# How O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives

> Source: EasyCompare research, https://easycompare.io/research/orly
> Data as of October 20, 2026. Total returns include reinvested dividends. Past performance does not predict future results; nothing here is investment advice.

Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on ORLY alone. It places ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.) against 10 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where ORLY stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.

Period covered: ORLY's full trading record, from April 1993 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 20, 2026.

## Key findings

- **Right now:** ORLY has gone against the market, falling 3.0% over the past 6 months while the S&P 500 rose 9.1%. Not every peer went the same way. Over the past 6 months, GPC (Genuine Parts) rose 11.8% and LKQ fell 28.6%.
- **Stock or market?:** ORLY held up far better than its industry: it rose 6.5% over the past 3 months while the specialty retail ETF XRT (State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF) fell 1.2%. The S&P 500 rose 3.9%. Last month cut against the tape: ORLY rose 8.6% while the S&P 500 fell 0.6%.
- **Past 1 to 3 years:** Over the past year, ORLY fell 10.8% while the S&P 500 rose 15.8%. The same gap shows up over 3 years (48.9% against 89.3%).
- **Long term:** ORLY turned $10,000 into $49,300 over the past decade, against $42,100 in the S&P 500. ORLY's 10-year return of 393% puts it ahead of 81% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 321%.
- **In a crash:** ORLY fell less than the S&P 500 in five of seven sell-offs, but the 2015 China and oil sell-off broke the pattern: it fell 16.0%, more than the S&P 500's 12.8%.
- **Diversification:** Over 10 years, ORLY's beta versus the S&P 500 was 0.78: 86% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 66% of its losses in falling ones. ORLY is some diversification, but not a hedge: a correlation of 0.38 with the S&P 500 over 5 years and 0.38 with the total US market, less closely than 53% of stocks worth at least $300 million.
- **Better options**
  - **Nearby categories and themes:** WMT (Walmart, discount retail) earned more for the risk it took than ORLY over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 25.7%, against 42.0% for ORLY.
  - **Whole market:** Few investments have done better on both counts: only 30 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ORLY with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVS (Novartis), RY (Royal Bank of Canada) and GLD (SPDR Gold Shares).

## How much would $10,000 in ORLY have grown?

This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in ORLY over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of ORLY over the same span and ORLY's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period.

- $10,000 invested in ORLY at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $2,252,599 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of ORLY, and AAPL finished highest, at $20,534,853.

## ORLY at a glance

This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout.

- ORLY's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 65.4%, from July 1999 to March 2000. It took nine months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, ORLY's best was 1998, when it returned 80.0%, and its worst was 2002, when it lost 30.9%. It lost money in four of those years.
- ORLY is 16.5% below its all-time high.

- Type: Stock, Consumer Discretionary (Specialty Retail)
- Trading since: April 23, 1993
- Market value: $73B
- Volatility (5 years): 23.4%; Sharpe ratio: 0.75
- Worst decline ever: −65.4%, from July 20, 1999 to March 8, 2000; back at its high by December 29, 2000

| Period | ORLY total return |
| --- | --- |
| 1 month | +8.6% |
| 3 months | +6.5% |
| 6 months | −3.0% |
| year to date | −0.4% |
| 1 year | −10.8% |
| 3 years | +48.9% |
| 5 years | +110% |
| 10 years | +393% |

## ORLY against the whole market

Where ORLY ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.

### How does ORLY rank among all stocks?

This section ranks ORLY on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history.

- ORLY is among the steadier stocks: its price swings rank in the top 8% of the 2,893 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top is the calmest.

| Measure | ORLY | Rank |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 1-year return | −10.8% | 2,367 of 3,287 (top 73%) |
| 3-year return | +48.9% | 1,563 of 3,017 (top 52%) |
| 5-year return | +110% | 627 of 2,893 (top 22%) |
| 10-year return | +393% | 427 of 2,202 (top 20%) |
| Volatility, 5 years | 23.4% | 228 of 2,893 (top 8%) |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.75 | 357 of 2,893 (top 13%) |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −42.0% | 202 of 2,187 (top 10%) |

### What has beaten ORLY on both return and risk?

Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer).

- Eight stocks and 22 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than ORLY over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is fewer than 1% of the 3,633 screened. Few investments beat it on both counts.
- Among those with at least half ORLY's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 19% less than ORLY's 23.4%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.75 for ORLY.

### Is there a better investment than ORLY?

The table below lists investments that beat ORLY over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes.

- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WMT (discount retail) earned more for the risk it took than ORLY over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 25.7%, against 42.0% for ORLY.
- Few investments have done better on both counts: only 30 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ORLY with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVS, RY and GLD.

The 15 strongest of 30 investments that beat ORLY over the past 5 years, out of 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million.

| Investment | Group | Annual return (5 years) | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline (10 years) | 10Y return | Correlation with ORLY | Better on |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ORLY: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (this page) |  | +15.9% | 23.4% | 0.75 | −42.0% | +393% |  |  |
| LVHI: Franklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | International Equity | +17.0% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.21 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline; Higher return in most periods |
| [NVS](https://easycompare.io/research/nvs): Novartis AG | Pharmaceuticals | +17.1% | 20.7% | 0.87 | −26.8% | +226% | 0.24 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline; Higher return in most periods |
| SPMO: Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | US Momentum Equity | +18.7% | 20.8% | 0.93 | −30.9% | +499% | 0.38 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline; Higher return in most periods |
| [RY](https://easycompare.io/research/ry): Royal Bank of Canada | Banks | +17.3% | 18.2% | 0.97 | −40.0% | +352% | 0.08 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| [MPLX](https://easycompare.io/research/mplx): MPLX Lp | Oil & Gas Midstream | +23.5% | 18.8% | 1.22 | −75.2% | +350% | 0.38 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| DBJP: Xtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF | International | +20.9% | 19.2% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +348% | 0.17 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline; Higher return in most periods |
| DXJ: WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | International Equity | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +428% | 0.15 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| [BTI](https://easycompare.io/research/bti): British American Tobacco p.l.c. | Tobacco | +18.7% | 22.0% | 0.90 | −56.1% | +98.2% | 0.33 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| [MO](https://easycompare.io/research/mo): Altria Group, Inc. | Tobacco | +17.8% | 21.4% | 0.88 | −53.7% | +140% | 0.45 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| [CM](https://easycompare.io/research/cm): Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Banks | +19.2% | 21.6% | 0.93 | −47.3% | +395% | 0.10 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| [AFL](https://easycompare.io/research/afl): Aflac Incorporated | Life Insurance | +19.0% | 20.8% | 0.95 | −54.9% | +335% | 0.41 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| SDCI: USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund | Bonds | +20.6% | 18.4% | 1.12 | −45.7% | — | 0.05 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| [GLD](https://easycompare.io/research/gld): SPDR Gold Shares | Gold | +17.7% | 18.9% | 0.96 | −26.4% | +213% | 0.04 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher Sharpe, smaller worst decline |
| MLPX: Global X - MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF | Energy | +18.6% | 19.7% | 0.97 | −64.6% | +186% | 0.42 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |
| EUFN: iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF | Financial Sector Equity | +18.5% | 21.8% | 0.89 | −53.2% | +233% | 0.23 | Higher return, lower volatility; Higher return in most periods |

## ORLY against its popular alternatives

The investments people most often weigh against ORLY, compared period by period and year by year.

### How do ORLY's risk and return compare with its alternatives?

This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings.

- None of the ten popular alternatives earned more than ORLY over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Ten of the ten popular alternatives earned less than ORLY over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, ORLY returned 16.0% a year, more than the S&P 500's 12.7%, with higher volatility (23.4% against 17.1%).

### Has ORLY consistently beaten its popular alternatives?

This section compares ORLY with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years.

- None of the ten popular alternatives outperformed ORLY in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was DORM.

| Investment | 1Y return | 3Y return | 5Y return | 10Y return | Periods ahead of ORLY | Verdict | Sharpe |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ORLY: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (this page) | −10.8% | +48.9% | +110% | +393% |  |  | 0.75 |
| DORM: Dorman Products, Inc. | −13.8% | +69.3% | +21.0% | +99.9% | 1/5 short-term, 1/3 long-term |  | 0.28 |
| GPC: Genuine Parts Company | −2.9% | +5.6% | +10.1% | +85.3% | 3/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.21 |
| SMP: Standard Motor Products, Inc. | −5.1% | +27.1% | −8.3% | −0.7% | 3/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.11 |
| [AZO](https://easycompare.io/research/azo): AutoZone, Inc. | −20.4% | +27.0% | +78.6% | +323% | 1/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.59 |
| AAP: Advance Auto Parts, Inc. | −14.8% | −8.3% | −78.0% | −63.9% | 1/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.28 |
| MNRO: Monro Inc. | −14.1% | −32.2% | −69.2% | −66.8% | 1/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.25 |
| AN: AutoNation, Inc. | −25.3% | +21.1% | +38.4% | +246% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | 0.36 |
| GNTX: Gentex Corporation | −17.9% | −26.1% | −36.2% | +49.2% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.21 |
| LKQ: LKQ Corporation | −25.3% | −50.9% | −55.3% | −24.8% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.36 |
| GT: The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company | −39.8% | −65.5% | −78.5% | −85.4% | 0/5 short-term, 0/3 long-term |  | -0.34 |

### How did ORLY do year by year?

This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where ORLY ranked among its popular alternatives each year.

- None of the ten popular alternatives came out ahead of ORLY in most of the years they have in common.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, ORLY finished in the top quarter in 12 of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 3 of 11.
- ORLY finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 16 of its 29 full calendar years.

| Year | ORLY | SPY |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 2025 | +15.4% | +17.7% |
| 2024 | +24.8% | +24.9% |
| 2023 | +12.6% | +26.2% |
| 2022 | +19.5% | −18.2% |
| 2021 | +56.0% | +28.7% |
| 2020 | +3.3% | +18.3% |
| 2019 | +27.3% | +31.2% |
| 2018 | +43.1% | −4.6% |
| 2017 | −13.6% | +21.7% |
| 2016 | +9.9% | +12.0% |

## Risk and diversification

How ORLY has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.

### What were ORLY's worst declines?

A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high.

- In all five of ORLY's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: ORLY fell 65.4% from July 1999 to March 2000, while the S&P 500 slipped only 0.3%.
- The longest climb back to a previous high took 12 months, after ORLY fell 40.6% from July 2016 to July 2017.

| Decline | Peak | Low | Back at the high | SPY over the same dates | Market event |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| −65.4% | July 20, 1999 | March 8, 2000 | December 29, 2000 | −0.3% |  |
| −45.3% | June 1, 2007 | October 27, 2008 | April 16, 2009 | −43.9% | 2008 financial crisis |
| −42.0% | November 18, 2019 | March 23, 2020 | July 22, 2020 | −27.8% | Covid crash |
| −40.6% | July 29, 2016 | July 7, 2017 | July 19, 2018 | +13.8% |  |
| −39.6% | December 18, 2001 | February 10, 2003 | July 31, 2003 | −25.5% | dot-com bust |

### How did ORLY do in stock market crashes?

This section measures how far ORLY, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000.

- ORLY fell less than the S&P 500 in seven of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when ORLY fell 39.8% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than ORLY in most of the crashes they both traded through.

| Crash | Dates | ORLY fall | SPY fall |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Dot-com bust | March 10, 2000 to October 9, 2002 | −34.0% | −47.5% |
| Global financial crisis | October 9, 2007 to March 9, 2009 | −39.8% | −55.2% |
| Flash crash | May 6, 2010 to May 7, 2010 | −1.3% | −1.5% |
| Euro debt crisis | July 22, 2011 to October 3, 2011 | −9.4% | −17.9% |
| China devaluation & oil rout | August 10, 2015 to February 11, 2016 | −16.0% | −12.8% |
| Volmageddon | February 2, 2018 to February 9, 2018 | −2.4% | −6.5% |
| Q4 2018 selloff | September 21, 2018 to December 24, 2018 | −8.7% | −19.3% |
| COVID crash | February 19, 2020 to March 23, 2020 | −34.0% | −33.7% |
| 2022 bear market | January 4, 2022 to October 12, 2022 | −23.0% | −24.5% |
| SVB / regional bank stress | March 8, 2023 to March 13, 2023 | −1.5% | −3.4% |

### How closely does ORLY move with the S&P 500?

Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell.

- Over the past 10 years, ORLY captured 86% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 66% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.78. That is a defensive profile: it gave up some of the market's upside in exchange for smaller losses.
- Only AZO had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than ORLY's 1.30, out of ten popular alternatives with the same record.
- AZO took just 54% of the S&P 500's losses, against 66% for ORLY, while still keeping 72% of its gains.

Measured over the past 10 years of monthly returns against SPY.

| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Beta |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ORLY: O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (this page) | 86.0% | 66.0% | 0.78 |
| DORM: Dorman Products, Inc. | 73.0% | 100% | 0.88 |
| GPC: Genuine Parts Company | 77.0% | 116% | 0.87 |
| SMP: Standard Motor Products, Inc. | 47.0% | 94.0% | 0.62 |
| [AZO](https://easycompare.io/research/azo): AutoZone, Inc. | 72.0% | 54.0% | 0.63 |
| AAP: Advance Auto Parts, Inc. | 40.0% | 158% | 1.19 |
| MNRO: Monro Inc. | 44.0% | 165% | 1.09 |
| AN: AutoNation, Inc. | 106% | 127% | 1.16 |
| GNTX: Gentex Corporation | 63.0% | 98.0% | 0.92 |
| LKQ: LKQ Corporation | 74.0% | 163% | 1.25 |
| GT: The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company | 77.0% | 263% | 1.63 |

### What diversifies ORLY?

Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions).

- Moving a fifth of the money in ORLY into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 18% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+16.0% for ORLY alone, +17.1% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of ORLY over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.46 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- Among large stocks, CAH, CLS and FIX have moved largely independently of ORLY over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.36 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.

| Investment | Correlation with ORLY | 5Y return | Volatility | Sharpe | Rose in ORLY's 4 down years |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| LVHI: Franklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.21 | +119% | 11.1% | 1.48 | 1 of 4 |
| DXJ: WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.15 | +225% | 19.1% | 1.34 | 1 of 4 |
| EMLP: First Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.46 | +101% | 14.5% | 1.04 | 1 of 4 |
| FDL: First Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund | 0.40 | +91.8% | 14.4% | 0.98 | 1 of 4 |
| [SMH](https://easycompare.io/research/smh): VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.13 | +323% | 36.9% | 0.97 | 1 of 4 |
| DBEF: Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF | 0.27 | +85.0% | 13.8% | 0.96 | 1 of 4 |
| [GLD](https://easycompare.io/research/gld): SPDR Gold Shares | 0.04 | +126% | 18.9% | 0.96 | 2 of 4 |
| SPMO: Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.38 | +136% | 20.8% | 0.93 | 1 of 4 |

## Common questions

### What was ORLY's worst drawdown?

ORLY's deepest decline since it began trading in 1993 was 65.4%, from July 1999 to March 2000. It took nine months from the low to climb back to its old high.

### What were ORLY's best and worst years?

Over 29 full calendar years, ORLY's best year was 1998, when it returned 80.0%. Its worst was 2002, with a return of -30.9%.

### Is there a better investment than ORLY?

Looking beyond its popular alternatives, WMT (discount retail) earned more for the risk it took than ORLY over the past 5 years, and its worst fall in 10 years was 25.7%, against 42.0% for ORLY. Few investments have done better on both counts: only 30 of the 3,633 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than ORLY with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them NVS, RY and GLD.

### Is ORLY more volatile than the S&P 500?

Yes. ORLY's volatility over the past 5 years was 23.4%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.1%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, ORLY's return lands within 23.4% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.

### What is ORLY's Sharpe ratio?

ORLY's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.75, against 0.79 for the S&P 500, so ORLY earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.

### How correlated is ORLY with the S&P 500?

Over the past 5 years, ORLY's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.38 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They are only loosely linked, which makes it a real diversifier next to an index fund. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against ORLY instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a ORLY holding.

### What are the best alternatives to ORLY?

None of the ten popular alternatives we compared outperformed ORLY in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about ORLY's strength than about its alternatives.

### Did ORLY outperform the S&P 500?

ORLY finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 16 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +15.4%, against +17.7% for the index.

### How did ORLY do in stock market crashes?

ORLY fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in seven of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in one. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when ORLY fell 39.8% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.

### What diversifies ORLY?

These had a low correlation with ORLY over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.21), DXJ (correlation 0.15) and EMLP (correlation 0.46); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.27), CLS (correlation 0.06) and FIX (correlation 0.36). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.

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## Explore further

- Full page with charts: https://easycompare.io/research/orly
- All research pages: https://easycompare.io/llms.txt
- Compare the entire market against ORLY live: https://betterthanspy.com/?b=ORLY&utm_source=easycompare&utm_medium=research