Relative Intelligence · Aerospace & Defense

How TransDigm Group (TDG) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on TDG alone. It places TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated) against 19 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where TDG stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: TDG's full trading record, from March 2006 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowTDG has gone against the market, falling 10.3% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. The slide is TDG's own: it is 24.6% below its high, against 1.3% for the S&P 500. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?TDG's 5.1% fall over the past 3 months is part of a broader aerospace & defense sell-off: the aerospace & defense ETF ITA (iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF) fell 10.0%, with GE (GE Aerospace, down 12.0%) and HWM (Howmet Aerospace, down 22.1%). Its aerospace & defense peers did not move as one over the past 3 months: RTX fell 0.2%, while HWM fell 22.1%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, TDG fell 12.2% while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (62.5% against 89.3%). TDG led its aerospace & defense peers in 2023, then fell behind GE (GE Aerospace) and RTX in 2025. By year ↓
- Long termTDG turned $10,000 into $64,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. TDG's 10-year return of 543% puts it ahead of 88% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, TDG has typically fallen 1.3 times as far as the S&P 500. The Covid crash took 61.7% off TDG, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. That was more than GE (GE Aerospace, 51.5%) but less than HWM (Howmet Aerospace, 64.8%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, TDG has a correlation of 0.61 over 5 years, more closely than 91% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- WAB (Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies, industrial machinery) earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, against 16.4% a year at 28.0%.
- Whole market
- 83 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT (Walmart), XOM (Exxonmobil) and ABBV (AbbVie).
How much would $10,000 in TDG have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in TDG over the past 20 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of TDG over the same span and TDG's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: TDG began trading on March 15, 2006, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 20 years of TDG's record, starting at the end of September 2006.
- $10,000 invested in TDG at the end of September 2006 would have grown to $1,220,481 by September 2026, more than the $82,294 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of TDG, and NVDA finished highest, at $5,084,012.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2006 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 11 of the 1,663 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TDG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$5M+50,740% total · +36.6% a year
- NFLX$2M+21,280% total · +30.8% a year
- MPWR$2M+16,615% total · +29.2% a year
- AMZN$2M+15,374% total · +28.7% a year
- AAPL$1M+14,379% total · +28.2% a year
- TDG$1M+12,105% total · +27.2% a year
- HEI$463,548+4,535% total · +21.1% a year
- MOG-A$119,326+1,093% total · +13.2% a year
- DCO$96,003+860% total · +12.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$82,294+723% total · +11.1% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 719 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of TDG; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- ATRO$60,090+501% total · +43.1% a year
- MOG-A$52,115+421% total · +39.1% a year
- GE$49,841+398% total · +37.9% a year
- CW$43,818+338% total · +34.4% a year
- DCO$34,070+241% total · +27.8% a year
- RTX$24,048+140% total · +19.2% a year
- HEI$23,110+131% total · +18.2% a year
- CR$22,574+126% total · +17.7% a year
- TDG$20,854+109% total · +15.8% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
TDG at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: TDG began trading on March 15, 2006, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- TDG is still 24.6% below its all-time high.
- TDG's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 62.6%, from January to March 2020. It took 15 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 19 full calendar years, TDG's best was 2019, when it returned 84.4%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 25.7%. It lost money in one of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $63B
- Industry
- Aerospace & Defense
- Price history from
- March 2006
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −12.2%total return
- Past 3 years
- +62.5%+17.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +114%+16.4% a year
- Past 10 years
- +543%+20.5% a year
- Best calendar year
- +84.4%2019
- Worst calendar year
- −25.7%2008
- Losing years
- 1 of 19full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 28.0%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.69return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −62.6%Jan 2020 to Mar 2020
- From its all-time high
- −24.6%below the peak
TDG against the whole market
Where TDG ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does TDG rank among all stocks?
This section ranks TDG on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how TDG stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- TDG's 10-year return ranks in the top 12% of the 2,202 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | TDG | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −12.2% | 2,410 of 3,287 | bottom 28% |
| 3-year return | +62.5% | 1,365 of 3,017 | top 45% |
| 5-year return | +114% | 611 of 2,893 | top 21% |
| 10-year return | +543% | 269 of 2,202 | top 12% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 28.0% | 555 of 2,893 | top 19% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.69 | 487 of 2,893 | top 17% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −62.6% | 990 of 2,187 | top 45% |
What has beaten TDG on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). TDG sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than TDG with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 47 stocks and 36 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than TDG over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 2% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half TDG's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 12% less than TDG's 28.0%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.69 for TDG.
- Among TDG's popular alternatives, RTX is in the region. RTX earned 18.6% a year against 16.4% a year for TDG, at 24.3% volatility, 13% less than TDG's 28.0%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to TDG; faint dots are 56 more of the 83 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than TDG?
Investments that beat TDG over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among TDG's popular alternatives, RTX earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years: 18.6% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 16.4% a year at 28.0%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WAB (industrial machinery) earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, against 16.4% a year at 28.0%.
- Across the whole market, 83 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them WMT, XOM and ABBV.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat TDG over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks TDG's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than TDG follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than TDG's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× TDG's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than TDG's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with TDG?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +16.4% | 28.0% | 0.69 | −62.6% | +543% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.61 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against TDG. 8 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.39 | — | ||
CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +30.8% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | +512% | 0.51 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +36.0% | 31.0% | 1.15 | −80.9% | +139% | 0.67 | — | ||
MOG-AMoog Inc. · Aerospace & Defense | Higher return in most periods | +36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | +595% | 0.53 | — | |
| Higher return in most periods | +17.3% | 27.8% | 0.71 | −57.7% | +809% | 0.62 | — | ||
CRCrane Company · Industrial Machinery | Higher return in most periods | +17.6% | 35.2% | 0.65 | −60.1% | +283% | 0.50 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Aerospace & Defense and the categories next to it (Business Services, Airlines, Metals & Mining, Industrial Machinery), plus TDG's specific themes. 27 of 129 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +27.4% | 28.8% | 0.99 | −54.7% | +789% | 0.61 | — | ||
RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +24.8% | 28.1% | 0.93 | −40.8% | +626% | 0.48 | — | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.53 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +31.1% | 31.9% | 1.01 | −43.4% | +936% | 0.47 | — | ||
PPAInvesco Aerospace & Defense ETF · Aerospace & Defense | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +16.3% | 18.9% | 0.90 | −43.9% | +344% | 0.66 | 0.58% | |
| Higher return, similar volatility | +19.9% | 29.0% | 0.77 | −44.0% | +444% | 0.45 | — | ||
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 324 of 3,485 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.47 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.23 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.09 | — | ||
DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.46 | 0.48% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.14 | 0.40% | ||
| On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.41 | — | ||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.23 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +33.2% | 29.4% | 1.13 | −54.9% | +483% | 0.29 | — | ||
What these numbers mean for TDG
- Annual return
- TDG returned 16.4% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $21,400. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- TDG's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.0%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TDG's return lands within 28.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- TDG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.69, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TDG earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- TDG's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 62.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 62.6% fall takes a 168% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, TDG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.61 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TDG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TDG holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 83 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than TDG with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 63 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with TDG | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.47 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.23 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.09 | — | |
| 4 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · International Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.46 | 0.48% |
| 5 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.34 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +21.0% | 23.4% | 0.94 | −42.9% | +242% | 0.35 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.08 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.25 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.03 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% | 0.28 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.14 | 0.40% | |
| 12 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.32 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.25 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.29 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +22.7% | 24.4% | 0.97 | −50.5% | +341% | 0.51 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +19.4% | 26.0% | 0.82 | −33.6% | +767% | 0.48 | 0.08% | |
| 17 | Whole market | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.42 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +347% | 0.26 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.40 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +22.6% | 24.0% | 0.97 | −57.5% | +373% | 0.50 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +26.3% | 24.9% | 1.07 | −41.6% | +654% | 0.51 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +18.7% | 22.5% | 0.88 | −55.1% | +163% | 0.36 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.35 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +19.2% | 22.4% | 0.90 | −42.0% | +311% | 0.24 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +19.7% | 23.2% | 0.90 | −48.8% | +292% | 0.40 | — | |
| 26 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +21.5% | 25.1% | 0.91 | −43.2% | +463% | 0.14 | — |
| 27 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Bonds | Whole market | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | -0.03 | 0.80% |
| 28 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.3% | 24.7% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +119% | 0.45 | — |
| 29 | WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +18.9% | 22.9% | 0.87 | −45.3% | +443% | 0.18 | — |
| 30 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.51 | 0.13% |
| 31 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | 0.31 | — |
| 32 | EWTiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +20.4% | 24.2% | 0.89 | −38.9% | +468% | 0.37 | 0.59% |
| 33 | MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp. · Entertainment | Whole market | +18.4% | 25.6% | 0.79 | −41.6% | +432% | 0.28 | — |
| 34 | Popular alternative | +18.6% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | +317% | 0.39 | — | |
| 35 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.28 | — |
| 36 | FLTWFranklin FTSE Taiwan ETF · Technology | Whole market | +21.8% | 24.3% | 0.94 | −38.0% | — | 0.37 | 0.19% |
| 37 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.35 | — | |
| 38 | EUFNiShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF · Financial Sector Equity | Whole market | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.57 | 0.49% |
| 39 | GARPiShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +17.5% | 22.5% | 0.83 | −31.4% | — | 0.56 | 0.15% |
| 40 | Whole market | +27.1% | 26.5% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +214% | 0.12 | — | |
| 41 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · International | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.47 | 0.45% |
| 42 | EPUiShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF · International | Whole market | +29.5% | 24.9% | 1.17 | −51.0% | +275% | 0.39 | 0.59% |
| 43 | Whole market | +33.1% | 25.9% | 1.24 | −62.3% | +319% | 0.33 | — | |
| 44 | UMIUSCF Midstream Energy Income Fund · Energy | Whole market | +18.7% | 19.2% | 0.99 | −48.1% | — | 0.40 | 0.85% |
| 45 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.07 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +26.0% | 23.8% | 1.09 | −63.3% | +379% | 0.40 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +24.6% | 24.0% | 1.04 | −68.1% | +288% | 0.34 | — | |
| 48 | Whole market | +23.0% | 25.6% | 0.94 | −61.4% | +278% | 0.15 | — | |
| 49 | Whole market | +19.5% | 25.2% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +238% | 0.11 | — | |
| 50 | Whole market | +22.6% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −66.8% | +189% | 0.15 | 0.08% | |
| 51 | Whole market | +17.9% | 25.4% | 0.78 | −42.5% | +284% | 0.32 | — | |
| 52 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Whole market | +21.4% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +383% | 0.56 | — |
| 53 | PAAPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +27.0% | 25.6% | 1.06 | −87.9% | +64.0% | 0.32 | — |
| 54 | AMAntero Midstream Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +20.0% | 25.9% | 0.84 | −92.9% | — | 0.44 | — |
| 55 | Same or nearby category | +25.6% | 26.2% | 1.00 | −64.1% | +264% | 0.53 | — | |
| 56 | PAGPPlains GP Holdings LP · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +26.8% | 26.1% | 1.05 | −88.0% | +56.3% | 0.30 | — |
| 57 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +20.1% | 24.5% | 0.87 | −53.8% | +309% | 0.24 | — |
| 58 | BLXBladex, Inc. · Banks - Regional | Whole market | +31.4% | 25.9% | 1.19 | −68.5% | +290% | 0.42 | — |
| 59 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.14 | 0.61% |
| 60 | ATMPBarclays ETN+ Select MLP ETN · Broad Market | Whole market | +21.2% | 21.5% | 1.01 | −70.3% | +172% | 0.39 | 0.95% |
| 61 | Whole market | +18.0% | 25.8% | 0.78 | −59.6% | +234% | 0.06 | — | |
| 62 | Whole market | +17.9% | 26.1% | 0.76 | −37.9% | +314% | 0.52 | — | |
| 63 | AIRRFirst Trust RBA American Industrial RenaissanceTM ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +18.3% | 25.9% | 0.78 | −42.4% | +407% | 0.56 | 0.69% |
TDG against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against TDG, compared period by period and year by year.
How do TDG's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at TDG, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Only RTX and HEI were both more rewarding and calmer than TDG over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, TDG returned 16.4% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (28.0% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than TDG with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | +47.3% | 32.5% |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | +40.8% | 55.6% |
| MOG-A Moog Inc. | +36.6% | 32.0% |
| GE GE Aerospace | +36.0% | 31.0% |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | +30.8% | 28.7% |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | +27.5% | 34.5% |
| AIR AAR Corp. | +24.2% | 36.6% |
| WWD Woodward, Inc. | +23.8% | 32.3% |
| RTX RTX Corporation | +18.6% | 24.3% |
| CR Crane Company | +17.6% | 35.2% |
| HEI HEICO Corporation | +17.3% | 27.8% |
| TDG This pageTransDigm Group Incorporated | +16.4% | 28.0% |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | +16.3% | 49.0% |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | +14.6% | 40.8% |
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | +12.9% | 20.8% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | +11.1% | 24.2% |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | +10.2% | 32.2% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | +1.5% | 22.8% |
| TXT Textron Inc. | +0.8% | 27.6% |
| BA The Boeing Company | −2.5% | 36.8% |
Has TDG consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares TDG with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than TDG helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- Seven of the 19 popular alternatives, led by DCO, HEI and MOG-A, outperformed TDG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- DCO outperformed TDG in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- CW, RTX and WWD earned more for the risk they took than TDG (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than TDG over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| TDG TransDigm Group Incorporated (this page) | — | +3.0% | −5.1% | −10.3% | −15.9% | −12.2% | +62.5% | +114% | +543% | 28.0% | 0.69 | −62.6% | — | $63B | — |
| DCO QualifiedDucommun Incorporated | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | −1.0% | −1.3% | +17.2% | +71.9% | +74.1% | +261% | +236% | +706% | 34.5% | 0.88 | −70.8% | — | $2.5B | — |
| HEI QualifiedHEICO Corporation | 3/5 short3/3 long | +0.7% | −10.3% | +4.5% | −7.3% | −2.4% | +93.4% | +122% | +809% | 27.8% | 0.71 | −57.7% | — | $43B | — |
| MOG-A QualifiedMoog Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −1.4% | −7.9% | +14.8% | +46.2% | +77.4% | +228% | +375% | +595% | 32.0% | 1.14 | −63.7% | — | $12B | — |
| RTX QualifiedRTX Corporation | 4/5 short2/3 long | −0.5% | −0.2% | −0.5% | +4.4% | +22.1% | +183% | +135% | +317% | 24.3% | 0.83 | −52.0% | — | $261B | — |
| CR QualifiedCrane Company | 3/5 short2/3 long | +1.2% | −7.4% | +4.6% | +7.7% | +7.9% | +143% | +125% | +283% | 35.2% | 0.65 | −60.1% | — | $12B | — |
| ATRO QualifiedAstronics Corporation | 3/5 short2/3 long | −12.8% | −11.0% | −3.5% | +32.5% | +55.4% | +396% | +453% | +147% | 55.6% | 0.89 | −85.5% | — | $2.2B | — |
| GE QualifiedGE Aerospace | 3/5 short2/3 long | −5.9% | −12.0% | −1.0% | −6.1% | −0.4% | +261% | +366% | +139% | 31.0% | 1.15 | −80.9% | — | $311B | — |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −6.9% | −22.1% | −17.1% | +0.1% | +10.2% | +391% | +594% | +1,028% | 32.5% | 1.36 | −68.9% | — | $84B | — |
| CW Aerospace & DefenseCurtiss-Wright Corporation | 2/5 short2/3 long | −12.8% | −30.1% | −32.1% | −13.4% | −11.6% | +148% | +283% | +512% | 28.7% | 1.08 | −48.7% | — | $18B | — |
| WWD Aerospace & DefenseWoodward, Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | −0.3% | −17.0% | −17.6% | +4.5% | +29.1% | +165% | +191% | +488% | 32.3% | 0.82 | −60.6% | — | $19B | — |
| AIR Aerospace & DefenseAAR Corp. | 2/5 short2/3 long | −14.2% | −26.5% | −18.2% | +18.2% | +18.8% | +71.7% | +196% | +224% | 36.6% | 0.78 | −81.8% | — | $4.0B | — |
| DAL Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesDelta Air Lines, Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −6.8% | −9.1% | +8.5% | +12.2% | +25.5% | +146% | +97.6% | +109% | 40.8% | 0.54 | −69.2% | — | $50B | — |
| UAL Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. | 3/5 short1/3 long | −14.5% | −16.8% | −1.2% | −13.5% | −3.5% | +179% | +113% | +72.8% | 49.0% | 0.55 | −79.4% | — | $32B | — |
| LMT Aerospace & DefenseLockheed Martin Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +2.5% | +8.4% | −4.4% | +12.4% | +11.3% | +33.8% | +69.0% | +204% | 24.2% | 0.56 | −36.7% | — | $127B | — |
| HXL Aerospace & DefenseHexcel Corporation | 4/5 short0/3 long | +5.0% | −13.5% | +2.4% | +19.5% | +45.6% | +44.9% | +62.4% | +122% | 32.2% | 0.46 | −68.5% | — | $6.9B | — |
| GD Aerospace & DefenseGeneral Dynamics Corporation | 3/5 short0/3 long | −2.2% | −6.6% | +4.7% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +55.4% | +83.3% | +184% | 20.8% | 0.69 | −51.6% | — | $93B | — |
| HON ConglomeratesHoneywell International Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | +3.3% | −5.4% | −10.7% | +5.2% | +6.8% | +27.0% | +7.5% | +160% | 22.8% | 0.18 | −43.0% | — | $68B | — |
| TXT Aerospace & DefenseTextron Inc. | 2/5 short0/3 long | −2.8% | −15.0% | −15.6% | −11.3% | −6.3% | +1.9% | +4.1% | +97.9% | 27.6% | 0.17 | −70.0% | — | $13B | — |
| BA Aerospace & DefenseThe Boeing Company | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.3% | −9.1% | −15.4% | −16.4% | −12.2% | +5.8% | −11.9% | +52.4% | 36.8% | 0.12 | −77.9% | — | $151B | — |
How did TDG do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2007, along with where TDG ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with TDG and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: TDG began trading on March 15, 2006, so the table starts with 2007, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, TDG finished in the top quarter in 12 of 19 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 18 of 20.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives came out ahead of TDG in most of the years they have in common.
- TDG finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 15 of its 19 full calendar years.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of TDG; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places TDG among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of TDG | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG This pageTransDigm Group Incorporated | — | +12.2% | +32.3% | +66.6% | +1.8% | +2.8% | +10.5% | +84.4% | +23.8% | +19.8% | +19.1% | +16.4% | +39.9% | +36.8% | +56.1% | +32.9% | +51.6% | +67.3% | −25.7% | +70.4% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 12 of 19 | 18 of 20 | 9 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 12 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 1 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 13 of 20 | 9 of 20 | 2 of 20 | 5 of 20 | 18 of 20 | 1 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 3 of 20 | 4 of 20 | 3 of 19 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 4 of 19 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | 5 of 19 | +49.4% | +22.3% | +4.2% | +6.8% | −12.9% | +6.3% | +39.1% | +27.7% | +11.3% | +57.6% | −35.8% | −15.2% | +84.4% | +26.8% | −41.3% | +18.3% | +13.9% | −55.7% | +66.1% |
| HEI HEICO Corporation | 9 of 19 | +36.2% | +33.1% | +16.6% | +6.7% | +9.1% | +16.2% | +47.5% | +28.6% | +53.0% | +42.3% | −9.7% | +4.5% | +63.2% | +1.1% | +43.6% | +44.3% | +14.5% | −28.6% | +40.7% |
| MOG-A Moog Inc. | 7 of 19 | +24.4% | +36.8% | +66.6% | +9.8% | +3.4% | −6.2% | +11.4% | −10.0% | +32.2% | +8.4% | −18.1% | +9.0% | +65.6% | −6.6% | +10.4% | +36.2% | −20.1% | −20.2% | +20.0% |
| RTX RTX Corporation | 5 of 19 | +61.4% | +40.8% | −14.4% | +20.0% | +23.3% | −16.7% | +44.1% | −14.5% | +19.3% | +17.3% | −14.3% | +3.4% | +42.0% | +15.3% | −4.8% | +16.4% | +33.4% | −28.4% | +24.6% |
| CR Crane Company | 6 of 19 | +22.2% | +29.1% | +18.8% | +0.6% | +33.4% | −7.7% | +22.0% | −17.8% | +25.9% | +54.1% | −16.6% | −11.1% | +48.3% | +1.7% | +16.3% | +37.6% | +84.2% | −58.6% | +18.9% |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | 7 of 19 | +240% | −8.3% | +69.1% | −14.2% | −9.3% | −52.7% | −8.2% | −13.2% | +22.5% | −4.4% | −15.4% | +30.4% | +178% | −11.2% | +70.4% | +146% | −4.1% | −72.2% | +149% |
| GE GE Aerospace | 5 of 19 | +85.7% | +64.9% | +95.8% | −10.9% | +9.7% | −2.7% | +54.0% | −55.4% | −42.9% | +4.6% | +27.5% | −6.7% | +37.9% | +21.3% | +1.3% | +24.3% | −1.9% | −53.9% | +2.7% |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 6 of 19 | +87.9% | +103% | +37.8% | +24.2% | +11.7% | −7.2% | +83.6% | −37.5% | +48.4% | −11.5% | −36.3% | +50.9% | +25.6% | +2.9% | −42.9% | −2.8% | +51.3% | −67.4% | +26.4% |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 7 of 19 | +55.7% | +59.7% | +34.0% | +21.0% | +19.9% | −16.8% | +38.7% | −15.8% | +24.5% | +44.4% | −2.2% | +14.3% | +91.4% | −6.0% | +7.5% | +7.1% | −5.2% | −32.9% | +36.2% |
| WWD Woodward, Inc. | 3 of 19 | +82.6% | +23.0% | +42.0% | −11.1% | −9.4% | +3.2% | +60.4% | −2.2% | +11.6% | +40.2% | +1.7% | +8.7% | +20.6% | −6.1% | +9.9% | +46.9% | +13.2% | −31.9% | +72.5% |
| AIR AAR Corp. | 5 of 19 | +35.1% | −1.8% | +39.0% | +15.0% | +7.8% | −19.6% | +21.7% | −4.3% | +19.9% | +27.2% | −4.3% | +0.3% | +52.0% | −0.7% | −29.6% | +19.6% | +24.8% | −51.6% | +30.3% |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 5 of 18 | +16.1% | +52.0% | +23.0% | −15.9% | −2.8% | −30.8% | +20.4% | −8.7% | +16.2% | −1.4% | +4.1% | +80.5% | +133% | +46.7% | −35.8% | +10.7% | −0.7% | −23.0% | — |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | 6 of 19 | +15.2% | +135% | +9.4% | −13.9% | +1.2% | −50.9% | +5.2% | +24.2% | −7.5% | +27.2% | −14.3% | +76.8% | +61.8% | +23.9% | −20.8% | +84.5% | +17.2% | −64.3% | −18.9% |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 4 of 19 | +2.5% | +10.0% | −4.3% | +40.5% | +3.1% | −6.5% | +52.5% | −16.4% | +30.0% | +18.4% | +16.2% | +33.8% | +68.1% | +19.5% | +20.7% | −3.9% | −7.6% | −18.6% | +16.0% |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | 7 of 19 | +19.2% | −14.2% | +26.2% | +14.4% | +6.8% | −33.7% | +28.9% | −6.5% | +21.1% | +11.9% | +12.9% | −7.1% | +65.8% | +11.3% | +33.9% | +39.4% | +75.5% | −69.5% | +39.5% |
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | 6 of 19 | +30.4% | +3.5% | +7.1% | +21.7% | +43.8% | −13.1% | +14.8% | −21.3% | +19.9% | +28.5% | +1.8% | +47.3% | +41.0% | +8.2% | −3.9% | +6.7% | +21.6% | −34.2% | +21.4% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 4 of 19 | −6.3% | +10.2% | +0.1% | +5.0% | −0.2% | +23.1% | +36.9% | −7.5% | +35.2% | +14.3% | +4.9% | +10.6% | +45.8% | +18.5% | +3.8% | +37.8% | +21.9% | −45.9% | +37.5% |
| TXT Textron Inc. | 3 of 19 | +14.1% | −4.8% | +13.7% | −8.2% | +59.9% | +8.6% | −2.9% | −18.6% | +16.7% | +15.8% | 0.0% | +14.7% | +48.7% | +34.5% | −21.5% | +26.1% | +36.7% | −80.0% | +54.4% |
| BA The Boeing Company | 3 of 19 | +22.7% | −32.1% | +36.8% | −5.4% | −5.9% | −33.9% | +3.3% | +11.5% | +94.7% | +11.3% | +14.1% | −2.5% | +84.7% | +5.2% | +15.2% | +23.6% | +31.8% | −50.1% | −0.1% |
Risk and diversification
How TDG has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were TDG's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents TDG's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2006, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: TDG began trading on March 15, 2006, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- In all five of TDG's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: TDG fell 29.0% from July 2025 to September 2026, while the S&P 500 rose 21.5%.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 15 months, after TDG fell 62.6% from January to March 2020.
Green means TDG fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | TDG fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Covid crash | −62.6% | −27.7% | Jan 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 months | Jun 2021 | 15 months |
| 2008 financial crisis | −51.7% | −45.3% | Nov 2007 | Nov 2008 | 12 months | Oct 2009 | 11 months |
| No named crash | −29.0% | +21.5% | Jul 2025 | Sep 2026 | 14 months | Not yet | — |
| 2022 bear market | −25.0% | −21.0% | Nov 2021 | Jun 2022 | 7 months | Jan 2023 | 7 months |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −23.4% | −11.0% | Aug 2015 | Feb 2016 | 6 months | May 2016 | 3 months |
How did TDG do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far TDG, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: TDG began trading on March 15, 2006, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- TDG fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when TDG fell 61.7% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
- Among its popular alternatives, LMT held up best, falling less than TDG in eight of the nine crashes they both traded through.
- TDG began trading after the dot-com bust, but 17 of its popular alternatives lived through it. The mildest fall among them was LMT's 24.5%, against 47.5% for the S&P 500.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than TDG.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG This pageTransDigm Group Incorporated | — | −8.1% | −24.9% | −61.7% | −16.3% | −8.1% | −23.4% | −20.6% | −3.2% | −51.7% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 6 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | 2 of 9 | −6.6% | −30.7% | −70.8% | −23.5% | −7.4% | −49.3% | −38.0% | −5.1% | −72.2% | −44.1% |
| HEI HEICO Corporation | 5 of 9 | −3.7% | −18.8% | −52.4% | −22.6% | −7.3% | −14.6% | −27.3% | −3.0% | −61.4% | −53.9% |
| MOG-A Moog Inc. | 2 of 9 | −6.4% | −21.3% | −61.7% | −20.0% | −9.2% | −42.3% | −29.1% | −4.3% | −62.9% | −38.2% |
| RTX RTX Corporation | 6 of 9 | −1.5% | −21.9% | −50.5% | −27.7% | −7.1% | −15.4% | −23.1% | −2.5% | −52.0% | −52.1% |
| CR Crane Company | 4 of 9 | −7.4% | −23.5% | −54.8% | −32.0% | −7.9% | −20.3% | −32.0% | −4.2% | −77.3% | −39.5% |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | 0 of 9 | −8.3% | −48.3% | −70.9% | −22.7% | −9.2% | −45.7% | −28.3% | −4.0% | −83.2% | −63.6% |
| GE GE Aerospace | 4 of 9 | −2.8% | −40.7% | −51.5% | −50.7% | −7.6% | −12.3% | −22.1% | −2.5% | −82.7% | −61.9% |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 2 of 9 | −8.5% | −20.2% | −64.8% | −30.8% | −16.0% | −38.4% | −43.5% | 0.0% | −87.3% | −58.3% |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 6 of 9 | −4.4% | −20.5% | −47.8% | −29.6% | −9.6% | −12.9% | −19.3% | −1.7% | −59.2% | −33.7% |
| WWD Woodward, Inc. | 3 of 9 | −5.3% | −37.3% | −58.5% | −18.2% | −13.6% | −18.7% | −30.3% | −4.3% | −83.2% | −48.6% |
| AIR AAR Corp. | 2 of 9 | −5.2% | −33.2% | −79.4% | −30.1% | −4.7% | −31.4% | −51.6% | −5.8% | −73.1% | −85.7% |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −10.2% | −37.4% | −63.5% | −21.0% | −7.6% | −22.0% | −21.3% | −0.2% | −81.1% | — |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | 2 of 9 | −10.0% | −38.5% | −73.4% | −18.2% | −4.1% | −26.7% | −20.2% | −0.4% | −93.0% | — |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 8 of 9 | −0.8% | −16.9% | −35.9% | −29.4% | −5.2% | −8.5% | −17.3% | −1.9% | −50.5% | −24.5% |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | 3 of 9 | −6.2% | −19.6% | −61.3% | −21.0% | −6.0% | −29.2% | −25.1% | −3.5% | −82.8% | −86.7% |
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | 6 of 9 | −3.6% | −15.3% | −43.2% | −28.4% | −7.1% | −18.1% | −21.8% | −2.2% | −61.0% | −32.4% |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 6 of 9 | −1.4% | −22.7% | −42.2% | −22.1% | −6.8% | −14.4% | −25.3% | −1.8% | −62.2% | −65.8% |
| TXT Textron Inc. | 2 of 9 | −8.1% | −25.9% | −54.5% | −38.9% | −6.0% | −29.0% | −39.9% | −9.4% | −94.7% | −49.9% |
| BA The Boeing Company | 3 of 9 | −2.9% | −48.7% | −71.9% | −24.7% | −5.7% | −26.8% | −20.5% | −1.8% | −70.0% | −57.1% |
How closely does TDG move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares TDG with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, TDG captured 112% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 97% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.25. Its share of the market's gains was larger than its share of the losses.
- CW took just 77% of the S&P 500's losses, against 97% for TDG, while still keeping 103% of its gains.
- Five of the 19 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than TDG's 1.15, led by HEI, CW and HWM.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than TDG's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG This pageTransDigm Group Incorporated | 112% | 97% | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| HEI HEICO Corporation | 118% | 85% | 1.39 | 1.15 |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | 103% | 77% | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 142% | 115% | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | 58% | 48% | 1.22 | 0.52 |
| MOG-A Moog Inc. | 119% | 101% | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | 128% | 112% | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| WWD Woodward, Inc. | 111% | 100% | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| RTX RTX Corporation | 94% | 91% | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | 68% | 68% | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| CR Crane Company | 104% | 115% | 0.91 | 1.34 |
| AIR AAR Corp. | 105% | 124% | 0.85 | 1.43 |
| GE GE Aerospace | 85% | 106% | 0.80 | 1.21 |
| HON Honeywell International Inc. | 90% | 118% | 0.77 | 1.00 |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 107% | 149% | 0.72 | 1.34 |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | 134% | 194% | 0.69 | 1.59 |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | 94% | 135% | 0.69 | 1.27 |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | 107% | 158% | 0.68 | 1.41 |
| TXT Textron Inc. | 103% | 155% | 0.66 | 1.33 |
| BA The Boeing Company | 93% | 152% | 0.61 | 1.42 |
What diversifies TDG?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with TDG's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing TDG with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in TDG into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+15.8% for TDG alone, +17.0% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of TDG over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.46 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- In 2008, the one year TDG lost money (-25.7%), GLD returned +4.9%.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which TDG lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% TDG and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG TransDigm Group Incorporated (this page) | 1.00 | +114% | 0.69 | −25.7% | 24.6% | +15.8% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.43 | +119% | 1.48 | — | 20.6% | +16.5% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.46 | +225% | 1.34 | −20.8% | 21.0% | +18.4% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.45 | +101% | 1.04 | — | 21.2% | +16.2% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.49 | +323% | 0.97 | −44.7% | 23.9% | +20.8% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.14 | +126% | 0.96 | +4.9% | 20.5% | +17.0% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.15 | +177% | 0.93 | −39.0% | 21.1% | +18.2% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.37 | +153% | 0.89 | −45.3% | 22.1% | +17.7% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.40 | +111% | 0.89 | — | 21.4% | +16.9% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2008 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG TransDigm Group Incorporated (this page) | 1.00 | +114% | 0.69 | −25.7% | 24.6% | +15.8% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.47 | +479% | 1.55 | −39.6% | 22.7% | +20.6% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.25 | +3,143% | 1.47 | −20.5% | 25.4% | +33.7% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.33 | +1,636% | 1.46 | −15.2% | 24.2% | +29.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.08 | +413% | 1.44 | −40.4% | 20.7% | +20.4% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.06 | +690% | 1.41 | — | 21.1% | +23.2% |
Common questions
What was TDG's worst drawdown?
TDG's deepest decline since it began trading in 2006 was 62.6%, from January to March 2020. It took 15 months from the low to climb back to its old high. Because TDG launched in March 2006, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were TDG's best and worst years?
Over 19 full calendar years, TDG's best year was 2019, when it returned 84.4%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -25.7%.
Is there a better investment than TDG?
Among TDG's popular alternatives, RTX earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years: 18.6% a year at 24.3% volatility, against 16.4% a year at 28.0%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WAB (industrial machinery) earned more than TDG with less volatility over the past 5 years: 25.6% a year at 26.2% volatility, against 16.4% a year at 28.0%.
Is TDG more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. TDG's volatility over the past 5 years was 28.0%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TDG's return lands within 28.0% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is TDG's Sharpe ratio?
TDG's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.69, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TDG earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is TDG with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, TDG's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.61 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TDG instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TDG holding.
What are the best alternatives to TDG?
Of the 19 popular alternatives we compared, seven outperformed TDG in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: DCO, HEI and MOG-A.
Did TDG outperform the S&P 500?
TDG finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 15 of 19 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +12.2%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did TDG do in stock market crashes?
TDG fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when TDG fell 61.7% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.
What diversifies TDG?
These had a low correlation with TDG over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.43), DXJ (correlation 0.46) and EMLP (correlation 0.45); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.47), CLS (correlation 0.25) and FIX (correlation 0.33). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than TDG's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of TDG's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to TDG
HEIHEICO
RTXRTX
GEGE Aerospace
HWMHowmet Aerospace
DALDelta Air Lines
LMTLockheed Martin
GDGeneral Dynamics
HONHoneywell International
BABoeing