Relative Intelligence · Food & Beverages

How Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on KDP alone. It places KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) against 17 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where KDP stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: KDP's full trading record, from April 2008 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowKDP has run far ahead of the market, rising 32.5% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. After a 31.2% loss from August 2022 to October 2025, KDP has bounced 41.2% off the low. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?More than an industry move: KDP rose 14.6% over the past 3 months, against 4.1% for the food & beverages ETF XLP (State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF). The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: KDP rose 13.9% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, KDP rose 28.7% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. Even so, the last two calendar years both went the same way: KDP fell 10.1% in 2025, against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termKDP turned $10,000 into $38,100 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross five sell-offs, KDP has typically lost about 74% as much as the S&P 500. The 2022 bear market took 12.2% off KDP, against 24.5% for the S&P 500, and less than food & beverage peers such as KO (Coca-Cola, 16.7%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationKDP is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.31 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.32 with the total US market, less closely than 68% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Over 10 years, KDP's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.56: 59% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 38% of its losses in falling ones. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- MDLZ (Mondelez International, packaged foods) earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years: 4.0% a year at 20.2% volatility, against 2.5% a year at 22.1%.
- Whole market
- 621 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI (Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF), VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) and BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in KDP have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in KDP over the past 18 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of KDP over the same span and KDP's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: KDP began trading on April 28, 2008, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 18 years of KDP's record, starting at the end of September 2008.
- $10,000 invested in KDP at the end of September 2008 would have grown to $378,655 by September 2026, more than the $91,104 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of KDP, and NVDA finished highest, at $9,364,421.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2008 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 60 of the 1,883 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of KDP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$9M+93,544% total · +46.2% a year
- AAPL$979,453+9,695% total · +29.0% a year
- AMZN$684,445+6,744% total · +26.5% a year
- CELH$683,736+6,737% total · +26.5% a year
- COKE$547,067+5,371% total · +24.9% a year
- KDP$378,655+3,687% total · +22.4% a year
- COST$201,902+1,919% total · +18.2% a year
- CCEP$190,829+1,808% total · +17.8% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$91,104+811% total · +13.1% a year
- KOF$36,849+268% total · +7.5% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 2,492 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of KDP; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- COKE$50,300+403% total · +38.1% a year
- KOF$23,968+140% total · +19.1% a year
- WMT$23,813+138% total · +18.9% a year
- CCEP$21,567+116% total · +16.6% a year
- COST$21,378+114% total · +16.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- KO$18,994+89.9% total · +13.7% a year
- MNST$18,739+87.4% total · +13.4% a year
- FMX$16,809+68.1% total · +10.9% a year
- KDP$10,143+1.4% total · +0.3% a year
KDP at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: KDP began trading on April 28, 2008, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- KDP's deepest decline since it began trading in 2008 was 57.3%, from April 2008 to March 2009. It took six months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 17 full calendar years, KDP's best was 2009, when it returned 80.1%, and its worst was 2025, when it lost 10.1%. It lost money in four of those years.
- KDP is 2.8% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $47B
- Industry
- Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
- Price history from
- April 2008
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +28.7%total return
- Past 3 years
- +31.9%+9.7% a year
- Past 5 years
- +13.4%+2.5% a year
- Past 10 years
- +281%+14.3% a year
- Best calendar year
- +80.1%2009
- Worst calendar year
- −10.1%2025
- Losing years
- 4 of 17full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 22.1%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.23return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −57.3%Apr 2008 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −2.8%below the peak
KDP against the whole market
Where KDP ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does KDP rank among all stocks?
This section ranks KDP on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how KDP stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- KDP's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 4% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | KDP | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +28.7% | 1,005 of 3,287 | top 31% |
| 3-year return | +31.9% | 1,822 of 3,017 | bottom 41% |
| 5-year return | +13.4% | 1,551 of 2,893 | bottom 47% |
| 10-year return | +281% | 638 of 2,202 | top 29% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 22.1% | 152 of 2,893 | top 5% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.23 | 1,778 of 2,893 | bottom 40% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −36.9% | 84 of 2,187 | top 4% |
What has beaten KDP on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). KDP sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than KDP with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 61 stocks and 560 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than KDP over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 17% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half KDP's swings, LVHI has the best return for its risk: 17.0% a year at 11.1% volatility, 50% less than KDP's 22.1%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.48 against 0.23 for KDP. DXJ earned the most, 26.6% a year, while still swinging less than KDP (19.1% against 22.1%).
- Among KDP's popular alternatives, KO is in the region. KO earned 14.7% a year against 2.5% a year for KDP, at 16.8% volatility, 24% less than KDP's 22.1%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to KDP; faint dots are 92 more of the 621 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× KDP's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than KDP?
Investments that beat KDP over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among KDP's popular alternatives, KO earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years: 14.7% a year at 16.8% volatility, against 2.5% a year at 22.1%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, MDLZ (packaged foods) earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years: 4.0% a year at 20.2% volatility, against 2.5% a year at 22.1%.
- Across the whole market, 621 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI, VOO and BRK-B.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat KDP over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks KDP's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than KDP follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than KDP's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× KDP's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than KDP's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with KDP?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +2.5% | 22.1% | 0.23 | −36.9% | +281% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.31 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against KDP. 7 of 17 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.23 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.29 | — | ||
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | On the frontierHigher return in most periods | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | 0.20 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatility | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.60 | — | ||
KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Higher return in most periods | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.40 | — | |
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.24 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 1 shownEverything else in Food & Beverages and the categories next to it (Packaged Foods, Packaging, Alcoholic Beverages, Discount Retail), plus KDP's specific themes. 1 of 35 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatility | +4.0% | 20.2% | 0.29 | −29.8% | +93.4% | 0.40 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 911 of 3,581 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | — | -0.07 | 0.09% | ||
JAAAJanus Henderson AAA CLO ETF · CLO Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +5.1% | 1.7% | 2.98 | −2.6% | — | 0.04 | 0.20% | |
RSPHInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Health Care ETF · Healthcare | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +6.1% | 16.8% | 0.44 | −30.4% | +177% | 0.39 | 0.40% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.29 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.16 | — | ||
VRIGInvesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF · Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +4.7% | 1.3% | 3.51 | −13.1% | +40.5% | -0.03 | 0.30% | |
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +9.0% | 22.9% | 0.49 | −40.8% | +320% | 0.19 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +2.7% | 2.9% | 0.94 | −6.3% | +32.7% | 0.34 | 0.03% | ||
What these numbers mean for KDP
- Annual return
- KDP returned 2.5% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $11,300. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- KDP's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.1%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, KDP's return lands within 22.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- KDP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.23, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so KDP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- KDP's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 36.9%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 36.9% fall takes a 58.4% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, KDP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.31 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against KDP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a KDP holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 621 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than KDP with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with KDP | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | — | -0.07 | 0.09% | |
| 2 | JAAAJanus Henderson AAA CLO ETF · CLO Bonds | Whole market | +5.1% | 1.7% | 2.98 | −2.6% | — | 0.04 | 0.20% |
| 3 | RSPHInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Health Care ETF · Healthcare | Whole market | +6.1% | 16.8% | 0.44 | −30.4% | +177% | 0.39 | 0.40% |
| 4 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.29 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.16 | — | |
| 6 | VRIGInvesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +4.7% | 1.3% | 3.51 | −13.1% | +40.5% | -0.03 | 0.30% |
| 7 | BALTInnovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF · Crypto | Whole market | +6.3% | 3.3% | 1.85 | −4.9% | — | 0.18 | 0.69% |
| 8 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.27 | — | |
| 9 | FLRTPacer Aristotle Pacific Floating Rate High Income ETF · Financials | Whole market | +6.0% | 2.3% | 2.55 | −21.0% | +58.0% | 0.16 | 0.60% |
| 10 | Whole market | +11.9% | 19.4% | 0.68 | −54.4% | +30.4% | -0.01 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.09 | 0.40% | |
| 12 | Whole market | +5.1% | 18.3% | 0.37 | −23.8% | +145% | 0.36 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.39 | 0.04% | |
| 14 | FLOTiShares Floating Rate Bond ETF · Floating Rate Bonds | Whole market | +4.5% | 1.8% | 2.48 | −13.5% | +35.9% | -0.09 | 0.15% |
| 15 | Whole market | +5.2% | 8.9% | 0.61 | −25.4% | +37.8% | -0.14 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +11.4% | 17.0% | 0.72 | −23.1% | — | 0.34 | 0.21% | |
| 17 | PJULInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.5% | 8.6% | 1.20 | −18.2% | — | 0.33 | 0.79% |
| 18 | Whole market | +9.3% | 19.2% | 0.56 | −30.1% | +344% | 0.16 | — | |
| 19 | FJANFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - January · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +11.1% | 10.5% | 1.05 | −13.6% | — | 0.29 | 0.85% |
| 20 | NEARiShares Short Duration Bond Active ETF · Short-Term Bonds | Whole market | +3.9% | 1.4% | 2.71 | −9.6% | +31.8% | 0.19 | 0.25% |
| 21 | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.2% | 0.46 | −29.0% | +68.8% | 0.41 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +7.5% | 11.0% | 0.71 | −13.7% | — | 0.39 | 0.35% | |
| 23 | VNLAJanus Henderson Short Duration Income ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +4.0% | 1.1% | 3.77 | −4.5% | — | 0.11 | 0.25% |
| 24 | FLTRVanEck IG Floating Rate ETF · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +4.8% | 2.1% | 2.20 | −17.8% | +41.8% | -0.10 | 0.14% |
| 25 | Whole market | +12.0% | 18.8% | 0.70 | −30.9% | +114% | 0.36 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +202% | 0.37 | 0.08% | |
| 27 | PDBCInvesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF · Broad Commodities | Whole market | +11.7% | 19.3% | 0.67 | −40.7% | +153% | 0.00 | 0.74% |
| 28 | FLRNState Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +4.5% | 1.7% | 2.58 | −14.7% | +35.9% | -0.02 | 0.15% |
| 29 | CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. · Integrated Telecommunications | Whole market | +7.7% | 13.3% | 0.63 | −23.8% | +101% | 0.19 | — |
| 30 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.30 | 0.13% |
| 31 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.32 | 0.27% |
| 32 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.32 | 0.15% |
| 33 | FLDRFidelity Low Duration Bond Factor ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +3.9% | 1.2% | 3.09 | −12.2% | — | 0.13 | 0.15% |
| 34 | HYGHiShares Interest Rate Hedged High Yield Bond ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +6.6% | 7.1% | 0.94 | −23.9% | +74.5% | 0.22 | 1.12% |
| 35 | Whole market | +6.1% | 20.0% | 0.40 | −31.6% | +270% | 0.30 | — | |
| 36 | OEFiShares S&P 100 ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +14.3% | 17.8% | 0.84 | −31.4% | +367% | 0.25 | 0.20% |
| 37 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.33 | — |
| 38 | TBUXT. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +4.1% | 1.1% | 3.85 | −1.8% | — | 0.04 | 0.17% |
| 39 | DFASDimensional - US Small Cap ETF · US Small-Cap Equity | Whole market | +7.1% | 20.5% | 0.44 | −26.1% | — | 0.35 | 0.31% |
| 40 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +12.0% | 16.7% | 0.76 | −31.6% | +300% | 0.44 | 0.20% |
| 41 | AEEAmeren Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.9% | 19.4% | 0.49 | −29.1% | +192% | 0.34 | — |
| 42 | RAVINorthern Trust Ultra-Short Fixed Income ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +3.8% | 1.4% | 2.61 | −3.7% | +30.8% | 0.02 | 0.26% |
| 43 | USHYiShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF · High Yield Bonds | Whole market | +3.6% | 7.4% | 0.52 | −22.4% | — | 0.31 | 0.08% |
| 44 | DFAIDimensional - International Core Equity Market ETF · Developed International Equity | Whole market | +9.7% | 16.0% | 0.66 | −27.4% | — | 0.38 | 0.18% |
| 45 | BUFRFT Vest Laddered Buffer ETF · Buffered Equity | Whole market | +9.9% | 10.5% | 0.96 | −13.7% | — | 0.33 | 0.10% |
| 46 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.32 | — | |
| 47 | USTBVictoryShares Short-Term Bond ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +3.6% | 2.0% | 1.73 | −5.3% | — | 0.25 | 0.34% |
| 48 | BKLNInvesco Senior Loan ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +5.4% | 4.5% | 1.19 | −24.1% | +50.7% | 0.18 | 0.67% |
| 49 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.27 | 0.40% |
| 50 | CMSCMS Energy Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +5.6% | 19.0% | 0.38 | −29.6% | +123% | 0.36 | — |
| 51 | DIVOAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +11.1% | 11.9% | 0.95 | −30.0% | — | 0.34 | 0.56% |
| 52 | SRLNState Street Blackstone Senior Loan ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +4.7% | 3.9% | 1.18 | −22.3% | +54.2% | 0.17 | 0.70% |
| 53 | XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF · Consumer Staples | Whole market | +7.2% | 13.8% | 0.57 | −24.5% | +121% | 0.55 | 0.08% |
| 54 | FTSLFirst Trust Senior Loan Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +5.0% | 3.4% | 1.49 | −22.7% | +52.1% | 0.21 | 0.70% |
| 55 | JAVAJPMorgan Active Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +11.5% | 14.5% | 0.82 | −16.5% | — | — | 0.44% |
| 56 | FLUDFranklin Ultra Short Bond ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +3.9% | 1.4% | 2.74 | −1.7% | — | -0.04 | 0.15% |
| 57 | QYLDGlobal X - Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.0% | 0.62 | −24.7% | +156% | 0.28 | 0.60% |
| 58 | DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +9.8% | 12.4% | 0.82 | −20.4% | — | -0.02 | 0.85% |
| 59 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.09 | 0.61% |
| 60 | VIGIVanguard International Dividend Appreciation ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +4.9% | 14.5% | 0.40 | −31.0% | +122% | 0.38 | 0.07% |
| 61 | TSPAT. Rowe Price U.S. Equity Research ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +13.1% | 17.1% | 0.81 | −24.7% | — | 0.32 | 0.34% |
| 62 | EFAViShares MSCI EAFE Min Vol Factor ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +7.6% | 11.9% | 0.68 | −27.6% | +97.7% | 0.32 | 0.20% |
| 63 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.31 | — | |
| 64 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.3% | 18.2% | 0.78 | −31.3% | +229% | 0.31 | 0.25% |
| 65 | FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.4% | 0.99 | −20.6% | +158% | 0.13 | 0.95% |
| 66 | PTLCPacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +9.5% | 11.8% | 0.83 | −26.6% | +188% | 0.19 | 0.60% |
| 67 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.26 | 0.45% |
| 68 | DIVIFranklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF · International | Whole market | +13.4% | 15.5% | 0.89 | −27.7% | +184% | 0.38 | 0.09% |
| 69 | AORiShares Core 60/40 Balanced Allocation ETF · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +6.4% | 10.7% | 0.64 | −23.0% | +118% | 0.36 | 0.20% |
| 70 | ACWViShares MSCI Global Min Vol Factor ETF · International | Whole market | +6.3% | 10.3% | 0.65 | −28.8% | +116% | 0.37 | 0.20% |
| 71 | ACIOAptus Collared Income Opportunity ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +9.3% | 11.1% | 0.86 | −14.2% | — | 0.34 | 0.79% |
| 72 | SCHYSchwab International Dividend Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +9.5% | 13.3% | 0.75 | −24.0% | — | 0.40 | 0.08% |
| 73 | FHLCFidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF · Healthcare | Whole market | +7.3% | 15.4% | 0.53 | −28.8% | +199% | 0.37 | 0.08% |
| 74 | EWLiShares MSCI Switzerland ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +7.2% | 16.3% | 0.51 | −29.0% | +160% | 0.43 | 0.50% |
| 75 | IHDGWisdomTree International Hedged Quality Dividend Growth Fund · International | Whole market | +7.6% | 14.9% | 0.57 | −29.2% | +163% | 0.34 | 0.58% |
| 76 | INFLHorizon Kinetics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.8% | 17.8% | 0.72 | −21.3% | — | 0.31 | 0.85% |
| 77 | TDVGT. Rowe Price Dividend Growth ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +9.6% | 13.8% | 0.73 | −19.2% | — | 0.43 | 0.50% |
| 78 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.24 | 0.45% |
| 79 | PPHVanEck Pharmaceutical ETF · Healthcare | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.8% | 0.78 | −29.7% | +153% | 0.34 | 0.36% |
| 80 | PTNQPacer Trendpilot 100 ETF · Technology | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.1% | 0.73 | −28.1% | +305% | 0.22 | 0.65% |
| 81 | FTQIFirst Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +11.5% | 14.8% | 0.82 | −19.4% | +121% | 0.24 | 0.75% |
| 82 | AVESAvantis Emerging Markets Value ETF · International | Whole market | +8.0% | 17.4% | 0.53 | −27.4% | — | 0.36 | 0.36% |
| 83 | FLSPFranklin Systematic Style Premia ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +8.4% | 13.4% | 0.68 | −22.9% | — | -0.19 | 0.65% |
| 84 | NTSXWisdomTree U.S. Efficient Core Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +8.2% | 17.2% | 0.55 | −31.4% | — | 0.33 | 0.20% |
| 85 | SMIGBahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +6.5% | 16.0% | 0.48 | −19.7% | — | 0.40 | 0.60% |
| 86 | SIXHETC 6 Meridian Hedged Equity Index Option ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.2% | 1.00 | −11.7% | — | 0.30 | 0.31% |
| 87 | QAINYLI Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +4.1% | 6.8% | 0.64 | −14.9% | +44.1% | 0.34 | 0.75% |
| 88 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.19 | 0.48% |
| 89 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.31 | 0.40% |
| 90 | CMDYiShares Bloomberg Roll Select Commodity Strategy ETF · Commodities | Whole market | +9.5% | 15.7% | 0.66 | −31.2% | — | 0.08 | 0.29% |
| 91 | YLDPrincipal Active High Yield ETF · Bonds | Whole market | +4.2% | 6.4% | 0.67 | −28.3% | +62.1% | 0.27 | 0.39% |
| 92 | CDCVictoryShares US EQ Income Enhanced Volatility Wtd ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +6.0% | 12.5% | 0.53 | −21.4% | +168% | 0.35 | 0.38% |
| 93 | LGHHCM Defender 500 Index ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +9.4% | 16.7% | 0.63 | −29.6% | — | 0.17 | 1.00% |
| 94 | KMLMKraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +5.8% | 14.6% | 0.46 | −27.5% | — | -0.14 | 0.90% |
| 95 | HNDLStrategy Shares Nasdaq 7HANDL Index ETF · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +3.9% | 11.6% | 0.39 | −23.7% | — | 0.36 | 0.95% |
| 96 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.0% | 0.84 | −42.0% | +310% | 0.41 | — | |
| 97 | IDUBAptus International Enhanced Yield ETF · International | Whole market | +5.9% | 14.9% | 0.46 | −29.2% | — | 0.40 | 0.44% |
| 98 | Whole market | +11.5% | 20.9% | 0.63 | −32.6% | +394% | 0.21 | — | |
| 99 | Whole market | +15.7% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +248% | 0.29 | — | |
| 100 | Whole market | +6.8% | 17.6% | 0.47 | −39.4% | +198% | 0.38 | 0.03% |
KDP against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against KDP, compared period by period and year by year.
How do KDP's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at KDP, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only KO was both more rewarding and calmer than KDP over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, KDP returned 2.5% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (22.1% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than KDP with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | +41.2% | 38.0% |
| KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. | +22.3% | 24.7% |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | +20.8% | 22.6% |
| CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | +19.7% | 23.2% |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | +17.4% | 22.9% |
| MNST Monster Beverage Corporation | +17.2% | 24.9% |
| KO The Coca-Cola Company | +14.7% | 16.8% |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | +14.1% | 25.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corporation | +7.1% | 34.2% |
| SJM The J. M. Smucker Company | +4.9% | 25.1% |
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | +2.7% | 29.0% |
| KDP This pageKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | +2.5% | 22.1% |
| SBUX Starbucks Corporation | −0.4% | 31.9% |
| PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | −0.5% | 19.1% |
| CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | −0.9% | 66.2% |
| FIZZ National Beverage Corp. | −4.8% | 29.9% |
| BALL Ball Corporation | −5.8% | 30.6% |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | −6.5% | 61.8% |
Has KDP consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares KDP with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than KDP helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Two of the 17 popular alternatives, COKE and KOF, outperformed KDP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- WMT, COST and MNST earned more for the risk they took than KDP (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
- WMT outperformed KDP over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so KDP has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than KDP over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (this page) | — | +13.9% | +14.6% | +32.5% | +27.8% | +28.7% | +31.9% | +13.4% | +281% | 22.1% | 0.23 | −36.9% | — | $47B | — |
| COKE QualifiedCoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +12.3% | +17.3% | +14.9% | +42.9% | +61.7% | +255% | +461% | +1,569% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | — | $14B | — |
| KOF QualifiedCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +7.5% | +15.1% | +18.1% | +28.7% | +46.7% | +96.0% | +174% | +119% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | — | $25B | — |
| CCEP Beverages - Non-AlcoholicCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | 1/5 short3/3 long | +12.8% | +6.8% | +17.8% | +29.9% | +28.3% | +116% | +146% | +292% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | — | $50B | — |
| COST Discount StoresCostco Wholesale Corporation | 0/5 short3/3 long | +10.7% | +6.5% | 0.0% | +16.9% | +6.9% | +87.2% | +123% | +685% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | — | $441B | — |
| WMT Discount StoresWalmart Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | +9.7% | +5.3% | −7.5% | +5.2% | +11.0% | +130% | +158% | +508% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | — | $938B | — |
| KO Beverages - Non-AlcoholicThe Coca-Cola Company | 2/5 short2/3 long | +7.3% | +14.5% | +25.4% | +37.9% | +40.2% | +86.8% | +98.2% | +204% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | — | $402B | — |
| FMX Beverages - Non-AlcoholicFomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +9.3% | +0.8% | +15.1% | +36.5% | +44.0% | +53.7% | +92.9% | +79.7% | 25.7% | 0.64 | −45.5% | — | $44B | — |
| MNST Beverages - Non-AlcoholicMonster Beverage Corporation | 1/5 short2/3 long | +6.9% | −1.4% | +21.8% | +23.5% | +34.9% | +88.2% | +121% | +285% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | — | $92B | — |
| CCK Packaging & ContainersCrown Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | +4.9% | −0.2% | +10.1% | +10.5% | +22.3% | +50.9% | +14.4% | +121% | 29.0% | 0.24 | −48.3% | — | $12B | — |
| PRMB Beverages - Non-AlcoholicPrimo Brands Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | −2.3% | −17.3% | −1.7% | +25.5% | −7.8% | +64.5% | +41.2% | +79.7% | 34.2% | 0.38 | −64.6% | — | $7.2B | — |
| SJM Packaged FoodsThe J. M. Smucker Company | 3/5 short1/3 long | +8.2% | +16.3% | +37.7% | +38.3% | +28.1% | +29.3% | +26.7% | +37.2% | 25.1% | 0.32 | −38.1% | — | $14B | — |
| BALL Packaging & ContainersBall Corporation | 1/5 short1/3 long | +7.5% | +3.4% | +0.9% | +21.4% | +33.6% | +51.5% | −25.9% | +78.6% | 30.6% | -0.04 | −55.1% | — | $17B | — |
| CELH Beverages - Non-AlcoholicCelsius Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +6.9% | +1.8% | −11.3% | −37.3% | −53.5% | −44.5% | −4.3% | +4,120% | 66.2% | 0.32 | −77.9% | — | $7.6B | — |
| BROS RestaurantsDutch Bros Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +11.9% | −33.9% | −19.8% | −29.5% | −21.9% | +73.0% | −28.7% | — | 61.8% | 0.20 | −70.1% | — | $8.2B | — |
| SBUX RestaurantsStarbucks Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +4.7% | −4.6% | +1.6% | +20.5% | +20.6% | +13.8% | −1.7% | +130% | 31.9% | 0.15 | −43.7% | — | $113B | — |
| FIZZ Beverages - Non-AlcoholicNational Beverage Corp. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +11.9% | +12.8% | +14.7% | +22.7% | +6.7% | −5.6% | −21.8% | +108% | 29.9% | -0.02 | −69.6% | — | $3.3B | — |
| PEP Beverages - Non-AlcoholicPepsiCo, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.4% | 0.0% | −12.8% | −2.9% | −9.2% | −6.7% | −2.3% | +72.6% | 19.1% | 0.07 | −30.3% | — | $183B | — |
How did KDP do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2009, along with where KDP ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with KDP and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: KDP began trading on April 28, 2008, so the table starts with 2009, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- KDP finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 11 of its 17 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, KDP finished in the top quarter in eight of 17 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 16 of 18.
- Among its popular alternatives, CELH came out ahead of KDP most often, in 11 of the 17 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of KDP; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places KDP among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of KDP | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP This pageKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | — | −10.1% | −1.1% | −4.2% | −1.2% | +17.5% | +13.1% | +15.4% | +70.3% | +25.4% | +12.7% | +51.5% | +74.9% | +36.4% | +37.5% | +37.5% | +44.3% | +80.1% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 8 of 17 | 16 of 18 | 8 of 18 | 16 of 18 | 11 of 18 | 7 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 11 of 17 | 1 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 5 of 17 | 5 of 17 | 1 of 17 | 6 of 17 | 3 of 17 | 3 of 17 | 3 of 17 | 4 of 17 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 17 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% |
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 6 of 17 | +22.6% | +38.7% | +82.9% | −17.1% | +133% | −5.9% | +60.7% | −15.0% | +23.2% | −1.4% | +109% | +22.1% | +11.9% | +14.9% | +7.4% | +5.0% | +20.0% |
| KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. | 5 of 17 | +27.1% | −13.8% | +45.1% | +29.8% | +24.9% | −19.8% | +2.5% | −10.1% | +12.4% | −8.2% | −16.1% | −27.5% | −17.0% | +59.5% | +18.3% | +27.5% | +53.2% |
| CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | 7 of 17 | +21.2% | +18.3% | +24.5% | +2.3% | +15.6% | +0.5% | +13.8% | +18.6% | +30.0% | −9.3% | +14.0% | +2.5% | +42.0% | +26.0% | +5.0% | +74.8% | +79.5% |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 6 of 17 | −5.4% | +39.6% | +49.0% | −19.1% | +51.8% | +32.7% | +45.7% | +10.6% | +22.4% | +0.3% | +18.9% | +20.5% | +21.9% | +28.4% | +16.7% | +23.7% | +14.3% |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 8 of 17 | +24.5% | +74.0% | +12.9% | −0.5% | +1.9% | +23.4% | +30.1% | −3.4% | +46.6% | +16.1% | −26.6% | +11.8% | +18.2% | +17.1% | +13.8% | +3.1% | −2.5% |
| KO The Coca-Cola Company | 4 of 17 | +15.6% | +8.9% | −4.4% | +10.6% | +11.4% | +2.5% | +20.6% | +6.8% | +14.3% | −0.3% | +5.2% | +5.3% | +17.2% | +6.5% | +9.5% | +19.0% | +30.4% |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 4 of 17 | +26.8% | −32.0% | +70.1% | +2.9% | +4.0% | −17.8% | +11.7% | −6.9% | +25.1% | −16.2% | +6.5% | −10.1% | +0.4% | +46.8% | +26.9% | +18.3% | +60.6% |
| MNST Monster Beverage Corporation | 7 of 17 | +45.9% | −8.8% | +13.5% | +5.7% | +3.9% | +45.5% | +29.1% | −22.2% | +42.7% | −10.7% | +37.5% | +59.8% | +28.1% | +14.8% | +76.1% | +36.3% | +14.3% |
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | 4 of 17 | +25.9% | −9.1% | +13.3% | −25.0% | +11.3% | +38.1% | +74.5% | −26.1% | +7.0% | +3.7% | −0.4% | +14.2% | +21.1% | +9.6% | +0.6% | +30.4% | +33.3% |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corporation | 8 of 17 | −45.9% | +115% | −1.0% | −10.2% | +14.0% | +41.9% | −18.1% | +13.3% | +4.2% | +57.1% | +93.9% | +73.6% | +154% | −58.5% | −78.6% | +73.4% | +540% |
| SJM The J. M. Smucker Company | 4 of 17 | −7.6% | −9.6% | −17.8% | +20.1% | +21.0% | +14.5% | +14.9% | −22.6% | −0.5% | +6.0% | +25.0% | −0.2% | +22.7% | +13.2% | +22.1% | +9.1% | +46.7% |
| BALL Ball Corporation | 4 of 17 | −2.4% | −3.0% | +14.2% | −46.2% | +4.1% | +45.2% | +41.9% | +22.7% | +1.8% | +3.9% | +7.5% | +33.1% | +16.7% | +26.5% | +5.7% | +32.4% | +25.5% |
| CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 11 of 17 | +73.7% | −51.7% | +57.2% | +39.5% | +48.2% | +942% | +38.8% | −33.7% | +114% | +26.3% | +288% | +47.1% | +70.0% | −4.8% | −50.0% | −91.7% | +534% |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | 3 of 4 | +16.9% | +65.4% | +12.3% | −44.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 7 of 17 | −5.3% | −2.5% | −1.2% | −13.2% | +11.1% | +24.2% | +39.1% | +14.7% | +5.4% | −6.1% | +48.1% | +6.2% | +48.1% | +18.4% | +45.3% | +41.4% | +144% |
| FIZZ National Beverage Corp. | 7 of 17 | −25.3% | −8.0% | +6.9% | +2.6% | +13.4% | +77.1% | −28.9% | −23.9% | +93.8% | +15.7% | +101% | +12.2% | +38.3% | +5.9% | +22.4% | +23.9% | +53.9% |
| PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | 5 of 17 | −1.8% | −7.6% | −3.3% | +6.8% | +20.5% | +11.7% | +27.4% | −4.8% | +17.8% | +7.8% | +8.8% | +17.3% | +24.6% | +6.4% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +14.6% |
Risk and diversification
How KDP has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were KDP's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents KDP's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2008, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: KDP began trading on April 28, 2008, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of KDP's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: KDP fell 31.2% from August 2022 to October 2025, while the S&P 500 rose 63.5%.
- None of these declines kept KDP below its old high for long; the longest climb back took six months.
Green means KDP fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | KDP fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −57.3% | −49.8% | Apr 2008 | Mar 2009 | 11 months | Sep 2009 | 6 months |
| Covid crash | −36.9% | −23.6% | Nov 2019 | Mar 2020 | 4 months | Jul 2020 | 4 months |
| 2022 bear market | −31.2% | +63.5% | Aug 2022 | Oct 2025 | 3.2 years | Not yet | — |
| 2011 euro debt crisis | −18.1% | −16.1% | Jul 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 month | Dec 2011 | 4 months |
| Late-2018 sell-off | −13.6% | −8.2% | Nov 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 month | Feb 2019 | 2 months |
How did KDP do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far KDP, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: KDP began trading on April 28, 2008, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust or the 2008 financial crisis. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- KDP fell less than the S&P 500 in seven of the eight crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when KDP fell 12.2% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than KDP in most of the crashes they both traded through.
- KDP began trading after the 2008 financial crisis, but 16 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was WMT's 26.2%, against 55.2% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than KDP.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP This pageKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | — | −1.5% | −12.2% | −33.5% | −13.6% | −1.7% | −9.7% | −13.0% | 0.0% | Not yet trading | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0 of 8 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 1 of 8 | −4.5% | −35.5% | −30.4% | −21.3% | −8.5% | −28.4% | −21.5% | −1.8% | −48.4% | −37.8% |
| KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. | 1 of 8 | −4.9% | −12.4% | −40.1% | −10.3% | −7.0% | −19.3% | −14.2% | −0.4% | −57.7% | −35.1% |
| CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | 1 of 8 | −1.5% | −28.2% | −47.6% | −7.4% | −2.9% | −13.8% | −20.4% | −0.6% | −71.0% | −40.3% |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 1 of 8 | −3.1% | −31.4% | −13.7% | −20.8% | −6.5% | −15.2% | −13.5% | −1.2% | −48.0% | −50.1% |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 3 of 8 | −0.8% | −25.7% | −13.1% | −18.3% | −4.9% | −22.3% | −10.5% | −1.5% | −26.2% | −31.8% |
| KO The Coca-Cola Company | 3 of 8 | −1.4% | −16.7% | −37.0% | −8.8% | −7.8% | −8.8% | −8.3% | 0.0% | −40.6% | −31.3% |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 0 of 8 | −3.9% | −28.7% | −39.6% | −18.2% | −8.2% | −16.4% | −16.0% | −0.5% | −61.0% | −48.5% |
| MNST Monster Beverage Corporation | 1 of 8 | −2.9% | −25.9% | −27.6% | −20.1% | −7.0% | −25.7% | −14.6% | −12.4% | −69.2% | −50.4% |
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 8 | −5.7% | −38.2% | −44.8% | −22.9% | −10.1% | −18.1% | −24.9% | −2.5% | −52.1% | −94.7% |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corporation | 0 of 8 | −4.4% | −30.3% | −54.3% | −26.9% | −3.6% | −19.5% | −75.7% | 0.0% | −92.0% | −33.5% |
| SJM The J. M. Smucker Company | 2 of 8 | −1.7% | −15.5% | −19.4% | −17.8% | −2.9% | −6.0% | −14.8% | −0.8% | −32.0% | −23.1% |
| BALL Ball Corporation | 0 of 8 | −5.6% | −50.7% | −33.9% | −16.0% | −3.7% | −15.5% | −23.5% | −2.5% | −49.4% | −34.8% |
| CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 0 of 8 | −7.4% | −41.3% | −51.8% | −26.2% | −13.9% | −40.9% | −50.0% | 0.0% | −95.3% | — |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | 0 of 2 | −8.8% | −60.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 1 of 8 | −3.3% | −38.4% | −37.5% | −11.4% | −3.0% | −14.2% | −15.5% | −0.6% | −73.2% | −44.1% |
| FIZZ National Beverage Corp. | 2 of 8 | −2.6% | −33.1% | −19.5% | −36.1% | −12.0% | −30.3% | −10.1% | −1.1% | −31.0% | −34.6% |
| PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | 4 of 8 | −0.8% | −11.9% | −28.3% | −12.3% | −7.2% | −10.2% | −8.3% | −0.2% | −40.4% | −33.0% |
How closely does KDP move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares KDP with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, KDP captured 59% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 38% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.56. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only WMT, COKE and COST had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than KDP's 1.56, out of 16 popular alternatives with the same record.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than KDP's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP This pageKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | 59% | 38% | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| WMT Walmart Inc. | 74% | 36% | 2.08 | 0.53 |
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 123% | 60% | 2.05 | 0.81 |
| COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 93% | 50% | 1.85 | 0.77 |
| CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | 195% | 127% | 1.54 | 1.54 |
| KO The Coca-Cola Company | 57% | 44% | 1.29 | 0.47 |
| CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | 69% | 56% | 1.25 | 0.66 |
| MNST Monster Beverage Corporation | 87% | 87% | 0.99 | 0.80 |
| KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. | 63% | 73% | 0.86 | 0.68 |
| FMX Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. | 50% | 63% | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | 69% | 91% | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 81% | 107% | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | 48% | 65% | 0.75 | 0.48 |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corporation | 71% | 96% | 0.74 | 1.05 |
| FIZZ National Beverage Corp. | 73% | 99% | 0.73 | 0.94 |
| BALL Ball Corporation | 51% | 73% | 0.70 | 0.74 |
| SJM The J. M. Smucker Company | 25% | 38% | 0.67 | 0.30 |
What diversifies KDP?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with KDP's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing KDP with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in KDP into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+0.3% for KDP alone, +4.2% for the mix).
- CLS made money in four of the four calendar years in which KDP lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of KDP over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.36 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which KDP lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% KDP and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +13.4% | 0.23 | −10.1% | −1.1% | −4.2% | −1.2% | 20.1% | +0.3% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.31 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | +15.9% | +17.4% | +3.8% | 16.7% | +3.7% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.19 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +29.8% | +42.0% | +6.0% | 16.7% | +5.6% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.36 | +101% | 1.04 | +9.7% | +33.4% | +8.0% | +10.4% | 17.3% | +3.5% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.36 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | +14.1% | +1.8% | +7.1% | 17.3% | +2.9% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.20 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | +39.1% | +73.4% | −33.5% | 18.8% | +8.0% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.39 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +23.1% | +13.4% | +20.1% | −5.1% | 17.1% | +3.1% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.09 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | +26.7% | +12.7% | −0.8% | 16.7% | +4.2% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.30 | +136% | 0.93 | +26.6% | +45.8% | +17.6% | −10.4% | 17.8% | +4.7% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +13.4% | 0.23 | −10.1% | −1.1% | −4.2% | −1.2% | 20.1% | +0.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.28 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +19.0% | +34.1% | +54.1% | 18.3% | +7.6% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.08 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +215% | +160% | +1.3% | 20.6% | +19.7% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.23 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +107% | +79.6% | +17.0% | 20.1% | +15.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.08 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +23.7% | +24.1% | +51.8% | 17.2% | +7.2% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.02 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | −4.0% | +30.4% | +86.6% | 17.4% | +9.8% |
Common questions
What was KDP's worst drawdown?
KDP's deepest decline since it began trading in 2008 was 57.3%, from April 2008 to March 2009. It took six months from the low to climb back to its old high. Because KDP launched in April 2008, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were KDP's best and worst years?
Over 17 full calendar years, KDP's best year was 2009, when it returned 80.1%. Its worst was 2025, with a return of -10.1%.
Is there a better investment than KDP?
Among KDP's popular alternatives, KO earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years: 14.7% a year at 16.8% volatility, against 2.5% a year at 22.1%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, MDLZ (packaged foods) earned more than KDP with less volatility over the past 5 years: 4.0% a year at 20.2% volatility, against 2.5% a year at 22.1%.
Is KDP more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. KDP's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.1%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, KDP's return lands within 22.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is KDP's Sharpe ratio?
KDP's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.23, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so KDP earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is KDP with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, KDP's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.31 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against KDP instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a KDP holding.
What are the best alternatives to KDP?
Of the 17 popular alternatives we compared, two outperformed KDP in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: COKE and KOF.
Did KDP outperform the S&P 500?
KDP finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 11 of 17 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -10.1%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did KDP do in stock market crashes?
KDP fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in seven of the eight major crashes it has traded through, and further in no. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when KDP fell 12.2% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
What diversifies KDP?
These had a low correlation with KDP over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.31), DXJ (correlation 0.19) and EMLP (correlation 0.36); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.28), CLS (correlation 0.08) and FIX (correlation 0.23). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than KDP's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of KDP's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to KDP
CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners
COSTCostco Wholesale
WMTWalmart
KOCoca-Cola
FMXFomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.
MNSTMonster Beverage
SBUXStarbucks
PEPPepsiCo