Relative Intelligence · Business Services

How Automatic Data Processing (ADP) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on ADP alone. It places ADP (Automatic Data Processing, Inc.) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where ADP stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: ADP's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowADP has run far ahead of the market, rising 46.7% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. After a 40.8% loss from June 2025 to April 2026, ADP has bounced 57.2% off the low. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?ADP held up far better than its industry: it rose 15.4% over the past 3 months while the business services ETF IYJ (iShares U.S. Industrials ETF) fell 2.8%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its business services peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: PAYC (Paycom Software) rose 75.5%, while KFY (Korn Ferry) fell 5.7%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsA ahead of 76% of stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years, but behind 61% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 3 years. Over the past year, ADP rose 6.4% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (30.2% against 89.3%). Market rank ↓
- Long termADP's 10-year return of 320% puts it ahead of 76% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Over the past decade, only PAYC (Paycom Software) of its business services peers outpaced ADP. Market rank ↓
- In a crashIn the 2022 bear market, ADP held up better than ORCL (Oracle), SAP and WDAY; only BBSI (Barrett Business Services) fell less. Even so, ADP fell further than the S&P 500 in two of the last three sell-offs, including the Covid crash (39.5% against 33.7%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationADP is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.55 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.54 with the total US market, more closely than 82% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- NOW (ServiceNow) was ahead of ADP in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (45.5% volatility against 22.9%).
- Nearby categories and themes
- GD (General Dynamics, aerospace & defense) and ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF, aerospace & defense) earned more than ADP with less volatility over the past 5 years. GD returned 12.9% a year at 20.8% volatility, against 9.0% a year at 22.9%.
- Whole market
- 311 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ADP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI (Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF), VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) and BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in ADP have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in ADP over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of ADP over the same span and ADP's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in ADP at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $235,442 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of ADP, and CACI finished highest, at $609,098.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 256 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of ADP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- CACI$609,098+5,991% total · +15.2% a year
- INTU$591,451+5,815% total · +15.1% a year
- NSP$293,024+2,830% total · +12.4% a year
- ORCL$284,972+2,750% total · +12.2% a year
- GD$272,943+2,629% total · +12.1% a year
- ADP$235,442+2,254% total · +11.5% a year
- BBSI$154,380+1,444% total · +9.9% a year
- SAP$136,626+1,266% total · +9.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- TBI$13,354+33.5% total · +1.0% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,655 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of ADP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- RTX$24,048+140% total · +19.2% a year
- CACI$23,239+132% total · +18.4% a year
- ITA$20,677+107% total · +15.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- GD$18,801+88.0% total · +13.5% a year
- NSIT$17,354+73.5% total · +11.7% a year
- BBSI$16,792+67.9% total · +10.9% a year
- SAP$16,715+67.2% total · +10.8% a year
- ADP$14,432+44.3% total · +7.6% a year
- NOW$10,768+7.7% total · +1.5% a year
ADP at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- ADP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 59.6%, from November 2000 to March 2003. It took about eight years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, ADP's best was 2013, when it returned 45.6%, and its worst was 2002, when it lost 32.7%. It lost money in six of those years.
- ADP is 6.9% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $116B
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +6.4%total return
- Past 3 years
- +30.2%+9.2% a year
- Past 5 years
- +53.6%+9.0% a year
- Past 10 years
- +320%+15.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +45.6%2013
- Worst calendar year
- −32.7%2002
- Losing years
- 6 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 22.9%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.49return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −59.6%Nov 2000 to Mar 2003
- From its all-time high
- −6.9%below the peak
ADP against the whole market
Where ADP ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does ADP rank among all stocks?
This section ranks ADP on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how ADP stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- ADP is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 7% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | ADP | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +6.4% | 1,721 of 3,287 | bottom 49% |
| 3-year return | +30.2% | 1,849 of 3,017 | bottom 40% |
| 5-year return | +53.6% | 1,066 of 2,893 | top 37% |
| 10-year return | +320% | 536 of 2,202 | top 24% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 22.9% | 206 of 2,893 | top 7% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.49 | 956 of 2,893 | top 33% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −40.8% | 169 of 2,187 | top 8% |
What has beaten ADP on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). ADP sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than ADP with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 36 stocks and 275 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than ADP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 9% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half ADP's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 17% less than ADP's 22.9%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.49 for ADP.
- None of ADP's popular alternatives made it, but PPA (aerospace & defense) did: 16.3% a year at 18.9% volatility, 18% less than ADP's 22.9%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to ADP; faint dots are 95 more of the 311 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× ADP's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than ADP?
Investments that beat ADP over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among ADP's popular alternatives, NOW was ahead of ADP in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (45.5% volatility against 22.9%).
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, GD (aerospace & defense) and ITA (aerospace & defense) earned more than ADP with less volatility over the past 5 years. GD returned 12.9% a year at 20.8% volatility, against 9.0% a year at 22.9%.
- Across the whole market, 311 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ADP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI, VOO and BRK-B.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat ADP over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks ADP's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than ADP follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than ADP's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× ADP's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than ADP's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with ADP?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +9.0% | 22.9% | 0.49 | −40.8% | +320% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.55 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against ADP. 1 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +1.9% | 45.5% | 0.27 | −64.5% | +848% | 0.30 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Business Services and the categories next to it (IT Services, Aerospace & Defense, Financial Data, Application Software), plus ADP's specific themes. 7 of 95 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatility | +12.9% | 20.8% | 0.69 | −51.6% | +184% | 0.29 | — | ||
ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return, lower volatility | +14.6% | 20.4% | 0.78 | −51.0% | +258% | 0.29 | 0.37% | |
CACICACI International Inc · Business Services | Higher return in most periods | +16.6% | 29.9% | 0.66 | −42.9% | +499% | 0.19 | — | |
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc. · IT Services | Higher return in most periods | +11.8% | 33.6% | 0.50 | −71.4% | +393% | 0.34 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatility | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.18 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.68 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 544 of 3,521 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.45 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.29 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.18 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.54 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.54 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.47 | — | ||
EQLALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF · Broad Market | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +13.5% | 14.5% | 0.94 | −34.2% | +387% | 0.56 | 0.19% | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +9.3% | 16.9% | 0.61 | −35.8% | +153% | 0.38 | 0.03% | ||
What these numbers mean for ADP
- Annual return
- ADP returned 9.0% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $15,400. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- ADP's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.9%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, ADP's return lands within 22.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- ADP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.49, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so ADP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- ADP's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 40.8%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 40.8% fall takes a 68.9% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, ADP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.55 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against ADP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a ADP holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 311 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than ADP with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with ADP | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.45 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.54 | 0.03% | |
| 3 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.54 | 0.03% | |
| 4 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.46 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.19 | — | |
| 6 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.30 | 0.40% |
| 7 | Whole market | +11.2% | 20.8% | 0.62 | −37.4% | +319% | 0.30 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.19 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +11.9% | 19.4% | 0.68 | −54.4% | +30.4% | 0.01 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | -0.01 | 0.40% | |
| 11 | Whole market | +11.5% | 20.9% | 0.63 | −32.6% | +394% | 0.40 | — | |
| 12 | EQLALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.5% | 0.94 | −34.2% | +387% | 0.56 | 0.19% |
| 13 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.60 | 0.04% | |
| 14 | Whole market | +10.3% | 16.2% | 0.69 | −34.2% | +223% | 0.49 | 0.06% | |
| 15 | PJULInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.5% | 8.6% | 1.20 | −18.2% | — | 0.49 | 0.79% |
| 16 | Whole market | +13.1% | 21.5% | 0.68 | −32.7% | +413% | 0.50 | 0.18% | |
| 17 | FJANFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - January · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +11.1% | 10.5% | 1.05 | −13.6% | — | 0.43 | 0.85% |
| 18 | Whole market | +12.4% | 20.2% | 0.68 | −32.9% | +185% | 0.17 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.52 | 0.26% | |
| 20 | Whole market | +12.0% | 18.8% | 0.70 | −30.9% | +114% | 0.31 | — | |
| 21 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.31 | — |
| 22 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.38 | 0.13% |
| 23 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.36 | 0.27% |
| 24 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.53 | 0.15% |
| 25 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.25 | — |
| 26 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +12.0% | 16.7% | 0.76 | −31.6% | +300% | 0.45 | 0.20% |
| 27 | MGVVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +12.6% | 13.4% | 0.95 | −35.4% | +244% | 0.52 | 0.05% |
| 28 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.28 | — | |
| 29 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.1% | 13.8% | 0.96 | −32.5% | +206% | 0.40 | 0.35% |
| 30 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.47 | 0.40% |
| 31 | XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.8% | 18.9% | 0.78 | −30.5% | +379% | 0.47 | 0.20% |
| 32 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.61 | 0.12% |
| 33 | DIVOAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +11.1% | 11.9% | 0.95 | −30.0% | — | 0.58 | 0.56% |
| 34 | COMTiShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF · Commodities | Whole market | +13.1% | 21.1% | 0.69 | −39.2% | +160% | 0.09 | 0.49% |
| 35 | USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.1% | 16.4% | 0.89 | −30.0% | — | 0.53 | 0.12% |
| 36 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.30 | 0.61% |
| 37 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.38 | 0.50% |
| 38 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.28 | — | |
| 39 | IWXiShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.7% | 13.8% | 0.94 | −35.8% | +221% | 0.58 | 0.20% |
| 40 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.3% | 18.2% | 0.78 | −31.3% | +229% | 0.49 | 0.25% |
| 41 | FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.4% | 0.99 | −20.6% | +158% | 0.56 | 0.95% |
| 42 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.47 | 0.45% |
| 43 | DIVIFranklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF · International | Whole market | +13.4% | 15.5% | 0.89 | −27.7% | +184% | 0.40 | 0.09% |
| 44 | EQWLInvesco S&P 100 Equal Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.0% | 0.81 | −34.3% | +291% | 0.57 | 0.30% |
| 45 | BCIabrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +10.1% | 16.7% | 0.66 | −32.7% | — | 0.15 | 0.26% |
| 46 | FTHIFirst Trust BuyWrite Income ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +10.3% | 13.3% | 0.81 | −32.7% | +126% | 0.47 | 0.75% |
| 47 | FLQLFranklin U.S. Large Cap Multifactor Index ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.8% | 16.3% | 0.88 | −33.6% | — | 0.51 | 0.15% |
| 48 | JMOMJPMorgan U.S. Momentum Factor ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.1% | 0.73 | −34.3% | — | 0.49 | 0.12% |
| 49 | HFXINYLI FTSE International Equity Currency Neutral ETF · International | Whole market | +11.4% | 15.3% | 0.79 | −32.4% | +180% | 0.34 | 0.19% |
| 50 | DSTLDistillate U.S. Fundamental Stability & Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.3% | 16.1% | 0.75 | −33.1% | — | 0.64 | 0.39% |
| 51 | DDWMWisdomTree Dynamic International Equity Fund · International | Whole market | +12.3% | 13.4% | 0.94 | −35.0% | +149% | 0.37 | 0.40% |
| 52 | RAAXVanEck Real Assets ETF · Commodities | Whole market | +11.7% | 15.6% | 0.79 | −33.9% | — | 0.34 | 0.55% |
| 53 | INFLHorizon Kinetics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.8% | 17.8% | 0.72 | −21.3% | — | 0.50 | 0.85% |
| 54 | DBAInvesco DB Agriculture Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +10.7% | 13.8% | 0.81 | −35.3% | +62.2% | 0.21 | 0.90% |
| 55 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.13 | 0.45% |
| 56 | PPHVanEck Pharmaceutical ETF · Healthcare | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.8% | 0.78 | −29.7% | +153% | 0.34 | 0.36% |
| 57 | FTXHFirst Trust Nasdaq Pharmaceuticals ETF · Healthcare | Whole market | +11.9% | 16.9% | 0.75 | −32.1% | +153% | 0.33 | 0.60% |
| 58 | UTESVirtus Reaves Utilities ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.1% | 0.71 | −35.4% | +210% | 0.34 | 0.49% |
| 59 | HLALWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.0% | 18.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | — | 0.46 | 0.50% |
| 60 | ROUSHartford Multifactor US Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.3% | 14.4% | 0.88 | −35.5% | +238% | 0.55 | 0.19% |
| 61 | SIXHETC 6 Meridian Hedged Equity Index Option ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.2% | 1.00 | −11.7% | — | 0.40 | 0.31% |
| 62 | IDHQInvesco S&P International Developed Quality ETF · International | Whole market | +10.0% | 17.9% | 0.63 | −33.6% | +183% | 0.43 | 0.29% |
| 63 | EWJViShares MSCI Japan Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.2% | 0.86 | −30.1% | — | 0.23 | 0.15% |
| 64 | DGTState Street SPDR Global Dow ETF · International | Whole market | +13.8% | 15.1% | 0.94 | −34.4% | +261% | 0.42 | 0.50% |
| 65 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.10 | 0.48% |
| 66 | QDEFNorthern Trust Quality Dividend Defensive ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +12.7% | 13.7% | 0.94 | −35.7% | +228% | 0.60 | 0.40% |
| 67 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.27 | — | |
| 68 | VSLUApplied Finance Valuation Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.7% | 16.2% | 0.88 | −23.8% | — | 0.57 | 0.49% |
| 69 | FXUFirst Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund · Utilities | Whole market | +11.2% | 16.6% | 0.72 | −34.8% | +138% | 0.37 | 0.61% |
| 70 | NXTGFirst Trust Indxx NextG ETF · Technology | Whole market | +16.2% | 19.1% | 0.89 | −33.6% | +330% | 0.25 | 0.70% |
| 71 | DJDInvesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +11.8% | 13.3% | 0.91 | −34.7% | +227% | 0.48 | 0.07% |
| 72 | SSUSStrategy Shares Day Hagan Smart Sector ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.5% | 15.4% | 0.73 | −23.8% | — | 0.47 | 0.77% |
| 73 | PJPInvesco Pharmaceuticals ETF · Healthcare | Whole market | +11.2% | 16.6% | 0.72 | −34.0% | +135% | 0.36 | 0.58% |
| 74 | EBFEnnis, Inc. · Specialty Business Services | Whole market | +11.2% | 21.4% | 0.60 | −35.4% | +163% | 0.26 | — |
| 75 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.26 | — | |
| 76 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.27 | — | |
| 77 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.20 | — | |
| 78 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.22 | — | |
| 79 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.28 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.4% | 0.71 | −51.0% | +295% | 0.32 | — | |
| 81 | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.9% | 0.71 | −46.9% | +187% | 0.37 | — | |
| 82 | Whole market | +11.4% | 14.7% | 0.81 | −38.5% | +205% | 0.57 | 0.18% | |
| 83 | Whole market | +11.3% | 18.8% | 0.67 | −38.4% | +170% | 0.23 | — | |
| 84 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.36 | — | |
| 85 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.20 | 0.80% |
| 86 | Whole market | +11.7% | 19.4% | 0.67 | −50.8% | +255% | 0.37 | — | |
| 87 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +194% | 0.30 | 0.25% |
| 88 | XLIState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.6% | 0.71 | −42.3% | +246% | 0.47 | 0.08% |
| 89 | PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +13.8% | 21.5% | 0.71 | −70.9% | +172% | 0.37 | — |
| 90 | LLoews Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.3% | 19.2% | 0.80 | −48.5% | +180% | 0.27 | — |
| 91 | HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 13.0% | 1.00 | −37.0% | +172% | 0.49 | 0.08% |
| 92 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.4% | 0.84 | −43.0% | — | 0.35 | 0.36% |
| 93 | CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +11.4% | 19.6% | 0.65 | −59.8% | +142% | 0.21 | — |
| 94 | RDVYFirst Trust Rising Dividend Achievers ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +11.3% | 18.8% | 0.67 | −40.6% | +322% | 0.51 | 0.47% |
| 95 | EMXCiShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF · Emerging Markets Equity | Whole market | +11.1% | 19.5% | 0.64 | −42.8% | — | 0.10 | 0.25% |
| 96 | COWZPacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +11.4% | 17.7% | 0.70 | −38.7% | — | 0.56 | 0.49% |
| 97 | AVDEAvantis International Equity ETF · Developed International Equity | Whole market | +10.1% | 16.4% | 0.67 | −37.0% | — | 0.41 | 0.23% |
| 98 | AMLPAlerian MLP ETF · Energy Equity | Whole market | +16.1% | 18.9% | 0.89 | −72.9% | +91.0% | 0.31 | 1.01% |
| 99 | PAVEGlobal X - U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF · Infrastructure Equity | Whole market | +14.9% | 21.6% | 0.75 | −44.1% | — | 0.46 | 0.47% |
| 100 | FDVVFidelity High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.2% | 14.6% | 0.92 | −40.2% | +253% | 0.57 | 0.15% |
ADP against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against ADP, compared period by period and year by year.
How do ADP's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at ADP, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than ADP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 17 of the 19 popular alternatives earned less than ADP over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, ADP returned 9.0% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (22.9% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than ADP with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| SAP SAP SE | +11.5% | 30.0% |
| BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. | +10.6% | 29.1% |
| ADP This pageAutomatic Data Processing, Inc. | +9.0% | 22.9% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | +7.7% | 44.3% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | +1.9% | 45.5% |
| KFY Korn Ferry | +1.8% | 29.7% |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | +1.7% | 24.6% |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | +1.5% | 25.0% |
| ASUR Asure Software, Inc. | −4.5% | 48.3% |
| ACN Accenture plc | −5.2% | 32.7% |
| TNET TriNet Group, Inc. | −5.2% | 38.1% |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | −5.9% | 41.7% |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | −9.4% | 39.1% |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corporation | −10.1% | 41.1% |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | −12.1% | 46.3% |
| NSP Insperity, Inc. | −12.7% | 45.2% |
| MAN ManpowerGroup Inc. | −12.9% | 41.5% |
| RHI Robert Half Inc. | −17.7% | 38.4% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | −19.7% | 33.9% |
| TBI TrueBlue, Inc. | −23.4% | 55.2% |
Has ADP consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares ADP with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than ADP helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives outperformed ADP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was NOW.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than ADP over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (this page) | — | +8.5% | +15.4% | +46.7% | +18.4% | +6.4% | +30.2% | +53.6% | +320% | 22.9% | 0.49 | −40.8% | — | $116B | — |
| NOW Software - ApplicationServiceNow, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +8.6% | +42.8% | +50.0% | +1.4% | −18.5% | +37.8% | +9.8% | +848% | 45.5% | 0.27 | −64.5% | — | $155B | — |
| SAP Software - ApplicationSAP SE | 2/5 short2/3 long | +9.4% | +44.6% | +29.6% | −2.1% | −16.6% | +81.3% | +72.6% | +205% | 30.0% | 0.52 | −52.5% | — | $267B | — |
| BBSI Staffing & Employment ServicesBarrett Business Services, Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −2.4% | −19.7% | +7.8% | −11.2% | −22.2% | +46.9% | +65.4% | +227% | 29.1% | 0.49 | −69.6% | — | $777M | — |
| PAYC Software - ApplicationPaycom Software, Inc. | 5/5 short1/3 long | +15.9% | +75.5% | +98.1% | +73.3% | +31.7% | +3.8% | −47.4% | +453% | 46.3% | -0.04 | −79.0% | — | $12B | — |
| KFY Staffing & Employment ServicesKorn Ferry | 1/5 short1/3 long | −4.2% | −5.7% | +11.3% | +12.6% | +9.2% | +68.7% | +9.3% | +312% | 29.7% | 0.21 | −67.1% | — | $4.0B | — |
| ORCL Software - InfrastructureOracle Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | −11.4% | +8.4% | −25.6% | −32.1% | −52.1% | +33.3% | +45.1% | +300% | 44.3% | 0.38 | −64.6% | — | $396B | — |
| PCTY Software - ApplicationPaylocity Holding Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +17.8% | +33.6% | +64.9% | +16.7% | +12.1% | −10.2% | −41.4% | +288% | 41.1% | -0.06 | −68.9% | — | $9.0B | — |
| TNET Staffing & Employment ServicesTriNet Group, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +6.8% | +17.2% | +78.4% | +26.2% | +18.5% | −34.7% | −23.6% | +277% | 38.1% | 0.05 | −74.0% | — | $3.3B | — |
| NSP Staffing & Employment ServicesInsperity, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −0.5% | −2.1% | +64.1% | +37.2% | +13.3% | −41.8% | −49.3% | +81.0% | 45.2% | -0.07 | −83.1% | — | $1.9B | — |
| TBI Staffing & Employment ServicesTrueBlue, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −10.0% | −3.3% | +84.2% | +88.4% | +51.8% | −40.4% | −73.6% | −55.3% | 55.2% | -0.21 | −89.9% | — | $252M | — |
| BR Information Technology ServicesBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +9.3% | +20.7% | +13.1% | −16.8% | −20.2% | +9.7% | +8.7% | +234% | 24.6% | 0.19 | −48.2% | — | $20B | — |
| ACN Information Technology ServicesAccenture plc | 2/5 short0/3 long | +29.5% | +66.5% | +25.1% | −4.8% | +2.2% | −13.6% | −23.6% | +146% | 32.7% | 0.00 | −67.8% | — | $146B | — |
| WDAY Software - ApplicationWorkday, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +6.3% | +38.6% | +59.4% | −0.9% | −15.4% | −3.4% | −26.4% | +132% | 41.7% | 0.06 | −63.4% | — | $49B | — |
| RHI Staffing & Employment ServicesRobert Half Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −8.4% | −18.0% | +25.1% | +31.6% | +19.3% | −46.2% | −62.2% | +19.6% | 38.4% | -0.32 | −79.4% | — | $3.5B | — |
| MAN Staffing & Employment ServicesManpowerGroup Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −24.0% | −19.1% | +38.0% | +46.3% | +32.9% | −30.1% | −49.8% | −19.8% | 41.5% | -0.13 | −75.5% | — | $2.0B | — |
| INTU Software - ApplicationIntuit Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +10.8% | +14.6% | −16.4% | −46.0% | −48.9% | −32.1% | −38.8% | +237% | 39.1% | -0.06 | −68.2% | — | $90B | — |
| PAYX Staffing & Employment ServicesPaychex, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.1% | −1.2% | +23.8% | +7.2% | −7.1% | +7.5% | +7.9% | +173% | 25.0% | 0.19 | −45.0% | — | $40B | — |
| ASUR Software - ApplicationAsure Software, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −12.5% | −9.7% | −21.5% | −21.6% | −17.1% | −15.7% | −20.8% | +4.1% | 48.3% | 0.15 | −77.0% | — | $206M | — |
| FIS Information Technology ServicesFidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.5% | −12.8% | −22.9% | −42.7% | −44.3% | −21.6% | −66.6% | −41.3% | 33.9% | -0.47 | −76.0% | — | $19B | — |
How did ADP do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where ADP ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with ADP and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- ADP finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 17 of its 29 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, NOW came out ahead of ADP most often, in nine of the 13 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, ADP finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 7 of 20.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of ADP; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places ADP among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of ADP | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP This pageAutomatic Data Processing, Inc. | — | −10.2% | +28.4% | −0.3% | −1.3% | +42.6% | +5.9% | +32.7% | +14.3% | +16.5% | +24.3% | +4.1% | +20.5% | +45.6% | +8.5% | +20.2% | +11.7% | +12.7% | −9.0% | +2.8% | +9.1% | +5.1% | +13.5% | +2.4% | −32.7% | −6.4% | +18.3% | +35.3% | +31.7% | +44.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 7 of 20 | 6 of 20 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 8 of 20 | 11 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 16 of 20 | 7 of 20 | 14 of 20 | 4 of 17 | 10 of 17 | 13 of 15 | 3 of 15 | 11 of 15 | 14 of 15 | 3 of 15 | 4 of 14 | 8 of 14 | 10 of 14 | 4 of 14 | 14 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 8 of 12 | 4 of 12 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 10 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 11 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 9 of 13 | −27.8% | +50.0% | +82.0% | −40.2% | +17.9% | +95.0% | +58.6% | +36.5% | +75.4% | −14.1% | +27.6% | +21.2% | +86.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SAP SAP SE | 14 of 29 | −0.4% | +61.3% | +52.3% | −24.2% | +9.2% | −1.3% | +36.4% | −10.0% | +31.7% | +11.1% | +15.3% | −18.6% | +10.0% | +55.8% | +6.0% | +9.8% | +31.4% | −28.0% | −2.6% | +18.7% | +2.8% | +7.0% | +114% | −38.7% | −4.9% | −35.1% | +45.1% | +38.0% | +138% |
| BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. | 15 of 29 | −16.0% | +51.4% | +25.7% | +37.1% | +2.9% | −23.0% | +60.2% | −10.1% | +2.3% | +50.4% | +62.8% | −69.9% | +146% | +95.0% | +31.9% | +30.3% | +15.5% | −37.7% | −22.3% | −5.9% | +171% | +6.6% | +319% | −16.2% | +3.9% | −46.0% | −22.5% | −27.7% | −22.9% |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | 5 of 11 | −21.7% | 0.0% | −33.1% | −25.3% | −8.2% | +70.8% | +116% | +52.4% | +76.6% | +20.9% | +42.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KFY Korn Ferry | 12 of 26 | +0.6% | +16.1% | +19.1% | −32.4% | +75.3% | +4.0% | +8.3% | −3.7% | +42.6% | −9.9% | +16.7% | +10.1% | +64.7% | −7.1% | −26.2% | +40.0% | +44.5% | −39.3% | −18.0% | +22.8% | −10.0% | +55.6% | +78.3% | −29.7% | −49.9% | −41.6% | — | — | — |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 14 of 29 | +18.1% | +60.0% | +30.9% | −4.7% | +36.9% | +24.3% | +19.4% | −3.0% | +24.9% | +6.9% | −17.6% | +19.0% | +15.7% | +31.8% | −17.5% | +28.6% | +39.4% | −21.4% | +31.7% | +40.4% | −11.0% | +3.6% | +22.6% | −21.8% | −52.5% | +3.7% | +290% | +93.5% | −19.9% |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corporation | 5 of 11 | −23.5% | +21.0% | −15.1% | −17.7% | +14.7% | +70.4% | +101% | +27.7% | +57.1% | −26.0% | +55.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TNET TriNet Group, Inc. | 5 of 11 | −33.9% | −23.1% | +75.4% | −28.8% | +18.2% | +42.4% | +35.0% | −5.4% | +73.1% | +32.4% | −38.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NSP Insperity, Inc. | 13 of 28 | −47.8% | −32.1% | +5.2% | −1.9% | +50.1% | −3.1% | −6.8% | +64.2% | +66.6% | +49.6% | +44.7% | +2.1% | +13.3% | +36.1% | −11.3% | +27.0% | +11.5% | −21.6% | −33.1% | +2.7% | +238% | −27.4% | +190% | −78.1% | +0.8% | +79.7% | +142% | −3.4% | — |
| TBI TrueBlue, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −45.8% | −45.2% | −21.7% | −29.2% | +48.0% | −22.3% | +8.1% | −19.1% | +11.6% | −4.3% | +15.8% | −13.7% | +63.7% | +13.5% | −22.9% | +21.5% | +54.8% | −33.9% | −21.0% | −12.0% | +23.1% | +29.2% | +104% | +25.6% | +54.4% | −72.7% | −7.6% | +53.4% | +114% |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 8 of 18 | +0.3% | +11.7% | +56.3% | −25.3% | +21.1% | +26.3% | +30.6% | +7.9% | +39.1% | +25.9% | +18.9% | +19.6% | +77.4% | +4.5% | +5.8% | −0.1% | +83.6% | −43.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ACN Accenture plc | 13 of 24 | −22.1% | +1.9% | +33.6% | −34.8% | +60.7% | +26.0% | +51.2% | −6.2% | +33.3% | +14.3% | +20.8% | +11.4% | +26.6% | +27.7% | +12.0% | +19.1% | +29.0% | −7.5% | −1.4% | +29.3% | +8.3% | +2.6% | +46.3% | −33.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 5 of 13 | −16.8% | −6.5% | +65.0% | −38.8% | +14.0% | +45.7% | +3.0% | +57.0% | +53.9% | −17.1% | −2.4% | −1.9% | +52.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RHI Robert Half Inc. | 12 of 29 | −59.1% | −17.4% | +22.1% | −32.5% | +81.3% | +1.4% | +12.8% | +4.8% | +16.2% | +5.8% | −18.1% | +41.2% | +34.3% | +14.1% | −5.0% | +16.9% | +31.2% | −21.6% | −26.3% | −1.2% | +30.0% | +27.0% | +44.9% | −39.7% | +0.8% | +85.5% | −35.8% | +11.3% | +75.7% |
| MAN ManpowerGroup Inc. | 11 of 29 | −46.3% | −24.0% | −0.6% | −11.8% | +10.5% | −4.5% | +53.5% | −47.4% | +44.2% | +7.7% | +25.9% | −19.6% | +105% | +21.5% | −42.0% | +16.7% | +63.2% | −39.2% | −23.3% | +62.6% | −2.7% | +3.3% | +48.4% | −4.9% | −10.8% | +1.6% | +50.5% | −28.1% | +9.0% |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 20 of 29 | +6.1% | +1.2% | +61.8% | −39.1% | +70.3% | +46.1% | +34.1% | +25.9% | +39.2% | +20.2% | +5.9% | +22.1% | +29.7% | +14.3% | +7.0% | +60.4% | +29.2% | −24.7% | +3.6% | +14.5% | +21.1% | −16.7% | +12.6% | +9.7% | +8.5% | −34.2% | +148% | +75.8% | +30.9% |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | 14 of 29 | −17.5% | +21.3% | +6.2% | −13.2% | +50.1% | +13.3% | +34.5% | −1.1% | +15.4% | +18.9% | +18.4% | +5.0% | +48.9% | +9.7% | +1.4% | +5.3% | +22.1% | −24.6% | −6.0% | +5.7% | +13.7% | −7.1% | +35.3% | −18.8% | −27.6% | +83.5% | +17.6% | +53.4% | +48.7% |
| ASUR Asure Software, Inc. | 12 of 29 | +0.1% | −1.2% | +1.9% | +19.3% | +10.3% | −13.2% | +61.0% | −64.0% | +65.9% | +88.7% | −19.9% | +0.4% | −4.4% | +38.1% | +118% | +1.0% | +93.0% | −80.3% | −51.8% | −39.2% | +22.0% | −13.8% | +48.0% | −61.2% | +392% | −73.4% | +28.1% | −58.2% | −38.8% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 14 of 24 | −15.8% | +37.0% | −8.2% | −36.5% | −21.9% | +2.7% | +37.2% | +10.3% | +26.1% | +26.6% | −1.0% | +17.8% | +57.4% | +34.1% | −2.2% | +17.7% | +45.4% | +282% | +4.7% | +19.1% | +15.6% | +9.6% | +34.5% | −28.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How ADP has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were ADP's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents ADP's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all three of ADP's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: ADP fell 40.8% from June 2025 to April 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 14.7%.
- The slowest recovery came after ADP fell 59.6% from November 2000 to March 2003; it did not regain that peak until March 2011, eight years later.
Green means ADP fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | ADP fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −59.6% | −35.7% | Nov 2000 | Mar 2003 | 2.3 years | Mar 2011 | 8 years |
| No named crash | −40.8% | +14.7% | Jun 2025 | Apr 2026 | 10 months | Not yet | — |
| No named crash | −39.9% | — | Aug 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 months | Mar 1990 | 2.4 years |
| Covid crash | −39.5% | −33.7% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | Dec 2020 | 9 months |
| No named crash | −23.6% | — | Jul 1990 | Oct 1990 | 3 months | Jan 1991 | 3 months |
How did ADP do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far ADP, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than ADP in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- ADP fell less than the S&P 500 in four of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when ADP fell 35.7% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than ADP.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP This pageAutomatic Data Processing, Inc. | — | −3.3% | −19.9% | −39.5% | −19.2% | −8.7% | −14.1% | −15.8% | 0.0% | −35.7% | −53.6% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 4 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −7.2% | −39.9% | −28.8% | −20.6% | −8.5% | −47.6% | — | — | — | — |
| SAP SAP SE | 4 of 10 | −2.0% | −41.9% | −32.6% | −25.0% | −6.9% | −13.3% | −25.0% | −1.4% | −49.6% | −87.9% |
| BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −4.9% | −14.9% | −65.3% | −29.4% | −9.0% | −40.1% | −15.8% | −3.5% | −67.3% | −62.7% |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −5.4% | −33.7% | −44.9% | −29.9% | −6.4% | −50.8% | — | — | — | — |
| KFY Korn Ferry | 1 of 10 | −10.0% | −39.4% | −47.7% | −23.3% | −7.9% | −29.9% | −48.8% | −3.0% | −59.6% | −85.4% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 3 of 10 | −5.0% | −31.0% | −28.3% | −17.2% | −6.6% | −16.1% | −23.9% | −2.1% | −41.1% | −84.2% |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corporation | 0 of 6 | −6.3% | −30.6% | −47.6% | −33.1% | −13.0% | −45.6% | — | — | — | — |
| TNET TriNet Group, Inc. | 0 of 6 | −10.7% | −31.8% | −52.3% | −30.1% | −10.0% | −37.1% | — | — | — | — |
| NSP Insperity, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −4.2% | −27.4% | −63.9% | −26.2% | −6.5% | −13.6% | −33.7% | −2.7% | −64.5% | −95.4% |
| TBI TrueBlue, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −7.5% | −46.1% | −27.0% | −19.7% | −3.8% | −32.5% | −30.5% | −5.5% | −71.3% | −76.4% |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −3.8% | −25.4% | −31.1% | −31.2% | −4.4% | −16.7% | −18.9% | −2.4% | −59.0% | — |
| ACN Accenture plc | 2 of 9 | −4.7% | −37.3% | −33.5% | −22.6% | −4.1% | −14.9% | −22.7% | −1.9% | −35.7% | — |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −2.8% | −47.0% | −42.4% | −17.3% | −5.8% | −42.3% | — | — | — | — |
| RHI Robert Half Inc. | 1 of 10 | −4.0% | −40.4% | −42.2% | −25.8% | −7.1% | −36.2% | −31.2% | −3.1% | −54.4% | −67.9% |
| MAN ManpowerGroup Inc. | 2 of 10 | −5.9% | −43.2% | −44.2% | −26.3% | −7.2% | −26.5% | −39.9% | −3.4% | −68.1% | −41.7% |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.0% | −42.7% | −36.3% | −20.8% | −6.5% | −24.8% | −18.0% | −3.4% | −38.3% | −66.0% |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −4.3% | −22.6% | −44.1% | −17.4% | −7.1% | −14.8% | −14.6% | −1.0% | −49.5% | −64.9% |
| ASUR Asure Software, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −7.6% | −34.8% | −42.7% | −65.9% | −6.8% | −29.9% | −19.6% | −5.1% | −90.7% | −92.8% |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −20.2% | −38.5% | −34.7% | −13.1% | −8.0% | −23.4% | −23.3% | 0.0% | −46.4% | — |
How closely does ADP move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares ADP with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only NOW had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than ADP's 1.01, out of 19 popular alternatives with the same record.
- NOW took just 79% of the S&P 500's losses, against 88% for ADP, while still keeping 114% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, ADP captured 89% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 88% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.79. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than ADP's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP This pageAutomatic Data Processing, Inc. | 89% | 88% | 1.01 | 0.79 |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 114% | 79% | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | 110% | 114% | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corporation | 94% | 106% | 0.89 | 0.88 |
| BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 90% | 105% | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| KFY Korn Ferry | 129% | 157% | 0.82 | 1.41 |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 131% | 159% | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 99% | 126% | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. | 106% | 136% | 0.78 | 1.25 |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | 87% | 114% | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| TNET TriNet Group, Inc. | 122% | 161% | 0.76 | 1.20 |
| SAP SAP SE | 112% | 152% | 0.74 | 1.10 |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | 96% | 139% | 0.70 | 1.19 |
| NSP Insperity, Inc. | 83% | 126% | 0.66 | 1.01 |
| ACN Accenture plc | 117% | 186% | 0.63 | 1.12 |
| RHI Robert Half Inc. | 92% | 160% | 0.57 | 1.21 |
| ASUR Asure Software, Inc. | 71% | 128% | 0.55 | 0.86 |
| MAN ManpowerGroup Inc. | 101% | 191% | 0.53 | 1.39 |
| TBI TrueBlue, Inc. | 90% | 231% | 0.39 | 1.70 |
| FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 54% | 150% | 0.36 | 0.82 |
What diversifies ADP?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with ADP's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing ADP with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in ADP into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+7.6% for ADP alone, +10.4% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and PJUL have moved largely independently of ADP over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in four of the six calendar years in which ADP lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which ADP lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% ADP and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +53.6% | 0.49 | −10.2% | −0.3% | −1.3% | −9.0% | −32.7% | −6.4% | 23.9% | +7.6% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.30 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | +17.4% | +3.8% | — | — | — | 19.8% | +9.9% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.10 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +42.0% | +6.0% | −20.8% | — | — | 19.5% | +11.8% |
| PJUL Broad MarketInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF | 0.49 | +64.4% | 1.20 | +12.8% | +19.9% | −2.1% | — | — | — | 19.9% | +8.6% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.42 | +101% | 1.04 | +9.7% | +8.0% | +10.4% | — | — | — | 20.5% | +9.6% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.49 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | +1.8% | +7.1% | — | — | — | 20.6% | +8.9% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.19 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | +73.4% | −33.5% | −44.7% | −47.0% | −14.6% | 21.5% | +14.3% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.40 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +23.1% | +20.1% | −5.1% | — | — | — | 20.1% | +9.2% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | -0.01 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | +12.7% | −0.8% | +4.9% | — | — | 19.4% | +10.4% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2023 | 2022 | 2008 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +53.6% | 0.49 | −10.2% | −0.3% | −1.3% | −9.0% | −32.7% | −6.4% | 23.9% | +7.6% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.14 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +34.1% | +54.1% | −39.6% | −8.3% | −2.5% | 20.5% | +14.1% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.10 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +160% | +1.3% | −20.5% | −65.1% | −25.6% | 23.4% | +26.6% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.16 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +79.6% | +17.0% | −15.2% | −9.4% | +73.7% | 22.4% | +22.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.16 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +24.1% | +51.8% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | 20.5% | +13.5% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.30 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +30.4% | +86.6% | — | — | — | 21.9% | +15.9% |
Common questions
What was ADP's worst drawdown?
ADP's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 59.6%, from November 2000 to March 2003. It took about eight years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were ADP's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, ADP's best year was 2013, when it returned 45.6%. Its worst was 2002, with a return of -32.7%.
Is there a better investment than ADP?
Among ADP's popular alternatives, NOW was ahead of ADP in most short and long periods, though with much bigger swings (45.5% volatility against 22.9%). Looking beyond its popular alternatives, GD (aerospace & defense) and ITA (aerospace & defense) earned more than ADP with less volatility over the past 5 years. GD returned 12.9% a year at 20.8% volatility, against 9.0% a year at 22.9%.
Is ADP more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. ADP's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.9%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, ADP's return lands within 22.9% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is ADP's Sharpe ratio?
ADP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.49, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so ADP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is ADP with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, ADP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.55 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against ADP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a ADP holding.
What are the best alternatives to ADP?
None of the 19 popular alternatives we compared outperformed ADP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about ADP's strength than about its alternatives.
Did ADP outperform the S&P 500?
ADP finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 17 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -10.2%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did ADP do in stock market crashes?
ADP fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in four. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when ADP fell 35.7% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies ADP?
These had a low correlation with ADP over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.30), DXJ (correlation 0.10) and PJUL (correlation 0.49); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.14), CLS (correlation 0.10) and FIX (correlation 0.16). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than ADP's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of ADP's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.