Relative Intelligence · Capital Markets

How Morgan Stanley (MS) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on MS alone. It places MS (Morgan Stanley) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where MS stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: MS's full trading record, from February 1993 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowMS has gone against the market, falling 14.0% over the past 3 months while the S&P 500 rose 3.9%. MS is 20.6% below its high, bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 sits 1.3% below a record. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?The weakness is MS's own: it fell 14.0% over the past 3 months while the capital markets ETF IAI (iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF) fell 5.9%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its capital market peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.) fell 0.6%, while EVR (Evercore) fell 24.2%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsMS lagged its capital market peers in 2023, then moved up the pack in 2025. MS finished ahead of the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. Consistency ↓
- Long termOver the past decade, MS returned 21.9% a year against 15.5% a year for the S&P 500 (627% in total against 321%). MS's 10-year return of 627% puts it ahead of 90% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, MS has typically fallen 1.9 times as far as the S&P 500. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, MS has a correlation of 0.69 over 5 years, more closely than 98% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. MS fell in 18 of the 22 months the S&P 500 fell over the past 5 years: it usually fell with it. By year ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- RY (Royal Bank of Canada, banks) and HSBC (banks) earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years. RY returned 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.8%.
- Whole market
- 98 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT (Walmart), JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.) and XOM (Exxonmobil).
How much would $10,000 in MS have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in MS over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of MS over the same span and MS's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in MS at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $148,562 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of MS, and SF finished highest, at $522,688.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 398 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MS; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SF$522,688+5,127% total · +14.6% a year
- SPGI$384,837+3,748% total · +13.4% a year
- RJF$332,210+3,222% total · +12.8% a year
- JPM$189,407+1,794% total · +10.7% a year
- SCHW$171,783+1,618% total · +10.3% a year
- MS$148,562+1,386% total · +9.8% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- JEF$120,032+1,100% total · +8.9% a year
- OPY$109,725+997% total · +8.6% a year
- C$11,853+18.5% total · +0.6% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 626 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MS; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- IBKR$56,308+463% total · +41.3% a year
- UBS$34,575+246% total · +28.2% a year
- OPY$28,799+188% total · +23.6% a year
- GS$26,885+169% total · +21.9% a year
- JPM$22,905+129% total · +18.0% a year
- MS$22,663+127% total · +17.8% a year
- PIPR$22,212+122% total · +17.3% a year
- C$21,876+119% total · +16.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- KKR$15,636+56.4% total · +9.4% a year
MS at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- MS's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 88.2%, from September 2000 to November 2008. It took about 12 years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- MS is still 20.6% below its all-time high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, MS's best was 1999, when it returned 103%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 68.9%. It lost money in ten of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $285B
- Industry
- Financial - Capital Markets
- Price history from
- February 1993
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +13.9%total return
- Past 3 years
- +170%+39.3% a year
- Past 5 years
- +110%+16.0% a year
- Past 10 years
- +627%+21.9% a year
- Best calendar year
- +103%1999
- Worst calendar year
- −68.9%2008
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 28.8%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.66return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −88.2%Sep 2000 to Nov 2008
- From its all-time high
- −20.6%below the peak
MS against the whole market
Where MS ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does MS rank among all stocks?
This section ranks MS on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how MS stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- MS's 10-year return ranks in the top 10% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | MS | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +13.9% | 1,448 of 3,287 | top 44% |
| 3-year return | +170% | 493 of 3,017 | top 16% |
| 5-year return | +110% | 625 of 2,893 | top 22% |
| 10-year return | +627% | 226 of 2,202 | top 10% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 28.8% | 626 of 2,893 | top 22% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.66 | 543 of 2,893 | top 19% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −51.3% | 507 of 2,187 | top 23% |
What has beaten MS on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). MS sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than MS with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 58 stocks and 40 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than MS over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half MS's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 14% less than MS's 28.8%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.66 for MS.
- Among MS's popular alternatives, JPM is in the region. JPM earned 17.3% a year against 16.0% a year for MS, at 24.3% volatility, 16% less than MS's 28.8%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to MS; faint dots are 68 more of the 98 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than MS?
Investments that beat MS over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among MS's popular alternatives, JPM earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.8%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RY (banks) and HSBC (banks) earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years. RY returned 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.8%.
- Across the whole market, 98 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT, JPM and XOM.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat MS over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks MS's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than MS follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than MS's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× MS's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than MS's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with MS?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +16.0% | 28.8% | 0.66 | −51.3% | +627% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.69 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 5 shownThe investments people most often weigh against MS. 5 of 23 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.72 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periods | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.55 | — | ||
OPYOppenheimer Holdings Inc. · Financial - Capital Markets | Higher return in most periods | +17.1% | 33.4% | 0.64 | −54.9% | +743% | 0.52 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatility | +25.4% | 30.4% | 0.90 | −59.8% | +374% | 0.68 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +19.6% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | +521% | 0.87 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Capital Markets and the categories next to it (Investment Banking & Brokerage, Financial Data, Banks, Asset Management), plus MS's specific themes. 29 of 117 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.76 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.6% | 30.6% | 1.10 | −45.7% | +345% | 0.43 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.55 | — | ||
CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.10 | — | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.29 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.61 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 270 of 3,493 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.06 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.16 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.55 | 0.09% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.39 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.11 | — | ||
MUSAMurphy USA Inc. · Convenience Stores | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +26.1% | 31.2% | 0.90 | −35.5% | +706% | 0.09 | — | |
LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.52 | 0.40% | |
What these numbers mean for MS
- Annual return
- MS returned 16.0% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $21,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- MS's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.8%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MS's return lands within 28.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- MS's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.66, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MS earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- MS's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 51.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 51.3% fall takes a 105% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, MS's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.69 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MS instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MS holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 98 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than MS with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 77 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with MS | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.06 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.16 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.32 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.55 | 0.09% | |
| 5 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.39 | — | |
| 6 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.53 | 0.59% |
| 7 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.52 | 0.19% |
| 8 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.39 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.19 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.25 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.05 | — | |
| 12 | Same or nearby category | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.76 | — | |
| 13 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.26 | 0.48% |
| 14 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.64 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +694% | 0.57 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.35 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.49 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | -0.01 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.20 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.16 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.17 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.32 | — | |
| 23 | Same or nearby category | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.55 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.07 | 0.40% | |
| 25 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.31 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.22 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.23 | — | |
| 28 | Same or nearby category | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.76 | — | |
| 29 | Same or nearby category | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.70 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.34 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.60 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.46 | — | |
| 33 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.15 | 0.80% |
| 34 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.05 | — |
| 35 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.55 | 0.13% |
| 36 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.50 | — |
| 37 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.40 | — |
| 38 | EHCEncompass Health Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.8% | 0.77 | −39.5% | +340% | 0.26 | — |
| 39 | Popular alternative | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.72 | — | |
| 40 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.33 | — |
| 41 | NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.25 | — |
| 42 | AIRRFirst Trust RBA American Industrial RenaissanceTM ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +18.3% | 25.9% | 0.78 | −42.4% | +407% | 0.61 | 0.69% |
| 43 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.44 | — |
| 44 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Same or nearby category | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.10 | — |
| 45 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.47 | 0.59% |
| 46 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.43 | — | |
| 47 | GARPiShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.5% | 22.5% | 0.83 | −31.4% | — | 0.59 | 0.15% |
| 48 | FRDMFreedom 100 Emerging Markets ETF · International | Whole market | +17.3% | 22.8% | 0.82 | −40.5% | — | 0.54 | 0.49% |
| 49 | BFCBank First Corporation · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +19.0% | 27.3% | 0.78 | −39.8% | +496% | 0.32 | — |
| 50 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.18 | — | |
| 51 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.33 | 0.45% |
| 52 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.25 | — | |
| 53 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.20 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.26 | — | |
| 55 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.30 | — | |
| 56 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.27 | — | |
| 57 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.39 | — | |
| 58 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.30 | — | |
| 59 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.48 | — | |
| 60 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.39 | — | |
| 61 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.25 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.31 | 0.08% | |
| 63 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.01 | — |
| 64 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.29 | — |
| 65 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.62 | — |
| 66 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.44 | — |
| 67 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.7% | 27.3% | 0.80 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.38 | — |
| 68 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.15 | — |
| 69 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.29 | — |
| 70 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.43 | — |
| 71 | GHCGraham Holdings Company · Industrial Conglomerates | Whole market | +17.4% | 26.3% | 0.74 | −62.5% | +191% | 0.54 | — |
| 72 | MLPXGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF · Energy | Whole market | +18.6% | 19.7% | 0.97 | −64.6% | +186% | 0.49 | 0.45% |
| 73 | EUFNiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF · Financial Sector Equity | Whole market | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.69 | 0.49% |
| 74 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.36 | 0.61% |
| 75 | ATMPBarclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.2% | 21.5% | 1.01 | −70.3% | +172% | 0.46 | 0.95% |
| 76 | NANRState Street SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.6% | 0.83 | −49.1% | +241% | 0.42 | 0.35% |
| 77 | UFOXDefiance Space and Connective Tech ETF · Technology | Whole market | +17.2% | 26.5% | 0.73 | −33.9% | — | 0.58 | 0.30% |
MS against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against MS, compared period by period and year by year.
How do MS's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at MS, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only GS and JPM were both more rewarding and calmer than MS over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- 12 of the 23 popular alternatives earned less than MS over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, MS returned 16.0% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (28.8% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than MS with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | +35.4% | 35.4% |
| UBS UBS Group AG | +25.4% | 30.4% |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | +19.6% | 28.6% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | +17.3% | 24.3% |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. | +17.2% | 33.4% |
| MS This pageMorgan Stanley | +16.0% | 28.8% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | +15.1% | 29.4% |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | +13.5% | 35.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| CME CME Group Inc. | +11.2% | 20.8% |
| EVR Evercore Inc. | +11.0% | 36.3% |
| RJF Raymond James Financial, Inc. | +10.4% | 27.9% |
| PJT PJT Partners Inc. | +10.2% | 31.1% |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | +8.4% | 31.0% |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | +7.1% | 27.1% |
| HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. | +6.6% | 28.7% |
| KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | +5.7% | 39.8% |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | +5.4% | 36.5% |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | +4.0% | 26.6% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | +3.6% | 31.9% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | +0.7% | 25.6% |
| BX Blackstone Inc. | +0.4% | 39.8% |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners | +0.3% | 45.2% |
| MC Moelis & Company | −0.5% | 37.6% |
| LAZ Lazard Inc | −2.0% | 38.2% |
Has MS consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares MS with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than MS helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- IBKR outperformed MS in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- Two of the 23 popular alternatives, IBKR and OPY, outperformed MS in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- JPM and GS earned more for the risk they took than MS (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than MS over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| MS Morgan Stanley (this page) | — | −12.5% | −14.0% | −4.4% | +0.8% | +13.9% | +170% | +110% | +627% | 28.8% | 0.66 | −51.3% | — | $285B | — |
| IBKR QualifiedInteractive Brokers Group, Inc. | 5/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −11.1% | −9.5% | +2.2% | +23.7% | +24.4% | +320% | +355% | +935% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | — | $146B | — |
| OPY QualifiedOppenheimer Holdings Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −15.5% | −6.8% | −11.0% | +39.4% | +50.8% | +201% | +121% | +743% | 33.4% | 0.64 | −54.9% | — | $1.1B | — |
| GS Financial - Capital MarketsThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | −7.8% | −15.7% | −5.2% | −1.8% | +18.2% | +215% | +145% | +521% | 28.6% | 0.77 | −48.8% | — | $258B | — |
| UBS Banks - DiversifiedUBS Group AG | 5/5 short1/3 long | −7.5% | −8.3% | +10.6% | +2.9% | +26.3% | +116% | +210% | +374% | 30.4% | 0.90 | −59.8% | — | $145B | — |
| JPM Banks - DiversifiedJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 4/5 short1/3 long | −4.3% | −0.6% | +6.8% | +5.0% | +13.0% | +150% | +122% | +537% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | — | $891B | — |
| C Banks - DiversifiedCitigroup Inc. | 4/5 short1/3 long | −9.3% | −4.3% | −7.0% | +4.8% | +26.0% | +238% | +102% | +234% | 29.4% | 0.63 | −56.5% | — | $206B | — |
| KKR Asset ManagementKKR & Co. Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −11.5% | −7.8% | −13.8% | −30.4% | −25.2% | +65.7% | +31.8% | +653% | 39.8% | 0.34 | −49.4% | — | $80B | — |
| PIPR Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesPiper Sandler Companies | 0/5 short1/3 long | −13.2% | −15.5% | −29.3% | −24.9% | −20.5% | +103% | +88.4% | +762% | 35.5% | 0.54 | −60.0% | — | $4.5B | — |
| CME Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesCME Group Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | +7.2% | +21.0% | +3.8% | +13.2% | +14.6% | +57.7% | +70.1% | +319% | 20.8% | 0.62 | −37.4% | — | $106B | — |
| BLK Asset ManagementBlackRock, Inc. | 4/5 short0/3 long | +3.5% | +7.6% | +8.8% | +5.7% | −0.6% | +96.3% | +41.1% | +313% | 27.1% | 0.39 | −43.9% | — | $175B | — |
| RJF Asset ManagementRaymond James Financial, Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | −5.7% | −7.4% | +2.7% | −4.1% | −4.5% | +69.5% | +64.2% | +358% | 27.9% | 0.50 | −45.6% | — | $30B | — |
| SPGI Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesS&P Global Inc. | 3/5 short0/3 long | +8.3% | −2.1% | −0.6% | −13.9% | −7.4% | +28.2% | +3.7% | +293% | 25.6% | 0.16 | −39.8% | — | $129B | — |
| HLI Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesHoulihan Lokey, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −1.7% | −6.3% | −18.2% | −25.1% | −31.2% | +35.0% | +37.8% | +549% | 28.7% | 0.37 | −40.3% | — | $9.1B | — |
| SF Financial - Capital MarketsStifel Financial Corp | 2/5 short0/3 long | −11.7% | −13.4% | −17.4% | −20.8% | −9.0% | +86.5% | +49.5% | +374% | 31.0% | 0.41 | −51.8% | — | $10B | — |
| SCHW Financial - Capital MarketsThe Charles Schwab Corporation | 2/5 short0/3 long | −15.0% | −11.1% | −1.8% | −9.6% | −3.1% | +86.2% | +19.1% | +221% | 31.9% | 0.27 | −51.1% | — | $157B | — |
| LAZ Financial - Capital MarketsLazard Inc | 2/5 short0/3 long | +0.5% | −11.9% | −22.4% | −24.0% | −23.6% | +47.7% | −9.7% | +73.5% | 38.2% | 0.14 | −60.0% | — | $3.6B | — |
| BX Asset ManagementBlackstone Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −12.7% | −9.8% | −12.8% | −28.3% | −28.4% | +28.6% | +2.1% | +628% | 39.8% | 0.21 | −49.3% | — | $127B | — |
| EVR Financial - Capital MarketsEvercore Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −6.3% | −24.2% | −29.2% | −27.6% | −20.6% | +102% | +68.8% | +499% | 36.3% | 0.47 | −67.4% | — | $9.7B | — |
| PJT Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesPJT Partners Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −9.5% | −16.6% | −13.2% | −18.9% | −22.5% | +88.7% | +62.6% | +477% | 31.1% | 0.47 | −58.4% | — | $3.5B | — |
| MC Financial - Capital MarketsMoelis & Company | 1/5 short0/3 long | −11.1% | −18.9% | −20.0% | −22.1% | −18.4% | +49.4% | −2.3% | +343% | 37.6% | 0.17 | −58.3% | — | $4.0B | — |
| JEF Financial - Capital MarketsJefferies Financial Group Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −5.9% | −17.8% | −3.9% | −27.5% | −14.2% | +51.7% | +30.3% | +249% | 36.5% | 0.33 | −54.4% | — | $8.5B | — |
| PWP Financial - Capital MarketsPerella Weinberg Partners | 1/5 short0/3 long | −5.4% | −18.8% | −40.3% | −26.7% | −33.5% | +40.2% | +1.7% | — | 45.2% | 0.23 | −60.5% | — | $1.4B | — |
| BAC Banks - DiversifiedBank of America Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −12.6% | −15.8% | −5.2% | −8.0% | −0.6% | +107% | +21.6% | +282% | 26.6% | 0.28 | −49.0% | — | $354B | — |
How did MS do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where MS ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with MS and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, MS finished in the top quarter in four of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in seven. In 2025, it ranked 5 of 24.
- MS finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 17 of its 29 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, HLI came out ahead of MS most often, in seven of the ten years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of MS; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places MS among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of MS | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS This pageMorgan Stanley | — | +45.2% | +39.7% | +13.9% | −10.3% | +46.6% | +38.1% | +32.7% | −22.8% | +26.6% | +36.1% | −16.7% | +25.0% | +65.4% | +27.6% | −43.9% | −7.5% | +88.3% | −68.8% | −22.1% | +46.3% | +4.6% | −2.0% | +48.4% | −27.0% | −28.1% | +12.3% | +103% | +21.9% | +80.3% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 4 of 29 | 5 of 24 | 16 of 24 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 24 | 12 of 24 | 7 of 23 | 12 of 23 | 17 of 23 | 19 of 23 | 2 of 23 | 16 of 21 | 2 of 20 | 6 of 20 | 9 of 20 | 17 of 20 | 15 of 20 | 6 of 20 | 16 of 20 | 13 of 17 | 5 of 16 | 10 of 15 | 14 of 15 | 5 of 14 | 11 of 13 | 12 of 13 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 10 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 11 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 10 of 18 | +46.3% | +114% | +15.2% | −8.3% | +31.2% | +31.7% | −14.0% | −7.1% | +62.8% | −15.4% | +51.0% | +21.7% | +82.8% | +1.0% | −14.5% | +11.1% | −0.9% | −44.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. | 12 of 29 | +15.5% | +57.3% | −0.9% | −7.2% | +52.7% | +20.4% | +9.4% | −3.3% | +47.6% | +10.2% | −23.7% | −4.5% | +47.0% | +10.3% | −37.3% | −19.8% | +164% | −69.0% | +28.1% | +69.7% | −20.3% | −23.7% | +36.0% | −9.4% | +19.2% | +64.2% | −13.1% | +1.9% | +21.9% |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 17 of 26 | +56.6% | +52.0% | +15.9% | −7.9% | +47.6% | +17.4% | +40.5% | −33.5% | +7.4% | +34.9% | −5.8% | +10.8% | +40.8% | +43.4% | −45.6% | +0.5% | +103% | −60.4% | +8.6% | +57.4% | +23.9% | +6.5% | +46.3% | −26.0% | −12.8% | +14.1% | — | — | — |
| UBS UBS Group AG | 12 of 25 | +57.6% | +0.7% | +69.8% | +7.4% | +29.4% | +19.5% | +7.1% | −29.9% | +17.4% | −14.4% | +18.1% | −10.2% | +23.3% | +34.3% | −28.2% | +6.2% | +8.5% | −68.9% | −21.5% | +32.5% | +18.2% | +27.9% | +50.4% | +1.7% | −8.0% | — | — | — | — |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 15 of 29 | +37.3% | +44.3% | +30.6% | −12.6% | +27.8% | −5.5% | +47.3% | −6.6% | +26.8% | +34.5% | +8.4% | +9.9% | +36.7% | +36.2% | −19.9% | +2.3% | +34.4% | −25.1% | −6.9% | +25.7% | +5.7% | +10.0% | +60.5% | −30.7% | −17.4% | −10.1% | +11.7% | +32.9% | +25.5% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 11 of 29 | +70.4% | +41.9% | +19.0% | −22.1% | +0.9% | −19.7% | +57.9% | −28.5% | +27.0% | +15.9% | −4.1% | +3.9% | +31.8% | +50.5% | −44.3% | +42.9% | −50.6% | −75.9% | −44.8% | +19.6% | +4.6% | +2.8% | +41.6% | −20.4% | +0.1% | +23.6% | +70.2% | −6.8% | +79.9% |
| KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | 11 of 18 | −13.3% | +79.6% | +80.5% | −37.0% | +85.8% | +41.1% | +51.5% | −4.3% | +41.8% | +3.4% | −28.0% | +4.0% | +73.8% | +25.6% | −5.3% | +70.4% | +153% | −81.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | 12 of 22 | +15.5% | +74.3% | +37.8% | −23.4% | +85.3% | +29.7% | +33.6% | −10.7% | +28.2% | +79.7% | −30.5% | +46.8% | +23.2% | +58.8% | −42.2% | −30.9% | +27.3% | −14.2% | −28.9% | +61.4% | −15.8% | +15.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CME CME Group Inc. | 10 of 23 | +19.8% | +15.4% | +31.3% | −22.9% | +29.5% | −6.3% | +9.7% | +32.1% | +32.4% | +33.9% | +4.4% | +18.3% | +64.0% | +11.4% | −22.7% | −2.7% | +64.3% | −68.8% | +35.3% | +39.5% | +61.8% | +219% | +67.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | 13 of 26 | +6.6% | +29.3% | +17.9% | −20.4% | +29.4% | +47.2% | +31.9% | −21.6% | +38.2% | +14.6% | −2.4% | +15.7% | +57.0% | +19.8% | −3.6% | −15.9% | +76.6% | −37.0% | +45.1% | +41.8% | +42.4% | +47.6% | +35.9% | −5.5% | −0.7% | +144% | — | — | — |
| RJF Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 15 of 29 | +4.7% | +40.8% | +6.1% | +8.3% | +59.5% | +8.7% | +22.8% | −15.7% | +30.0% | +21.3% | +2.5% | +11.1% | +37.2% | +26.3% | −3.7% | +39.8% | +41.8% | −46.4% | +8.7% | +22.1% | +22.9% | +24.7% | +28.9% | −15.8% | +3.1% | +89.7% | −10.6% | −19.3% | +100% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 14 of 29 | +5.7% | +13.9% | +32.8% | −28.4% | +44.7% | +21.4% | +62.3% | +1.4% | +59.3% | +10.5% | +12.3% | +15.5% | +45.9% | +30.1% | +26.6% | +12.0% | +49.3% | −45.5% | −34.7% | +33.5% | +14.2% | +33.0% | +17.8% | +0.8% | +5.7% | −3.2% | +22.8% | +41.1% | +64.4% |
| HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. | 7 of 10 | +1.6% | +47.0% | +40.7% | −13.9% | +57.0% | +40.6% | +36.4% | −17.2% | +49.2% | +21.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | 14 of 29 | +20.9% | +57.2% | +22.7% | −14.8% | +41.4% | +27.1% | +48.8% | −29.5% | +20.0% | +17.9% | −16.9% | +6.4% | +49.9% | −0.3% | −22.5% | +4.8% | +29.1% | +30.7% | +34.2% | +4.2% | +79.5% | +43.1% | +75.7% | +7.1% | −5.9% | +17.4% | +1.8% | −34.3% | +106% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 14 of 29 | +36.6% | +9.2% | −16.0% | +0.1% | +60.2% | +13.6% | +16.4% | −18.4% | +31.1% | +21.0% | +9.9% | +17.2% | +83.3% | +29.8% | −33.1% | −7.8% | +18.1% | −36.1% | +40.0% | +32.8% | +23.5% | +1.7% | +9.5% | −29.5% | −45.4% | +11.4% | +36.3% | +102% | +97.6% |
| LAZ Lazard Inc | 8 of 20 | −1.6% | +54.9% | +6.9% | −16.2% | +7.4% | +12.1% | +13.8% | −25.4% | +36.2% | −1.1% | −5.8% | +13.2% | +56.0% | +19.0% | −32.7% | +5.5% | +29.4% | −26.1% | −13.4% | +49.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BX Blackstone Inc. | 10 of 18 | −7.8% | +35.1% | +82.8% | −40.0% | +107% | +19.8% | +96.3% | +0.1% | +27.4% | −1.5% | −5.0% | +13.9% | +114% | +15.7% | +3.4% | +12.7% | +117% | −67.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EVR Evercore Inc. | 11 of 19 | +24.3% | +64.3% | +60.6% | −17.6% | +26.3% | +51.7% | +7.4% | −18.9% | +33.4% | +30.2% | +5.6% | −10.7% | +102% | +17.0% | −19.6% | +14.3% | +150% | −39.7% | −40.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PJT PJT Partners Inc. | 6 of 10 | +6.6% | +56.2% | +40.0% | +0.9% | +2.6% | +67.3% | +17.0% | −14.6% | +48.4% | +10.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MC Moelis & Company | 5 of 11 | −3.1% | +37.1% | +54.9% | −35.2% | +49.1% | +62.8% | +0.8% | −22.5% | +51.1% | +30.5% | −13.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | 13 of 29 | −18.8% | +98.9% | +27.8% | −8.5% | +61.9% | +18.9% | +35.1% | −33.2% | +15.5% | +35.5% | −21.5% | −20.1% | +23.5% | +5.8% | −21.2% | +23.8% | +20.1% | −58.0% | +67.9% | +19.9% | +3.0% | +51.6% | +24.4% | +32.2% | −17.9% | +54.6% | +26.1% | −8.3% | +30.1% |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners | 2 of 5 | −26.4% | +98.1% | +28.4% | −21.2% | +15.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | 11 of 29 | +28.0% | +33.9% | +4.9% | −23.8% | +49.6% | −11.6% | +46.1% | −15.0% | +35.7% | +33.4% | −4.8% | +15.7% | +34.5% | +109% | −58.1% | −11.2% | +7.6% | −63.1% | −18.9% | +20.8% | +2.4% | +21.5% | +20.1% | +14.6% | +42.7% | −4.5% | −14.0% | +1.2% | +27.3% |
Risk and diversification
How MS has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were MS's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents MS's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1993, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of MS's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: MS fell 29.8% from October 1993 to April 1994, while the S&P 500 slipped only 3.6%.
- The slowest recovery came after MS fell 88.2% from September 2000 to November 2008; it did not regain that peak until November 2020, 12 years later.
Green means MS fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | MS fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −88.2% | −42.0% | Sep 2000 | Nov 2008 | 8.2 years | Nov 2020 | 12 years |
| No named crash | −60.3% | −17.8% | Jul 1998 | Oct 1998 | 3 months | Feb 1999 | 4 months |
| Dot-com bust | −33.4% | −10.1% | Mar 2000 | May 2000 | 2 months | Jul 2000 | 2 months |
| 2022 bear market | −32.4% | −19.4% | Feb 2022 | Jun 2022 | 4 months | May 2024 | 23 months |
| No named crash | −29.8% | −3.6% | Oct 1993 | Apr 1994 | 6 months | May 1995 | 13 months |
How did MS do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far MS, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- MS fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when MS fell 43.9% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
- Among its popular alternatives, CME held up best, falling less than MS in eight of the nine crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than MS.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS This pageMorgan Stanley | — | −8.2% | −32.4% | −50.6% | −24.6% | −6.7% | −43.9% | −47.7% | 0.0% | −86.2% | −72.0% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −14.3% | −33.3% | −38.0% | −18.2% | −5.6% | −32.6% | −14.2% | −2.6% | −63.7% | — |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. | 4 of 10 | −9.9% | −41.4% | −46.3% | −28.1% | −7.4% | −35.6% | −47.9% | −5.4% | −85.3% | −30.3% |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 7 of 10 | −9.7% | −30.5% | −42.8% | −33.3% | −5.3% | −31.2% | −34.3% | 0.0% | −78.8% | −54.7% |
| UBS UBS Group AG | 3 of 9 | −9.5% | −32.5% | −42.3% | −28.5% | −8.2% | −36.7% | −39.7% | −0.9% | −87.5% | — |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 7 of 10 | −5.4% | −37.9% | −42.5% | −21.3% | −5.6% | −22.0% | −32.1% | −0.1% | −67.7% | −74.0% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 3 of 10 | −11.7% | −39.2% | −54.8% | −33.1% | −6.7% | −40.3% | −42.6% | −1.0% | −97.7% | −52.7% |
| KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | 2 of 9 | −12.6% | −41.7% | −45.5% | −33.5% | −10.2% | −51.3% | −37.8% | −2.2% | −90.1% | — |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | 5 of 9 | −12.4% | −41.5% | −59.6% | −20.0% | −5.6% | −27.8% | −46.7% | −2.8% | −67.7% | — |
| CME CME Group Inc. | 8 of 9 | −3.4% | −31.7% | −37.4% | −9.4% | −4.3% | −17.3% | −18.0% | −1.9% | −77.5% | — |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −7.2% | −40.8% | −42.3% | −25.2% | −7.1% | −19.9% | −23.9% | 0.0% | −60.4% | −33.0% |
| RJF Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −16.2% | −25.8% | −45.6% | −26.5% | −8.8% | −31.6% | −29.3% | −0.3% | −69.7% | −40.7% |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 6 of 10 | −4.2% | −36.3% | −38.1% | −24.6% | −6.2% | −21.3% | −20.8% | −0.4% | −66.4% | −29.5% |
| HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −7.9% | −36.6% | −19.4% | −24.9% | −4.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | 3 of 10 | −17.1% | −34.9% | −51.8% | −28.7% | −8.3% | −47.4% | −39.6% | −4.2% | −41.5% | −31.3% |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 4 of 10 | −31.9% | −36.9% | −41.5% | −26.5% | −8.2% | −37.0% | −28.9% | −5.5% | −56.0% | −83.1% |
| LAZ Lazard Inc | 4 of 9 | −11.2% | −31.3% | −50.4% | −29.9% | −6.7% | −41.7% | −46.1% | −6.5% | −59.6% | — |
| BX Blackstone Inc. | 5 of 9 | −12.3% | −38.5% | −42.6% | −29.1% | −4.2% | −37.7% | −35.6% | −3.5% | −84.9% | — |
| EVR Evercore Inc. | 3 of 9 | −12.8% | −41.4% | −55.8% | −36.5% | −8.7% | −27.5% | −33.8% | −3.9% | −74.2% | — |
| PJT PJT Partners Inc. | 3 of 5 | −5.3% | −27.7% | −52.5% | −33.3% | −4.2% | — | — | — | — | — |
| MC Moelis & Company | 3 of 6 | −9.2% | −44.4% | −37.1% | −41.8% | −2.8% | −22.1% | — | — | — | — |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | 5 of 10 | −15.2% | −35.3% | −48.3% | −29.9% | −9.3% | −37.0% | −39.3% | −3.3% | −80.7% | −28.6% |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners | 0 of 2 | −9.7% | −56.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | 4 of 10 | −12.4% | −38.7% | −47.8% | −26.4% | −6.9% | −37.8% | −45.2% | −0.6% | −93.4% | −36.3% |
How closely does MS move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares MS with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- OPY took just 74% of the S&P 500's losses, against 137% for MS, while still keeping 119% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, MS captured 142% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 137% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.39. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
- Eight of the 22 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than MS's 1.04, led by CME, OPY and IBKR.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than MS's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS This pageMorgan Stanley | 142% | 137% | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| CME CME Group Inc. | 50% | 11% | 4.48 | 0.33 |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. | 119% | 74% | 1.60 | 1.12 |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | 128% | 92% | 1.40 | 1.03 |
| HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. | 101% | 74% | 1.36 | 0.84 |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 117% | 103% | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| PJT PJT Partners Inc. | 111% | 97% | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | 152% | 142% | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| RJF Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 103% | 97% | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 136% | 133% | 1.02 | 1.39 |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | 89% | 90% | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| UBS UBS Group AG | 116% | 120% | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | 120% | 125% | 0.96 | 1.25 |
| BX Blackstone Inc. | 156% | 170% | 0.92 | 1.48 |
| EVR Evercore Inc. | 147% | 162% | 0.91 | 1.58 |
| KKR KKR & Co. Inc. | 171% | 191% | 0.89 | 1.62 |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | 127% | 146% | 0.87 | 1.36 |
| SPGI S&P Global Inc. | 107% | 125% | 0.85 | 1.04 |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | 127% | 157% | 0.81 | 1.30 |
| C Citigroup Inc. | 131% | 165% | 0.80 | 1.49 |
| MC Moelis & Company | 154% | 196% | 0.79 | 1.58 |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | 147% | 197% | 0.75 | 1.52 |
| LAZ Lazard Inc | 128% | 209% | 0.61 | 1.50 |
What diversifies MS?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with MS's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing MS with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in MS into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+17.8% for MS alone, +18.8% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, GCOW and HDV have moved largely independently of MS over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- FIX made money in seven of the ten calendar years in which MS lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which MS lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% MS and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 2007 | 2004 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS Morgan Stanley (this page) | 1.00 | +110% | 0.66 | −10.3% | −22.8% | −16.7% | −43.9% | −7.5% | −68.8% | −22.1% | −2.0% | −27.0% | −28.1% | 27.8% | +17.8% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.26 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | −19.8% | +7.7% | −16.1% | −1.8% | −20.8% | −7.4% | — | — | — | 23.0% | +20.3% |
| GCOW InternationalPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF | 0.49 | +93.4% | 1.04 | +5.5% | −8.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.8% | +17.4% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.47 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | −3.0% | −0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.7% | +17.2% |
| MLPX EnergyGlobal X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF | 0.49 | +135% | 0.97 | +21.5% | −15.5% | −35.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.3% | +18.8% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.07 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −1.9% | −10.7% | +9.6% | +29.3% | +4.9% | +30.4% | — | — | — | 22.7% | +18.8% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.31 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | −18.2% | −21.5% | +2.8% | +21.9% | −39.0% | +36.8% | +33.8% | −14.8% | −18.2% | 24.3% | +19.7% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.41 | +111% | 0.89 | +25.5% | −12.6% | −25.7% | +10.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.9% | +18.5% |
| EDIV InternationalState Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Dividend ETF | 0.47 | +69.9% | 0.84 | −15.3% | −6.2% | −27.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | +17.0% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2018 | 2015 | 2011 | 2010 | 2008 | 2007 | 2004 | 2002 | 2001 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS Morgan Stanley (this page) | 1.00 | +110% | 0.66 | −10.3% | −22.8% | −16.7% | −43.9% | −7.5% | −68.8% | −22.1% | −2.0% | −27.0% | −28.1% | 27.8% | +17.8% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.16 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −24.5% | +12.6% | +8.1% | +21.4% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −4.7% | −8.3% | −2.5% | 23.6% | +22.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.48 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | −16.3% | −6.0% | −24.4% | +2.8% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −6.4% | −65.1% | −25.6% | 29.6% | +34.9% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.35 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +0.8% | +67.7% | −17.0% | +8.7% | −15.2% | +2.1% | +40.0% | −9.4% | +73.7% | 26.7% | +31.3% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | -0.01 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | −28.4% | −4.5% | +11.8% | +13.8% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −1.4% | −27.2% | +4.9% | 22.7% | +22.3% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.22 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | −8.2% | +17.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24.4% | +24.7% |
Common questions
What was MS's worst drawdown?
MS's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 88.2%, from September 2000 to November 2008. It took about 12 years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were MS's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, MS's best year was 1999, when it returned 103%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -68.9%.
Is there a better investment than MS?
Among MS's popular alternatives, JPM earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years: 17.3% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.8%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, RY (banks) and HSBC (banks) earned more than MS with less volatility over the past 5 years. RY returned 17.3% a year at 18.2% volatility, against 16.0% a year at 28.8%.
Is MS more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. MS's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.8%, 1.7 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MS's return lands within 28.8% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is MS's Sharpe ratio?
MS's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.66, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MS earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is MS with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, MS's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.69 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MS instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MS holding.
What are the best alternatives to MS?
Of the 23 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed MS in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: IBKR and OPY.
Did MS outperform the S&P 500?
MS finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 17 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +45.2%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did MS do in stock market crashes?
MS fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in one of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the 2015 China and oil sell-off, when MS fell 43.9% and the S&P 500 fell 12.8%.
What diversifies MS?
These had a low correlation with MS over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.26), GCOW (correlation 0.49) and HDV (correlation 0.47); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.16), CLS (correlation 0.48) and FIX (correlation 0.35). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than MS's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of MS's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.