Relative Intelligence · Semiconductor Equipment

How ASML Holding (ASML) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on ASML alone. It places ASML (ASML Holding N.V.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where ASML stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: ASML's full trading record, from March 1995 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, ASML fell 6.1% while the S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its semiconductor equipment peers split over the past 3 months: COHU rose 2.3%, while AMAT (Applied Materials) fell 22.9%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?ASML fell 6.1% over the past 3 months, 3.9 points behind the semiconductor equipment ETF SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF), which fell 2.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its semiconductor equipment peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: COHU rose 2.3%, while AMAT (Applied Materials) fell 22.9%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsASML has run far ahead of the market, rising 57.5% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (188% against 89.3%). ASML lagged its semiconductor equipment peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termASML turned $10,000 into $173,000 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. ASML's 10-year return of 1,628% puts it ahead of 98% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, ASML has typically fallen 1.4 times as far as the S&P 500. The 2022 bear market took 48.4% off ASML, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than KLAC (KLA, 37.6%) but less than LRCX (Lam Research, 55.1%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, ASML has a correlation of 0.65 over 5 years, more closely than 96% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years: 31.5% a year at 38.5% volatility, against 17.4% a year at 43.4%.
- Whole market
- 277 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), GOOG (Alphabet) and TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing).
How much would $10,000 in ASML have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in ASML over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of ASML over the same span and ASML's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in ASML at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $984,088 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of ASML, and AAPL finished highest, at $20,534,853.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 33 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of ASML; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$21M+205,249% total · +30.1% a year
- APH$3M+29,926% total · +21.7% a year
- LRCX$2M+24,786% total · +21.0% a year
- KLAC$1M+10,976% total · +17.6% a year
- VLO$1M+10,099% total · +17.3% a year
- ASML$984,088+9,741% total · +17.1% a year
- MU$629,766+6,198% total · +15.4% a year
- TER$161,859+1,519% total · +10.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- AEHR$56,317+463% total · +6.1% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 487 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of ASML; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- MU$153,675+1,437% total · +72.7% a year
- NVDA$110,811+1,008% total · +61.8% a year
- KLAC$61,203+512% total · +43.7% a year
- LRCX$60,701+507% total · +43.4% a year
- TSM$43,622+336% total · +34.3% a year
- FORM$39,996+300% total · +31.9% a year
- NVMI$37,658+277% total · +30.4% a year
- TER$37,422+274% total · +30.2% a year
- ASML$25,473+155% total · +20.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
ASML at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- ASML's deepest decline since it began trading in 1995 was 90.0%, from March 2000 to October 2002. It took about nine years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, ASML's best was 1999, when it returned 273%, and its worst was 2002, when it lost 51.0%. It lost money in ten of those years.
- ASML is 17.9% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $630B
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Price history from
- March 1995
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +57.5%total return
- Past 3 years
- +188%+42.3% a year
- Past 5 years
- +123%+17.4% a year
- Past 10 years
- +1,628%+33.0% a year
- Best calendar year
- +273%1999
- Worst calendar year
- −51.0%2002
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 43.4%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.59return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −90.0%Mar 2000 to Oct 2002
- From its all-time high
- −17.9%below the peak
ASML against the whole market
Where ASML ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does ASML rank among all stocks?
This section ranks ASML on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how ASML stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- ASML's 10-year return ranks in the top 2% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | ASML | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +57.5% | 451 of 3,287 | top 14% |
| 3-year return | +188% | 441 of 3,017 | top 15% |
| 5-year return | +123% | 560 of 2,893 | top 19% |
| 10-year return | +1,628% | 51 of 2,202 | top 2% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 43.4% | 1,631 of 2,893 | bottom 45% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.59 | 708 of 2,893 | top 24% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −56.9% | 755 of 2,187 | top 35% |
What has beaten ASML on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). ASML sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than ASML with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 236 stocks and 41 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than ASML over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 8% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half ASML's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 43% less than ASML's 43.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.59 for ASML. INSW earned the most, 56.5% a year, while still swinging less than ASML (40.5% against 43.4%).
- Among ASML's popular alternatives, TSM is in the region. TSM earned 31.5% a year against 17.4% a year for ASML, at 38.5% volatility, 11% less than ASML's 43.4%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to ASML; faint dots are 88 more of the 277 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than ASML?
Investments that beat ASML over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among ASML's popular alternatives, TSM earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years: 31.5% a year at 38.5% volatility, against 17.4% a year at 43.4%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, SMH (semiconductors) and AAPL (computer hardware) earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years. SMH returned 33.4% a year at 36.9% volatility, against 17.4% a year at 43.4%.
- Across the whole market, 277 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, GOOG and TSM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat ASML over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks ASML's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than ASML follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than ASML's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× ASML's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than ASML's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with ASML?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +17.4% | 43.4% | 0.59 | −56.9% | +1,628% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.65 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against ASML. 6 of 21 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.72 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.7% | 46.7% | 0.94 | −46.3% | +2,534% | 0.79 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +5,243% | 0.63 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +24.0% | 54.3% | 0.67 | −59.1% | +1,565% | 0.68 | — | ||
FORMFormFactor, Inc. · Semiconductor Equipment | Higher return in most periods | +24.7% | 61.7% | 0.67 | −64.4% | +964% | 0.58 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatility | +25.8% | 47.4% | 0.72 | −55.1% | +1,488% | 0.81 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Semiconductor Equipment and Semiconductors and the categories next to it (Computer Hardware, Communications Equipment, Software), plus ASML's specific themes. 26 of 132 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.80 | 0.35% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.39 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +20.9% | 35.3% | 0.71 | −58.1% | +691% | 0.30 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | 0.69 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +16.8% | 26.1% | 0.73 | −42.0% | +374% | 0.38 | — | ||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +20.9% | 55.4% | 0.62 | −51.6% | +1,659% | 0.55 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 438 of 3,480 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.23 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.32 | — | ||
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | 0.16 | — | |
HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc. · Biotechnology | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 40.4% | 0.79 | −49.1% | +1,196% | 0.29 | — | |
EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.67 | 0.59% | |
FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.68 | 0.19% | |
JXNJackson Financial Inc. · Life Insurance | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +41.7% | 43.3% | 1.03 | −48.4% | — | 0.16 | — | |
| On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.35 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for ASML
- Annual return
- ASML returned 17.4% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $22,300. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- ASML's volatility over the past 5 years was 43.4%, 2.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, ASML's return lands within 43.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- ASML's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.59, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so ASML earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- ASML's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 56.9%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 56.9% fall takes a 132% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, ASML's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.65 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against ASML instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a ASML holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 277 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than ASML with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with ASML | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.23 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.32 | — | |
| 3 | COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | 0.16 | — |
| 4 | HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc. · Biotechnology | Whole market | +26.6% | 40.4% | 0.79 | −49.1% | +1,196% | 0.29 | — |
| 5 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.18 | — | |
| 6 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.67 | 0.59% |
| 7 | Same or nearby category | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.80 | 0.35% | |
| 8 | VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +28.1% | 35.0% | 0.89 | −45.2% | — | 0.19 | — |
| 9 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.35 | — |
| 10 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.68 | 0.19% |
| 11 | DHTDHT Holdings, Inc. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +38.7% | 39.0% | 1.04 | −39.7% | +1,050% | 0.10 | — |
| 12 | SOXQInvesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF · Technology | Whole market | +28.3% | 38.9% | 0.84 | −46.0% | — | 0.78 | 0.19% |
| 13 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.33 | — | |
| 14 | NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +32.5% | 36.2% | 0.96 | −46.5% | +682% | 0.36 | — |
| 15 | SENEASeneca Foods Corporation · Packaged Foods | Whole market | +25.2% | 36.4% | 0.81 | −51.3% | +455% | 0.09 | — |
| 16 | Whole market | +19.0% | 32.0% | 0.71 | −44.6% | +752% | 0.48 | — | |
| 17 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.06 | — |
| 18 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.29 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +38.7% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | +542% | 0.28 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.23 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.27 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.18 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.17 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +24.7% | 31.1% | 0.87 | −74.4% | +339% | 0.34 | — | |
| 25 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.49 | 0.48% |
| 26 | Whole market | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.54 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.11 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.13 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.65 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.18 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.14 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.46 | — | |
| 33 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.45 | — |
| 34 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.29 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.66 | 0.09% | |
| 36 | CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Whole market | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.34 | — |
| 37 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.30 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.11 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +39.3% | 37.2% | 1.08 | −45.5% | +2,045% | 0.37 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +22.6% | 29.1% | 0.85 | −41.6% | +521% | 0.15 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +20.4% | 32.1% | 0.74 | −44.5% | +657% | 0.47 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.34 | — | |
| 43 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.39 | — | |
| 44 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.13 | — | |
| 45 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.44 | — | |
| 46 | MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.51 | — |
| 47 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.32 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.34 | — | |
| 49 | Popular alternative | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.72 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.44 | — | |
| 51 | EXELExelixis, Inc. · Biotechnology | Whole market | +24.4% | 35.8% | 0.79 | −57.2% | +448% | 0.14 | — |
| 52 | Whole market | +19.9% | 29.0% | 0.77 | −44.0% | +444% | 0.39 | — | |
| 53 | Same or nearby category | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.39 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +27.5% | 36.9% | 0.85 | −46.7% | +510% | 0.20 | — | |
| 55 | ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | 0.01 | — |
| 56 | EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.30 | — |
| 57 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.13 | — | |
| 58 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.27 | — | |
| 59 | Whole market | +24.1% | 39.9% | 0.74 | −38.2% | — | 0.02 | — | |
| 60 | AMGAffiliated Managers Group, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +18.8% | 31.9% | 0.70 | −78.5% | +185% | 0.50 | — |
| 61 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | -0.09 | — |
| 62 | IRMIron Mountain Incorporated · Specialty REITs | Whole market | +24.6% | 30.3% | 0.88 | −39.0% | +470% | 0.38 | — |
| 63 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | -0.03 | 0.80% |
| 64 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.23 | — |
| 65 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.14 | — |
| 66 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.39 | — |
| 67 | CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated · Restaurants | Whole market | +25.8% | 39.9% | 0.78 | −75.6% | +187% | 0.28 | — |
| 68 | Same or nearby category | +20.9% | 35.3% | 0.71 | −58.1% | +691% | 0.30 | — | |
| 69 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.59 | 0.13% |
| 70 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.35 | — |
| 71 | GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF · Gold Mining | Whole market | +22.9% | 38.2% | 0.73 | −49.8% | +283% | 0.28 | 0.51% |
| 72 | CHEFThe Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. · Food Distribution | Whole market | +27.5% | 39.8% | 0.81 | −91.3% | +787% | 0.32 | — |
| 73 | HUBBHubbell Incorporated · Electrical Equipment | Whole market | +21.0% | 30.0% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +442% | 0.36 | — |
| 74 | WTWisdomTree, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +31.4% | 32.8% | 1.00 | −84.0% | +174% | 0.30 | — |
| 75 | VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +20.8% | 33.8% | 0.73 | −56.2% | +545% | 0.14 | — |
| 76 | AAMIAcadian Asset Management · Asset Management | Whole market | +29.0% | 35.6% | 0.90 | −78.1% | +652% | 0.32 | — |
| 77 | RGLDRoyal Gold, Inc. · Gold Mining | Whole market | +20.6% | 32.4% | 0.74 | −49.5% | +282% | 0.26 | — |
| 78 | APGAPi Group Corporation · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +23.0% | 31.9% | 0.81 | −49.6% | — | 0.51 | — |
| 79 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.26 | — |
| 80 | DCODucommun Incorporated · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +27.5% | 34.5% | 0.88 | −70.8% | +706% | 0.46 | — |
| 81 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | 0.11 | — |
| 82 | EZPWEZCORP, Inc. · Financial - Credit Services | Whole market | +33.2% | 35.4% | 0.99 | −76.6% | +202% | 0.32 | — |
| 83 | Whole market | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.11 | — | |
| 84 | ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. · Auto Parts | Whole market | +27.3% | 29.9% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +367% | 0.22 | — |
| 85 | MUSAMurphy USA Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +26.1% | 31.2% | 0.90 | −35.5% | +706% | 0.01 | — |
| 86 | Same or nearby category | +19.5% | 34.1% | 0.69 | −33.6% | +652% | 0.56 | — | |
| 87 | NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +23.5% | 39.5% | 0.73 | −87.9% | +412% | 0.26 | — |
| 88 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.16 | — |
| 89 | BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +19.6% | 34.1% | 0.70 | −47.7% | +289% | 0.33 | — |
| 90 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.34 | — |
| 91 | SNEXStoneX Group Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +33.0% | 37.3% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +670% | 0.12 | — |
| 92 | FCFSFirstCash Holdings, Inc · Consumer Finance | Whole market | +20.6% | 30.5% | 0.77 | −50.2% | +422% | 0.24 | — |
| 93 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.22 | — |
| 94 | Whole market | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.35 | — | |
| 95 | AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +24.7% | 33.4% | 0.83 | −62.9% | — | 0.28 | — |
| 96 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.21 | — |
| 97 | SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc. · Building Products | Whole market | +21.8% | 36.3% | 0.72 | −50.3% | +728% | 0.48 | — |
| 98 | FSSFederal Signal Corporation · Industrial Machinery | Whole market | +23.3% | 31.7% | 0.82 | −33.0% | +882% | 0.37 | — |
| 99 | TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +29.3% | 37.7% | 0.87 | −36.2% | — | -0.07 | — |
| 100 | ACAArcosa, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +23.1% | 34.0% | 0.78 | −36.8% | — | 0.34 | — |
ASML against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against ASML, compared period by period and year by year.
How do ASML's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at ASML, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only TSM was both more rewarding and calmer than ASML over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, ASML returned 17.3% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (43.4% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than ASML with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | +68.2% | 57.1% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +58.0% | 51.9% |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | +40.4% | 67.0% |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | +38.7% | 46.7% |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | +37.4% | 49.9% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | +31.5% | 38.5% |
| CAMT Camtek Ltd. | +27.0% | 58.0% |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | +25.8% | 47.4% |
| NVMI Nova Ltd. | +25.6% | 49.6% |
| AEHR Aehr Test Systems | +25.2% | 102% |
| FORM FormFactor, Inc. | +24.7% | 61.7% |
| ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. | +24.6% | 59.6% |
| TER Teradyne, Inc. | +24.0% | 54.3% |
| ACLS Axcelis Technologies, Inc. | +17.7% | 57.4% |
| ASML This pageASML Holding N.V. | +17.3% | 43.4% |
| VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. | +13.7% | 49.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| INTC Intel Corp. | +12.4% | 55.6% |
| COHU Cohu, Inc. | +11.0% | 51.1% |
| KLIC Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. | +10.4% | 46.5% |
| SNPS Synopsys, Inc. | +7.2% | 42.3% |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | +3.0% | 63.6% |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | +1.3% | 71.1% |
Has ASML consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares ASML with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than ASML helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Three of the 21 popular alternatives, MU, TER and FORM, outperformed ASML in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- MU outperformed ASML in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- KLAC, TSM and LRCX earned more for the risk they took than ASML (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than ASML over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. (this page) | — | −4.7% | −6.1% | +10.8% | +40.8% | +57.5% | +188% | +123% | +1,628% | 43.4% | 0.59 | −56.9% | — | $630B | — |
| MU QualifiedMicron Technology, Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −14.2% | +3.6% | +99.9% | +184% | +334% | +1,246% | +1,244% | +5,243% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | — | $1.0T | — |
| TER QualifiedTeradyne, Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | −11.8% | +0.9% | −10.2% | +62.4% | +142% | +271% | +193% | +1,565% | 54.3% | 0.67 | −59.1% | — | $53B | — |
| FORM QualifiedFormFactor, Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | −9.7% | +2.3% | −25.2% | +82.0% | +144% | +227% | +201% | +964% | 61.7% | 0.67 | −64.4% | — | $8.4B | — |
| LRCX SemiconductorsLam Research Corporation | 2/5 short3/3 long | −12.8% | −14.0% | +0.3% | +42.8% | +83.7% | +350% | +390% | +2,989% | 49.9% | 0.89 | −56.4% | — | $330B | — |
| NVDA SemiconductorsNVIDIA Corporation | 1/5 short3/3 long | −4.8% | +6.6% | +7.4% | +14.9% | +18.8% | +425% | +884% | +13,019% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | — | $5.2T | — |
| KLAC SemiconductorsKLA Corporation | 0/5 short3/3 long | −12.1% | −22.0% | −10.2% | +27.4% | +41.0% | +258% | +413% | +2,534% | 46.7% | 0.94 | −46.3% | — | $211B | — |
| NVMI SemiconductorsNova Ltd. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −11.8% | −26.1% | −39.9% | −7.9% | −5.1% | +232% | +213% | +2,512% | 49.6% | 0.71 | −52.8% | — | $10B | — |
| AEHR SemiconductorsAehr Test Systems | 2/5 short2/3 long | −36.0% | −19.9% | −31.2% | +180% | +115% | +96.2% | +207% | +1,987% | 102% | 0.72 | −87.4% | — | $2.0B | — |
| TSM SemiconductorsTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 2/5 short2/3 long | −4.5% | +5.9% | +16.6% | +34.0% | +44.3% | +382% | +293% | +1,505% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | — | $2.2T | — |
| AMAT SemiconductorsApplied Materials, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | −12.8% | −22.9% | +3.7% | +51.2% | +78.5% | +209% | +215% | +1,488% | 47.4% | 0.72 | −55.1% | — | $321B | — |
| CAMT SemiconductorsCamtek Ltd. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −14.5% | −13.0% | −30.7% | +10.7% | +4.1% | +149% | +231% | +4,551% | 58.0% | 0.70 | −63.2% | — | $6.0B | — |
| ASM Other Precious MetalsAvino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −16.0% | −6.8% | −31.7% | −12.3% | −15.9% | +981% | +446% | +153% | 67.0% | 0.84 | −88.8% | — | $882M | — |
| ONTO SemiconductorsOnto Innovation Inc. | 1/5 short1/3 long | −20.4% | −21.2% | −25.6% | +32.4% | +61.9% | +86.2% | +200% | +1,005% | 59.6% | 0.67 | −62.8% | — | $11B | — |
| COHU SemiconductorsCohu, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | −13.0% | +2.3% | +19.1% | +114% | +132% | +61.0% | +68.5% | +406% | 51.1% | 0.46 | −73.6% | — | $2.5B | — |
| INTC SemiconductorsIntel Corp. | 4/5 short0/3 long | −24.7% | −5.5% | +39.6% | +133% | +141% | +167% | +79.8% | +219% | 55.6% | 0.49 | −70.8% | — | $485B | — |
| SNPS Software - InfrastructureSynopsys, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +11.4% | +18.3% | −2.9% | −6.8% | −1.3% | −4.3% | +41.9% | +656% | 42.3% | 0.39 | −43.0% | — | $86B | — |
| KLIC SemiconductorsKulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −4.3% | −19.4% | −3.2% | +67.6% | +106% | +95.7% | +64.1% | +598% | 46.5% | 0.45 | −60.4% | — | $4.2B | — |
| UCTT SemiconductorsUltra Clean Holdings, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −29.4% | −43.8% | −35.1% | +88.8% | +76.8% | +108% | +16.2% | +574% | 63.6% | 0.37 | −79.3% | — | $2.3B | — |
| VECO SemiconductorsVeeco Instruments Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +0.8% | −12.1% | −4.6% | +45.9% | +50.9% | +77.7% | +90.3% | +110% | 49.1% | 0.51 | −81.0% | — | $2.7B | — |
| ICHR SemiconductorsIchor Holdings, Ltd. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −24.8% | −49.5% | −34.5% | +107% | +87.0% | +63.9% | +6.6% | — | 71.1% | 0.38 | −77.4% | — | $1.6B | — |
| ACLS SemiconductorsAxcelis Technologies, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −0.2% | −14.3% | −13.8% | +31.1% | +34.6% | −21.9% | +126% | +730% | 57.4% | 0.57 | −78.8% | — | $3.5B | — |
How did ASML do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where ASML ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with ASML and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, ASML finished in the top quarter in eight of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 22.
- ASML finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 18 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, NVDA came out ahead of ASML most often, in 15 of the 26 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of ASML; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places ASML among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of ASML | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML This pageASML Holding N.V. | — | +55.8% | −7.7% | +39.9% | −30.5% | +64.1% | +66.3% | +93.2% | −9.7% | +56.5% | +27.9% | −17.1% | +16.2% | +46.9% | +19.7% | +10.4% | +13.2% | +90.9% | −41.4% | +22.3% | +22.7% | +26.1% | −20.6% | +140% | −51.0% | −24.4% | −40.5% | +273% | −9.7% | +171% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 8 of 29 | 8 of 22 | 16 of 22 | 15 of 22 | 8 of 22 | 11 of 22 | 9 of 22 | 7 of 22 | 6 of 22 | 12 of 22 | 16 of 21 | 13 of 21 | 9 of 21 | 8 of 21 | 7 of 21 | 5 of 21 | 14 of 21 | 11 of 21 | 4 of 21 | 5 of 21 | 6 of 21 | 3 of 20 | 12 of 19 | 7 of 18 | 7 of 18 | 16 of 18 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 14 | 11 of 14 | 1 of 12 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 11 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 12 of 29 | +240% | −1.0% | +71.9% | −45.9% | +24.2% | +39.8% | +69.5% | −22.8% | +87.6% | +54.7% | −59.5% | +60.9% | +243% | +0.8% | −21.6% | −24.1% | +301% | −63.6% | −48.0% | +4.9% | +7.8% | −8.3% | +38.2% | −68.6% | −12.7% | −8.7% | +53.8% | +94.9% | −10.9% |
| TER Teradyne, Inc. | 10 of 29 | +54.4% | +16.5% | +24.8% | −46.4% | +36.8% | +76.8% | +119% | −24.4% | +65.8% | +24.3% | +5.8% | +13.4% | +4.3% | +23.9% | −2.9% | +30.9% | +154% | −59.1% | −30.9% | +2.7% | −14.7% | −32.9% | +95.6% | −56.8% | −19.1% | −43.6% | +211% | +32.5% | +31.3% |
| FORM FormFactor, Inc. | 6 of 22 | +26.8% | +5.5% | +87.6% | −51.4% | +6.3% | +65.6% | +84.3% | −10.0% | +39.7% | +24.4% | +4.7% | +43.1% | +31.8% | −9.9% | −43.0% | −59.2% | +49.1% | −55.9% | −11.1% | +52.5% | −10.0% | +37.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 15 of 29 | +139% | −6.9% | +88.6% | −40.7% | +53.7% | +64.2% | +119% | −24.4% | +75.1% | +35.3% | +1.5% | +46.5% | +51.0% | −2.5% | −28.5% | +31.9% | +84.1% | −50.7% | −14.6% | +41.6% | +23.5% | −10.5% | +199% | −53.4% | +59.7% | −61.0% | +527% | −39.1% | +4.0% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 15 of 26 | +38.9% | +171% | +239% | −50.2% | +125% | +122% | +76.4% | −30.8% | +82.5% | +228% | +67.1% | +27.4% | +33.5% | −11.0% | −10.0% | −17.6% | +131% | −76.3% | +37.9% | +102% | +55.2% | +1.6% | +102% | −82.8% | +308% | +39.6% | — | — | — |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 12 of 29 | +94.5% | +9.4% | +56.0% | −11.2% | +68.1% | +47.9% | +104% | −12.4% | +36.7% | +17.0% | +2.1% | +39.4% | +39.0% | +2.1% | +28.8% | +9.9% | +69.8% | −53.5% | −2.7% | +1.9% | +6.2% | −20.3% | +65.8% | −28.7% | +46.6% | −39.3% | +157% | +11.9% | +8.9% |
| NVMI Nova Ltd. | 11 of 25 | +66.7% | +43.4% | +68.2% | −44.3% | +108% | +86.6% | +66.1% | −12.1% | +96.9% | +34.3% | −5.7% | +5.6% | +23.3% | +8.3% | −11.3% | +28.6% | +1,014% | −77.6% | −1.5% | +13.4% | −33.1% | −41.0% | +292% | −64.7% | −38.8% | — | — | — | — |
| AEHR Aehr Test Systems | 8 of 28 | +21.4% | −37.3% | +32.0% | −16.9% | +856% | +26.5% | +41.8% | −48.0% | +12.4% | +28.2% | −26.3% | −17.5% | +264% | +63.5% | −56.7% | −9.1% | −35.6% | −66.4% | +22.0% | +22.3% | −1.2% | +33.6% | +13.1% | −35.5% | −19.1% | +5.0% | −18.4% | −23.4% | — |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 15 of 28 | +55.7% | +92.0% | +41.8% | −37.0% | +11.7% | +91.6% | +63.3% | −4.3% | +37.9% | +31.2% | +4.9% | +31.1% | +4.5% | +37.7% | +7.3% | +14.9% | +52.9% | −16.1% | −4.3% | +18.9% | +27.1% | −4.2% | +56.7% | −54.8% | +39.5% | −51.0% | +290% | +13.4% | — |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 11 of 29 | +59.6% | +1.1% | +68.0% | −37.5% | +83.6% | +43.3% | +89.9% | −34.9% | +59.8% | +75.7% | −23.5% | +43.7% | +58.6% | +10.2% | −21.9% | +3.0% | +40.4% | −42.1% | −2.6% | +3.8% | +5.4% | −23.8% | +72.3% | −35.0% | +5.0% | −39.7% | +197% | +41.7% | +67.9% |
| CAMT Camtek Ltd. | 11 of 25 | +31.7% | +18.3% | +216% | −52.3% | +110% | +102% | +63.1% | +20.5% | +77.7% | +51.7% | −28.0% | −25.8% | +189% | −19.8% | −38.4% | +13.4% | +625% | −80.0% | −59.5% | −0.8% | −4.1% | +54.3% | +835% | −91.4% | −51.2% | — | — | — | — |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | 7 of 20 | +605% | +68.1% | −22.9% | −20.9% | −33.9% | +125% | −5.4% | −54.5% | −2.2% | +52.2% | −28.6% | +7.7% | −36.1% | +28.9% | −48.9% | +286% | +71.4% | −73.9% | −8.0% | +7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. | 14 of 29 | −5.3% | +9.0% | +125% | −32.7% | +113% | +30.1% | +33.7% | +9.7% | −0.6% | +65.5% | −10.0% | −11.7% | +32.1% | −21.7% | +43.6% | +13.2% | +894% | −88.4% | +24.6% | −28.1% | −31.8% | +9.6% | +251% | −78.4% | +40.5% | −31.4% | +158% | −4.6% | +72.4% |
| COHU Cohu, Inc. | 8 of 29 | −12.8% | −24.6% | +10.4% | −15.9% | −0.2% | +67.5% | +44.3% | −26.0% | +59.9% | +17.6% | +3.6% | +15.9% | −0.8% | −2.1% | −30.2% | +21.1% | +17.6% | −19.2% | −23.1% | −10.7% | +24.5% | −2.1% | +31.9% | −24.7% | +43.3% | −54.6% | +185% | −27.2% | +32.7% |
| INTC Intel Corp. | 10 of 29 | +84.0% | −59.6% | +94.5% | −46.6% | +6.0% | −14.7% | +30.7% | +4.2% | +30.9% | +8.7% | −2.2% | +44.3% | +30.9% | −12.0% | +19.4% | +6.3% | +43.9% | −43.5% | +34.2% | −17.2% | +8.1% | −26.6% | +107% | −50.3% | +4.9% | −26.9% | +39.1% | +69.0% | +7.4% |
| SNPS Synopsys, Inc. | 14 of 29 | −3.2% | −5.7% | +61.3% | −13.4% | +42.1% | +86.2% | +65.2% | −1.2% | +44.8% | +29.0% | +4.9% | +7.1% | +27.4% | +17.1% | +1.1% | +20.8% | +20.3% | −28.6% | −3.0% | +33.3% | +2.6% | −42.3% | +46.7% | −21.9% | +24.5% | −28.9% | +23.0% | +51.7% | −22.7% |
| KLIC Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. | 10 of 29 | −0.3% | −13.2% | +25.4% | −25.8% | +92.4% | +19.4% | +36.9% | −15.4% | +52.6% | +36.6% | −19.3% | +8.7% | +11.0% | +29.6% | +28.4% | +33.6% | +218% | −75.3% | −18.4% | −5.0% | +2.5% | −40.0% | +152% | −66.7% | +52.5% | −47.1% | +140% | −4.6% | −2.1% |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | 9 of 21 | −29.5% | +5.3% | +3.0% | −42.2% | +84.1% | +32.7% | +177% | −63.3% | +138% | +89.5% | −44.8% | −7.5% | +104% | −19.6% | −34.4% | +33.2% | +248% | −83.5% | −1.2% | +70.6% | +19.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. | 9 of 29 | +6.6% | −13.6% | +67.0% | −34.7% | +64.0% | +18.2% | +98.3% | −50.1% | −49.1% | +41.8% | −41.0% | +6.0% | +11.6% | +41.8% | −51.6% | +30.0% | +421% | −62.0% | −10.8% | +8.1% | −17.8% | −25.2% | +144% | −67.9% | −10.2% | −14.3% | −11.9% | +142% | 0.0% |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | 3 of 9 | −42.8% | −4.2% | +25.4% | −41.7% | +52.7% | −9.4% | +104% | −33.7% | +127% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ACLS Axcelis Technologies, Inc. | 11 of 25 | +15.0% | −46.1% | +63.4% | +6.4% | +156% | +20.8% | +35.4% | −38.0% | +97.3% | +40.4% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +76.8% | +3.8% | −61.6% | +145% | +176% | −88.9% | +216% | +22.2% | −41.3% | −20.4% | +82.2% | −56.5% | +45.2% | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How ASML has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were ASML's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents ASML's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1995, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of ASML's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: ASML fell 75.0% from September 1997 to October 1998, while the S&P 500 rose 2.9%.
- The slowest recovery came after ASML fell 90.0% from March 2000 to October 2002; it did not regain that peak until March 2012, nine years later.
Green means ASML fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | ASML fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −90.0% | −42.0% | Mar 2000 | Oct 2002 | 2.6 years | Mar 2012 | 9.4 years |
| No named crash | −75.0% | +2.9% | Sep 1997 | Oct 1998 | 13 months | Jun 1999 | 8 months |
| 2022 bear market | −56.9% | −18.7% | Sep 2021 | Oct 2022 | 13 months | Jan 2024 | 15 months |
| No named crash | −45.5% | −10.7% | Jul 2024 | Apr 2025 | 9 months | Dec 2025 | 8 months |
| No named crash | −40.6% | +10.7% | Jul 1995 | Dec 1995 | 5 months | Jan 1997 | 13 months |
How did ASML do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far ASML, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- ASML fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when ASML fell 90.0% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
- Among its popular alternatives, INTC held up best, falling less than ASML in nine of the ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than ASML.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML This pageASML Holding N.V. | — | −2.9% | −48.4% | −37.9% | −24.4% | −7.5% | −22.1% | −17.7% | −2.7% | −64.1% | −90.0% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −5.3% | −49.6% | −42.5% | −36.6% | −8.8% | −49.4% | −46.5% | −2.0% | −84.2% | −87.8% |
| TER Teradyne, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −1.9% | −56.6% | −34.8% | −24.6% | −10.7% | −18.3% | −28.2% | −2.5% | −79.2% | −93.4% |
| FORM FormFactor, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −3.1% | −45.2% | −35.8% | −22.6% | −11.6% | −31.9% | −38.0% | −3.5% | −72.9% | — |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 4 of 10 | −3.3% | −55.1% | −43.7% | −22.9% | −9.5% | −20.5% | −20.1% | −2.2% | −73.3% | −87.9% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 1 of 10 | −5.0% | −60.7% | −37.5% | −55.9% | −8.5% | −25.3% | −23.8% | −1.7% | −85.1% | −89.7% |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 5 of 10 | −5.9% | −37.6% | −33.8% | −21.6% | −7.5% | −13.5% | −23.0% | −2.8% | −71.8% | −73.2% |
| NVMI Nova Ltd. | 4 of 9 | −1.8% | −50.1% | −31.6% | −20.3% | −2.8% | −27.7% | −44.5% | −3.9% | −86.4% | — |
| AEHR Aehr Test Systems | 2 of 10 | −13.4% | −68.5% | −52.7% | −45.6% | −12.7% | −56.5% | −50.9% | 0.0% | −92.5% | −76.3% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 7 of 10 | −3.9% | −54.3% | −23.3% | −21.4% | −9.3% | −13.2% | −15.7% | 0.0% | −48.0% | −82.4% |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −3.6% | −54.2% | −43.6% | −26.4% | −9.7% | −18.8% | −24.5% | −1.6% | −61.7% | −82.0% |
| CAMT Camtek Ltd. | 1 of 9 | −5.6% | −52.0% | −46.5% | −27.1% | −10.9% | −42.1% | −47.6% | 0.0% | −90.8% | — |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | 2 of 9 | −0.1% | −53.8% | −48.8% | −27.5% | −7.5% | −38.5% | −47.4% | 0.0% | −88.2% | — |
| ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. | 4 of 10 | −4.6% | −44.0% | −45.9% | −31.8% | −5.5% | −18.6% | −28.4% | 0.0% | −92.6% | −96.8% |
| COHU Cohu, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −2.4% | −36.8% | −57.1% | −42.2% | −6.0% | −16.3% | −30.1% | −6.3% | −64.4% | −82.1% |
| INTC Intel Corp. | 9 of 10 | −1.0% | −54.1% | −33.5% | −13.0% | −6.7% | −19.7% | −16.2% | −0.9% | −55.2% | −82.3% |
| SNPS Synopsys, Inc. | 7 of 10 | −3.7% | −29.3% | −34.3% | −20.3% | −8.4% | −22.8% | −13.7% | −1.9% | −49.1% | −48.0% |
| KLIC Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −3.1% | −41.2% | −28.8% | −28.2% | −7.2% | −18.9% | −33.3% | −6.0% | −87.0% | −95.3% |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 9 | −4.7% | −58.8% | −52.6% | −47.9% | −15.2% | −43.2% | −53.0% | −3.3% | −94.3% | — |
| VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −46.5% | −53.2% | −39.2% | −14.2% | −30.2% | −42.7% | −4.0% | −81.0% | −91.9% |
| ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | 0 of 5 | −5.9% | −54.6% | −58.5% | −31.9% | −25.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| ACLS Axcelis Technologies, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −6.5% | −41.9% | −52.0% | −23.6% | −12.3% | −34.3% | −40.7% | −7.8% | −97.1% | — |
How closely does ASML move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares ASML with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, ASML captured 170% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 132% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.44. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
- 12 of the 20 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than ASML's 1.29, led by KLAC, CAMT and TSM.
- KLAC took just 59% of the S&P 500's losses, against 132% for ASML, while still keeping 152% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than ASML's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML This pageASML Holding N.V. | 170% | 132% | 1.29 | 1.44 |
| KLAC KLA Corporation | 152% | 59% | 2.57 | 1.32 |
| CAMT Camtek Ltd. | 191% | 96% | 1.99 | 1.60 |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | 138% | 75% | 1.84 | 1.15 |
| MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 204% | 114% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 248% | 140% | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 183% | 104% | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| FORM FormFactor, Inc. | 132% | 81% | 1.64 | 1.29 |
| NVMI Nova Ltd. | 179% | 110% | 1.62 | 1.46 |
| AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 152% | 97% | 1.58 | 1.51 |
| AEHR Aehr Test Systems | 184% | 123% | 1.50 | 2.29 |
| ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. | 139% | 92% | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| TER Teradyne, Inc. | 167% | 121% | 1.37 | 1.53 |
| KLIC Kulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc. | 131% | 111% | 1.18 | 1.44 |
| SNPS Synopsys, Inc. | 124% | 108% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| ACLS Axcelis Technologies, Inc. | 151% | 136% | 1.10 | 1.67 |
| UCTT Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc. | 165% | 156% | 1.06 | 1.93 |
| COHU Cohu, Inc. | 122% | 116% | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| INTC Intel Corp. | 98% | 100% | 0.98 | 1.43 |
| VECO Veeco Instruments Inc. | 76% | 84% | 0.90 | 1.38 |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | 140% | 202% | 0.70 | 1.62 |
What diversifies ASML?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with ASML's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing ASML with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in ASML into LVHI would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+20.6% for ASML alone, +21.2% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of ASML over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in six of the ten calendar years in which ASML lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which ASML lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% ASML and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2008 | 2004 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. (this page) | 1.00 | +123% | 0.59 | −7.7% | −30.5% | −9.7% | −17.1% | −41.4% | −20.6% | −51.0% | −24.4% | −40.5% | −9.7% | 42.4% | +20.6% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.38 | +119% | 1.48 | +15.9% | +3.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34.6% | +21.2% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.49 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +6.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | −20.8% | — | — | — | — | — | 35.2% | +23.1% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.33 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +10.4% | −8.7% | −25.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35.0% | +20.9% |
| EWP Broad MarketiShares MSCI Spain ETF | 0.43 | +140% | 0.97 | +5.7% | −5.2% | −15.3% | −15.6% | −36.8% | +30.2% | −13.6% | −9.2% | −11.8% | +50.5% | 35.7% | +21.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.24 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | −0.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | +4.9% | — | — | — | — | — | 34.9% | +21.7% |
| DIVO Dividend & IncomeAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | 0.49 | +69.0% | 0.95 | +16.2% | −1.5% | −3.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35.1% | +19.9% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.10 | +177% | 0.93 | +5.6% | +64.4% | −18.2% | −21.5% | −39.0% | +33.8% | −14.8% | −18.2% | +24.4% | — | 34.8% | +23.1% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.20 | +111% | 0.89 | +22.8% | +25.5% | −12.6% | −25.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34.8% | +21.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2008 | 2004 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. (this page) | 1.00 | +123% | 0.59 | −7.7% | −30.5% | −9.7% | −17.1% | −41.4% | −20.6% | −51.0% | −24.4% | −40.5% | −9.7% | 42.4% | +20.6% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.33 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +54.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | −39.6% | −4.7% | −8.3% | −2.5% | +108% | +51.7% | 36.0% | +25.4% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.29 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +1.3% | −16.3% | −6.0% | −20.5% | −6.4% | −65.1% | −25.6% | −2.3% | — | 39.0% | +38.5% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.42 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +17.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −15.2% | +40.0% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −71.1% | −9.5% | 38.5% | +34.0% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.13 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +51.8% | −28.4% | −4.5% | −40.4% | −1.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | +61.2% | +46.9% | 34.9% | +25.2% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.18 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +86.6% | −8.2% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35.6% | +27.9% |
Common questions
What was ASML's worst drawdown?
ASML's deepest decline since it began trading in 1995 was 90.0%, from March 2000 to October 2002. It took about nine years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were ASML's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, ASML's best year was 1999, when it returned 273%. Its worst was 2002, with a return of -51.0%.
Is there a better investment than ASML?
Among ASML's popular alternatives, TSM earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years: 31.5% a year at 38.5% volatility, against 17.4% a year at 43.4%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, SMH (semiconductors) and AAPL (computer hardware) earned more than ASML with less volatility over the past 5 years. SMH returned 33.4% a year at 36.9% volatility, against 17.4% a year at 43.4%.
Is ASML more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. ASML's volatility over the past 5 years was 43.4%, 2.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, ASML's return lands within 43.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is ASML's Sharpe ratio?
ASML's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.59, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so ASML earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is ASML with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, ASML's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.65 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against ASML instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a ASML holding.
What are the best alternatives to ASML?
Of the 21 popular alternatives we compared, three outperformed ASML in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: MU, TER and FORM.
Did ASML outperform the S&P 500?
ASML finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 18 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +55.8%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did ASML do in stock market crashes?
ASML fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in none of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when ASML fell 90.0% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
What diversifies ASML?
These had a low correlation with ASML over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.38), DXJ (correlation 0.49) and EMLP (correlation 0.33); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.33), CLS (correlation 0.29) and FIX (correlation 0.42). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than ASML's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of ASML's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
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