Relative Intelligence · Cruise Lines

How Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on RCL alone. It places RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.) against 9 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where RCL stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: RCL's full trading record, from April 1993 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowIts cruise line peers split over the past 6 months: LIND (Lindblad Expeditions) rose 75.1%, while NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line) fell 22.8%. Over the past 6 months, RCL rose 3.1% against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?RCL rose 1.2% over the past 3 months, in line with the consumer discretionary sector ETF XLY (State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF), which rose 1.0%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: RCL rose 15.0% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsRCL has gone against the market, falling 3.1% over the past year while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. RCL led its cruise line peers in 2023, then fell behind VIK (Viking) and LIND (Lindblad Expeditions) in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termRCL turned $10,000 into $45,900 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. RCL's 10-year return of 359% puts it ahead of 79% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, RCL has typically fallen 2.1 times as far as the S&P 500. The Covid crash took 79.7% off RCL, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than CCL (Carnival Corporation & plc, 78.3%) but less than NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line, 85.1%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationRCL is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.57 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.60 with the total US market, more closely than 86% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- MAR (Marriott International) fell less than RCL in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
- Nearby categories and themes
- HLT (Hilton Worldwide, hotels & resorts) and IHG (InterContinental Hotels Group, hotels & resorts) fell less than RCL in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
- Whole market
- 85 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RCL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing), AVGO (Broadcom) and LLY (Eli Lilly and Company).
How much would $10,000 in RCL have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in RCL over the past 27 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of RCL over the same span and RCL's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 27 years rather than RCL's full 29 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in RCL at the end of September 1999 would have grown to $85,956 by September 2026, less than the $95,018 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the seven other investments on the chart ended ahead of RCL, and TSM finished highest, at $782,499.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1999 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 666 of the 1,166 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of RCL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 2 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- TSM$782,499+7,725% total · +17.5% a year
- LLY$364,989+3,550% total · +14.3% a year
- MCK$361,030+3,510% total · +14.2% a year
- MAR$299,361+2,894% total · +13.4% a year
- BKNG$107,744+977% total · +9.2% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$95,018+850% total · +8.7% a year
- RCL$85,956+760% total · +8.3% a year
- DIS$53,708+437% total · +6.4% a year
- CCL$9,360−6.4% total · −0.2% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 333 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of RCL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- SMH$48,982+390% total · +37.4% a year
- APH$48,728+387% total · +37.3% a year
- MCK$43,941+339% total · +34.5% a year
- TSM$43,622+336% total · +34.3% a year
- RCL$30,918+209% total · +25.3% a year
- MAR$25,049+150% total · +20.2% a year
- LIND$21,542+115% total · +16.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- EXPE$16,292+62.9% total · +10.3% a year
RCL at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- RCL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 89.5%, from December 2004 to March 2009. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, RCL's best was 2023, when it returned 162%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 67.1%. It lost money in ten of those years.
- RCL is 19.5% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $77B
- Industry
- Travel Services
- Price history from
- April 1993
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −3.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +272%+54.9% a year
- Past 5 years
- +255%+28.8% a year
- Past 10 years
- +359%+16.5% a year
- Best calendar year
- +162%2023
- Worst calendar year
- −67.1%2008
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 48.4%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.77return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −89.5%Dec 2004 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −19.5%below the peak
RCL against the whole market
Where RCL ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does RCL rank among all stocks?
This section ranks RCL on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how RCL stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- RCL's 5-year return ranks in the top 8% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million with 5 years of history.
- RCL's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the bottom 20% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | RCL | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −3.1% | 2,113 of 3,287 | bottom 37% |
| 3-year return | +272% | 262 of 3,017 | top 9% |
| 5-year return | +255% | 220 of 2,893 | top 8% |
| 10-year return | +359% | 471 of 2,202 | top 21% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 48.4% | 1,853 of 2,893 | bottom 37% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.77 | 335 of 2,893 | top 12% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −83.3% | 1,741 of 2,187 | bottom 21% |
What has beaten RCL on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). RCL sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than RCL with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 84 stocks and one ETF worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than RCL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 2% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half RCL's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 49% less than RCL's 48.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.77 for RCL. ATI earned the most, 61.8% a year, while still swinging less than RCL (42.9% against 48.4%).
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to RCL; faint dots are 78 more of the 85 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than RCL?
Investments that beat RCL over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among RCL's popular alternatives, MAR fell less than RCL in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, HLT (hotels & resorts) and IHG (hotels & resorts) fell less than RCL in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
- Across the whole market, 85 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RCL with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them TSM, AVGO and LLY.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat RCL over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks RCL's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than RCL follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than RCL's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× RCL's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than RCL's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with RCL?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +28.8% | 48.4% | 0.77 | −83.3% | +359% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.57 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against RCL. 1 of 8 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +22.0% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +544% | 0.66 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 3 shownEverything else in Cruise Lines and the categories next to it (Travel Services, Hotels & Resorts, Airlines), plus RCL's specific themes. 3 of 15 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Smaller losses in recent crashes | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.69 | — | ||
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Smaller losses in recent crashes | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.61 | — | |
HTHTH World Group Limited · Hotels & Resorts | Smaller losses in recent crashes | +2.0% | 49.6% | 0.28 | −64.0% | +393% | -0.17 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 366 of 3,610 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.05 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.12 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.46 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.40 | 0.35% | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +29.5% | 38.4% | 0.87 | −54.2% | +352% | 0.12 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +58.0% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | +13,019% | 0.39 | — | ||
EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.41 | 0.59% | |
What these numbers mean for RCL
- Annual return
- RCL returned 28.8% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $35,500. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- RCL's volatility over the past 5 years was 48.4%, 2.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, RCL's return lands within 48.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- RCL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.77, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so RCL earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- RCL's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 83.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 83.3% fall takes a 499% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, RCL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.57 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against RCL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a RCL holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 85 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than RCL with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with RCL | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.37 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.05 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.12 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.46 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | 0.28 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +34.3% | 32.0% | 1.09 | −77.1% | +430% | 0.31 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.40 | 0.35% | |
| 8 | Whole market | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.24 | — | |
| 9 | COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | -0.03 | — |
| 10 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.17 | — |
| 11 | Whole market | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.30 | — | |
| 12 | UFPTUFP Technologies, Inc. · Medical - Devices | Whole market | +35.8% | 46.0% | 0.90 | −48.3% | +1,006% | 0.27 | — |
| 13 | Whole market | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +674% | 0.23 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +31.7% | 33.9% | 0.99 | −73.8% | +332% | 0.41 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +38.7% | 33.3% | 1.16 | −69.6% | +542% | 0.45 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.23 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.35 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +32.0% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | +1,017% | 0.30 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +33.2% | 32.9% | 1.04 | −64.2% | +430% | 0.26 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.20 | — | |
| 21 | CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc. · Technology Distributors | Whole market | +37.8% | 45.5% | 0.94 | −53.4% | +847% | 0.31 | — |
| 22 | Whole market | +48.3% | 44.5% | 1.11 | −48.3% | +2,380% | 0.27 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +32.9% | 42.2% | 0.89 | −56.9% | +483% | 0.40 | — | |
| 24 | STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +32.2% | 38.0% | 0.93 | −68.5% | +1,018% | 0.47 | — |
| 25 | CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Whole market | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.36 | — |
| 26 | DINOHF Sinclair Corporation · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +31.8% | 38.8% | 0.91 | −77.3% | +649% | 0.14 | — |
| 27 | MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.45 | — |
| 28 | Whole market | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.45 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.14 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.46 | — | |
| 31 | ENVAEnova International, Inc. · Consumer Finance | Whole market | +37.8% | 41.9% | 0.98 | −77.6% | +1,819% | 0.51 | — |
| 32 | TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +50.5% | 45.1% | 1.14 | −63.4% | +490% | 0.05 | — |
| 33 | GFFGriffon Corporation · Building Products | Whole market | +36.4% | 41.7% | 0.95 | −61.3% | +761% | 0.19 | — |
| 34 | DHTDHT Holdings, Inc. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +38.7% | 39.0% | 1.04 | −39.7% | +1,050% | 0.08 | — |
| 35 | LPGDorian LPG Ltd. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +54.6% | 43.6% | 1.22 | −62.9% | +1,821% | 0.22 | — |
| 36 | EZPWEZCORP, Inc. · Financial - Credit Services | Whole market | +33.2% | 35.4% | 0.99 | −76.6% | +202% | 0.15 | — |
| 37 | ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | 0.19 | — |
| 38 | ATIATI Inc. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +61.8% | 42.9% | 1.34 | −82.4% | +929% | 0.37 | — |
| 39 | EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.39 | — |
| 40 | Whole market | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.42 | — | |
| 41 | JBLJabil Inc. · Electronics Manufacturing | Whole market | +35.8% | 39.6% | 0.97 | −57.3% | +1,264% | 0.45 | — |
| 42 | CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc. · Convenience Stores | Whole market | +29.9% | 29.3% | 1.04 | −36.1% | +537% | 0.29 | — |
| 43 | NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +32.5% | 36.2% | 0.96 | −46.5% | +682% | 0.32 | — |
| 44 | CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.50 | — |
| 45 | MLIMueller Industries, Inc. · Metal Fabrication | Whole market | +38.9% | 33.4% | 1.16 | −53.0% | +800% | 0.33 | — |
| 46 | IDCCInterDigital, Inc. · Intellectual Property Licensing | Whole market | +39.0% | 36.9% | 1.08 | −64.9% | +395% | 0.45 | — |
| 47 | Whole market | +31.9% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | +1,274% | 0.35 | — | |
| 48 | SNEXStoneX Group Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +33.0% | 37.3% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +670% | 0.23 | — |
| 49 | Whole market | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.37 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.31 | — | |
| 51 | USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · Construction Materials | Whole market | +35.6% | 36.1% | 1.03 | −45.9% | +803% | 0.45 | — |
| 52 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | — | 0.15 | — |
| 53 | Whole market | +32.2% | 42.8% | 0.86 | −85.5% | −3.6% | 0.17 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.32 | — | |
| 55 | Whole market | +39.3% | 37.2% | 1.08 | −45.5% | +2,045% | 0.31 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +33.1% | 32.5% | 1.05 | −73.5% | +295% | 0.15 | — | |
| 57 | THCTenet Healthcare Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.9% | 45.1% | 0.86 | −71.7% | +1,058% | 0.28 | — |
| 58 | EMBJEmbraer S.A. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +32.8% | 45.0% | 0.86 | −85.2% | +283% | 0.46 | — |
| 59 | BAPCredicorp Ltd. · Banks | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.3% | 1.04 | −59.2% | +298% | 0.52 | — |
| 60 | SBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESP · Water Utilities | Whole market | +39.1% | 37.1% | 1.08 | −62.0% | +293% | 0.45 | — |
| 61 | LGNDLigand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated · Biotechnology | Whole market | +30.2% | 44.2% | 0.82 | −76.9% | +414% | 0.23 | — |
| 62 | NVTnVent Electric plc · Electrical Equipment | Whole market | +35.4% | 38.0% | 0.99 | −56.2% | — | 0.50 | — |
| 63 | Whole market | +31.4% | 42.1% | 0.86 | −51.5% | +616% | 0.28 | — | |
| 64 | AGIAlamos Gold Inc. · Gold Mining | Whole market | +32.6% | 42.4% | 0.88 | −66.1% | +294% | 0.00 | — |
| 65 | NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P. · Coal | Whole market | +37.4% | 33.9% | 1.11 | −78.8% | +632% | 0.06 | — |
| 66 | JXNJackson Financial Inc. · Life Insurance | Whole market | +41.7% | 43.3% | 1.03 | −48.4% | — | 0.53 | — |
| 67 | TKTeekay Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +47.1% | 41.7% | 1.13 | −83.8% | +244% | 0.10 | — |
| 68 | LAURLaureate Education, Inc. · Education Services | Whole market | +37.5% | 32.8% | 1.14 | −64.5% | — | 0.32 | — |
| 69 | UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings, Inc. · Insurance - Property & Casualty | Whole market | +34.3% | 42.8% | 0.91 | −79.6% | +216% | 0.06 | — |
| 70 | TRMDTORM plc · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +54.3% | 45.9% | 1.18 | −60.6% | — | -0.05 | — |
| 71 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.58 | — |
| 72 | ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.7% | 31.7% | 1.03 | −56.5% | — | 0.46 | — |
| 73 | IGICInternational General Insurance Holdings Ltd. · Insurance - Diversified | Whole market | +30.8% | 30.9% | 1.03 | −50.6% | — | 0.18 | — |
| 74 | ODCOil-Dri Corporation of America · Chemicals - Specialty | Whole market | +35.9% | 36.9% | 1.02 | −48.9% | +460% | 0.25 | — |
| 75 | ASCArdmore Shipping Corporation · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +41.7% | 44.8% | 1.01 | −71.2% | +259% | 0.10 | — |
| 76 | Whole market | +36.0% | 31.0% | 1.15 | −80.9% | +139% | 0.58 | — | |
| 77 | FTITechnipFMC plc · Oilfield Services | Whole market | +54.1% | 41.3% | 1.26 | −85.8% | +178% | 0.37 | — |
| 78 | KGCKinross Gold Corporation · Gold Mining | Whole market | +32.7% | 45.6% | 0.85 | −67.9% | +572% | 0.12 | — |
| 79 | UNMUnum Group · Life Insurance | Whole market | +30.6% | 29.3% | 1.06 | −81.0% | +256% | 0.19 | — |
| 80 | BVNCompañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +30.9% | 45.4% | 0.82 | −70.2% | +141% | 0.23 | — |
| 81 | AROCArchrock, Inc. · Oilfield Services | Whole market | +33.1% | 36.4% | 0.97 | −84.9% | +288% | 0.42 | — |
| 82 | CAAPCorporacion America Airports S.A. · Infrastructure | Whole market | +35.1% | 35.9% | 1.02 | −89.9% | — | 0.46 | — |
| 83 | STNGScorpio Tankers Inc. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +37.9% | 43.6% | 0.96 | −80.6% | +126% | -0.09 | — |
| 84 | WTWisdomTree, Inc. · Asset Management | Whole market | +31.4% | 32.8% | 1.00 | −84.0% | +174% | 0.36 | — |
| 85 | PAMPampa Energía S.A. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +30.2% | 45.1% | 0.81 | −87.4% | +128% | 0.30 | — |
RCL against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against RCL, compared period by period and year by year.
How do RCL's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at RCL, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the eight popular alternatives earned more than RCL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Four of the eight popular alternatives earned less than RCL over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, RCL returned 28.8% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (48.4% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than RCL with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| RCL This pageRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | +28.8% | 48.4% |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | +22.0% | 28.6% |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | +19.1% | 66.4% |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | +13.3% | 46.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | +12.0% | 33.2% |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | +4.2% | 55.2% |
| DIS The Walt Disney Company | −7.5% | 29.5% |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | −9.1% | 48.4% |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | −9.4% | 57.4% |
Has RCL consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares RCL with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than RCL helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the nine popular alternatives outperformed RCL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was MAR.
- MAR earned more for the risk it took than RCL (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than RCL over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (this page) | — | +15.0% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +3.3% | −3.1% | +272% | +255% | +359% | 48.4% | 0.77 | −83.3% | — | $77B | — |
| MAR Travel LodgingMarriott International, Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +15.9% | +8.5% | +5.3% | +27.5% | +54.1% | +117% | +170% | +544% | 28.6% | 0.84 | −61.3% | — | $104B | — |
| LIND Travel ServicesLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +25.3% | +28.4% | +75.1% | +145% | +195% | +477% | +139% | +317% | 66.4% | 0.59 | −83.2% | — | $2.3B | — |
| EXPE Travel ServicesExpedia Group, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +7.0% | +13.6% | +10.5% | +6.9% | +38.8% | +226% | +86.3% | +154% | 46.5% | 0.50 | −70.5% | — | $34B | — |
| DIS EntertainmentThe Walt Disney Company | 3/5 short0/3 long | +7.1% | +15.8% | +5.8% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +39.3% | −32.5% | +31.7% | 29.5% | -0.12 | −60.7% | — | $193B | — |
| CCL Travel ServicesCarnival Corporation & plc | 2/5 short0/3 long | +21.3% | +4.5% | −5.6% | −11.1% | −4.7% | +149% | +22.6% | −34.6% | 55.2% | 0.35 | −90.4% | — | $36B | — |
| VIK Travel ServicesViking Holdings Ltd | 2/5 short0/3 long | +1.4% | −10.0% | +1.3% | +20.7% | +43.5% | — | — | — | — | — | −35.4% | — | $39B | — |
| AAL Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAmerican Airlines Group Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −10.8% | −20.0% | −1.1% | −21.8% | −0.5% | +9.3% | −38.0% | −69.0% | 48.4% | 0.04 | −84.1% | — | $8.0B | — |
| BKNG Travel ServicesBooking Holdings Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.7% | −8.4% | −14.2% | −22.5% | −19.6% | +52.2% | +75.9% | +186% | 33.2% | 0.51 | −47.8% | — | $123B | — |
| NCLH Travel ServicesNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +9.9% | −19.7% | −22.8% | −31.3% | −32.7% | +15.2% | −38.9% | −59.6% | 57.4% | 0.12 | −87.3% | — | $7.2B | — |
How did RCL do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where RCL ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with RCL and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- RCL finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 17 of its 29 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last three.
- None of the eight popular alternatives came out ahead of RCL in most of the years they have in common.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, RCL finished in the top quarter in ten of 26 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 4 of 10.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of RCL; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places RCL among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of RCL | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL This pageRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | — | +22.5% | +79.0% | +162% | −35.7% | +3.0% | −43.5% | +39.9% | −16.1% | +48.2% | −17.1% | +24.7% | +76.9% | +42.1% | +39.3% | −46.9% | +85.9% | +83.8% | −67.1% | +4.0% | −6.8% | −16.2% | +58.4% | +113% | +6.0% | −37.2% | −45.3% | +34.6% | +40.3% | +132% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 10 of 26 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 | — | — | — |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 12 of 29 | +12.3% | +24.9% | +53.0% | −9.3% | +25.3% | −12.5% | +41.5% | −19.0% | +66.2% | +25.4% | −13.0% | +60.0% | +34.4% | +29.5% | −24.6% | +53.4% | +42.4% | −42.3% | −27.9% | +43.5% | +6.9% | +37.2% | +41.7% | −18.5% | −3.2% | +34.9% | +9.6% | +37.2% | +26.9% |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 3 of 12 | +21.6% | +5.2% | +46.4% | −50.6% | −8.9% | +4.7% | +21.5% | +37.5% | +3.6% | −14.9% | +12.4% | +2.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 10 of 20 | +53.3% | +22.8% | +73.3% | −51.5% | +36.5% | +22.9% | −2.9% | −5.0% | +6.7% | −8.1% | +46.8% | +23.5% | +14.5% | +116% | +151% | −0.3% | +212% | −73.9% | +50.6% | −12.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DIS The Walt Disney Company | 10 of 29 | +3.3% | +24.4% | +4.3% | −43.9% | −14.5% | +25.3% | +33.5% | +3.6% | +4.8% | +0.7% | +12.9% | +24.9% | +55.3% | +34.8% | +1.6% | +17.6% | +43.8% | −28.7% | −4.6% | +44.3% | −12.9% | +20.2% | +44.5% | −20.3% | −27.7% | −0.4% | −1.5% | −8.5% | +42.8% |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | 8 of 29 | +22.6% | +34.4% | +130% | −60.0% | −7.1% | −56.9% | +7.4% | −23.4% | +30.8% | −1.7% | +22.9% | +15.7% | +12.4% | +17.6% | −27.2% | +47.1% | +30.3% | −42.4% | −6.6% | −6.1% | −5.8% | +46.8% | +61.6% | −9.9% | −7.5% | −34.4% | +0.4% | +75.0% | +69.6% |
| VIK Viking Holdings Ltd | 1 of 1 | +62.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | 9 of 20 | −12.0% | +26.9% | +8.0% | −29.2% | +13.9% | −44.8% | −9.6% | −37.7% | +12.4% | +11.5% | −20.3% | +113% | +87.0% | +166% | −49.4% | +107% | −37.5% | −47.4% | −72.7% | +45.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 13 of 26 | +8.6% | +41.3% | +76.0% | −16.0% | +7.7% | +8.5% | +19.2% | −0.9% | +18.5% | +15.0% | +11.8% | −1.9% | +87.3% | +32.7% | +17.1% | +82.8% | +197% | −35.7% | +164% | +94.9% | −5.4% | +31.8% | +86.5% | −72.6% | +345% | −97.2% | — | — | — |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 0 of 12 | −13.3% | +28.4% | +63.7% | −41.0% | −18.4% | −56.5% | +37.8% | −20.4% | +25.2% | −27.4% | +25.3% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How RCL has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were RCL's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents RCL's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1993, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of RCL's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: RCL fell 35.6% from December 2015 to September 2016, while the S&P 500 rose 5.2%.
- The slowest recovery came after RCL fell 89.5% from December 2004 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until January 2014, five years later.
Green means RCL fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | RCL fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −89.5% | −37.0% | Dec 2004 | Mar 2009 | 4.3 years | Jan 2014 | 4.8 years |
| Dot-com bust | −84.4% | −21.2% | Nov 1999 | Oct 2001 | 23 months | Dec 2004 | 3.2 years |
| Covid crash | −83.3% | −27.7% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 months | Mar 2024 | 4 years |
| No named crash | −58.6% | −18.2% | Jul 1998 | Oct 1998 | 3 months | Jun 1999 | 8 months |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −35.6% | +5.2% | Dec 2015 | Sep 2016 | 9 months | Mar 2017 | 6 months |
How did RCL do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far RCL, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- RCL fell further than the S&P 500 in nine of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when RCL fell 79.7% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, MAR held up best, falling less than RCL in nine of the ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than RCL.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL This pageRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | — | −11.1% | −64.5% | −79.7% | −31.5% | −5.6% | −35.5% | −45.1% | −4.3% | −87.2% | −72.3% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 9 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 9 of 10 | −7.4% | −29.9% | −56.6% | −24.0% | −5.2% | −24.9% | −25.6% | −2.8% | −70.1% | −46.2% |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 5 of 6 | −5.4% | −66.5% | −79.1% | −17.5% | −2.8% | −14.5% | — | — | — | — |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −11.4% | −58.2% | −62.4% | −18.2% | −19.6% | −33.2% | −22.9% | −4.7% | −82.5% | — |
| DIS The Walt Disney Company | 9 of 10 | −6.8% | −41.8% | −39.3% | −14.9% | −6.8% | −25.5% | −28.7% | −1.8% | −54.9% | −67.6% |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | 8 of 10 | −12.3% | −72.6% | −78.3% | −30.6% | −4.5% | −24.0% | −19.5% | −3.5% | −68.9% | −46.3% |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | 6 of 9 | −10.5% | −41.3% | −64.0% | −31.6% | −7.0% | −23.3% | −32.0% | −0.2% | −94.4% | — |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 8 of 10 | −5.6% | −39.5% | −41.5% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −33.7% | −17.8% | −3.2% | −66.3% | −98.9% |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 1 of 6 | −11.7% | −56.2% | −85.1% | −31.7% | −5.1% | −40.1% | — | — | — | — |
How closely does RCL move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares RCL with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only MAR and BKNG had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than RCL's 0.74, out of eight popular alternatives with the same record.
- Over the past 10 years, RCL captured 171% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 231% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 2.24. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than RCL's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL This pageRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 171% | 231% | 0.74 | 2.24 |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 132% | 137% | 0.96 | 1.46 |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 99% | 123% | 0.81 | 1.17 |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 104% | 144% | 0.72 | 1.48 |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 175% | 246% | 0.71 | 2.35 |
| DIS The Walt Disney Company | 90% | 162% | 0.56 | 1.32 |
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc | 135% | 289% | 0.47 | 2.30 |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 128% | 301% | 0.43 | 2.32 |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | 70% | 199% | 0.35 | 1.53 |
What diversifies RCL?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with RCL's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing RCL with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in RCL into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+25.3% for RCL alone, +26.7% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of RCL over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.42 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in seven of the ten calendar years in which RCL lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which RCL lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% RCL and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2020 | 2018 | 2016 | 2011 | 2008 | 2006 | 2005 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (this page) | 1.00 | +255% | 0.77 | −35.7% | −43.5% | −16.1% | −17.1% | −46.9% | −67.1% | −6.8% | −16.2% | −37.2% | −45.3% | 49.9% | +25.3% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.42 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | −9.0% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40.8% | +25.8% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.40 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +1.1% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | — | — | 41.0% | +27.9% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.42 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | −13.4% | −8.7% | +29.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41.2% | +25.4% |
| FTLS Broad MarketFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF | 0.46 | +62.9% | 0.99 | −5.6% | +2.6% | −4.8% | +6.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40.7% | +24.5% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.40 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +55.5% | −9.1% | +35.6% | +6.8% | −44.7% | −6.7% | +10.8% | −14.6% | — | 43.2% | +30.0% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.00 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | +24.8% | −1.9% | +8.0% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +22.6% | +17.8% | — | — | 40.1% | +26.7% |
| IOO InternationaliShares Global 100 ETF | 0.48 | +107% | 0.94 | −16.3% | +18.6% | −6.3% | +8.3% | −4.1% | −36.1% | +19.9% | +4.3% | −14.3% | — | 41.5% | +25.6% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.43 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +28.2% | −0.9% | +7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41.9% | +26.6% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2020 | 2018 | 2016 | 2011 | 2008 | 2006 | 2005 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (this page) | 1.00 | +255% | 0.77 | −35.7% | −43.5% | −16.1% | −17.1% | −46.9% | −67.1% | −6.8% | −16.2% | −37.2% | −45.3% | 49.9% | +25.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.35 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +10.1% | −24.5% | −17.5% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −5.8% | +18.7% | −2.5% | +108% | 42.1% | +30.1% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.38 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −2.4% | −16.3% | +7.4% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −26.0% | −25.2% | −25.6% | −2.3% | 45.6% | +43.0% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.28 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +6.7% | +0.8% | +18.3% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +38.9% | +20.1% | +73.7% | −71.1% | 43.3% | +39.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.12 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +27.1% | −28.4% | −28.3% | +11.8% | −40.4% | −1.2% | +64.9% | +4.9% | +61.2% | 40.8% | +30.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.14 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | −27.4% | −8.2% | +0.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41.3% | +32.8% |
Common questions
What was RCL's worst drawdown?
RCL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 89.5%, from December 2004 to March 2009. It took about five years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were RCL's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, RCL's best year was 2023, when it returned 162%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -67.1%.
Is there a better investment than RCL?
Among RCL's popular alternatives, MAR fell less than RCL in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, HLT (hotels & resorts) and IHG (hotels & resorts) fell less than RCL in each recent sell-off and kept up with it over the past decade.
Is RCL more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. RCL's volatility over the past 5 years was 48.4%, 2.8 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, RCL's return lands within 48.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is RCL's Sharpe ratio?
RCL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.77, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so RCL earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is RCL with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, RCL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.57 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against RCL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a RCL holding.
What are the best alternatives to RCL?
None of the nine popular alternatives we compared outperformed RCL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about RCL's strength than about its alternatives.
Did RCL outperform the S&P 500?
RCL finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 17 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +22.5%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did RCL do in stock market crashes?
RCL fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in one of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in nine. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when RCL fell 79.7% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies RCL?
These had a low correlation with RCL over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.42), DXJ (correlation 0.40) and EMLP (correlation 0.42); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.35), CLS (correlation 0.38) and FIX (correlation 0.28). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than RCL's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of RCL's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.