Relative Intelligence · Integrated Oil & Gas

How Suncor Energy (SU) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on SU alone. It places SU (Suncor Energy Inc.) against 18 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where SU stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: SU's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, SU rose 26.8% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Its integrated oil & gas peers were far apart over the past 3 months, from PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, up 45.4%) to CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%). Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?SU's 26.8% gain over the past 3 months is part of a broader integrated oil & gas rally: the integrated oil & gas ETF XLE (State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF) rose 18.0%, with XOM (Exxonmobil, up 20.7%) and CVX (Chevron, up 20.0%). Last month cut against the tape: SU rose 16.7% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsSU has run far ahead of the market, rising 111% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (161% against 89.3%). SU lagged its integrated oil & gas peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termSU turned $10,000 into $39,500 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. On the flip side, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: SU rose 318% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, SU has typically fallen 1.7 times as far as the S&P 500. The Covid crash took 65.3% off SU, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than XOM (Exxonmobil, 47.9%) but less than PBR (Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras, 71.2%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, SU has a correlation of 0.19 over 5 years, less closely than 88% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. SU moves far less with the S&P 500 than it used to, with a correlation of 0.19 over the past 5 years against 0.63 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- INSW (International Seaways, oil & gas) earned more for the risk it took than SU over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 57.4%, against 73.5% for SU.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SU with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK (McKesson) and CAH (Cardinal Health).
How much would $10,000 in SU have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in SU over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of SU over the same span and SU's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in SU at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $282,795 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of SU, and EME finished highest, at $1,635,708.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 214 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of SU; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- EME$2M+16,257% total · +19.2% a year
- VLO$1M+10,099% total · +17.3% a year
- LLY$396,376+3,864% total · +13.5% a year
- IMO$350,553+3,406% total · +13.0% a year
- ENB$341,848+3,318% total · +13.0% a year
- SU$282,795+2,728% total · +12.2% a year
- COP$156,444+1,464% total · +9.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- E$101,879+919% total · +8.3% a year
- YPF$45,576+356% total · +5.4% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 196 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of SU; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- YPF$107,580+976% total · +60.8% a year
- INSW$102,075+921% total · +59.1% a year
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- PBR$64,214+542% total · +45.1% a year
- VLO$64,131+541% total · +45.0% a year
- IMO$44,071+341% total · +34.5% a year
- PSX$43,718+337% total · +34.3% a year
- SU$40,398+304% total · +32.2% a year
- EC$23,114+131% total · +18.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
SU at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- SU's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 90.5%, from June 1989 to December 1991. It took 24 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- SU is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, SU's best was 2009, when it returned 82.6%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 64.0%. It lost money in eight of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $93B
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Integrated
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +111%total return
- Past 3 years
- +161%+37.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +318%+33.1% a year
- Past 10 years
- +295%+14.7% a year
- Best calendar year
- +82.6%2009
- Worst calendar year
- −64.0%2008
- Losing years
- 8 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 32.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 1.05return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −90.5%Jun 1989 to Dec 1991
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
SU against the whole market
Where SU ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does SU rank among all stocks?
This section ranks SU on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how SU stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), SU ranks in the top 2% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | SU | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +111% | 144 of 3,287 | top 4% |
| 3-year return | +161% | 540 of 3,017 | top 18% |
| 5-year return | +318% | 150 of 2,893 | top 5% |
| 10-year return | +295% | 601 of 2,202 | top 27% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 32.5% | 956 of 2,893 | top 33% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 1.05 | 72 of 2,893 | top 2% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −73.5% | 1,410 of 2,187 | bottom 37% |
What has beaten SU on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). SU sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than SU with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Two stocks worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than SU over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half SU's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 24% less than SU's 32.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 1.05 for SU.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to SU. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
Is there a better investment than SU?
Investments that beat SU over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among SU's popular alternatives, PBR, VLO and PSX were ahead of SU in most short and long periods.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, INSW (oil & gas) earned more for the risk it took than SU over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 57.4%, against 73.5% for SU.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only two of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than SU with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MCK and CAH.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat SU over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks SU's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than SU follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than SU's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× SU's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than SU's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with SU?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.19 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against SU. 3 of 18 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.49 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.65 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.68 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 4 shownEverything else in Integrated Oil & Gas and Oil & Gas and the categories next to it (Exploration & Production, Oil & Gas Midstream, Oilfield Services), plus SU's specific themes. 4 of 66 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.57 | — | ||
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.30 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.48 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.52 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 254 of 3,549 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | -0.07 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.29 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.04 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.34 | — | ||
EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.20 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | -0.18 | — | ||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.18 | 0.03% | ||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.18 | 0.03% | ||
What these numbers mean for SU
- Annual return
- SU returned 33.1% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $41,800. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- SU's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.5%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, SU's return lands within 32.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- SU's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.05, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so SU earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- SU's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 73.5%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 73.5% fall takes a 277% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, SU's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.19 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against SU instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a SU holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 2 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than SU with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
SU against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against SU, compared period by period and year by year.
How do SU's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at SU, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only IMO was both more rewarding and calmer than SU over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, SU returned 33.1% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (32.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than SU with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | +60.7% | 54.1% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | +50.3% | 37.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | +44.2% | 36.9% |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | +34.3% | 32.0% |
| PSX Phillips 66 | +33.2% | 32.9% |
| SU This pageSuncor Energy Inc. | +33.1% | 32.5% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | +27.1% | 26.5% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | +26.6% | 39.4% |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | +26.5% | 32.5% |
| E Eni S.p.A. | +23.0% | 25.6% |
| SHEL Shell plc | +21.0% | 24.8% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | +19.5% | 25.2% |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | +19.2% | 34.4% |
| COP ConocoPhillips | +18.2% | 32.6% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | +18.0% | 25.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | +18.0% | 37.9% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | +16.0% | 28.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | +10.8% | 21.9% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | +9.1% | 18.9% |
Has SU consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares SU with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than SU helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Three of the 18 popular alternatives, VLO, PBR and PSX, outperformed SU in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- VLO outperformed SU in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- VLO earned more for the risk it took than SU (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than SU over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. (this page) | — | +16.7% | +26.8% | +28.9% | +75.6% | +111% | +161% | +318% | +295% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | — | $93B | — |
| VLO QualifiedValero Energy Corporation | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +10.2% | +38.9% | +93.2% | +166% | +176% | +259% | +524% | +1,061% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | — | $125B | — |
| PBR QualifiedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 5/5 short2/3 long | +24.6% | +45.4% | +31.0% | +128% | +140% | +132% | +667% | +674% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | — | $166B | — |
| PSX QualifiedPhillips 66 | 4/5 short2/3 long | +11.2% | +40.1% | +89.2% | +128% | +130% | +183% | +319% | +430% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | — | $117B | — |
| IMO Oil & Gas IntegratedImperial Oil Limited | 0/5 short2/3 long | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +53.8% | +59.7% | +143% | +337% | +430% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | — | $65B | — |
| YPF Oil & Gas IntegratedYPF Sociedad Anónima | 0/5 short2/3 long | −4.5% | +0.7% | +23.9% | +39.9% | +102% | +313% | +971% | +173% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | — | $20B | — |
| EC Oil & Gas IntegratedEcopetrol S.A. | 2/5 short1/3 long | +5.0% | +10.3% | +35.7% | +81.5% | +112% | +116% | +129% | +401% | 37.9% | 0.63 | −73.3% | — | $36B | — |
| EQNR Oil & Gas IntegratedEquinor ASA | 1/5 short1/3 long | +7.7% | +23.4% | +29.6% | +92.7% | +107% | +73.2% | +141% | +416% | 34.4% | 0.69 | −66.8% | — | $109B | — |
| CNQ Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionCanadian Natural Resources Limited | 0/5 short1/3 long | +12.2% | +24.4% | +27.6% | +62.5% | +87.7% | +90.4% | +224% | +433% | 32.5% | 0.89 | −77.5% | — | $112B | — |
| COP Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionConocoPhillips | 0/5 short1/3 long | +14.4% | +27.0% | +27.1% | +54.3% | +72.9% | +28.5% | +131% | +379% | 32.6% | 0.68 | −70.7% | — | $175B | — |
| CVE Oil & Gas IntegratedCenovus Energy Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +5.1% | +18.0% | +34.6% | +92.4% | +101% | +76.2% | +225% | +163% | 39.4% | 0.80 | −89.2% | — | $61B | — |
| E Oil & Gas IntegratedEni S.p.A. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +10.2% | +20.3% | +14.6% | +56.0% | +77.9% | +120% | +181% | +278% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | — | $86B | — |
| CVX Oil & Gas IntegratedChevron Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +10.8% | +20.0% | +25.4% | +48.8% | +51.9% | +53.4% | +144% | +238% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | — | $446B | — |
| TTE Oil & Gas IntegratedTotalEnergies SE | 0/5 short0/3 long | +1.2% | +12.8% | +5.7% | +40.3% | +55.2% | +60.5% | +129% | +234% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | — | $201B | — |
| SHEL Oil & Gas IntegratedShell plc | 0/5 short0/3 long | +13.2% | +23.5% | +22.1% | +43.7% | +50.3% | +77.1% | +159% | +233% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | — | $301B | — |
| XOM Oil & Gas IntegratedExxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +12.4% | +20.7% | +22.0% | +47.9% | +62.4% | +76.7% | +232% | +214% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | — | $731B | — |
| TRP Oil & Gas MidstreamTC Energy Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.3% | −8.8% | +3.6% | +13.8% | +24.9% | +136% | +66.7% | +160% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | — | $64B | — |
| BP Oil & Gas IntegratedBP p.l.c. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +14.4% | +19.0% | +12.1% | +43.0% | +56.3% | +46.5% | +110% | +141% | 28.7% | 0.66 | −63.9% | — | $130B | — |
| ENB Oil & Gas MidstreamEnbridge Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −0.6% | −12.9% | −4.6% | +5.0% | +8.5% | +84.0% | +54.3% | +103% | 18.9% | 0.56 | −44.1% | — | $107B | — |
How did SU do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where SU ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with SU and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, SU finished in the top quarter in ten of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 5 of 19.
- SU finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 15 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, PSX came out ahead of SU most often, in nine of the 13 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of SU; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places SU among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of SU | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU This pageSuncor Energy Inc. | — | +29.7% | +16.2% | +6.0% | +32.3% | +55.0% | −46.6% | +22.1% | −21.3% | +15.8% | +31.2% | −16.3% | −7.0% | +8.6% | +16.2% | −23.8% | +9.9% | +82.6% | −64.0% | +38.4% | +25.4% | +79.0% | +42.3% | +61.2% | −3.9% | +29.7% | +25.1% | +42.2% | −11.2% | +68.4% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 10 of 29 | 5 of 19 | 4 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 15 of 19 | 7 of 19 | 18 of 19 | 9 of 19 | 15 of 19 | 8 of 19 | 7 of 19 | 8 of 19 | 10 of 19 | 11 of 19 | 5 of 18 | 16 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 2 of 17 | 15 of 16 | 3 of 16 | 5 of 16 | 4 of 16 | 5 of 16 | 4 of 16 | 9 of 16 | 1 of 15 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 13 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 13 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 17 of 29 | +37.0% | −2.9% | +5.9% | +75.0% | +40.3% | −35.7% | +30.3% | −15.7% | +40.0% | +0.7% | +46.8% | +0.3% | +65.0% | +66.3% | −7.8% | +39.6% | −20.3% | −68.5% | +37.9% | −0.4% | +128% | +97.9% | +26.6% | −2.1% | +3.6% | +88.6% | −4.8% | −31.5% | +209% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 13 of 25 | +2.3% | −2.9% | +89.6% | +55.4% | +19.3% | −29.0% | +24.2% | +27.7% | +1.8% | +135% | −41.1% | −45.1% | −28.3% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −18.1% | +101% | −55.6% | +132% | +51.1% | +85.0% | +43.9% | +111% | −32.0% | −1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 9 of 13 | +17.5% | −11.6% | +33.1% | +49.6% | +8.4% | −33.9% | +34.0% | −12.3% | +20.9% | +9.0% | +17.1% | −4.7% | +48.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 11 of 29 | +43.8% | +10.5% | +20.6% | +38.0% | +95.3% | −25.4% | +7.2% | −17.2% | −8.8% | +8.5% | −23.5% | −1.7% | +4.0% | −2.3% | +10.9% | +6.0% | +15.8% | −38.0% | +49.9% | +11.9% | +69.7% | +36.1% | +58.5% | +6.2% | +9.3% | +25.5% | +40.3% | −21.1% | +41.9% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 8 of 29 | −14.9% | +147% | +87.1% | +141% | −18.7% | −59.4% | −12.9% | −41.2% | +39.5% | +5.8% | −40.3% | −19.3% | +128% | −57.4% | −24.8% | +23.2% | +5.2% | +26.5% | −5.7% | −4.0% | +27.4% | +32.8% | +246% | −31.6% | −25.3% | −16.8% | +35.4% | −15.8% | +39.3% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 9 of 17 | +48.5% | −24.6% | +40.1% | −5.0% | +0.8% | −29.3% | +38.7% | +13.5% | +64.4% | +28.9% | −55.7% | −52.3% | −31.5% | +41.5% | +6.1% | +85.1% | +41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 10 of 24 | +7.7% | −16.0% | −0.8% | +42.9% | +64.6% | −13.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% | +23.4% | +38.3% | −16.6% | −22.5% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +12.7% | −0.1% | +57.8% | −43.2% | +22.8% | +22.0% | +51.4% | +45.6% | +43.8% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 14 of 25 | +15.5% | −1.3% | +23.7% | +39.9% | +83.3% | −19.1% | +39.6% | −28.9% | +15.0% | +51.6% | −27.4% | −6.8% | +19.1% | −21.7% | −15.2% | +24.4% | +81.4% | −44.9% | +38.1% | +7.6% | +133% | +71.3% | +72.2% | +24.3% | −10.9% | — | — | — | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 11 of 29 | −2.3% | −12.2% | +2.0% | +72.2% | +87.1% | −36.0% | +6.6% | +15.6% | +11.9% | +10.1% | −29.0% | +1.5% | +27.1% | +8.0% | +11.0% | +38.6% | +2.8% | −39.9% | +25.4% | +26.5% | +36.9% | +35.6% | +39.8% | −17.5% | +8.6% | +24.2% | +13.6% | −9.8% | +13.1% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 6 of 16 | +15.8% | −5.9% | −12.3% | +61.1% | +105% | −39.6% | +47.2% | −21.6% | −38.6% | +21.1% | −36.1% | −25.3% | −11.9% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 10 of 29 | +49.0% | −13.6% | +27.5% | +11.0% | +44.9% | −28.1% | +4.8% | +0.6% | +9.2% | +15.9% | −8.8% | −23.6% | +4.8% | +26.6% | +1.0% | −7.2% | +13.4% | −29.9% | +12.9% | +20.6% | +10.8% | +39.6% | +28.8% | +32.9% | −1.5% | +20.1% | −16.4% | +21.9% | +13.9% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 10 of 29 | +10.1% | +1.3% | −13.6% | +58.5% | +46.2% | −25.9% | +15.3% | −9.7% | +10.6% | +36.7% | −16.2% | −7.0% | +19.3% | +5.1% | +20.3% | +22.9% | +8.1% | −18.3% | +30.5% | +33.7% | +11.5% | +25.6% | +35.4% | −23.2% | +9.4% | +0.6% | +7.2% | +11.1% | +22.1% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 10 of 29 | +27.6% | −14.7% | +14.1% | +34.9% | +26.0% | −16.6% | +10.3% | −0.8% | +14.3% | +20.0% | −7.0% | −12.1% | +25.0% | +8.0% | +1.7% | −11.3% | +22.6% | −29.8% | +18.9% | +21.3% | +18.8% | +22.6% | +33.4% | +4.0% | −1.3% | +6.5% | +41.6% | −9.2% | +41.4% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 10 of 29 | +22.2% | −0.9% | +20.2% | +36.0% | +28.4% | −37.4% | +7.7% | −7.5% | +31.0% | +28.2% | −27.1% | −1.3% | +9.0% | −0.9% | +14.8% | +17.6% | +20.9% | −34.2% | +23.5% | +19.3% | +12.8% | +14.4% | +24.5% | −7.3% | −17.1% | +2.4% | +29.8% | −9.0% | +30.7% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 11 of 29 | +16.0% | +11.3% | −6.3% | +87.4% | +57.6% | −36.2% | +7.2% | −15.1% | −3.8% | +19.9% | −12.8% | −6.0% | +20.1% | +4.7% | +18.7% | +10.1% | −12.6% | −13.1% | +24.3% | +39.1% | +11.8% | +28.1% | +20.7% | −8.9% | −7.5% | +10.2% | +12.7% | +22.5% | +28.3% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 10 of 29 | +24.0% | +39.9% | +6.1% | −8.8% | +21.7% | −18.7% | +57.0% | −22.2% | +12.9% | +46.1% | −29.0% | +12.3% | +1.0% | +13.2% | +20.0% | +16.2% | +34.2% | −30.6% | +21.9% | +16.2% | +32.9% | +21.2% | +55.8% | +21.9% | +14.8% | +41.4% | −36.3% | −16.2% | +35.6% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 9 of 29 | +24.5% | −11.9% | +6.0% | +37.0% | +36.4% | −41.3% | +5.9% | −4.6% | +20.0% | +28.8% | −12.8% | −17.6% | +22.8% | +2.0% | +0.5% | −22.7% | +32.9% | −32.5% | +13.2% | +8.0% | +13.6% | +22.2% | +26.4% | −9.5% | −0.1% | −17.1% | +33.8% | +17.8% | +16.5% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 13 of 29 | +19.5% | +26.3% | −1.1% | +6.5% | +30.9% | −13.6% | +36.0% | −15.5% | −3.7% | +32.4% | −33.3% | +21.0% | +3.7% | +19.2% | +37.0% | +26.2% | +47.3% | −17.0% | +21.4% | +13.5% | +29.5% | +24.8% | +57.5% | +3.1% | −1.3% | +48.7% | −8.9% | +7.6% | +66.2% |
Risk and diversification
How SU has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were SU's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents SU's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of SU's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: SU fell 81.0% from May 2008 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 115%.
- The slowest recovery came after SU fell 81.0% from May 2008 to March 2020; it did not regain that peak until November 2025, six years later.
Green means SU fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | SU fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No named crash | −90.5% | — | Jun 1989 | Dec 1991 | 2.5 years | Dec 1993 | 2 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −81.0% | +115% | May 2008 | Mar 2020 | 11.8 years | Nov 2025 | 5.7 years |
| No named crash | −71.2% | — | Nov 1986 | Dec 1987 | 13 months | May 1989 | 17 months |
| No named crash | −31.0% | +32.1% | Oct 1997 | Jan 1999 | 15 months | Apr 1999 | 3 months |
| No named crash | −26.0% | +2.4% | May 2006 | Oct 2006 | 5 months | Jun 2007 | 8 months |
How did SU do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far SU, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- SU fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when SU fell 65.3% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, PSX held up best, falling less than SU in all six crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than SU.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU This pageSuncor Energy Inc. | — | −6.4% | −36.6% | −65.3% | −34.0% | −7.0% | −34.7% | −42.2% | −0.2% | −79.9% | −25.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 5 of 10 | −3.5% | −31.9% | −61.3% | −42.0% | −6.9% | −24.2% | −35.6% | −4.3% | −80.7% | −54.1% |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 3 of 9 | −7.6% | −26.6% | −71.2% | −26.3% | −8.4% | −54.9% | −37.6% | −1.6% | −80.1% | — |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 6 of 6 | −5.6% | −32.0% | −53.3% | −33.2% | −4.7% | −21.1% | — | — | — | — |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 7 of 10 | −5.1% | −29.7% | −67.5% | −27.3% | −6.9% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −60.8% | −20.8% |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 3 of 10 | −17.8% | −45.2% | −73.5% | −27.3% | −8.9% | −48.7% | −22.0% | −1.6% | −65.2% | −75.8% |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 1 of 8 | −8.4% | −48.6% | −67.3% | −44.6% | −12.6% | −49.1% | −15.5% | −0.3% | — | — |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 7 of 9 | −2.8% | −24.5% | −49.0% | −29.1% | −4.4% | −34.9% | −19.9% | −1.0% | −68.4% | — |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 5 of 9 | −5.8% | −32.2% | −74.4% | −32.1% | −11.7% | −38.1% | −36.9% | −0.2% | −74.8% | — |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 5 of 10 | −6.1% | −33.0% | −61.8% | −28.3% | −9.4% | −43.4% | −19.0% | −0.8% | −62.4% | −31.7% |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 1 of 8 | −7.1% | −40.4% | −82.3% | −37.9% | −16.4% | −42.5% | −26.3% | −0.9% | — | — |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 8 of 10 | −2.5% | −33.7% | −49.7% | −23.2% | −6.9% | −30.6% | −25.1% | −1.1% | −61.8% | −22.9% |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 8 of 10 | −2.6% | −24.9% | −51.0% | −19.6% | −5.3% | −18.5% | −17.2% | −0.1% | −43.8% | −29.5% |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 8 of 10 | −4.5% | −24.6% | −49.3% | −22.2% | −5.4% | −21.5% | −26.0% | −2.1% | −50.8% | −25.1% |
| SHEL Shell plc | 7 of 10 | −3.7% | −25.0% | −57.0% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −35.9% | −19.6% | −2.6% | −53.7% | −36.2% |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 7 of 10 | −3.1% | −20.5% | −47.9% | −23.6% | −10.0% | −15.0% | −19.6% | −0.3% | −33.7% | −33.6% |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 9 of 10 | −4.0% | −30.7% | −41.6% | −15.3% | −5.2% | −18.5% | −12.8% | −0.6% | −45.4% | −13.7% |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 8 of 10 | −4.2% | −23.9% | −55.5% | −20.9% | −5.0% | −22.9% | −23.9% | −2.5% | −53.4% | −31.1% |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 8 of 10 | −1.5% | −23.9% | −43.4% | −13.8% | −3.2% | −34.6% | −13.2% | 0.0% | −40.9% | −21.0% |
How closely does SU move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares SU with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Nine of the 18 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than SU's 1.00, led by PBR, EQNR and SHEL.
- EQNR took just 52% of the S&P 500's losses, against 90% for SU, while still keeping 79% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, SU captured 90% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 90% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.96. It took about the same share of the market's gains as of its losses.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than SU's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU This pageSuncor Energy Inc. | 90% | 90% | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 104% | 63% | 1.66 | 0.99 |
| EQNR Equinor ASA | 79% | 52% | 1.51 | 0.62 |
| SHEL Shell plc | 60% | 43% | 1.40 | 0.45 |
| VLO Valero Energy Corporation | 142% | 114% | 1.24 | 1.31 |
| TTE TotalEnergies SE | 69% | 57% | 1.22 | 0.51 |
| E Eni S.p.A. | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.70 |
| IMO Imperial Oil Limited | 110% | 105% | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| COP ConocoPhillips | 94% | 92% | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited | 110% | 109% | 1.01 | 1.13 |
| PSX Phillips 66 | 116% | 122% | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| XOM Exxonmobil Holdings Corporation | 78% | 83% | 0.94 | 0.76 |
| BP BP p.l.c. | 58% | 62% | 0.94 | 0.51 |
| TRP TC Energy Corporation | 67% | 73% | 0.92 | 0.72 |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | 127% | 139% | 0.91 | 1.13 |
| CVX Chevron Corporation | 86% | 94% | 0.91 | 0.89 |
| ENB Enbridge Inc. | 60% | 74% | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | 124% | 173% | 0.72 | 1.69 |
| YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima | 144% | 206% | 0.70 | 1.58 |
What diversifies SU?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with SU's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing SU with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in SU into SMH would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+32.2% for SU alone, +35.6% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and SMH have moved largely independently of SU over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.48 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- CAH made money in five of the eight calendar years in which SU lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which SU lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% SU and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2002 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +318% | 1.05 | −46.6% | −21.3% | −16.3% | −7.0% | −23.8% | −64.0% | −3.9% | −11.2% | 30.8% | +32.2% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.48 | +119% | 1.48 | −9.0% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.6% | +29.7% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.11 | +225% | 1.34 | +3.9% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | 25.1% | +32.1% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.12 | +323% | 0.97 | +55.5% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +6.8% | −44.7% | −47.0% | — | 24.8% | +35.6% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.21 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +2.1% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | — | — | — | — | 25.2% | +29.2% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.08 | +126% | 0.96 | +24.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | −2.2% | +9.6% | +4.9% | — | — | 25.2% | +30.4% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.02 | +136% | 0.93 | +28.2% | −0.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.1% | +31.3% |
| DFIV InternationalDimensional - International Value ETF | 0.45 | +99.4% | 0.93 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26.3% | +29.4% |
| VTV Broad MarketVanguard Morningstar Value ETF | 0.41 | +76.6% | 0.90 | +2.3% | −5.5% | −1.0% | +13.2% | +1.1% | −35.9% | — | — | 25.9% | +28.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2002 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +318% | 1.05 | −46.6% | −21.3% | −16.3% | −7.0% | −23.8% | −64.0% | −3.9% | −11.2% | 30.8% | +32.2% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | -0.07 | +479% | 1.55 | +10.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −8.3% | +51.7% | 24.9% | +35.0% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.16 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −2.4% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −65.1% | — | 28.9% | +48.9% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.17 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +6.7% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | −17.0% | −15.2% | −9.4% | −9.5% | 27.6% | +44.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.29 | +413% | 1.44 | +27.1% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +11.8% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +46.9% | 26.6% | +33.8% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.16 | +594% | 1.36 | −7.2% | −37.5% | −36.3% | +50.9% | −42.9% | −67.4% | −33.1% | +7.0% | 26.7% | +37.1% |
Common questions
What was SU's worst drawdown?
SU's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 90.5%, from June 1989 to December 1991. It took 24 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were SU's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, SU's best year was 2009, when it returned 82.6%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -64.0%.
Is there a better investment than SU?
Among SU's popular alternatives, PBR, VLO and PSX were ahead of SU in most short and long periods. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, INSW (oil & gas) earned more for the risk it took than SU over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 57.4%, against 73.5% for SU.
Is SU more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. SU's volatility over the past 5 years was 32.5%, 1.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, SU's return lands within 32.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is SU's Sharpe ratio?
SU's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 1.05, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so SU earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is SU with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, SU's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.19 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against SU instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a SU holding.
What are the best alternatives to SU?
Of the 18 popular alternatives we compared, three outperformed SU in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: VLO, PBR and PSX.
Did SU outperform the S&P 500?
SU finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 15 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +29.7%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did SU do in stock market crashes?
SU fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when SU fell 65.3% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies SU?
These had a low correlation with SU over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.48), DXJ (correlation 0.11) and SMH (correlation -0.12); among large stocks, CAH (correlation -0.07), CLS (correlation 0.16) and FIX (correlation 0.17). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than SU's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of SU's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.