Relative Intelligence · IT Services

How International Business Machines (IBM) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on IBM alone. It places IBM (International Business Machines Corporation) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where IBM stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: IBM's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowThe slide is IBM's own: it is 26.0% below its high, against 1.3% for the S&P 500. IBM has gone against the market, falling 3.3% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?More than an industry move: IBM rose 14.4% over the past 3 months, against 6.3% for the IT services ETF VGT (Vanguard Information Technology ETF). The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its IT services peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: ACN (Accenture) rose 66.5%, while INFY (Infosys) rose 11.9%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, IBM fell 12.5% while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. Even so, IBM finished ahead of the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termIBM turned $10,000 into $25,100 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. That said, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: IBM rose 116% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashIn the 2022 bear market, IBM held up better than ACN (Accenture), HPE and INFY; only SAIC (Science Applications International) fell less. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationIBM's link to the S&P 500 has loosened: a correlation of 0.36 over the past 5 years, down from 0.76 in the 5 years before. Even so, over 10 years, IBM's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.95: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 89% as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 1.2 times as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- DELL (Dell Technologies), AMZN (Amazon.com) and HPE (Hewlett Packard Enterprise) were ahead of IBM in most short and long periods.
- Nearby categories and themes
- CTAS (Cintas, business services) matched IBM's return over the past 5 years (16.5% a year against 16.6%) with 24% less volatility.
- Whole market
- 110 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IBM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL (Apple), WMT (Walmart) and XOM (Exxonmobil).
How much would $10,000 in IBM have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in IBM over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of IBM over the same span and IBM's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in IBM at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $86,041 by September 2026, less than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the six other investments on the chart ended ahead of IBM, and AMZN finished highest, at $11,484,924.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 587 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of IBM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 1 line is a popular alternative, shown for context.
- AMZN$11M+114,749% total · +27.5% a year
- CACI$609,098+5,991% total · +15.2% a year
- MSFT$508,386+4,984% total · +14.5% a year
- ORCL$284,972+2,750% total · +12.2% a year
- SAP$136,626+1,266% total · +9.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- IBM$86,041+760% total · +7.7% a year
- DXC$9,973−0.3% total · 0.0% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 779 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of IBM; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- DELL$112,363+1,024% total · +62.2% a year
- HPE$51,318+413% total · +38.7% a year
- PANW$49,770+398% total · +37.8% a year
- FTNT$30,603+206% total · +25.1% a year
- CACI$23,239+132% total · +18.4% a year
- FFIV$22,395+124% total · +17.5% a year
- IBM$20,049+100% total · +14.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- MSFT$18,958+89.6% total · +13.6% a year
- AMZN$15,169+51.7% total · +8.7% a year
IBM at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- IBM is still 26.0% below its all-time high.
- IBM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 69.3%, from August 1987 to August 1993. It took about three years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, IBM's best was 1998, when it returned 77.5%, and its worst was 2002, when it lost 35.4%. It lost money in ten of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $228B
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −12.5%total return
- Past 3 years
- +93.5%+24.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +116%+16.6% a year
- Past 10 years
- +151%+9.6% a year
- Best calendar year
- +77.5%1998
- Worst calendar year
- −35.4%2002
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 30.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.66return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −69.3%Aug 1987 to Aug 1993
- From its all-time high
- −26.0%below the peak
IBM against the whole market
Where IBM ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does IBM rank among all stocks?
This section ranks IBM on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how IBM stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- IBM's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 8% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | IBM | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −12.5% | 2,415 of 3,287 | bottom 28% |
| 3-year return | +93.5% | 974 of 3,017 | top 32% |
| 5-year return | +116% | 600 of 2,893 | top 21% |
| 10-year return | +151% | 1,079 of 2,202 | top 49% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 30.5% | 776 of 2,893 | top 27% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.66 | 538 of 2,893 | top 19% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −41.1% | 179 of 2,187 | top 8% |
What has beaten IBM on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). IBM sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than IBM with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 72 stocks and 38 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than IBM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half IBM's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 19% less than IBM's 30.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.66 for IBM.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to IBM; faint dots are 84 more of the 110 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× IBM's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than IBM?
Investments that beat IBM over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among IBM's popular alternatives, DELL, AMZN and HPE were ahead of IBM in most short and long periods.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, CTAS (business services) matched IBM's return over the past 5 years (16.5% a year against 16.6%) with 24% less volatility.
- Across the whole market, 110 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IBM with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them AAPL, WMT and XOM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat IBM over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks IBM's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than IBM follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than IBM's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× IBM's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than IBM's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with IBM?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +16.6% | 30.5% | 0.66 | −41.1% | +151% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.36 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against IBM. 3 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +3,701% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +9.0% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | +548% | 0.04 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +32.9% | 42.2% | 0.89 | −56.9% | +483% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in IT Services and the categories next to it (Business Services, Enterprise Software, Software, E-Commerce), plus IBM's specific themes. 10 of 100 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +31.9% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | +1,274% | 0.42 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +20.7% | 44.8% | 0.65 | −38.3% | +2,626% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +11.7% | 32.9% | 0.50 | −53.6% | +374% | 0.06 | — | ||
FFIVF5, Inc. · Cybersecurity | Higher return in most periods | +17.1% | 30.8% | 0.67 | −54.6% | +287% | 0.33 | — | |
| Similar return, lower volatility | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.06 | — | ||
ROLRollins, Inc. · Business Services | Smaller losses in recent crashes | −1.5% | 25.6% | 0.07 | −54.2% | +202% | 0.20 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 477 of 3,514 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.15 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.16 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.25 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.38 | 0.09% | ||
SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.41 | 0.13% | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.07 | — | ||
BFCBank First Corporation · Banks - Regional | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +19.0% | 27.3% | 0.78 | −39.8% | +496% | 0.22 | — | |
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.06 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for IBM
- Annual return
- IBM returned 16.6% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $21,600. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- IBM's volatility over the past 5 years was 30.5%, 1.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, IBM's return lands within 30.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- IBM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.66, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so IBM earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- IBM's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 41.1%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 41.1% fall takes a 69.9% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, IBM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.36 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against IBM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a IBM holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 110 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than IBM with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 90 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with IBM | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.15 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.16 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.36 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.38 | 0.09% | |
| 5 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.22 | — | |
| 6 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.41 | 0.13% |
| 7 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.35 | — | |
| 8 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.14 | — |
| 9 | Whole market | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.18 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.13 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | -0.06 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.19 | — | |
| 13 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.23 | 0.45% |
| 14 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | -0.03 | — | |
| 15 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.14 | 0.48% |
| 16 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | -0.04 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.20 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | -0.18 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.04 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.02 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.20 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.04 | — | |
| 23 | BFCBank First Corporation · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.0% | 27.3% | 0.78 | −39.8% | +496% | 0.22 | — |
| 24 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.03 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.26 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | -0.01 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.21 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.13 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.05 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.07 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.16 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | -0.07 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.15 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.13 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.18 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.15 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.23 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.08 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | -0.01 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.01 | 0.08% | |
| 41 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.00 | — |
| 42 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.13 | — | |
| 43 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.08 | — |
| 44 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.10 | 0.40% | |
| 45 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.23 | — |
| 46 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.21 | — |
| 47 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.13 | — |
| 48 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.21 | — |
| 49 | WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +23.5% | 27.6% | 0.91 | −91.9% | +128% | 0.17 | — |
| 50 | CLHClean Harbors, Inc. · Environmental Services | Whole market | +23.1% | 28.6% | 0.88 | −64.5% | +588% | -0.12 | — |
| 51 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.11 | — |
| 52 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 27.8% | 0.80 | −40.7% | +215% | 0.11 | — |
| 53 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.24 | 0.59% |
| 54 | ARMKAramark · Food Services | Whole market | +17.9% | 28.5% | 0.72 | −72.3% | +137% | 0.29 | — |
| 55 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.16 | — |
| 56 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.13 | — |
| 57 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.24 | — |
| 58 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.15 | — |
| 59 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.26 | 0.19% |
| 60 | QTUMDefiance Quantum ETF · Technology | Whole market | +22.8% | 28.1% | 0.87 | −38.5% | — | 0.39 | 0.40% |
| 61 | PSMTPriceSmart, Inc. · Discount Retail | Whole market | +18.6% | 28.2% | 0.75 | −53.2% | +124% | 0.21 | — |
| 62 | CNOCNO Financial Group, Inc. · Life Insurance | Whole market | +18.8% | 28.1% | 0.76 | −63.8% | +342% | 0.25 | — |
| 63 | MLPXGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF · Energy | Whole market | +18.6% | 19.7% | 0.97 | −64.6% | +186% | 0.11 | 0.45% |
| 64 | IXCiShares Global Energy ETF · International | Whole market | +20.7% | 23.2% | 0.93 | −64.2% | +183% | -0.02 | 0.37% |
| 65 | EUFNiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF · Financial Sector Equity | Whole market | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.20 | 0.49% |
| 66 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.17 | — |
| 67 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.24 | — |
| 68 | EWPiShares MSCI Spain ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +19.2% | 20.3% | 0.97 | −46.4% | +196% | 0.22 | 0.50% |
| 69 | OFGOFG Bancorp · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.5% | 28.7% | 0.77 | −61.2% | +580% | 0.16 | — |
| 70 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.20 | — |
| 71 | HBTHBT Financial, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +18.9% | 28.7% | 0.75 | −54.0% | — | 0.05 | — |
| 72 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.12 | 0.61% |
| 73 | ATMPBarclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.2% | 21.5% | 1.01 | −70.3% | +172% | 0.08 | 0.95% |
| 74 | RSPGInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF · Energy | Whole market | +21.6% | 27.4% | 0.85 | −73.2% | +158% | 0.04 | 0.40% |
| 75 | BWFGBankwell Financial Group, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +20.1% | 28.5% | 0.79 | −64.7% | +240% | 0.09 | — |
| 76 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.43 | — | |
| 77 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.15 | — | |
| 78 | Whole market | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.15 | — | |
| 79 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.12 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.13 | — | |
| 81 | Whole market | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.06 | — | |
| 82 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.06 | 0.80% |
| 83 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.19 | — |
| 84 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.32 | — |
| 85 | BCHBanco de Chile · Banks | Whole market | +25.2% | 28.2% | 0.94 | −58.4% | +180% | 0.13 | — |
| 86 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | -0.04 | — |
| 87 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.13 | — |
| 88 | PSOPearson plc · Education Services | Whole market | +18.5% | 27.9% | 0.75 | −58.4% | +155% | 0.19 | — |
| 89 | AIRRFirst Trust RBA American Industrial RenaissanceTM ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +18.3% | 25.9% | 0.78 | −42.4% | +407% | 0.23 | 0.69% |
| 90 | VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc. · Grocery Stores | Whole market | +17.8% | 28.3% | 0.72 | −46.8% | +96.3% | 0.26 | — |
IBM against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against IBM, compared period by period and year by year.
How do IBM's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at IBM, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than IBM over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Ten of the 19 popular alternatives earned less than IBM over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, IBM returned 16.6% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (30.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than IBM with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | +55.2% | 54.4% |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | +32.9% | 42.2% |
| IBM This pageInternational Business Machines Corporation | +16.6% | 30.5% |
| CACI CACI International Inc | +16.6% | 29.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | +12.5% | 28.2% |
| SAP SAP SE | +11.5% | 30.0% |
| SAIC Science Applications International Corporation | +9.9% | 30.7% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | +9.0% | 36.6% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | +7.7% | 44.3% |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | +6.3% | 27.8% |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | +0.4% | 32.6% |
| CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | −1.3% | 30.2% |
| G Genpact Limited | −3.9% | 30.3% |
| ACN Accenture plc | −5.2% | 32.7% |
| INFY Infosys Limited | −9.6% | 29.8% |
| WIT Wipro Limited | −14.8% | 33.2% |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | −15.9% | 47.2% |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. | −19.4% | 58.1% |
| EPAM EPAM Systems, Inc. | −26.9% | 56.1% |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | −33.0% | 53.1% |
Has IBM consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares IBM with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than IBM helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Three of the 19 popular alternatives, DELL, HPE and AMZN, outperformed IBM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- DELL and HPE outperformed IBM in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than IBM over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation (this page) | — | +4.3% | +14.4% | −3.3% | −15.3% | −12.5% | +93.5% | +116% | +151% | 30.5% | 0.66 | −41.1% | — | $228B | — |
| DELL QualifiedDell Technologies Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −19.6% | +21.3% | +127% | +265% | +217% | +636% | +800% | +3,701% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | — | $294B | — |
| HPE QualifiedHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −9.1% | +26.3% | +103% | +135% | +150% | +296% | +315% | +483% | 42.2% | 0.89 | −56.9% | — | $74B | — |
| AMZN QualifiedAmazon.com, Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +1.6% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +16.0% | +21.3% | +110% | +53.8% | +548% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | — | $2.8T | — |
| MSFT Software - InfrastructureMicrosoft Corporation | 5/5 short1/3 long | +6.0% | +32.5% | +27.7% | +13.2% | +3.8% | +66.6% | +80.3% | +946% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | — | $3.9T | — |
| CACI Information Technology ServicesCACI International Inc | 4/5 short1/3 long | −4.0% | +34.7% | +16.4% | +13.1% | +15.4% | +85.8% | +115% | +499% | 29.9% | 0.66 | −42.9% | — | $13B | — |
| SAP Software - ApplicationSAP SE | 4/5 short1/3 long | +9.4% | +44.6% | +29.6% | −2.1% | −16.6% | +81.3% | +72.6% | +205% | 30.0% | 0.52 | −52.5% | — | $267B | — |
| BAH Consulting ServicesBooz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 2/5 short1/3 long | −3.1% | +17.1% | −5.7% | −9.7% | −23.5% | −34.5% | +2.0% | +197% | 32.6% | 0.18 | −66.6% | — | $9.0B | — |
| LDOS Information Technology ServicesLeidos Holdings, Inc. | 1/5 short1/3 long | −0.4% | +19.7% | −17.0% | −29.8% | −32.2% | +42.4% | +35.6% | +253% | 27.8% | 0.36 | −49.5% | — | $16B | — |
| ORCL Software - InfrastructureOracle Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | −11.4% | +8.4% | −25.6% | −32.1% | −52.1% | +33.3% | +45.1% | +300% | 44.3% | 0.38 | −64.6% | — | $396B | — |
| ACN Information Technology ServicesAccenture plc | 5/5 short0/3 long | +29.5% | +66.5% | +25.1% | −4.8% | +2.2% | −13.6% | −23.6% | +146% | 32.7% | 0.00 | −67.8% | — | $146B | — |
| G Information Technology ServicesGenpact Limited | 5/5 short0/3 long | +13.6% | +27.0% | +6.8% | −14.3% | −1.0% | +15.5% | −18.1% | +85.4% | 30.3% | 0.02 | −49.5% | — | $6.6B | — |
| CTSH Information Technology ServicesCognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 5/5 short0/3 long | +14.8% | +53.6% | +14.6% | −14.6% | +4.5% | +9.5% | −6.2% | +56.3% | 30.2% | 0.11 | −56.1% | — | $31B | — |
| DXC Information Technology ServicesDXC Technology Company | 5/5 short0/3 long | +34.3% | +56.8% | +9.9% | +3.9% | +12.6% | −28.0% | −58.0% | −67.7% | 47.2% | -0.13 | −92.0% | — | $2.3B | — |
| SAIC Information Technology ServicesScience Applications International Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +1.6% | +20.3% | +43.5% | +35.3% | +37.6% | +27.6% | +60.1% | +135% | 30.7% | 0.46 | −45.9% | — | $5.7B | — |
| EPAM Information Technology ServicesEPAM Systems, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +15.5% | +46.2% | −0.9% | −34.8% | −9.9% | −41.5% | −79.2% | +103% | 56.1% | -0.26 | −89.4% | — | $6.7B | — |
| GLOB Information Technology ServicesGlobant S.A. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +16.2% | +29.0% | −17.7% | −34.0% | −28.3% | −76.9% | −86.5% | −5.9% | 53.1% | -0.48 | −92.2% | — | $1.8B | — |
| INFY Information Technology ServicesInfosys Limited | 1/5 short0/3 long | +16.3% | +11.9% | −9.0% | −28.7% | −22.4% | −18.0% | −39.8% | +110% | 29.8% | -0.19 | −54.4% | — | $52B | — |
| WIT Information Technology ServicesWipro Limited | 1/5 short0/3 long | +22.8% | +12.0% | −3.3% | −29.1% | −21.5% | −6.4% | −55.1% | +19.9% | 33.2% | -0.32 | −65.4% | — | $20B | — |
| KD Information Technology ServicesKyndryl Holdings, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +13.9% | +13.7% | −5.1% | −45.5% | −50.3% | −5.1% | −65.9% | — | 58.1% | -0.05 | −79.8% | — | $3.0B | — |
How did IBM do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where IBM ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with IBM and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, IBM finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in ten. In 2025, it ranked 1 of 20.
- IBM finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 12 of its 29 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, ACN came out ahead of IBM most often, in 16 of the 24 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of IBM; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places IBM among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of IBM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBM This pageInternational Business Machines Corporation | — | +38.2% | +39.3% | +21.9% | +10.6% | +16.6% | −1.2% | +23.6% | −22.6% | −4.9% | +25.2% | −11.4% | −12.4% | −0.2% | +5.9% | +27.4% | +14.2% | +58.7% | −20.8% | +12.8% | +19.8% | −15.8% | +7.2% | +20.5% | −35.4% | +43.1% | −20.8% | +17.6% | +77.5% | +39.3% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 1 of 20 | 6 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 12 of 19 | 16 of 19 | 12 of 19 | 18 of 19 | 18 of 19 | 6 of 18 | 16 of 17 | 14 of 16 | 15 of 15 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 14 | 7 of 13 | 8 of 13 | 4 of 13 | 5 of 12 | 6 of 11 | 11 of 11 | 7 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 17 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 6 of 9 | +11.2% | +53.0% | +95.9% | −26.6% | +51.3% | +42.6% | +5.1% | +8.6% | +47.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 4 of 10 | +15.5% | +29.1% | +9.7% | +4.5% | +37.4% | −21.9% | +23.7% | −5.7% | +8.6% | +54.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 16 of 28 | +5.2% | +44.4% | +80.9% | −49.6% | +2.4% | +76.3% | +23.0% | +28.4% | +56.0% | +10.9% | +118% | −22.2% | +59.0% | +45.0% | −3.9% | +33.7% | +163% | −44.7% | +135% | −16.5% | +6.8% | −16.0% | +178% | +74.6% | −30.5% | −79.6% | +42.2% | +968% | — |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 18 of 29 | +15.6% | +12.9% | +58.2% | −28.0% | +52.5% | +42.5% | +57.6% | +20.8% | +40.8% | +15.1% | +22.7% | +27.5% | +44.3% | +5.8% | −4.5% | −6.5% | +60.5% | −44.4% | +20.8% | +15.8% | −1.0% | +9.2% | +6.2% | −22.0% | +52.8% | −62.9% | +68.4% | +115% | +56.5% |
| CACI CACI International Inc | 16 of 29 | +31.9% | +24.8% | +7.7% | +11.7% | +8.0% | −0.3% | +73.6% | +8.8% | +6.5% | +34.0% | +7.7% | +17.7% | +33.1% | −1.6% | +4.7% | +9.3% | +8.3% | +0.7% | −20.8% | −1.5% | −15.8% | +40.1% | +36.4% | −9.8% | +243% | +1.8% | +34.0% | −14.8% | −5.6% |
| SAP SAP SE | 12 of 29 | −0.4% | +61.3% | +52.3% | −24.2% | +9.2% | −1.3% | +36.4% | −10.0% | +31.7% | +11.1% | +15.3% | −18.6% | +10.0% | +55.8% | +6.0% | +9.8% | +31.4% | −28.0% | −2.6% | +18.7% | +2.8% | +7.0% | +114% | −38.7% | −4.9% | −35.1% | +45.1% | +38.0% | +138% |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 10 of 15 | −33.0% | +2.0% | +24.5% | +25.7% | −1.0% | +24.4% | +60.2% | +20.2% | +7.8% | +19.3% | +18.5% | +56.3% | +49.0% | +40.0% | −11.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 10 of 19 | +26.5% | +34.5% | +4.5% | +20.0% | −14.2% | +8.9% | +88.8% | −16.7% | +28.4% | +27.0% | +35.0% | −3.2% | +64.2% | −5.3% | −22.5% | −16.3% | −2.8% | −3.2% | +13.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 18 of 29 | +18.1% | +60.0% | +30.9% | −4.7% | +36.9% | +24.3% | +19.4% | −3.0% | +24.9% | +6.9% | −17.6% | +19.0% | +15.7% | +31.8% | −17.5% | +28.6% | +39.4% | −21.4% | +31.7% | +40.4% | −11.0% | +3.6% | +22.6% | −21.8% | −52.5% | +3.7% | +290% | +93.5% | −19.9% |
| ACN Accenture plc | 16 of 24 | −22.1% | +1.9% | +33.6% | −34.8% | +60.7% | +26.0% | +51.2% | −6.2% | +33.3% | +14.3% | +20.8% | +11.4% | +26.6% | +27.7% | +12.0% | +19.1% | +29.0% | −7.5% | −1.4% | +29.3% | +8.3% | +2.6% | +46.3% | −33.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| G Genpact Limited | 9 of 18 | +10.5% | +25.8% | −24.0% | −11.7% | +29.5% | −0.9% | +57.6% | −14.1% | +31.6% | −2.6% | +32.0% | +3.0% | +18.6% | +17.8% | −1.6% | +2.1% | +81.4% | −46.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 16 of 27 | +9.7% | +3.5% | +34.4% | −34.5% | +9.6% | +33.9% | −1.1% | −9.7% | +27.6% | −6.7% | +14.0% | +4.3% | +36.7% | +14.8% | −12.2% | +61.7% | +151% | −46.8% | −12.0% | +53.4% | +18.9% | +85.3% | +89.7% | +75.8% | +13.7% | −34.2% | +261% | — | — |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | 13 of 29 | −26.7% | −12.6% | −13.7% | −17.7% | +25.0% | −30.1% | −27.9% | −43.5% | +85.7% | +84.0% | +24.9% | +14.5% | +41.7% | +73.4% | −51.1% | −12.8% | +63.7% | −29.0% | −7.3% | +5.4% | −10.2% | +27.5% | +28.4% | −29.6% | −18.5% | −36.4% | +47.2% | +53.9% | +1.7% |
| SAIC Science Applications International Corporation | 7 of 12 | −8.7% | −9.0% | +13.6% | +34.9% | −10.2% | +10.8% | +39.1% | −15.5% | −8.2% | +89.5% | −5.3% | +54.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EPAM EPAM Systems, Inc. | 8 of 13 | −12.4% | −21.4% | −9.3% | −51.0% | +86.5% | +68.9% | +82.9% | +8.0% | +67.0% | −18.2% | +64.6% | +36.7% | +93.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | 7 of 11 | −69.5% | −9.9% | +41.5% | −46.5% | +44.3% | +105% | +88.3% | +21.2% | +39.3% | −11.1% | +140% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| INFY Infosys Limited | 14 of 26 | −16.4% | +23.1% | +4.8% | −27.3% | +51.9% | +68.3% | +11.8% | +21.8% | +12.3% | −9.6% | +9.0% | +13.6% | +36.3% | −15.8% | −31.7% | +40.4% | +128% | −45.0% | −16.2% | +36.9% | +17.2% | +47.6% | +38.1% | +11.7% | −31.8% | −44.3% | — | — | — |
| WIT Wipro Limited | 14 of 25 | −16.6% | +27.7% | +20.0% | −51.9% | +73.1% | +50.9% | −1.7% | −5.8% | +13.2% | −15.2% | +3.7% | −9.5% | +68.0% | −3.9% | −26.1% | +23.9% | +195% | −40.5% | +2.9% | +49.3% | +2.8% | +77.0% | +45.3% | −7.7% | −27.0% | — | — | — | — |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 4 | −23.2% | +66.5% | +86.9% | −38.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How IBM has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were IBM's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents IBM's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of IBM's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: IBM fell 44.2% from March 2013 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 64.2%.
- The slowest recovery came after IBM fell 59.3% from July 1999 to October 2002; it did not regain that peak until May 2008, six years later.
Green means IBM fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | IBM fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No named crash | −69.3% | — | Aug 1987 | Aug 1993 | 6 years | Oct 1996 | 3.2 years |
| Dot-com bust | −59.3% | −41.7% | Jul 1999 | Oct 2002 | 3.3 years | May 2008 | 5.6 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −44.3% | −39.5% | Jul 2008 | Nov 2008 | 4 months | Oct 2009 | 11 months |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −44.3% | +64.2% | Mar 2013 | Mar 2020 | 7 years | Nov 2022 | 2.7 years |
| No named crash | −37.5% | −1.4% | Jun 2026 | Jul 2026 | 1 month | Not yet | — |
How did IBM do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far IBM, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, CACI held up best, falling less than IBM in six of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- IBM fell less than the S&P 500 in four of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when IBM fell 44.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than IBM.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBM This pageInternational Business Machines Corporation | — | −2.0% | −16.7% | −37.3% | −29.1% | −6.3% | −23.3% | −14.6% | −1.5% | −44.3% | −58.3% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 4 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 1 of 5 | −5.7% | −43.6% | −45.9% | −28.6% | −7.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 1 of 5 | −7.2% | −30.5% | −45.3% | −27.4% | −9.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −3.4% | −39.6% | −22.7% | −33.2% | −7.1% | −30.6% | −20.7% | −2.9% | −65.3% | −91.8% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 3 of 10 | −2.0% | −31.0% | −27.7% | −18.2% | −7.4% | −14.4% | −14.1% | −2.6% | −57.9% | −62.9% |
| CACI CACI International Inc | 6 of 10 | −3.4% | −18.9% | −41.4% | −26.0% | −3.0% | −21.9% | −24.0% | 0.0% | −30.0% | −43.5% |
| SAP SAP SE | 3 of 10 | −2.0% | −41.9% | −32.6% | −25.0% | −6.9% | −13.3% | −25.0% | −1.4% | −49.6% | −87.9% |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 3 of 7 | −3.0% | −21.5% | −25.5% | −17.6% | −7.1% | −17.1% | −29.0% | — | — | — |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −1.9% | −19.8% | −40.9% | −27.2% | −6.4% | −30.5% | −31.7% | 0.0% | −20.9% | — |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 4 of 10 | −5.0% | −31.0% | −28.3% | −17.2% | −6.6% | −16.1% | −23.9% | −2.1% | −41.1% | −84.2% |
| ACN Accenture plc | 5 of 9 | −4.7% | −37.3% | −33.5% | −22.6% | −4.1% | −14.9% | −22.7% | −1.9% | −35.7% | — |
| G Genpact Limited | 3 of 9 | −4.9% | −28.0% | −48.4% | −15.9% | −5.6% | −9.9% | −22.3% | −2.9% | −61.7% | — |
| CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 2 of 10 | −5.8% | −38.6% | −40.6% | −22.4% | −3.2% | −25.3% | −26.7% | −2.5% | −65.5% | −71.3% |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | 1 of 10 | −11.2% | −39.9% | −69.4% | −47.9% | −7.0% | −18.1% | −30.9% | −1.4% | −58.8% | −74.6% |
| SAIC Science Applications International Corporation | 2 of 6 | −2.6% | −15.4% | −45.9% | −27.7% | −9.3% | −24.1% | — | — | — | — |
| EPAM EPAM Systems, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −8.5% | −71.8% | −33.3% | −23.1% | −7.8% | −29.6% | — | — | — | — |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | 2 of 6 | −9.3% | −40.5% | −45.5% | −20.4% | −4.9% | −38.5% | — | — | — | — |
| INFY Infosys Limited | 4 of 10 | −4.9% | −35.9% | −39.1% | −12.7% | −3.6% | −17.3% | −25.9% | −0.6% | −60.9% | −90.0% |
| WIT Wipro Limited | 3 of 9 | −2.6% | −52.6% | −33.0% | −8.6% | −6.8% | −14.6% | −29.6% | −1.5% | −66.0% | — |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −7.1% | −56.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does IBM move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares IBM with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Ten of the 18 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than IBM's 0.73, led by DELL, CACI and MSFT.
- DELL took just 43% of the S&P 500's losses, against 121% for IBM, while still keeping 154% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, IBM captured 89% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 121% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.95. Its share of the market's losses was larger than its share of the gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than IBM's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBM This pageInternational Business Machines Corporation | 89% | 121% | 0.73 | 0.95 |
| DELL Dell Technologies Inc. | 154% | 43% | 3.59 | 1.13 |
| CACI CACI International Inc | 94% | 62% | 1.50 | 0.79 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 127% | 91% | 1.39 | 0.96 |
| SAIC Science Applications International Corporation | 44% | 36% | 1.22 | 0.59 |
| HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | 116% | 102% | 1.14 | 1.31 |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 78% | 73% | 1.06 | 0.73 |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 65% | 63% | 1.03 | 0.54 |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 134% | 139% | 0.96 | 1.31 |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 131% | 159% | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| SAP SAP SE | 112% | 152% | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| INFY Infosys Limited | 85% | 126% | 0.67 | 0.90 |
| ACN Accenture plc | 117% | 186% | 0.63 | 1.12 |
| G Genpact Limited | 90% | 146% | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 89% | 152% | 0.59 | 0.99 |
| EPAM EPAM Systems, Inc. | 156% | 263% | 0.59 | 1.41 |
| WIT Wipro Limited | 62% | 122% | 0.51 | 0.82 |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | 91% | 188% | 0.48 | 1.16 |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | 99% | 276% | 0.36 | 1.59 |
What diversifies IBM?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with IBM's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing IBM with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in IBM into LVHI would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+14.9% for IBM alone, +16.3% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of IBM over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.14 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- MCK made money in six of the ten calendar years in which IBM lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which IBM lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% IBM and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2008 | 2005 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +116% | 0.66 | −1.2% | −22.6% | −4.9% | −11.4% | −12.4% | −0.2% | −20.8% | −15.8% | −35.4% | −20.8% | 31.3% | +14.9% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.05 | +119% | 1.48 | −9.0% | −5.2% | +10.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.2% | +16.3% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.14 | +225% | 1.34 | +3.9% | −19.8% | +22.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +41.3% | −20.8% | — | — | — | 25.5% | +18.2% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.13 | +101% | 1.04 | −13.4% | −8.7% | +1.1% | −25.3% | +23.8% | +16.6% | — | — | — | — | 25.6% | +16.0% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.21 | +83.3% | 1.00 | −6.5% | −3.0% | +13.5% | −0.3% | +12.6% | +23.8% | — | — | — | — | 25.8% | +15.3% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.31 | +323% | 0.97 | +55.5% | −9.1% | +38.5% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +33.4% | −44.7% | +10.8% | −47.0% | — | 28.0% | +20.5% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.25 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +2.1% | −9.5% | +16.7% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +26.4% | — | — | — | — | 25.7% | +15.5% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.10 | +126% | 0.96 | +24.8% | −1.9% | +12.8% | −10.7% | −2.2% | −28.3% | +4.9% | +17.8% | — | — | 25.6% | +16.7% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.41 | +136% | 0.93 | +28.2% | −0.9% | +27.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27.0% | +17.0% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2020 | 2018 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2008 | 2005 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBM International Business Machines Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +116% | 0.66 | −1.2% | −22.6% | −4.9% | −11.4% | −12.4% | −0.2% | −20.8% | −15.8% | −35.4% | −20.8% | 31.3% | +14.9% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.35 | +479% | 1.55 | +10.1% | −24.5% | −12.7% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +66.0% | −39.6% | +18.7% | −8.3% | +108% | 27.3% | +20.2% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.25 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −2.4% | −16.3% | −11.6% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +27.6% | −20.5% | −25.2% | −65.1% | −2.3% | 30.2% | +33.1% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.05 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +6.7% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | −15.2% | +20.1% | −9.4% | −71.1% | 27.0% | +29.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.04 | +413% | 1.44 | +27.1% | −28.4% | +12.0% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +67.7% | −40.4% | +64.9% | −27.2% | +61.2% | 25.7% | +20.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.06 | +690% | 1.41 | −27.4% | −8.2% | +34.8% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | — | — | — | — | 26.3% | +22.8% |
Common questions
What was IBM's worst drawdown?
IBM's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 69.3%, from August 1987 to August 1993. It took about three years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were IBM's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, IBM's best year was 1998, when it returned 77.5%. Its worst was 2002, with a return of -35.4%.
Is there a better investment than IBM?
Among IBM's popular alternatives, DELL, AMZN and HPE were ahead of IBM in most short and long periods. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, CTAS (business services) matched IBM's return over the past 5 years (16.5% a year against 16.6%) with 24% less volatility.
Is IBM more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. IBM's volatility over the past 5 years was 30.5%, 1.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, IBM's return lands within 30.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is IBM's Sharpe ratio?
IBM's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.66, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so IBM earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is IBM with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, IBM's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.36 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against IBM instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a IBM holding.
What are the best alternatives to IBM?
Of the 19 popular alternatives we compared, three outperformed IBM in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: DELL, HPE and AMZN.
Did IBM outperform the S&P 500?
IBM finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 12 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +38.2%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did IBM do in stock market crashes?
IBM fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in four. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when IBM fell 44.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies IBM?
These had a low correlation with IBM over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.05), DXJ (correlation 0.14) and EMLP (correlation 0.13); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.35), CLS (correlation 0.25) and FIX (correlation 0.05). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than IBM's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of IBM's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to IBM
DELLDell Technologies
HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise
AMZNAmazon.com
MSFTMicrosoft
SAPSAP
ORCLOracle
ACNAccenture
INFYInfosys