Relative Intelligence · Enterprise Software

How Palantir Technologies (PLTR) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on PLTR alone. It places PLTR (Palantir Technologies Inc.) against 17 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where PLTR stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: PLTR's full trading record, from September 2020 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowOver the past 3 months, PLTR rose 42.8% against 3.9% for the S&P 500 and 3.2% for the Nasdaq 100. After a 48.2% loss from November 2025 to June 2026, PLTR has bounced 77.9% off the low. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?PLTR's 42.8% gain over the past 3 months far outran its industry: the enterprise software ETF IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF) rose 15.0%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its enterprise software peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: GTLB (GitLab) rose 61.4%, while ORCL (Oracle) rose 8.4%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsPLTR has trailed the market, rising 6.1% over the past year against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. On the flip side, it finished ahead of the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termPLTR turned $10,000 into $79,500 over the past 5 years, against $18,200 in the S&P 500. PLTR's 5-year return of 695% puts it ahead of 99% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 81.7%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashIn the 2022 bear market, PLTR fell 63.1%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than MSFT (Microsoft, 31.0%) but less than SNOW (Snowflake, 64.1%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationPLTR is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.33 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.34 with the total US market, less closely than 65% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- NVDA (NVIDIA) earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 58.0% a year at 51.9% volatility, against 51.4% a year at 67.0%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- MU (Micron Technology, semiconductors) earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 68.1% a year at 57.1% volatility, against 51.4% a year at 67.0%.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 25 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA (NVIDIA), MU (Micron Technology) and DELL (Dell Technologies).
How much would $10,000 in PLTR have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in PLTR over the past 6 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of PLTR over the same span and PLTR's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: PLTR began trading on September 30, 2020, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs. It covers the most recent 6 years of PLTR's record, starting at the end of September 2020.
- $10,000 invested in PLTR at the end of September 2020 would have grown to $196,893 by September 2026, more than the $24,691 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of PLTR, and FIX finished highest, at $329,952.
From the end of September 2020 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 26 of the 3,321 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of PLTR; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- FIX$329,952+3,200% total · +79.1% a year
- POWL$310,025+3,000% total · +77.2% a year
- CRS$233,400+2,234% total · +69.1% a year
- MU$232,577+2,226% total · +69.0% a year
- STX$223,378+2,134% total · +67.8% a year
- PLTR$196,893+1,869% total · +64.3% a year
- NVDA$169,929+1,599% total · +60.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$24,691+147% total · +16.3% a year
- DT$14,076+40.8% total · +5.9% a year
- ESTC$8,499−15.0% total · −2.7% a year
PLTR at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: PLTR began trading on September 30, 2020, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs.
- PLTR's deepest decline since it began trading in 2020 was 84.6%, from January 2021 to December 2022. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over five full calendar years, PLTR's best was 2024, when it returned 340%, and its worst was 2022, when it lost 64.7%. It lost money in two of those years.
- PLTR is 7.9% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $443B
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- Price history from
- September 2020
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +6.1%total return
- Past 3 years
- +1,096%+129% a year
- Past 5 years
- +695%+51.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +340%2024
- Worst calendar year
- −64.7%2022
- Losing years
- 2 of 5full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 67.0%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.95return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −84.6%Jan 2021 to Dec 2022
- From its all-time high
- −7.9%below the peak
PLTR against the whole market
Where PLTR ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does PLTR rank among all stocks?
This section ranks PLTR on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how PLTR stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- PLTR's 3-year return ranks in the top 1% of the 3,017 stocks worth at least $300 million with 3 years of history.
- PLTR is among the more volatile stocks: its price swings rank in the bottom 15% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | PLTR | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +6.1% | 1,739 of 3,287 | bottom 48% |
| 3-year return | +1,096% | 22 of 3,017 | top 1% |
| 5-year return | +695% | 42 of 2,893 | top 1% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 67.0% | 2,457 of 2,893 | bottom 16% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.95 | 131 of 2,893 | top 5% |
What has beaten PLTR on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). PLTR sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than PLTR with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 25 stocks worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than PLTR over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half PLTR's swings, CLS has the best return for its risk: 101% a year at 59.7% volatility, 11% less than PLTR's 67.0%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.47 against 0.95 for PLTR.
- Among PLTR's popular alternatives, NVDA is in the region. NVDA earned 58.0% a year against 51.4% a year for PLTR, at 51.9% volatility, 22% less than PLTR's 67.0%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to PLTR; faint dots are 19 more of the 25 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than PLTR?
Investments that beat PLTR over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among PLTR's popular alternatives, NVDA earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 58.0% a year at 51.9% volatility, against 51.4% a year at 67.0%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, MU (semiconductors) earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 68.1% a year at 57.1% volatility, against 51.4% a year at 67.0%.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 25 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA, MU and DELL.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat PLTR over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks PLTR's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than PLTR follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than PLTR's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× PLTR's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than PLTR's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 5Y returntotal | Corr. with PLTR?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +51.4% | 67.0% | 0.95 | −84.6% | +695% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +81.7% | 0.33 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against PLTR. 1 of 17 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +58.0% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | +884% | 0.43 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 1 shownEverything else in Enterprise Software and Software and the categories next to it (Application Software, IT Services, Cybersecurity, Payment Processing, Semiconductors), plus PLTR's specific themes. 1 of 133 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +1,244% | 0.01 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 6 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 31 of 3,483 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +77.0% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | +1,636% | 0.22 | — | ||
CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation · Metals & Mining | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +63.9% | 46.5% | 1.30 | −74.7% | +1,082% | 0.01 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +800% | 0.13 | — | ||
| On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +705% | -0.12 | — | ||
POWLPowell Industries, Inc. · Electrical Equipment | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +87.9% | 65.8% | 1.27 | −68.3% | +2,240% | 0.11 | — | |
ETONEton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +55.6% | 66.1% | 0.99 | −79.9% | +811% | 0.28 | — | |
What these numbers mean for PLTR
- Annual return
- PLTR returned 51.4% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $79,500. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- PLTR's volatility over the past 5 years was 67.0%, 3.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, PLTR's return lands within 67.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- PLTR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.95, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so PLTR earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- PLTR's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 84.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 84.6% fall takes a 550% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, PLTR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.33 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against PLTR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a PLTR holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 25 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than PLTR with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 5Y return | Corr. with PLTR | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Same or nearby category | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +1,244% | 0.01 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +77.0% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | +1,636% | 0.22 | — | |
| 3 | CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +63.9% | 46.5% | 1.30 | −74.7% | +1,082% | 0.01 | — |
| 4 | Whole market | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +800% | 0.13 | — | |
| 5 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | +839% | -0.29 | — |
| 6 | Whole market | +57.4% | 48.7% | 1.18 | −57.0% | +866% | 0.01 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +53.7% | 53.5% | 1.07 | −70.5% | +759% | 0.06 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +53.4% | 48.6% | 1.13 | −53.3% | +748% | 0.18 | — | |
| 9 | Popular alternative | +58.0% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | +884% | 0.43 | — | |
| 10 | STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +78.4% | 60.0% | 1.26 | −59.6% | +1,708% | 0.17 | — |
| 11 | FROFrontline Plc · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +52.6% | 49.7% | 1.10 | −52.0% | +726% | -0.20 | — |
| 12 | IESCIES Holdings, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +58.5% | 58.0% | 1.09 | −54.3% | +900% | 0.24 | — |
| 13 | AGXArgan, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +53.5% | 54.1% | 1.06 | −56.7% | +751% | -0.02 | — |
| 14 | TRMDTORM plc · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +54.3% | 45.9% | 1.18 | −60.6% | +776% | -0.36 | — |
| 15 | BWLPBW LPG Limited · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +60.3% | 50.9% | 1.19 | −68.8% | +958% | 0.00 | — |
| 16 | CECOCECO Environmental Corp. · Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls | Whole market | +52.5% | 53.9% | 1.05 | −74.1% | +725% | 0.11 | — |
| 17 | LPGDorian LPG Ltd. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +54.6% | 43.6% | 1.22 | −62.9% | +783% | -0.04 | — |
| 18 | Whole market | +101% | 59.7% | 1.47 | −80.6% | +3,143% | 0.29 | — | |
| 19 | ATIATI Inc. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +61.8% | 42.9% | 1.34 | −82.4% | +1,008% | 0.00 | — |
| 20 | BELFBBel Fuse Inc. · Hardware, Equipment & Parts | Whole market | +78.0% | 52.1% | 1.37 | −79.8% | +1,688% | -0.07 | — |
| 21 | FTITechnipFMC plc · Oilfield Services | Whole market | +54.1% | 41.3% | 1.26 | −85.8% | +769% | 0.02 | — |
| 22 | YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima · Integrated Oil & Gas | Whole market | +60.7% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | +971% | 0.19 | — |
| 23 | VISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. · Exploration & Production | Whole market | +59.1% | 50.7% | 1.17 | −81.2% | +920% | 0.02 | — |
| 24 | MODModine Manufacturing Company · Electrical Equipment | Whole market | +65.1% | 61.7% | 1.13 | −88.1% | +1,127% | 0.15 | — |
| 25 | ADMAADMA Biologics, Inc. · Biotechnology | Whole market | +58.9% | 59.2% | 1.08 | −84.1% | +912% | 0.08 | — |
PLTR against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against PLTR, compared period by period and year by year.
How do PLTR's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at PLTR, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only NVDA was both more rewarding and calmer than PLTR over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, PLTR returned 51.4% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (67.0% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than PLTR with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | +58.0% | 51.9% |
| PLTR This pagePalantir Technologies Inc. | +51.4% | 67.0% |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | +19.0% | 32.0% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | +12.5% | 28.2% |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | +10.1% | 59.7% |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | +9.0% | 36.6% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | +7.7% | 44.3% |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | +6.3% | 27.8% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | +1.9% | 45.5% |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | +0.4% | 32.6% |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | −0.9% | 62.6% |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | −3.2% | 39.4% |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | −3.6% | 41.6% |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | −6.2% | 71.1% |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | −10.7% | 60.4% |
| GTLB GitLab Inc. | −12.2% | 73.1% |
| S SentinelOne, Inc. | −18.9% | 62.9% |
| PATH UiPath Inc. | −23.6% | 64.7% |
Has PLTR consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares PLTR with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over seven periods from one month to five years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than PLTR helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 17 popular alternatives outperformed PLTR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 2 long-term timeframes. The closest was NVDA.
- NVDA earned more for the risk it took than PLTR (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than PLTR over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 2 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. (this page) | — | +5.2% | +42.8% | +32.0% | +14.7% | +6.1% | +1,096% | +695% | 67.0% | 0.95 | −84.6% | — | $443B | — |
| NVDA SemiconductorsNVIDIA Corporation | 1/5 short1/2 long | −4.8% | +6.6% | +7.4% | +14.9% | +18.8% | +425% | +884% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | — | $5.2T | — |
| ESTC Software - ApplicationElastic N.V. | 5/5 short0/2 long | +6.6% | +52.4% | +95.3% | +31.8% | +14.1% | +20.1% | −43.3% | 60.4% | 0.11 | −76.8% | — | $10B | — |
| GTLB Software - ApplicationGitLab Inc. | 5/5 short0/2 long | +10.5% | +61.4% | +154% | +52.0% | +16.8% | +24.1% | −47.9% | 73.1% | 0.18 | −85.2% | — | $9.2B | — |
| DT Software - ApplicationDynatrace, Inc. | 4/5 short0/2 long | +12.8% | +42.3% | +79.6% | +50.3% | +27.0% | +37.4% | −16.9% | 41.6% | 0.12 | −61.8% | — | $18B | — |
| DDOG Software - ApplicationDatadog, Inc. | 3/5 short0/2 long | +4.6% | −2.6% | +97.6% | +91.7% | +64.1% | +198% | +61.4% | 59.7% | 0.45 | −68.1% | — | $92B | — |
| SNOW Software - ApplicationSnowflake Inc. | 3/5 short0/2 long | −5.8% | +16.5% | +112% | +47.5% | +30.1% | +116% | −4.3% | 62.6% | 0.29 | −73.0% | — | $113B | — |
| S Software - InfrastructureSentinelOne, Inc. | 3/5 short0/2 long | −7.6% | +13.1% | +53.6% | +50.3% | +28.4% | +37.7% | −64.8% | 62.9% | -0.01 | −84.4% | — | $7.5B | — |
| AMZN Specialty RetailAmazon.com, Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | +1.6% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +16.0% | +21.3% | +110% | +53.8% | 36.6% | 0.42 | −56.1% | — | $2.8T | — |
| NOW Software - ApplicationServiceNow, Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | +8.6% | +42.8% | +50.0% | +1.4% | −18.5% | +37.8% | +9.8% | 45.5% | 0.27 | −64.5% | — | $155B | — |
| MDB Software - InfrastructureMongoDB, Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | −10.1% | +13.2% | +38.6% | −8.4% | +11.8% | +5.7% | −27.4% | 71.1% | 0.26 | −76.5% | — | $29B | — |
| GOOG Internet Content & InformationAlphabet Inc. | 1/5 short0/2 long | −4.1% | −4.2% | +0.4% | +6.9% | +31.2% | +148% | +138% | 32.0% | 0.71 | −44.6% | — | $4.1T | — |
| MSFT Software - InfrastructureMicrosoft Corporation | 1/5 short0/2 long | +6.0% | +32.5% | +27.7% | +13.2% | +3.8% | +66.6% | +80.3% | 28.2% | 0.56 | −37.1% | — | $3.9T | — |
| ORCL Software - InfrastructureOracle Corporation | 0/5 short0/2 long | −11.4% | +8.4% | −25.6% | −32.1% | −52.1% | +33.3% | +45.1% | 44.3% | 0.38 | −64.6% | — | $396B | — |
| LDOS Information Technology ServicesLeidos Holdings, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −0.4% | +19.7% | −17.0% | −29.8% | −32.2% | +42.4% | +35.6% | 27.8% | 0.36 | −49.5% | — | $16B | — |
| BAH Consulting ServicesBooz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 0/5 short0/2 long | −3.1% | +17.1% | −5.7% | −9.7% | −23.5% | −34.5% | +2.0% | 32.6% | 0.18 | −66.6% | — | $9.0B | — |
| CRM Software - ApplicationSalesforce, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | +2.5% | +39.7% | +30.7% | −3.8% | −3.9% | +21.3% | −14.8% | 39.4% | 0.12 | −58.7% | — | $200B | — |
| PATH Software - InfrastructureUiPath Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −1.2% | +10.4% | +27.2% | −15.4% | −15.7% | −13.5% | −74.0% | 64.7% | -0.09 | −89.0% | — | $7.0B | — |
How did PLTR do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2021, along with where PLTR ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with PLTR and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: PLTR began trading on September 30, 2020, so the table starts with 2021, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs.
- PLTR finished ahead of the S&P 500 in three of its five full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, PLTR finished in the top quarter in three of five years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 1 of 18.
- Among its popular alternatives, NVDA came out ahead of PLTR most often, in three of the five years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of PLTR; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places PLTR among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of PLTR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR This pagePalantir Technologies Inc. | — | +135% | +340% | +167% | −64.7% | −22.7% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 3 of 5 | 1 of 18 | 1 of 18 | 2 of 18 | 16 of 18 | 15 of 15 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 2 of 5 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 3 of 5 | +38.9% | +171% | +239% | −50.2% | +125% |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | 2 of 5 | −23.9% | −12.1% | +119% | −58.2% | −15.8% |
| GTLB GitLab Inc. | 1 of 4 | −33.4% | −10.5% | +38.6% | −47.8% | — |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −20.3% | −0.6% | +42.8% | −36.5% | +39.5% |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −4.8% | +17.7% | +65.1% | −58.7% | +80.9% |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 2 of 5 | +42.1% | −22.4% | +38.6% | −57.6% | +20.4% |
| S SentinelOne, Inc. | 0 of 4 | −32.4% | −19.1% | +88.1% | −71.1% | — |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 2 of 5 | +5.2% | +44.4% | +80.9% | −49.6% | +2.4% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −27.8% | +50.0% | +82.0% | −40.2% | +17.9% |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | 1 of 5 | +80.3% | −43.1% | +108% | −62.8% | +47.4% |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | 2 of 5 | +65.4% | +35.6% | +58.8% | −38.7% | +65.2% |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 2 of 5 | +15.6% | +12.9% | +58.2% | −28.0% | +52.5% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 2 of 5 | +18.1% | +60.0% | +30.9% | −4.7% | +36.9% |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 5 | +26.5% | +34.5% | +4.5% | +20.0% | −14.2% |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 2 of 5 | −33.0% | +2.0% | +24.5% | +25.7% | −1.0% |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | 2 of 5 | −20.2% | +27.8% | +98.5% | −47.8% | +14.2% |
| PATH UiPath Inc. | 0 of 4 | +28.9% | −48.8% | +95.4% | −70.5% | — |
Risk and diversification
How PLTR has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were PLTR's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents PLTR's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2020, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: PLTR began trading on September 30, 2020, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of PLTR's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: PLTR fell 84.6% from January 2021 to December 2022, while the S&P 500 rose 4.9%.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 22 months, after PLTR fell 84.6% from January 2021 to December 2022.
Green means PLTR fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | PLTR fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 bear market | −84.6% | +4.9% | Jan 2021 | Dec 2022 | 23 months | Oct 2024 | 22 months |
| No named crash | −48.2% | +8.3% | Nov 2025 | Jun 2026 | 7 months | Oct 2026 | 4 months |
| No named crash | −40.6% | −17.1% | Feb 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 months | May 2025 | 1 month |
| No named crash | −22.5% | +1.1% | Nov 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 month | Jan 2021 | 1 month |
| No named crash | −21.1% | −3.3% | Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 1 month | Jan 2025 | Under a month |
How did PLTR do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far PLTR, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: PLTR began trading on September 30, 2020, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- PLTR fell further than the S&P 500 in all two crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when PLTR fell 63.1% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
- Among its popular alternatives, NVDA held up best, falling less than PLTR in all two crashes they both traded through.
- PLTR began trading after the 2008 financial crisis, but seven of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was LDOS's 20.9%, against 55.2% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than PLTR.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR This pagePalantir Technologies Inc. | — | −9.6% | −63.1% | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 2 of 2 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 2 of 2 | −5.0% | −60.7% | −37.5% | −55.9% | −8.5% | −25.3% | −23.8% | −1.7% | −85.1% | −89.7% |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | 1 of 2 | −11.5% | −54.4% | −40.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| GTLB GitLab Inc. | 1 of 2 | −11.3% | −57.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −9.2% | −46.9% | −45.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −9.5% | −53.0% | −38.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 1 of 2 | −7.8% | −64.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S SentinelOne, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −10.4% | −59.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −3.4% | −39.6% | −22.7% | −33.2% | −7.1% | −30.6% | −20.7% | −2.9% | −65.3% | −91.8% |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −7.2% | −39.9% | −28.8% | −20.6% | −8.5% | −47.6% | — | — | — | — |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | 1 of 2 | −15.1% | −61.3% | −45.0% | −24.9% | −2.8% | — | — | — | — | — |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | 2 of 2 | −3.9% | −35.0% | −30.8% | −18.9% | −9.9% | −12.7% | −21.1% | −1.1% | −65.3% | — |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 2 of 2 | −2.0% | −31.0% | −27.7% | −18.2% | −7.4% | −14.4% | −14.1% | −2.6% | −57.9% | −62.9% |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 2 of 2 | −5.0% | −31.0% | −28.3% | −17.2% | −6.6% | −16.1% | −23.9% | −2.1% | −41.1% | −84.2% |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −1.9% | −19.8% | −40.9% | −27.2% | −6.4% | −30.5% | −31.7% | 0.0% | −20.9% | — |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 2 of 2 | −3.0% | −21.5% | −25.5% | −17.6% | −7.1% | −17.1% | −29.0% | — | — | — |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | 2 of 2 | −5.3% | −42.7% | −35.7% | −24.8% | −6.1% | −34.2% | −26.9% | −4.2% | −70.5% | — |
| PATH UiPath Inc. | 0 of 2 | −10.1% | −72.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does PLTR move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares PLTR with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 5 years.
- Over the past 5 years, PLTR captured 239% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 161% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.60. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
- Only NVDA had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than PLTR's 1.48, out of 16 popular alternatives with the same record.
- NVDA took just 152% of the S&P 500's losses, against 161% for PLTR, while still keeping 259% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 5 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than PLTR's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR This pagePalantir Technologies Inc. | 239% | 161% | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 259% | 152% | 1.70 | 2.21 |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | 140% | 132% | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | 112% | 119% | 0.94 | 1.51 |
| MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 115% | 126% | 0.91 | 1.10 |
| LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 69% | 88% | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | 159% | 213% | 0.75 | 1.77 |
| AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. | 125% | 170% | 0.74 | 1.45 |
| SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 83% | 134% | 0.62 | 1.35 |
| NOW ServiceNow, Inc. | 85% | 142% | 0.60 | 0.99 |
| BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation | 46% | 88% | 0.52 | 0.36 |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | 106% | 205% | 0.52 | 1.25 |
| MDB MongoDB, Inc. | 145% | 285% | 0.51 | 1.74 |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | 57% | 127% | 0.44 | 0.77 |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | 66% | 177% | 0.37 | 1.04 |
| PATH UiPath Inc. | 40% | 242% | 0.17 | 1.00 |
| S SentinelOne, Inc. | 16% | 129% | 0.12 | 0.70 |
What diversifies PLTR?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with PLTR's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing PLTR with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in PLTR into MPC would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+50.7% for PLTR alone, +57.3% for the mix).
- MPC made money in two of the two calendar years in which PLTR lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of PLTR over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.14 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which PLTR lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% PLTR and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +695% | 0.95 | −64.7% | −22.7% | 76.4% | +50.7% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | -0.04 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | +17.8% | 61.1% | +48.4% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.14 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +18.0% | 61.5% | +50.7% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.07 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | +23.1% | 61.4% | +48.0% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | -0.08 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | +19.6% | 61.0% | +47.4% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.25 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +42.1% | 63.2% | +53.3% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.12 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | +19.6% | 61.4% | +47.4% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.05 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −4.2% | 61.4% | +48.8% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.18 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +22.7% | 62.0% | +49.3% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +695% | 0.95 | −64.7% | −22.7% | 76.4% | +50.7% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.01 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −0.4% | 61.4% | +54.1% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.29 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | +37.9% | 65.5% | +68.0% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.22 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +89.0% | 63.7% | +63.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.10 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +44.2% | 61.8% | +53.1% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | -0.11 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | +61.0% | 60.8% | +57.3% |
Common questions
What was PLTR's worst drawdown?
PLTR's deepest decline since it began trading in 2020 was 84.6%, from January 2021 to December 2022. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high. Because PLTR launched in September 2020, that record does not include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or six other sell-offs.
What were PLTR's best and worst years?
Over five full calendar years, PLTR's best year was 2024, when it returned 340%. Its worst was 2022, with a return of -64.7%.
Is there a better investment than PLTR?
Among PLTR's popular alternatives, NVDA earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 58.0% a year at 51.9% volatility, against 51.4% a year at 67.0%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, MU (semiconductors) earned more than PLTR with less volatility over the past 5 years: 68.1% a year at 57.1% volatility, against 51.4% a year at 67.0%.
Is PLTR more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. PLTR's volatility over the past 5 years was 67.0%, 3.9 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, PLTR's return lands within 67.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is PLTR's Sharpe ratio?
PLTR's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.95, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so PLTR earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is PLTR with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, PLTR's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.33 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against PLTR instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a PLTR holding.
What are the best alternatives to PLTR?
None of the 17 popular alternatives we compared outperformed PLTR in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 2 long-term timeframes, which says more about PLTR's strength than about its alternatives.
Did PLTR outperform the S&P 500?
PLTR finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in three of five full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +135%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did PLTR do in stock market crashes?
PLTR fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in none of the two major crashes it has traded through, and further in two. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when PLTR fell 63.1% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
What diversifies PLTR?
These had a low correlation with PLTR over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation -0.04), DXJ (correlation 0.14) and EMLP (correlation 0.07); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.01), CLS (correlation 0.29) and FIX (correlation 0.22). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than PLTR's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of PLTR's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 2 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to PLTR
NVDANVIDIA
DDOGDatadog
SNOWSnowflake
AMZNAmazon.com
NOWServiceNow
GOOGAlphabet
MSFTMicrosoft
ORCLOracle
CRMSalesforce