Relative Intelligence · Capital Markets

How CME Group (CME) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on CME alone. It places CME (CME Group Inc.) against 18 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where CME stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: CME's full trading record, from December 2002 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, CME rose 21.0% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. After a 31.1% loss from March 2026 to June 2026, CME has bounced 35.7% off the low. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?CME held up far better than its industry: it rose 21.0% over the past 3 months while the capital markets ETF IAI (iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF) fell 5.9%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its capital market peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: MKTX (MarketAxess) rose 43.8%, while SCHW (Charles Schwab) fell 11.1%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsIt took 14 months for CME to win back the 37.4% it lost in March 2020. the S&P 500 fell 28.3% over those same dates. By year ↓
- Long termCME's 10-year return of 319% puts it ahead of 75% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Even so, CME turned $10,000 into $41,900 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Market rank ↓
- In a crashThe 2022 bear market took 31.7% off CME, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than NDAQ (Nasdaq, 27.8%) but less than SCHW (Charles Schwab, 36.9%). CME fell further than the S&P 500 in three of the last three sell-offs, including the 2022 bear market (31.7% against 24.5%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, CME has a correlation of 0.17 over 5 years, less closely than 89% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is a real diversifier. Over 10 years, CME's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.33: 50% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 11% of its losses in falling ones. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- BNY (Bank of New York Mellon), STT (State Street) and VIRT (Virtu Financial) were ahead of CME in most short and long periods.
- Nearby categories and themes
- RY (Royal Bank of Canada, banks) earned more than CME with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 20.8%.
- Whole market
- 132 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CME with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF), BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway) and BRK-A (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in CME have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in CME over the past 23 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of CME over the same span and CME's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: CME began trading on December 6, 2002, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 23 years of CME's record, starting at the end of September 2003.
- $10,000 invested in CME at the end of September 2003 would have grown to $386,399 by September 2026, more than the $116,093 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of CME, and NVDA finished highest, at $18,839,668.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2003 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 107 of the 1,407 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CME; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$19M+188,297% total · +38.8% a year
- AAPL$11M+107,372% total · +35.5% a year
- AMZN$1M+10,195% total · +22.3% a year
- TSM$1M+9,905% total · +22.2% a year
- NDAQ$434,017+4,240% total · +17.8% a year
- CME$386,399+3,764% total · +17.2% a year
- GS$152,364+1,424% total · +12.6% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$116,093+1,061% total · +11.2% a year
- BNY$82,508+725% total · +9.6% a year
- STT$61,740+517% total · +8.2% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,249 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CME; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- IBKR$56,308+463% total · +41.3% a year
- BNY$31,954+220% total · +26.2% a year
- VIRT$26,921+169% total · +21.9% a year
- GS$26,885+169% total · +21.9% a year
- STT$23,984+140% total · +19.1% a year
- CBOE$23,731+137% total · +18.9% a year
- RY$23,646+136% total · +18.8% a year
- TD$21,998+120% total · +17.1% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- CME$16,716+67.2% total · +10.8% a year
CME at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: CME began trading on December 6, 2002, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- CME's deepest decline since it began trading in 2002 was 77.5%, from December 2007 to November 2008. It took about eight years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 23 full calendar years, CME's best was 2004, when it returned 219%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 68.8%. It lost money in five of those years.
- CME is 6.5% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $106B
- Industry
- Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
- Price history from
- December 2002
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +14.6%total return
- Past 3 years
- +57.7%+16.4% a year
- Past 5 years
- +70.1%+11.2% a year
- Past 10 years
- +319%+15.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +219%2004
- Worst calendar year
- −68.8%2008
- Losing years
- 5 of 23full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 20.8%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.62return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −77.5%Dec 2007 to Nov 2008
- From its all-time high
- −6.5%below the peak
CME against the whole market
Where CME ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does CME rank among all stocks?
This section ranks CME on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how CME stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- CME is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 4% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | CME | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +14.6% | 1,418 of 3,287 | top 43% |
| 3-year return | +57.7% | 1,435 of 3,017 | top 48% |
| 5-year return | +70.1% | 901 of 2,893 | top 31% |
| 10-year return | +319% | 540 of 2,202 | top 25% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 20.8% | 115 of 2,893 | top 4% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.62 | 634 of 2,893 | top 22% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −37.4% | 91 of 2,187 | top 4% |
What has beaten CME on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). CME sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than CME with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- Ten stocks and 122 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than CME over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 4% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half CME's swings, LVHI has the best return for its risk: 17.0% a year at 11.1% volatility, 47% less than CME's 20.8%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.48 against 0.62 for CME. DXJ earned the most, 26.6% a year, while still swinging less than CME (19.1% against 20.8%).
- None of CME's popular alternatives made it, but RY (banks) did: 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, 12% less than CME's 20.8%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to CME; faint dots are 53 more of the 132 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× CME's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than CME?
Investments that beat CME over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among CME's popular alternatives, BNY, STT and VIRT were ahead of CME in most short and long periods.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RY (banks) earned more than CME with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 20.8%.
- Across the whole market, 132 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CME with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VOO, BRK-B and BRK-A.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat CME over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks CME's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than CME follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than CME's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× CME's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than CME's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with CME?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +11.2% | 20.8% | 0.62 | −37.4% | +319% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.17 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 3 shownThe investments people most often weigh against CME. 3 of 18 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return in most periods | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.22 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +14.4% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −59.6% | +212% | 0.10 | — | ||
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc. · Capital Markets | Higher return in most periods | +20.8% | 33.8% | 0.73 | −56.2% | +545% | 0.14 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Capital Markets and the categories next to it (Investment Banking & Brokerage, Financial Data, Banks, Asset Management), plus CME's specific themes. 15 of 118 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | -0.01 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.06 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.18 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.13 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.04 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +33.7% | 29.4% | 1.14 | −47.6% | +474% | 0.05 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 411 of 3,497 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.05 | — | ||
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.35 | 0.40% | |
AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.16 | 0.15% | |
DFUSDimensional U.S. Equity ETF · US Total Market | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.3% | 17.3% | 0.76 | −24.6% | — | 0.16 | 0.09% | |
IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.21 | 0.40% | |
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.26 | — | ||
SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | -0.11 | 0.13% | |
FTQIFirst Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF · Dividend & Income | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +11.5% | 14.8% | 0.82 | −19.4% | +121% | 0.05 | 0.75% | |
What these numbers mean for CME
- Annual return
- CME returned 11.2% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $17,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- CME's volatility over the past 5 years was 20.8%, 1.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CME's return lands within 20.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- CME's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.62, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CME earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- CME's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 37.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 37.4% fall takes a 59.6% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, CME's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.17 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CME instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CME holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 132 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than CME with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 61 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with CME | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.05 | — | |
| 2 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.35 | 0.40% |
| 3 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.16 | 0.15% |
| 4 | DFUSDimensional U.S. Equity ETF · US Total Market | Whole market | +12.3% | 17.3% | 0.76 | −24.6% | — | 0.16 | 0.09% |
| 5 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.21 | 0.40% |
| 6 | BKLCBNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.8% | 17.3% | 0.84 | −26.2% | — | 0.18 | 0.00% |
| 7 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.26 | — | |
| 8 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.12 | 0.45% |
| 9 | IHEiShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.6% | 16.8% | 0.80 | −29.6% | +151% | 0.11 | 0.37% |
| 10 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.01 | 0.45% |
| 11 | EWJViShares MSCI Japan Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.2% | 0.86 | −30.1% | — | 0.29 | 0.15% |
| 12 | Same or nearby category | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | -0.01 | — | |
| 13 | SIXAETC 6 Meridian Mega Cap Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.8% | 12.7% | 1.01 | −18.4% | — | 0.22 | 0.31% |
| 14 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.12 | 0.48% |
| 15 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.40 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.22 | — | |
| 17 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.80% |
| 18 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.48 | 0.40% | |
| 19 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +194% | 0.29 | 0.25% |
| 20 | VYMIVanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.2% | 14.8% | 0.92 | −40.0% | +176% | 0.33 | 0.07% |
| 21 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.1% | 15.1% | 1.07 | −41.3% | — | 0.24 | 0.56% |
| 22 | HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 13.0% | 1.00 | −37.0% | +172% | 0.30 | 0.08% |
| 23 | MGVVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +12.6% | 13.4% | 0.95 | −35.4% | +244% | 0.14 | 0.05% |
| 24 | RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.7% | 14.4% | 0.97 | −36.1% | +287% | 0.23 | 0.39% |
| 25 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.1% | 13.8% | 0.96 | −32.5% | +206% | 0.15 | 0.35% |
| 26 | FDLFirst Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 14.4% | 0.98 | −41.4% | +199% | 0.30 | 0.43% |
| 27 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.17 | 0.12% |
| 28 | VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +15.9% | 18.4% | 0.90 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.00 | 0.15% |
| 29 | DLNWisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Dividend Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.2% | 13.2% | 0.95 | −35.8% | +231% | 0.25 | 0.28% |
| 30 | GCOWPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 13.6% | 1.04 | −37.6% | +168% | 0.39 | 0.60% |
| 31 | MLPXGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF · Energy | Whole market | +18.6% | 19.7% | 0.97 | −64.6% | +186% | 0.23 | 0.45% |
| 32 | FTGCFirst Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +12.9% | 15.6% | 0.86 | −35.9% | +139% | 0.27 | 0.98% |
| 33 | WTVWisdomTree U.S. Value Fund · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.0% | 0.83 | −42.2% | +303% | 0.23 | 0.12% |
| 34 | DIVBiShares Core Dividend ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +13.9% | 15.4% | 0.93 | −36.9% | — | 0.28 | 0.05% |
| 35 | PWVInvesco Large Cap Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.5% | 14.2% | 0.97 | −37.6% | +223% | 0.23 | 0.55% |
| 36 | JMOMJPMorgan U.S. Momentum Factor ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.9% | 19.1% | 0.73 | −34.3% | — | 0.06 | 0.12% |
| 37 | FNDBSchwab Fundamental U.S. Broad Market Index ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.0% | 15.1% | 0.89 | −38.1% | +284% | 0.18 | 0.25% |
| 38 | HLALWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.0% | 18.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | — | 0.11 | 0.50% |
| 39 | FDRRFidelity Dividend ETF for Rising Rates · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +12.6% | 15.0% | 0.87 | −36.5% | +265% | 0.23 | 0.15% |
| 40 | DGTState Street SPDR Global Dow ETF · International | Whole market | +13.8% | 15.1% | 0.94 | −34.4% | +261% | 0.24 | 0.50% |
| 41 | FYLDCambria Foreign Shareholder Yield ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +13.1% | 16.0% | 0.85 | −44.6% | +203% | 0.37 | 0.59% |
| 42 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.3% | 18.2% | 0.78 | −31.3% | +229% | 0.22 | 0.25% |
| 43 | FIVAFidelity International Value Factor ETF · International | Whole market | +13.1% | 16.4% | 0.84 | −39.7% | — | 0.21 | 0.18% |
| 44 | NXTGFirst Trust Indxx NextG ETF · Technology | Whole market | +16.2% | 19.1% | 0.89 | −33.6% | +330% | 0.06 | 0.70% |
| 45 | GVALCambria Global Value ETF · International | Whole market | +14.4% | 18.7% | 0.82 | −46.8% | +173% | 0.22 | 0.68% |
| 46 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +15.7% | 16.8% | 0.95 | −19.7% | — | 0.10 | 0.38% |
| 47 | Whole market | +16.4% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.24 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | 0.32 | — | |
| 49 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.29 | — |
| 50 | LLoews Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +14.3% | 19.2% | 0.80 | −48.5% | +180% | 0.14 | — |
| 51 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.4% | 0.84 | −43.0% | — | 0.32 | 0.36% |
| 52 | AMLPAlerian MLP ETF · Energy Equity | Whole market | +16.1% | 18.9% | 0.89 | −72.9% | +91.0% | 0.21 | 1.01% |
| 53 | FDVVFidelity High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.2% | 14.6% | 0.92 | −40.2% | +253% | 0.24 | 0.15% |
| 54 | IDViShares International Select Dividend ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +12.8% | 15.5% | 0.86 | −42.5% | +159% | 0.36 | 0.50% |
| 55 | PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +16.3% | 18.9% | 0.90 | −43.9% | +344% | 0.23 | 0.58% |
| 56 | EMLPFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +14.9% | 14.5% | 1.04 | −43.6% | +150% | 0.30 | 0.95% |
| 57 | DDWMWisdomTree Dynamic International Equity Fund · International | Whole market | +12.3% | 13.4% | 0.94 | −35.0% | +149% | 0.27 | 0.40% |
| 58 | AUSFGlobal X - Adaptive U.S. Factor ETF · International | Whole market | +13.2% | 13.6% | 0.99 | −44.2% | — | 0.29 | 0.27% |
| 59 | FDDFirst Trust STOXX European Select Dividend Index Fund · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +12.6% | 18.5% | 0.74 | −41.4% | +175% | 0.26 | 0.56% |
| 60 | IDOGALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF · International | Whole market | +14.1% | 15.6% | 0.93 | −37.3% | +180% | 0.33 | 0.50% |
| 61 | IGLDFT Vest Gold Strategy Target Income ETF · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +12.5% | 16.1% | 0.82 | −99.1% | −96.9% | 0.51 | 0.85% |
CME against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against CME, compared period by period and year by year.
How do CME's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at CME, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 18 popular alternatives earned more than CME over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Ten of the 18 popular alternatives earned less than CME over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, CME returned 11.2% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (20.8% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than CME with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | +35.4% | 35.4% |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corp | +22.7% | 24.4% |
| CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | +21.5% | 25.1% |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | +20.8% | 33.8% |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | +19.6% | 28.6% |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | +18.6% | 68.6% |
| MS Morgan Stanley | +16.0% | 28.8% |
| STT State Street Corporation | +14.4% | 29.9% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| CME This pageCME Group Inc. | +11.2% | 20.8% |
| NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. | +8.9% | 24.7% |
| TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | +7.8% | 27.8% |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | +7.1% | 27.1% |
| MCO Moody's Corporation | +5.9% | 26.9% |
| ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | +5.4% | 21.8% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | +3.6% | 31.9% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | +0.7% | 25.6% |
| MSCI MSCI Inc. | +0.1% | 31.3% |
| FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. | −4.8% | 30.4% |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | −15.4% | 35.3% |
Has CME consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares CME with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than CME helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Four of the 18 popular alternatives, led by VIRT, CBOE and BNY, outperformed CME in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- MS outperformed CME over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so CME has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than CME over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| CME CME Group Inc. (this page) | — | +7.2% | +21.0% | +3.8% | +13.2% | +14.6% | +57.7% | +70.1% | +319% | 20.8% | 0.62 | −37.4% | — | $106B | — |
| VIRT QualifiedVirtu Financial, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −1.5% | +1.1% | +13.8% | +77.5% | +76.5% | +243% | +158% | +545% | 33.8% | 0.73 | −56.2% | — | $5.0B | — |
| CBOE QualifiedCboe Global Markets, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +16.1% | +13.5% | +4.0% | +27.9% | +34.2% | +101% | +165% | +463% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | — | $33B | — |
| BNY QualifiedBank of New York Mellon Corp | 3/5 short3/3 long | −6.3% | −7.7% | +7.4% | +24.8% | +35.3% | +272% | +179% | +341% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | — | $98B | — |
| STT QualifiedState Street Corporation | 3/5 short2/3 long | −9.2% | −8.3% | +12.1% | +31.3% | +47.9% | +181% | +96.2% | +212% | 29.9% | 0.60 | −59.6% | — | $46B | — |
| IBKR Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −11.1% | −9.5% | +2.2% | +23.7% | +24.4% | +320% | +355% | +935% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | — | $146B | — |
| GS Financial - Capital MarketsThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 1/5 short3/3 long | −7.8% | −15.7% | −5.2% | −1.8% | +18.2% | +215% | +145% | +521% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | — | $258B | — |
| MS Financial - Capital MarketsMorgan Stanley | 0/5 short3/3 long | −12.5% | −14.0% | −4.4% | +0.8% | +13.9% | +170% | +110% | +627% | 28.8% | 0.66 | −51.3% | — | $285B | — |
| NDAQ Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesNasdaq, Inc. | 1/5 short2/3 long | +0.1% | +3.5% | +8.8% | −0.9% | +8.1% | +95.1% | +52.9% | +407% | 24.7% | 0.47 | −38.3% | — | $53B | — |
| HOOD Financial - Capital MarketsRobinhood Markets, Inc. | 1/5 short2/3 long | −20.3% | −1.1% | +7.6% | −14.8% | −27.7% | +976% | +135% | — | 68.6% | 0.59 | −90.2% | — | $78B | — |
| MSCI Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesMSCI Inc. | 1/5 short1/3 long | +5.9% | −5.0% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +11.8% | +25.5% | +0.5% | +702% | 31.3% | 0.16 | −43.7% | — | $43B | — |
| BLK Asset ManagementBlackRock, Inc. | 1/5 short1/3 long | +3.5% | +7.6% | +8.8% | +5.7% | −0.6% | +96.3% | +41.1% | +313% | 27.1% | 0.39 | −43.9% | — | $175B | — |
| MCO Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesMoody's Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +1.7% | −5.7% | +3.8% | −4.1% | +1.1% | +57.3% | +33.4% | +383% | 26.9% | 0.35 | −42.0% | — | $82B | — |
| SCHW Financial - Capital MarketsThe Charles Schwab Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | −15.0% | −11.1% | −1.8% | −9.6% | −3.1% | +86.2% | +19.1% | +221% | 31.9% | 0.27 | −51.1% | — | $157B | — |
| FDS Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesFactSet Research Systems Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +9.9% | +22.5% | +33.5% | +11.1% | +9.5% | −24.7% | −21.8% | +127% | 30.4% | -0.01 | −61.1% | — | $11B | — |
| SPGI Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesS&P Global Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +8.3% | −2.1% | −0.6% | −13.9% | −7.4% | +28.2% | +3.7% | +293% | 25.6% | 0.16 | −39.8% | — | $129B | — |
| MKTX Financial - Capital MarketsMarketAxess Holdings Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +0.6% | +43.8% | +0.8% | −6.5% | −1.9% | −26.8% | −56.7% | +19.9% | 35.3% | -0.30 | −80.3% | — | $5.8B | — |
| TW Financial - Capital MarketsTradeweb Markets Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +14.3% | +18.9% | +4.0% | +12.8% | +10.2% | +48.4% | +45.3% | — | 27.8% | 0.41 | −48.6% | — | $26B | — |
| ICE Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesIntercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +2.1% | +12.4% | −0.6% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +52.4% | +30.0% | +240% | 21.8% | 0.35 | −34.3% | — | $89B | — |
How did CME do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2003, along with where CME ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with CME and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: CME began trading on December 6, 2002, so the table starts with 2003, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- CME finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 14 of its 23 full calendar years.
- Among its popular alternatives, IBKR came out ahead of CME most often, in 12 of the 18 years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, CME finished in the top quarter in five of 23 years and in the bottom quarter in three. In 2025, it ranked 10 of 19.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of CME; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places CME among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of CME | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME This pageCME Group Inc. | — | +19.8% | +15.4% | +31.3% | −22.9% | +29.5% | −6.3% | +9.7% | +32.1% | +32.4% | +33.9% | +4.4% | +18.3% | +64.0% | +11.4% | −22.7% | −2.7% | +64.3% | −68.8% | +35.3% | +39.5% | +61.8% | +219% | +67.5% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 5 of 23 | 10 of 19 | 13 of 19 | 6 of 19 | 11 of 19 | 14 of 18 | 16 of 18 | 14 of 17 | 2 of 17 | 8 of 17 | 3 of 17 | 10 of 16 | 7 of 16 | 7 of 16 | 11 of 16 | 12 of 16 | 12 of 15 | 6 of 15 | 14 of 15 | 5 of 13 | 5 of 13 | 2 of 12 | 1 of 11 | 1 of 11 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 23 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | 3 of 10 | −4.2% | +83.0% | +4.6% | −26.5% | +18.6% | +64.3% | −34.8% | +46.0% | +21.4% | −25.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 10 of 15 | +30.0% | +10.7% | +44.4% | −2.1% | +42.2% | −21.2% | +24.1% | −20.6% | +70.5% | +15.5% | +3.8% | +23.8% | +80.7% | +19.1% | +15.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 7 of 23 | +54.4% | +51.9% | +18.5% | −19.1% | +40.6% | −12.9% | +9.6% | −10.8% | +15.7% | +17.1% | +3.3% | +18.3% | +38.6% | +32.1% | −32.8% | +9.3% | +0.9% | −40.4% | +20.0% | +26.8% | −1.2% | +4.8% | +45.2% |
| STT State Street Corporation | 10 of 23 | +35.5% | +30.2% | +3.5% | −13.8% | +31.0% | −4.8% | +29.3% | −34.0% | +27.8% | +19.8% | −13.9% | +8.7% | +58.6% | +19.2% | −11.4% | +6.6% | +10.8% | −50.7% | +21.9% | +23.2% | +14.5% | −4.4% | +35.4% |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 12 of 18 | +46.3% | +114% | +15.2% | −8.3% | +31.2% | +31.7% | −14.0% | −7.1% | +62.8% | −15.4% | +51.0% | +21.7% | +82.8% | +1.0% | −14.5% | +11.1% | −0.9% | −44.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 11 of 23 | +56.6% | +52.0% | +15.9% | −7.9% | +47.6% | +17.4% | +40.5% | −33.5% | +7.4% | +34.9% | −5.8% | +10.8% | +40.8% | +43.4% | −45.6% | +0.5% | +103% | −60.4% | +8.6% | +57.4% | +23.9% | +6.5% | +46.3% |
| MS Morgan Stanley | 11 of 23 | +45.2% | +39.7% | +13.9% | −10.3% | +46.6% | +38.1% | +32.7% | −22.8% | +26.6% | +36.1% | −16.7% | +25.0% | +65.4% | +27.6% | −43.9% | −7.5% | +88.3% | −68.8% | −22.1% | +46.3% | +4.6% | −2.0% | +48.4% |
| NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. | 13 of 23 | +27.2% | +34.9% | −3.7% | −11.2% | +60.1% | +26.0% | +33.9% | +8.2% | +16.8% | +17.4% | +23.3% | +22.4% | +61.9% | +3.7% | +3.2% | +19.7% | −19.8% | −50.1% | +60.8% | −12.5% | +245% | +8.0% | −5.3% |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | 3 of 4 | +204% | +192% | +56.5% | −54.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MSCI MSCI Inc. | 9 of 18 | −3.2% | +7.3% | +22.9% | −23.3% | +38.1% | +74.4% | +77.2% | +18.0% | +62.6% | +10.6% | +54.0% | +9.0% | +41.0% | −5.9% | −15.5% | +22.5% | +79.1% | −53.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | 11 of 23 | +6.6% | +29.3% | +17.9% | −20.4% | +29.4% | +47.2% | +31.9% | −21.6% | +38.2% | +14.6% | −2.4% | +15.7% | +57.0% | +19.8% | −3.6% | −15.9% | +76.6% | −37.0% | +45.1% | +41.8% | +42.4% | +47.6% | +35.9% |
| MCO Moody's Corporation | 12 of 23 | +8.7% | +22.2% | +41.5% | −28.0% | +35.6% | +23.3% | +71.3% | −4.1% | +58.5% | −4.5% | +6.1% | +23.7% | +58.3% | +51.8% | +28.9% | +0.8% | +35.5% | −43.0% | −48.0% | +13.0% | +41.9% | +44.1% | +47.2% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 10 of 23 | +36.6% | +9.2% | −16.0% | +0.1% | +60.2% | +13.6% | +16.4% | −18.4% | +31.1% | +21.0% | +9.9% | +17.2% | +83.3% | +29.8% | −33.1% | −7.8% | +18.1% | −36.1% | +40.0% | +32.8% | +23.5% | +1.7% | +9.5% |
| FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 9 of 23 | −38.9% | +1.6% | +20.0% | −16.8% | +47.5% | +25.1% | +35.5% | +5.0% | +19.4% | +1.8% | +16.7% | +31.3% | +24.9% | +2.2% | −5.9% | +44.1% | +51.1% | −19.5% | −0.7% | +37.9% | +6.3% | +54.2% | +36.0% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 10 of 23 | +5.7% | +13.9% | +32.8% | −28.4% | +44.7% | +21.4% | +62.3% | +1.4% | +59.3% | +10.5% | +12.3% | +15.5% | +45.9% | +30.1% | +26.6% | +12.0% | +49.3% | −45.5% | −34.7% | +33.5% | +14.2% | +33.0% | +17.8% |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | 10 of 21 | −18.5% | −21.8% | +6.1% | −31.5% | −27.5% | +51.3% | +80.7% | +5.6% | +38.3% | +32.7% | +57.0% | +8.3% | +91.7% | +23.8% | +46.8% | +52.4% | +71.1% | −36.3% | −5.5% | +18.7% | −32.8% | — | — |
| TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | 4 of 6 | −17.5% | +44.6% | +40.6% | −34.9% | +61.0% | +35.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 10 of 20 | +9.9% | +17.5% | +27.1% | −23.9% | +19.9% | +26.2% | +24.5% | +8.1% | +26.6% | +11.5% | +18.3% | −1.3% | +82.2% | +2.7% | +1.2% | +6.1% | +36.2% | −57.2% | +78.4% | +197% | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How CME has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were CME's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents CME's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2002, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: CME began trading on December 6, 2002, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of CME's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: CME fell 31.1% from March to June 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 8.5%.
- The slowest recovery came after CME fell 77.5% from December 2007 to November 2008; it did not regain that peak until August 2016, eight years later.
Green means CME fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | CME fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −77.5% | −48.3% | Dec 2007 | Nov 2008 | 11 months | Aug 2016 | 7.8 years |
| Covid crash | −37.4% | −28.3% | Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | Under a month | May 2021 | 14 months |
| 2022 bear market | −31.7% | −18.3% | Mar 2022 | Oct 2022 | 7 months | Oct 2024 | 2 years |
| No named crash | −31.1% | +8.5% | Mar 2026 | Jun 2026 | 3 months | Not yet | — |
| No named crash | −25.5% | −3.6% | Dec 2004 | Apr 2005 | 4 months | Jun 2005 | 2 months |
How did CME do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far CME, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: CME began trading on December 6, 2002, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than CME in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- CME began trading after the dot-com bust, but nine of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was MCO's 18.5%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
- CME fell further than the S&P 500 in four of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when CME fell 77.5% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than CME.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME This pageCME Group Inc. | — | −3.4% | −31.7% | −37.4% | −9.4% | −4.3% | −17.3% | −18.0% | −1.9% | −77.5% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 4 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | 2 of 6 | −8.7% | −44.4% | −21.7% | −9.6% | −3.4% | −20.9% | — | — | — | — |
| CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 2 of 7 | −3.7% | −16.4% | −38.6% | −18.9% | −20.4% | −17.0% | −11.8% | — | — | — |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 2 of 9 | −11.4% | −40.5% | −40.1% | −16.2% | −5.4% | −27.0% | −30.9% | −0.5% | −62.4% | −62.6% |
| STT State Street Corporation | 0 of 9 | −14.6% | −41.4% | −45.1% | −32.3% | −8.3% | −34.1% | −28.3% | −1.9% | −82.3% | −50.7% |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −14.3% | −33.3% | −38.0% | −18.2% | −5.6% | −32.6% | −14.2% | −2.6% | −63.7% | — |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −9.7% | −30.5% | −42.8% | −33.3% | −5.3% | −31.2% | −34.3% | 0.0% | −78.8% | −54.7% |
| MS Morgan Stanley | 1 of 9 | −8.2% | −32.4% | −50.6% | −24.6% | −6.7% | −43.9% | −47.7% | 0.0% | −86.2% | −72.0% |
| NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −5.7% | −27.8% | −37.1% | −16.7% | −6.4% | −10.1% | −16.1% | −5.3% | −68.5% | — |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −6.8% | −60.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MSCI MSCI Inc. | 3 of 8 | −2.5% | −35.8% | −32.2% | −24.6% | −6.1% | −13.3% | −26.3% | −1.7% | — | — |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −7.2% | −40.8% | −42.3% | −25.2% | −7.1% | −19.9% | −23.9% | 0.0% | −60.4% | −33.0% |
| MCO Moody's Corporation | 2 of 9 | −3.4% | −37.6% | −42.0% | −26.1% | −4.6% | −29.3% | −27.6% | −0.7% | −69.3% | −18.5% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 1 of 9 | −31.9% | −36.9% | −41.5% | −26.5% | −8.2% | −37.0% | −28.9% | −5.5% | −56.0% | −83.1% |
| FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 3 of 9 | −3.0% | −25.9% | −33.6% | −19.7% | −5.7% | −22.3% | −18.4% | −2.2% | −54.4% | −59.0% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 2 of 9 | −4.2% | −36.3% | −38.1% | −24.6% | −6.2% | −21.3% | −20.8% | −0.4% | −66.4% | −29.5% |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | 3 of 9 | −3.4% | −44.0% | −25.5% | −13.1% | −4.1% | −12.7% | −20.1% | −3.8% | −72.8% | — |
| TW Tradeweb Markets Inc. | 1 of 3 | −5.9% | −44.3% | −30.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −7.0% | −33.8% | −33.0% | −13.3% | −9.4% | −12.7% | −19.3% | −2.0% | −73.9% | — |
How closely does CME move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares CME with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the 15 popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than CME's 4.48.
- Over the past 10 years, CME captured 50% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 11% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.33. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- VIRT took just -28% of the S&P 500's losses, against 11% for CME, while still keeping 45% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than CME's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME This pageCME Group Inc. | 50% | 11% | 4.48 | 0.33 |
| CBOE Cboe Global Markets, Inc. | 79% | 50% | 1.59 | 0.53 |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 128% | 92% | 1.40 | 1.03 |
| MSCI MSCI Inc. | 131% | 121% | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. | 104% | 97% | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| MS Morgan Stanley | 142% | 137% | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 136% | 133% | 1.02 | 1.39 |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 89% | 90% | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 115% | 120% | 0.96 | 1.08 |
| ICE Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. | 88% | 94% | 0.94 | 0.84 |
| MCO Moody's Corporation | 131% | 151% | 0.87 | 1.26 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 107% | 125% | 0.85 | 1.04 |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | 127% | 157% | 0.81 | 1.30 |
| STT State Street Corporation | 128% | 166% | 0.77 | 1.48 |
| FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 71% | 97% | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | 40% | 74% | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | 45% | -28% | — | 0.20 |
What diversifies CME?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with CME's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing CME with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in CME into SPMO would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+10.8% for CME alone, +13.8% for the mix).
- CAH made money in four of the five calendar years in which CME lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of CME over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.35 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which CME lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% CME and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2020 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME CME Group Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +70.1% | 0.62 | −22.9% | −6.3% | −22.7% | −2.7% | −68.8% | 21.3% | +10.8% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.35 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | −9.0% | — | — | — | 17.8% | +12.4% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.12 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +3.9% | −16.1% | −1.8% | −20.8% | 17.5% | +14.4% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.30 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | −13.4% | — | — | — | 18.1% | +12.2% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.30 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | −6.5% | — | — | — | 18.1% | +11.5% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | -0.16 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +55.5% | +6.8% | +19.0% | −44.7% | 17.4% | +17.4% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.15 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | +2.1% | — | — | — | 17.5% | +11.8% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.48 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | +24.8% | +9.6% | +29.3% | +4.9% | 18.9% | +12.6% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -0.11 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +28.2% | — | — | — | 17.1% | +13.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2020 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CME CME Group Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +70.1% | 0.62 | −22.9% | −6.3% | −22.7% | −2.7% | −68.8% | 21.3% | +10.8% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.00 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | +10.1% | +8.1% | +21.4% | −39.6% | 17.9% | +16.8% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.00 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −2.4% | −24.4% | +2.8% | −20.5% | 20.7% | +29.6% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.10 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +6.7% | −17.0% | +8.7% | −15.2% | 20.1% | +25.4% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.27 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +27.1% | +11.8% | +13.8% | −40.4% | 19.1% | +15.9% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.18 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | −27.4% | — | — | — | 19.3% | +18.7% |
Common questions
What was CME's worst drawdown?
CME's deepest decline since it began trading in 2002 was 77.5%, from December 2007 to November 2008. It took about eight years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because CME launched in December 2002, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were CME's best and worst years?
Over 23 full calendar years, CME's best year was 2004, when it returned 219%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -68.8%.
Is there a better investment than CME?
Among CME's popular alternatives, BNY, STT and VIRT were ahead of CME in most short and long periods. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RY (banks) earned more than CME with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 11.2% a year at 20.8%.
Is CME more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. CME's volatility over the past 5 years was 20.8%, 1.2 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CME's return lands within 20.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is CME's Sharpe ratio?
CME's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.62, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so CME earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is CME with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, CME's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.17 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CME instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CME holding.
What are the best alternatives to CME?
Of the 18 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed CME in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: VIRT, CBOE and BNY.
Did CME outperform the S&P 500?
CME finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 14 of 23 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +19.8%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did CME do in stock market crashes?
CME fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in four. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when CME fell 77.5% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies CME?
These had a low correlation with CME over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.35), DXJ (correlation 0.12) and EMLP (correlation 0.30); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.00), CLS (correlation 0.00) and FIX (correlation 0.10). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than CME's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of CME's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.