# How TJX Companies (TJX) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives

> Source: EasyCompare research, https://easycompare.io/research/tjx
> Data as of October 20, 2026. Total returns include reinvested dividends. Past performance does not predict future results; nothing here is investment advice.

Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on TJX alone. It places TJX (The TJX Companies, Inc.) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where TJX stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.

Period covered: TJX's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.

## Key findings

- **Right now:** TJX has gone against the market, falling 7.3% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. Its specialty retail peers split over the past 6 months: ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch) rose 66.3%, while LULU (Lululemon Athletica) fell 40.1%.
- **Stock or market?:** TJX fell 5.3% over the past 3 months, 4.1 points behind the specialty retail ETF XRT (State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF), which fell 1.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. That said, TJX rose 12.3% last month as the S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 3.2%.
- **Past 1 to 3 years:** Over the past year, TJX rose 3.8% against 15.8% for the S&P 500 and 17.9% for the Nasdaq 100. The same gap shows up over 3 years (71.6% against 89.3%). Even so, TJX finished ahead of the S&P 500 in both 2024 and 2025.
- **Long term:** TJX turned $10,000 into $46,100 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. TJX's 10-year return of 361% puts it ahead of 79% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%.
- **In a crash:** In the 2022 bear market, TJX held up better than its specialty retail peers, including ROST (Ross Stores), BURL and LULU. On the flip side, TJX fell further than the S&P 500 in four of the last four sell-offs, including the Covid crash (42.5% against 33.7%).
- **Diversification:** TJX is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.43 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.43 with the total US market, more closely than 58% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Over 10 years, TJX's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.78: 81% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 65% of its losses in falling ones.
- **Better options**
  - **Popular alternatives:** WMT (Walmart), COST (Costco Wholesale) and ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch) were ahead of TJX in most short and long periods.
  - **Whole market:** Few investments have done better on both counts: only three of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TJX with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX, DXJ (WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund) and DBJP (Xtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF).

## How much would $10,000 in TJX have grown?

This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in TJX over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of TJX over the same span and TJX's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period.

- $10,000 invested in TJX at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $958,745 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of TJX, and AAPL finished highest, at $20,534,853.

## TJX at a glance

This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout.

- TJX's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 68.0%, from October 1987 to October 1990. It took 25 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, TJX's best was 2009, when it returned 81.0%, and its worst was 1999, when it lost 29.5%. It lost money in four of those years.
- TJX is 12.4% below its all-time high.

- Type: Stock, Consumer Discretionary (Apparel - Retail)
- Trading since: October 17, 1986
- Market value: $162B
- Volatility (5 years): 22.3%; Sharpe ratio: 0.93
- Worst decline ever: −68.0%, from October 5, 1987 to October 11, 1990; back at its high by November 5, 1992

| Period | TJX total return |
| --- | --- |
| 1 month | +12.3% |
| 3 months | −5.3% |
| 6 months | −7.3% |
| year to date | −3.8% |
| 1 year | +3.8% |
| 3 years | +71.6% |
| 5 years | +147% |
| 10 years | +361% |

## TJX against the whole market

Where TJX ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.

### How does TJX rank among all stocks?

This section ranks TJX on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history.

- On return for the risk taken (the Sharpe ratio), TJX ranks in the top 5% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million.

| Measure | TJX | Rank |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 1-year return | +3.8% | 1,817 of 3,287 (top 56%) |
| 3-year return | +71.6% | 1,227 of 3,017 (top 41%) |
| 5-year return | +147% | 458 of 2,893 (top 16%) |
| 10-year return | +361% | 468 of 2,202 (top 22%) |
| Volatility, 5 years | 22.3% | 163 of 2,893 (top 6%) |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.93 | 149 of 2,893 (top 6%) |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −42.5% | 214 of 2,187 (top 10%) |

### What has beaten TJX on both return and risk?

Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer).

- One stock and two ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than TJX over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half TJX's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 15% less than TJX's 22.3%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.93 for TJX.

### Is there a better investment than TJX?

The table below lists investments that beat TJX over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes.

- Among TJX's popular alternatives, WMT, COST and ANF were ahead of TJX in most short and long periods.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only three of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TJX with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX, DXJ and DBJP.

The 3 strongest of 3 investments that beat TJX over the past 5 years, out of 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million.

| Investment | Group | Annual return (5 years) | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline (10 years) | 10Y return | Correlation with TJX | Better on |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| TJX: The TJX Companies, Inc. (this page) |  | +19.9% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +361% |  |  |
| [MPLX](https://easycompare.io/research/mplx): MPLX Lp | Oil & Gas Midstream | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.40 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| DBJP: Xtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF | International | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.23 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline; Higher return in most periods |
| DXJ: WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | International Equity | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.25 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |

## TJX against its popular alternatives

The investments people most often weigh against TJX, compared period by period and year by year.

### How do TJX's risk and return compare with its alternatives?

This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings.

- None of the 20 popular alternatives earned more than TJX over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- 17 of the 20 popular alternatives earned less than TJX over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, TJX returned 19.9% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (22.3% against 17.1%).

### Has TJX consistently beaten its popular alternatives?

This section compares TJX with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years.

- Four of the 20 popular alternatives, led by ANF, WMT and URBN, outperformed TJX in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- ANF outperformed TJX in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- WMT earned more for the risk it took than TJX (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in its worst decline of the past 10 years.

| Investment | 1Y return | 3Y return | 5Y return | 10Y return | Periods ahead of TJX | Verdict | Sharpe |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| TJX: The TJX Companies, Inc. (this page) | +3.8% | +71.6% | +147% | +361% |  |  | 0.93 |
| ANF: Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | +143% | +166% | +328% | +1,117% | 5/5 short-term, 3/3 long-term | all-weather | 0.77 |
| [WMT](https://easycompare.io/research/wmt): Walmart Inc. | +11.0% | +130% | +158% | +508% | 3/5 short-term, 3/3 long-term | consistent | 0.96 |
| URBN: Urban Outfitters, Inc. | +30.6% | +162% | +187% | +160% | 5/5 short-term, 2/3 long-term | consistent | 0.68 |
| [COST](https://easycompare.io/research/cost): Costco Wholesale Corporation | +6.9% | +87.2% | +123% | +685% | 4/5 short-term, 2/3 long-term | consistent | 0.82 |
| [ROST](https://easycompare.io/research/rost): Ross Stores, Inc. | +51.9% | +111% | +129% | +312% | 4/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.71 |
| M: Macy's, Inc. | +34.8% | +131% | +7.7% | +0.7% | 4/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.29 |
| CTRN: Citi Trends, Inc. | +34.8% | +102% | −35.5% | +157% | 3/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.16 |
| BKE: The Buckle, Inc. | −8.4% | +71.8% | +84.7% | +493% | 2/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.53 |
| GAP: The Gap, Inc. | +10.0% | +117% | +24.6% | +25.2% | 2/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.36 |
| BOOT: Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | −39.1% | +50.9% | +20.8% | +910% | 0/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.33 |
| BURL: Burlington Stores, Inc. | −3.1% | +112% | −6.2% | +240% | 0/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.19 |
| KSS: Kohl's Corporation | +38.6% | +23.2% | −36.7% | −20.0% | 5/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.21 |
| ASO: Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | +19.3% | +33.4% | +49.7% | — | 5/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.41 |
| [TGT](https://easycompare.io/research/tgt): Target Corporation | +75.1% | +58.0% | −28.5% | +207% | 4/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.00 |
| AEO: American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | +18.0% | +11.6% | −17.9% | +33.9% | 3/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.19 |
| RH: Rh | −33.4% | −48.5% | −82.4% | +302% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.24 |
| LULU: Lululemon Athletica Inc. | −42.0% | −74.8% | −75.9% | +73.0% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.44 |
| [NKE](https://easycompare.io/research/nke): NIKE, Inc. | −42.1% | −60.4% | −73.8% | −15.5% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.57 |
| LE: Lands' End, Inc. | −36.3% | +39.2% | −58.1% | −34.4% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.08 |
| ZUMZ: Zumiez Inc. | −30.5% | −16.8% | −64.9% | −36.5% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.14 |

### How did TJX do year by year?

This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where TJX ranked among its popular alternatives each year.

- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, TJX finished in the top quarter in seven of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in four. In 2025, it ranked 7 of 21.
- TJX finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 19 of its 29 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last two.
- Among its popular alternatives, RH came out ahead of TJX most often, in eight of the 13 years both traded.

| Year | TJX | SPY |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 2025 | +28.7% | +17.7% |
| 2024 | +30.6% | +24.9% |
| 2023 | +19.7% | +26.2% |
| 2022 | +6.7% | −18.2% |
| 2021 | +12.8% | +28.7% |
| 2020 | +12.3% | +18.3% |
| 2019 | +38.8% | +31.2% |
| 2018 | +18.9% | −4.6% |
| 2017 | +3.5% | +21.7% |
| 2016 | +7.4% | +12.0% |

## Risk and diversification

How TJX has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.

### What were TJX's worst declines?

A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high.

- In all four of TJX's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: TJX fell 64.5% from June 1993 to April 1995, while the S&P 500 rose 19.3%.
- The slowest recovery came after TJX fell 68.0% from October 1987 to October 1990; it did not regain that peak until November 1992, two years later.

| Decline | Peak | Low | Back at the high | SPY over the same dates | Market event |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| −68.0% | October 5, 1987 | October 11, 1990 | November 5, 1992 | — |  |
| −64.5% | June 30, 1993 | April 26, 1995 | May 13, 1996 | +19.3% |  |
| −61.0% | April 12, 1999 | February 25, 2000 | August 10, 2001 | −1.4% |  |
| −49.9% | August 11, 2008 | November 19, 2008 | July 30, 2009 | −37.3% | 2008 financial crisis |
| −44.6% | July 20, 1998 | October 1, 1998 | December 29, 1998 | −16.4% |  |

### How did TJX do in stock market crashes?

This section measures how far TJX, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000.

- Among its popular alternatives, WMT held up best, falling less than TJX in seven of the ten crashes they both traded through.
- TJX fell further than the S&P 500 in six of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when TJX fell 42.5% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.

| Crash | Dates | TJX fall | SPY fall |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dot-com bust | March 10, 2000 to October 9, 2002 | −32.6% | −47.5% |
| Global financial crisis | October 9, 2007 to March 9, 2009 | −49.9% | −55.2% |
| Flash crash | May 6, 2010 to May 7, 2010 | −2.1% | −1.5% |
| Euro debt crisis | July 22, 2011 to October 3, 2011 | −9.7% | −17.9% |
| China devaluation & oil rout | August 10, 2015 to February 11, 2016 | −16.1% | −12.8% |
| Volmageddon | February 2, 2018 to February 9, 2018 | −5.3% | −6.5% |
| Q4 2018 selloff | September 21, 2018 to December 24, 2018 | −25.6% | −19.3% |
| COVID crash | February 19, 2020 to March 23, 2020 | −42.5% | −33.7% |
| 2022 bear market | January 4, 2022 to October 12, 2022 | −27.7% | −24.5% |
| SVB / regional bank stress | March 8, 2023 to March 13, 2023 | −4.7% | −3.4% |

### How closely does TJX move with the S&P 500?

Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell.

- Over the past 10 years, TJX captured 81% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 65% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.78. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only WMT and COST had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than TJX's 1.25, out of 19 popular alternatives with the same record.
- WMT took just 36% of the S&P 500's losses, against 65% for TJX, while still keeping 74% of its gains.

Measured over the past 10 years of monthly returns against SPY.

| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Beta |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| TJX: The TJX Companies, Inc. (this page) | 81.0% | 65.0% | 0.78 |
| ANF: Abercrombie & Fitch Co. | 138% | 112% | 1.36 |
| [WMT](https://easycompare.io/research/wmt): Walmart Inc. | 74.0% | 36.0% | 0.53 |
| URBN: Urban Outfitters, Inc. | 97.0% | 136% | 1.40 |
| [COST](https://easycompare.io/research/cost): Costco Wholesale Corporation | 93.0% | 50.0% | 0.77 |
| [ROST](https://easycompare.io/research/rost): Ross Stores, Inc. | 93.0% | 89.0% | 0.93 |
| M: Macy's, Inc. | 93.0% | 183% | 1.75 |
| CTRN: Citi Trends, Inc. | 120% | 165% | 1.83 |
| BKE: The Buckle, Inc. | 95.0% | 80.0% | 1.12 |
| GAP: The Gap, Inc. | 127% | 217% | 1.86 |
| BOOT: Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | 189% | 201% | 2.31 |
| BURL: Burlington Stores, Inc. | 103% | 121% | 1.22 |
| KSS: Kohl's Corporation | 109% | 234% | 1.76 |
| [TGT](https://easycompare.io/research/tgt): Target Corporation | 83.0% | 87.0% | 1.00 |
| AEO: American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 94.0% | 164% | 1.37 |
| RH: Rh | 197% | 283% | 2.21 |
| LULU: Lululemon Athletica Inc. | 83.0% | 132% | 1.12 |
| [NKE](https://easycompare.io/research/nke): NIKE, Inc. | 71.0% | 155% | 1.01 |
| LE: Lands' End, Inc. | 163% | 323% | 2.48 |
| ZUMZ: Zumiez Inc. | 70.0% | 155% | 1.37 |

### What diversifies TJX?

Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions).

- Moving a fifth of the money in TJX into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+16.6% for TJX alone, +17.6% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of TJX over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- Among large stocks, CAH, CLS and FIX have moved largely independently of TJX over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.34 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.

| Investment | Correlation with TJX | 5Y return | Volatility | Sharpe | Rose in TJX's 4 down years |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LVHI: Franklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.49 | +119% | 11.1% | 1.48 | 0 of 4 |
| DXJ: WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.25 | +225% | 19.1% | 1.34 | 0 of 4 |
| EMLP: First Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.42 | +101% | 14.5% | 1.04 | 0 of 4 |
| [SMH](https://easycompare.io/research/smh): VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.20 | +323% | 36.9% | 0.97 | 1 of 4 |
| DBEF: Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.44 | +85.0% | 13.8% | 0.96 | 0 of 4 |
| [GLD](https://easycompare.io/research/gld): SPDR Gold Shares | 0.04 | +126% | 18.9% | 0.96 | 2 of 4 |
| SPMO: Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.33 | +136% | 20.8% | 0.93 | 0 of 4 |
| [XLE](https://easycompare.io/research/xle): State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.25 | +177% | 25.5% | 0.93 | 2 of 4 |

## Common questions

### What was TJX's worst drawdown?

TJX's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 68.0%, from October 1987 to October 1990. It took 25 months from the low to climb back to its old high.

### What were TJX's best and worst years?

Over 29 full calendar years, TJX's best year was 2009, when it returned 81.0%. Its worst was 1999, with a return of -29.5%.

### Is there a better investment than TJX?

Among TJX's popular alternatives, WMT, COST and ANF were ahead of TJX in most short and long periods. Few investments have done better on both counts: only three of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than TJX with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them MPLX, DXJ and DBJP.

### Is TJX more volatile than the S&P 500?

Yes. TJX's volatility over the past 5 years was 22.3%, 1.3 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, TJX's return lands within 22.3% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.

### What is TJX's Sharpe ratio?

TJX's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.93, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so TJX earned more for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.

### How correlated is TJX with the S&P 500?

Over the past 5 years, TJX's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.43 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against TJX instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a TJX holding.

### What are the best alternatives to TJX?

Of the 20 popular alternatives we compared, four outperformed TJX in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: ANF, WMT and URBN.

### Did TJX outperform the S&P 500?

TJX finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 19 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +28.7%, against +17.7% for the index.

### How did TJX do in stock market crashes?

TJX fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in six. The clearest case was the Covid crash, when TJX fell 42.5% and the S&P 500 fell 33.7%.

### What diversifies TJX?

These had a low correlation with TJX over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.49), DXJ (correlation 0.25) and EMLP (correlation 0.42); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.24), CLS (correlation 0.20) and FIX (correlation 0.34). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.

## More research

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## Explore further

- Full page with charts: https://easycompare.io/research/tjx
- All research pages: https://easycompare.io/llms.txt
- Compare the entire market against TJX live: https://betterthanspy.com/?b=TJX&utm_source=easycompare&utm_medium=research