Relative Intelligence · Specialty Retail

How Lowe's Companies (LOW) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on LOW alone. It places LOW (Lowe's Companies, Inc.) against 8 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where LOW stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: LOW's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, LOW fell 20.8% while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. The slide is LOW's own: it is 30.2% below its high, against 1.3% for the S&P 500. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?LOW fell 2.4% over the past 3 months, in line with the specialty retail ETF XRT (State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF), which fell 1.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: LOW rose 4.0% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsLOW has gone against the market, falling 16.4% over the past year while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (10.7% against 89.3%). The long record (ahead of 66% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years) has not carried into the past 3 years (behind 71% of them). By year ↓
- Long termLOW turned $10,000 into $33,600 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, LOW has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. In the Covid crash, LOW fell 48.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than HD (Home Depot, 38.0%) but less than FND (Floor & Decor, 52.9%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, LOW has a correlation of 0.56 over 5 years, more closely than 85% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years, LOW's beta versus the S&P 500 was 1.10: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.1 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 1.3 times as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- MAS (Masco) was ahead of LOW in most short and long periods.
- Nearby categories and themes
- COST (Costco Wholesale, discount retail) and ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive, specialty retail) earned more than LOW with less volatility over the past 5 years. COST returned 17.4% a year at 22.9% volatility, against a loss of 0.6% a year at 26.4%.
- Whole market
- 1,032 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than LOW with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI (Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF), VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) and BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in LOW have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in LOW over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of LOW over the same span and LOW's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in LOW at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $546,874 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of LOW, and ORLY finished highest, at $2,252,599.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 90 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of LOW; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- ORLY$2M+22,426% total · +20.5% a year
- TSCO$2M+15,690% total · +19.1% a year
- TJX$958,745+9,487% total · +17.0% a year
- AZO$947,149+9,371% total · +17.0% a year
- COST$727,732+7,177% total · +15.9% a year
- LOW$546,874+5,369% total · +14.8% a year
- HD$287,658+2,777% total · +12.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- MAS$62,462+525% total · +6.5% a year
- SWK$44,114+341% total · +5.3% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 2,525 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of LOW; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- WMT$23,813+138% total · +18.9% a year
- TJX$21,559+116% total · +16.6% a year
- COST$21,378+114% total · +16.4% a year
- ORLY$20,965+110% total · +16.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- MAS$13,320+33.2% total · +5.9% a year
- BLDR$11,018+10.2% total · +2.0% a year
- LOW$10,008+0.1% total · 0.0% a year
- HD$9,837−1.6% total · −0.3% a year
- SWK$6,074−39.3% total · −9.5% a year
LOW at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- LOW is still 30.2% below its all-time high.
- LOW's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 62.5%, from July to November 1990. It took 21 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, LOW's best was 1998, when it returned 117%, and its worst was 2007, when it lost 26.7%. It lost money in eight of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $111B
- Industry
- Home Improvement
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −16.4%total return
- Past 3 years
- +10.7%+3.4% a year
- Past 5 years
- −3.2%−0.6% a year
- Past 10 years
- +236%+12.9% a year
- Best calendar year
- +117%1998
- Worst calendar year
- −26.7%2007
- Losing years
- 8 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 26.4%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.11return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −62.5%Jul 1990 to Nov 1990
- From its all-time high
- −30.2%below the peak
LOW against the whole market
Where LOW ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does LOW rank among all stocks?
This section ranks LOW on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how LOW stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- LOW is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 15% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
- LOW's 1-year return ranks in the bottom 23% of the 3,287 stocks worth at least $300 million with 1 year of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | LOW | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −16.4% | 2,545 of 3,287 | bottom 24% |
| 3-year return | +10.7% | 2,149 of 3,017 | bottom 30% |
| 5-year return | −3.2% | 1,763 of 2,893 | bottom 40% |
| 10-year return | +236% | 753 of 2,202 | top 34% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 26.4% | 435 of 2,893 | top 15% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.11 | 2,092 of 2,893 | bottom 29% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −48.6% | 404 of 2,187 | top 18% |
What has beaten LOW on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). LOW sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than LOW with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 236 stocks and 796 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than LOW over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 28% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half LOW's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 6% less than LOW's 26.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.11 for LOW.
- None of LOW's popular alternatives made it, but WMT (discount retail) did: 20.8% a year at 22.6% volatility, 14% less than LOW's 26.4%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to LOW; faint dots are 91 more of the 1,032 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than LOW?
Investments that beat LOW over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among LOW's popular alternatives, MAS was ahead of LOW in most short and long periods.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, COST (discount retail) and ORLY (specialty retail) earned more than LOW with less volatility over the past 5 years. COST returned 17.4% a year at 22.9% volatility, against a loss of 0.6% a year at 26.4%.
- Across the whole market, 1,032 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than LOW with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI, VOO and BRK-B.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat LOW over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks LOW's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than LOW follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than LOW's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× LOW's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than LOW's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with LOW?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| −0.6% | 26.4% | 0.11 | −48.6% | +236% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.56 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against LOW. 1 of 8 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
MASMasco Corporation · Building Products | Higher return in most periods | +6.2% | 31.1% | 0.35 | −44.7% | +162% | 0.80 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Specialty Retail and the categories next to it (Discount Retail, Apparel & Footwear, Automobiles), plus LOW's specific themes. 19 of 59 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.44 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +15.9% | 23.4% | 0.75 | −42.0% | +393% | 0.47 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.40 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.53 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.3% | 25.3% | 0.59 | −42.1% | +323% | 0.48 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +5.0% | 27.0% | 0.32 | −36.8% | +129% | 0.31 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 1,896 of 3,566 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.59 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.56 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.42 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.30 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.1% | 13.7% | 0.90 | −36.8% | +235% | 0.67 | 0.03% | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | — | 0.10 | 0.09% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +12.5% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | +946% | 0.12 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | −0.4% | 6.1% | -0.03 | −18.6% | +13.2% | 0.49 | 0.03% | ||
What these numbers mean for LOW
- Annual return
- LOW lost 0.6% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $9,680. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- LOW's volatility over the past 5 years was 26.4%, 1.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, LOW's return lands within 26.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- LOW's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.11, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so LOW earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- LOW's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 48.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 48.6% fall takes a 94.7% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, LOW's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.56 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against LOW instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a LOW holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 1,032 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than LOW with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with LOW | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.59 | 0.03% | |
| 2 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.56 | 0.03% | |
| 3 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.42 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.30 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +12.1% | 13.7% | 0.90 | −36.8% | +235% | 0.67 | 0.03% | |
| 6 | Whole market | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | — | 0.10 | 0.09% | |
| 7 | Whole market | +11.5% | 20.9% | 0.63 | −32.6% | +394% | 0.61 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.30 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.67 | 0.04% | |
| 10 | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.3% | 0.72 | −33.4% | +252% | 0.65 | 0.06% | |
| 11 | Whole market | +11.7% | 21.8% | 0.62 | −32.7% | +416% | 0.44 | 0.18% | |
| 12 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.44 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.49 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +9.0% | 22.9% | 0.49 | −40.8% | +320% | 0.42 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +14.8% | 23.6% | 0.71 | −32.8% | +625% | 0.48 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +9.3% | 19.2% | 0.56 | −30.1% | +344% | 0.44 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.30 | — | |
| 18 | JAAAJanus Henderson AAA CLO ETF · CLO Bonds | Whole market | +5.1% | 1.7% | 2.98 | −2.6% | — | 0.31 | 0.20% |
| 19 | Whole market | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.57 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +4.4% | 20.9% | 0.31 | −35.8% | +245% | 0.47 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +8.9% | 24.7% | 0.47 | −38.3% | +407% | 0.37 | — | |
| 22 | IUSGiShares Core S&P U.S. Growth ETF · US Growth Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 21.2% | 0.68 | −32.4% | +405% | 0.46 | 0.04% |
| 23 | XLIState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.6% | 0.71 | −42.3% | +246% | 0.69 | 0.08% |
| 24 | Whole market | +6.1% | 20.0% | 0.40 | −31.6% | +270% | 0.49 | — | |
| 25 | Same or nearby category | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.44 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +2.5% | 22.1% | 0.23 | −36.9% | +281% | 0.18 | — | |
| 27 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +12.0% | 16.7% | 0.76 | −31.6% | +300% | 0.61 | 0.20% |
| 28 | RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.7% | 14.4% | 0.97 | −36.1% | +287% | 0.65 | 0.39% |
| 29 | MTUMiShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +10.9% | 22.1% | 0.58 | −34.1% | +336% | 0.41 | 0.15% |
| 30 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.45 | 0.40% |
| 31 | MOATVanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +9.1% | 18.4% | 0.57 | −33.3% | +276% | 0.63 | 0.46% |
| 32 | Same or nearby category | +15.9% | 23.4% | 0.75 | −42.0% | +393% | 0.47 | — | |
| 33 | THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.9% | 0.70 | −40.1% | +291% | 0.07 | — |
| 34 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.49 | — | |
| 35 | GGGGraco Inc. · Industrial Machinery | Whole market | +3.5% | 22.9% | 0.26 | −30.6% | +263% | 0.65 | — |
| 36 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.37 | 0.50% |
| 37 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.36 | — | |
| 38 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.27 | 0.48% |
| 39 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.51 | 0.40% |
| 40 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.30 | — | |
| 41 | BALTInnovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF · Crypto | Whole market | +6.3% | 3.3% | 1.85 | −4.9% | — | 0.46 | 0.69% |
| 42 | Whole market | +8.2% | 16.4% | 0.57 | −36.0% | +140% | 0.57 | 0.05% | |
| 43 | SUSAiShares ESG Optimized MSCI USA ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.4% | 17.4% | 0.66 | −32.9% | +302% | 0.60 | 0.25% |
| 44 | VRIGInvesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +4.7% | 1.3% | 3.51 | −13.1% | +40.5% | 0.23 | 0.30% |
| 45 | Whole market | +12.4% | 23.8% | 0.61 | −41.0% | +541% | 0.46 | — | |
| 46 | EQWLInvesco S&P 100 Equal Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.0% | 0.81 | −34.3% | +291% | 0.63 | 0.30% |
| 47 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.28 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.10 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | 0.19 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.36 | — | |
| 51 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.13 | — | |
| 52 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.23 | — | |
| 53 | FLRTPacer Aristotle Pacific Floating Rate High Income ETF · Financials | Whole market | +6.0% | 2.3% | 2.55 | −21.0% | +58.0% | 0.37 | 0.60% |
| 54 | Whole market | +9.3% | 16.9% | 0.61 | −35.8% | +153% | 0.57 | 0.03% | |
| 55 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.46 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.22 | 0.40% | |
| 57 | Whole market | +5.1% | 18.3% | 0.37 | −23.8% | +145% | 0.37 | — | |
| 58 | FEXFirst Trust Large Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.1% | 16.5% | 0.67 | −39.5% | +237% | 0.69 | 0.57% |
| 59 | PTNQPacer Trendpilot 100 ETF · Technology | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.1% | 0.73 | −28.1% | +305% | 0.33 | 0.65% |
| 60 | EQLALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.5% | 0.94 | −34.2% | +387% | 0.68 | 0.19% |
| 61 | Whole market | +6.8% | 17.6% | 0.47 | −39.4% | +198% | 0.69 | 0.03% | |
| 62 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.34 | — | |
| 63 | FLOTiShares Floating Rate Bond ETF · Floating Rate Bonds | Whole market | +4.5% | 1.8% | 2.48 | −13.5% | +35.9% | 0.28 | 0.15% |
| 64 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.57 | — | |
| 65 | Whole market | +2.7% | 2.9% | 0.94 | −6.3% | +32.7% | 0.40 | 0.03% | |
| 66 | Whole market | +7.1% | 22.9% | 0.42 | −38.7% | +295% | 0.53 | — | |
| 67 | Whole market | +6.2% | 20.6% | 0.40 | −42.0% | +179% | 0.71 | 0.03% | |
| 68 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.36 | — | |
| 69 | Whole market | +11.1% | 24.2% | 0.56 | −36.7% | +204% | 0.22 | — | |
| 70 | Whole market | +11.3% | 18.8% | 0.67 | −38.4% | +170% | 0.21 | — | |
| 71 | Whole market | +6.8% | 19.4% | 0.44 | −38.7% | +122% | 0.43 | 0.09% | |
| 72 | Whole market | +5.2% | 17.5% | 0.38 | −36.4% | +102% | 0.47 | 0.06% | |
| 73 | Whole market | +5.2% | 8.9% | 0.61 | −25.4% | +37.8% | 0.37 | — | |
| 74 | Whole market | +11.2% | 20.8% | 0.62 | −37.4% | +319% | 0.15 | — | |
| 75 | Whole market | +2.7% | 22.9% | 0.23 | −41.2% | +55.8% | 0.12 | — | |
| 76 | RSPNInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industrials ETF · Industrials | Whole market | +9.9% | 18.3% | 0.61 | −42.0% | +264% | 0.75 | 0.40% |
| 77 | Whole market | +5.5% | 21.5% | 0.36 | −30.1% | +89.8% | 0.51 | — | |
| 78 | PJULInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.5% | 8.6% | 1.20 | −18.2% | — | 0.54 | 0.79% |
| 79 | Whole market | +9.5% | 24.5% | 0.49 | −37.6% | +95.1% | 0.24 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +11.8% | 22.6% | 0.61 | −39.2% | +118% | 0.51 | — | |
| 81 | FJANFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - January · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +11.1% | 10.5% | 1.05 | −13.6% | — | 0.49 | 0.85% |
| 82 | Whole market | +7.5% | 18.0% | 0.50 | −37.4% | +132% | 0.34 | — | |
| 83 | Whole market | +12.4% | 20.2% | 0.68 | −32.9% | +185% | 0.41 | — | |
| 84 | Whole market | +1.7% | 2.8% | 0.63 | −8.5% | +20.5% | 0.38 | 0.03% | |
| 85 | Whole market | +8.3% | 23.3% | 0.46 | −40.5% | +446% | 0.51 | — | |
| 86 | Whole market | +2.3% | 2.9% | 0.80 | −12.9% | +28.6% | 0.47 | 0.03% | |
| 87 | Whole market | +14.4% | 22.1% | 0.72 | −42.7% | +481% | 0.63 | — | |
| 88 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.56 | 0.26% | |
| 89 | Whole market | +10.8% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | +160% | 0.38 | — | |
| 90 | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.2% | 0.46 | −29.0% | +68.8% | 0.32 | — | |
| 91 | Whole market | +5.4% | 21.8% | 0.35 | −34.3% | +240% | 0.51 | — | |
| 92 | Whole market | +4.9% | 22.4% | 0.33 | −41.7% | +194% | 0.65 | 0.05% | |
| 93 | Whole market | +6.7% | 21.4% | 0.41 | −37.9% | +208% | 0.72 | — | |
| 94 | Same or nearby category | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.40 | — | |
| 95 | Whole market | +7.5% | 11.0% | 0.71 | −13.7% | — | 0.65 | 0.35% | |
| 96 | EFViShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.9% | 0.88 | −43.2% | +157% | 0.52 | 0.31% |
| 97 | Whole market | +12.0% | 18.8% | 0.70 | −30.9% | +114% | 0.27 | — | |
| 98 | Whole market | +8.6% | 18.3% | 0.54 | −42.9% | +241% | 0.60 | 0.08% | |
| 99 | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +202% | 0.48 | 0.08% | |
| 100 | Whole market | +4.0% | 24.1% | 0.28 | −33.7% | +227% | 0.52 | — |
LOW against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against LOW, compared period by period and year by year.
How do LOW's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at LOW, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only HD was both more rewarding and calmer than LOW over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Six of the eight popular alternatives earned less than LOW over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, LOW returned -0.6% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (26.4% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than LOW with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MAS Masco Corporation | +6.2% | 31.1% |
| HD The Home Depot, Inc. | 0.0% | 24.7% |
| LOW This pageLowe's Companies, Inc. | −0.6% | 26.4% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | −1.6% | 46.7% |
| TSCO Tractor Supply Company | −2.3% | 29.3% |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | −9.6% | 38.3% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | −12.0% | 38.1% |
| FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. | −18.8% | 47.0% |
| WHR Whirlpool Corporation | −29.8% | 41.4% |
Has LOW consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares LOW with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than LOW helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Two of the eight popular alternatives, MAS and HD, outperformed LOW in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- MAS and HD earned more for the risk they took than LOW (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than LOW over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. (this page) | — | +4.0% | −2.4% | −20.8% | −18.3% | −16.4% | +10.7% | −3.2% | +236% | 26.4% | 0.11 | −48.6% | — | $111B | — |
| MAS QualifiedMasco Corporation | 4/5 short2/3 long | +10.2% | −3.2% | +13.0% | +17.4% | +10.7% | +57.7% | +35.3% | +162% | 31.1% | 0.35 | −44.7% | — | $15B | — |
| HD QualifiedThe Home Depot, Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +6.0% | −4.7% | −8.9% | −6.9% | −16.7% | +18.8% | −0.2% | +217% | 24.7% | 0.12 | −38.0% | — | $314B | — |
| SWK Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesStanley Black & Decker, Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +6.1% | +8.5% | +27.7% | +26.8% | +42.0% | +36.2% | −39.7% | +2.0% | 38.3% | -0.07 | −71.3% | — | $14B | — |
| BLDR Construction MaterialsBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | −7.9% | −25.8% | −41.0% | −48.5% | −56.0% | −50.7% | −7.5% | +417% | 46.7% | 0.20 | −76.1% | — | $5.8B | — |
| TSCO Specialty RetailTractor Supply Company | 1/5 short0/3 long | +1.8% | +9.4% | −25.5% | −34.0% | −39.0% | −10.7% | −10.8% | +198% | 29.3% | 0.07 | −52.7% | — | $17B | — |
| FBIN Construction MaterialsFortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +3.0% | −18.3% | −0.1% | −18.5% | −17.9% | −25.1% | −47.3% | +2.4% | 38.1% | -0.15 | −62.4% | — | $4.9B | — |
| FND Home ImprovementFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −4.3% | −16.1% | −17.2% | −28.2% | −37.3% | −45.1% | −64.8% | — | 47.0% | -0.21 | −69.7% | — | $4.8B | — |
| WHR Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesWhirlpool Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −14.1% | −24.0% | −51.0% | −61.9% | −60.4% | −74.6% | −82.9% | −75.0% | 41.4% | -0.65 | −86.5% | — | $1.8B | — |
How did LOW do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where LOW ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with LOW and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- LOW finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 17 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last four.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, LOW finished in the top quarter in nine of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 1 of 9.
- Among its popular alternatives, TSCO came out ahead of LOW most often, in 15 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of LOW; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places LOW among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of LOW | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW This pageLowe's Companies, Inc. | — | −0.3% | +13.0% | +14.0% | −21.5% | +63.4% | +36.4% | +32.2% | +1.2% | +31.3% | −4.9% | +12.2% | +41.3% | +41.7% | +42.9% | +3.4% | +9.2% | +10.7% | −3.4% | −26.7% | −6.1% | +16.1% | +4.2% | +48.1% | −19.1% | +109% | −25.3% | +17.0% | +117% | +34.5% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 9 of 29 | 1 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 8 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 13 of 29 | −10.9% | +10.1% | +46.6% | −32.1% | +29.6% | +16.1% | +66.3% | −32.7% | +40.6% | +13.1% | +29.6% | +12.3% | +38.7% | +62.9% | −14.9% | −6.1% | +29.5% | −45.8% | −25.1% | +1.8% | −15.4% | +36.2% | +33.7% | −12.0% | −2.4% | +3.8% | −10.3% | +14.9% | +43.3% |
| HD The Home Depot, Inc. | 12 of 29 | −9.3% | +15.0% | +12.8% | −22.0% | +59.5% | +24.5% | +30.6% | −7.3% | +43.8% | +3.5% | +28.5% | +30.3% | +35.9% | +50.3% | +23.5% | +25.1% | +30.5% | −11.4% | −31.1% | +1.0% | −4.3% | +21.4% | +49.1% | −52.6% | +12.1% | −33.3% | +69.1% | +109% | +76.9% |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | 12 of 29 | −3.2% | −15.2% | +35.5% | −58.9% | +7.3% | +9.7% | +41.2% | −28.1% | +49.2% | +9.6% | +13.4% | +21.9% | +11.8% | +12.4% | +3.6% | +32.9% | +56.6% | −27.5% | −1.5% | +7.2% | +0.5% | +32.7% | +13.5% | −23.8% | +53.0% | +7.3% | +11.8% | −39.9% | +77.9% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 9 of 20 | −28.0% | −14.4% | +157% | −24.3% | +110% | +60.6% | +133% | −49.9% | +98.6% | −1.0% | +61.3% | −3.6% | +27.8% | +174% | +3.5% | −48.7% | +151% | −78.8% | −59.5% | −16.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TSCO Tractor Supply Company | 15 of 29 | −4.2% | +25.4% | −2.5% | −4.0% | +71.5% | +52.4% | +13.6% | +13.4% | +0.4% | −10.4% | +9.5% | +2.4% | +77.0% | +27.2% | +45.3% | +84.5% | +46.9% | +0.7% | −20.0% | −15.5% | +43.0% | −5.1% | +108% | +121% | +301% | −46.9% | −33.3% | +62.7% | −28.5% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 6 of 14 | −25.4% | −9.1% | +35.2% | −36.5% | +26.0% | +32.9% | +74.9% | −43.7% | +29.5% | −2.6% | +24.0% | +0.2% | +57.6% | +71.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. | 3 of 8 | −38.9% | −10.6% | +60.2% | −46.4% | +40.0% | +82.7% | +96.2% | −46.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WHR Whirlpool Corporation | 10 of 29 | −33.0% | +0.6% | −9.1% | −37.1% | +33.3% | +26.5% | +42.8% | −34.5% | −4.9% | +26.7% | −22.7% | +25.8% | +57.1% | +120% | −45.0% | +12.4% | +103% | −48.0% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +24.0% | −2.2% | +42.4% | −27.2% | +57.3% | −24.6% | +20.2% | +3.0% | +21.0% |
Risk and diversification
How LOW has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were LOW's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents LOW's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of LOW's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- The slowest recovery came after LOW fell 60.6% from February 2007 to March 2009; it did not regain that peak until May 2012, three years later.
Green means LOW fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | LOW fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No named crash | −62.5% | — | Jul 1990 | Nov 1990 | 4 months | Aug 1992 | 21 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −60.6% | −50.5% | Feb 2007 | Mar 2009 | 2.1 years | May 2012 | 3.2 years |
| No named crash | −52.7% | — | Mar 1987 | Dec 1987 | 9 months | Aug 1989 | 20 months |
| Covid crash | −48.6% | −28.8% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | May 2020 | 2 months |
| No named crash | −44.5% | −16.9% | Jul 1998 | Oct 1998 | 3 months | Dec 1998 | 2 months |
How did LOW do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far LOW, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, TSCO held up best, falling less than LOW in seven of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- LOW fell further than the S&P 500 in five of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when LOW fell 48.6% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than LOW.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW This pageLowe's Companies, Inc. | — | −2.2% | −33.5% | −48.6% | −26.1% | −6.4% | −18.0% | −20.7% | −0.8% | −52.8% | −40.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 5 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 3 of 10 | −2.4% | −34.0% | −39.2% | −28.5% | −5.1% | −22.8% | −39.7% | −6.7% | −83.8% | −39.0% |
| HD The Home Depot, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −1.8% | −34.2% | −38.0% | −25.1% | −6.6% | −16.9% | −22.2% | −1.6% | −44.3% | −64.9% |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | 0 of 10 | −4.5% | −60.7% | −55.3% | −29.7% | −6.7% | −18.2% | −31.3% | −4.0% | −58.9% | −41.3% |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 1 of 9 | −7.4% | −41.4% | −62.2% | −34.8% | −5.2% | −59.9% | −59.5% | −5.0% | −92.2% | — |
| TSCO Tractor Supply Company | 7 of 10 | −0.7% | −27.8% | −32.5% | −18.7% | −3.3% | −15.0% | −21.2% | −1.6% | −42.9% | −67.4% |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −6.3% | −49.4% | −52.1% | −34.6% | −4.9% | −19.8% | — | — | — | — |
| FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −3.4% | −51.9% | −52.9% | −30.0% | −3.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| WHR Whirlpool Corporation | 1 of 10 | −3.9% | −42.0% | −56.5% | −19.6% | −7.4% | −30.3% | −33.2% | −4.6% | −78.5% | −48.5% |
How closely does LOW move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares LOW with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only TSCO and HD had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than LOW's 0.80, out of seven popular alternatives with the same record.
- HD took just 117% of the S&P 500's losses, against 134% for LOW, while still keeping 96% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, LOW captured 107% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 134% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.10. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than LOW's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW This pageLowe's Companies, Inc. | 107% | 134% | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| TSCO Tractor Supply Company | 83% | 95% | 0.87 | 0.74 |
| HD The Home Depot, Inc. | 96% | 117% | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| BLDR Builders FirstSource, Inc. | 163% | 203% | 0.80 | 1.90 |
| MAS Masco Corporation | 111% | 158% | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | 101% | 198% | 0.51 | 1.30 |
| FBIN Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 96% | 193% | 0.50 | 1.47 |
| WHR Whirlpool Corporation | 76% | 230% | 0.33 | 1.52 |
What diversifies LOW?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with LOW's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing LOW with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in LOW into DXJ would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (0.0% for LOW alone, +5.4% for the mix).
- XLE made money in six of the eight calendar years in which LOW lost money.
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, MLPX and SMH have moved largely independently of LOW over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.42 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which LOW lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% LOW and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2022 | 2016 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | −3.2% | 0.11 | −0.3% | −21.5% | −4.9% | −3.4% | −26.7% | −6.1% | −19.1% | −25.3% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.27 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +6.0% | +1.1% | −20.8% | −7.4% | — | — | — | 20.4% | +5.4% |
| MLPX EnergyGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF | 0.42 | +135% | 0.97 | +4.9% | +21.5% | +36.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | +4.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.34 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | −33.5% | +35.6% | −44.7% | +6.0% | −6.7% | −47.0% | — | 22.9% | +7.6% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.22 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | −0.8% | +8.0% | +4.9% | +30.4% | +22.6% | — | — | 20.6% | +4.0% |
| IOO InternationaliShares Global 100 ETF | 0.45 | +107% | 0.94 | +27.0% | −16.3% | +8.3% | −36.1% | +11.1% | +19.9% | −24.0% | — | 21.1% | +3.6% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.40 | +136% | 0.93 | +26.6% | −10.4% | +7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 21.5% | +4.5% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.27 | +177% | 0.93 | +7.9% | +64.4% | +28.0% | −39.0% | +36.8% | +18.0% | −14.8% | +24.4% | 21.6% | +5.0% |
| VLUE Broad MarketiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | 0.49 | +109% | 0.90 | +32.7% | −14.2% | +15.3% | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | +3.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2022 | 2016 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2002 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | −3.2% | 0.11 | −0.3% | −21.5% | −4.9% | −3.4% | −26.7% | −6.1% | −19.1% | −25.3% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.21 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +54.1% | −17.5% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −5.8% | −8.3% | +108% | 21.3% | +7.5% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.15 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +1.3% | +7.4% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −26.0% | −65.1% | −2.3% | 24.2% | +19.3% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.49 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +17.0% | +18.3% | −15.2% | +2.1% | +38.9% | −9.4% | −71.1% | 25.2% | +15.0% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.10 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +51.8% | −28.3% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −1.2% | −27.2% | +61.2% | 20.7% | +7.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.13 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +86.6% | +0.7% | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | +9.5% |
Common questions
What was LOW's worst drawdown?
LOW's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 62.5%, from July to November 1990. It took 21 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were LOW's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, LOW's best year was 1998, when it returned 117%. Its worst was 2007, with a return of -26.7%.
Is there a better investment than LOW?
Among LOW's popular alternatives, MAS was ahead of LOW in most short and long periods. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, COST (discount retail) and ORLY (specialty retail) earned more than LOW with less volatility over the past 5 years. COST returned 17.4% a year at 22.9% volatility, against a loss of 0.6% a year at 26.4%.
Is LOW more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. LOW's volatility over the past 5 years was 26.4%, 1.5 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, LOW's return lands within 26.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is LOW's Sharpe ratio?
LOW's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.11, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so LOW earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is LOW with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, LOW's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.56 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against LOW instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a LOW holding.
What are the best alternatives to LOW?
Of the eight popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed LOW in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: MAS and HD.
Did LOW outperform the S&P 500?
LOW finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 17 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -0.3%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did LOW do in stock market crashes?
LOW fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in five. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when LOW fell 48.6% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies LOW?
These had a low correlation with LOW over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.27), MLPX (correlation 0.42) and SMH (correlation 0.34); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.21), CLS (correlation 0.15) and FIX (correlation 0.49). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than LOW's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of LOW's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.