Relative Intelligence · Gold

How iShares Gold Trust (IAU) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on IAU alone. It places IAU (iShares Gold Trust) against 15 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where IAU stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: IAU's full trading record, from January 2005 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- What you're buyingIAU's 0.25% fee costs about $320 more than IAUM's 0.09% on $10,000 over 20 years, for a fund that tracks the same thing. Better options ↓
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, IAU fell 14.5% while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. IAU is 23.8% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. At a glance ↓
- Fund or market?IAU rose 2.8% over the past 3 months, in line with the S&P 500, which rose 3.9%: a market move, not its own.
- Long termIAU turned $10,000 into $31,800 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Even so, the past 5 years have been the better stretch: IAU rose 128% against 81.7% for the S&P 500, after trailing over the decade. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashIAU has tended to fall less than the S&P 500 in crashes, about 61% of the index's decline. The Covid crash took 12.5% off IAU, against 33.7% for the S&P 500, and less than similar funds such as GLTR (abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF, 23.3%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, IAU has a correlation of 0.16 over 5 years, less closely than 97% of ETFs with at least $100 million in assets. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. Over 10 years, IAU's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.14: 40% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 3% of its losses in falling ones. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- WPM (Wheaton Precious Metals) and GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) were ahead of IAU in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (36.9% and 38.2% volatility against 18.9%).
- Same exposure, lower fee
- A cheaper fund that has kept up over the past decade is SGOL (abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF, 0.17% a year against 0.25%).
- Whole market
- Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IAU with less volatility over the past 5 years.
How much would $10,000 in IAU have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in IAU over the past 20 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of IAU over the same span and IAU's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 20 years rather than IAU's full 21 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in IAU at the end of September 2006 would have grown to $65,633 by September 2026, less than the $82,294 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of IAU, and AAPL finished highest, at $1,447,888.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2006 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 603 of the 1,663 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of IAU; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- AAPL$1M+14,379% total · +28.2% a year
- WPM$171,443+1,614% total · +15.3% a year
- JPM$117,399+1,074% total · +13.1% a year
- RY$94,834+848% total · +11.9% a year
- WMT$94,384+844% total · +11.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$82,294+723% total · +11.1% a year
- IAU$65,633+556% total · +9.9% a year
- SLV$47,604+376% total · +8.1% a year
- GDX$29,025+190% total · +5.5% a year
- TIP$18,709+87.1% total · +3.2% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 582 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of IAU; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- WPM$37,572+276% total · +30.3% a year
- DXJ$32,976+230% total · +27.0% a year
- GDXJ$32,179+222% total · +26.3% a year
- GDX$31,938+219% total · +26.1% a year
- MPLX$30,642+206% total · +25.1% a year
- SLV$26,565+166% total · +21.6% a year
- RY$23,646+136% total · +18.8% a year
- IAU$23,376+134% total · +18.5% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- TIP$9,908−0.9% total · −0.2% a year
IAU at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the fund, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: IAU began trading on January 28, 2005, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- IAU is still 23.8% below its all-time high.
- IAU's deepest decline since it began trading in 2005 was 45.1%, from August 2011 to December 2015. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 20 full calendar years, IAU's best was 2025, when it returned 63.9%, and its worst was 2013, when it lost 28.3%. It lost money in six of those years.
The fund
- Issuer
- IShares
- Began trading
- January 2005
- Expense ratio
- 0.25%per year
- Assets
- $62B
- Category
- Commodities
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −6.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +107%+27.4% a year
- Past 5 years
- +128%+17.9% a year
- Past 10 years
- +218%+12.3% a year
- Best calendar year
- +63.9%2025
- Worst calendar year
- −28.3%2013
- Losing years
- 6 of 20full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 18.9%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.97return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −45.1%Aug 2011 to Dec 2015
- From its all-time high
- −23.8%below the peak
IAU against the whole market
Where IAU ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does IAU rank among all ETFs?
This section ranks IAU on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every ETF worth at least $100 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how IAU stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- IAU's 5-year return ranks in the top 5% of the 1,560 ETFs with at least $100 million in assets with 5 years of history.
- IAU's 1-year return ranks in the bottom 6% of the 2,485 ETFs with at least $100 million in assets with 1 year of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed ETFs with at least $100M in assets that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller ETFs and leveraged funds are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | IAU | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −6.1% | 2,347 of 2,485 | bottom 7% |
| 3-year return | +107% | 184 of 1,949 | top 9% |
| 5-year return | +128% | 75 of 1,560 | top 5% |
| 10-year return | +218% | 230 of 958 | top 24% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 18.9% | 1,027 of 1,560 | bottom 35% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.97 | 139 of 1,560 | top 9% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −26.4% | 157 of 951 | top 17% |
What has beaten IAU on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). IAU sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than IAU with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- None of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IAU over the past 5 years with less volatility: nothing sits in the green region.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to IAU. 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- The whole market
- 2 with more than 1.6× IAU's volatility are in the table only
Is there a better investment than IAU?
Investments that beat IAU over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among IAU's popular alternatives, WPM and GDX were ahead of IAU in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (36.9% and 38.2% volatility against 18.9%).
- A cheaper fund that has kept up over the past decade is SGOL (0.17% a year against 0.25%).
- Nothing in the whole market did better on both counts: none of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than IAU with less volatility over the past 5 years.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat IAU over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes, and, for funds, the same exposure at a lower expense ratio. It checks IAU's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than IAU's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× IAU's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than IAU's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with IAU?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +17.9% | 18.9% | 0.97 | −26.4% | +218% | 1.00 | 0.25% | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.16 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against IAU. 4 of 14 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +27.5% | 36.9% | 0.85 | −46.7% | +510% | 0.80 | — | ||
GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF · Gold Mining | Higher return in most periods | +22.9% | 38.2% | 0.73 | −49.8% | +283% | 0.87 | 0.51% | |
SGOLabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF · Gold | Same exposure, lower expense ratio | +18.0% | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | +218% | 1.00 | 0.17% | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 93 of 3,578 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.11 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.22 | 0.48% | |
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.06 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.05 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.06 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.20 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | -0.03 | — | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatility | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.37 | 0.40% | |
What these numbers mean for IAU
- Annual return
- IAU returned 17.9% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $22,800. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- IAU's volatility over the past 5 years was 18.9%, 1.1 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, IAU's return lands within 18.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- IAU's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.97, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so IAU earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- IAU's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 26.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 26.4% fall takes a 35.8% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, IAU's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.16 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against IAU instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a IAU holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
IAU against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against IAU, compared period by period and year by year.
How do IAU's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at IAU, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only SGOL was both more rewarding and calmer than IAU over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, IAU returned 17.9% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (18.9% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than IAU with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | +27.5% | 36.9% |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | +22.9% | 38.2% |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | +21.4% | 43.0% |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | +18.3% | 37.5% |
| SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | +18.0% | 18.8% |
| IAU This pageiShares Gold Trust | +17.9% | 18.9% |
| DBP Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund | +16.7% | 21.9% |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | +14.9% | 24.6% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | −0.1% | 6.2% |
Has IAU consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares IAU with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than IAU helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- WPM and GDX outperformed IAU in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- Two of the 15 popular alternatives, WPM and GDX, outperformed IAU in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- IAUM, GLDM and AAAU earned more for the risk they took than IAU (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than IAU over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| IAU iShares Gold Trust (this page) | — | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.1% | −6.1% | +107% | +128% | +218% | 18.9% | 0.97 | −26.4% | 0.25% | $62B | — |
| WPM QualifiedWheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −11.1% | +27.0% | −11.8% | +11.8% | +25.2% | +212% | +236% | +510% | 36.9% | 0.85 | −46.7% | — | $60B | — |
| GDX QualifiedVanEck Gold Miners ETF | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −8.8% | +21.7% | −13.1% | +0.4% | +7.9% | +203% | +181% | +283% | 38.2% | 0.73 | −49.8% | 0.51% | $27B | — |
| GDXJ MaterialsVanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 2/5 short2/3 long | −12.1% | +17.7% | −18.0% | −4.7% | +4.0% | +228% | +164% | +202% | 43.0% | 0.67 | −57.8% | 0.52% | $8.1B | — |
| SLV CommoditiesiShares Silver Trust | 1/5 short1/3 long | −12.6% | +2.2% | −27.8% | −20.7% | +9.2% | +144% | +131% | +213% | 37.5% | 0.64 | −52.4% | 0.50% | $29B | — |
| TIP BondsiShares TIPS Bond ETF | 4/5 short0/3 long | −0.2% | −1.7% | −2.1% | −0.7% | −1.5% | +13.3% | −0.3% | +23.5% | 6.2% | 0.02 | −14.5% | 0.18% | $14B | — |
| GLTR Alternativesabrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 1/5 short0/3 long | −8.2% | +1.9% | −20.1% | −12.5% | −2.9% | +106% | +101% | +191% | 24.6% | 0.69 | −37.9% | 0.60% | $2.5B | — |
| DBP AlternativesInvesco DB Precious Metals Fund | 1/5 short0/3 long | −6.8% | +2.6% | −17.7% | −9.6% | −4.0% | +107% | +117% | +181% | 21.9% | 0.82 | −33.3% | 0.76% | $213M | — |
| SGOL Alternativesabrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.1% | +107% | +129% | +218% | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.17% | $7.2B | — |
| OUNZ Broad MarketVanEck Merk Gold ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.1% | −6.2% | +106% | +128% | +216% | 18.9% | 0.97 | −26.3% | 0.25% | $2.7B | — |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.6% | −5.2% | −6.3% | +106% | +126% | +213% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | 0.40% | $143B | — |
| AAAU CommoditiesGoldman Sachs Physical Gold ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.7% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.1% | +107% | +129% | — | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.18% | $2.6B | — |
| BAR CommoditiesGraniteShares Gold Trust | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.1% | +107% | +129% | — | 18.8% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.17% | $1.3B | — |
| FGDL AlternativesFranklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.1% | +3.0% | −14.6% | −5.4% | −6.4% | +107% | — | — | — | — | −26.6% | 0.15% | $435M | — |
| GLDM CommoditiesSPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.2% | +2.8% | −14.5% | −5.0% | −6.0% | +108% | +130% | — | 18.9% | 0.98 | −26.3% | 0.10% | $31B | — |
| IAUM CommoditiesiShares Gold Trust Micro | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.1% | +2.9% | −14.4% | −4.9% | −5.9% | +108% | +130% | — | 18.8% | 0.99 | −26.3% | 0.09% | $8.0B | — |
How did IAU do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2006, along with where IAU ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with IAU and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: IAU began trading on January 28, 2005, so the table starts with 2006, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, IAU finished in the top quarter in ten of 19 years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 8 of 9.
- IAU finished ahead of the S&P 500 in ten of its 20 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, WPM came out ahead of IAU most often, in 13 of the 20 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of IAU; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places IAU among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of IAU | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU This pageiShares Gold Trust | — | +63.9% | +26.9% | +12.8% | −0.6% | −4.0% | +25.0% | +18.0% | −1.8% | +12.9% | +8.3% | −10.6% | −2.1% | −28.2% | +6.9% | +9.6% | +29.5% | +23.9% | +5.1% | +30.4% | +22.2% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 10 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 6 | 2 of 5 | — |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 10 of 20 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 13 of 20 | +111% | +15.2% | +27.9% | −7.6% | +4.2% | +41.8% | +54.7% | −10.0% | +16.1% | +57.1% | −38.2% | +1.9% | −43.0% | +25.9% | −25.4% | +160% | +131% | −61.8% | +61.9% | +80.8% |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 5 of 19 | +155% | +10.7% | +10.0% | −9.0% | −9.5% | +23.7% | +39.8% | −8.8% | +12.0% | +53.0% | −24.7% | −12.4% | −54.0% | −8.9% | −16.1% | +33.9% | +36.7% | −26.1% | +16.8% | — |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 5 of 16 | +172% | +15.7% | +7.1% | −14.5% | −21.3% | +30.4% | +40.4% | −11.0% | +8.2% | +73.0% | −19.1% | −22.4% | −60.8% | −16.8% | −34.0% | +67.0% | — | — | — | — |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 7 of 19 | +145% | +20.9% | −1.1% | +2.4% | −12.4% | +47.3% | +14.9% | −9.2% | +5.8% | +14.6% | −12.4% | −19.5% | −36.3% | +9.0% | −10.7% | +82.5% | +47.7% | −23.8% | +14.3% | — |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 5 of 20 | +6.8% | +1.7% | +3.8% | −12.3% | +5.7% | +10.8% | +8.4% | −1.4% | +2.9% | +4.7% | −1.8% | +3.6% | −8.5% | +6.4% | +13.3% | +6.1% | +8.9% | +0.1% | +12.0% | +0.3% |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 5 of 15 | +87.3% | +20.6% | +2.0% | −0.3% | −9.6% | +29.5% | +21.0% | −2.9% | +12.9% | +10.1% | −14.1% | −7.8% | −28.8% | +7.6% | −2.4% | — | — | — | — | — |
| DBP Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund | 4 of 18 | +73.4% | +26.7% | +8.7% | −1.5% | −7.1% | +26.8% | +15.9% | −4.3% | +10.6% | +8.2% | −12.1% | −6.5% | −31.4% | +6.0% | +4.0% | +37.5% | +26.6% | −3.0% | — | — |
| SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 0 of 16 | +64.0% | +26.9% | +13.0% | −0.5% | −3.9% | +25.0% | +18.2% | −1.9% | +12.8% | +8.0% | −10.7% | −2.1% | −28.3% | +6.7% | +9.6% | +29.3% | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How IAU has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were IAU's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents IAU's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2005, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: IAU began trading on January 28, 2005, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In four of IAU's five worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: IAU fell 45.1% from August 2011 to December 2015, while the S&P 500 rose 102%.
- The slowest recovery came after IAU fell 45.1% from August 2011 to December 2015; it did not regain that peak until July 2020, five years later.
Green means IAU fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | IAU fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −45.1% | +102% | Aug 2011 | Dec 2015 | 4.3 years | Jul 2020 | 4.6 years |
| 2008 financial crisis | −29.2% | −32.0% | Mar 2008 | Nov 2008 | 8 months | Sep 2009 | 10 months |
| No named crash | −26.4% | +8.7% | Jan 2026 | Jul 2026 | 6 months | Not yet | — |
| No named crash | −22.0% | −5.7% | May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 1 month | Sep 2007 | 15 months |
| 2022 bear market | −21.8% | +12.6% | Aug 2020 | Sep 2022 | 2.1 years | Mar 2024 | 18 months |
How did IAU do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far IAU, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: IAU began trading on January 28, 2005, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- IAU fell less than the S&P 500 in all nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when IAU fell 29.2% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- Among its popular alternatives, TIP held up best, falling less than IAU in seven of the nine crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than IAU.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU This pageiShares Gold Trust | — | 0.0% | −20.9% | −12.5% | −2.6% | −1.8% | −11.6% | −15.4% | −0.1% | −29.2% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −43.3% | −28.7% | −14.8% | −10.0% | −29.0% | −28.8% | 0.0% | −86.8% | — |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 0 of 9 | −0.5% | −46.5% | −38.8% | −8.4% | −5.3% | −25.5% | −18.3% | −1.6% | −71.0% | — |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 0 of 8 | −0.3% | −48.8% | −50.7% | −12.2% | −5.4% | −26.3% | −29.7% | −1.9% | — | — |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −33.0% | −35.6% | −5.1% | −2.2% | −15.3% | −32.3% | 0.0% | −57.1% | — |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 7 of 9 | 0.0% | −14.3% | −11.2% | −2.0% | −1.1% | −2.5% | −3.8% | −0.2% | −14.4% | — |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 0 of 7 | 0.0% | −26.3% | −23.3% | −3.2% | −2.4% | −13.8% | −22.7% | — | — | — |
| DBP Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −24.2% | −16.4% | −3.1% | −1.8% | −12.5% | −19.2% | 0.0% | −36.1% | — |
| SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 0 of 8 | 0.0% | −20.9% | −12.6% | −2.7% | −1.6% | −11.7% | −15.3% | −0.1% | — | — |
How closely does IAU move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares IAU with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, IAU captured 40% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 3% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.14. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only SGOL had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than IAU's 13.05, out of eight popular alternatives with the same record.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than IAU's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU This pageiShares Gold Trust | 40% | 3% | 13.05 | 0.14 |
| SGOL abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF | 40% | 3% | 14.08 | 0.14 |
| DBP Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund | 44% | 21% | 2.15 | 0.22 |
| WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 78% | 37% | 2.09 | 0.48 |
| GLTR abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF | 51% | 32% | 1.61 | 0.27 |
| GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF | 79% | 69% | 1.15 | 0.68 |
| SLV iShares Silver Trust | 78% | 79% | 0.98 | 0.58 |
| GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF | 86% | 95% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 15% | 17% | 0.87 | 0.18 |
What diversifies IAU?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with IAU's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing IAU with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in IAU into SPMO would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+18.5% for IAU alone, +19.8% for the mix).
- MPC made money in five of the six calendar years in which IAU lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of IAU over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.37 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which IAU lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% IAU and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU iShares Gold Trust (this page) | 1.00 | +128% | 0.97 | −0.6% | −4.0% | −1.8% | −10.6% | −2.1% | −28.2% | 17.2% | +18.5% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.37 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | +17.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | 14.6% | +18.4% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.22 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +18.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | +8.1% | +41.3% | 14.5% | +20.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.26 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | +23.1% | −8.7% | −25.3% | +23.8% | +16.6% | 14.8% | +18.2% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.33 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | +19.6% | −3.0% | −0.3% | +12.6% | +23.8% | 14.9% | +17.5% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.07 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +42.1% | −9.1% | −0.3% | +30.2% | +33.4% | 15.9% | +23.4% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.28 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | +19.6% | −9.5% | +4.1% | +3.4% | +26.4% | 14.5% | +17.8% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -0.05 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +22.7% | −0.9% | — | — | — | 14.2% | +19.8% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.10 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | +53.3% | −18.2% | −21.5% | −8.7% | +26.3% | 15.2% | +20.2% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU iShares Gold Trust (this page) | 1.00 | +128% | 0.97 | −0.6% | −4.0% | −1.8% | −10.6% | −2.1% | −28.2% | 17.2% | +18.5% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.05 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −0.4% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +23.0% | +66.0% | 15.0% | +23.0% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | -0.07 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | +37.9% | −16.3% | −6.0% | +12.9% | +27.6% | 17.4% | +36.7% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.00 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +89.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −10.4% | +61.7% | 16.4% | +32.3% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.20 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +44.2% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +29.3% | +67.7% | 15.6% | +22.2% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | -0.01 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | +61.0% | −8.2% | +17.4% | +0.4% | +48.6% | 15.2% | +25.3% |
Common questions
What was IAU's worst drawdown?
IAU's deepest decline since it began trading in 2005 was 45.1%, from August 2011 to December 2015. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because IAU launched in January 2005, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were IAU's best and worst years?
Over 20 full calendar years, IAU's best year was 2025, when it returned 63.9%. Its worst was 2013, with a return of -28.3%.
Is there a better investment than IAU?
Among IAU's popular alternatives, WPM and GDX were ahead of IAU in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (36.9% and 38.2% volatility against 18.9%). A cheaper fund that has kept up over the past decade is SGOL (0.17% a year against 0.25%).
Is IAU more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. IAU's volatility over the past 5 years was 18.9%, 1.1 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, IAU's return lands within 18.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is IAU's Sharpe ratio?
IAU's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.97, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so IAU earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is IAU with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, IAU's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.16 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against IAU instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a IAU holding.
What are the best alternatives to IAU?
Of the 15 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed IAU in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: WPM and GDX.
Did IAU outperform the S&P 500?
IAU finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in ten of 20 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +63.9%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did IAU do in stock market crashes?
IAU fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in nine of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in no. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when IAU fell 29.2% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies IAU?
These had a low correlation with IAU over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.37), DXJ (correlation 0.22) and EMLP (correlation 0.26); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.05), CLS (correlation -0.07) and FIX (correlation -0.00). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than IAU's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of IAU's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.