Relative Intelligence · Biotechnology

How Revolution Medicines (RVMD) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on RVMD alone. It places RVMD (Revolution Medicines, Inc.) against 18 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where RVMD stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: RVMD's full trading record, from February 2020 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowRVMD has run far ahead of the market, rising 34.4% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. Not every peer went the same way. Over the past 6 months, IOVA (Iovance Biotherapeutics) rose 293% and COGT (Cogent Biosciences) fell 15.6%. Consistency ↓
- Stock or market?More than an industry move: RVMD rose 9.0% over the past 3 months, against 1.5% for the biotechnology ETF XBI (State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF). The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Its biotechnology peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: IOVA (Iovance Biotherapeutics) rose 196%, while COGT (Cogent Biosciences) fell 18.4%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, RVMD rose 264% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (603% against 89.3%). RVMD finished ahead of the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termRVMD turned $10,000 into $73,000 over the past 5 years, against $18,200 in the S&P 500. RVMD's 5-year return of 630% puts it ahead of 98% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 81.7%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashThe 2022 bear market took 46.5% off RVMD, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than KRYS (Krystal Biotech, 33.4%) but less than KYMR (Kymera Therapeutics, 77.4%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationOver 5 years, RVMD's beta versus the S&P 500 was 1.39: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained about twice as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 89% as much. RVMD is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.42 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.44 with the total US market, more closely than 56% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- KNSA (Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, biotechnology) earned more than RVMD with less volatility over the past 5 years: 50.2% a year at 53.7% volatility, against 48.8% a year at 62.1%.
- Whole market
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 27 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RVMD with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA (NVIDIA), MU (Micron Technology) and DELL (Dell Technologies).
How much would $10,000 in RVMD have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in RVMD over the past 6 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of RVMD over the same span and RVMD's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: RVMD began trading on February 13, 2020, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs. It covers the most recent 6 years of RVMD's record, starting at the end of September 2020.
- $10,000 invested in RVMD at the end of September 2020 would have grown to $58,983 by September 2026, more than the $24,691 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of RVMD, and FIX finished highest, at $329,952.
From the end of September 2020 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 252 of the 3,321 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of RVMD; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- FIX$329,952+3,200% total · +79.1% a year
- MU$232,577+2,226% total · +69.0% a year
- DELL$172,682+1,627% total · +60.8% a year
- INSW$137,500+1,275% total · +54.8% a year
- KRYS$77,248+672% total · +40.6% a year
- RVMD$58,983+490% total · +34.4% a year
- KYMR$34,599+246% total · +23.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$24,691+147% total · +16.3% a year
- ILMN$9,111−8.9% total · −1.5% a year
- IOVA$4,502−55.0% total · −12.5% a year
RVMD at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: RVMD began trading on February 13, 2020, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs.
- RVMD's deepest decline since it began trading in 2020 was 73.3%, from February 2021 to May 2022. It took about two years from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over five full calendar years, RVMD's best was 2025, when it returned 82.1%, and its worst was 2021, when it lost 36.4%. It lost money in two of those years.
- RVMD is 11.1% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $42B
- Industry
- Biotechnology
- Price history from
- February 2020
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +264%total return
- Past 3 years
- +603%+91.5% a year
- Past 5 years
- +630%+48.8% a year
- Best calendar year
- +82.1%2025
- Worst calendar year
- −36.4%2021
- Losing years
- 2 of 5full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 62.1%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.95return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −73.3%Feb 2021 to May 2022
- From its all-time high
- −11.1%below the peak
RVMD against the whole market
Where RVMD ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does RVMD rank among all stocks?
This section ranks RVMD on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how RVMD stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- RVMD's 1-year return ranks in the top 1% of the 3,287 stocks worth at least $300 million with 1 year of history.
- RVMD is among the more volatile stocks: its price swings rank in the bottom 19% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | RVMD | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +264% | 21 of 3,287 | top 1% |
| 3-year return | +603% | 77 of 3,017 | top 3% |
| 5-year return | +630% | 49 of 2,893 | top 2% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 62.1% | 2,348 of 2,893 | bottom 20% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.95 | 131 of 2,893 | top 5% |
What has beaten RVMD on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). RVMD sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than RVMD with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 27 stocks worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than RVMD over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half RVMD's swings, FIX has the best return for its risk: 77.0% a year at 46.7% volatility, 25% less than RVMD's 62.1%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.46 against 0.95 for RVMD. BELFB earned the most, 78.0% a year, while still swinging less than RVMD (52.1% against 62.1%).
- None of RVMD's popular alternatives made it, but KNSA (biotechnology) did: 50.2% a year at 53.7% volatility, 14% less than RVMD's 62.1%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to RVMD; faint dots are 21 more of the 27 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than RVMD?
Investments that beat RVMD over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, KNSA (biotechnology) earned more than RVMD with less volatility over the past 5 years: 50.2% a year at 53.7% volatility, against 48.8% a year at 62.1%.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 27 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RVMD with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA, MU and DELL.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat RVMD over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks RVMD's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than RVMD follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than RVMD's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× RVMD's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than RVMD's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 5Y returntotal | Corr. with RVMD?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +48.8% | 62.1% | 0.95 | −73.3% | +630% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +81.7% | 0.42 | 0.09% | |||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 1 shownEverything else in Biotechnology and the categories next to it (Pharmaceuticals, Life Sciences Tools, Contract Research), plus RVMD's specific themes. 1 of 86 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
KNSAKiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc · Biotechnology | Higher return, lower volatility | +50.2% | 53.7% | 1.02 | −83.1% | +665% | 0.31 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 6 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 38 of 3,531 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +1,244% | 0.33 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +800% | 0.17 | — | ||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +77.0% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | +1,636% | 0.39 | — | ||
INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | +839% | -0.06 | — | |
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +49.0% | 49.0% | 1.06 | −52.2% | +634% | 0.30 | — | ||
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +78.4% | 60.0% | 1.26 | −59.6% | +1,708% | 0.32 | — | |
What these numbers mean for RVMD
- Annual return
- RVMD returned 48.8% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $73,000. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- RVMD's volatility over the past 5 years was 62.1%, 3.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, RVMD's return lands within 62.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- RVMD's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.95, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so RVMD earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- RVMD's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 73.3%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 73.3% fall takes a 274% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, RVMD's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.42 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against RVMD instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a RVMD holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 27 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than RVMD with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. Best first; funds that hold the same thing are listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 5Y return | Corr. with RVMD | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +68.1% | 57.1% | 1.20 | −57.6% | +1,244% | 0.33 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +55.2% | 54.4% | 1.08 | −59.6% | +800% | 0.17 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +77.0% | 46.7% | 1.46 | −49.7% | +1,636% | 0.39 | — | |
| 4 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +56.5% | 40.5% | 1.31 | −57.4% | +839% | -0.06 | — |
| 5 | Whole market | +58.0% | 51.9% | 1.14 | −66.3% | +884% | 0.25 | — | |
| 6 | FROFrontline Plc · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +52.6% | 49.7% | 1.10 | −52.0% | +726% | -0.06 | — |
| 7 | AGXArgan, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +53.5% | 54.1% | 1.06 | −56.7% | +751% | 0.38 | — |
| 8 | TRMDTORM plc · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +54.3% | 45.9% | 1.18 | −60.6% | +776% | -0.04 | — |
| 9 | TNKTeekay Tankers Ltd. · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +50.5% | 45.1% | 1.14 | −63.4% | +673% | -0.16 | — |
| 10 | Whole market | +57.4% | 48.7% | 1.18 | −57.0% | +866% | 0.44 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +53.4% | 48.6% | 1.13 | −53.3% | +748% | 0.08 | — | |
| 12 | IESCIES Holdings, Inc. · Engineering & Construction | Whole market | +58.5% | 58.0% | 1.09 | −54.3% | +900% | 0.47 | — |
| 13 | Whole market | +51.2% | 33.4% | 1.41 | −79.7% | +690% | -0.08 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +51.8% | 37.5% | 1.31 | −71.7% | +705% | -0.03 | — | |
| 15 | LPGDorian LPG Ltd. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +54.6% | 43.6% | 1.22 | −62.9% | +783% | -0.11 | — |
| 16 | ATIATI Inc. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +61.8% | 42.9% | 1.34 | −82.4% | +1,008% | 0.14 | — |
| 17 | CRSCarpenter Technology Corporation · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +63.9% | 46.5% | 1.30 | −74.7% | +1,082% | 0.30 | — |
| 18 | Whole market | +50.3% | 37.5% | 1.28 | −75.3% | +667% | -0.08 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +53.7% | 53.5% | 1.07 | −70.5% | +759% | 0.46 | — | |
| 20 | BELFBBel Fuse Inc. · Hardware, Equipment & Parts | Whole market | +78.0% | 52.1% | 1.37 | −79.8% | +1,688% | 0.28 | — |
| 21 | FTITechnipFMC plc · Oilfield Services | Whole market | +54.1% | 41.3% | 1.26 | −85.8% | +769% | 0.20 | — |
| 22 | YPFYPF Sociedad Anónima · Integrated Oil & Gas | Whole market | +60.7% | 54.1% | 1.14 | −90.1% | +971% | 0.16 | — |
| 23 | FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +52.1% | 57.2% | 1.02 | −72.8% | +713% | 0.30 | — |
| 24 | VISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. · Exploration & Production | Whole market | +59.1% | 50.7% | 1.17 | −81.2% | +920% | 0.02 | — |
| 25 | BWLPBW LPG Limited · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +60.3% | 50.9% | 1.19 | −68.8% | +958% | 0.07 | — |
| 26 | CECOCECO Environmental Corp. · Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls | Whole market | +52.5% | 53.9% | 1.05 | −74.1% | +725% | 0.21 | — |
| 27 | KNSAKiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc · Biotechnology | Same or nearby category | +50.2% | 53.7% | 1.02 | −83.1% | +665% | 0.31 | — |
RVMD against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against RVMD, compared period by period and year by year.
How do RVMD's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at RVMD, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 18 popular alternatives earned more than RVMD over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 12 of the 18 popular alternatives earned less than RVMD over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, RVMD returned 48.8% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (62.1% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than RVMD with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| RVMD This pageRevolution Medicines, Inc. | +48.8% | 62.1% |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | +46.1% | 76.3% |
| COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | +29.9% | 94.4% |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | +22.8% | 24.9% |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | +19.6% | 24.9% |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | +16.7% | 72.3% |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | +16.3% | 24.8% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | +2.9% | 27.8% |
| ERAS Erasca, Inc. | −5.4% | 82.8% |
| ILMN Illumina, Inc. | −7.8% | 46.9% |
| KURA Kura Oncology, Inc. | −10.3% | 62.7% |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | −10.4% | 94.4% |
| CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG | −12.7% | 60.9% |
| SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. | −16.0% | 65.7% |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | −23.3% | 75.0% |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | −27.6% | 93.6% |
| NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. | −38.0% | 78.0% |
| ARVN Arvinas, Inc. | −38.2% | 68.6% |
| FATE Fate Therapeutics, Inc. | −49.0% | 93.9% |
Has RVMD consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares RVMD with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over seven periods from one month to five years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than RVMD helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 18 popular alternatives outperformed RVMD in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 2 long-term timeframes. The closest was KYMR.
- GILD earned more for the risk it took than RVMD (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than RVMD over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 2 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. (this page) | — | +2.0% | +9.0% | +34.4% | +149% | +264% | +603% | +630% | 62.1% | 0.95 | −73.3% | — | $42B | — |
| KYMR BiotechnologyKymera Therapeutics, Inc. | 0/5 short1/2 long | −3.6% | +2.2% | +30.5% | +55.9% | +87.5% | +834% | +116% | 72.3% | 0.56 | −87.5% | — | $9.3B | — |
| IOVA BiotechnologyIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | 5/5 short0/2 long | +45.8% | +196% | +293% | +490% | +541% | +346% | −42.4% | 94.4% | 0.36 | −96.8% | — | $6.7B | — |
| ILMN Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchIllumina, Inc. | 3/5 short0/2 long | +12.2% | +45.1% | +102% | +99.4% | +169% | +130% | −33.3% | 46.9% | 0.06 | −86.2% | — | $40B | — |
| GILD Drug Manufacturers - GeneralGilead Sciences, Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | +4.0% | +18.2% | +16.6% | +31.0% | +30.3% | +121% | +180% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | — | $194B | — |
| AMGN Drug Manufacturers - GeneralAmgen Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | +11.6% | +21.2% | +27.0% | +36.7% | +48.7% | +72.2% | +145% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | — | $237B | — |
| TMO Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | +4.3% | +30.7% | +30.9% | +16.3% | +26.8% | +49.5% | +15.1% | 27.8% | 0.24 | −40.9% | — | $254B | — |
| ERAS BiotechnologyErasca, Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | −2.8% | −22.3% | −32.7% | +307% | +494% | +559% | −24.1% | 82.8% | 0.35 | −95.7% | — | $5.1B | — |
| SDGR Software - ApplicationSchrödinger, Inc. | 2/5 short0/2 long | −22.6% | +56.0% | +82.8% | +30.1% | +6.5% | +6.5% | −58.2% | 65.7% | 0.06 | −90.2% | — | $1.8B | — |
| MRK Drug Manufacturers - GeneralMerck & Co., Inc. | 1/5 short0/2 long | −0.8% | +19.9% | +28.3% | +42.2% | +76.8% | +58.3% | +113% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | — | $366B | — |
| RXRX BiotechnologyRecursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 1/5 short0/2 long | −7.8% | +26.6% | −0.8% | −12.9% | −45.2% | −38.7% | −80.2% | 93.6% | 0.10 | −93.1% | — | $2.0B | — |
| FATE BiotechnologyFate Therapeutics, Inc. | 1/5 short0/2 long | −18.6% | −26.4% | +48.2% | +109% | +33.8% | +3.0% | −96.5% | 93.9% | -0.23 | −99.4% | — | $240M | — |
| KRYS BiotechnologyKrystal Biotech, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −2.5% | −4.1% | +17.7% | +31.8% | +66.1% | +199% | +565% | 76.3% | 0.79 | −53.4% | — | $9.6B | — |
| COGT BiotechnologyCogent Biosciences, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −2.4% | −18.4% | −15.6% | −10.1% | +92.6% | +254% | +269% | 94.4% | 0.68 | −98.1% | — | $5.4B | — |
| KURA BiotechnologyKura Oncology, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −14.0% | −6.6% | +2.0% | −3.5% | −0.1% | +20.7% | −42.1% | 62.7% | 0.14 | −86.7% | — | $888M | — |
| CRSP BiotechnologyCRISPR Therapeutics AG | 0/5 short0/2 long | −14.5% | +6.2% | −13.5% | −7.2% | −32.6% | +29.2% | −49.3% | 60.9% | 0.08 | −85.1% | — | $4.8B | — |
| BEAM BiotechnologyBeam Therapeutics Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −1.3% | −5.3% | −20.1% | −8.1% | −18.6% | +40.9% | −73.5% | 75.0% | 0.01 | −89.1% | — | $2.6B | — |
| NTLA BiotechnologyIntellia Therapeutics, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −3.1% | +8.4% | −22.2% | +28.6% | −57.7% | −55.6% | −90.8% | 78.0% | -0.22 | −96.5% | — | $1.7B | — |
| ARVN BiotechnologyArvinas, Inc. | 0/5 short0/2 long | −7.7% | −4.5% | −29.1% | −33.2% | −21.2% | −48.3% | −91.0% | 68.6% | -0.34 | −94.4% | — | $494M | — |
How did RVMD do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2021, along with where RVMD ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with RVMD and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: RVMD began trading on February 13, 2020, so the table starts with 2021, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs.
- RVMD finished ahead of the S&P 500 in three of its five full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, KYMR came out ahead of RVMD most often, in three of the five years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, RVMD finished in the top quarter in two of five years and in the bottom quarter in no. In 2025, it ranked 3 of 19.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of RVMD; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places RVMD among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of RVMD | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVMD This pageRevolution Medicines, Inc. | — | +82.1% | +52.5% | +20.4% | −5.4% | −36.4% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 2 of 5 | 3 of 19 | 2 of 19 | 6 of 19 | 6 of 19 | 13 of 17 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 2 of 5 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | 3 of 5 | +93.4% | +58.0% | +2.0% | −60.7% | +2.4% |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −63.1% | −9.0% | +27.2% | −66.5% | −58.9% |
| ILMN Illumina, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −1.8% | −1.3% | −31.1% | −46.9% | +2.8% |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 2 of 5 | +36.6% | +18.7% | −2.0% | +23.6% | +29.9% |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 2 of 5 | +29.7% | −6.8% | +13.5% | +20.4% | +0.9% |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 1 of 5 | +11.8% | −1.7% | −3.4% | −17.3% | +43.5% |
| ERAS Erasca, Inc. | 0 of 4 | +48.2% | +17.8% | −50.6% | −72.3% | — |
| SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −7.3% | −46.1% | +91.5% | −46.3% | −56.0% |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 2 of 5 | +9.8% | −6.3% | +1.0% | +49.4% | +1.8% |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 1 of 4 | −39.5% | −31.4% | +27.9% | −55.0% | — |
| FATE Fate Therapeutics, Inc. | 0 of 5 | −40.5% | −55.9% | −62.9% | −82.8% | −35.6% |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | 3 of 5 | +57.4% | +26.3% | +56.6% | +13.3% | +16.6% |
| COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | 3 of 5 | +355% | +32.6% | −49.1% | +34.7% | −23.6% |
| KURA Kura Oncology, Inc. | 0 of 5 | +19.3% | −39.4% | +15.9% | −11.4% | −57.1% |
| CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG | 1 of 5 | +33.2% | −37.1% | +54.0% | −46.4% | −50.5% |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | 1 of 5 | +11.8% | −8.9% | −30.4% | −50.9% | −2.4% |
| NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −22.9% | −61.8% | −12.6% | −70.5% | +117% |
| ARVN Arvinas, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −38.1% | −53.4% | +20.3% | −58.4% | −3.3% |
Risk and diversification
How RVMD has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were RVMD's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents RVMD's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2020, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: RVMD began trading on February 13, 2020, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of RVMD's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: RVMD fell 73.3% from February 2021 to May 2022, while the S&P 500 rose 2.1%.
- The slowest recovery came after RVMD fell 73.3% from February 2021 to May 2022; it did not regain that peak until November 2024, two years later.
Green means RVMD fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | RVMD fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 bear market | −73.3% | +2.1% | Feb 2021 | May 2022 | 15 months | Nov 2024 | 2.5 years |
| No named crash | −48.6% | −16.6% | Nov 2024 | Apr 2025 | 5 months | Nov 2025 | 7 months |
| No named crash | −42.5% | +4.3% | Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 1 month | Oct 2020 | 3 months |
| Covid crash | −42.3% | −20.9% | Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 1 month | May 2020 | 1 month |
| No named crash | −33.6% | −6.0% | Oct 2020 | Oct 2020 | Under a month | Feb 2021 | 4 months |
How did RVMD do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far RVMD, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: RVMD began trading on February 13, 2020, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- RVMD fell further than the S&P 500 in all three crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when RVMD fell 46.5% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
- Among its popular alternatives, GILD held up best, falling less than RVMD in all three crashes they both traded through.
- RVMD began trading after the 2008 financial crisis, but five of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was AMGN's 31.3%, against 55.2% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than RVMD.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVMD This pageRevolution Medicines, Inc. | — | −9.5% | −46.5% | −41.3% | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 3 of 3 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −10.7% | −77.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | 0 of 3 | −10.5% | −65.5% | −49.7% | −44.6% | −4.4% | −43.0% | −45.3% | — | — | — |
| ILMN Illumina, Inc. | 2 of 3 | −6.7% | −58.2% | −31.0% | −25.8% | −5.3% | −36.1% | −48.7% | −1.9% | −57.9% | — |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 3 of 3 | −1.6% | −20.0% | −13.7% | −22.7% | −5.5% | −28.7% | −18.2% | −2.1% | −34.3% | −53.6% |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 3 of 3 | −1.2% | −11.9% | −18.3% | −14.3% | −7.4% | −22.1% | −12.6% | −0.5% | −31.3% | −60.2% |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 3 of 3 | −2.4% | −19.8% | −24.8% | −17.2% | −8.7% | −14.7% | −24.4% | −3.6% | −53.9% | −41.8% |
| ERAS Erasca, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −9.3% | −69.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. | 2 of 3 | −7.6% | −40.8% | −45.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 3 of 3 | −2.4% | −10.8% | −19.3% | −9.7% | −6.6% | −18.2% | −17.4% | −2.3% | −63.3% | −57.5% |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −12.7% | −72.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FATE Fate Therapeutics, Inc. | 0 of 3 | −13.2% | −68.2% | −45.8% | −32.3% | −9.7% | −78.3% | — | — | — | — |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | 2 of 3 | −5.1% | −33.4% | −44.1% | −24.1% | −7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | 1 of 3 | −7.8% | −55.7% | −59.4% | −65.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KURA Kura Oncology, Inc. | 2 of 3 | −3.3% | −38.3% | −48.8% | −39.4% | −7.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG | 1 of 3 | −9.8% | −41.0% | −42.0% | −51.1% | −16.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | 0 of 3 | −14.0% | −61.9% | −52.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. | 1 of 3 | −11.0% | −66.1% | −38.3% | −60.4% | −9.6% | — | — | — | — | — |
| ARVN Arvinas, Inc. | 1 of 3 | −10.7% | −54.4% | −35.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does RVMD move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares RVMD with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 5 years.
- Over the past 5 years, RVMD captured 191% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 89% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.39. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- Four of the 18 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than RVMD's 2.15, led by KRYS, GILD and MRK.
Monthly total returns over the past 5 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than RVMD's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVMD This pageRevolution Medicines, Inc. | 191% | 89% | 2.15 | 1.39 |
| KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. | 135% | 11% | 12.51 | 0.49 |
| GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. | 73% | 17% | 4.43 | 0.32 |
| MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 73% | 31% | 2.32 | 0.20 |
| AMGN Amgen Inc. | 76% | 34% | 2.26 | 0.41 |
| COGT Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | 161% | 120% | 1.34 | 0.31 |
| KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. | 153% | 189% | 0.81 | 1.97 |
| TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 102% | 160% | 0.64 | 0.88 |
| ILMN Illumina, Inc. | 113% | 242% | 0.47 | 1.42 |
| ERAS Erasca, Inc. | 67% | 165% | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| SDGR Schrödinger, Inc. | 83% | 215% | 0.39 | 1.62 |
| CRSP CRISPR Therapeutics AG | 96% | 253% | 0.38 | 1.75 |
| KURA Kura Oncology, Inc. | 50% | 158% | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. | 89% | 306% | 0.29 | 2.19 |
| IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. | 27% | 111% | 0.24 | 0.74 |
| FATE Fate Therapeutics, Inc. | 74% | 493% | 0.15 | 2.50 |
| ARVN Arvinas, Inc. | 46% | 357% | 0.13 | 1.79 |
| RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 17% | 237% | 0.07 | 1.04 |
| NTLA Intellia Therapeutics, Inc. | 18% | 318% | 0.06 | 1.79 |
What diversifies RVMD?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with RVMD's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing RVMD with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in RVMD into MPC would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+49.5% for RVMD alone, +53.7% for the mix).
- MPC made money in two of the two calendar years in which RVMD lost money.
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of RVMD over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.26 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which RVMD lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% RVMD and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +630% | 0.95 | −5.4% | −36.4% | 52.3% | +49.5% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.17 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | +17.8% | 42.2% | +45.1% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.19 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +18.0% | 42.4% | +47.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.26 | +101% | 1.04 | +10.4% | +23.1% | 42.7% | +44.6% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.21 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +7.1% | +19.6% | 42.5% | +43.9% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.39 | +323% | 0.97 | −33.5% | +42.1% | 45.0% | +49.8% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.34 | +85.0% | 0.96 | −5.1% | +19.6% | 42.7% | +44.1% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.12 | +126% | 0.96 | −0.8% | −4.2% | 42.4% | +45.7% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.38 | +136% | 0.93 | −10.4% | +22.7% | 43.6% | +45.9% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. (this page) | 1.00 | +630% | 0.95 | −5.4% | −36.4% | 52.3% | +49.5% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.08 | +479% | 1.55 | +54.1% | −0.4% | 42.6% | +50.5% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.22 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +1.3% | +37.9% | 45.9% | +65.6% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.39 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +17.0% | +89.0% | 46.1% | +59.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.06 | +413% | 1.44 | +51.8% | +44.2% | 42.5% | +49.8% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | -0.08 | +690% | 1.41 | +86.6% | +61.0% | 41.8% | +53.7% |
Common questions
What was RVMD's worst drawdown?
RVMD's deepest decline since it began trading in 2020 was 73.3%, from February 2021 to May 2022. It took about two years from the low to climb back to its old high. Because RVMD launched in February 2020, that record does not include the dot-com bust, the 2008 financial crisis or five other sell-offs.
What were RVMD's best and worst years?
Over five full calendar years, RVMD's best year was 2025, when it returned 82.1%. Its worst was 2021, with a return of -36.4%.
Is there a better investment than RVMD?
Looking beyond its popular alternatives, KNSA (biotechnology) earned more than RVMD with less volatility over the past 5 years: 50.2% a year at 53.7% volatility, against 48.8% a year at 62.1%. Few investments have done better on both counts: only 27 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than RVMD with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVDA, MU and DELL.
Is RVMD more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. RVMD's volatility over the past 5 years was 62.1%, 3.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, RVMD's return lands within 62.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is RVMD's Sharpe ratio?
RVMD's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.95, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so RVMD earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is RVMD with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, RVMD's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.42 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against RVMD instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a RVMD holding.
What are the best alternatives to RVMD?
None of the 18 popular alternatives we compared outperformed RVMD in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 2 long-term timeframes, which says more about RVMD's strength than about its alternatives.
Did RVMD outperform the S&P 500?
RVMD finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in three of five full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +82.1%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did RVMD do in stock market crashes?
RVMD fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in none of the three major crashes it has traded through, and further in three. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when RVMD fell 46.5% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
What diversifies RVMD?
These had a low correlation with RVMD over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.17), DXJ (correlation 0.19) and EMLP (correlation 0.26); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.08), CLS (correlation 0.22) and FIX (correlation 0.39). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than RVMD's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of RVMD's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 2 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.