | |
PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.9% | 50.6% | 0.91 | −76.4% | +504% | 0.58 | — | |
PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Similar return, lower volatility | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.55 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 859 of 3,549 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.04 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.14 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | -0.07 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | 0.02 | — | ||
DHTDHT Holdings, Inc. · Marine Shipping | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.7% | 39.0% | 1.04 | −39.7% | +1,050% | 0.23 | — | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.06 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.24 | 0.48% | |
EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.28 | 0.59% | |
What these numbers mean for CVE
- Annual return
- CVE returned 26.5% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $32,500. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- CVE's volatility over the past 5 years was 39.4%, 2.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CVE's return lands within 39.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- CVE's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.80, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CVE earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- CVE's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 89.2%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 89.2% fall takes a 829% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, CVE's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.21 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CVE instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CVE holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 58 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than CVE with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with CVE | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Same or nearby category | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.74 | — | |
| 2 | Popular alternative | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.84 | — | |
| 3 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.04 | — |
| 4 | Popular alternative | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.68 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.14 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | -0.07 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.15 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.30 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.31 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.26 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.02 | — | |
| 12 | Popular alternative | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.74 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.20 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.12 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +39.3% | 37.2% | 1.08 | −45.5% | +2,045% | 0.15 | — | |
| 16 | ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | 0.09 | — |
| 17 | EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.26 | — |
| 18 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.29 | — |
| 19 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.35 | — |
| 20 | SBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP · Water Utilities | Whole market | +39.1% | 37.1% | 1.08 | −62.0% | +293% | 0.22 | — |
| 21 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.23 | — |
| 22 | UNMUnum Group · Life Insurance | Whole market | +30.6% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | +256% | 0.26 | — |
| 23 | MLIMueller Industries, Inc. · Metal Fabrication | Whole market | +38.9% | 33.4% | 1.16 | −53.0% | +800% | 0.15 | — |
| 24 | AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. · Industrial Distribution | Whole market | +28.5% | 30.3% | 0.98 | −59.3% | +742% | 0.20 | — |
| 25 | SNEXStoneX Group Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +33.0% | 37.3% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +670% | 0.17 | — |
| 26 | Popular alternative | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.78 | — | |
| 27 | USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +35.6% | 36.1% | 1.03 | −45.9% | +803% | 0.19 | — |
| 28 | Whole market | +36.0% | 31.0% | 1.15 | −80.9% | +139% | 0.15 | — | |
| 29 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.22 | — |
| 30 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.26 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +31.7% | 33.9% | 0.99 | −73.8% | +332% | 0.24 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +38.7% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | +542% | 0.27 | — | |
| 33 | ODCOil-Dri Corporation of America · Chemicals - Specialty | Whole market | +35.9% | 36.9% | 1.02 | −48.9% | +460% | 0.09 | — |
| 34 | NBNNortheast Bank · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +28.8% | 33.3% | 0.93 | −70.2% | +1,064% | 0.18 | — |
| 35 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.17 | — | |
| 36 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.28 | 0.59% |
| 37 | Whole market | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.03 | 0.35% | |
| 38 | CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Whole market | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.36 | — |
| 39 | MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.12 | — |
| 40 | IDCCInterDigital, Inc. · Intellectual Property Licensing | Whole market | +39.0% | 36.9% | 1.08 | −64.9% | +395% | 0.13 | — |
| 41 | LAURLaureate Education, Inc. · Education Services | Whole market | +37.5% | 32.8% | 1.14 | −64.5% | — | 0.24 | — |
| 42 | NWGNatWest Group plc · Banks | Whole market | +27.7% | 34.1% | 0.89 | −67.4% | +495% | 0.13 | — |
| 43 | RLRalph Lauren Corporation · Apparel & Footwear | Whole market | +28.6% | 36.9% | 0.87 | −55.1% | +370% | 0.09 | — |
| 44 | WTWisdomTree, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +31.4% | 32.8% | 1.00 | −84.0% | +174% | 0.41 | — |
| 45 | EZPWEZCORP, Inc. · Financial - Credit Services | Whole market | +33.2% | 35.4% | 0.99 | −76.6% | +202% | 0.19 | — |
| 46 | NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. · Coal | Whole market | +37.4% | 33.9% | 1.11 | −78.8% | +632% | 0.27 | — |
| 47 | ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.7% | 31.7% | 1.03 | −56.5% | — | 0.25 | — |
| 48 | IGICInternational General Insurance Holdings Ltd. · Insurance - Diversified | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.9% | 1.03 | −50.6% | — | -0.08 | — |
| 49 | NPOEnPro Industries, Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Whole market | +28.1% | 36.0% | 0.87 | −65.8% | +481% | 0.21 | — |
| 50 | NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +32.5% | 36.2% | 0.96 | −46.5% | +682% | 0.19 | — |
| 51 | HWKNHawkins, Inc. · Chemicals - Specialty | Whole market | +29.1% | 36.5% | 0.89 | −44.8% | +627% | 0.03 | — |
| 52 | Same or nearby category | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.43 | — | |
| 53 | VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +28.1% | 35.0% | 0.89 | −45.2% | — | 0.38 | — |
| 54 | CAAPCorporacion America Airports S.A. · Infrastructure | Whole market | +35.1% | 35.9% | 1.02 | −89.9% | — | 0.08 | — |
| 55 | ARLPAlliance Resource Partners, L.P. · Coal | Whole market | +29.4% | 31.6% | 0.98 | −85.3% | +173% | 0.41 | — |
| 56 | AAMIAcadian Asset Management · Asset Management | Whole market | +29.0% | 35.6% | 0.90 | −78.1% | +652% | 0.36 | — |
| 57 | AROCArchrock, Inc. · Oilfield Services | Same or nearby category | +33.1% | 36.4% | 0.97 | −84.9% | +288% | 0.31 | — |
| 58 | PRDOPerdoceo Education Corporation · Education & Training Services | Whole market | +27.6% | 36.1% | 0.85 | −64.3% | +403% | 0.19 | — |
CVE against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against CVE, compared period by period and year by year.
How do CVE's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at CVE, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Six of the 18 popular alternatives, led by MPC, PBR and VLO, were both more rewarding and calmer than CVE over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, CVE returned 26.6% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (39.4% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than CVE with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | +60.7% | 54.1% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | +51.2% | 33.4% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | +50.3% | 37.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | +44.2% | 36.9% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | +34.3% | 32.0% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CVE This pageCenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | +26.5% | 32.5% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | +23.0% | 25.6% |
| SHEL Shell plc | +21.0% | 24.8% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | +19.2% | 34.4% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | +18.0% | 25.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | +18.0% | 37.9% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | +16.0% | 28.7% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | +13.8% | 21.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | +10.8% | 21.9% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | +9.1% | 18.9% |
Has CVE consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares CVE with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than CVE helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Four of the 18 popular alternatives, led by MPC, VLO and PBR, outperformed CVE in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- MPC, VLO and PBR outperformed CVE in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- MPC, PBR and VLO earned more for the risk they took than CVE (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than CVE over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. (this page) | — | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| MPC QualifiedMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +18.1% | +51.1% | +123% | +191% | +159% | +234% | +690% | +1,387% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | — | $133B | — |
| VLO QualifiedValero Energy Corporation | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +38.9% | +93.2% | +166% | +176% | +259% | +524% | +1,061% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | — | $125B | — |
| PBR QualifiedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +24.6% | +45.4% | +31.0% | +128% | +140% | +132% | +667% | +674% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | — | $166B | — |
| SU QualifiedSuncor Energy Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| IMO Oil & Gas IntegratedImperial Oil Limited | 1/5 short3/3 long | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +53.8% | +59.7% | +143% | +337% | +430% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | — | $65B | — |
| YPF Oil & Gas IntegratedYPF Sociedad Anónima | 0/5 short3/3 long | −4.5% | +0.7% | +23.9% | +39.9% | +102% | +313% | +971% | +173% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | — | $20B | — |
| CNQ Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionCanadian Natural Resources Limited | 2/5 short2/3 long | +12.2% | +24.4% | +27.6% | +62.5% | +87.7% | +90.4% | +224% | +433% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | — | $112B | — |
| EC Oil & Gas IntegratedEcopetrol S.A. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +5.0% | +10.3% | +35.7% | +81.5% | +112% | +116% | +129% | +401% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | — | $36B | — |
| E Oil & Gas IntegratedEni S.p.A. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +10.2% | +20.3% | +14.6% | +56.0% | +77.9% | +120% | +181% | +278% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | — | $86B | — |
| XOM Oil & Gas IntegratedExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 2/5 short2/3 long | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| PBA Oil & Gas MidstreamPembina Pipeline Corporation | 1/5 short2/3 long | +8.0% | −0.1% | +20.5% | +34.4% | +39.3% | +91.3% | +90.5% | +172% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | — | $29B | — |
| EQNR Oil & Gas IntegratedEquinor ASA | 3/5 short1/3 long | +7.7% | +23.4% | +29.6% | +92.7% | +107% | +73.2% | +141% | +416% | 34.4% | 0.69 | −66.8% | — | $109B | — |
| CVX Oil & Gas IntegratedChevron Corporation | 2/5 short1/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| SHEL Oil & Gas IntegratedShell plc | 2/5 short1/3 long | +13.2% | +23.5% | +22.1% | +43.7% | +50.3% | +77.1% | +159% | +233% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | — | $301B | — |
| TTE Oil & Gas IntegratedTotalEnergies SE | 0/5 short1/3 long | +1.2% | +12.8% | +5.7% | +40.3% | +55.2% | +60.5% | +129% | +234% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | — | $201B | — |
| TRP Oil & Gas MidstreamTC Energy Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +3.3% | −8.8% | +3.6% | +13.8% | +24.9% | +136% | +66.7% | +160% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | — | $64B | — |
| ENB Oil & Gas MidstreamEnbridge Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −0.6% | −12.9% | −4.6% | +5.0% | +8.5% | +84.0% | +54.3% | +103% | 18.9% | 0.56 | −44.1% | — | $107B | — |
| BP Oil & Gas IntegratedBP p.l.c. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +19.0% | +12.1% | +43.0% | +56.3% | +46.5% | +110% | +141% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | — | $130B | — |
How did CVE do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2010, along with where CVE ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with CVE and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: CVE began trading on November 17, 2009, so the table starts with 2010, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis.
- CVE finished ahead of the S&P 500 in five of its 16 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Among its popular alternatives, MPC came out ahead of CVE most often, in 11 of the 14 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, CVE finished in the top quarter in four of 16 years and in the bottom quarter in six. In 2025, it ranked 13 of 19.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of CVE; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places CVE among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of CVE | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE This pageCenovus Energy Inc. | — | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 4 of 16 | 13 of 19 | 14 of 19 | 18 of 19 | 5 of 19 | 1 of 19 | 16 of 19 | 2 of 19 | 16 of 19 | 19 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 15 of 19 | 17 of 19 | 17 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 10 of 18 | 3 of 17 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10 of 16 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 11 of 14 | +19.2% | −4.0% | +30.4% | +86.6% | +61.0% | −27.4% | +6.0% | −8.2% | +34.8% | +0.7% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | +94.3% | — | — |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 12 of 16 | +37.0% | −2.9% | +5.9% | +75.0% | +40.3% | −35.7% | +30.3% | −15.7% | +40.0% | +0.7% | +46.8% | +0.3% | +65.0% | +66.3% | −7.8% | +39.6% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 6 of 16 | +2.3% | −2.9% | +89.6% | +55.4% | +19.3% | −29.0% | +24.2% | +27.7% | +1.8% | +135% | −41.1% | −45.1% | −28.3% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −18.1% |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 9 of 16 | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 10 of 16 | +43.8% | +10.5% | +20.6% | +38.0% | +95.3% | −25.4% | +7.2% | −17.2% | −8.8% | +8.5% | −23.5% | −1.7% | +4.0% | −2.3% | +10.9% | +6.0% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 6 of 16 | −14.9% | +147% | +87.1% | +141% | −18.7% | −59.4% | −12.9% | −41.2% | +39.5% | +5.8% | −40.3% | −19.3% | +128% | −57.4% | −24.8% | +23.2% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 8 of 16 | +15.5% | −1.3% | +23.7% | +39.9% | +83.3% | −19.1% | +39.6% | −28.9% | +15.0% | +51.6% | −27.4% | −6.8% | +19.1% | −21.7% | −15.2% | +24.4% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 9 of 16 | +48.5% | −24.6% | +40.1% | −5.0% | +0.8% | −29.3% | +38.7% | +13.5% | +64.4% | +28.9% | −55.7% | −52.3% | −31.5% | +41.5% | +6.1% | +85.1% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 9 of 16 | +49.0% | −13.6% | +27.5% | +11.0% | +44.9% | −28.1% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +15.9% | −8.8% | −23.6% | +4.8% | +26.6% | +1.0% | −7.2% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 11 of 16 | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 9 of 15 | +8.6% | +13.1% | +7.8% | +17.8% | +36.8% | −31.0% | +31.1% | −14.0% | +20.4% | +51.6% | −37.1% | +8.0% | +29.6% | +4.0% | +43.0% | — |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 9 of 16 | +7.7% | −16.0% | −0.8% | +42.9% | +64.6% | −13.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% | +23.4% | +38.3% | −16.6% | −22.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.7% | −0.1% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 10 of 16 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 11 of 16 | +22.2% | −0.9% | +20.2% | +36.0% | +28.4% | −37.4% | +7.7% | −7.5% | +31.0% | +28.2% | −27.1% | −1.3% | +9.0% | −0.9% | +14.8% | +17.6% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 9 of 16 | +27.6% | −14.7% | +14.1% | +34.9% | +26.0% | −16.6% | +10.3% | −0.8% | +14.3% | +20.0% | −7.0% | −12.1% | +25.0% | +8.0% | +1.7% | −11.3% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 12 of 16 | +24.0% | +39.9% | +6.1% | −8.8% | +21.7% | −18.7% | +57.0% | −22.2% | +12.9% | +46.1% | −29.0% | +12.3% | +1.0% | +13.2% | +20.0% | +16.2% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 12 of 16 | +19.5% | +26.3% | −1.1% | +6.5% | +30.9% | −13.6% | +36.0% | −15.5% | −3.7% | +32.4% | −33.3% | +21.0% | +3.7% | +19.2% | +37.0% | +26.2% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 8 of 16 | +24.5% | −11.9% | +6.0% | +37.0% | +36.4% | −41.3% | +5.9% | −4.6% | +20.0% | +28.8% | −12.8% | −17.6% | +22.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | −22.7% |
Risk and diversification
How CVE has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were CVE's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents CVE's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2009, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: CVE began trading on November 17, 2009, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of CVE's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: CVE fell 95.0% from July 2011 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 112%.
- The slowest recovery came after CVE fell 95.0% from July 2011 to March 2020; it did not regain that peak until April 2026, six years later.
Green means CVE fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | CVE fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −95.0% | +112% | Jul 2011 | Mar 2020 | 8.7 years | Apr 2026 | 6.1 years |
| No named crash | −23.0% | +2.7% | May 2026 | Jul 2026 | 2 months | Aug 2026 | 1 month |
| 2010 flash crash | −18.9% | −11.0% | Apr 2010 | May 2010 | 1 month | Oct 2010 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −16.6% | +0.3% | Apr 2011 | May 2011 | 1 month | Jul 2011 | 2 months |
| No named crash | −13.0% | −5.2% | Jan 2010 | Jan 2010 | Under a month | Apr 2010 | 3 months |
How did CVE do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far CVE, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: CVE began trading on November 17, 2009, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- CVE fell further than the S&P 500 in seven of the eight crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when CVE fell 82.3% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, XOM held up best, falling less than CVE in all eight crashes they both traded through.
- CVE began trading after the 2008 financial crisis, but 15 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was XOM's 33.7%, against 55.2% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than CVE.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE This pageCenovus Energy Inc. | — | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | Not yet trading | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 7 of 8 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 5 of 7 | −3.7% | −30.2% | −72.4% | −36.7% | −6.9% | −48.2% | −39.5% | — | — | — |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 5 of 8 | −3.5% | −31.9% | −61.3% | −42.0% | −6.9% | −24.2% | −35.6% | −4.3% | −80.7% | −54.1% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 4 of 8 | −7.6% | −26.6% | −71.2% | −26.3% | −8.4% | −54.9% | −37.6% | −1.6% | −80.1% | — |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 7 of 8 | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 7 of 8 | −5.1% | −29.7% | −67.5% | −27.3% | −6.9% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −60.8% | −20.8% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 4 of 8 | −17.8% | −45.2% | −73.5% | −27.3% | −8.9% | −48.7% | −22.0% | −1.6% | −65.2% | −75.8% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 7 of 8 | −5.8% | −32.2% | −74.4% | −32.1% | −11.7% | −38.1% | −36.9% | −0.2% | −74.8% | — |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 4 of 8 | −8.4% | −48.6% | −67.3% | −44.6% | −12.6% | −49.1% | −15.5% | −0.3% | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 7 of 8 | −2.5% | −33.7% | −49.7% | −23.2% | −6.9% | −30.6% | −25.1% | −1.1% | −61.8% | −22.9% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 8 of 8 | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 7 of 7 | −4.0% | −27.4% | −70.9% | −17.6% | −5.8% | −34.3% | −12.0% | — | — | — |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 7 of 8 | −2.8% | −24.5% | −49.0% | −29.1% | −4.4% | −34.9% | −19.9% | −1.0% | −68.4% | — |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 8 of 8 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 7 of 8 | −3.7% | −25.0% | −57.0% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −35.9% | −19.6% | −2.6% | −53.7% | −36.2% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 6 of 8 | −4.5% | −24.6% | −49.3% | −22.2% | −5.4% | −21.5% | −26.0% | −2.1% | −50.8% | −25.1% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 7 of 8 | −4.0% | −30.7% | −41.6% | −15.3% | −5.2% | −18.5% | −12.8% | −0.6% | −45.4% | −13.7% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 8 of 8 | −1.5% | −23.9% | −43.4% | −13.8% | −3.2% | −34.6% | −13.2% | 0.0% | −40.9% | −21.0% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 7 of 8 | −4.2% | −23.9% | −55.5% | −20.9% | −5.0% | −22.9% | −23.9% | −2.5% | −53.4% | −31.1% |
How closely does CVE move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares CVE with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- 17 of the 18 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than CVE's 0.72, led by PBR, EQNR and MPC.
- PBR took just 63% of the S&P 500's losses, against 173% for CVE, while still keeping 104% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, CVE captured 124% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 173% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.69. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than CVE's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE This pageCenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 104% | 63% | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 79% | 52% | 1.51 | 0.62 |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 138% | 95% | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| SHEL Shell plc | 60% | 43% | 1.40 | 0.45 |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 142% | 114% | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 69% | 57% | 1.22 | 0.51 |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.70 |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 110% | 105% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 110% | 109% | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 58% | 62% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 67% | 73% | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 127% | 139% | 0.91 | 1.13 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| PBA Pembina Pipeline Corporation | 79% | 92% | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 60% | 74% | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 144% | 206% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
What diversifies CVE?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with CVE's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing CVE with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in CVE into CAH would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+28.6% for CVE alone, +32.3% for the mix).
- FIX made money in seven of the eight calendar years in which CVE lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of CVE over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.48 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which CVE lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% CVE and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2023 | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +225% | 0.80 | −5.9% | −12.3% | −39.6% | −21.6% | −38.6% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | 35.3% | +28.6% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.47 | +119% | 1.48 | +15.9% | +17.4% | −9.0% | −5.2% | +10.0% | — | — | — | 29.2% | +27.1% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.24 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +42.0% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +22.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +41.3% | 29.0% | +29.4% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.48 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +8.0% | −13.4% | −8.7% | +1.1% | −25.3% | +23.8% | +16.6% | 29.8% | +26.7% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.03 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | +73.4% | +55.5% | −9.1% | +38.5% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +33.4% | 29.3% | +32.5% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.24 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | +20.1% | +2.1% | −9.5% | +16.7% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +26.4% | 28.9% | +26.5% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.01 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | +12.7% | +24.8% | −1.9% | +12.8% | −10.7% | −2.2% | −28.3% | 28.5% | +27.9% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.09 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | +17.6% | +28.2% | −0.9% | +27.8% | — | — | — | 28.9% | +28.6% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.44 | +99.4% | 0.93 | +7.2% | +17.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.8% | +26.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2023 | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +225% | 0.80 | −5.9% | −12.3% | −39.6% | −21.6% | −38.6% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | 35.3% | +28.6% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | -0.07 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +34.1% | +10.1% | −24.5% | −12.7% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +66.0% | 28.3% | +32.3% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.22 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +160% | −2.4% | −16.3% | −11.6% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +27.6% | 32.9% | +45.7% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.21 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +79.6% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | 31.4% | +41.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.26 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +24.1% | +27.1% | −28.4% | +12.0% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +67.7% | 29.9% | +31.1% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.14 | +594% | 1.36 | +103% | +37.8% | −7.2% | −37.5% | +48.4% | −36.3% | +50.9% | +25.6% | 30.0% | +34.4% |
Common questions
What was CVE's worst drawdown?
CVE's deepest decline since it began trading in 2009 was 95.0%, from July 2011 to March 2020. It took about six years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because CVE launched in November 2009, that record does not include the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis.
What were CVE's best and worst years?
Over 16 full calendar years, CVE's best year was 2021, when it returned 105%. Its worst was 2020, with a return of -39.6%.
Is there a better investment than CVE?
Among CVE's popular alternatives, SU, MPC and VLO earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years. SU returned 33.1% a year at 32.5% volatility, against 26.5% a year at 39.4%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, PSX (oil & gas) earned more than CVE with less volatility over the past 5 years: 33.2% a year at 32.9% volatility, against 26.5% a year at 39.4%.
Is CVE more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. CVE's volatility over the past 5 years was 39.4%, 2.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CVE's return lands within 39.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is CVE's Sharpe ratio?
CVE's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.80, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CVE earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is CVE with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, CVE's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.21 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CVE instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CVE holding.
What are the best alternatives to CVE?
Of the 18 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed CVE in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: MPC, VLO and PBR.
Did CVE outperform the S&P 500?
CVE finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in five of 16 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +15.8%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did CVE do in stock market crashes?
CVE fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in one of the eight major crashes it has traded through, and further in seven. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when CVE fell 82.3% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies CVE?
These had a low correlation with CVE over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.47), DXJ (correlation 0.24) and EMLP (correlation 0.48); among large stocks, CAH (correlation -0.07), CLS (correlation 0.22) and FIX (correlation 0.21). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than CVE's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of CVE's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.