Relative Intelligence · Automobiles

How Honda Motor (HMC) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on HMC alone. It places HMC (Honda Motor Co., Ltd.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where HMC stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: HMC's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
On this page12 sections
Key findings
- Right nowHMC has run far ahead of the market, rising 35.1% over the past 6 months against 9.1% for the S&P 500 and 11.2% for the Nasdaq 100. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?More than an industry move: HMC rose 21.6% over the past 3 months, against 1.0% for the consumer discretionary sector ETF XLY (State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF). The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: HMC rose 5.3% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsOver the past year, HMC rose 12.4% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (17.7% against 89.3%). HMC finished behind the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025. By year ↓
- Long termHMC turned $10,000 into $16,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, HMC has typically fallen 1.2 times as far as the S&P 500. That said, in the 2022 bear market, HMC held up better than TSLA (Tesla), TM and RACE; only VFS (VinFast Auto) and PII fell less. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, HMC has a correlation of 0.31 over 5 years, less closely than 68% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. Over 10 years HMC took more of the market's losses than of its gains: 51% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 71% of its losses in falling ones, with a beta of 0.62. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- NEU (NewMarket, specialty chemicals) and SXT (Sensient Technologies, specialty chemicals) earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with similar volatility: NEU returned 21.0% a year at 26.8% volatility, against 6.1% a year at 27.5%.
- Whole market
- 707 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than HMC with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI (Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF), VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) and BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in HMC have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in HMC over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of HMC over the same span and HMC's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in HMC at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $33,757 by September 2026, less than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Six of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of HMC, and PII finished highest, at $147,720.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 841 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of HMC; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- PII$147,720+1,377% total · +9.7% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- BWA$132,696+1,227% total · +9.3% a year
- GNTX$112,603+1,026% total · +8.7% a year
- MGA$99,176+892% total · +8.2% a year
- ALV$71,358+614% total · +7.0% a year
- TM$55,911+459% total · +6.1% a year
- HMC$33,757+238% total · +4.3% a year
- HOG$27,574+176% total · +3.6% a year
- F$18,497+85.0% total · +2.1% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 2,073 of the 3,628 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of HMC; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- ALSN$34,562+246% total · +28.2% a year
- NEU$29,325+193% total · +24.0% a year
- RACE$19,540+95.4% total · +14.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- BWA$16,951+69.5% total · +11.1% a year
- DD$16,760+67.6% total · +10.9% a year
- SXT$15,886+58.9% total · +9.7% a year
- GM$15,245+52.4% total · +8.8% a year
- ALV$15,067+50.7% total · +8.5% a year
- HMC$12,319+23.2% total · +4.3% a year
HMC at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- HMC's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 53.8%, from February 2007 to December 2008. It took 24 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- HMC is trading within 1% of its all-time high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, HMC's best was 2009, when it returned 59.8%, and its worst was 2008, when it lost 34.4%. It lost money in 11 of those years.
The company
- Market value
- $44B
- Industry
- Auto - Manufacturers
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +12.4%total return
- Past 3 years
- +17.7%+5.6% a year
- Past 5 years
- +34.5%+6.1% a year
- Past 10 years
- +63.3%+5.0% a year
- Best calendar year
- +59.8%2009
- Worst calendar year
- −34.4%2008
- Losing years
- 11 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 27.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.35return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −53.8%Feb 2007 to Dec 2008
- From its all-time high
- At its highwithin 1%
HMC against the whole market
Where HMC ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does HMC rank among all stocks?
This section ranks HMC on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how HMC stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- HMC's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 9% of the 2,187 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | HMC | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +12.4% | 1,492 of 3,287 | top 45% |
| 3-year return | +17.7% | 2,054 of 3,017 | bottom 33% |
| 5-year return | +34.5% | 1,291 of 2,893 | top 45% |
| 10-year return | +63.3% | 1,519 of 2,202 | bottom 32% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 27.5% | 516 of 2,893 | top 18% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.35 | 1,387 of 2,893 | top 48% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −42.0% | 204 of 2,187 | top 9% |
What has beaten HMC on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). HMC sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than HMC with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 191 stocks and 516 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 19% of the 3,633 screened.
- Among those with at least half HMC's swings, CAH has the best return for its risk: 42.1% a year at 24.7% volatility, 10% less than HMC's 27.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.55 against 0.35 for HMC.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to HMC; faint dots are 94 more of the 707 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than HMC?
Investments that beat HMC over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among HMC's popular alternatives, RACE earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 13.3% a year at 30.0% volatility, against 6.1% a year at 27.5%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, NEU (specialty chemicals) and SXT (specialty chemicals) earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with similar volatility: NEU returned 21.0% a year at 26.8% volatility, against 6.1% a year at 27.5%.
- Across the whole market, 707 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than HMC with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI, VOO and BRK-B.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat HMC over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks HMC's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than HMC follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than HMC's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× HMC's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than HMC's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with HMC?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +6.1% | 27.5% | 0.35 | −42.0% | +63.3% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.7% | 17.1% | 0.79 | −33.7% | +321% | 0.31 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 1 shownThe investments people most often weigh against HMC. 1 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, similar volatility | +13.3% | 30.0% | 0.57 | −39.2% | +711% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 4 shownEverything else in Automobiles and the categories next to it (Auto Parts, Specialty Chemicals), plus HMC's specific themes. 4 of 19 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
NEUNewMarket Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +21.0% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −40.7% | +165% | 0.28 | — | |
SXTSensient Technologies Corporation · Specialty Chemicals | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +9.3% | 30.3% | 0.44 | −50.6% | +133% | 0.28 | — | |
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc. · Auto Parts | Higher return, similar volatility | +27.3% | 29.9% | 0.96 | −48.7% | +367% | 0.20 | — | |
DDDuPont de Nemours, Inc. · Specialty Chemicals | Higher return, similar volatility | +9.8% | 30.0% | 0.46 | −73.0% | +65.8% | 0.23 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 1,066 of 3,595 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +40.7% | 32.8% | 1.21 | −34.5% | +1,807% | 0.09 | — | ||
CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +454% | 0.34 | 0.58% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.25 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.17 | 0.40% | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +7.2% | 19.2% | 0.46 | −29.0% | +68.8% | 0.18 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.19 | — | ||
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Medical - Care Facilities | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +32.0% | 28.5% | 1.12 | −35.3% | +394% | 0.02 | — | |
HYGHiShares Interest Rate Hedged High Yield Bond ETF · Bonds | On the frontierSimilar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +6.6% | 7.1% | 0.94 | −23.9% | +74.5% | 0.22 | 1.12% | |
What these numbers mean for HMC
- Annual return
- HMC returned 6.1% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $13,400. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- HMC's volatility over the past 5 years was 27.5%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, HMC's return lands within 27.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- HMC's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.35, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so HMC earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- HMC's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 42.0%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 42.0% fall takes a 72.6% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, HMC's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.31 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against HMC instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a HMC holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 707 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than HMC with less volatility
Out of 3,633 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with HMC | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIBRFirst Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF · Cybersecurity | Whole market | +14.1% | 26.1% | 0.64 | −33.9% | +454% | 0.34 | 0.58% |
| 2 | Whole market | +19.6% | 24.9% | 0.85 | −24.9% | +266% | 0.25 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.17 | 0.40% | |
| 4 | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.2% | 0.46 | −29.0% | +68.8% | 0.18 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +26.1% | 23.4% | 1.11 | −45.1% | +603% | 0.19 | — | |
| 6 | CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. · Integrated Telecommunications | Whole market | +7.7% | 13.3% | 0.63 | −23.8% | +101% | 0.20 | — |
| 7 | Whole market | +11.5% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +302% | 0.31 | 0.03% | |
| 8 | Whole market | +21.0% | 24.8% | 0.90 | −67.2% | +233% | 0.05 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +38.7% | 25.0% | 1.44 | −38.1% | +586% | 0.00 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +12.8% | 16.9% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +324% | 0.31 | 0.03% | |
| 11 | XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF · Consumer Staples | Whole market | +7.2% | 13.8% | 0.57 | −24.5% | +121% | 0.27 | 0.08% |
| 12 | Whole market | +20.8% | 22.6% | 0.96 | −25.7% | +508% | 0.05 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +13.4% | 17.1% | 0.82 | −29.6% | +274% | 0.27 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +12.7% | 17.9% | 0.76 | −27.4% | +196% | 0.04 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +12.8% | 22.9% | 0.64 | −36.4% | +429% | 0.30 | — | |
| 16 | FTGCFirst Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +12.9% | 15.6% | 0.86 | −35.9% | +139% | 0.02 | 0.98% |
| 17 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.38 | 0.40% |
| 18 | FTLSFirst Trust Long/Short Equity ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.2% | 10.4% | 0.99 | −20.6% | +158% | 0.27 | 0.95% |
| 19 | Whole market | +14.7% | 16.8% | 0.91 | −37.0% | +204% | 0.25 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +17.4% | 22.9% | 0.82 | −31.4% | +685% | 0.17 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +8.2% | 16.4% | 0.57 | −36.0% | +140% | 0.41 | 0.05% | |
| 22 | Whole market | +14.5% | 23.0% | 0.71 | −35.1% | +553% | 0.29 | 0.18% | |
| 23 | Whole market | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.17 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +12.1% | 13.7% | 0.90 | −36.8% | +235% | 0.25 | 0.03% | |
| 25 | Whole market | +22.8% | 24.9% | 0.95 | −30.5% | +200% | 0.04 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +9.3% | 16.9% | 0.61 | −35.8% | +153% | 0.42 | 0.03% | |
| 27 | DBAInvesco DB Agriculture Fund · Alternatives | Whole market | +10.7% | 13.8% | 0.81 | −35.3% | +62.2% | 0.18 | 0.90% |
| 28 | Whole market | +11.5% | 20.9% | 0.63 | −32.6% | +394% | 0.08 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +18.4% | 26.0% | 0.78 | −35.1% | +779% | 0.28 | 0.09% | |
| 30 | Whole market | +21.3% | 25.6% | 0.89 | −30.3% | +816% | 0.02 | — | |
| 31 | FTQIFirst Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF · Dividend & Income | Whole market | +11.5% | 14.8% | 0.82 | −19.4% | +121% | 0.32 | 0.75% |
| 32 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.78 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.27 | 0.04% | |
| 33 | Whole market | +24.2% | 22.8% | 1.07 | −32.4% | +406% | 0.22 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +9.7% | 14.3% | 0.72 | −33.4% | +252% | 0.22 | 0.06% | |
| 35 | Whole market | +17.2% | 24.9% | 0.77 | −30.4% | +285% | 0.19 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +11.1% | 24.2% | 0.56 | −36.7% | +204% | 0.17 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +10.3% | 16.2% | 0.69 | −34.2% | +223% | 0.36 | 0.06% | |
| 38 | Whole market | +13.9% | 18.5% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +446% | -0.01 | — | |
| 39 | PJULInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +10.5% | 8.6% | 1.20 | −18.2% | — | 0.29 | 0.79% |
| 40 | Whole market | +14.8% | 23.6% | 0.71 | −32.8% | +625% | 0.18 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +16.3% | 24.8% | 0.74 | −43.4% | +241% | 0.11 | — | |
| 42 | Whole market | +9.3% | 19.2% | 0.56 | −30.1% | +344% | -0.03 | — | |
| 43 | DGICADonegal Group Inc. · Insurance - Property & Casualty | Whole market | +9.9% | 23.5% | 0.52 | −30.3% | +78.9% | -0.04 | — |
| 44 | FJANFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - January · Multi-Asset | Whole market | +11.1% | 10.5% | 1.05 | −13.6% | — | 0.37 | 0.85% |
| 45 | Whole market | +12.4% | 20.2% | 0.68 | −32.9% | +185% | 0.04 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +15.8% | 24.6% | 0.72 | −30.7% | +576% | 0.14 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +13.1% | 22.4% | 0.67 | −34.5% | +451% | 0.31 | 0.04% | |
| 48 | Whole market | +14.7% | 17.5% | 0.87 | −34.7% | — | 0.30 | 0.26% | |
| 49 | Whole market | +7.5% | 11.0% | 0.71 | −13.7% | — | 0.25 | 0.35% | |
| 50 | Whole market | +12.0% | 18.8% | 0.70 | −30.9% | +114% | 0.02 | — | |
| 51 | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +202% | 0.20 | 0.08% | |
| 52 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +14.9% | 18.4% | 0.85 | −32.9% | +194% | 0.07 | — |
| 53 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.19 | 0.13% |
| 54 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.44 | 0.27% |
| 55 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.0% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.26 | 0.15% |
| 56 | HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 13.0% | 1.00 | −37.0% | +172% | 0.24 | 0.08% |
| 57 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.1% | 20.3% | 0.80 | −30.9% | +158% | 0.01 | — |
| 58 | WECWEC Energy Group, Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.2% | 19.0% | 0.46 | −32.3% | +159% | -0.01 | — |
| 59 | DFATDimensional - US Targeted Value ETF · US Small-Cap Equity | Whole market | +9.6% | 21.0% | 0.54 | −26.1% | — | 0.23 | 0.33% |
| 60 | DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated · Medical Diagnostics | Whole market | +12.3% | 22.5% | 0.63 | −36.6% | +243% | 0.00 | — |
| 61 | FTSFortis Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +8.4% | 16.4% | 0.58 | −34.3% | +154% | 0.14 | — |
| 62 | USMViShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF · US Low-Volatility Equity | Whole market | +7.6% | 12.3% | 0.66 | −33.1% | +176% | 0.24 | 0.15% |
| 63 | AVEMAvantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF · Emerging Markets Equity | Whole market | +9.3% | 19.5% | 0.56 | −36.0% | — | 0.34 | 0.33% |
| 64 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +12.0% | 16.7% | 0.76 | −31.6% | +300% | 0.32 | 0.20% |
| 65 | AEEAmeren Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.9% | 19.4% | 0.49 | −29.1% | +192% | -0.03 | — |
| 66 | DTMDT Midstream, Inc. · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +24.5% | 25.2% | 1.00 | −23.6% | — | -0.10 | — |
| 67 | EWJiShares MSCI Japan ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +9.2% | 18.8% | 0.57 | −33.1% | +132% | 0.50 | 0.49% |
| 68 | XLUState Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF · Utilities Equity | Whole market | +7.8% | 17.4% | 0.52 | −36.0% | +138% | 0.01 | 0.08% |
| 69 | SDYState Street SPDR S&P Dividend ETF · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +7.6% | 14.0% | 0.59 | −36.7% | +157% | 0.25 | 0.35% |
| 70 | BUFRFT Vest Laddered Buffer ETF · Buffered Equity | Whole market | +9.9% | 10.5% | 0.96 | −13.7% | — | 0.33 | 0.10% |
| 71 | Whole market | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.23 | — | |
| 72 | RWLInvesco S&P 500 Revenue ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.7% | 14.4% | 0.97 | −36.1% | +287% | 0.30 | 0.39% |
| 73 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.1% | 13.8% | 0.96 | −32.5% | +206% | 0.45 | 0.35% |
| 74 | HACKAmplify Cybersecurity ETF · Technology | Whole market | +12.6% | 25.8% | 0.59 | −38.7% | +373% | 0.31 | 0.60% |
| 75 | IOOiShares Global 100 ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +15.7% | 17.2% | 0.94 | −31.4% | +361% | 0.37 | 0.40% |
| 76 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.31 | 0.12% |
| 77 | DIVOAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +11.1% | 11.9% | 0.95 | −30.0% | — | 0.22 | 0.56% |
| 78 | LNTAlliant Energy Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +7.3% | 19.8% | 0.46 | −33.5% | +150% | 0.01 | — |
| 79 | MOATVanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +9.1% | 18.4% | 0.57 | −33.3% | +276% | 0.44 | 0.46% |
| 80 | Whole market | +42.1% | 24.7% | 1.55 | −46.1% | +349% | 0.12 | — | |
| 81 | ACTEnact Holdings Inc. · Insurance | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.3% | 0.89 | −20.2% | — | 0.19 | — |
| 82 | QYLDGlobal X - Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF · Equity Income | Whole market | +8.4% | 15.0% | 0.62 | −24.7% | +156% | 0.26 | 0.60% |
| 83 | BBEUJPMorgan BetaBuilders Europe ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +8.9% | 17.5% | 0.57 | −36.3% | — | 0.40 | 0.09% |
| 84 | DBMFiMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF · Alternatives | Whole market | +9.8% | 12.4% | 0.82 | −20.4% | — | -0.17 | 0.85% |
| 85 | USMCPrincipal U.S. Mega-Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +14.1% | 16.4% | 0.89 | −30.0% | — | 0.32 | 0.12% |
| 86 | RSPTInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.9% | 25.1% | 0.75 | −33.7% | +572% | 0.28 | 0.40% |
| 87 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Energy | Whole market | +19.8% | 20.9% | 0.97 | −58.8% | +336% | 0.24 | 0.61% |
| 88 | IDAIDACORP, Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +8.8% | 19.2% | 0.54 | −34.3% | +141% | -0.11 | — |
| 89 | XMMOInvesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF · US Mid-Cap Equity | Whole market | +10.5% | 22.0% | 0.56 | −36.7% | +390% | 0.20 | 0.34% |
| 90 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.2% | 21.3% | 0.81 | −32.0% | +388% | 0.29 | 0.50% |
| 91 | Whole market | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.09 | — | |
| 92 | IWXiShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +12.7% | 13.8% | 0.94 | −35.8% | +221% | 0.29 | 0.20% |
| 93 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.3% | 18.2% | 0.78 | −31.3% | +229% | 0.37 | 0.25% |
| 94 | OMFLInvesco Russell 1000 Dynamic Multifactor ETF · US Multifactor Equity | Whole market | +9.0% | 16.4% | 0.61 | −33.2% | — | 0.30 | 0.29% |
| 95 | PTLCPacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +9.5% | 11.8% | 0.83 | −26.6% | +188% | 0.07 | 0.60% |
| 96 | SPUSSP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF · Technology | Whole market | +15.0% | 19.5% | 0.82 | −30.8% | — | 0.30 | 0.45% |
| 97 | IHAKiShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF · Technology | Whole market | +8.3% | 25.0% | 0.44 | −34.4% | — | 0.32 | 0.47% |
| 98 | DIVIFranklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF · International | Whole market | +13.4% | 15.5% | 0.89 | −27.7% | +184% | 0.42 | 0.09% |
| 99 | XYLDGlobal X - S&P 500 Covered Call ETF · International | Whole market | +7.4% | 11.2% | 0.70 | −33.4% | +128% | 0.33 | 0.60% |
| 100 | EQWLInvesco S&P 100 Equal Weight ETF · Broad Market | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.0% | 0.81 | −34.3% | +291% | 0.33 | 0.30% |
HMC against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against HMC, compared period by period and year by year.
How do HMC's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at HMC, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the 19 popular alternatives earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 13 of the 19 popular alternatives earned less than HMC over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, HMC returned 6.1% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (27.5% against 17.1%).
Green points earned more than HMC with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | +13.3% | 30.0% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.7% | 17.1% |
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | +9.3% | 34.6% |
| ALV Autoliv, Inc. | +7.3% | 32.1% |
| GM General Motors Company | +6.9% | 36.7% |
| HMC This pageHonda Motor Co., Ltd. | +6.1% | 27.5% |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +5.3% | 60.0% |
| TM Toyota Motor Corporation | +5.0% | 27.0% |
| F Ford Motor Company | +0.6% | 39.2% |
| MGA Magna International Inc. | −1.3% | 35.8% |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | −3.6% | 40.8% |
| GNTX Gentex Corporation | −8.6% | 26.5% |
| PII Polaris Inc. | −12.8% | 43.3% |
| LI Li Auto Inc. | −17.5% | 62.1% |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | −21.2% | 42.6% |
| VFS VinFast Auto Ltd. | −21.7% | 147% |
| APTV Aptiv PLC | −23.2% | 41.4% |
| XPEV XPeng Inc. | −25.4% | 77.8% |
| NIO NIO Inc. | −38.8% | 70.9% |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | −57.7% | 84.2% |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC | −58.4% | 81.8% |
Has HMC consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares HMC with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than HMC helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 20 popular alternatives outperformed HMC in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was BWA.
- RACE earned more for the risk it took than HMC (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.
- RACE outperformed HMC over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so HMC has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than HMC over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| HMC Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (this page) | — | +5.3% | +21.6% | +35.1% | +17.4% | +12.4% | +17.7% | +34.5% | +63.3% | 27.5% | 0.35 | −42.0% | — | $44B | — |
| BWA Auto - PartsBorgWarner Inc. | 2/5 short3/3 long | −7.5% | −4.7% | +5.6% | +26.6% | +37.9% | +57.7% | +55.9% | +121% | 34.6% | 0.43 | −64.6% | — | $12B | — |
| GM Auto - ManufacturersGeneral Motors Company | 1/5 short3/3 long | −8.2% | +1.9% | −3.9% | −4.2% | +34.0% | +168% | +39.5% | +193% | 36.7% | 0.36 | −59.9% | — | $68B | — |
| RACE Auto - ManufacturersFerrari N.V. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −3.8% | +7.7% | +8.6% | +8.9% | +1.6% | +36.1% | +86.6% | +711% | 30.0% | 0.57 | −39.2% | — | $70B | — |
| ALV Auto - PartsAutoliv, Inc. | 0/5 short3/3 long | −0.4% | +0.8% | −1.9% | −1.7% | +2.7% | +32.1% | +42.4% | +111% | 32.1% | 0.38 | −63.1% | — | $8.6B | — |
| MGA Auto - PartsMagna International Inc. | 2/5 short2/3 long | +5.4% | +1.2% | +8.6% | +24.3% | +53.0% | +46.9% | −6.2% | +120% | 35.8% | 0.14 | −66.3% | — | $18B | — |
| TSLA Auto - ManufacturersTesla, Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −0.4% | +1.1% | −4.8% | −14.7% | −16.5% | +76.3% | +29.5% | +2,716% | 60.0% | 0.39 | −73.6% | — | $1.5T | — |
| TM Auto - ManufacturersToyota Motor Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | +3.8% | +12.0% | −7.1% | −6.8% | +1.5% | +24.1% | +27.8% | +129% | 27.0% | 0.32 | −36.8% | — | $234B | — |
| F Auto - ManufacturersFord Motor Company | 0/5 short2/3 long | −7.8% | −12.2% | −3.5% | −5.9% | +6.0% | +25.9% | +3.0% | +71.8% | 39.2% | 0.21 | −64.7% | — | $48B | — |
| HOG Auto - ManufacturersHarley-Davidson, Inc. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +3.7% | −1.6% | +15.2% | +35.0% | +5.3% | −2.3% | −16.9% | −37.7% | 40.8% | 0.11 | −73.3% | — | $2.8B | — |
| GNTX Auto - PartsGentex Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | −3.4% | −10.8% | −5.5% | −8.3% | −17.9% | −26.1% | −36.2% | +49.2% | 26.5% | -0.21 | −43.0% | — | $4.5B | — |
| STLA Auto - ManufacturersStellantis N.V. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −10.0% | −24.7% | −50.2% | −62.1% | −59.5% | −73.3% | −69.7% | +39.2% | 42.6% | -0.35 | −83.1% | — | $13B | — |
| PII Auto - Recreational VehiclesPolaris Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −1.2% | −25.4% | −9.6% | −16.6% | −17.0% | −34.6% | −49.5% | −10.3% | 43.3% | -0.10 | −75.6% | — | $3.1B | — |
| APTV Auto - PartsAptiv PLC | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.4% | −21.4% | −25.9% | −42.6% | −46.0% | −51.0% | −73.3% | −10.6% | 41.4% | -0.43 | −75.8% | — | $9.4B | — |
| LCID Auto - ManufacturersLucid Group, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −24.0% | −54.0% | −51.6% | −70.7% | −83.6% | −92.4% | −98.7% | — | 84.2% | -0.62 | −99.5% | — | $1.0B | — |
| LI Auto - ManufacturersLi Auto Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.6% | −3.6% | −36.2% | −30.8% | −47.0% | −62.6% | −61.8% | — | 62.1% | 0.00 | −77.1% | — | $12B | — |
| NIO Auto - ManufacturersNIO Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −6.5% | −28.7% | −48.5% | −33.3% | −51.4% | −54.7% | −91.4% | — | 70.9% | -0.34 | −95.0% | — | $8.3B | — |
| PSNY Auto - ManufacturersPolestar Automotive Holding UK PLC | 0/5 short0/3 long | −51.7% | −75.7% | −80.1% | −81.0% | −85.1% | −94.7% | −98.8% | — | 81.8% | -0.67 | −99.3% | — | $616M | — |
| RIVN Auto - ManufacturersRivian Automotive, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −19.1% | −27.9% | −26.5% | −36.0% | −5.0% | −25.7% | — | — | — | — | −95.1% | — | $18B | — |
| VFS Auto - ManufacturersVinFast Auto Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −15.1% | −8.0% | −34.0% | −15.1% | −12.5% | −46.7% | −70.6% | — | 147% | 0.26 | −97.1% | — | $6.7B | — |
| XPEV Auto - ManufacturersXPeng Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −5.3% | −24.9% | −44.3% | −51.5% | −53.8% | −26.2% | −76.9% | — | 77.8% | 0.00 | −91.1% | — | $9.4B | — |
How did HMC do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where HMC ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with HMC and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- Among its popular alternatives, RACE came out ahead of HMC most often, in eight of the ten years both traded.
- HMC finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 13 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last two.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, HMC finished in the top quarter in six of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in seven. In 2025, it ranked 13 of 21.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of HMC; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places HMC among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of HMC | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC This pageHonda Motor Co., Ltd. | — | +7.7% | −3.8% | +39.8% | −16.6% | +4.0% | +2.9% | +11.0% | −19.8% | +20.2% | −5.8% | +9.5% | −27.3% | +15.8% | +23.9% | −20.8% | +18.5% | +59.8% | −34.4% | −14.4% | +39.2% | +12.5% | +17.0% | +25.6% | −10.8% | +10.9% | −3.0% | +15.2% | −9.2% | +30.7% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 6 of 29 | 13 of 21 | 5 of 21 | 7 of 21 | 5 of 21 | 17 of 18 | 11 of 15 | 14 of 15 | 8 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 13 | 13 of 13 | 13 of 13 | 8 of 13 | 7 of 12 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 9 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 8 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 16 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | 18 of 29 | +43.9% | −10.2% | +2.6% | −9.2% | +18.4% | −9.2% | +27.1% | −31.0% | +31.2% | −7.3% | −20.5% | −0.8% | +56.9% | +12.4% | −11.9% | +118% | +53.7% | −54.5% | +65.5% | −1.6% | +13.2% | +28.5% | +70.9% | −2.5% | +31.7% | +0.6% | −26.6% | +8.4% | +37.2% |
| GM General Motors Company | 11 of 15 | +54.2% | +49.8% | +8.0% | −42.4% | +40.8% | +15.2% | +14.0% | −15.0% | +22.5% | +7.4% | +1.5% | −11.6% | +41.8% | +42.2% | −45.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | 8 of 10 | −12.3% | +26.3% | +59.1% | −16.7% | +13.3% | +39.7% | +67.9% | −4.5% | +80.3% | +22.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ALV Autoliv, Inc. | 17 of 28 | +30.3% | −12.7% | +48.0% | −23.5% | +14.5% | +11.2% | +24.3% | −21.6% | +14.8% | −7.3% | +19.9% | +18.1% | +39.7% | +30.1% | −30.4% | +83.9% | +104% | −57.5% | −10.3% | +36.1% | −3.5% | +30.6% | +83.4% | +5.2% | +30.6% | −44.6% | −20.4% | +15.0% | — |
| MGA Magna International Inc. | 18 of 29 | +33.7% | −26.3% | +8.8% | −28.6% | +16.6% | +33.4% | +24.3% | −18.4% | +33.0% | +9.7% | −24.0% | +34.4% | +67.2% | +54.9% | −34.3% | +108% | +70.3% | −62.0% | +1.2% | +14.3% | −11.0% | +5.1% | +87.5% | −9.6% | +55.4% | +7.5% | −30.3% | +1.0% | +15.6% |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 11 of 15 | +11.4% | +62.5% | +102% | −65.0% | +49.8% | +743% | +25.7% | +6.9% | +45.7% | −10.9% | +7.9% | +47.9% | +344% | +18.9% | +6.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TM Toyota Motor Corporation | 17 of 29 | +13.8% | +8.8% | +38.2% | −24.4% | +23.2% | +13.6% | +24.9% | −5.8% | +12.1% | −1.5% | +0.9% | +5.9% | +33.7% | +43.6% | −14.5% | −5.3% | +30.8% | −36.6% | −19.4% | +30.6% | +29.9% | +20.6% | +31.4% | +5.0% | −18.5% | −35.0% | +84.4% | −6.6% | +0.4% |
| F Ford Motor Company | 11 of 29 | +42.3% | −13.1% | +15.9% | −42.2% | +137% | −3.9% | +29.7% | −34.4% | +8.8% | −8.0% | −5.4% | +3.7% | +22.4% | +22.6% | −35.9% | +68.0% | +336% | −66.0% | −10.2% | −0.3% | −45.2% | −5.9% | +78.6% | −39.0% | −30.1% | −17.7% | −9.2% | +81.2% | +50.6% |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −30.0% | −16.6% | −9.8% | +12.2% | +4.3% | +0.2% | +13.6% | −30.6% | −10.8% | +32.4% | −29.5% | −3.2% | +43.8% | +27.4% | +13.5% | +39.5% | +52.1% | −62.0% | −32.4% | +38.8% | −14.2% | +28.7% | +3.3% | −14.7% | +36.9% | +24.4% | +35.6% | +74.5% | +16.6% |
| GNTX Gentex Corporation | 16 of 29 | −17.4% | −10.7% | +21.7% | −20.4% | +4.2% | +19.2% | +46.3% | −1.6% | +8.5% | +25.8% | −9.7% | +11.7% | +79.5% | −34.8% | +1.7% | +69.4% | +110% | −48.8% | +16.8% | −18.3% | +7.4% | −14.8% | +40.1% | +18.4% | +43.4% | −32.9% | +38.8% | +48.6% | +33.3% |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | 11 of 16 | −9.2% | −40.2% | +79.0% | −18.2% | +21.9% | +35.0% | +17.8% | −18.9% | +95.3% | −0.4% | +20.8% | +42.7% | +60.5% | +12.5% | −49.5% | +36.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PII Polaris Inc. | 19 of 29 | +15.9% | −37.2% | −3.8% | −6.0% | +17.8% | −3.8% | +36.4% | −36.8% | +52.1% | −1.7% | −42.3% | +5.3% | +75.9% | +53.3% | +46.0% | +83.9% | +60.4% | −37.8% | +4.8% | −4.2% | −24.6% | +56.5% | +54.3% | +3.3% | +48.7% | +13.1% | −5.6% | +31.2% | +31.8% |
| APTV Aptiv PLC | 9 of 14 | +25.8% | −32.6% | −3.7% | −43.5% | +26.6% | +37.5% | +55.9% | −27.1% | +57.6% | −20.1% | +19.3% | +22.7% | +59.4% | +77.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | 1 of 5 | −65.0% | −28.3% | −38.4% | −82.0% | +280% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LI Li Auto Inc. | 2 of 5 | −29.4% | −35.9% | +83.5% | −36.4% | +11.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NIO NIO Inc. | 2 of 7 | +17.0% | −51.9% | −7.0% | −69.2% | −35.0% | +1,112% | −36.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC | 0 of 4 | −32.2% | −53.5% | −57.4% | −54.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. | 1 of 4 | +48.2% | −43.3% | +27.3% | −82.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VFS VinFast Auto Ltd. | 1 of 4 | −17.1% | −51.8% | −16.3% | +3.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XPEV XPeng Inc. | 3 of 5 | +71.6% | −19.0% | +46.8% | −80.3% | +17.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How HMC has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were HMC's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents HMC's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of HMC's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: HMC fell 45.2% from November 2013 to March 2020, while the S&P 500 rose 40.3%.
- The slowest recovery came after HMC fell 52.0% from July 1988 to January 1991; it did not regain that peak until May 1994, three years later.
Green means HMC fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | HMC fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −53.8% | −39.4% | Feb 2007 | Dec 2008 | 22 months | Dec 2010 | 2 years |
| No named crash | −52.0% | — | Jul 1988 | Jan 1991 | 2.5 years | May 1994 | 3.3 years |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −45.2% | +40.3% | Nov 2013 | Mar 2020 | 6.3 years | Jun 2023 | 3.3 years |
| Dot-com bust | −41.1% | −24.3% | Apr 1999 | Sep 2001 | 2.4 years | May 2002 | 8 months |
| 2011 euro debt crisis | −36.9% | −12.1% | Feb 2011 | Nov 2011 | 9 months | Nov 2013 | 2 years |
How did HMC do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far HMC, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- Among its popular alternatives, VFS held up best, falling less than HMC in all two crashes they both traded through.
- HMC fell less than the S&P 500 in six of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when HMC fell 40.4% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than HMC.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC This pageHonda Motor Co., Ltd. | — | −3.1% | −29.9% | −27.3% | −16.8% | −4.9% | −29.4% | −29.7% | −0.9% | −50.5% | −40.4% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 3 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | 0 of 10 | −7.4% | −36.2% | −43.6% | −26.3% | −5.5% | −41.3% | −29.7% | −6.3% | −72.1% | −42.2% |
| GM General Motors Company | 3 of 7 | −10.1% | −53.0% | −51.8% | −14.9% | −3.9% | −25.5% | −34.4% | — | — | — |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | 0 of 5 | −3.6% | −36.9% | −27.8% | −31.8% | −5.9% | — | — | — | — | — |
| ALV Autoliv, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −6.0% | −37.0% | −47.6% | −24.7% | −4.7% | −25.0% | −32.7% | −4.0% | −79.8% | −52.3% |
| MGA Magna International Inc. | 2 of 10 | −6.9% | −46.1% | −53.5% | −21.4% | −3.9% | −42.6% | −39.6% | −1.1% | −79.3% | −35.3% |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 1 of 7 | −5.0% | −45.4% | −60.6% | −21.6% | −10.0% | −45.6% | −25.1% | — | — | — |
| TM Toyota Motor Corporation | 8 of 10 | −1.9% | −36.8% | −22.0% | −11.1% | −3.4% | −18.7% | −21.2% | −0.3% | −48.9% | −56.4% |
| F Ford Motor Company | 1 of 10 | −7.3% | −55.6% | −50.0% | −21.1% | −4.5% | −25.7% | −29.6% | −2.4% | −86.3% | −75.5% |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −11.1% | −29.4% | −56.7% | −29.3% | −2.3% | −37.2% | −30.1% | −2.6% | −83.1% | −32.0% |
| GNTX Gentex Corporation | 3 of 10 | −6.0% | −33.3% | −35.4% | −16.8% | −3.7% | −20.2% | −28.6% | −2.0% | −69.3% | −57.1% |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | 0 of 8 | −6.2% | −42.6% | −52.2% | −22.4% | −5.8% | −45.9% | −52.2% | — | −86.9% | — |
| PII Polaris Inc. | 4 of 10 | −6.5% | −24.7% | −55.5% | −31.9% | −3.7% | −49.7% | −24.5% | −3.2% | −71.3% | −28.3% |
| APTV Aptiv PLC | 0 of 6 | −5.7% | −55.1% | −63.2% | −33.4% | −6.0% | −35.7% | — | — | — | — |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −6.0% | −72.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LI Li Auto Inc. | 0 of 2 | −4.1% | −53.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NIO NIO Inc. | 0 of 4 | −7.3% | −59.9% | −46.1% | −31.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC | 0 of 2 | −11.2% | −61.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. | 0 of 2 | −9.3% | −79.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VFS VinFast Auto Ltd. | 2 of 2 | −0.3% | −1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XPEV XPeng Inc. | 0 of 2 | −3.1% | −81.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
How closely does HMC move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares HMC with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, HMC captured 51% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 71% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.62. Its share of the market's losses was larger than its share of the gains.
- RACE took just 56% of the S&P 500's losses, against 71% for HMC, while still keeping 101% of its gains.
- Four of the 13 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than HMC's 0.71, led by RACE, TSLA and TM.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than HMC's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC This pageHonda Motor Co., Ltd. | 51% | 71% | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | 101% | 56% | 1.79 | 0.92 |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 182% | 129% | 1.40 | 1.91 |
| TM Toyota Motor Corporation | 62% | 72% | 0.86 | 0.56 |
| GM General Motors Company | 107% | 135% | 0.79 | 1.31 |
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | 109% | 157% | 0.70 | 1.31 |
| MGA Magna International Inc. | 110% | 166% | 0.66 | 1.50 |
| ALV Autoliv, Inc. | 109% | 169% | 0.65 | 1.60 |
| GNTX Gentex Corporation | 63% | 98% | 0.64 | 0.92 |
| F Ford Motor Company | 105% | 167% | 0.63 | 1.51 |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | 124% | 215% | 0.58 | 1.61 |
| PII Polaris Inc. | 113% | 223% | 0.51 | 1.61 |
| APTV Aptiv PLC | 106% | 219% | 0.48 | 1.80 |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 68% | 167% | 0.41 | 1.39 |
What diversifies HMC?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with HMC's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing HMC with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in HMC into EMLP would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 19% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+4.3% for HMC alone, +7.0% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, EMLP and HDV have moved largely independently of HMC over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.38 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- MCK made money in seven of the 11 calendar years in which HMC lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which HMC lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% HMC and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2016 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2007 | 2002 | 2000 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (this page) | 1.00 | +34.5% | 0.35 | −3.8% | −16.6% | −19.8% | −5.8% | −27.3% | −20.8% | −34.4% | −14.4% | −10.8% | −3.0% | −9.2% | 22.8% | +4.3% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.38 | +119% | 1.48 | +15.9% | +3.8% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.1% | +7.1% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.03 | +101% | 1.04 | +33.4% | +10.4% | −8.7% | +29.8% | +23.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.6% | +7.0% |
| HDV Dividend & IncomeiShares Core High Dividend ETF | 0.24 | +83.3% | 1.00 | +14.1% | +7.1% | −3.0% | +15.9% | +12.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.1% | +6.3% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.24 | +323% | 0.97 | +39.1% | −33.5% | −9.1% | +35.6% | +30.2% | +6.8% | −44.7% | +6.0% | −47.0% | — | — | 21.1% | +11.4% |
| DBEF InternationalXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.45 | +85.0% | 0.96 | +13.4% | −5.1% | −9.5% | +6.3% | +3.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.4% | +6.5% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.17 | +126% | 0.96 | +26.7% | −0.8% | −1.9% | +8.0% | −2.2% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +30.4% | — | — | — | 19.1% | +7.5% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.19 | +136% | 0.93 | +45.8% | −10.4% | −0.9% | +7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.5% | +8.2% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.05 | +177% | 0.93 | +5.6% | +64.4% | −18.2% | +28.0% | −8.7% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +36.8% | −14.8% | +24.4% | — | 19.3% | +8.8% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2018 | 2016 | 2014 | 2011 | 2008 | 2007 | 2002 | 2000 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HMC Honda Motor Co., Ltd. (this page) | 1.00 | +34.5% | 0.35 | −3.8% | −16.6% | −19.8% | −5.8% | −27.3% | −20.8% | −34.4% | −14.4% | −10.8% | −3.0% | −9.2% | 22.8% | +4.3% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.12 | +479% | 1.55 | +19.0% | +54.1% | −24.5% | −17.5% | +23.0% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −8.3% | +108% | +51.7% | 19.6% | +11.2% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.10 | +3,143% | 1.47 | +215% | +1.3% | −16.3% | +7.4% | +12.9% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −65.1% | −2.3% | — | 22.6% | +23.4% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.08 | +1,636% | 1.46 | +107% | +17.0% | +0.8% | +18.3% | −10.4% | −17.0% | −15.2% | +2.1% | −9.4% | −71.1% | −9.5% | 20.9% | +19.7% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.00 | +413% | 1.44 | +23.7% | +51.8% | −28.4% | −28.3% | +29.3% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −27.2% | +61.2% | +46.9% | 18.9% | +10.7% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.15 | +690% | 1.41 | −4.0% | +86.6% | −8.2% | +0.7% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.3% | +13.2% |
Common questions
What was HMC's worst drawdown?
HMC's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 53.8%, from February 2007 to December 2008. It took 24 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were HMC's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, HMC's best year was 2009, when it returned 59.8%. Its worst was 2008, with a return of -34.4%.
Is there a better investment than HMC?
Among HMC's popular alternatives, RACE earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with similar volatility: 13.3% a year at 30.0% volatility, against 6.1% a year at 27.5%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, NEU (specialty chemicals) and SXT (specialty chemicals) earned more than HMC over the past 5 years with similar volatility: NEU returned 21.0% a year at 26.8% volatility, against 6.1% a year at 27.5%.
Is HMC more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. HMC's volatility over the past 5 years was 27.5%, 1.6 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, HMC's return lands within 27.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is HMC's Sharpe ratio?
HMC's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.35, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so HMC earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is HMC with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, HMC's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.31 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against HMC instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a HMC holding.
What are the best alternatives to HMC?
None of the 20 popular alternatives we compared outperformed HMC in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about HMC's strength than about its alternatives.
Did HMC outperform the S&P 500?
HMC finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 13 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +7.7%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did HMC do in stock market crashes?
HMC fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in six of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in three. The clearest case was the dot-com bust, when HMC fell 40.4% and the S&P 500 fell 47.5%.
What diversifies HMC?
These had a low correlation with HMC over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.38), EMLP (correlation 0.03) and HDV (correlation 0.24); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.12), CLS (correlation 0.10) and FIX (correlation 0.08). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than HMC's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of HMC's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.