Relative Intelligence · Bitcoin Treasury

How Strategy (MSTR) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on MSTR alone. It places MSTR (Strategy Inc) against 16 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where MSTR stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: MSTR's full trading record, from June 1998 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowMSTR has run far ahead of the market, rising 45.9% over the past 3 months against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. On the flip side, the slide is MSTR's own: it is 69.9% below its high, against 1.3% for the S&P 500. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?More than an industry move: MSTR rose 45.9% over the past 3 months, against 26.6% for the bitcoin treasury ETF IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF). The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its bitcoin treasury peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: ASST (Strive) rose 119%, while WULF (TeraWulf) fell 36.3%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, MSTR fell 51.9% while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. By year ↓
- Long termMSTR turned $10,000 into $84,800 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. MSTR's 10-year return of 748% puts it ahead of 92% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, MSTR has typically fallen about twice as far as the S&P 500. In the 2022 bear market, MSTR fell 72.4%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than BTDR (Bitdeer Technologies Group, 0.6%) but less than IREN (82.8%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationMSTR is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.52 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.54 with the total US market, more closely than 76% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- HOOD (Robinhood Markets) earned more than MSTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 18.6% a year at 68.6% volatility, against 13.5% a year at 91.1%.
- Whole market
- 741 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MSTR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA (NVIDIA), AAPL (Apple) and GOOG (Alphabet).
How much would $10,000 in MSTR have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in MSTR over the past 10 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of MSTR over the same span and MSTR's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 10 years rather than MSTR's full 28 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
- $10,000 invested in MSTR at the end of September 2016 would have grown to $91,451 by September 2026, more than the $41,286 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of MSTR, and NVDA finished highest, at $1,367,620.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2016 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 154 of the 2,697 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MSTR; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$1M+13,576% total · +63.5% a year
- TSM$174,923+1,649% total · +33.1% a year
- LLY$168,620+1,586% total · +32.6% a year
- MPC$131,286+1,213% total · +29.4% a year
- AAPL$128,826+1,188% total · +29.1% a year
- MSTR$91,451+815% total · +24.8% a year
- RIOT$74,629+646% total · +22.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$41,286+313% total · +15.2% a year
- WULF$16,157+61.6% total · +4.9% a year
- MARA$2,520−74.8% total · −12.9% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 443 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of MSTR; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- BE$147,957+1,380% total · +71.4% a year
- NVDA$110,811+1,008% total · +61.8% a year
- MPC$71,516+615% total · +48.2% a year
- LLY$52,411+424% total · +39.3% a year
- HOOD$26,734+167% total · +21.7% a year
- MSTR$26,468+165% total · +21.5% a year
- HUT$20,500+105% total · +15.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- GLXY$13,934+39.3% total · +6.9% a year
- WULF$6,113−38.9% total · −9.4% a year
MSTR at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- MSTR is still 69.9% below its all-time high.
- MSTR's deepest decline since it began trading in 1998 was 99.7%, from March 2000 to July 2002. It took about 22 years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 27 full calendar years, MSTR's best was 1999, when it returned 566%, and its worst was 2000, when it lost 81.9%. It lost money in 11 of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $57B
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Price history from
- June 1998
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −51.9%total return
- Past 3 years
- +310%+60.1% a year
- Past 5 years
- +88.2%+13.5% a year
- Past 10 years
- +748%+23.8% a year
- Best calendar year
- +566%1999
- Worst calendar year
- −81.9%2000
- Losing years
- 11 of 27full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 91.1%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.59return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −99.7%Mar 2000 to Jul 2002
- From its all-time high
- −69.9%below the peak
MSTR against the whole market
Where MSTR ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does MSTR rank among all stocks?
This section ranks MSTR on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how MSTR stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- MSTR's 3-year return ranks in the top 7% of the 3,017 stocks worth at least $300 million with 3 years of history.
- MSTR's 1-year return ranks in the bottom 5% of the 3,287 stocks worth at least $300 million with 1 year of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | MSTR | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −51.9% | 3,127 of 3,287 | bottom 6% |
| 3-year return | +310% | 208 of 3,017 | top 7% |
| 5-year return | +88.2% | 753 of 2,893 | top 26% |
| 10-year return | +748% | 173 of 2,202 | top 8% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 91.1% | 2,730 of 2,893 | bottom 7% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.59 | 690 of 2,893 | top 24% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −89.3% | 1,918 of 2,187 | bottom 13% |
What has beaten MSTR on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). MSTR sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than MSTR with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 639 stocks and 102 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than MSTR over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 20% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half MSTR's swings, CLS has the best return for its risk: 101% a year at 59.7% volatility, 35% less than MSTR's 91.1%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.47 against 0.59 for MSTR.
- Among MSTR's popular alternatives, HOOD is in the region. HOOD earned 18.6% a year against 13.5% a year for MSTR, at 68.6% volatility, 25% less than MSTR's 91.1%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to MSTR; faint dots are 93 more of the 741 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than MSTR?
Investments that beat MSTR over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among MSTR's popular alternatives, HOOD earned more than MSTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 18.6% a year at 68.6% volatility, against 13.5% a year at 91.1%.
- Across the whole market, 741 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MSTR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA, AAPL and GOOG.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat MSTR over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks MSTR's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than MSTR follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than MSTR's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× MSTR's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than MSTR's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with MSTR?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +13.5% | 91.1% | 0.59 | −89.3% | +748% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.52 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against MSTR. 1 of 11 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +18.6% | 68.6% | 0.59 | −90.2% | — | 0.59 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 1,009 of 3,622 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.10 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.19 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +58.0% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | +13,019% | 0.49 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.31 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.46 | 0.09% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +19.0% | 32.0% | 0.71 | −44.6% | +752% | 0.22 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.51 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +60.5% | 89.6% | 0.96 | −92.5% | — | 0.32 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for MSTR
- Annual return
- MSTR returned 13.5% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $18,800. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- MSTR's volatility over the past 5 years was 91.1%, 5.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MSTR's return lands within 91.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- MSTR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.59, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MSTR earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- MSTR's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 89.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 89.3% fall takes a 832% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, MSTR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.52 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MSTR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MSTR holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 741 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than MSTR with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with MSTR | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | -0.10 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +1,387% | 0.19 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +58.0% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | +13,019% | 0.49 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +18.5% | 28.0% | 0.75 | −38.5% | +1,168% | 0.31 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +31.5% | 38.5% | 0.91 | −56.6% | +1,505% | 0.19 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +5,243% | 0.17 | — | |
| 7 | ATIATI Inc. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +61.8% | 42.9% | 1.34 | −82.4% | +929% | 0.15 | — |
| 8 | Whole market | +35.7% | 57.6% | 0.82 | −65.5% | +7,583% | 0.22 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.23 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +3,701% | 0.11 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +37.4% | 49.9% | 0.89 | −56.4% | +2,989% | 0.16 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +49.0% | 49.0% | 1.06 | −52.2% | +3,439% | 0.33 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +31.9% | 43.4% | 0.86 | −48.0% | +1,274% | 0.06 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +33.8% | 32.2% | 1.07 | −37.5% | +965% | 0.32 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +57.4% | 48.7% | 1.18 | −57.0% | +2,698% | 0.19 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +25.8% | 47.4% | 0.72 | −55.1% | +1,488% | 0.11 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +38.7% | 46.7% | 0.94 | −46.3% | +2,534% | 0.05 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +44.2% | 36.9% | 1.18 | −71.9% | +1,061% | 0.12 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +35.4% | 35.4% | 1.04 | −55.1% | +935% | 0.46 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +53.7% | 53.5% | 1.07 | −70.5% | +911% | 0.16 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +26.3% | 52.7% | 0.71 | −67.7% | — | 0.24 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +32.0% | 40.7% | 0.89 | −55.3% | +1,017% | 0.25 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +29.5% | 65.2% | 0.72 | −61.9% | +1,874% | 0.18 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.46 | 0.09% | |
| 25 | Whole market | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.36 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +48.8% | 43.0% | 1.15 | −52.5% | +967% | 0.12 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.01 | — | |
| 28 | Whole market | +39.3% | 37.2% | 1.08 | −45.5% | +2,045% | 0.45 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +19.0% | 32.0% | 0.71 | −44.6% | +752% | 0.22 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +22.7% | 27.7% | 0.88 | −40.5% | +955% | 0.36 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +57.3% | 64.5% | 1.03 | −66.9% | +1,904% | 0.03 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +53.4% | 48.6% | 1.13 | −53.3% | +1,195% | 0.49 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +33.4% | 36.9% | 0.97 | −45.3% | +1,665% | 0.35 | 0.35% | |
| 34 | Whole market | +16.5% | 23.1% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +808% | 0.41 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +24.3% | 39.1% | 0.75 | −63.3% | +1,270% | 0.46 | — | |
| 36 | EMEEMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +43.0% | 35.3% | 1.20 | −48.0% | +1,202% | 0.51 | — |
| 37 | Whole market | +40.4% | 49.9% | 0.93 | −66.3% | +681% | 0.18 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +48.8% | 62.1% | 0.95 | −73.3% | — | 0.16 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +29.3% | 57.6% | 0.74 | −77.7% | +3,841% | 0.31 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +37.3% | 55.0% | 0.85 | −69.4% | +899% | 0.34 | — | |
| 41 | STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +32.2% | 38.0% | 0.93 | −68.5% | +1,018% | 0.48 | — |
| 42 | Whole market | +17.3% | 27.8% | 0.71 | −57.7% | +809% | 0.30 | — | |
| 43 | CIBGrupo Cibest S.A. · Banks | Whole market | +32.9% | 32.9% | 1.03 | −70.4% | +345% | 0.09 | — |
| 44 | STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +78.4% | 60.0% | 1.26 | −59.6% | +5,213% | 0.33 | — |
| 45 | WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. · Specialty Retail | Whole market | +24.5% | 44.4% | 0.71 | −59.7% | +1,268% | 0.55 | — |
| 46 | THCTenet Healthcare Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +32.9% | 45.1% | 0.86 | −71.7% | +1,058% | 0.26 | — |
| 47 | COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +41.2% | 38.0% | 1.10 | −51.7% | +1,569% | -0.08 | — |
| 48 | MLIMueller Industries, Inc. · Metal Fabrication | Whole market | +38.9% | 33.4% | 1.16 | −53.0% | +800% | 0.36 | — |
| 49 | FROFrontline Plc · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +52.6% | 49.7% | 1.10 | −52.0% | +1,194% | 0.09 | — |
| 50 | IESCIES Holdings, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +58.5% | 58.0% | 1.09 | −54.3% | +2,943% | 0.36 | — |
| 51 | TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc. · Entertainment | Whole market | +26.3% | 32.7% | 0.88 | −69.1% | +941% | 0.29 | — |
| 52 | MEDPMedpace Holdings, Inc. · Contract Research | Whole market | +27.0% | 52.0% | 0.70 | −42.9% | +1,914% | 0.30 | — |
| 53 | HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc. · Biotechnology | Whole market | +26.6% | 40.4% | 0.79 | −49.1% | +1,196% | 0.06 | — |
| 54 | IDCCInterDigital, Inc. · Intellectual Property Licensing | Whole market | +39.0% | 36.9% | 1.08 | −64.9% | +395% | 0.28 | — |
| 55 | CORTCorcept Therapeutics Incorporated · Biotechnology | Whole market | +43.0% | 75.9% | 0.81 | −71.9% | +1,593% | 0.27 | — |
| 56 | Whole market | +14.8% | 37.2% | 0.56 | −34.2% | +1,139% | 0.44 | — | |
| 57 | ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc. · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +19.8% | 26.8% | 0.81 | −55.5% | +896% | 0.21 | — |
| 58 | KNSAKiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc · Biotechnology | Whole market | +50.2% | 53.7% | 1.02 | −83.1% | — | -0.07 | — |
| 59 | AXSMAxsome Therapeutics, Inc. · Biotechnology | Whole market | +30.7% | 65.1% | 0.72 | −81.3% | +2,083% | -0.14 | — |
| 60 | FSSFederal Signal Corporation · Industrial Machinery | Whole market | +23.3% | 31.7% | 0.82 | −33.0% | +882% | 0.34 | — |
| 61 | BWLPBW LPG Limited · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +60.3% | 50.9% | 1.19 | −68.8% | +2,672% | 0.14 | — |
| 62 | LNTHLantheus Holdings, Inc. · Pharmaceuticals | Whole market | +34.0% | 56.6% | 0.80 | −68.5% | +985% | 0.22 | — |
| 63 | ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co. · Specialty Retail | Whole market | +33.7% | 62.9% | 0.77 | −72.4% | +1,117% | 0.17 | — |
| 64 | LGNDLigand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated · Biotechnology | Whole market | +30.2% | 44.2% | 0.82 | −76.9% | +414% | 0.10 | — |
| 65 | SIMOSilicon Motion Technology Corporation · Semiconductors | Whole market | +28.0% | 55.1% | 0.71 | −56.5% | +494% | 0.02 | — |
| 66 | CVICVR Energy, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +32.2% | 52.3% | 0.80 | −79.9% | +1,424% | 0.10 | — |
| 67 | ENVAEnova International, Inc. · Consumer Finance | Whole market | +37.8% | 41.9% | 0.98 | −77.6% | +1,819% | 0.20 | — |
| 68 | SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +55.4% | 69.4% | 0.98 | −79.5% | — | 0.21 | — |
| 69 | DHTDHT Holdings, Inc. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +38.7% | 39.0% | 1.04 | −39.7% | +1,050% | 0.05 | — |
| 70 | LPGDorian LPG Ltd. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +54.6% | 43.6% | 1.22 | −62.9% | +1,821% | 0.13 | — |
| 71 | AAMIAcadian Asset Management · Asset Management | Whole market | +29.0% | 35.6% | 0.90 | −78.1% | +652% | 0.36 | — |
| 72 | CGAUCenterra Gold Inc. · Gold Mining | Whole market | +26.3% | 47.6% | 0.73 | −72.2% | +421% | 0.21 | — |
| 73 | DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc. · Industrial - Distribution | Whole market | +39.0% | 46.1% | 0.95 | −77.3% | +610% | 0.36 | — |
| 74 | UFPTUFP Technologies, Inc. · Medical - Devices | Whole market | +35.8% | 46.0% | 0.90 | −48.3% | +1,006% | 0.23 | — |
| 75 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.19 | — | |
| 76 | Whole market | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +768% | 0.05 | — | |
| 77 | PSIInvesco Semiconductors ETF · Technology | Whole market | +24.3% | 41.6% | 0.73 | −44.9% | +1,134% | 0.25 | 0.55% |
| 78 | Whole market | +45.2% | 52.6% | 0.97 | −49.5% | +1,600% | 0.02 | — | |
| 79 | ESLTElbit Systems Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +39.8% | 34.6% | 1.15 | −35.4% | +765% | 0.13 | — |
| 80 | PLPCPreformed Line Products Company · Electrical Equipment & Parts | Whole market | +40.5% | 48.3% | 0.94 | −59.5% | +827% | 0.14 | — |
| 81 | ETONEton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Whole market | +55.6% | 66.1% | 0.99 | −79.9% | — | 0.19 | — |
| 82 | Whole market | +47.3% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | +1,028% | 0.33 | — | |
| 83 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | -0.02 | — | |
| 84 | NBNNortheast Bank · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +28.8% | 33.3% | 0.93 | −70.2% | +1,064% | 0.25 | — |
| 85 | Whole market | +77.0% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | +5,305% | 0.46 | — | |
| 86 | FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc. · Communication Equipment | Whole market | +52.0% | 65.4% | 0.95 | −62.4% | +719% | 0.02 | — |
| 87 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.30 | — | |
| 88 | Whole market | +101% | 59.7% | 1.47 | −80.6% | +2,771% | 0.34 | — | |
| 89 | Whole market | +51.4% | 67.0% | 0.95 | −84.6% | — | 0.47 | — | |
| 90 | CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc. · Technology Distributors | Whole market | +37.8% | 45.5% | 0.94 | −53.4% | +847% | 0.27 | — |
| 91 | Whole market | +48.3% | 44.5% | 1.11 | −48.3% | +2,380% | 0.13 | — | |
| 92 | CSWCSW Industrials, Inc. · Industrial Products | Whole market | +17.1% | 34.4% | 0.63 | −46.2% | +867% | 0.45 | — |
| 93 | Whole market | +17.4% | 43.4% | 0.59 | −56.9% | +1,628% | 0.21 | — | |
| 94 | FNFabrinet · Electronics Manufacturing | Whole market | +29.2% | 57.1% | 0.74 | −52.4% | +732% | 0.09 | — |
| 95 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.32 | — | |
| 96 | CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +63.9% | 46.5% | 1.30 | −74.7% | +1,021% | 0.26 | — |
| 97 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.10 | — | |
| 98 | Whole market | +17.3% | 24.3% | 0.78 | −43.6% | +537% | 0.36 | — | |
| 99 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | -0.14 | — | |
| 100 | Whole market | +41.8% | 31.7% | 1.27 | −90.8% | +829% | 0.37 | — |
MSTR against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against MSTR, compared period by period and year by year.
How do MSTR's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at MSTR, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only HOOD was both more rewarding and calmer than MSTR over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Nine of the 11 popular alternatives earned less than MSTR over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, MSTR returned 13.5% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (91.1% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than MSTR with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | +18.6% | 68.6% |
| MSTR This pageStrategy Inc | +13.5% | 91.1% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| HUT Hut 8 Corp. | +2.3% | 105% |
| CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | +0.3% | 121% |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital | −3.3% | 93.9% |
| BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group | −4.6% | 103% |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | −11.5% | 86.9% |
| CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. | −13.8% | 101% |
| WULF TeraWulf Inc. | −14.4% | 124% |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | −15.2% | 94.5% |
| MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | −32.4% | 106% |
| BTBT Bit Digital, Inc. | −40.3% | 102% |
Has MSTR consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares MSTR with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than MSTR helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 16 popular alternatives outperformed MSTR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was HOOD.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than MSTR over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| MSTR Strategy Inc (this page) | — | −15.3% | +45.9% | −16.4% | −9.2% | −51.9% | +310% | +88.2% | +748% | 91.1% | 0.59 | −89.3% | — | $57B | — |
| HOOD Financial - Capital MarketsRobinhood Markets, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | −20.3% | −1.1% | +7.6% | −14.8% | −27.7% | +976% | +135% | — | 68.6% | 0.59 | −90.2% | — | $78B | — |
| GLXY Financial - Capital MarketsGalaxy Digital | 0/5 short2/3 long | −39.5% | −33.4% | −41.2% | −36.3% | −60.3% | +348% | −15.6% | +861% | 93.9% | 0.43 | −92.6% | — | $5.2B | — |
| HUT Financial - Capital MarketsHut 8 Corp. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −33.2% | −31.6% | −12.6% | +34.7% | +38.3% | +642% | +11.8% | — | 105% | 0.54 | −95.0% | — | $8.5B | — |
| WULF Financial - Capital MarketsTeraWulf Inc. | 2/5 short1/3 long | −31.2% | −36.3% | −41.4% | −5.7% | −13.3% | +992% | −54.0% | +31.0% | 124% | 0.48 | −98.5% | — | $6.0B | — |
| IREN Software - ServicesIREN Limited | 0/5 short1/3 long | −43.6% | −33.8% | −45.4% | −37.7% | −55.0% | +748% | — | — | — | — | −95.7% | — | $10B | — |
| ASST Asset ManagementStrive, Inc. | 5/5 short0/3 long | −10.8% | +119% | +73.2% | +56.4% | +56.6% | −17.0% | — | — | — | — | −98.0% | — | $2.7B | — |
| CEPO Shell CompaniesCantor Equity Partners I, Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares | 4/5 short0/3 long | −0.1% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +3.5% | +2.5% | — | — | — | — | — | −42.1% | — | $221M | — |
| FBTC CryptoFidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund | 4/5 short0/3 long | −4.8% | +26.5% | +7.9% | −8.3% | −25.8% | — | — | — | — | — | −53.3% | 0.25% | $15B | — |
| IBIT CryptoiShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 4/5 short0/3 long | −4.7% | +26.6% | +8.0% | −8.3% | −25.8% | — | — | — | — | — | −53.3% | 0.25% | $65B | — |
| RIOT Financial - Capital MarketsRiot Platforms, Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −43.1% | −30.8% | −24.0% | −2.8% | −37.4% | +55.2% | −56.2% | +460% | 94.5% | 0.29 | −98.3% | — | $5.2B | — |
| COIN Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesCoinbase Global, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | −15.0% | +6.5% | −19.3% | −27.8% | −50.3% | +129% | −45.7% | — | 86.9% | 0.29 | −90.9% | — | $45B | — |
| MARA Financial - Capital MarketsMarathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −43.7% | −35.9% | −35.7% | −24.5% | −63.9% | −3.6% | −85.9% | −79.2% | 106% | 0.15 | −99.0% | — | $2.9B | — |
| CLSK Financial - Capital MarketsCleanSpark, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −42.9% | −41.5% | −30.0% | −27.0% | −58.7% | +115% | −52.3% | −92.4% | 101% | 0.35 | −99.4% | — | $2.2B | — |
| BTBT Financial - Capital MarketsBit Digital, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −50.5% | −41.6% | −45.1% | −55.9% | −78.7% | −56.5% | −92.4% | — | 102% | -0.01 | −98.2% | — | $325M | — |
| BTDR Software - ApplicationBitdeer Technologies Group | 0/5 short0/3 long | −40.3% | −31.0% | −39.8% | −32.1% | −69.3% | +145% | −21.0% | — | 103% | 0.46 | −79.5% | — | $1.8B | — |
| CIFR Information Technology ServicesCipher Mining Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −53.0% | −56.8% | −54.0% | −45.2% | −55.4% | +242% | +1.7% | — | 121% | 0.60 | −97.2% | — | $3.7B | — |
How did MSTR do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1999, along with where MSTR ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with MSTR and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- None of the eight popular alternatives came out ahead of MSTR in most of the years they have in common.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, MSTR finished in the top quarter in four of nine years and in the bottom quarter in one. In 2025, it ranked 14 of 15.
- MSTR finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 14 of its 27 full calendar years.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of MSTR; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places MSTR among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of MSTR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR This pageStrategy Inc | — | −47.5% | +359% | +346% | −74.0% | +40.2% | +172% | +11.6% | −2.7% | −33.5% | +10.1% | +10.4% | +30.8% | +33.0% | −13.8% | +26.7% | −9.0% | +153% | −61.0% | −16.6% | +37.9% | +37.1% | +14.9% | +248% | −60.8% | −59.5% | −81.9% | +566% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 4 of 9 | 14 of 15 | 1 of 14 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 13 | 5 of 9 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 27 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | 2 of 4 | +204% | +192% | +56.5% | −54.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital | 3 of 9 | +28.9% | +122% | +175% | −84.0% | +107% | +953% | +11.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | −27.5% | −89.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| HUT Hut 8 Corp. | 3 of 7 | +124% | +53.6% | +214% | −89.2% | +185% | +251% | −25.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WULF TeraWulf Inc. | 12 of 27 | +103% | +136% | +258% | −95.5% | +77.1% | +86.4% | −36.6% | +12.2% | −33.2% | +0.5% | −23.1% | −1.3% | +83.2% | +19.5% | +4.4% | +15.1% | +9.6% | −38.1% | +23.3% | +18.5% | −13.6% | +74.9% | +91.0% | +9.9% | −38.5% | −32.7% | +6.4% |
| IREN IREN Limited | 2 of 4 | +285% | +37.3% | +472% | −92.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ASST Strive, Inc. | 1 of 2 | +50.3% | −84.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund | 1 of 1 | −6.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | 3 of 9 | +24.1% | −34.0% | +356% | −84.8% | +31.4% | +1,417% | −25.8% | −94.7% | +730% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | 2 of 4 | −8.9% | +42.8% | +391% | −86.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | 4 of 13 | −46.5% | −28.6% | +587% | −89.6% | +215% | +1,086% | −38.9% | −91.2% | −40.4% | +7.5% | −81.0% | +167% | −51.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. | 3 of 9 | +9.9% | −16.5% | +441% | −78.6% | −67.0% | +80.9% | −73.9% | −16.0% | −30.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BTBT Bit Digital, Inc. | 3 of 7 | −35.5% | −30.7% | +605% | −90.1% | −72.3% | +5,377% | −93.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group | 1 of 4 | −48.3% | +120% | −5.4% | +4.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | 2 of 5 | +218% | +12.3% | +637% | −87.9% | −53.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How MSTR has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were MSTR's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents MSTR's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1998, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all five of MSTR's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: MSTR fell 82.6% from November 2024 to June 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 26.0%.
- The slowest recovery came after MSTR fell 99.7% from March 2000 to July 2002; it did not regain that peak until March 2024, 22 years later.
Green means MSTR fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | MSTR fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dot-com bust | −99.7% | −37.1% | Mar 2000 | Jul 2002 | 2.3 years | Mar 2024 | 21.7 years |
| No named crash | −82.6% | +26.0% | Nov 2024 | Jun 2026 | 19 months | Not yet | — |
| No named crash | −65.1% | +19.4% | Aug 1998 | Apr 1999 | 8 months | Sep 1999 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −46.4% | −4.4% | Mar 2024 | May 2024 | 2 months | Oct 2024 | 5 months |
| No named crash | −29.1% | +3.4% | Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | Under a month | Jan 2000 | 1 month |
How did MSTR do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far MSTR, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- MSTR fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when MSTR fell 99.7% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
- Among its popular alternatives, HOOD held up best, falling less than MSTR in all two crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than MSTR.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR This pageStrategy Inc | — | −17.5% | −72.4% | −38.5% | −21.3% | −3.8% | −35.7% | −39.3% | −1.6% | −70.9% | −99.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −6.8% | −60.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital | 3 of 7 | −8.3% | −82.3% | −58.7% | −61.9% | — | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | −95.1% | — |
| HUT Hut 8 Corp. | 1 of 4 | −14.9% | −83.6% | −62.1% | −66.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WULF TeraWulf Inc. | 6 of 10 | −13.4% | −93.2% | −46.3% | −32.3% | −10.1% | −22.4% | −7.4% | 0.0% | −61.9% | −64.6% |
| IREN IREN Limited | 1 of 2 | −5.9% | −82.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ASST Strive, Inc. | 1 of 1 | −7.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −15.9% | −82.8% | −56.7% | −66.9% | −12.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −15.2% | −81.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | 1 of 6 | −13.8% | −84.4% | −62.6% | −55.2% | −14.1% | −54.3% | — | — | — | — |
| CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −12.6% | −78.3% | −67.7% | −80.3% | 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BTBT Bit Digital, Inc. | 2 of 4 | −15.3% | −82.9% | 0.0% | −56.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group | 2 of 2 | 0.0% | −0.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | 1 of 2 | −12.0% | −77.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does MSTR move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares MSTR with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- None of the four popular alternatives with the same record had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than MSTR's 1.00.
- Over the past 10 years, MSTR captured 161% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 161% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 2.56. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than MSTR's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR This pageStrategy Inc | 161% | 161% | 1.00 | 2.56 |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | 277% | 369% | 0.75 | 4.16 |
| WULF TeraWulf Inc. | 188% | 316% | 0.60 | 2.46 |
| MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | 198% | 441% | 0.45 | 5.00 |
| CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. | 153% | 413% | 0.37 | 3.31 |
What diversifies MSTR?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with MSTR's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing MSTR with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in MSTR into CAH would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+21.5% for MSTR alone, +35.4% for the mix).
- MCK made money in eight of the 11 calendar years in which MSTR lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of MSTR over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.38 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which MSTR lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% MSTR and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2022 | 2018 | 2017 | 2012 | 2010 | 2008 | 2007 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR Strategy Inc (this page) | 1.00 | +88.2% | 0.59 | −47.5% | −74.0% | −2.7% | −33.5% | −13.8% | −9.0% | −61.0% | −16.6% | −60.8% | −59.5% | −81.9% | 108% | +21.5% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.18 | +119% | 1.48 | +27.1% | +3.8% | −5.2% | +10.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 86.7% | +29.8% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.16 | +225% | 1.34 | +32.8% | +6.0% | −19.8% | +22.8% | +19.6% | −1.8% | −20.8% | −7.4% | — | — | — | 86.7% | +32.1% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.38 | +101% | 1.04 | +9.7% | +10.4% | −8.7% | +1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 87.4% | +29.0% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.20 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +11.9% | +7.1% | −3.0% | +13.5% | +9.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 86.9% | +28.6% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.35 | +323% | 0.97 | +49.2% | −33.5% | −9.1% | +38.5% | +8.6% | +19.0% | −44.7% | +6.0% | −47.0% | −14.6% | — | 88.9% | +33.3% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.33 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +23.1% | −5.1% | −9.5% | +16.7% | +20.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 87.0% | +28.8% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.20 | +126% | 0.96 | +63.7% | −0.8% | −1.9% | +12.8% | +6.6% | +29.3% | +4.9% | +30.4% | — | — | — | 87.0% | +29.9% |
| FFLC Broad MarketFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF | 0.48 | +107% | 0.95 | +17.7% | 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 87.8% | +28.9% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2025 | 2022 | 2018 | 2017 | 2012 | 2010 | 2008 | 2007 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSTR Strategy Inc (this page) | 1.00 | +88.2% | 0.59 | −47.5% | −74.0% | −2.7% | −33.5% | −13.8% | −9.0% | −61.0% | −16.6% | −60.8% | −59.5% | −81.9% | 108% | +21.5% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | -0.02 | +479% | 1.55 | +76.3% | +54.1% | −24.5% | −12.7% | +3.8% | +21.4% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −8.3% | −2.5% | +108% | 86.4% | +35.4% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.34 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +220% | +1.3% | −16.3% | −11.6% | +11.2% | +2.8% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −65.1% | −25.6% | −2.3% | 91.0% | +45.9% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.46 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +121% | +17.0% | +0.8% | +32.1% | +15.7% | +8.7% | −15.2% | +2.1% | −9.4% | +73.7% | −71.1% | 90.7% | +41.4% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.12 | +413% | 1.44 | +44.5% | +51.8% | −28.4% | +12.0% | +25.6% | +13.8% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −27.2% | +4.9% | +61.2% | 87.0% | +34.0% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.19 | +690% | 1.41 | +19.2% | +86.6% | −8.2% | +34.8% | +94.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 87.7% | +36.3% |
Common questions
What was MSTR's worst drawdown?
MSTR's deepest decline since it began trading in 1998 was 99.7%, from March 2000 to July 2002. It took about 22 years from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were MSTR's best and worst years?
Over 27 full calendar years, MSTR's best year was 1999, when it returned 566%. Its worst was 2000, with a return of -81.9%.
Is there a better investment than MSTR?
Among MSTR's popular alternatives, HOOD earned more than MSTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 18.6% a year at 68.6% volatility, against 13.5% a year at 91.1%. Across the whole market, 741 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than MSTR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA, AAPL and GOOG.
Is MSTR more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. MSTR's volatility over the past 5 years was 91.1%, 5.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, MSTR's return lands within 91.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is MSTR's Sharpe ratio?
MSTR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.59, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so MSTR earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is MSTR with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, MSTR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.52 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against MSTR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a MSTR holding.
What are the best alternatives to MSTR?
None of the 16 popular alternatives we compared outperformed MSTR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about MSTR's strength than about its alternatives.
Did MSTR outperform the S&P 500?
MSTR finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 14 of 27 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned -47.5%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did MSTR do in stock market crashes?
MSTR fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in one of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when MSTR fell 99.7% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
What diversifies MSTR?
These had a low correlation with MSTR over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.18), DXJ (correlation 0.16) and EMLP (correlation 0.38); among large stocks, CAH (correlation -0.02), CLS (correlation 0.34) and FIX (correlation 0.46). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than MSTR's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of MSTR's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.